SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

DC United Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 60%

0 points 0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United vs Impact	+6.5-4.2-9.8		+0.8-0.5-1.2		+1.6-1.2-2.1		-1.7+1.0+2.7		+0.5-0.3-0.7
Union vs Rapids	-0.7+0.5+1.0		-0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.1				-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Crew	+0.5-0.0-1.1		+0.1+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Fire	+0.5-0.0-1.1		+0.1+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Red Bulls	+0.5-0.0-1.1		+0.1+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC	+0.5-0.0-1.1		+0.1+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Revolution	+0.5-0.0-1.1		+0.1*+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC	-0.2+0.4-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Real Salt Lake					-0.0+0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Earthquakes					-0.0+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/13	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Fire vs Whitecaps	-0.7+0.5+1.0		-0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.1				-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Union	+0.5-0.0-1.1		+0.1+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dynamo vs Orlando	+0.5-0.0-1.1		+0.1+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Crew vs Toronto FC	-0.2+0.4-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Revolution	-0.2+0.4-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1
Sounders vs Earthquakes					-0.0+0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Galaxy					-0.0+0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Sporting KC					-0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Spoon		Count

79	-102						In		100.0	%	100										No		833,152	*
78		24	-	6	-	4	In		99.9		100	0									No		20,974	*
77		24	-	5	-	5	In		100.0		100	0									No		39,163	*
76		23	-	7	-	4	In		99.9		100	0									No		71,742	*
75		23	-	6	-	5	In		99.9		100	0									No		126,654	*
74		23	-	5	-	6	In		99.9		100	0									No		220,937	*
73		22	-	7	-	5	In		99.8		100	0									No		375,046	*
72		22	-	6	-	6	In		99.8		100	0									No		624,144	*
71		21	-	8	-	5	In		99.6		100	0									No		1,018,178	*
70		21	-	7	-	6	In		99.4		100	0	0								No		1,624,932	*
69		21	-	6	-	7	In		99.0		100	0	0								No		2,545,307	*
68		20	-	8	-	6	In		98.4		99	1	0								No		3,900,722	*
67		20	-	7	-	7	In		97.4		99	1	0								No		5,858,673	*
66		20	-	6	-	8	In		95.9		98	2	0								No		8,644,829	*
65		19	-	8	-	7	In		93.7		98	2	0	0							No		12,482,731	*
64		19	-	7	-	8	In		90.5		96	4	0	0							No		17,684,117	*
63		18	-	9	-	7	In		86.0		94	6	0	0							No		24,569,756	*
62		18	-	8	-	8	In		79.9		91	8	0	0	0						No		33,486,162	*
61		18	-	7	-	9	In		72.0		88	12	0	0	0						No		44,802,993	*
60		17	-	9	-	8	In		62.3		82	17	1	0	0	0					No		58,768,968	*
59		17	-	8	-	9	In		51.0		76	22	2	0	0	0					No		75,667,148	*
58		17	-	7	-	10	In		38.8		67	29	4	0	0	0					No		95,567,413	*
57		16	-	9	-	9	100.0	%	26.8		58	35	6	0	0	0	0				No		118,511,579	*
56		16	-	8	-	10	100.0		16.4		47	41	11	1	0	0	0				No		144,186,592	*
55		15	-	10	-	9	100.0		8.5		36	44	17	3	0	0	0	0			No		172,182,965	*
54		15	-	9	-	10	100.0		3.6		25	44	24	6	1	0	0	0			No		201,746,291	*
53		15	-	8	-	11	100.0		1.1		16	40	32	11	2	0	0	0			No		232,021,597	*
52		14	-	10	-	10	100.0		0.3		9	32	37	18	4	0	0	0	0		No		261,841,005	*
51		14	-	9	-	11	99.9		0.0		5	23	37	26	9	1	0	0	0	0	No		289,970,716	*
50		14	-	8	-	12	99.6		0.0		2	14	32	33	16	4	0	0	0	0	No		315,133,668	*
49		13	-	10	-	11	98.5		0.0		1	7	23	35	24	8	1	0	0	0	No		336,028,135	*
48		13	-	9	-	12	95.6		0.0		0	3	14	31	32	16	4	0	0	0	No		351,584,372	*
47		13	-	8	-	13	89.0		No		0	1	7	22	34	25	9	2	0	0	No		360,827,496	*
46		12	-	10	-	12	77.4		No		0	0	3	13	29	32	18	5	0	0	No		363,360,703	*
45		12	-	9	-	13	61.0		No		0	0	1	6	21	33	27	10	2	0	No		358,808,490	*
44		12	-	8	-	14	42.6		No		0	0	0	2	12	28	34	19	5	0	0.0	%	347,475,372	*
43		11	-	10	-	13	25.9		No		0	0	0	1	5	20	34	28	10	1	0.0		330,002,770	*
42		11	-	9	-	14	13.6		No			0	0	0	2	11	29	35	18	3	0.0		307,266,562	*
41		10	-	11	-	13	6.2		No			0	0	0	1	5	21	37	28	7	0.1		280,379,866	*
40		10	-	10	-	14	2.4		No				0	0	0	2	13	34	37	13	0.6		250,745,481	*
39		10	-	9	-	15	0.8		No				0	0	0	1	7	27	43	22	2.4		219,706,572	*
38		9	-	11	-	14	0.2		No				0	0	0	0	3	19	45	32	6.5		188,545,791	*
37		9	-	10	-	15	0.1		No					0	0	0	1	12	42	44	13.7		158,489,735	*
36		9	-	9	-	16	0.0		No					0	0	0	1	7	37	55	24.1		130,389,852	*
35		8	-	11	-	15	0.0		No						0	0	0	4	30	66	36.5		104,984,124	*
34		8	-	10	-	16	0.0		No						0	0	0	2	23	75	49.5		82,714,470	*
33		8	-	9	-	17	0.0		No							0	0	1	17	82	61.7		63,710,579	*
32		7	-	11	-	16	0.0		No							0	0	0	12	88	72.3		47,962,544	*
31		7	-	10	-	17	0.0		No							0	0	0	8	92	80.6		35,291,071	*
30		7	-	9	-	18	Out		No								0	0	5	95	87.0		25,352,231	*
29		6	-	11	-	17	Out		No								0	0	3	97	91.5		17,787,537	*
28		6	-	10	-	18	Out		No									0	2	98	94.7		12,161,365	*
27		6	-	9	-	19	Out		No									0	1	99	96.7		8,111,449	*
26		5	-	11	-	18	Out		No									0	1	99	98.1		5,266,407	*
25		5	-	10	-	19	Out		No									0	0	100	98.9		3,328,809	*
24		5	-	9	-	20	Out		No									0	0	100	99.4		2,046,880	*
23		4	-	11	-	19	Out		No										0	100	99.6		1,222,229	*
22		4	-	10	-	20	Out		No										0	100	99.8		706,936	*
21		4	-	9	-	21	Out		No										0	100	99.9		398,005	*
20		4	-	8	-	22	Out		No										0	100	99.9		216,066	*
19		3	-	10	-	21	Out		No										0	100	100.0		113,811	*
18		3	-	9	-	22	Out		No										0	100	100.0		57,950	*
17		3	-	8	-	23	Out		No										0	100	100.0		28,258	*
15	-16						Out		No											100	100.0		19,133	*
14		2	-	8	-	24	Out		No										0	100	100.0		2,558	*
0	-13						Out		No											100	Yes		812,477	*

Total:							60.0	%	5.0	%	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	5.0	%	6,520,434,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Red Bulls	NYCFC	Orlando	Revolution	Toronto FC	Impact	Crew	Fire	Union

66	-102						12.5	%	Yes
65		19	-	8	-	7	12.5		100	0		0
64		19	-	7	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		18	-	9	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		18	-	8	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		18	-	7	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		17	-	9	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		17	-	8	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		17	-	7	-	10	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		16	-	9	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	-	6	-	11	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		16	-	8	-	10	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	-	11	-	8	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		15	-	10	-	9	12.4		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		16	-	7	-	11	12.4		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
54		15	-	9	-	10	12.2		94	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		16	-	6	-	12	12.2		94	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
53		15	-	8	-	11	12.0		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		14	-	11	-	9	11.9		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
52		14	-	10	-	10	11.4		77	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		15	-	7	-	12	11.5		78	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
51		14	-	9	-	11	10.6		64	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
		15	-	6	-	13	10.7		65	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
		13	-	12	-	9	10.6		63	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
50		14	-	8	-	12	9.4		48	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
		13	-	11	-	10	9.3		46	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
		15	-	5	-	14	9.4		48	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
49		13	-	10	-	11	7.8		30	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
		14	-	7	-	13	7.9		32	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	7
		12	-	13	-	9	7.8		30	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
48		13	-	9	-	12	6.0		17	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
		12	-	12	-	10	5.9		16	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
		14	-	6	-	14	6.1		18	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
47		13	-	8	-	13	4.3		8	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
		12	-	11	-	11	4.1		8	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
46		12	-	10	-	12	2.6		3	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
		13	-	7	-	14	2.6		3	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
45		12	-	9	-	13	1.4		1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
44		12	-	8	-	14	0.7		0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
43		11	-	10	-	13	0.3		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
42		11	-	9	-	14	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		11	-	8	-	15	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		10	-	10	-	14	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		10	-	9	-	15	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
38		10	-	8	-	16	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
37		9	-	10	-	15	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36		9	-	9	-	16	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35		9	-	8	-	17	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34		9	-	7	-	18	No			0
0	-33						No

Total:							5.0	%	30.0	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United vs Impact	-0.9+0.6+1.4
Union vs Rapids	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Revolution	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Crew	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs Fire	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Red Bulls	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC	+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/13	100.0*	Lottery seed
Fire vs Whitecaps	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Union	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Orlando	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Crew vs Toronto FC	+0.0-0.1+0.0
NYCFC vs Revolution	+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20

82	-102						100
81		25	-	6	-	3	100	0
80		25	-	5	-	4	100	0
79		25	-	4	-	5	100	0
78		24	-	6	-	4	100	0	0
77		24	-	5	-	5	100	0	0
76		23	-	7	-	4	100	0	0
75		23	-	6	-	5	100	0	0
74		23	-	5	-	6	100	0	0
73		22	-	7	-	5	100	0	0
72		22	-	6	-	6	100	0	0
71		21	-	8	-	5	100	0	0
70		21	-	7	-	6	99	0	0		0
69		21	-	6	-	7	99	1	0		0
68		20	-	8	-	6	98	1	1		0
67		20	-	7	-	7	97	2	1	0	0
66		20	-	6	-	8	96	3	2	0	0
65		19	-	8	-	7	94	4	2	0	0		0
64		19	-	7	-	8	91	6	4	0	0		0
63		18	-	9	-	7	86	8	6	0	0		0
62		18	-	8	-	8	80	11	8	0	0	0	0		0
61		18	-	7	-	9	72	16	12	0	0	0	0		0
60		17	-	9	-	8	62	20	16	0	1	0	0		0		0
59		17	-	8	-	9	51	25	22	1	2	0	0		0		0
58		17	-	7	-	10	39	29	27	2	4	0	0	0	0		0
57		16	-	9	-	9	27	31	32	3	6	0	0	0	0		0		0
56		16	-	8	-	10	16	31	34	7	11	0	1	0	0	0	0		0
55		15	-	10	-	9	8	27	32	12	16	1	3	0	0	0	0		0	0
54		15	-	9	-	10	4	22	26	18	22	2	6	0	1	0	0		0	0
53		15	-	8	-	11	1	15	17	23	26	5	10	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
52		14	-	10	-	10	0	9	8	24	25	11	17	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
51		14	-	9	-	11	0	5	3	20	18	18	23	3	8	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
50		14	-	8	-	12	0	2	1	13	9	23	24	9	15	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
49		13	-	10	-	11	0	1	0	7	3	20	18	17	21	3	8	0	1	0	0	0
48		13	-	9	-	12	0	0	0	3	1	14	9	22	22	9	15	1	4	0	0	0	0
47		13	-	8	-	13		0	0	1	0	7	2	20	16	18	21	4	9	2	0	0	0	0
46		12	-	10	-	12		0	0	0	0	3	0	13	7	22	21	11	16	5	1	0	0	0	0
45		12	-	9	-	13		0		0	0	1	0	6	2	19	14	20	22	13	4	0	0	0	0
44		12	-	8	-	14		0		0	0	0	0	2	0	11	5	23	20	22	11	3	0	0	0	0
43		11	-	10	-	13		0		0		0	0	1	0	5	1	18	13	25	23	11	3	0	0	0
42		11	-	9	-	14				0		0	0	0	0	2	0	11	5	18	28	22	10	2	0	0
41		10	-	11	-	13				0		0		0	0	1	0	5	2	9	23	29	21	8	2	0
40		10	-	10	-	14						0		0	0	0	0	2	0	3	13	26	30	19	6	1
39		10	-	9	-	15						0		0		0	0	1	0	1	5	17	31	29	14	2
38		9	-	11	-	14						0		0		0	0	0	0	0	2	9	24	35	25	6
37		9	-	10	-	15								0		0		0	0	0	0	3	15	33	35	14
36		9	-	9	-	16								0		0		0	0	0	0	1	8	26	41	24
35		8	-	11	-	15										0		0	0	0	0	0	3	17	42	37
34		8	-	10	-	16										0		0		0	0	0	1	10	39	50
33		8	-	9	-	17												0		0	0	0	0	6	32	62
32		7	-	11	-	16												0			0	0	0	3	25	72
31		7	-	10	-	17												0			0	0	0	1	18	81
30		7	-	9	-	18																0	0	1	12	87
29		6	-	11	-	17																0	0	0	8	92
28		6	-	10	-	18																	0	0	5	95
27		6	-	9	-	19																	0	0	3	97
26		5	-	11	-	18																		0	2	98
25		5	-	10	-	19																		0	1	99
24		5	-	9	-	20																		0	1	99
23		4	-	11	-	19																		0	0	100
22		4	-	10	-	20																		0	0	100
21		4	-	9	-	21																			0	100
20		4	-	8	-	22																			0	100
19		3	-	10	-	21																			0	100
18		3	-	9	-	22																			0	100
17		3	-	8	-	23																			0	100
16		2	-	10	-	22																			0	100
15		2	-	9	-	23																			0	100
14		2	-	8	-	24																			0	100
0	-13																									100

Total:							5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5