Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2018 50/50Beat Mets 123-98, playoff odds up 13.1 to 77.3% 7-2-0 .778 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Twins 123 Mets 98 | +8.0 | | +0.5 | | Royals 72 Nationals 210 | +3.1 | | +0.1 | | Tigers 98 Braves 138 | +1.9 | | +0.1 | | Cubs 172 Blue Jays 205 | -0.9 | | | | Pirates 126 Red Sox 105 | +0.8 | | | | Rockies 132 Angels 252 | -0.5 | | | | Dodgers 108 Astros 79 | +0.3 | | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Twins vs Royals | +11.3+2.2-11.4 | | +0.6+0.1-0.6 | | Tigers vs Indians | -1.6+0.6+1.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Red Sox vs Yankees | -0.8*+0.3+0.8 | | | | Blue Jays vs Rays | -0.5*-0.2+0.5 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,019 | | 17 | .5 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 347 | | 17 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 9,138 | | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 74 | | 16 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 3,666 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 16 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 44,648 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 93 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | 692 | * | 15 | .5 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 87 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 16,345 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | 78 | | 15 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 74 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 133,705 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 75 | 25 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 2,617 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 14 | .5 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 61 | 36 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 44,056 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 65 | 34 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 264 | | 14 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.9 | | 40 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 268,270 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 40 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 6,289 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 60 | 30 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 26 | 58 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 76,723 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | 24 | 60 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | 513 | | 13 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 98.3 | | 11 | 52 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 376,486 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 98.2 | | 10 | 52 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 9,322 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 15 | 45 | 30 | 9 | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 95.2 | | 4 | 43 | 40 | 9 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 91,414 | * | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 94.7 | | 5 | 40 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 605 | | 12 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 84.0 | | 1 | 22 | 51 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 376,303 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 84.6 | | 1 | 23 | 51 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 9,439 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | | 36 | 60 | 4 | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 69.5 | | 0 | 11 | 48 | 10 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 76,078 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 71.3 | | 0 | 12 | 49 | 9 | 22 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | 522 | | 11 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 46.3 | | 0 | 3 | 38 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 268,297 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 45.9 | | | 3 | 38 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 6,319 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 47.4 | | | | 37 | 11 | 32 | 21 | | | | | | | 19 | | 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 25.8 | | | 1 | 23 | 2 | 24 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | 43,911 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 21.6 | | | 1 | 19 | 1 | 27 | 39 | 11 | 1 | | | | | 236 | * | 10 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 11.8 | | | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 134,093 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 10.8 | | | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 2,665 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | 3 | | 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 3.5 | | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 44 | 21 | 3 | 0 | | | 16,395 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 2.7 | | | | 3 | | 3 | 18 | 43 | 24 | 8 | 1 | | | 74 | | 9 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0.8 | | | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | 44,767 | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 1.1 | | | | 1 | | 0 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 13 | 3 | | | 661 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | 75 | 25 | | | | | 4 | | 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3,660 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | 6 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 9,055 | | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | 7 | 32 | 29 | 29 | 4 | | 76 | | 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 3 | 363 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 35 | 38 | 9 | 1,017 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 77.3 | % | 18 | 28 | 27 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,080,320 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 6/3 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Twins 123 Mets 98 | -1.1 | | Royals 72 Nationals 210 | -0.1 | | Tigers 98 Braves 138 | -0.1 | | Cubs 172 Blue Jays 205 | +0.1 | | Dodgers 108 Astros 79 | -0.0 | | Reds 166 Rays 123 | +0.0 | | Rockies 132 Angels 252 | +0.0 | | Pirates 126 Red Sox 105 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Twins vs Royals | -1.1+0.6+1.1 | | Red Sox vs Yankees | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Pirates vs Brewers | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Blue Jays vs Rays | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Tigers vs Indians | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Mets vs Nationals | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Angels vs Astros | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Braves vs Phillies | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Cubs vs Reds | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | .5 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 92 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 73 | 18 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 71 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 22 | 50 | 18 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 68 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 34 | 43 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 14 | 57 | 14 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 33 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 32 | 43 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | 10 | 30 | 30 | 20 | | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | 9 | 27 | 42 | 21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | 2 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 40 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | | | | | | 1 | 19 | 52 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 9 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 5 | 42 | | | 5 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5 | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | | | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 10 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 3 | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 26 | 20 | 3 | | | | | 9 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 26 | 18 | 5 | 1 | | | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | 25 | | | | | 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 17 | 17 | 17 | | | 8 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 24 | 9 | 1 | | 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 25 | 15 | 2 | | 7 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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