Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2018 50/50Beat Indians 80-79, playoff odds up 7.1 to 52.1% 6-3-0 .667 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Indians 79 Phillies 80 | +9.2 | | +0.7 | | Twins 123 Mets 98 | +2.2 | | +0.1 | | Royals 72 Nationals 210 | -2.1 | | -0.1 | | Reds 166 Rays 123 | -1.2 | | -0.1 | | Pirates 126 Red Sox 105 | -0.9 | | -0.1 | | Cubs 172 Blue Jays 205 | +0.8 | | +0.1 | | Tigers 98 Braves 138 | -0.7 | | -0.1 | | Rockies 132 Angels 252 | +0.3 | | +0.0 | | Diamondbacks 101 Mariners 125 | +0.3 | | | | Dodgers 108 Astros 79 | -0.3 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Braves vs Phillies | -11.3+0.9+11.3 | | -0.7+0.1+0.7 | | Pirates vs Brewers | -1.2*-0.1+1.2 | | | | Cubs vs Reds | +1.0*+0.1-1.0 | | | | Mets vs Nationals | | | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,068 | | 16 | .5 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 352 | | 16 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 8,896 | | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | | 15 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 97 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | 3,587 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 15 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 5 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 44,826 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 657 | | 14 | .5 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 87 | 12 | 0 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 16,460 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 92 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 14 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 77 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | 134,536 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 79 | 16 | 0 | 5 | | | | | | | | | 2,749 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 13 | .5 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 58 | 31 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 43,690 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 59 | 29 | 0 | 11 | | | | | | | | | 263 | | 13 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 98.4 | | 39 | 33 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 268,742 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.0 | | 42 | 35 | 2 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | 6,268 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 27 | 27 | | 45 | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 12 | .5 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 94.9 | | 19 | 40 | 5 | 31 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 76,484 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 94.7 | | 20 | 37 | 7 | 31 | 5 | | | | | | | | 511 | | 12 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 80.5 | | 7 | 24 | 9 | 41 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 377,676 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 82.8 | | 7 | 26 | 9 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 9,441 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 83.9 | | 6 | 26 | 13 | 39 | 16 | | | | | | | | 31 | | 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 59.1 | | 1 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 91,265 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 57.8 | | 1 | 13 | 10 | 34 | 35 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | 685 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 11 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 27.7 | | 0 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 374,828 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 29.0 | | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | | | | | 9,327 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 32.0 | | | 4 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 4 | | | | | | 25 | | 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 8.0 | | | 0 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 76,461 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 6.6 | | | 0 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | 517 | | 10 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 1.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 268,692 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 1.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6,234 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 5.0 | | | | 5 | | 5 | 15 | 40 | 20 | 15 | | | | 20 | | 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | 43,653 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | 1 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | 252 | | 9 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 133,173 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2,671 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | 40 | 40 | 20 | | | 5 | | 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 16,436 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | 5 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 78 | | 8 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 32 | 3 | 44,855 | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | 3 | 16 | 47 | 30 | 5 | 663 | | 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 30 | 53 | 13 | 3,616 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 60 | 20 | 5 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 59 | 20 | 8,921 | | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 25 | 61 | 13 | 69 | | 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 51 | 42 | 356 | | 6 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 48 | 49 | 1,105 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 52.1 | % | 17 | 13 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2,080,320 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 6/3 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Indians 79 Phillies 80 | -1.3 | | Twins 123 Mets 98 | -0.1 | | Reds 166 Rays 123 | +0.1 | | Royals 72 Nationals 210 | +0.1 | | Pirates 126 Red Sox 105 | +0.0 | | Cubs 172 Blue Jays 205 | -0.0 | | Brewers 85 Yankees 180 | *+0.0 | | Giants 116 Rangers 56 | *+0.0 | | Tigers 98 Braves 138 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 6/10 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Braves vs Phillies | +1.3+0.8-1.3 | | Pirates vs Brewers | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Cubs vs Reds | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Mets vs Nationals | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Blue Jays vs Rays | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Twins vs Royals | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Tigers vs Indians | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | | Angels vs Astros | *-0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | .5 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 81 | 18 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 85 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 62 | 32 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | .5 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 57 | 36 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 50 | 33 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 57 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 21 | 42 | 27 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 30 | 14 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 21 | 41 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 3 | 17 | 32 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | | | 17 | | 17 | 50 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | | | 6 | 21 | 30 | 29 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 28 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | | | | 5 | 5 | 18 | 50 | 23 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | | | | 1 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 23 | 61 | | 6 | 3 | 3 | | | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 32 | | | 4 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 20 | 16 | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | | | 1 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 10 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 5 | | | | | | | | 20 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 10 | | | | 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | | | 9 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 40 | 20 | 20 | | | | 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 29 | 32 | 24 | 8 | | | 8 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | | 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 20 | 20 | 7 | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | 0 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 7 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 3 | 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 24 | 4 | 6 | | 0 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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