DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 55%
3 points   1-0-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United 2 Miami 1 +6.3
+0.5
+0.5
-2.1
+0.6
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.4
-0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.4
+0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs DC United-5.3+0.3+11.3
-0.6-0.0+1.3
-0.7-0.2+1.8
+0.8-0.2-1.5
-0.5+0.0+1.0
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.6+0.3+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.4*-0.0-0.9
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
77-99In100.0%100No9,072*
7623-4-5In99.91000No754*
7522-6-4In99.81000No1,390*
7422-5-5In99.51000No2,451*
7322-4-6In99.31000No4,279*
7221-6-5In99.01000No7,201*
7121-5-6In98.11000No12,029*
7020-7-5In97.2991No19,402*
6920-6-6In95.89910No31,247*
6820-5-7In93.69820No47,772*
6719-7-6In90.89730No73,421*
6619-6-7In86.896400No108,462*
6519-5-8In81.29460No158,878*
6418-7-7In74.391900No226,836*
6318-6-8In65.6871200No318,086*
6217-8-7In55.6821710No438,137*
6117-7-8In44.47622200No590,356*
6017-6-9In33.16828400No778,250*
5916-8-8In22.459356000No1,007,056*
5816-7-9In13.5484011100No1,279,770*
5716-6-10In6.93743173000No1,596,531*
5615-8-9In2.92743246100No1,948,592*
5515-7-10100.0%1.0184030102000No2,333,805*
5415-6-11100.00.2103235174100No2,740,370*
5314-8-10100.00.0523362592000No3,157,438*
5214-7-11100.00.021431311641000No3,569,883*
5113-9-1099.80.017233324102000No3,949,591*
5013-8-1199.0No031429301751000No4,297,909*
4913-7-1296.5No017203126123000No4,578,325*
4812-9-1190.2No0031125312182000No4,779,906*
4712-8-1278.1No00151628291651000No4,901,313*
4612-7-1360.1No00028203025123000No4,914,652*
4511-9-1239.6No0003112530218100No4,837,893*
4411-8-1321.8No0001516292916410No4,666,563*
4311-7-149.8No000282131251020No4,409,737*
4210-9-133.6No000313273219510.0%4,080,465*
4110-8-141.1No000161932281120.03,699,938*
4010-7-150.3No00021128342040.13,285,532*
399-9-140.1No001620363090.42,856,030*
389-8-150.0No0002123238151.52,424,128*
379-7-160.0No000172543254.32,022,964*
368-9-150.0No00031843359.91,646,290*
358-8-16OutNo00111404718.41,309,420*
348-7-17OutNo0017355829.51,020,383*
337-9-16OutNo004286842.0772,128*
327-8-17OutNo002227654.4574,594*
317-7-18OutNo01168365.8416,055*
306-9-17OutNo00118875.4294,473*
296-8-18OutNo0089282.7202,282*
286-7-19OutNo059588.6135,480*
275-9-18OutNo039792.688,305*
265-8-19OutNo029895.256,223*
255-7-20OutNo019997.134,473*
244-9-19OutNo19998.420,617*
234-8-20OutNo010098.912,085*
224-7-21OutNo010099.46,647*
213-9-20OutNo010099.63,679*
3-20OutNo100100.012,000*
Total:55.0%2.5%67888888888762.9%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealChicagoPhiladelphiaNew EnglandCincinnatiOrlandoMiamiNYCFC
67-9912.5%Yes
6619-6-712.41000
6519-5-812.4Yes
6418-7-712.5100000
6318-6-812.510000000000
6217-8-712.7100000000000000
6117-7-812.5100000000000000
6017-6-912.5100000000000000
16-9-712.5100000000000000
5916-8-812.599000000000000
17-5-1012.5100000000000000
5816-7-912.599000000000000
15-10-712.599000000000000
5716-6-1012.497000000000000
15-9-812.497000000000000
5615-8-912.294111110000000
16-5-1112.294111110000000
5515-7-1012.088111111111111
14-10-811.987111111111111
16-4-1212.088111111111111
5415-6-1111.579222222211111
14-9-911.477222222222111
13-12-711.478222222211111
5314-8-1010.664444443322222
15-5-1210.766444332222222
13-11-810.462444443322222
5214-7-119.449555554433332
13-10-99.146555554433332
15-4-139.449555554433332
5113-9-107.630666664444443
14-6-127.933666664444433
12-12-87.630666664444443
5013-8-115.817666665544443
14-5-136.019666665544443
12-11-95.516666665544443
4913-7-124.08555554444433
12-10-103.77555554444333
14-4-143.98555554444433
4812-9-112.23344443333222
13-6-132.33444443333322
4712-8-121.11222222222111
13-5-141.11222222211111
4612-7-130.40111111111111
4511-9-120.10000000000000
4411-8-130.00000000000000
4311-7-140.00000000000000
4210-9-130.0000000000000
4110-8-140.0000000000000
4010-7-15No0000000
3-39No
Total:3.8%21.81.71.71.71.71.71.31.31.21.21.11.00.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 2 Miami 1 -1.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.9-0.0-2.0
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.0-0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Chicago+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
78-99100
7723-5-4991
7623-4-51000
7522-6-410000
7422-5-510000
7322-4-69910
7221-6-59910
7121-5-69810
7020-7-59721
6920-6-696310
6820-5-794520
6719-7-6917300
6619-6-78794000
6519-5-88113600
6418-7-774178000
6318-6-8662212000
6217-8-75627161100
6117-7-844312112000
6017-6-933352634000
5916-8-8223629660000
5816-7-9133530101001000
5716-6-107302716151300000
5615-8-93242122203501000
5515-7-101171326228100200000
5415-6-110106262015152401000
5314-8-1005221142119680200000
5214-7-110211472419131424010000
5113-9-10010722113201869020000
5013-8-110030135231714152501000
4913-7-120010711910211881113000
4812-9-1100030113221417174820000
4712-8-12001051156221712146100000
4612-7-13000020821910201814620000
4511-9-1200003011322142016820000
4411-8-13000010511561723191031000
4311-7-140000208281824211241000
4210-9-13000030281825231351000
4110-8-14000010028182524145100
4010-7-150000002818262414510
399-9-14000000392028241330
389-8-1500000131123302391
379-7-160000014142731184
368-9-1500001720332910
358-8-160000312293718
348-7-170016224129
337-9-160003154042
327-8-1700193654
317-7-180052966
306-9-170022275
296-8-180011683
286-7-19001189
275-9-180793
265-8-190595
255-7-200397
244-9-19298
234-8-200199
224-7-21199
213-9-200100
203-8-210100
3-19100
Total:24343535354545444444444433