DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.09 to 47.3%
7 points   2-1-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United 1 Red Bulls 0 +6.3
+0.6
+0.3
-2.4
+0.4
Toronto FC 0 Rapids 1 +0.7
+0.1
Union 2 Real Salt Lake 2 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Impact 1 Fire 1 +0.5
-0.2
New England 2 Dynamo 0 +0.1
+0.4
Earthquakes 1 Crew 1 -0.1
FC Dallas 2 Sounders 3 +0.1
+0.1
Timbers 1 Chivas USA 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Red Bulls vs Union+0.0+0.5-0.6
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew vs DC United-4.7+0.8+12.6
-0.6+0.1+1.5
-0.6-0.0+1.7
+0.9-0.3-2.1
-0.3+0.1+0.8
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC+0.4-0.1-1.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Fire vs New England-0.2+0.6-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Union vs Dynamo-0.3+0.6-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sporting KC vs Impact-0.3+0.6+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.3
Rapids vs Earthquakes-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.3
Real Salt Lake vs Timbers-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Whitecaps vs Galaxy+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chivas USA vs Sounders+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
77-94InYes100No323,262*
7622-3-4In99.9%1000No2,032*
7521-5-3In99.81000No4,104*
7421-4-4In99.91000No8,261*
7320-6-3In99.71000No16,131*
7220-5-4In99.61000No30,714*
7120-4-5In99.21000No56,913*
7019-6-4In98.910000No101,968*
6919-5-5In98.19910No179,389*
6818-7-4In97.19910No308,883*
6718-6-5In95.49910No515,836*
6618-5-6In93.09820No843,764*
6517-7-5In89.59730No1,345,803*
6417-6-6In84.895500No2,100,293*
6317-5-7In78.693700No3,203,935*
6216-7-6In70.7901000No4,775,999*
6116-6-7In61.28614000No6,965,156*
6015-8-6In50.48119100No9,934,378*
5915-7-7In38.97424200No13,851,722*
5815-6-8In27.86630300No18,895,278*
5714-8-7100.0%17.957376000No25,226,164*
5614-7-8100.010.1474210100No32,957,641*
5514-6-9100.04.9374615200No42,117,867*
5413-8-8100.01.92747234000No52,689,088*
5313-7-9100.00.61844307100No64,479,952*
5213-6-1099.90.1113837132000No77,231,748*
5112-8-999.70.062941214000No90,520,222*
5012-7-1099.00.0319393091000No103,790,014*
4911-9-997.00.01113336163000No116,463,482*
4811-8-1092.30.0052338267100No127,795,514*
4711-7-1183.2No02133434142000No137,208,572*
4610-9-1069.0No0162537246100No144,077,274*
4510-8-1150.9No00215343314200No147,881,754*
4410-7-1232.6No0017253724610No148,454,297*
439-9-1117.8No000315343313200.0%145,646,909*
429-8-128.2No0017263723500.0139,628,930*
419-7-133.2No00031636321110.0130,752,148*
408-9-121.1No001929382030.1119,593,742*
398-8-130.3No000420393070.4106,788,680*
388-7-140.1No0002123539131.693,047,572*
377-9-130.0No00162744224.379,098,654*
367-8-140.0No00031946329.365,542,604*
357-7-150.0No00112434317.152,935,644*
346-9-140.0No0007385427.341,633,108*
336-8-150.0No0004316539.131,875,723*
326-7-16OutNo002247451.123,741,627*
315-9-15OutNo001188162.517,171,254*
305-8-16OutNo000128772.412,062,016*
295-7-17OutNo0089180.48,223,262*
284-9-16OutNo0059586.65,435,476*
274-8-17OutNo0039791.23,470,734*
264-7-18OutNo029894.42,147,664*
253-9-17OutNo019996.61,280,668*
243-8-18OutNo019998.0736,652*
233-7-19OutNo0010098.8407,696*
222-9-18OutNo010099.4216,145*
212-8-19OutNo010099.6109,038*
202-7-20OutNo010099.852,828*
192-6-21OutNo010099.924,342*
181-8-20OutNo010099.910,435*
171-7-21OutNo010099.94,320*
7-16OutNo100Yes324,037*
Total:47.3%1.7%681011121212111083.9%2,456,319,318

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeCrewToronto FCSporting KCUnionDynamoFireNew EnglandRed BullsImpact
65-9412.5%Yes
6417-6-612.51000
6317-5-712.510000000
6216-7-612.51000000000
6116-6-712.5100000000000
6015-8-612.5100000000000
5915-7-712.5100000000000
5815-6-812.5100000000000
5714-8-712.5100000000000
5614-7-812.599000000000
5514-6-912.498000000000
13-9-712.498000000000
5413-8-812.396011110000
14-5-1012.396001110000
5313-7-912.292111111100
12-10-712.292111111110
5213-6-1011.986122222211
12-9-811.885122222211
5112-8-911.375234433321
13-5-1111.375233433321
5012-7-1010.561455554432
11-10-810.460456655432
13-4-1210.561455554432
4911-9-99.344577876643
12-6-119.445577776643
10-12-79.244577876643
4811-8-107.829699987754
12-5-127.929699987754
10-11-87.727699988753
4711-7-116.2167991098754
10-10-96.0156991098754
12-4-136.1157991098754
4610-9-104.37688987754
11-6-124.47688987754
4510-8-112.93466766543
11-5-132.82466766543
4410-7-121.71344544432
9-10-101.61344444332
439-9-110.80122322211
429-8-120.30111111111
419-7-130.10000000000
408-9-120.00000000000
398-8-130.00000000000
388-7-140.00000000000
377-9-130.0000000000
367-8-140.0000000000
357-7-150.0000000000
346-9-14No000000
337-5-17No0
7-32No
Total:4.4%24.22.23.13.13.33.12.72.61.81.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/12100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 1 Red Bulls 0 -0.8
Union 2 Real Salt Lake 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/19100.0*Lottery seed
Crew vs DC United+0.6-0.1-1.6
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Impact+0.0-0.1-0.0
Union vs Dynamo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fire vs New England+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
77-94100
7622-3-410000
7521-5-310000
7421-4-410000
7320-6-310000
7220-5-410000
7120-4-59910
7019-6-499100
6919-5-598110
6818-7-4972100
6718-6-5953100
6618-5-6935200
6517-7-5907300
6417-6-685105000
6317-5-779147000
6216-7-67119100000
6116-6-761251300000
6015-8-650301811000
5915-7-7393522220000
5815-6-8283827430000
5714-8-71839297600000
5614-7-810372913901000
5514-6-9532262014120000
5413-8-82252027194400000
5313-7-91171232229701000
5213-6-10011632211612120000
5112-8-906227162517440000
5012-7-10031199301910811000
4911-9-901011329172014230000
4811-8-1000051221128187710000
4711-7-1100201342918161340000
4610-9-10001061231225191020000
4510-8-1100020146282019820000
4410-7-1200010722315261971000
439-9-1100003015823281751000
429-8-120001073142827144100
419-7-130000031620302511300
408-9-1200010210243122810
398-8-1300000041428311750
388-7-140000017203227112
377-9-13000002112734204
367-8-1400000151935309
357-7-150000211313917
346-9-14000016234327
336-8-1500003164239
326-7-160001103851
315-9-1500053262
305-8-1600032572
295-7-1700011880
284-9-16011387
274-8-17000991
264-7-1800594
253-9-1700397
243-8-180298
233-7-190199
222-9-180199
212-8-190100
202-7-200100
192-6-210100
181-8-200100
171-7-210100
7-16100
Total:2436374848567776654