San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2018

Beat Dodgers 1077-942, playoff odds up 0.04 to 0.3%
2-3   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 +0.6
+0.8
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 -0.1
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +0.0
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 +0.0
Braves 386 Nationals 721 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres vs Twins+0.2-0.2
+0.5-0.5
Dodgers vs Tigers-0.0+0.1
Rockies vs White Sox-0.1+0.0
Giants vs Royals-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1816-0In9154337
1715-1In50173312
1614-296.1%25353344155
1513-382.17285421711,482
1412-449.3196333911008,756
1311-515.001310403780036,822
1210-61.9011144233810117,579
119-70.10011539341010284,193
108-80.000113373512100526,318
97-90.0000111343615200761,894
86-10Out018283820400847,946
75-11Out00522382770722,978
64-12Out0031740338463,208
53-13Out002174735214,602
42-14Out02277168,839
31-15Out069313,498
20-16Out01001,541
Total:0.3%0000136101315151411844,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 -1.7
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 +0.1
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.1
Royals 995 Indians 968 +0.1
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +0.1
Mets 986 Marlins 825 +0.1
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 -0.0
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 -0.0
Braves 386 Nationals 721 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Padres vs Twins-1.2+1.2
Red Sox vs Astros+0.1-0.0
Rockies vs White Sox+0.1-0.0
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.0+0.1
Mets vs Reds+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1816-090100
1715-1833508
1614-221839221424
1513-31520272261162
1412-4016152082620510
1311-5015982730154000
1210-6002031429301751000
119-70000141326291972000
108-800000310222822113100
97-90000271725251662000
86-1000014112126211141000
75-1100026162526166100
64-1200141325302071
53-13000315333514
42-1400193852
31-15011386
20-160298
Total:000000000011234456778887765432