Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2018

Beat White Sox 1197-1031, playoff odds up 14 to 40.6%
3-2   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 +9.3
+0.6
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +2.8
+0.1
Royals 995 Indians 968 +1.0
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 +0.5
Yankees 926 Orioles 920 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays vs Rangers+5.8-10.9
+0.4-0.7
Red Sox vs Astros+1.3-0.4
Rockies vs White Sox+0.9-0.4
+0.1-0.0
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.5-0.5
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.3-0.5
+0.0-0.1
Yankees vs Angels+0.4-0.2
Rays vs Athletics+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Mariners-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Royals+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1916-0In100001,403
1815-1In944212,279
1714-2100.0%741609064,520
1613-399.540332250207,068
1512-494.5123394250452,033
1411-574.4115144324200715,036
1310-638.10311244515200847,850
129-710.2055323816300768,712
118-81.601072637226100537,158
107-90.20004173329133000291,636
96-100.00018243323810121,489
85-11Out003132933184039,190
74-12Out01621372979,560
63-13Out031744361,675
52-14Out22375194
41-15Out59519
30-16Out100338
Total:40.6%59720211410642110004,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 -1.1
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 -0.1
Braves 386 Nationals 721 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.7+1.3
Rockies vs White Sox-0.1+0.0
Red Sox vs Astros-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1916-09550
1815-1712630
1714-23243204000
1613-362335251020000
1512-4031124302061500
1411-500131225259187100
1310-60001515181627154000
129-700283163026113000
118-802017213024113000
107-90000161828261451000
96-100001311222821103100
85-1100141324271993000
74-12014142527197200
63-1300181931251230
52-1432237345
41-15164242
30-161189
Total:12356887810108754321110000000000