Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2018

Lost to Reds 915-960, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0.07%
1-4   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds 960 Pirates 915 -0.2
-0.4
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 +0.1
-0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 +0.1
-0.1
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 -0.0
+0.0
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 +0.0
Braves 386 Nationals 721 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins vs Pirates-0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.6
Mets vs Reds-0.1+0.0
Giants vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Padres vs Twins-0.1+0.1
Rockies vs White Sox-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1716-099.7%682480336
1615-181.83627181811
1514-278.9623445183190
1413-347.017535401311,486
1312-413.90121139398108,849
1211-51.300113423581037,620
1110-60.00011539341010119,328
109-70.000113373512200287,864
98-8Out0111343615300536,625
87-9Out018293820400772,151
76-10Out00624402450852,608
65-11Out0042142285718,237
54-12Out003224728451,869
43-13Out0043363205,441
32-14Out0118964,055
21-15Out029812,071
10-16Out1001,419
Total:0.1%000001359121517161394,070,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/6100.0*Lottery seed
Reds 960 Pirates 915 +0.9
Rays 842 Red Sox 973 +0.1
Royals 995 Indians 968 +0.1
Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 +0.1
Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 +0.1
Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 +0.1
Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 -0.0
Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 -0.0
Braves 386 Nationals 721 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins vs Pirates+0.9-1.2
Red Sox vs Astros+0.1-0.0
Rockies vs White Sox+0.1-0.0
Blue Jays vs Rangers-0.0+0.1
Mets vs Reds+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1716-0722440
1615-192736918
1514-21520311651641
1413-301714186282140
1312-401589292915400
1211-500103142930165100
1110-600031224292092000
109-7000028192724145100
98-800014122226201031000
87-9000271625251672000
76-10000141122282110200
65-11000021023312491
54-12000314323615
43-13001103851
32-14011584
21-150397
10-160100
Total:000000000000111233456788999986