DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 4.7 to 59.6%
32 points   7-11-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando 2 NYCFC 1 -4.7
-0.1
Red Bulls 1 Revolution 0 +0.7
-0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NYCFC vs DC United-7.3+0.2+16.9
-0.4-0.1+1.1
+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.2-0.0+0.6
Galaxy vs Crew+1.2-0.1-5.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Revolution vs Rapids-1.2+0.4+0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Fire vs Union-0.9+0.4+0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact vs Orlando+3.5+0.2-9.8
-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Crew vs Whitecaps-1.8+1.7+2.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Toronto FC-1.2+0.4+0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Revolution vs NYCFC-1.0+0.5+0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Union vs Impact+0.2-0.1-0.4
Sporting KC vs Dynamo-0.1+0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
568-0-0In3.6%851500No3,493,240
547-1-0In0.15241700No10,320,825
537-0-1In0.0274921300No16,758,686
526-2-0In0.0144433810No35,054,503
516-1-1100.0%0.03254225500No112,136,069
506-0-2100.0No11033391620No88,818,297
5-3-0100.0No11135371520No66,305,653
495-2-1100.0No0318413260No312,838,315
485-1-2100.0No00630461800No486,443,206
4-4-0100.0No0062945190No76,291,237
474-3-199.8No00114473700No470,962,888
5-0-399.8No00216483400No248,867,591
464-2-299.0No0005385510No1,075,877,395
3-5-099.4No005365810No54,583,527
454-1-396.4No0012570400No1,075,688,929
3-4-196.9No0012274300No412,581,499
443-3-290.7No001179900No1,228,268,684
4-0-490.0No00013761000No396,277,383
2-6-093.3No001183700No23,703,767
433-2-379.9No0057519100No1,795,792,886
2-5-182.5No004781710No210,218,569
423-1-464.2No026233200No1,285,958,822
2-4-266.1No016532200No763,232,661
1-7-070.0No01692820No5,708,097
412-3-346.6No0046467000.0%1,448,304,597
3-0-544.5No004448700No359,462,109
1-6-150.7No05143600No57,729,766
402-2-427.3No0275517100.01,509,877,641
1-5-230.0No0305316100.0245,140,571
0-8-031.3No031531510No585,465
392-1-512.7No0135231400.0816,975,079
1-4-313.9No0145231400.0565,666,723
0-7-115.5No0155229300.06,592,339
381-3-44.6No0539451110.0763,600,849
2-0-64.1No0441451000.0178,432,504
0-6-25.5No640441000.031,876,306
371-2-50.9No122512420.4601,056,223
0-5-31.2No122512420.485,887,055
361-1-60.1No010453872.0254,665,431
0-4-40.1No09453972.2140,927,021
350-3-50.0No033050177.8143,762,282
1-0-70.0No033249156.344,718,059
340-2-60.0No0115513319.088,917,987
330-1-7OutNo07435034.030,438,337
320-0-8OutNo02306852.16,610,367
Total:59.6%0.0%001310442511410.3%17,637,409,440

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeToronto FCNYCFCRed BullsUnionImpactOrlandoCrewFireRevolution
568-0-012.5%10000000
547-1-012.510000000000
537-0-112.497011110000
526-2-012.191122220000
516-1-111.071366770000
506-0-29.2446121113130000
5-3-09.3466121111110000
495-2-17.1218171516170000
485-1-24.878171418181000
4-4-04.878181516170000
474-3-13.016151214141000
5-0-33.226141217151000
464-2-21.8041181191000
3-5-01.704118990000
454-1-31.00265850000
3-4-10.80265550000
443-3-20.40132320000
4-0-40.50133420000
2-6-00.40132220000
433-2-30.20011210000
2-5-10.10011110000
423-1-40.1000100000
2-4-20.0000000000
1-7-00.000000000
412-3-30.000000000
3-0-50.000000000
1-6-10.0000000
402-2-40.00000
1-5-20.00000
0-8-00.00000
392-1-50.00000
1-4-30.00000
0-7-10.00000
382-0-60.00000
1-3-4No00
0-6-2No
32-37No
Total:0.9%1.91.33.32.73.52.80.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando 2 NYCFC 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NYCFC vs DC United+0.6-0.0-1.4
Galaxy vs Crew-0.0+0.0+0.2
Revolution vs Rapids+0.1-0.0-0.0
FC Dallas vs Timbers-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/7100.0*Lottery seed
Impact vs Orlando-0.0-0.1+0.2
Crew vs Whitecaps+0.0-0.1-0.0
Timbers vs Real Salt Lake+0.0-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
568-0-048169000
547-1-005243733000
537-0-102724771521000
526-2-0014043528531000
516-1-103025340101440000
506-0-210101331028142200
5-3-01011134928132200
495-2-10030185362386000
485-1-2000061282521171000
4-4-00006128242217100
474-3-100010141631316000
5-0-300020161730295000
464-2-200000573137181000
3-5-0000563038201000
454-1-30001223323830000
3-4-10001120324230000
443-3-2000011196063000
4-0-40000013215572000
2-6-000010196442000
433-2-300058679830000
2-5-10004771873000
423-1-4002260916102000
2-4-2001263715102000
1-7-00012676139200
412-3-30000464182281000
3-0-5000044620227100
1-6-10050416218100
402-2-4002721332215000
1-5-2003011231215000
0-8-000311113021500
392-1-5001306283615200
1-4-3001405263616300
0-7-1001504263615200
381-3-4005011437321010
2-0-600402163830910
0-6-206011337321010
371-2-5100424402460
0-5-3100423402560
361-1-60001103437152
0-4-4000193338172
350-3-500021840328
1-0-700032141286
340-2-600007304319
330-1-7002184534
320-0-80093952
Total:00000103381034471096310