Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Dodgers 79-108, playoff odds down 12.1 to 53.9%

6-3-0 .667

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

17		11	-	0	-	0	In		99	1											1,008
16	.5	10	-	0	-	1	In		98	2											397
16		10	-	1	-	0	In		94	6	0	0									8,888
		9	-	0	-	2	In		93	7											71
15	.5	9	-	1	-	1	In		87	13	0	0									3,634
		8	-	0	-	3	In		100												8
15		9	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	76	23	1	1	0								44,645
		8	-	1	-	2	In		75	22	2	1									664
		7	-	0	-	4	In		50	50											2
14	.5	8	-	2	-	1	100.0		60	36	3	1	0								16,473
		7	-	1	-	3	In		54	40	2	4									82
14		8	-	3	-	0	99.7		42	47	6	5	0								134,183
		7	-	2	-	2	99.9		45	45	6	3	0								2,605
		6	-	1	-	4	In		13	63	13	13									8
13	.5	7	-	3	-	1	99.2		23	53	16	7	1								43,798
		6	-	2	-	3	98.9		25	52	15	7	1								273
13		7	-	4	-	0	95.5		12	49	21	14	4	0	0						268,565
		6	-	3	-	2	95.9		12	50	22	12	4								6,245
		5	-	2	-	4	In		8	62	15	15									13
12	.5	6	-	4	-	1	91.0		3	33	38	16	9	0	0						76,440
		5	-	3	-	3	89.9		5	33	37	15	10								525	*
12		6	-	5	-	0	75.5		1	21	35	18	23	2	0	0					376,449
		5	-	4	-	2	76.7		1	22	37	18	22	2	0						9,447
		4	-	3	-	4	72.0			8	40	24	28								25
11	.5	5	-	5	-	1	61.1		0	7	40	14	31	7	0	0					92,160
		4	-	4	-	3	59.7			5	38	17	32	8	0						608
11		5	-	6	-	0	37.0		0	3	26	9	42	18	3	0	0				375,036
		4	-	5	-	2	37.8		0	3	26	8	42	18	2	0					9,445
		3	-	4	-	4	50.0			3	37	10	33	17							30
10	.5	4	-	6	-	1	22.1			0	19	3	31	36	11	1	0				76,916
		3	-	5	-	3	20.7				18	3	31	37	11	1					522
10		4	-	7	-	0	8.4			0	7	1	20	39	25	7	1	0			267,943
		3	-	6	-	2	8.3			0	7	1	20	40	26	5	1				6,355
		2	-	5	-	4	7.7				8		31	31	23	8					13
9	.5	3	-	7	-	1	3.2				3	0	5	28	40	20	3	0	0		43,891
		2	-	6	-	3	3.7				3	0	3	31	37	22	3				267
9		3	-	8	-	0	0.6				1	0	2	13	32	34	16	3	0	0	134,094
		2	-	7	-	2	0.4				0		1	12	35	34	15	2	0		2,732
		1	-	6	-	4	Out						14		43	43					7
8	.5	2	-	8	-	1	0.1				0		0	2	16	37	32	11	1	0	16,446
		1	-	7	-	3	Out							3	17	41	29	8	1		75
8		2	-	9	-	0	0.0				0		0	0	5	20	36	29	8	1	44,710
		1	-	8	-	2	Out							0	4	17	38	32	8	1	650	*
7	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out							0	1	7	26	41	22	3	3,514
		0	-	8	-	3	Out									7	14	64	14		14
7		1	-	10	-	0	Out								0	1	10	36	42	11	9,043
		0	-	9	-	2	Out									2	9	32	45	12	65
6	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out									0	3	21	49	27	366
6		0	-	11	-	0	Out										1	9	49	41	970

Total:							53.9	%	8	18	20	9	18	12	7	4	2	1	0	0	2,080,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

17		11	-	0	-	0	98	2
16	.5	10	-	0	-	1	90	9	1
16		10	-	1	-	0	90	10	0	0
		9	-	0	-	2	70	24	6
15	.5	9	-	1	-	1	64	31	5	0	0
		8	-	0	-	3	50	38	13
15		9	-	2	-	0	62	32	5	0	0				0
		8	-	1	-	2	25	40	27	6	2
		7	-	0	-	4			50	50
14	.5	8	-	2	-	1	26	41	25	7	1	0	0		0
		7	-	1	-	3	1	28	21	30	12	6	1
14		8	-	3	-	0	24	41	26	8	1	0	0		0
		7	-	2	-	2	4	18	30	29	15	3	0		0
		6	-	1	-	4				13	38	13	38
13	.5	7	-	3	-	1	3	16	30	29	15	5	1	0	1	0
		6	-	2	-	3	0	2	7	22	27	22	16	1	1
13		7	-	4	-	0	3	15	28	28	16	5	1	0	4	0
		6	-	3	-	2	0	1	7	16	29	28	13	2	4	0	0
		5	-	2	-	4			8		23	8	54	8
12	.5	6	-	4	-	1	0	1	6	16	27	26	13	2	8	1	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3				1	5	23	38	23	5	3	2
12		6	-	5	-	0	0	1	5	13	22	22	11	1	21	4	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2			0	1	5	18	34	19	9	9	4	1	0	0
		4	-	3	-	4						4	28	40			12	8	4	4
11	.5	5	-	5	-	1		0	0	1	4	14	28	15	15	15	7	2	0	0
		4	-	4	-	3						1	14	45	1	6	10	14	6	3	1
11		5	-	6	-	0		0	0	0	2	8	17	9	23	24	12	3	1	0	0
		4	-	5	-	2					0	0	9	28	2	9	17	18	11	4	1	0	0
		3	-	4	-	4							3	47					10	13	17	10
10	.5	4	-	6	-	1					0	0	5	17	2	11	21	22	14	6	2	0	0	0
		3	-	5	-	3							0	20			1	6	11	25	22	8	4	1	0
10		4	-	7	-	0					0	0	2	6	2	12	24	26	17	7	2	0	0	0
		3	-	6	-	2							0	8		0	1	5	15	24	24	15	6	2	0	0
		2	-	5	-	4								8							8	8	31	31	8	8
9	.5	3	-	7	-	1							0	3	0	0	1	5	15	25	25	16	7	2	0	0
		2	-	6	-	3								4						1	6	16	30	22	17	4	0
9		3	-	8	-	0							0	1	0	0	1	5	14	24	26	18	8	2	0	0	0
		2	-	7	-	2								0				0	0	1	5	15	26	28	16	6	1	0
		1	-	6	-	4																			14	43	43
8	.5	2	-	8	-	1								0				0	0	1	4	14	25	27	19	8	2	0	0
		1	-	7	-	3																	3	3	29	27	24	11	3	1
8		2	-	9	-	0								0					0	1	4	12	24	28	20	9	2	0	0
		1	-	8	-	2																	1	5	19	32	28	12	3	0
7	.5	1	-	9	-	1															0	0	1	6	16	30	30	13	3	0
		0	-	8	-	3																					29	43	29
7		1	-	10	-	0															0	0	1	4	15	29	31	15	4	1
		0	-	9	-	2																			2	3	20	38	31	6
6	.5	0	-	10	-	1																		0	1	5	17	37	31	10
6		0	-	11	-	0																				3	15	33	36	13

Total:							4	6	7	8	8	8	8	5	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0