Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Angels 681-1183, playoff odds down 0.3 to 0.04%
1-4 .200
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Angels 1183 Mariners 681 | -0.2 | -0.6 | ||
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | -0.1 | |||
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | -0.1 | |||
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Orioles vs Mariners | -0.5+0.6 | |||
| Padres vs Twins | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Red Sox vs Astros | -0.1+0.0 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 17 | 16 | - | 0 | 99.7 | % | 85 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 336 | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 15 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 14 | - | 2 | 91.7 | 25 | 13 | 54 | 8 | 24 | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 13 | - | 3 | 64.5 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 49 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 234 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 12 | - | 4 | 27.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 49 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1,881 | ||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | - | 5 | 4.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 10,516 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 6 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 41,569 | ||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 128,831 | |||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 306,580 | ||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 563,203 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 28 | 7 | 801,547 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 34 | 870,732 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 709,206 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 418,774 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 1 | 99 | 170,036 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 0 | 100 | 41,692 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 100 | 4,998 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 36 | 4,070,160 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Angels 1183 Mariners 681 | +1.2 | |
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | +0.1 | |
| Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 | +0.1 | |
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | +0.1 | |
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | +0.1 | |
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | +0.1 | |
| Mets 986 Marlins 825 | +0.1 | |
| Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 | -0.0 | |
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | -0.0 | |
| Braves 386 Nationals 721 | -0.0 | |
| Reds 960 Pirates 915 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Orioles vs Mariners | +0.8-1.0 | |
| Red Sox vs Astros | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Marlins vs Pirates | -0.0+0.1 | |
| Rockies vs White Sox | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 17 | 16 | - | 0 | 75 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 15 | - | 1 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 14 | - | 2 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 46 | 4 | 8 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 13 | - | 3 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 13 | 2 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 53 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 15 | 0 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 16 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 14 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
