Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Indians 995-968, playoff odds up 1.6 to 3.2%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 995 Indians 968 +1.9
+0.9
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 +0.2
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 -0.1
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Royals-1.6+1.1
-0.7+0.5
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.5-0.5
Rockies vs White Sox+0.6-0.3
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.1-0.2
+0.0-0.1
Rays vs Athletics+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.1+0.1
Red Sox vs Astros-0.1+0.0
Padres vs Twins+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1816-0In919341
1715-1In75223118
1614-299.8%414211601,173
1513-397.711403116207,750
1412-481.51164024163035,394
1311-543.60227153220400114,042
1210-612.00093193626710277,876
119-71.8020316363111200516,077
108-80.1000111313418400744,431
97-90.000162235269200832,019
86-100.000021229331840717,891
75-11Out00162338276475,792
64-12Out003204531236,527
53-13Out03296785,772
42-14Out099121,120
31-15Out1993,283
20-16Out100554
Total:3.2%002135911131312119754,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 995 Indians 968 -1.7
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.1
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 +0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 +0.1
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 -0.0
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Giants vs Royals+1.4-1.0
Red Sox vs Astros+0.1-0.0
Dodgers vs Tigers-0.0+0.1
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1816-09010
1715-12243296
1614-2317293016400
1513-3016183228112200
1412-40016213519107200
1311-500213296182010200
1210-60111041527251230000
119-700200151728271551000
108-800001515262717720000
97-9000141122262111410000
86-100000271625251672000
75-110000310202723124100
64-1200161628281640
53-1301519353110
42-1402134342
31-1512178
20-16496
Total:000000120123456788877655433211