SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 96.9%

24 points 7-3-4

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Houston 2 DC United 1	-0.9		-0.5		-1.3		-0.2
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1	+0.4		+0.1
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0	-0.2						+0.0
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2	+0.2		+0.1				+0.0
San Jose 4 Chicago 1	+0.2		+0.1				+0.0
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0	+0.1		+0.1				+0.0
Montreal 0 New England 0	+0.1		+0.1				+0.0
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0	+0.1
LAFC 4 Montreal 2	+0.1				-0.5		+0.0
RSL 2 Atlanta 1	+0.1		+0.1				+0.1
Orlando 5 Cincinnati 1	-0.1
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0			+0.1		+0.2		+0.0
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1					+0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
DC United vs Chicago	+1.4-0.9-2.9		+0.7-0.5-1.3		+0.8-0.8-1.2		+0.3-0.3-0.6
New England vs DC United	-1.8-0.5+1.6		-0.8-0.3+0.8		-1.1-0.6+1.1		-0.4-0.2+0.4
Montreal vs RSL	-0.2+0.1+0.3		-0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose	-0.2+0.1+0.3		-0.1+0.1+0.2				-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC	+0.2+0.0-0.3		+0.1+0.0-0.2				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Columbus	+0.1+0.0-0.3
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls	+0.1+0.1-0.2		+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC	-0.1+0.1+0.2		*-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota	-0.1+0.1+0.2		-0.1+0.1+0.2				-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland			-0.0+0.0+0.1		-0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.0+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado			-0.0+0.0+0.1		-0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.0+0.1+0.1
Sporting KC vs Seattle					+0.1+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Houston					+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed												Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Spoon		Count

80	-84						In		99.8	%	100												No		15,941	*
79		18	-	1	-	1	In		97.1		100	0											No		652
77	-78						In		94.4		100												No		5,189	*
76		17	-	1	-	2	In		91.1		100	0											No		7,728	*
75		16	-	3	-	1	In		86.8		100	0											No		16,263	*
74		16	-	2	-	2	In		82.5		100	0											No		33,620	*
73		15	-	4	-	1	In		77.1		100	0											No		61,256	*
72		15	-	3	-	2	In		70.9		100	0											No		113,427	*
71		15	-	2	-	3	In		63.6		99	1											No		196,405	*
70		14	-	4	-	2	In		55.6		99	1	0										No		320,305	*
69		14	-	3	-	3	In		47.7		98	2	0										No		519,126	*
68		14	-	2	-	4	In		39.3		97	3	0										No		796,713	*
67		13	-	4	-	3	In		31.0		95	4	0										No		1,178,678	*
66		13	-	3	-	4	In		23.6		93	7	0	0									No		1,704,598	*
65		12	-	5	-	3	In		16.8		90	10	0	0									No		2,350,407	*
64		12	-	4	-	4	In		11.2		85	14	0	0									No		3,149,050	*
63		12	-	3	-	5	In		7.0		80	20	1	0	0								No		4,097,952	*
62		11	-	5	-	4	In		3.9		72	26	2	0	0								No		5,126,890	*
61		11	-	4	-	5	In		2.0		64	33	3	0	0								No		6,245,697	*
60		11	-	3	-	6	In		0.9		54	40	6	0	0								No		7,375,164	*
59		10	-	5	-	5	In		0.3		44	45	10	1	0	0							No		8,414,508	*
58		10	-	4	-	6	In		0.1		34	49	16	2	0	0							No		9,338,789	*
57		9	-	6	-	5	In		0.0		24	49	23	4	0	0	0						No		10,047,208	*
56		9	-	5	-	6	In		0.0		16	45	31	7	1	0	0						No		10,471,214	*
55		9	-	4	-	7	100.0	%	0.0		9	38	38	13	2	0	0	0					No		10,597,548	*
54		8	-	6	-	6	100.0		0.0		5	28	41	21	5	0	0	0					No		10,394,411	*
53		8	-	5	-	7	100.0		No		2	19	39	30	9	1	0	0					No		9,890,977	*
52		8	-	4	-	8	100.0		No		1	11	32	36	17	3	0	0	0				No		9,132,314	*
51		7	-	6	-	7	99.9		No		0	5	23	37	26	8	1	0	0				No		8,162,829	*
50		7	-	5	-	8	99.7		No		0	2	13	32	33	16	3	0	0	0			No		7,075,979	*
49		7	-	4	-	9	99.0		No		0	1	7	23	36	25	8	1	0	0			No		5,942,820	*
48		6	-	6	-	8	96.8		No		0	0	3	14	32	33	15	3	0	0			No		4,832,409	*
47		6	-	5	-	9	91.7		No		0	0	1	7	23	36	25	7	1	0			No		3,804,476	*
46		6	-	4	-	10	82.3		No			0	0	3	14	32	34	15	2	0	0		No		2,896,810	*
45		5	-	6	-	9	68.1		No			0	0	1	7	23	37	25	6	0	0		No		2,133,117	*
44		5	-	5	-	10	50.6		No				0	0	3	14	34	35	13	2	0	0	No		1,515,782	*
43		4	-	7	-	9	32.9		No				0	0	1	7	25	39	23	4	0	0	No		1,038,750	*
42		4	-	6	-	10	18.7		No				0	0	0	3	16	38	33	10	1	0	No		685,441	*
41		4	-	5	-	11	9.0		No					0	0	1	8	30	40	18	2	0	No		435,419	*
40		3	-	7	-	10	3.7		No						0	0	3	21	42	28	6	0	No		265,020	*
39		3	-	6	-	11	1.2		No						0	0	1	12	37	37	11	1	0.0	%	155,868	*
38		3	-	5	-	12	0.3		No							0	0	6	29	43	20	2	0.0		87,148	*
37		3	-	4	-	13	0.1		No							0	0	3	20	43	29	5	0.1		46,512	*
36		2	-	6	-	12	0.0		No								0	1	12	39	38	10	0.5		23,574	*
35		2	-	5	-	13	0.0		No								0	0	7	31	46	16	1.5		11,515	*
34		2	-	4	-	14	Out		No									0	3	22	50	25	4.3		5,034	*
33		1	-	6	-	13	Out		No									0	1	17	46	36	7.3		2,169	*
32		1	-	5	-	14	Out		No										1	8	43	49	15.3		867	*
31		1	-	4	-	15	Out		No											4	29	67	24.4		328	*
30		1	-	3	-	16	Out		No											1	26	73	39.4		104	*
29		0	-	5	-	15	Out		No												32	68	29.7		37	*
28		0	-	4	-	16	Out		No												14	86	57.1		7
27		0	-	3	-	17	Out		No													100	Yes		1
24		0	-	0	-	20	Out		No												1	99	85.0		15,618

Total:							96.9	%	2.2	%	25	24	18	13	9	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0.0	%	150,739,664

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Philadelphia	NYCFC	Atlanta	Toronto FC	Montreal	NY Red Bulls	Chicago	Orlando	Columbus	Cincinnati	New England

67	-84						12.5	%	Yes
66		13	-	3	-	4	12.5		100				0
65		12	-	5	-	3	12.5		100		0	0	0	0	0			0
64		12	-	4	-	4	12.5		100		0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
63		12	-	3	-	5	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	6	-	3	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		11	-	5	-	4	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	6	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		11	-	4	-	5	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	7	-	3	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		11	-	3	-	6	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	6	-	4	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		10	-	5	-	5	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	2	-	7	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	8	-	3	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		10	-	4	-	6	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	4	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		9	-	6	-	5	12.4		96	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		10	-	3	-	7	12.4		96	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
56		9	-	5	-	6	12.2		92	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		10	-	2	-	8	12.2		92	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	8	-	4	12.2		92	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
55		9	-	4	-	7	11.9		85	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	0	0	0
		8	-	7	-	5	11.9		84	1	2	3	3	2	2	2	1	0	0	0
54		8	-	6	-	6	11.3		73	2	4	4	4	4	3	3	1	1	0	0
		9	-	3	-	8	11.4		75	2	4	4	4	4	3	3	1	0	0	0
		7	-	9	-	4	11.4		73	2	4	4	4	4	3	3	1	1	0	0
53		8	-	5	-	7	10.6		59	3	6	6	6	6	5	5	2	1	0	0
		7	-	8	-	5	10.5		58	3	6	6	6	6	5	5	2	1	0	0
		9	-	2	-	9	10.7		61	2	5	6	6	6	5	5	1	1	0	0
52		8	-	4	-	8	9.5		44	3	8	8	8	8	7	7	2	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	6	9.4		43	3	8	8	8	8	7	7	2	1	0	0
51		7	-	6	-	7	8.0		27	4	9	10	10	9	9	8	3	1	0	0
		8	-	3	-	9	8.2		29	4	9	10	10	9	9	8	3	1	0	0
50		7	-	5	-	8	6.4		16	4	9	10	10	9	9	9	3	2	1	0
		6	-	8	-	6	6.4		15	4	9	10	10	9	9	9	3	2	1	0
49		7	-	4	-	9	4.8		8	3	9	9	9	9	8	8	3	2	1	0
		6	-	7	-	7	4.6		7	3	8	9	9	8	8	8	3	2	1	0
48		6	-	6	-	8	3.0		3	2	6	7	7	7	6	6	2	1	1	0
		7	-	3	-	10	3.2		3	2	7	7	7	7	7	6	2	1	1	0
47		6	-	5	-	9	1.8		1	1	4	4	5	4	4	4	1	1	0	0
46		6	-	4	-	10	0.9		0	1	2	2	3	2	2	2	1	1	0	0
45		5	-	6	-	9	0.4		0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
44		5	-	5	-	10	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
43		5	-	4	-	11	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
42		4	-	6	-	10	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		4	-	5	-	11	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		3	-	7	-	10	No				0	0	0	0	0	0
39		3	-	6	-	11	No							0
24	-38						No

Total:							9.9	%	66.7	1.2	3.0	3.3	3.3	3.1	2.9	2.7	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Houston 2 DC United 1	+0.5
RSL 2 Atlanta 1	-0.1
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0	-0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1	-0.1
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0	-0.1
Montreal 0 New England 0	-0.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2	-0.1
LAFC 4 Montreal 2	-0.0
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0	-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United vs Chicago	-0.7+0.5+1.2
New England vs DC United	+0.9+0.3-0.8
Philadelphia vs Colorado	+0.1-0.1-0.2
Philadelphia vs Portland	+0.1-0.1-0.2
Atlanta vs Minnesota	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs RSL	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC	-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

84		20	-	0	-	0	100	0
81	-82						100
80		18	-	2	-	0	98	2
79		18	-	1	-	1	97	3	0
78		17	-	3	-	0	96	4
77		17	-	2	-	1	94	6
76		17	-	1	-	2	91	9	0
75		16	-	3	-	1	87	13	0
74		16	-	2	-	2	83	17	0
73		15	-	4	-	1	77	23	0
72		15	-	3	-	2	71	29	0	0
71		15	-	2	-	3	64	36	1	0
70		14	-	4	-	2	56	43	1	0	0
69		14	-	3	-	3	48	51	2	0	0
68		14	-	2	-	4	39	58	3	0	0
67		13	-	4	-	3	31	64	4	0	0
66		13	-	3	-	4	24	70	6	0	0	0	0
65		12	-	5	-	3	17	73	9	1	0	0	0
64		12	-	4	-	4	11	74	12	3	0	0	0
63		12	-	3	-	5	7	73	15	5	1	0	0		0
62		11	-	5	-	4	4	69	17	9	2	0	0		0
61		11	-	4	-	5	2	62	18	15	3	0	0	0	0
60		11	-	3	-	6	1	53	17	22	5	1	0	0	0
59		10	-	5	-	5	0	44	15	31	8	2	1	0	0		0
58		10	-	4	-	6	0	33	11	38	12	4	2	0	0	0	0
57		9	-	6	-	5	0	24	7	42	14	9	3	0	0	0	0		0
56		9	-	5	-	6	0	16	4	42	14	17	6	1	1	0	0		0
55		9	-	4	-	7	0	9	1	36	12	26	10	3	2	0	0	0	0		0
54		8	-	6	-	6	0	5	0	28	8	33	13	8	4	0	0	0	0		0
53		8	-	5	-	7		2	0	19	4	35	14	16	8	1	1	0	0	0	0
52		8	-	4	-	8		1	0	11	1	31	11	25	13	4	3	0	0	0	0	0
51		7	-	6	-	7		0	0	5	0	22	6	31	15	11	7	1	1	0	0	0
50		7	-	5	-	8		0	0	2	0	13	2	30	13	21	12	3	3	0	0	0	0
49		7	-	4	-	9		0		1	0	7	1	23	8	28	16	9	7	1	1	0	0
48		6	-	6	-	8		0		0	0	3	0	14	3	29	14	18	13	3	3	0	0	0
47		6	-	5	-	9		0		0		1	0	7	1	22	9	27	17	8	7	1	0	0	0
46		6	-	4	-	10				0		0	0	3	0	14	4	28	16	18	13	4	1	0	0	0
45		5	-	6	-	9				0		0		1	0	7	1	22	10	27	18	11	3	1	0	0
44		5	-	5	-	10						0		0	0	3	0	14	5	29	18	19	10	3	0	0	0
43		4	-	7	-	9						0		0	0	1	0	7	1	24	13	23	20	9	2	0	0	0
42		4	-	6	-	10						0		0		0	0	3	0	16	6	19	27	19	8	2	0	0
41		4	-	5	-	11								0		0		1	0	8	2	11	25	28	17	6	1	0	0
40		3	-	7	-	10										0		0	0	3	1	5	16	29	28	14	4	0	0
39		3	-	6	-	11										0		0		1	0	1	8	21	31	25	10	2	0	0
38		3	-	5	-	12												0		0	0	0	3	12	26	32	20	6	1	0
37		3	-	4	-	13												0		0		0	1	5	17	32	30	14	2	0
36		2	-	6	-	12														0		0	0	1	8	24	35	23	7	1
35		2	-	5	-	13														0				0	3	15	33	34	14	2
34		2	-	4	-	14																		0	1	7	24	41	22	4
33		1	-	6	-	13																		0	1	3	17	39	33	7
32		1	-	5	-	14																				1	9	31	43	15
31		1	-	4	-	15																					4	22	50	24
30		1	-	3	-	16																						15	45	39
29		0	-	5	-	15																						8	62	30
28		0	-	4	-	16																							43	57
27		0	-	3	-	17																								100
24		0	-	0	-	20																						0	15	85

Total:							2	22	5	19	5	13	5	8	4	5	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0