"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

DC United Playoff Chances

Beat New England 2-0, playoff odds up 14.5 to 60.4%
27 points   7-6-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United 2 New England 0 +11.6
+0.4
-0.1
+0.4
Philadelphia 2 NYCFC 0 -3.5
-0.1
-0.1
Montreal 2 Chicago 1 -2.2
-0.1
San Jose 1 Toronto FC 1 +0.2
-0.0
+0.0
Atlanta 3 Columbus 1 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Orlando vs Atlanta-0.2+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United vs Philadelphia+10.3-7.6-18.3
+0.6-0.5-1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.4-0.3-0.7
NY Red Bulls vs DC United-4.7+2.4+16.6
-0.3+0.1+1.1
-0.2+0.1+0.6
Toronto FC vs Montreal+1.6+0.6-5.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs New England-0.3+1.7-1.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Portland vs Toronto FC+0.6+0.1-2.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Columbus+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.2+0.0-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
6312-0-0In14.9%20532610No3,405,075
6111-1-0In1.843252120No2,369,552
6011-0-1In0.311655270No3,890,573
5910-2-0In0.109504010No9,318,407
5810-1-1In0.003385720No29,871,515
5710-0-2In0.001247050No45,055,691*
569-2-1In0.000157690No101,716,875
559-1-2100.0%No007771600No189,067,685*
548-3-1100.0No003722400No281,310,490*
538-2-2100.0No01653310No493,485,416*
528-1-3100.0No005543200No448,802,713
7-4-1100.0No004948200No266,210,009
517-3-2100.0No004154500No972,595,972*
507-2-399.9No03160900No1,131,390,231
6-5-199.8No024651000No239,785,644
496-4-299.4No0176418100No867,245,774
7-1-499.5No0206317100No815,087,206*
486-3-398.0No0115928200No1,640,454,450
7-0-598.2No0106127200No373,896,376*
476-2-494.9No65039500No1,712,313,620
5-5-294.3No44941600No654,620,120*
465-4-387.0No2365012100No1,509,536,329
6-1-588.2No2384811100No1,003,142,702*
455-3-475.5No1235222200No2,069,216,538
4-6-275.8No1235222200No543,176,189*
445-2-559.9No01247346000No1,670,795,775
4-5-357.3No0114636600No936,064,771*
434-4-438.8No05344614100No1,545,682,861
5-1-641.5No05364513100No851,963,666*
424-3-522.7No02214926200No1,641,407,831
3-6-322.6No02214827200No506,586,215*
414-2-611.1No00114339600No1,070,577,674
3-5-49.5No0094241700No757,594,238*
403-4-53.4No0329511610No1,052,012,822*
4-1-74.5No00432481410No392,126,758
393-3-61.0No01175128300.0%823,181,843
2-6-40.9No01165228300.0279,522,330*
383-2-70.2No0084340800.0446,859,594
2-5-50.1No0074342800.0346,557,788*
372-4-60.0No00330501710.0528,092,913*
362-3-70.0No0117493040.0336,243,941*
352-2-80.0No008414290.1199,528,309*
341-4-7OutNo032850190.8107,615,151*
331-3-8OutNo011550342.654,552,291*
321-2-9OutNo00743506.425,241,950*
310-4-8OutNo02326614.010,074,285*
300-3-9OutNo01208024.73,597,086*
290-2-10OutNo0118834.91,113,487
280-1-11OutNo069446.3233,652
270-0-12OutNo39759.03,158,327
Total:60.4%0.0%0009252519136200.0%28,997,350,710

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaNY Red BullsNYCFCColumbusPhiladelphiaMontrealNew EnglandToronto FCOrlandoChicago
6312-0-012.4%99000100000
6111-1-012.1880001010000
6011-0-111.4730012231100
5910-2-010.9590013351100
5810-1-110.14100247711000
5710-0-29.42400360922000
9-3-09.42601458921000
569-2-18.815014661022000
559-1-28.28014721122000
8-4-07.97016711122000
548-3-17.53015741222000
9-0-37.63014751222000
538-2-27.01015751232000
7-5-06.61016741222000
528-1-36.40014751332000
7-4-16.10015741222000
517-3-25.60014731232000
8-0-45.70003741232000
6-6-05.20016721122000
507-2-34.90003701232000
6-5-14.50014701022000
496-4-23.8000364922000
7-1-44.10003651032000
5-7-03.700146382100
486-3-33.1000256821000
7-0-53.3000259821000
5-6-12.9000355621000
476-2-42.300245621000
5-5-22.100244411000
4-8-02.10034341100
465-4-31.500132310000
6-1-51.600134411000
4-7-11.400131210000
455-3-40.900120200000
4-6-20.800119100000
6-0-61.000124210000
445-2-50.500011100000
4-5-30.400010000000
434-4-40.20004000000
5-1-60.20005000000
3-7-20.20004000000
424-3-50.10001000000
3-6-30.00001000000
5-0-70.10002000000
414-2-60.00000000000
403-4-50.00000000000
393-3-60.0000000
383-2-70.00000
373-1-8No0
27-36No
Total:1.8%0.30.10.21.327.93.80.90.60.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/18100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 2 New England 0 -1.0
Philadelphia 2 NYCFC 0 +0.2
Montreal 2 Chicago 1 +0.1
FC Dallas 2 Minnesota 0 -0.0
Atlanta 3 Columbus 1 -0.0
San Jose 1 Toronto FC 1 -0.0
LAFC 2 Colorado 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Houston vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs Philadelphia-0.9+0.7+1.5
NY Red Bulls vs DC United+0.4-0.2-1.5
Toronto FC vs Montreal-0.1-0.0+0.2
Philadelphia vs New England+0.1-0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Columbus-0.1-0.0+0.1
Portland vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Houston-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.1
San Jose vs Vancouver-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
6312-0-015553126010
6111-1-0222935201200
6011-0-1011435412700
5910-2-0006348240010
5810-1-10022344560200
5710-0-20001195682500
569-2-1000096706900
559-1-2000346413150000
548-3-1000124924231000
538-2-200013233304100
528-1-3000017373492000
7-4-1000123734142000
517-3-2000635302440000
507-2-3002292337820000
6-5-100124184783000
496-4-200016105510810000
7-1-40002013491161000
486-3-30011455111720000
7-0-50010456101710000
476-2-406149930310000
5-5-204149635321000
465-4-3020353465620000
6-1-502038543552000
455-3-40102315151171000
4-6-2002115241192000
445-2-500120474141651000
4-5-300110462131971000
434-4-4005034112261740000
5-1-6005036213251530000
424-3-502021072728122000
3-6-302021062629132000
414-2-6000110319342481000
3-5-400090217342791000
403-4-5030182635215000
4-1-7000401102934184000
393-3-601003153333132000
2-6-401002153333142000
383-2-70000162338266100
2-5-5000052138287100
372-4-60000110313817300
362-3-700003183830910
352-2-80001829392040
341-4-70002163733111
331-3-800062741233
321-2-90021540376
310-4-80006314914
300-3-9002195425
290-2-1001105435
280-1-11054946
270-0-12023959
Total:0000003752132225887531100