Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.4 to 85.6%
10 points   3-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United 2 Red Bulls 2 -2.1
-0.4
-2.6
+0.1
-0.2
Timbers 0 Orlando 2 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
Dynamo 3 Impact 0 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
Revolution 0 Crew 0 +0.3
+0.1
+0.1
Union 2 NYCFC 1 -0.1
+0.2
Earthquakes 1 Whitecaps 0 +0.3
Sporting KC 0 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.2
Galaxy 1 Sounders 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NYCFC vs Union-0.1+0.3-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Revolution vs Fire-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United vs Dynamo+4.0-2.3-5.5
+0.8-0.5-1.0
+3.5-2.3-4.4
-0.4+0.2+0.6
+0.4-0.2-0.5
NYCFC vs Timbers-0.5+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC+0.3-0.0-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Impact vs Fire-0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.4+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Union vs Revolution-0.1+0.3-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Crew vs Orlando-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Real Salt Lake vs Whitecaps-0.1+0.3-0.3
Rapids vs Sounders-0.1+0.2-0.1
Galaxy vs Sporting KC-0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
81-97InYes100No149,369*
8022-4-3In99.9%1000No3,440*
7922-3-4In99.9100No6,634*
7821-5-3In99.91000No12,885*
7721-4-4In99.91000No24,813*
7620-6-3In99.91000No45,393*
7520-5-4In99.91000No80,814*
7420-4-5In99.91000No139,801*
7319-6-4In99.81000No238,079*
7219-5-5In99.71000No390,618*
7118-7-4In99.51000No630,731*
7018-6-5In99.21000No992,879*
6918-5-6In98.89910No1,524,438*
6817-7-5In98.19910No2,281,584*
6717-6-6In97.19910No3,339,357*
6617-5-7In95.49820No4,778,887*
6516-7-6In93.09730No6,676,583*
6416-6-7In89.69640No9,124,504*
6315-8-6In84.994600No12,195,056*
6215-7-7In78.691900No15,926,903*
6115-6-8In70.5871200No20,356,798*
6014-8-7In60.78317100No25,444,866*
5914-7-8In49.477221000No31,116,512*
5814-6-9In37.47028200No37,221,842*
5713-8-8In25.76234400No43,552,500*
5613-7-9In15.652408000No49,861,590*
5512-9-8In8.1424512100No55,856,621*
5412-8-9100.0%3.43147193000No61,191,177*
5312-7-10100.01.12246276000No65,566,159*
5211-9-9100.00.2144034111000No68,734,572*
5111-8-10100.00.083239183000No70,460,970*
5011-7-11100.00.0422392781000No70,630,692*
4910-9-1099.80.01133434153000No69,245,875*
4810-8-1199.0No062437247100No66,362,165*
4710-7-1296.8No02143332153000No62,129,102*
469-9-1191.4No0172436248100No56,875,329*
459-8-1280.9No00314323316300No50,830,961*
449-7-1365.1No00162235268100.0%44,375,836*
438-9-1246.2No000213313417300.037,824,908*
428-8-1328.4No0016223627810.031,479,999*
418-7-1414.9No00021332351620.125,545,007*
407-9-136.7No001623392650.520,224,239*
397-8-142.6No0002153636111.915,587,292*
387-7-150.8No00182943195.511,712,004*
376-9-140.2No000421462912.28,570,548*
366-8-150.1No00114444122.36,100,970*
356-7-160.0No0018395334.74,219,009*
345-9-150.0No004326448.02,836,704*
335-8-160.0No002257360.61,849,911*
325-7-17OutNo01188171.61,170,702*
314-9-16OutNo00138780.3718,519*
304-8-17OutNo0089186.9424,698*
294-7-18OutNo059491.5243,623*
283-9-17OutNo039794.6134,529*
273-8-18OutNo029896.871,421*
263-7-19OutNo19998.136,599*
252-9-18OutNo19998.917,976*
242-8-19OutNo010099.48,362*
232-7-20OutNo010099.73,750*
221-9-19OutNo010099.81,595*
10-21OutNo100Yes147,380*
Total:85.6%11.6%231915129764320.8%1,177,306,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsOrlandoNYCFCCrewToronto FCRevolutionFireUnionImpact
64-9712.5%Yes
6315-8-612.510000000000
6215-7-712.5100000000000
6115-6-812.5100000000000
6014-8-712.5100000000000
5914-7-812.5100000000000
13-10-612.5100000000000
5814-6-912.5100000000000
13-9-712.5100000000000
5713-8-812.5100000000000
14-5-1012.5100000000000
5613-7-912.5100000000000
12-10-712.5100000000000
5512-9-812.599000000000
13-6-1012.599000000000
5412-8-912.497000000000
13-5-1112.497000000000
11-11-712.497000000000
5312-7-1012.394111111100
11-10-812.394111111100
5211-9-912.087122222111
12-6-1112.088122211111
5111-8-1011.578233333221
12-5-1211.680233332221
10-11-811.578233333221
5011-7-1110.865354444432
10-10-910.763355544432
12-4-1310.966354444432
4910-9-109.647576666644
11-6-129.849566666543
9-12-89.647576666643
4810-8-118.231688877754
9-11-98.130688887764
11-5-138.433688877754
4710-7-126.518688888765
9-10-106.417698888765
469-9-114.57587777765
10-6-134.78588877765
459-8-122.93466665544
449-7-131.61244444332
438-9-120.80122222221
428-8-130.30011111111
418-7-140.10000000000
407-9-130.00000000000
397-8-140.00000000000
387-7-150.0000000000
376-9-140.0000000000
366-8-150.0000000000
356-7-160.000000
10-34No
Total:8.6%57.21.92.82.72.72.62.52.41.91.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/11100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 2 Red Bulls 2 +0.5
Timbers 0 Orlando 2 +0.1
Revolution 0 Crew 0 -0.1
Dynamo 3 Impact 0 -0.0
Union 2 NYCFC 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NYCFC vs Union+0.0-0.1-0.0
Revolution vs Fire+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/17100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs Dynamo-0.8+0.5+1.1
Red Bulls vs Earthquakes+0.1-0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Timbers+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Crew vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0
Union vs Revolution+0.0-0.0+0.1
Impact vs Fire-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
81-97100
8022-4-310000
7922-3-41000
7821-5-310000
7721-4-410000
7620-6-310000
7520-5-410000
7420-4-510000
7319-6-410000
7219-5-510000
7118-7-410000
7018-6-59900
6918-5-699110
6817-7-598110
6717-6-6972100
6617-5-7953200
6516-7-6934300
6416-6-7906400
6315-8-68596000
6215-7-779129000
6115-6-87117120000
6014-8-761221601000
5914-7-8492821110000
5814-6-937332622000
5713-8-8263630440000
5613-7-91636319700000
5512-9-8834301512110000
5412-8-93282423172300000
5312-7-101211630216500000
5211-9-90138332113101100000
5111-8-10083291623153300000
5011-7-110412193017107110000
4910-9-1001013331142012330000
4810-8-1100612472915107110000
4710-7-120020142301221113300000
469-9-11001070236301311720000
459-8-120003014230102311620000
449-7-13001060224311213720000
438-9-12000020131309171782000
428-8-130010602241423208200
418-7-140000201318212820710
407-9-1300106031227301750
397-8-1400002015183128122
387-7-1500100292535235
376-9-14000000416343412
366-8-150000018274122
356-7-16000004184335
345-9-150001114048
335-8-16000063361
325-7-170032572
314-9-160011880
304-8-17011387
294-7-1800892
283-9-1700595
273-8-180397
263-7-190298
252-9-18199
242-8-19199
232-7-200100
221-9-190100
10-21100
Total:12129106947362522222211