Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Yankees 920-926, playoff odds down 1.7 to 0.6%
2-3 .400
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Yankees 926 Orioles 920 | -1.1 | -0.8 | ||
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | +0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 | +0.1 | |||
| Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 | -0.1 | |||
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Orioles vs Mariners | +0.3-0.3 | +0.6-0.8 | ||
| Blue Jays vs Rangers | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Red Sox vs Astros | -0.1+0.0 | |||
| Padres vs Twins | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Giants vs Royals | +0.1-0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 18 | 16 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 2 | 1 | 337 | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 15 | - | 1 | In | 75 | 13 | 13 | 8 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 47 | 34 | 1 | 17 | 93 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 3 | 95.3 | % | 18 | 32 | 6 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 918 | |||||||||||
| 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 74.7 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 43 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5,869 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | - | 5 | 35.8 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 26,619 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 10 | - | 6 | 7.5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90,219 | ||||||||
| 11 | 9 | - | 7 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 231,916 | |||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 463,186 | ||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 713,233 | ||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 854,645 | |||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 778,042 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 32 | 532,204 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 67 | 263,416 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 0 | 9 | 90 | 88,843 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 0 | 1 | 99 | 18,518 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 100 | 2,094 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.6 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 4,070,160 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Yankees 926 Orioles 920 | +1.3 | |
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | +0.1 | |
| Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 | +0.1 | |
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | +0.1 | |
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | +0.1 | |
| Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 | -0.0 | |
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Orioles vs Mariners | -1.0+1.3 | |
| Red Sox vs Astros | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Rockies vs White Sox | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Blue Jays vs Rangers | -0.0+0.1 | |
| Mets vs Reds | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 18 | 16 | - | 0 | 88 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 15 | - | 1 | 13 | 75 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 14 | - | 2 | 3 | 38 | 22 | 27 | 10 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 9 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 32 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 15 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 78 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 16 | 0 | 5 | 95 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
