Arizona Diamondbacks Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Mariners 101-125, playoff odds down 10.8 to 25.9%

4-5-0 .444

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

15		11	-	0	-	0	In		95	4	0										1,022
14	.5	10	-	0	-	1	In		87	12	1										365
14		10	-	1	-	0	In		76	23	2	0									8,966
		9	-	0	-	2	In		82	18											67
13	.5	9	-	1	-	1	In		54	41	5	0									3,718
		8	-	0	-	3	In		57	43											7
13		9	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	38	48	13	1	0								44,656
		8	-	1	-	2	In		39	46	13	1									624
12	.5	8	-	2	-	1	99.6		16	49	32	3	0								16,445
		7	-	1	-	3	In		19	55	22	4									77
12		8	-	3	-	0	96.2		7	37	44	8	3	0	0						134,356
		7	-	2	-	2	97.0		6	38	46	7	3	0							2,695
		6	-	1	-	4	In			78	22										9
11	.5	7	-	3	-	1	87.5		1	16	62	9	10	3	0	0					43,771
		6	-	2	-	3	88.1		1	17	59	11	9	3							244
11		7	-	4	-	0	64.6		0	6	51	8	18	13	4	1	0	0			268,494
		6	-	3	-	2	67.2		0	6	54	7	17	12	3	0					6,349
		5	-	2	-	4	44.4				44		33	11	11						9
10	.5	6	-	4	-	1	40.7		0	0	38	2	13	25	17	4	0	0			76,018
		5	-	3	-	3	42.5			0	40	2	14	25	15	3					506
10		6	-	5	-	0	18.5			0	18	0	5	19	29	20	7	1	0	0	375,496
		5	-	4	-	2	18.7			0	18	0	5	20	29	20	6	1	0		9,375
		4	-	3	-	4	22.2				22			28	17	33					18
9	.5	5	-	5	-	1	6.7				7	0	0	6	23	36	22	6	0	0	92,152
		4	-	4	-	3	6.1				6		0	7	21	37	22	6	1		609
9		5	-	6	-	0	1.7				2	0	0	1	8	25	36	23	5	0	375,480
		4	-	5	-	2	1.4				1		0	1	8	25	36	23	5	0	9,434
		3	-	4	-	4	Out								13	19	50	19			16
8	.5	4	-	6	-	1	0.2				0			0	1	9	31	40	18	1	76,495
		3	-	5	-	3	Out								1	9	33	37	19	1	504
		2	-	4	-	5	Out											100			2
8		4	-	7	-	0	0.0				0			0	0	2	15	40	38	4	268,988
		3	-	6	-	2	Out								0	2	14	40	40	4	6,266
		2	-	5	-	4	Out									6	24	29	41		17
7	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out								0	0	4	26	56	14	44,054
		2	-	6	-	3	Out										4	26	56	15	268
7		3	-	8	-	0	Out								0	0	1	14	62	23	134,366
		2	-	7	-	2	Out										1	13	64	23	2,682
		1	-	6	-	4	Out											25	50	25	4
6	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out										0	4	53	43	16,394
		1	-	7	-	3	Out											6	43	51	68
6		2	-	9	-	0	Out										0	1	48	50	44,611
		1	-	8	-	2	Out											1	43	55	672
5	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out											0	29	70	3,649
		0	-	8	-	3	Out												45	55	11
5		1	-	10	-	0	Out											0	26	74	8,813
		0	-	9	-	2	Out												23	77	70
4	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out												11	89	365
4		0	-	11	-	0	Out												11	89	1,043

Total:							25.9	%	2	5	17	2	4	7	9	11	12	13	14	4	2,080,320

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

15		11	-	0	-	0	57	36	6	1
14	.5	10	-	0	-	1	12	36	38	11	3
14		10	-	1	-	0	15	38	31	13	3	0	0
		9	-	0	-	2	1	9	33	28	19	7	1
13	.5	9	-	1	-	1	1	8	22	31	23	12	3	0
		8	-	0	-	3					29	29	43
13		9	-	2	-	0	1	8	21	31	25	11	3	0	0	0
		8	-	1	-	2		0	1	8	19	31	27	14
12	.5	8	-	2	-	1	0	0	2	7	19	31	29	12	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3					3	8	26	64
12		8	-	3	-	0	0	0	1	6	17	29	29	13	3	1	0	0
		7	-	2	-	2				0	1	8	30	58	0	1	1	1	0
		6	-	1	-	4								100
11	.5	7	-	3	-	1			0	0	1	7	25	54	2	4	4	2	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3						0	5	82		1	2	1	5	2
11		7	-	4	-	0			0	0	1	5	18	41	6	12	11	5	2	0	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2						0	4	63	0	1	4	8	9	6	3	1	0
		5	-	2	-	4								44						22	33
10	.5	6	-	4	-	1					0	0	2	38	0	2	8	14	16	12	5	2	0	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3							0	42			0	1	4	12	16	13	8	3	0		0
10		6	-	5	-	0					0	0	1	18	0	3	10	18	22	17	9	3	0	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2							0	19			0	2	5	14	20	20	13	5	1	0	0
		4	-	3	-	4								22							6	11	17	22	17			6
9	.5	5	-	5	-	1							0	7		0	0	2	6	14	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
		4	-	4	-	3								6					0	0	4	10	18	27	19	11	4	0	0
9		5	-	6	-	0							0	2	0	0	0	1	5	14	23	25	19	9	3	0	0	0
		4	-	5	-	2								1					0	0	3	9	20	27	23	12	4	1	0
		3	-	4	-	4																	6	6	13	25	19	31
8	.5	4	-	6	-	1								0				0	0	0	2	8	19	28	24	13	4	1	0	0
		3	-	5	-	3																	1	6	19	30	29	11	4	0
		2	-	4	-	5																					50	50
8		4	-	7	-	0								0				0	0	0	2	7	17	27	26	15	5	1	0	0
		3	-	6	-	2																0	1	6	18	31	27	14	3	0
		2	-	5	-	4																			6		29	35	24	6
7	.5	3	-	7	-	1															0	0	1	5	17	30	28	15	3	0
		2	-	6	-	3																		0	1	7	23	34	28	5
7		3	-	8	-	0															0	0	1	4	16	29	30	16	4	0
		2	-	7	-	2																		0	1	7	24	36	26	6
		1	-	6	-	4																						50	25	25
6	.5	2	-	8	-	1																		0	1	7	22	36	27	7
		1	-	7	-	3																					6	24	38	32
6		2	-	9	-	0																		0	1	6	22	37	27	7
		1	-	8	-	2																				0	4	18	40	38
5	.5	1	-	9	-	1																				0	3	18	43	35
		0	-	8	-	3																								100
5		1	-	10	-	0																				0	3	18	44	35
		0	-	9	-	2																						1	31	67
4	.5	0	-	10	-	1																						2	25	72
4		0	-	11	-	0																					0	2	24	73

Total:							0	0	1	1	2	3	5	13	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	3	1	1