New York Mets Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Marlins 986-825, playoff odds up 0.5 to 2.7%
3-2 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mets 986 Marlins 825 | +1.8 | +0.8 | ||
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | +0.6 | |||
| Braves 386 Nationals 721 | -0.1 | |||
| Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | +0.0 | |||
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | -0.1 | |||
| Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mets vs Reds | +2.0-0.9 | +0.9-0.4 | ||
| Nationals vs Brewers | -0.6+0.5 | |||
| Phillies vs Cubs | -0.3+0.2 | |||
| Marlins vs Pirates | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Dodgers vs Tigers | -0.0+0.1 | |||
| Padres vs Twins | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Rockies vs White Sox | -0.1+0.0 | |||
| Giants vs Royals | -0.1+0.0 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 18 | -19 | In | 100 | 345 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 83 | 16 | 1 | 69 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 13 | - | 3 | 99.7 | % | 44 | 41 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 659 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | 12 | - | 4 | 98.3 | 13 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4,323 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | - | 5 | 82.3 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 20,513 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 10 | - | 6 | 47.1 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 73,269 | |||||||||
| 12 | 9 | - | 7 | 16.4 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 199,731 | |||||||||
| 11 | 8 | - | 8 | 3.6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 420,249 | |||||||
| 10 | 7 | - | 9 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 683,326 | ||||||||
| 9 | 6 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 850,825 | |||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 811,337 | ||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 577,479 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 298,508 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 37 | 104,520 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 0 | 1 | 23 | 75 | 22,494 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 4 | 96 | 2,513 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4,070,160 | |||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Mets 986 Marlins 825 | -1.6 | |
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | +0.1 | |
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | +0.1 | |
| Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 | +0.1 | |
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | +0.1 | |
| Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 | -0.0 | |
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Mets vs Reds | -1.7+0.8 | |
| Red Sox vs Astros | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Rockies vs White Sox | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Phillies vs Cubs | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Blue Jays vs Rangers | -0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 19 | 16 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 15 | - | 1 | 75 | 25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 14 | - | 2 | 25 | 48 | 20 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 13 | - | 3 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 9 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 16 | 1 | 13 | 86 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
