San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Kansas City 7-19, playoff odds down 35.6 to 0%
9-0-7   .563

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego 10 Denver 22 +12.8
+0.7
Tennessee 11 NY Jets 16 +5.1
+0.2
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13 +3.4
+0.2
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27 -2.9
-0.1
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31 +2.5
+0.1
Indianapolis 17 Houston 10 -1.1
-0.1
New England 41 Miami 13 +0.7
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30 +0.4
+0.0
Kansas City 31 Oakland 13 +0.4
+0.0
Baltimore 20 Jacksonville 12 *-0.1
Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 37 Denver 28 -28.0
-1.3
Oakland 26 Buffalo 24 +15.5
+0.7
Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12 -12.9
-0.7
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37 -12.3
-0.6
Houston 25 Baltimore 13 -10.5
-0.7
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -9.5
-0.7
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 +8.6
+0.4
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7 +4.5
+0.3
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13 +2.2
+0.2
Miami 37 Minnesota 35 +2.1
+0.1
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20 -0.3
-0.0
NY Jets 16 New England 17 +0.2
+0.0
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami 24 NY Jets 37 -32.8
-0.7
New England 9 Buffalo 17 -32.7
-0.6
Kansas City 19 San Diego 7 +11.3
+0.6
Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10 +4.1
+0.1
Houston 23 Jacksonville 17 -1.7
-0.1
Tennessee 10 Indianapolis 27 +1.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Diego finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
90-0-0Out1003,829,008
Total:Out1003,829,008
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/11100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego 10 Denver 22 -1.1
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13 -0.7
Tennessee 11 NY Jets 16 -0.6
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31 -0.1
Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17 -0.1
Indianapolis 17 Houston 10 +0.1
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12 -0.0
Detroit 16 Minnesota 14 +0.0
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30 -0.0
Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 37 Denver 28 +1.6
Houston 25 Baltimore 13 +1.2
Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12 +1.1
Oakland 26 Buffalo 24 -1.0
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37 +0.8
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 -0.7
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 +0.7
Miami 37 Minnesota 35 -0.4
New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30 +0.2
Chicago 14 Detroit 20 +0.1
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7 +0.1
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20 +0.0
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13 -0.0
Arizona 6 Seattle 35 +0.0
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 24 NY Jets 37 +0.7
Kansas City 19 San Diego 7 -0.6
New England 9 Buffalo 17 +0.6
NY Giants 26 Philadelphia 34 +0.2
Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10 -0.1
Atlanta 3 Carolina 34 -0.1
Houston 23 Jacksonville 17 +0.1
Green Bay 30 Detroit 20 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-0.3+0.7+0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
90-0-06832
Total:6832