"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 96.9%
24 points   7-3-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.9
-0.5
-1.3
-0.2
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.4
+0.1
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 -0.2
+0.0
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Montreal 0 New England 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 +0.1
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 +0.1
-0.5
+0.0
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Orlando 5 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.0
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
DC United vs Chicago+1.4-0.9-2.9
+0.7-0.5-1.3
+0.8-0.8-1.2
+0.3-0.3-0.6
New England vs DC United-1.8-0.5+1.6
-0.8-0.3+0.8
-1.1-0.6+1.1
-0.4-0.2+0.4
Montreal vs RSL-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Columbus+0.1+0.0-0.3
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC-0.1+0.1+0.2
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Sporting KC vs Seattle+0.1+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Houston+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
80-84In99.8%100No15,941*
7918-1-1In97.11000No652
77-78In94.4100No5,189*
7617-1-2In91.11000No7,728*
7516-3-1In86.81000No16,263*
7416-2-2In82.51000No33,620*
7315-4-1In77.11000No61,256*
7215-3-2In70.91000No113,427*
7115-2-3In63.6991No196,405*
7014-4-2In55.69910No320,305*
6914-3-3In47.79820No519,126*
6814-2-4In39.39730No796,713*
6713-4-3In31.09540No1,178,678*
6613-3-4In23.693700No1,704,598*
6512-5-3In16.8901000No2,350,407*
6412-4-4In11.2851400No3,149,050*
6312-3-5In7.08020100No4,097,952*
6211-5-4In3.97226200No5,126,890*
6111-4-5In2.06433300No6,245,697*
6011-3-6In0.95440600No7,375,164*
5910-5-5In0.3444510100No8,414,508*
5810-4-6In0.1344916200No9,338,789*
579-6-5In0.02449234000No10,047,208*
569-5-6In0.01645317100No10,471,214*
559-4-7100.0%0.093838132000No10,597,548*
548-6-6100.00.052841215000No10,394,411*
538-5-7100.0No21939309100No9,890,977*
528-4-8100.0No1113236173000No9,132,314*
517-6-799.9No052337268100No8,162,829*
507-5-899.7No02133233163000No7,075,979*
497-4-999.0No0172336258100No5,942,820*
486-6-896.8No00314323315300No4,832,409*
476-5-991.7No0017233625710No3,804,476*
466-4-1082.3No00314323415200No2,896,810*
455-6-968.1No0017233725600No2,133,117*
445-5-1050.6No00314343513200No1,515,782*
434-7-932.9No0017253923400No1,038,750*
424-6-1018.7No00031638331010No685,441*
414-5-119.0No001830401820No435,419*
403-7-103.7No00321422860No265,020*
393-6-111.2No0011237371110.0%155,868*
383-5-120.3No00629432020.087,148*
373-4-130.1No00320432950.146,512*
362-6-120.0No01123938100.523,574*
352-5-130.0No0073146161.511,515*
342-4-14OutNo032250254.35,034*
331-6-13OutNo011746367.32,169*
321-5-14OutNo18434915.3867*
311-4-15OutNo4296724.4328*
301-3-16OutNo1267339.4104*
290-5-15OutNo326829.737*
280-4-16OutNo148657.17
270-3-17OutNo100Yes1
240-0-20OutNo19985.015,618
Total:96.9%2.2%25241813963210000.0%150,739,664

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByePhiladelphiaNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCMontrealNY Red BullsChicagoOrlandoColumbusCincinnatiNew England
67-8412.5%Yes
6613-3-412.51000
6512-5-312.5100000000
6412-4-412.510000000000
6312-3-512.5100000000000
11-6-312.510000000000
6211-5-412.51000000000000
12-2-612.51000000000000
6111-4-512.510000000000000
10-7-312.510000000000000
6011-3-612.510000000000000
10-6-412.510000000000000
5910-5-512.59900000000000
11-2-712.59900000000000
9-8-312.59900000000000
5810-4-612.49800000000000
9-7-412.49800000000000
579-6-512.49601111110000
10-3-712.49600111100000
569-5-612.29201111110000
10-2-812.29201111110000
8-8-412.29211111110000
559-4-711.98512222221000
8-7-511.98412332221000
548-6-611.37324444331100
9-3-811.47524444331000
7-9-411.47324444331100
538-5-710.65936666552100
7-8-510.55836666552100
9-2-910.76125666551100
528-4-89.54438888772100
7-7-69.44338888772100
517-6-78.0274910109983100
8-3-98.2294910109983100
507-5-86.4164910109993210
6-8-66.4154910109993210
497-4-94.8839999883210
6-7-74.6738998883210
486-6-83.0326777662110
7-3-103.2327777762110
476-5-91.8114454441100
466-4-100.9012232221100
455-6-90.4001111110000
445-5-100.1000000000000
435-4-110.0000000000000
424-6-100.0000000000000
414-5-110.00000000000
403-7-10No000000
393-6-11No0
24-38No
Total:9.9%66.71.23.03.33.33.12.92.70.90.50.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
Houston 2 DC United 1 +0.5
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 -0.1
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 -0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -0.1
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -0.1
Montreal 0 New England 0 -0.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 -0.1
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 -0.0
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs Chicago-0.7+0.5+1.2
New England vs DC United+0.9+0.3-0.8
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.2
Philadelphia vs Portland+0.1-0.1-0.2
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls-0.1-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs RSL+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
8420-0-01000
81-82100
8018-2-0982
7918-1-19730
7817-3-0964
7717-2-1946
7617-1-29190
7516-3-187130
7416-2-283170
7315-4-177230
7215-3-2712900
7115-2-3643610
7014-4-25643100
6914-3-34851200
6814-2-43958300
6713-4-33164400
6613-3-4247060000
6512-5-3177391000
6412-4-41174123000
6312-3-57731551000
6211-5-44691792000
6111-4-5262181530000
6011-3-6153172251000
5910-5-50441531821000
5810-4-6033113812420000
579-6-5024742149300000
569-5-60164421417611000
559-4-7091361226103200000
548-6-605028833138400000
538-5-7201943514168110000
528-4-810111311125134300000
517-6-70050226311511711000
507-5-8002013230132112330000
497-4-9010712382816971100
486-6-8000301432914181333000
476-5-90010712292717871000
466-4-10000301442816181341000
455-6-900107122102718113100
445-5-1000030145291819103000
434-7-900010712413232092000
424-6-100000301661927198200
414-5-11001082112528176100
403-7-1000031516292814400
393-6-1100101821312510200
383-5-120000312263220610
373-4-13000151732301420
362-6-120001824352371
352-5-13003153334142
342-4-140172441224
331-6-130131739337
321-5-1419314315
311-4-154225024
301-3-16154539
290-5-1586230
280-4-164357
270-3-17100
240-0-2001585
Total:222519513584533221110000000