Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Royals 968-995, playoff odds down 5.2 to 64%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 995 Indians 968 -10.8
-0.6
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 +2.5
+0.1
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 +0.4
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.3
+0.1
Tigers 1027 Twins 727 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks vs Indians-7.5+7.9
-0.4+0.5
Rockies vs White Sox+4.4-2.0
+0.2-0.1
Dodgers vs Tigers+1.3-2.2
+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Athletics+0.7-0.7
Giants vs Royals+0.6-0.5
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.3+0.6
Red Sox vs Astros+0.5-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1916-0In10003,320
1815-1In9460028,270
1714-2In762310124,651
1613-3100.0%4446820335,363
1512-499.0144929710620,891
1411-590.522551138100832,455
1310-663.00548102312200836,258
129-728.5002621832174000644,119
118-88.108032135248100382,601
107-91.3100315323115300177,006
96-100.10018233424810063,625
85-110.00003143032174017,131
74-12Out1724362763,555
63-13Out2175030528
52-14Out257548
41-15Out1002
30-16Out0100337
Total:64.0%91830610107421100004,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 995 Indians 968 +1.3
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 -0.1
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 -0.1
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 -0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 -0.1
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 +0.0
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.9-1.0
Rockies vs White Sox-0.2+0.1
Red Sox vs Astros-0.1+0.0
Blue Jays vs Rangers+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1916-09550
1815-1742320
1714-2364218300
1613-3725352381000
1512-4041427301851100
1411-500151630291073000
1310-600017253010169200
129-7000424213252192000
118-8008017202922102000
107-90100171828261341000
96-1000013112328211030000
85-1100014142427198200
74-1201514252718720
63-130171831251431
52-14241744294
41-155050
30-161189
Total:246791112134666432211000000000000