SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Cleveland 20-10, playoff odds up 100 to 100%

10-0-6 .625

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7	*Out
San Diego 10 Denver 22			-0.2
New England 41 Miami 13			-0.1
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30			-0.1
Indianapolis 17 Houston 10			+0.1
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13			-0.1
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31			+0.1

Week of 12/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston 25 Baltimore 13			+0.3
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13			-0.3
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7			-0.2
Cincinnati 37 Denver 28			+0.2
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38			+0.2
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37			-0.1
Miami 37 Minnesota 35			+0.1
Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12			+0.1
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20			-0.0

Week of 12/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Miami 24 NY Jets 37			-0.8
Kansas City 19 San Diego 7			-0.2
Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10			-0.1
Tennessee 10 Indianapolis 27			+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

10		0	-	0	-	0	In							100											3,829,008

Total:							In							100											3,829,008

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Week of 12/11	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tennessee 11 NY Jets 16	+0.6
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27	-0.5
San Diego 10 Denver 22	+0.5
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31	-0.4
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13	-0.4
New England 41 Miami 13	+0.3
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38	+0.2
Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17	+0.1
Indianapolis 17 Houston 10	-0.1
Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30	+0.1
Baltimore 20 Jacksonville 12	+0.0
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12	+0.0

Week of 12/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cincinnati 37 Denver 28	-1.7
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13	+1.3
Houston 25 Baltimore 13	-1.0
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7	+1.0
Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12	-0.9
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38	-0.7
Miami 37 Minnesota 35	-0.4
Oakland 26 Buffalo 24	-0.4
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24	+0.4
St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37	+0.2
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20	+0.1
Arizona 6 Seattle 35	-0.1
Chicago 14 Detroit 20	-0.0
New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30	+0.0

Week of 12/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Miami 24 NY Jets 37	+1.8
Atlanta 3 Carolina 34	+0.5
Kansas City 19 San Diego 7	+0.5
Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10	+0.4
New England 9 Buffalo 17	-0.2
Tampa Bay 20 New Orleans 23	+0.1
Minnesota 13 Chicago 9	-0.1
Green Bay 30 Detroit 20	-0.1
San Francisco 20 Arizona 17	-0.0
Tennessee 10 Indianapolis 27	-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

10		0	-	0	-	0												100

Total:																		100