Oakland Athletics Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Astros 1176-1602, playoff odds down 7.6 to 57.9%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 -10.2
-0.6
Royals 995 Indians 968 +1.6
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Athletics-10.0+10.2
-0.5+0.5
Blue Jays vs Rangers-1.1+2.1
Red Sox vs Astros+1.8-0.5
+0.2-0.1
Rockies vs White Sox+1.6-0.7
+0.1-0.0
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.9-1.0
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.4-0.7
Yankees vs Angels+0.5-0.3
Giants vs Royals+0.2-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Athletics finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1916-0In9914,978
1815-1In912742,550
1714-2100.0%7080210171,162
1613-399.738181430422,650
1512-495.81118562400711,226
1411-577.11886121200870,020
1310-639.1015334316200797,899
129-78.9017313818400559,525
118-80.70062436248100305,331
107-90.000314313116400129,504
96-10Out00162133261120042,095
85-11Out02112734215010,685
74-12Out0519373271,936
63-13Out2134738252
52-14Out44569
41-15Out1002
30-16Out199336
Total:57.9%10743718116321000004,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 +1.0
Royals 995 Indians 968 -0.1
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 -0.1
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 -0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 -0.1
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +0.0
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Athletics+1.0-1.0
Red Sox vs Astros-0.1+0.0
Blue Jays vs Rangers+0.0-0.1
Rockies vs White Sox-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1916-09370
1815-17225300
1714-23443194000
1613-37253523810000
1512-4041427291740400
1411-500151627227175100
1310-60001616152027122000
129-70027420322492000
118-8001029233123102000
107-9000171929261441000
96-1000311232821103000
85-110141323272092000
74-1201513252719820
63-1306162931126
52-14224433
41-155050
30-16991
Total:3578910959985432110000000000000