St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Brewers 518-1308, playoff odds down 0.06 to 0.01%
0-5   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 -0.1
-0.2
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 -0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 -0.1
Braves 386 Nationals 721 +0.0
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves vs Cardinals-0.5+0.4
Giants vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs White Sox-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1616-097.3%54230203337
1515-175.038251313138
1414-246.712233421260
1313-314.012103639101677
1212-41.0001124435804,533
1111-50.000116403391021,135
1010-6Out011437341220074,158
99-7Out0111323516300200,783
88-8Out017263723610418,618
77-9Out00419373091675,629
66-10Out0021438369845,658
55-11Out001154737808,993
44-12Out022771581,107
33-13Out00892303,854
22-14Out199108,226
11-15Out010023,616
00-16Out1002,768
Total:0.0%00000011358121723304,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 +0.5
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 +0.1
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 +0.1
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.1
Royals 995 Indians 968 +0.1
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +0.1
Braves 386 Nationals 721 -0.0
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 -0.0
Reds 960 Pirates 915 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Braves vs Cardinals+0.8-0.8
Giants vs Royals+0.1-0.0
Red Sox vs Astros+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1616-0234226603
1515-11350131313
1414-222222228205
1313-301491027311340
1212-4010315293115500
1111-50003122529208200
1010-60017172726156100
99-7000391926231341000
88-800014112127221131000
77-900001615262717610
66-1000014142932173
55-1100017254225
44-1200053163
33-13001089
22-140298
11-150100
00-16100
Total:0000000000000000111223456810131725