Milwaukee Brewers Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Cardinals 1308-518, playoff odds up 16.6 to 75.6%
4-1   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 +4.2
+0.2
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 +3.1
+0.2
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 +2.8
+0.1
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 -0.8
-0.0
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +0.7
Reds 960 Pirates 915 -0.6
Mets 986 Marlins 825 +0.4
Braves 386 Nationals 721 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals vs Brewers-7.7+6.6
-0.5+0.4
Dodgers vs Tigers-1.4+2.4
Phillies vs Cubs+1.7-1.2
+0.2-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Indians-0.9+0.9
Mets vs Reds+1.1-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
2016-0In1007,905
1915-1In991060,937
1814-2In91602227,335
1713-3100.0%70200100516,278
1612-499.1363632410797,496
1511-591.89331040800890,830
1410-667.0113153830300743,949
139-729.802918472130472,942
128-86.5033284220300231,903
117-90.7010526402350087,612
106-100.10004233927710025,807
95-11Out0317363012205,716
84-12Out02930361941971
73-13Out1519353010131
62-14Out9273618911
51-15Out1001
40-16Out11782336
Total:75.6%25207241562100000004,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 -0.5
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 -0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 -0.1
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 -0.1
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
Royals 995 Indians 968 -0.1
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +0.0
Reds 960 Pirates 915 +0.0
Braves 386 Nationals 721 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals vs Brewers+0.9-0.8
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Phillies vs Cubs-0.1+0.1
Red Sox vs Astros-0.1+0.0
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.1-0.1
Mets vs Reds-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
2016-0991
1915-19460
1814-2772120
1713-344411320000
1612-413343315400010
1511-518222921820800
1410-600291921123294000
139-70002612936268100
128-8001592731196100
117-90103122630207100
106-1000028202924123100
95-11014122328219300
84-121312272622821
73-13112529181321
62-14271892718
51-15100
40-1601782
Total:14151311964212532110000000000000000