Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Red Sox 842-973, playoff odds down 5.9 to 84.8%
4-1   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 -5.6
-0.4
Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 -1.7
Royals 995 Indians 968 +0.3
+0.1
Yankees 926 Orioles 920 +0.2
Athletics 1176 Astros 1602 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Athletics+6.3-6.4
+0.4-0.4
Blue Jays vs Rangers-1.8+3.3
-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs White Sox+0.3-0.1
Diamondbacks vs Indians+0.2-0.2
Red Sox vs Astros+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0
Dodgers vs Tigers+0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
2016-0In1006,090
1915-1In991048,396
1814-2In93700189,186
1713-3100.0%7524010451,895
1612-499.94547530741,024
1511-598.6165519910879,280
1410-689.4233401410100781,661
139-763.901044102411200531,408
128-833.7013021829163000280,370
117-913.1013031933237100114,012
106-103.43021331311540035,736
95-110.5001621322711208,945
84-12Out0311273320501,559
73-13Out161639308237
62-14Out4544224
51-15Out1001
40-16Out298336
Total:84.8%2631217742110000004,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +1.0
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 -0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 -0.1
Royals 995 Indians 968 -0.1
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +0.0
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Athletics-0.9+0.9
Blue Jays vs Rangers+0.1-0.1
Red Sox vs Astros-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
2016-0991
1915-194600
1814-27622200
1713-34342142000
1612-412333417400000
1511-5172232241020100
1410-600210243018482000
139-70003132721141561000
128-8001726416241661000
117-901301821272082000
106-10030016182925134100
95-11000310222822113100
84-12013122326211030
73-130311243221820
62-14482938174
51-15100
40-1613068
Total:121313121110864432110000000000000000