Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances 2014
Lost to NY Jets 24-37, playoff odds down 3.5 to 0%
8-0-8 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tennessee 11 NY Jets 16 | +12.1 | +0.8 | ||
| Chicago 15 New Orleans 31 | -4.6 | -0.3 | ||
| New England 41 Miami 13 | +3.6 | +0.4 | ||
| Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13 | +3.3 | +0.2 | ||
| Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27 | -2.0 | -0.1 | ||
| Indianapolis 17 Houston 10 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Cleveland 0 Cincinnati 30 | -0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| Kansas City 31 Oakland 13 | +0.2 | |||
| San Diego 10 Denver 22 | *-0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Baltimore 20 Jacksonville 12 | *-0.1 | |||
| Week of 12/18 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oakland 26 Buffalo 24 | -31.2 | -1.4 | ||
| Houston 25 Baltimore 13 | -16.6 | -0.7 | ||
| Miami 37 Minnesota 35 | -14.4 | -0.6 | ||
| Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 | +11.3 | +0.5 | ||
| Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7 | +10.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12 | -8.7 | -0.3 | ||
| St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37 | +5.0 | +0.2 | ||
| Carolina 17 Cleveland 13 | +2.8 | +0.2 | ||
| San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 | +2.1 | +0.2 | ||
| Cincinnati 37 Denver 28 | +1.0 | -0.2 | ||
| Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20 | +0.8 | +0.1 | ||
| NY Jets 16 New England 17 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||
| Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Miami 24 NY Jets 37 | +53.6 | +2.3 | ||
| New England 9 Buffalo 17 | -3.3 | -0.0 | ||
| Kansas City 19 San Diego 7 | +1.0 | -0.2 | ||
| Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Tennessee 10 Indianapolis 27 | +0.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Houston 23 Jacksonville 17 | -0.1 | -0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 3,829,008 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | Out | 100 | 3,829,008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.
Big Games
| Week of 12/11 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Tennessee 11 NY Jets 16 | -1.4 | |
| Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13 | -0.6 | |
| New England 41 Miami 13 | -0.6 | |
| Chicago 15 New Orleans 31 | +0.5 | |
| Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17 | -0.1 | |
| San Diego 10 Denver 22 | +0.1 | |
| Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38 | -0.1 | |
| Indianapolis 17 Houston 10 | +0.1 | |
| NY Giants 24 Washington 13 | +0.0 | |
| Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 12/18 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Oakland 26 Buffalo 24 | +1.7 | |
| Houston 25 Baltimore 13 | +1.1 | |
| Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 | -0.7 | |
| Miami 37 Minnesota 35 | +0.7 | |
| San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 | -0.6 | |
| St. Louis 27 NY Giants 37 | -0.5 | |
| Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12 | +0.4 | |
| Cincinnati 37 Denver 28 | +0.3 | |
| New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30 | +0.2 | |
| Arizona 6 Seattle 35 | +0.1 | |
| Carolina 17 Cleveland 13 | -0.1 | |
| Chicago 14 Detroit 20 | +0.1 | |
| Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20 | -0.1 | |
| Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 | -0.1 | |
| Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7 | -0.1 | |
| Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Miami 24 NY Jets 37 | -2.5 | |
| Kansas City 19 San Diego 7 | +0.2 | |
| Baltimore 20 Cleveland 10 | -0.2 | |
| Houston 23 Jacksonville 17 | +0.0 | |
| New England 9 Buffalo 17 | +0.0 | |
| Tennessee 10 Indianapolis 27 | +0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
