Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Diamondbacks 125-101, playoff odds up 0.7 to 1.7%

2-7-0 .222

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

13		11	-	0	-	0	98.5	%	9	65	21	4	1								1,016
12	.5	10	-	0	-	1	93.0		3	39	40	11	7								355
12		10	-	1	-	0	78.3		0	26	40	11	19	3	0						8,944
		9	-	0	-	2	69.0			20	42	7	25	6							71
11	.5	9	-	1	-	1	56.5		0	8	36	12	31	11	1	0					3,620
		8	-	0	-	3	50.0			25	25		50								4
11		9	-	2	-	0	32.4		0	3	25	5	31	28	8	1	0				45,055
		8	-	1	-	2	30.7			3	23	5	34	28	7	1					693
10	.5	8	-	2	-	1	13.6			0	11	2	23	39	21	3	0				16,288
		7	-	1	-	3	13.2				13		26	38	19	3					68
10		8	-	3	-	0	5.5			0	5	0	8	31	37	16	2	0			134,471
		7	-	2	-	2	4.7				4	0	8	31	39	15	2				2,681
		6	-	1	-	4	12.5				13		13	38	25	13					8
9	.5	7	-	3	-	1	1.1			0	1	0	2	16	41	32	8	1	0		43,553
		6	-	2	-	3	1.2				1		1	16	45	29	8				251
9		7	-	4	-	0	0.2				0	0	0	4	23	40	26	5	0	0	267,974
		6	-	3	-	2	0.1				0		0	4	23	41	25	5	0		6,403
		5	-	2	-	4	Out							9	18	64		9			11
8	.5	6	-	4	-	1	0.0				0		0	1	9	34	39	15	2	0	76,465
		5	-	3	-	3	Out							1	8	31	42	15	2		490	*
8		6	-	5	-	0	0.0				0		0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1	375,544
		5	-	4	-	2	Out							0	2	16	40	31	9	1	9,310
		4	-	3	-	4	Out									35	27	27	12		26
7	.5	5	-	5	-	1	Out							0	0	6	28	42	21	3	91,671
		4	-	4	-	3	Out								0	5	27	45	18	4	629
7		5	-	6	-	0	Out								0	1	13	38	36	11	376,041
		4	-	5	-	2	Out								0	2	14	38	36	11	9,230
		3	-	4	-	4	Out										17	46	29	8	24
6	.5	4	-	6	-	1	Out								0	0	4	26	45	24	76,853
		3	-	5	-	3	Out									0	5	28	45	23	520	*
6		4	-	7	-	0	Out									0	1	14	43	41	268,623
		3	-	6	-	2	Out									0	1	14	42	43	6,421
		2	-	5	-	4	Out											21	32	47	19
5	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out										0	5	34	61	43,445
		2	-	6	-	3	Out										0	6	31	63	252
5		3	-	8	-	0	Out										0	2	23	75	134,943
		2	-	7	-	2	Out										0	2	23	75	2,671
		1	-	6	-	4	Out											17	17	67	6
4	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out											0	12	88	16,327
		1	-	7	-	3	Out											1	11	88	76
4		2	-	9	-	0	Out											0	7	93	44,477
		1	-	8	-	2	Out											0	5	95	655
		0	-	7	-	4	Out													100	2
3	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out												3	97	3,621
		0	-	8	-	3	Out													100	12
3		1	-	10	-	0	Out												1	99	8,985
		0	-	9	-	2	Out													100	88
2	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out												0	100	378
2		0	-	11	-	0	Out												0	100	1,050

Total:							1.7	%	0	0	1	0	2	4	8	12	16	19	19	18	2,080,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

13		11	-	0	-	0	2	12	27	32	18	8	1		1
12	.5	10	-	0	-	1			3	6	17	34	27	6	5	2
12		10	-	1	-	0		0	1	5	16	27	24	6	15	6	1	0
		9	-	0	-	2						3	24	42	1	10	13	4	3
11	.5	9	-	1	-	1				0	0	3	21	33	4	13	14	9	3	0	0
		8	-	0	-	3								50					25			25
11		9	-	2	-	0				0	0	2	12	19	7	19	22	14	5	1	0	0
		8	-	1	-	2							3	28		1	3	11	19	18	11	5	2	0
10	.5	8	-	2	-	1						0	1	13	0	1	4	12	21	24	17	7	2	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3								13					1	4	16	24	26	7	6	1
10		8	-	3	-	0						0	0	5	0	1	4	11	22	26	19	8	2	0	0	0
		7	-	2	-	2							0	5				0	1	4	13	23	26	20	7	1	0	0
		6	-	1	-	4								13										25	38	25
9	.5	7	-	3	-	1							0	1			0	0	1	4	12	22	28	21	9	2	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3								1							0	2	6	19	31	30	9	2
9		7	-	4	-	0							0	0		0	0	0	1	4	11	22	28	22	10	2	0	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2								0						0	0	2	7	18	29	27	13	3	0
		5	-	2	-	4																			18	9	36	18	18
8	.5	6	-	4	-	1								0					0	0	0	1	6	17	29	27	14	4	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3																	0	1	6	24	30	24	13	2
8		6	-	5	-	0								0					0	0	0	1	6	16	28	28	15	4	1	0
		5	-	4	-	2																0	0	1	6	20	33	28	11	2
		4	-	3	-	4																				8	8	31	35	19
7	.5	5	-	5	-	1																0	0	1	6	19	33	28	11	2
		4	-	4	-	3																				3	16	34	35	11
7		5	-	6	-	0															0	0	0	1	5	18	32	29	13	2
		4	-	5	-	2																		0	0	2	13	32	36	16
		3	-	4	-	4																						21	29	50
6	.5	4	-	6	-	1																		0	0	2	12	32	38	17
		3	-	5	-	3																					2	15	43	41
6		4	-	7	-	0																	0	0	0	2	11	31	39	18
		3	-	6	-	2																				0	1	11	40	48
		2	-	5	-	4																							11	89
5	.5	3	-	7	-	1																				0	1	10	39	50
		2	-	6	-	3																						2	20	78
5		3	-	8	-	0																				0	1	9	38	51
		2	-	7	-	2																						1	21	78
		1	-	6	-	4																							17	83
4	.5	2	-	8	-	1																					0	1	18	80
		1	-	7	-	3																							8	92
4		2	-	9	-	0																					0	1	18	81
		1	-	8	-	2																							4	96
		0	-	7	-	4																								100
3	.5	1	-	9	-	1																						0	5	95
		0	-	8	-	3																								100
3		1	-	10	-	0																						0	4	96
		0	-	9	-	2																							1	99
2	.5	0	-	10	-	1																								100
2		0	-	11	-	0																							1	99

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	6	7	9	11	13	14	14	11