Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Athletics 1602-1176, playoff odds up 9.9 to 89.9%
5-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 +8.3
+0.5
Royals 995 Indians 968 +1.0
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.3
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox vs Astros-6.4+2.0
-0.5+0.1
Rays vs Athletics+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.4+0.7
Rockies vs White Sox+0.5-0.2
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.3-0.3
Yankees vs Angels+0.3-0.2
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.1-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
2116-0In1004,731
2015-1In100040,211
1914-2In9910165,095
1813-3In96400411,173
1712-4100.0%8215020700,642
1611-599.95434390868,702
1510-698.22042152120804,601
149-785.9324283013100570,799
138-852.40526213214200313,239
127-917.800135233519400132,904
116-103.6030420352791043,989
105-110.61021128331951011,374
94-120.000416313114302,027
83-13Out1621362691302
72-14Out31532351534
61-15Out1001
50-16Out1684336
Total:89.9%45221012531100000004,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 -0.9
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 -0.1
Royals 995 Indians 968 -0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 -0.1
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 -0.1
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 +0.0
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox vs Astros+1.0-0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
2116-0100
2015-11000
1914-29730
1813-38514100
1712-4563581000
1611-5193929112000
1510-6212273119610200
149-701414262613312200
138-80003132214212061000
127-900151362330175100
116-100302112430208200
105-111002719282513410
94-1200031020292111310
83-1314102125231331
72-14618261215213
61-15100
50-1615225023
Total:2818141086424321100000000000000000