Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Beat Tigers 138-98, playoff odds up 2.4 to 12.8%

4-5-0 .444

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

15		11	-	0	-	0	In		90	10											1,032
14	.5	10	-	0	-	1	In		88	11		1									342
14		10	-	1	-	0	100.0	%	69	27	0	4	0								8,860
		9	-	0	-	2	In		71	28		2									65
13	.5	9	-	1	-	1	99.9		57	33	0	9	0								3,694
		8	-	0	-	3	In		67	33											9
13		9	-	2	-	0	98.4		32	43	2	21	2	0							44,705
		8	-	1	-	2	99.0		33	48	2	16	1								706
		7	-	0	-	4	In		50	50											2
12	.5	8	-	2	-	1	94.3		18	40	5	32	6	0							16,445
		7	-	1	-	3	94.3		13	36	6	40	6								70
12		8	-	3	-	0	75.8		5	27	6	38	21	3	0	0					133,908
		7	-	2	-	2	78.6		5	28	7	39	19	3	0						2,625
		6	-	1	-	4	In		17	17		67									6
11	.5	7	-	3	-	1	53.2		1	12	8	33	36	10	1	0					43,580
		6	-	2	-	3	54.0		1	12	8	34	35	10	2						252
11		7	-	4	-	0	21.5		0	3	4	15	38	30	9	1	0				268,430
		6	-	3	-	2	21.9		0	3	4	14	39	30	8	1	0				6,234
		5	-	2	-	4	25.0					25	13	50	13						8
10	.5	6	-	4	-	1	5.4			0	2	4	23	41	25	5	0	0			76,772
		5	-	3	-	3	5.3			0	1	4	21	43	23	7	1				508
		4	-	2	-	5	Out								50	50					2
10		6	-	5	-	0	0.7			0	0	1	7	26	37	23	6	1	0		375,573
		5	-	4	-	2	0.7				0	0	7	27	38	22	5	0	0		9,436
		4	-	3	-	4	Out						6	35	42	10	6				31
9	.5	5	-	5	-	1	0.0				0	0	1	7	27	39	22	5	0	0	92,012
		4	-	4	-	3	0.2				0		1	7	27	38	22	3	0		660	*
9		5	-	6	-	0	0.0					0	0	2	11	31	36	18	3	0	376,193
		4	-	5	-	2	Out						0	1	11	31	36	17	3	0	9,440
		3	-	4	-	4	Out							4	8	24	24	32	8		25
8	.5	4	-	6	-	1	Out							0	1	11	34	39	14	1	76,176
		3	-	5	-	3	Out								1	10	35	38	15	1	550
8		4	-	7	-	0	Out							0	0	4	20	42	28	6	268,433
		3	-	6	-	2	Out								0	3	19	42	30	6	6,243
		2	-	5	-	4	Out										42	25	25	8	12
7	.5	3	-	7	-	1	Out									0	5	31	49	15	43,892
		2	-	6	-	3	Out										3	37	47	14	293
7		3	-	8	-	0	Out								0	0	2	19	48	31	134,458
		2	-	7	-	2	Out										2	19	49	31	2,571
		1	-	6	-	4	Out											17	33	50	6
6	.5	2	-	8	-	1	Out										0	7	45	49	16,311
		1	-	7	-	3	Out											10	40	51	81
6		2	-	9	-	0	Out										0	3	31	66	44,748
		1	-	8	-	2	Out											3	33	64	655	*
5	.5	1	-	9	-	1	Out											1	21	79	3,764
		0	-	8	-	3	Out												22	78	9
5		1	-	10	-	0	Out											0	10	89	8,985
		0	-	9	-	2	Out												10	90	89
4	.5	0	-	10	-	1	Out												7	93	388
4		0	-	11	-	0	Out												1	99	1,031

Total:							12.8	%	2	4	1	6	9	11	12	13	13	13	10	6	2,080,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

15		11	-	0	-	0	59	36	5	0
14	.5	10	-	0	-	1	22	42	27	8	1
14		10	-	1	-	0	17	40	30	10	2	0			0
		9	-	0	-	2		11	34	35	15	5
13	.5	9	-	1	-	1	1	10	28	33	20	7	1		0
		8	-	0	-	3			11		33	33	22
13		9	-	2	-	0	1	9	25	32	22	8	1	0	2	0	0
		8	-	1	-	2		0	2	11	29	33	19	5	0	1	0
		7	-	0	-	4						50	50
12	.5	8	-	2	-	1		0	2	9	23	33	22	4	4	2	0	0
		7	-	1	-	3					6	14	31	43	3	1		1
12		8	-	3	-	0	0	0	2	7	18	27	19	4	17	6	1	0	0
		7	-	2	-	2		0	0	0	2	12	35	29	3	8	7	3	1	0
		6	-	1	-	4							17	83
11	.5	7	-	3	-	1			0	0	1	7	23	21	8	16	14	7	2	0	0	0
		6	-	2	-	3							9	45	1	1	7	13	12	7	4	0	0
11		7	-	4	-	0		0	0	0	0	3	9	9	12	26	24	12	3	0	0	0
		6	-	3	-	2						0	3	19	0	3	11	20	22	15	6	1	0	0
		5	-	2	-	4								25						25	25	13		13
10	.5	6	-	4	-	1						0	1	5	0	4	12	22	26	19	8	2	0	0
		5	-	3	-	3								5			1	2	7	15	22	24	14	7	2		0
		4	-	2	-	5																	50		50
10		6	-	5	-	0						0	0	1	0	3	11	22	27	21	10	3	1	0	0	0
		5	-	4	-	2								1		0	0	2	6	15	24	25	18	8	2	0	0
		4	-	3	-	4																6	29	39	6	10	10
9	.5	5	-	5	-	1								0	0	0	0	1	6	14	24	26	18	8	2	0	0	0
		4	-	4	-	3								0						0	2	9	17	29	26	11	3	1
9		5	-	6	-	0								0	0	0	0	1	5	14	24	27	19	8	2	0	0	0
		4	-	5	-	2													0	0	2	8	21	28	24	12	3	0	0
		3	-	4	-	4																4		12	20	24	36	4
8	.5	4	-	6	-	1											0	0	0	0	2	8	19	28	25	13	4	1	0
		3	-	5	-	3																	1	6	17	36	25	12	3
8		4	-	7	-	0													0	0	2	8	19	28	25	13	4	1	0	0
		3	-	6	-	2																0	1	6	17	30	28	14	3	0
		2	-	5	-	4																				17	25	33	17	8
7	.5	3	-	7	-	1															0	0	1	6	18	30	28	14	3	0
		2	-	6	-	3																			2	10	23	35	23	8
7		3	-	8	-	0															0	0	1	5	17	30	28	14	4	0
		2	-	7	-	2																		0	1	8	23	37	24	7
		1	-	6	-	4																						17	33	50
6	.5	2	-	8	-	1																		0	1	7	22	36	27	7
		1	-	7	-	3																					1	17	47	35
6		2	-	9	-	0																	0	0	1	7	22	36	27	7
		1	-	8	-	2																				0	5	18	40	37
5	.5	1	-	9	-	1																				0	3	17	43	36
		0	-	8	-	3																						11	11	78
5		1	-	10	-	0																				0	3	17	42	37
		0	-	9	-	2																					1	4	24	71
4	.5	0	-	10	-	1																					0	2	26	72
4		0	-	11	-	0																					0	2	21	78

Total:							0	0	1	1	2	3	3	2	3	5	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	1	1