DC United Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 1-3, playoff odds down 9.2 to 71.2%
39 points   10-9-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 3 DC United 1 -6.4
-0.7
-0.4
New England 2 Chicago 1 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Toronto FC 2 Montreal 1 -0.5
-0.0
NYCFC 2 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.1
+0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Montreal vs Vancouver-2.9+2.7+5.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Montreal vs DC United-15.5+2.7+21.6
-0.7-0.2+1.2
-0.6+0.0+1.0
San Jose vs Orlando+2.0+0.0-5.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Columbus vs Chicago+1.7+0.8-2.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
New England vs Toronto FC-1.0+1.5+0.5
-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
NY Red Bulls vs Colorado-0.3+0.2+0.7
-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
545-0-0InNo023066200No40,593,505
524-1-0100.0%No0077715100No169,452,474
514-0-1100.0No0035935300No311,371,464
503-2-0100.0No0150418000No277,773,471
493-1-1100.0No0285219200No989,189,028
483-0-299.7No01150336000No861,541,678
2-3-099.7No01546336000No215,568,313
472-2-197.9No5334417200No1,107,383,402
462-1-291.7No1184330810No1,839,212,533
1-4-093.1No2184430600No78,877,829
452-0-377.0No07304020300No978,199,384
1-3-177.1No06304120300No515,543,217
441-2-253.0No011437351110No1,213,348,404
0-5-056.7No011640331010No10,904,877
431-1-328.9No00524422640No1,201,201,506
0-4-130.1No00525422530No84,763,714
421-0-412.2No001113741100No412,038,091
0-3-211.2No011036421100No251,065,544
410-2-32.9No00321512500No348,855,587
400-1-40.5No0019454410No223,171,583
390-0-50.1No004365830No52,684,140
Total:71.2%No00091923201610300No11,182,739,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaPhiladelphiaNYCFCNY Red BullsToronto FCNew EnglandMontrealOrlandoChicagoColumbusCincinnati
545-0-09.6%320103513132300
524-1-07.970414916162310
514-0-16.5317152131342000
503-2-05.710514915153300
493-1-14.1016146101032000
483-0-22.60161395531000
2-3-02.9003035992200
472-2-11.5030244421000
462-1-20.7020131110000
1-4-00.701012221000
452-0-30.201050000000
1-3-10.201040000000
441-2-20.000010000000
0-5-00.10001000000
431-1-30.000000000000
0-4-10.00000000000
421-0-40.0000000000
0-3-20.00000
410-2-30.00000
400-1-4No00
390-0-5No
Total:1.4%0.30.22.20.316.73.13.11.10.60.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/24100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 3 DC United 1 +0.8
New England 2 Chicago 1 +0.1
NYCFC 2 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.1
Toronto FC 2 Montreal 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Montreal vs Vancouver+0.2-0.2-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs DC United+1.3-0.0-2.0
San Jose vs Orlando-0.1-0.0+0.3
NY Red Bulls vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.2
Columbus vs Chicago-0.1-0.1+0.2
New England vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
545-0-000117136062000
524-1-000017314612310000
514-0-100003950201530000
503-2-00012481031530000
493-1-10002844861210000
483-0-20011149429330000
2-3-00015045429330000
472-2-10503314331311000
462-1-21018043228341000
1-4-02018044228331000
452-0-300703013941261000
1-3-10060300414126100
441-2-201014037218206100
0-5-001016040217185100
431-1-3000502411631194000
0-4-100502511531194000
421-0-4001011093133132000
0-3-20101007293515200
410-2-30003021638329000
400-1-4001006264223200
390-0-50001143938700
Total:0000018118122119279731000