Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Rays 973-842, playoff odds up 0.2 to 0.8%
2-3 .400
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | +0.8 | +0.8 | ||
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | -0.1 | |||
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Sox vs Astros | +0.9-0.3 | +0.8-0.3 | ||
| Blue Jays vs Rangers | -0.1+0.1 | +0.0-0.1 | ||
| Rays vs Athletics | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Dodgers vs Tigers | +0.0-0.1 | |||
| Padres vs Twins | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Giants vs Royals | +0.1-0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 18 | 16 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 337 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 15 | - | 1 | In | 85 | 15 | 13 | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 14 | - | 2 | 99.5 | % | 49 | 32 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 187 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 3 | 94.0 | 16 | 35 | 14 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 1,697 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 71.9 | 2 | 16 | 19 | 36 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 9,296 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | - | 5 | 31.0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 39,830 | |||||||||
| 12 | 10 | - | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 122,371 | ||||||||
| 11 | 9 | - | 7 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 291,112 | |||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 536,232 | ||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 762,745 | |||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 845,480 | ||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 26 | 5 | 715,818 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 45 | 29 | 454,114 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 65 | 210,396 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 10 | 90 | 66,112 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 2 | 98 | 12,913 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 100 | 1,507 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.8 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 4,070,160 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | -1.7 | |
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | +0.1 | |
| Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 | +0.1 | |
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | +0.1 | |
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | +0.1 | |
| Mets 986 Marlins 825 | +0.1 | |
| Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 | -0.0 | |
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | -0.0 | |
| Braves 386 Nationals 721 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Red Sox vs Astros | -1.7+0.5 | |
| Rockies vs White Sox | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Blue Jays vs Rangers | -0.0+0.1 | |
| Mets vs Reds | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 18 | 16 | - | 0 | 95 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 15 | - | 1 | 46 | 46 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 14 | - | 2 | 4 | 22 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 9 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 32 | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 15 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 78 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 16 | 5 | 95 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
