Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Mets 825-986, playoff odds down 17 to 9.3%
3-2 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mets 986 Marlins 825 | -8.2 | -0.8 | ||
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | +3.8 | +0.2 | ||
| Braves 386 Nationals 721 | -1.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 | +0.6 | |||
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | +0.3 | |||
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | -0.2 | |||
| Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Marlins vs Pirates | +2.7-3.6 | +0.5-0.7 | ||
| Nationals vs Brewers | -1.6+1.4 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Phillies vs Cubs | -0.8+0.6 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Dodgers vs Tigers | -0.1+0.2 | |||
| Mets vs Reds | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Diamondbacks vs Indians | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Rockies vs White Sox | -0.1+0.0 | |||
| Padres vs Twins | -0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 19 | 16 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 338 | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 15 | - | 1 | In | 93 | 7 | 102 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 78 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1,078 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 13 | - | 3 | 99.8 | % | 43 | 44 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 7,263 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 12 | - | 4 | 97.8 | 12 | 44 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 32,724 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | - | 5 | 82.4 | 1 | 17 | 49 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 108,670 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 10 | - | 6 | 47.1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 268,972 | |||||||||
| 12 | 9 | - | 7 | 16.9 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 511,027 | |||||||||
| 11 | 8 | - | 8 | 3.9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 744,783 | ||||||||
| 10 | 7 | - | 9 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 837,954 | ||||||||
| 9 | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 728,144 | ||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 480,887 | ||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 238,451 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 85,401 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 35 | 20,840 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 2 | 28 | 70 | 2,986 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 6 | 94 | 540 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 9.3 | % | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4,070,160 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Mets 986 Marlins 825 | +1.4 | |
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | -0.1 | |
| Braves 386 Nationals 721 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Marlins vs Pirates | -1.0+1.4 | |
| Phillies vs Cubs | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Nationals vs Brewers | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Red Sox vs Astros | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Dodgers vs Tigers | -0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 19 | 16 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 15 | - | 1 | 67 | 29 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 14 | - | 2 | 30 | 43 | 23 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 13 | - | 3 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 9 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 15 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 16 | 1 | 10 | 89 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
