Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Angels 132-252, playoff odds down 9.1 to 27.5%

4-5-0 .444

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

15		11	-	0	-	0	In		94	6											1,052
14	.5	10	-	0	-	1	In		83	17	1										362
14		10	-	1	-	0	In		69	29	3	0									9,108
		9	-	0	-	2	In		69	29	2										84
13	.5	9	-	1	-	1	In		52	40	7	0									3,626
		8	-	0	-	3	In		33	58	8										12
13		9	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	29	50	20	1	0								44,533
		8	-	1	-	2	In		28	50	20	1									633	*
12	.5	8	-	2	-	1	99.6		14	47	35	3	0	0							16,508
		7	-	1	-	3	In		9	51	36	4									69
12		8	-	3	-	0	96.1		4	32	54	6	3	1	0						133,665
		7	-	2	-	2	96.8		5	32	56	4	3	0							2,694
		6	-	1	-	4	In			20	60	20									5
11	.5	7	-	3	-	1	88.0		1	15	65	8	9	3	0	0					44,150
		6	-	2	-	3	90.9		2	11	67	11	7	2	0						263	*
11		7	-	4	-	0	67.7		0	5	58	5	14	13	5	1	0	0			268,538
		6	-	3	-	2	68.8		0	4	60	5	13	13	5	1	0				6,309
		5	-	2	-	4	77.8			11	67		11	11							9
10	.5	6	-	4	-	1	42.5			0	40	2	12	24	17	4	0	0			76,211
		5	-	3	-	3	45.7			0	44	1	11	22	18	3					519
10		6	-	5	-	0	23.2			0	23	0	4	17	28	21	7	1	0		375,198
		5	-	4	-	2	22.6			0	22	0	4	17	29	20	7	1	0		9,340
		4	-	3	-	4	33.3				29	4	13	17	17	13	8				24
9	.5	5	-	5	-	1	7.6			0	8	0	0	5	23	35	22	5	0	0	92,273
		4	-	4	-	3	8.6				9		0	6	22	33	24	7	0		618	*
9		5	-	6	-	0	2.6				3	0	0	1	8	26	36	22	4	0	375,604
		4	-	5	-	2	2.1				2		0	1	7	25	38	22	4	0	9,392
		3	-	4	-	4	3.4				3			3	3	41	21	24	3		29
8	.5	4	-	6	-	1	0.2				0			0	1	9	31	40	17	1	77,140
		3	-	5	-	3	0.8				1				1	10	34	39	16	0	512
		2	-	4	-	5	Out										50	50			2
8		4	-	7	-	0	0.0				0			0	0	2	16	41	36	4	268,159
		3	-	6	-	2	Out								0	2	14	42	38	4	6,393
		2	-	5	-	4	Out										13	40	40	7	15
7	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out									0	4	26	56	15	44,041
		2	-	6	-	3	Out									0	5	28	46	21	249
7		3	-	8	-	0	Out									0	1	15	62	22	134,580
		2	-	7	-	2	Out										1	12	64	23	2,655
		1	-	6	-	4	Out												67	33	3
6	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out										0	4	53	43	16,317
		1	-	7	-	3	Out											5	46	49	76
6		2	-	9	-	0	Out										0	2	48	51	44,603
		1	-	8	-	2	Out											0	51	49	661	*
5	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out											0	29	71	3,606
		0	-	8	-	3	Out												9	91	11
5		1	-	10	-	0	Out											0	26	74	8,977
		0	-	9	-	2	Out												18	82	83
4	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out												13	87	372
4		0	-	11	-	0	Out												12	88	1,037

Total:							27.5	%	2	5	20	1	3	6	9	11	12	13	13	4	2,080,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

15		11	-	0	-	0	58	36	6	0
14	.5	10	-	0	-	1	13	40	28	15	4	0
14		10	-	1	-	0	14	37	32	14	3	0	0
		9	-	0	-	2		8	23	26	29	13	1
13	.5	9	-	1	-	1	1	9	21	29	25	12	3	0
		8	-	0	-	3			8	17	8	42	25
13		9	-	2	-	0	1	7	20	30	25	12	3	0	0	0
		8	-	1	-	2		0	1	7	18	28	33	13
12	.5	8	-	2	-	1		0	1	6	18	30	30	14	0	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3					1	9	36	54
12		8	-	3	-	0	0	0	1	6	16	29	30	14	3	1	0	0	0
		7	-	2	-	2				0	1	7	28	61	1	1	1	0	0
		6	-	1	-	4								100
11	.5	7	-	3	-	1			0	0	1	6	25	55	2	4	4	2	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3							5	86		1	3	2	2	1	1	0
11		7	-	4	-	0			0	0	1	5	19	43	5	11	10	5	1	0	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2						0	4	64	0	1	4	8	9	6	2	1	0
		5	-	2	-	4								78					11		11
10	.5	6	-	4	-	1						0	2	40	0	2	8	14	16	11	5	1	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3								46				1	6	10	14	11	8	3	0	0
10		6	-	5	-	0					0	0	1	22	0	3	9	17	20	16	8	2	0	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2							0	23		0	0	1	6	13	20	19	12	5	1	0	0
		4	-	3	-	4								33							8	8	8	25	4	13
9	.5	5	-	5	-	1							0	8		0	0	2	6	14	22	23	16	7	2	0	0
		4	-	4	-	3								9					0	1	2	12	20	26	20	8	2	0
9		5	-	6	-	0							0	3		0	0	1	5	13	22	25	18	9	3	0	0	0
		4	-	5	-	2								2					0	1	3	10	20	26	22	11	4	0	0
		3	-	4	-	4								3							3			3	21	31	31	3	3
8	.5	4	-	6	-	1								0					0	0	2	8	19	28	25	13	4	1	0
		3	-	5	-	3								1								0	1	6	19	30	26	13	3	0
		2	-	4	-	5																					50	50
8		4	-	7	-	0								0				0	0	0	2	7	17	27	26	15	5	1	0	0
		3	-	6	-	2																0	1	5	18	31	28	14	3	0
		2	-	5	-	4																					47	27	20	7
7	.5	3	-	7	-	1																0	1	5	16	30	29	15	4	0
		2	-	6	-	3																			1	6	28	35	28	2
7		3	-	8	-	0															0	0	1	4	15	29	30	16	4	0
		2	-	7	-	2																		0	1	7	22	36	27	7
		1	-	6	-	4																						33	67
6	.5	2	-	8	-	1																		0	1	6	22	36	27	8
		1	-	7	-	3																					1	24	45	30
6		2	-	9	-	0																		0	1	5	21	36	29	8
		1	-	8	-	2																				0	2	20	43	35
5	.5	1	-	9	-	1																			0	0	3	16	44	37
		0	-	8	-	3																							9	91
5		1	-	10	-	0																				0	3	16	43	38
		0	-	9	-	2																						4	24	72
4	.5	0	-	10	-	1																						3	24	73
4		0	-	11	-	0																					0	2	21	77

Total:							0	0	1	1	2	3	6	14	1	2	3	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	1