Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Cubs 205-172, playoff odds up 8.6 to 88.8%

8-1-0 .889

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18.5	-19						In		100												1,341	*
18		10	-	1	-	0	In		100	0											8,953
		9	-	0	-	2	In		100												77
17	.5	9	-	1	-	1	In		100												3,822	*
17		9	-	2	-	0	In		100	0		0									44,931
		8	-	1	-	2	In		100												701
16	.5	8	-	2	-	1	In		99	0		0									16,373
		7	-	1	-	3	In		100												73
16		8	-	3	-	0	In		98	2	0	1									134,407
		7	-	2	-	2	In		98	2		1									2,646
		6	-	1	-	4	In		100												7
15	.5	7	-	3	-	1	In		95	3	0	2									44,172
		6	-	2	-	3	In		94	3		3									229
15		7	-	4	-	0	100.0	%	87	9	0	4	0								268,012
		6	-	3	-	2	In		88	8	0	4									6,315
		5	-	2	-	4	In		77	23											13
14	.5	6	-	4	-	1	100.0		76	15	0	9	0								76,841
		5	-	3	-	3	In		78	14	0	8									524
14		6	-	5	-	0	100.0		60	24	2	15	0								375,361
		5	-	4	-	2	99.9		60	23	2	15	0								9,431
		4	-	3	-	4	In		44	33	6	17									18
13	.5	5	-	5	-	1	99.8		39	30	5	26	0								91,920
		4	-	4	-	3	In		40	29	5	26									624
13		5	-	6	-	0	98.3		22	32	9	35	2	0	0						375,196
		4	-	5	-	2	98.2		22	31	9	36	2	0							9,305
		3	-	4	-	4	In		14	32	14	39									28
12	.5	4	-	6	-	1	94.2		8	24	14	48	6	0	0						76,838
		3	-	5	-	3	94.3		8	26	14	47	5	0							528
12		4	-	7	-	0	82.7		3	15	16	49	16	1	0						268,549
		3	-	6	-	2	82.9		2	14	16	50	16	1	0						6,130
		2	-	5	-	4	80.0			20	15	45	20								20
11	.5	3	-	7	-	1	61.6		0	5	13	43	32	6	0	0					43,643
		2	-	6	-	3	60.4			4	13	44	32	7	1						255
11		3	-	8	-	0	37.2		0	2	9	27	41	19	3	0	0				134,161
		2	-	7	-	2	35.9		0	2	8	27	44	17	3	0					2,633
		1	-	6	-	4	45.5				18	27	27	27							11
10	.5	2	-	8	-	1	13.9			0	3	10	37	36	11	1	0				16,640
		1	-	7	-	3	15.1				5	10	47	30	8						93
10		2	-	9	-	0	4.4			0	1	3	20	38	29	8	1	0			44,696
		1	-	8	-	2	2.3				1	1	20	41	28	9	0				655
		0	-	7	-	4	Out							100							1
9	.5	1	-	9	-	1	0.3				0	0	6	26	40	24	4	0			3,756
		0	-	8	-	3	Out							30	40	30					10
9		1	-	10	-	0	0.1				0	0	1	9	29	38	19	4	0	0	8,869
		0	-	9	-	2	Out							10	28	43	18	1			89
8	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out						0	2	11	34	35	15	2		369
8		0	-	11	-	0	Out							0	3	19	35	33	9	1	1,054

Total:							88.8	%	44	16	6	22	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	2,080,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

18.5	-19						100
18		10	-	1	-	0	100	0
		9	-	0	-	2	99	1
17	.5	9	-	1	-	1	100	0
		8	-	0	-	3	100
17		9	-	2	-	0	100	0
		8	-	1	-	2	97	3
16	.5	8	-	2	-	1	97	3	0
		7	-	1	-	3	86	14
16		8	-	3	-	0	97	3	0
		7	-	2	-	2	87	12	1
		6	-	1	-	4	86		14
15	.5	7	-	3	-	1	85	14	1	0
		6	-	2	-	3	58	36	5	0	0
15		7	-	4	-	0	84	15	1	0	0				0
		6	-	3	-	2	55	34	10	1	0
		5	-	2	-	4	15	46	23		15
14	.5	6	-	4	-	1	53	35	10	2	0	0	0		0
		5	-	3	-	3	16	35	30	15	3	0
14		6	-	5	-	0	50	36	11	2	0	0			0
		5	-	4	-	2	16	33	31	15	4	1	0		0
		4	-	3	-	4		11	33	22	28		6
13	.5	5	-	5	-	1	14	33	31	16	5	1	0	0	0
		4	-	4	-	3	1	5	17	31	28	15	4	0
13		5	-	6	-	0	13	31	31	17	5	1	0	0	2	0
		4	-	5	-	2	1	6	18	28	26	15	4	0	2	0	0
		3	-	4	-	4					14	36	43	7
12	.5	4	-	6	-	1	1	5	16	27	26	15	4	0	5	0	0
		3	-	5	-	3		0	0	3	13	32	35	12	3	2	1	0
12		4	-	7	-	0	0	4	14	24	23	13	4	0	16	1	0	0	0
		3	-	6	-	2		0	0	3	11	27	30	11	11	5	1	0	0
		2	-	5	-	4							10	70		10		10
11	.5	3	-	7	-	1		0	0	2	8	20	23	8	23	12	3	0	0	0
		2	-	6	-	3						2	17	41	1	8	15	10	4	2	0
11		3	-	8	-	0		0	0	1	5	12	14	5	38	19	5	1	0	0
		2	-	7	-	2					0	1	10	24	4	15	21	16	6	2	0	0
		1	-	6	-	4								45				18	9	18		9
10	.5	2	-	8	-	1					0	0	4	9	6	19	28	20	9	2	0	0
		1	-	7	-	3							2	13			1	6	19	28	20	6	2	1
10		2	-	9	-	0					0	0	1	3	6	21	31	23	11	3	1	0	0
		1	-	8	-	2							0	2		0	2	8	22	26	24	11	3	1	0
		0	-	7	-	4																		100
9	.5	1	-	9	-	1								0	0	0	2	7	20	28	25	12	4	1	0
		0	-	8	-	3															20	10	40	20			10
9		1	-	10	-	0							0	0	0	0	1	7	18	27	26	15	5	1	0
		0	-	9	-	2														1	7	25	20	27	13	7
8	.5	0	-	10	-	1														1	5	17	26	27	18	5	2
8		0	-	11	-	0													0	1	4	10	20	26	23	11	4	1

Total:							37	18	12	9	6	4	2	1	6	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0