Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Lost to Phillies 79-80, playoff odds down 0.5 to 0.4%

1-8-0 .111

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

12		11	-	0	-	0	89.3	%	2	21	48	18	10	1							996
11	.5	10	-	0	-	1	63.7		1	7	36	20	27	9	1						388
11		10	-	1	-	0	41.9		0	2	26	13	31	22	4	0	0				8,984
		9	-	0	-	2	44.8			1	30	14	31	21	3						105
10	.5	9	-	1	-	1	13.1			0	9	4	28	41	17	2	0				3,706
		8	-	0	-	3	23.1				23		15	46	8	8					13
10		9	-	2	-	0	5.3			0	4	1	11	36	34	12	2	0	0		44,731
		8	-	1	-	2	4.7				4	0	11	37	34	12	1	0			687
9	.5	8	-	2	-	1	0.6				1	0	2	18	41	29	8	1	0		16,376
		7	-	1	-	3	Out						3	21	42	26	8				76
9		8	-	3	-	0	0.1				0	0	0	5	25	38	24	6	1	0	133,921
		7	-	2	-	2	0.0				0		0	5	26	37	24	7	0	0	2,636
		6	-	1	-	4	Out									100					4
8	.5	7	-	3	-	1	Out						0	1	9	31	38	18	3	0	43,895
		6	-	2	-	3	Out								8	31	41	18	1		251
8		7	-	4	-	0	0.0				0		0	0	2	15	34	33	13	2	269,834
		6	-	3	-	2	Out							0	3	14	34	33	13	2	6,379
		5	-	2	-	4	Out									29	41	24	6		17
7	.5	6	-	4	-	1	Out							0	0	4	23	41	26	5	76,790
		5	-	3	-	3	Out								0	3	24	38	29	5	511
		4	-	2	-	5	Out										100				2
7		6	-	5	-	0	Out							0	0	1	9	31	41	18	375,853
		5	-	4	-	2	Out								0	1	9	31	42	17	9,583
		4	-	3	-	4	Out										7	21	62	10	29
6	.5	5	-	5	-	1	Out								0	0	3	20	46	31	91,885
		4	-	4	-	3	Out										3	23	43	31	641
6		5	-	6	-	0	Out									0	1	8	38	53	375,425
		4	-	5	-	2	Out										1	8	37	55	9,342
		3	-	4	-	4	Out											9	36	55	33
5	.5	4	-	6	-	1	Out										0	3	28	68	76,123
		3	-	5	-	3	Out											1	29	70	518
5		4	-	7	-	0	Out										0	1	15	84	268,119
		3	-	6	-	2	Out											1	15	84	6,311
		2	-	5	-	4	Out												7	93	15
4	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out											0	9	91	43,684
		2	-	6	-	3	Out												9	91	250
		1	-	5	-	5	Out													100	1
4		3	-	8	-	0	Out											0	3	97	133,309
		2	-	7	-	2	Out												3	97	2,736
		1	-	6	-	4	Out													100	6
3	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out											0	1	99	16,427
		1	-	7	-	3	Out												2	98	54
3		2	-	9	-	0	Out												0	100	44,694
		1	-	8	-	2	Out													100	682
		0	-	7	-	4	Out													100	1
2	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out												0	100	3,677
		0	-	8	-	3	Out													100	15
2		1	-	10	-	0	Out												0	100	9,114
		0	-	9	-	2	Out													100	79
1	-1.5						Out													100	1,412	*

Total:							0.4	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	10	15	23	40	2,080,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

12		11	-	0	-	0		1	3	8	20	27	24	7	8	3	0
11	.5	10	-	0	-	1						4	24	36	3	8	14	7	4
11		10	-	1	-	0					0	2	15	25	5	15	20	13	5	1	0	0	0
		9	-	0	-	2							3	42			1	7	21	15	10	1	1
10	.5	9	-	1	-	1							1	12		0	3	10	22	25	17	8	1	0	0
		8	-	0	-	3								23							8	15	15	15	15	8
10		9	-	2	-	0						0	0	5	0	0	3	10	22	27	20	9	2	0	0
		8	-	1	-	2								5					1	3	11	20	27	22	8	2	1
9	.5	8	-	2	-	1								1			0	0	1	3	10	21	28	23	12	3	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3																	7	12	29	32	18	3
9		8	-	3	-	0							0	0			0	0	0	2	9	20	28	24	13	4	1	0
		7	-	2	-	2								0							0	1	4	13	26	29	19	7	1	0
		6	-	1	-	4																				50	50
8	.5	7	-	3	-	1													0	0	0	1	4	12	25	30	20	7	1	0
		6	-	2	-	3																		1	3	12	31	33	18	3
8		7	-	4	-	0								0					0	0	0	1	3	11	24	30	21	8	1	0
		6	-	3	-	2																	0	0	3	12	28	34	19	4
		5	-	2	-	4																						41	29	29
7	.5	6	-	4	-	1																	0	0	3	11	28	34	20	4
		5	-	3	-	3																				0	6	28	42	23
		4	-	2	-	5																							100
7		6	-	5	-	0																0	0	0	2	11	26	34	21	5
		5	-	4	-	2																			0	1	6	25	42	26
		4	-	3	-	4																							41	59
6	.5	5	-	5	-	1																			0	1	6	23	43	28
		4	-	4	-	3																				0	1	6	32	61
6		5	-	6	-	0																		0	0	1	5	22	42	30
		4	-	5	-	2																					0	5	32	63
		3	-	4	-	4																							9	91
5	.5	4	-	6	-	1																				0	0	5	31	64
		3	-	5	-	3																						0	14	86
5		4	-	7	-	0																				0	0	5	29	66
		3	-	6	-	2																						0	12	87
		2	-	5	-	4																								100
4	.5	3	-	7	-	1																					0	0	11	89
		2	-	6	-	3																							2	98
		1	-	5	-	5																								100
4		3	-	8	-	0																					0	0	10	90
		2	-	7	-	2																							3	97
		1	-	6	-	4																								100
3	.5	2	-	8	-	1																						0	2	98
		1	-	7	-	3																								100
3		2	-	9	-	0																						0	2	98
		1	-	8	-	2																								100
		0	-	7	-	4																								100
2	.5	1	-	9	-	1																							0	100
		0	-	8	-	3																								100
2		1	-	10	-	0																							0	100
		0	-	9	-	2																								100
1	-1.5																													100

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	10	15	21	30