Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Tigers 727-1027, playoff odds down 1.1 to 0.3%
2-3 .400
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tigers 1027 Twins 727 | -0.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | +0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Blue Jays 1197 White Sox 1031 | +0.1 | |||
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | -0.1 | |||
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Padres vs Twins | -0.2+0.2 | -0.5+0.5 | ||
| Diamondbacks vs Indians | +0.0-0.1 | |||
| Rockies vs White Sox | +0.1-0.0 | |||
| Giants vs Royals | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Red Sox vs Astros | -0.1+0.0 | |||
| Blue Jays vs Rangers | +0.0-0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 18 | 16 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 336 | ||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 15 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 92 | 8 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 3 | 99.1 | % | 20 | 40 | 18 | 21 | 1 | 218 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 81.6 | 2 | 20 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1,728 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | - | 5 | 42.2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9,423 | |||||||||
| 12 | 10 | - | 6 | 9.4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 38,517 | |||||||||
| 11 | 9 | - | 7 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 119,717 | |||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 8 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 290,314 | |||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 543,813 | |||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 791,311 | |||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 877,983 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 46 | 27 | 728,585 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 62 | 437,305 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 14 | Out | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 180,549 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 15 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 44,832 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 16 | Out | 0 | 100 | 5,516 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 4,070,160 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tigers 1027 Twins 727 | +1.1 | |
| Cubs 1069 Rockies 1166 | +0.1 | |
| Rays 842 Red Sox 973 | +0.1 | |
| Dodgers 942 Padres 1077 | +0.1 | |
| Royals 995 Indians 968 | +0.1 | |
| Phillies 1072 Rangers 1358 | +0.1 | |
| Mets 986 Marlins 825 | +0.1 | |
| Giants 903 Diamondbacks 1233 | -0.0 | |
| Cardinals 518 Brewers 1308 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Padres vs Twins | +1.1-1.1 | |
| Red Sox vs Astros | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Rockies vs White Sox | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Blue Jays vs Rangers | -0.0+0.1 | |
| Mets vs Reds | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 18 | 16 | - | 0 | 93 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 15 | - | 1 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 14 | - | 2 | 8 | 58 | 25 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 11 | - | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 10 | - | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 9 | - | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 8 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 7 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 6 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 5 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 4 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 3 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 35 | 13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 2 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 15 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 79 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 16 | 0 | 5 | 95 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:44 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
