SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 55%

3 points 1-0-1

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/7	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United 2 Miami 1	+6.3		+0.5		+0.5		-2.1		+0.6
New England 1 Chicago 1	+0.4						-0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	+0.4								+0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0	-0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1	-0.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3					+0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5					-0.1		-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1							+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati vs DC United	-5.3+0.3+11.3		-0.6-0.0+1.3		-0.7-0.2+1.8		+0.8-0.2-1.5		-0.5+0.0+1.0
Philadelphia vs San Jose	-0.6+0.4+0.8		-0.0+0.0+0.1						-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland	-0.6+0.4+0.8		-0.0+0.0+0.1						-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy	-0.5+0.4+0.8		-0.0+0.0+0.1						-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville	-0.5+0.4+0.8		-0.1+0.1+0.1				-0.0*+0.0+0.1		-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL	-0.5+0.4+0.8		-0.1+0.1+0.1						-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas	-0.6+0.3+0.7				+0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.1-0.0-0.1		-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls	+0.4*-0.0-0.9		+0.0*+0.0-0.1		-0.1+0.1+0.1				+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC	-0.4+0.3+0.6		-0.1+0.0+0.1		+0.0+0.1-0.1				-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Chicago	-0.1+0.4-0.2
Vancouver vs Colorado					+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle					+0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed													Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Spoon		Count

77	-99						In		100.0	%	100													No		9,072	*
76		23	-	4	-	5	In		99.9		100	0												No		754	*
75		22	-	6	-	4	In		99.8		100	0												No		1,390	*
74		22	-	5	-	5	In		99.5		100	0												No		2,451	*
73		22	-	4	-	6	In		99.3		100	0												No		4,279	*
72		21	-	6	-	5	In		99.0		100	0												No		7,201	*
71		21	-	5	-	6	In		98.1		100	0												No		12,029	*
70		20	-	7	-	5	In		97.2		99	1												No		19,402	*
69		20	-	6	-	6	In		95.8		99	1	0											No		31,247	*
68		20	-	5	-	7	In		93.6		98	2	0											No		47,772	*
67		19	-	7	-	6	In		90.8		97	3	0											No		73,421	*
66		19	-	6	-	7	In		86.8		96	4	0	0										No		108,462	*
65		19	-	5	-	8	In		81.2		94	6	0											No		158,878	*
64		18	-	7	-	7	In		74.3		91	9	0	0										No		226,836	*
63		18	-	6	-	8	In		65.6		87	12	0	0										No		318,086	*
62		17	-	8	-	7	In		55.6		82	17	1	0										No		438,137	*
61		17	-	7	-	8	In		44.4		76	22	2	0	0									No		590,356	*
60		17	-	6	-	9	In		33.1		68	28	4	0	0									No		778,250	*
59		16	-	8	-	8	In		22.4		59	35	6	0	0	0								No		1,007,056	*
58		16	-	7	-	9	In		13.5		48	40	11	1	0	0								No		1,279,770	*
57		16	-	6	-	10	In		6.9		37	43	17	3	0	0	0							No		1,596,531	*
56		15	-	8	-	9	In		2.9		27	43	24	6	1	0	0							No		1,948,592	*
55		15	-	7	-	10	100.0	%	1.0		18	40	30	10	2	0	0	0						No		2,333,805	*
54		15	-	6	-	11	100.0		0.2		10	32	35	17	4	1	0	0						No		2,740,370	*
53		14	-	8	-	10	100.0		0.0		5	23	36	25	9	2	0	0	0					No		3,157,438	*
52		14	-	7	-	11	100.0		0.0		2	14	31	31	16	4	1	0	0	0				No		3,569,883	*
51		13	-	9	-	10	99.8		0.0		1	7	23	33	24	10	2	0	0	0				No		3,949,591	*
50		13	-	8	-	11	99.0		No		0	3	14	29	30	17	5	1	0	0	0			No		4,297,909	*
49		13	-	7	-	12	96.5		No		0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0	0			No		4,578,325	*
48		12	-	9	-	11	90.2		No		0	0	3	11	25	31	21	8	2	0	0	0		No		4,779,906	*
47		12	-	8	-	12	78.1		No		0	0	1	5	16	28	29	16	5	1	0	0	0	No		4,901,313	*
46		12	-	7	-	13	60.1		No		0	0	0	2	8	20	30	25	12	3	0	0	0	No		4,914,652	*
45		11	-	9	-	12	39.6		No			0	0	0	3	11	25	30	21	8	1	0	0	No		4,837,893	*
44		11	-	8	-	13	21.8		No			0	0	0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	1	0	No		4,666,563	*
43		11	-	7	-	14	9.8		No				0	0	0	2	8	21	31	25	10	2	0	No		4,409,737	*
42		10	-	9	-	13	3.6		No					0	0	0	3	13	27	32	19	5	1	0.0	%	4,080,465	*
41		10	-	8	-	14	1.1		No					0	0	0	1	6	19	32	28	11	2	0.0		3,699,938	*
40		10	-	7	-	15	0.3		No						0	0	0	2	11	28	34	20	4	0.1		3,285,532	*
39		9	-	9	-	14	0.1		No							0	0	1	6	20	36	30	9	0.4		2,856,030	*
38		9	-	8	-	15	0.0		No							0	0	0	2	12	32	38	15	1.5		2,424,128	*
37		9	-	7	-	16	0.0		No							0	0	0	1	7	25	43	25	4.3		2,022,964	*
36		8	-	9	-	15	0.0		No								0	0	0	3	18	43	35	9.9		1,646,290	*
35		8	-	8	-	16	Out		No									0	0	1	11	40	47	18.4		1,309,420	*
34		8	-	7	-	17	Out		No									0	0	1	7	35	58	29.5		1,020,383	*
33		7	-	9	-	16	Out		No										0	0	4	28	68	42.0		772,128	*
32		7	-	8	-	17	Out		No										0	0	2	22	76	54.4		574,594	*
31		7	-	7	-	18	Out		No											0	1	16	83	65.8		416,055	*
30		6	-	9	-	17	Out		No											0	0	11	88	75.4		294,473	*
29		6	-	8	-	18	Out		No											0	0	8	92	82.7		202,282	*
28		6	-	7	-	19	Out		No												0	5	95	88.6		135,480	*
27		5	-	9	-	18	Out		No												0	3	97	92.6		88,305	*
26		5	-	8	-	19	Out		No												0	2	98	95.2		56,223	*
25		5	-	7	-	20	Out		No												0	1	99	97.1		34,473	*
24		4	-	9	-	19	Out		No													1	99	98.4		20,617	*
23		4	-	8	-	20	Out		No													0	100	98.9		12,085	*
22		4	-	7	-	21	Out		No													0	100	99.4		6,647	*
21		3	-	9	-	20	Out		No													0	100	99.6		3,679	*
3	-20						Out		No														100	100.0		12,000	*

Total:							55.0	%	2.5	%	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	2.9	%	86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Atlanta	Columbus	Toronto FC	NY Red Bulls	Montreal	Chicago	Philadelphia	New England	Cincinnati	Orlando	Miami	NYCFC

67	-99						12.5	%	Yes
66		19	-	6	-	7	12.4		100				0
65		19	-	5	-	8	12.4		Yes
64		18	-	7	-	7	12.5		100	0	0										0
63		18	-	6	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0		0	0			0		0
62		17	-	8	-	7	12.7		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		17	-	7	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		17	-	6	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		16	-	9	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		16	-	8	-	8	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	-	5	-	10	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		16	-	7	-	9	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	-	10	-	7	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		16	-	6	-	10	12.4		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	-	9	-	8	12.4		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		15	-	8	-	9	12.2		94	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		16	-	5	-	11	12.2		94	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		15	-	7	-	10	12.0		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		14	-	10	-	8	11.9		87	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		16	-	4	-	12	12.0		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
54		15	-	6	-	11	11.5		79	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1
		14	-	9	-	9	11.4		77	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1
		13	-	12	-	7	11.4		78	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1
53		14	-	8	-	10	10.6		64	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	2
		15	-	5	-	12	10.7		66	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		13	-	11	-	8	10.4		62	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	2
52		14	-	7	-	11	9.4		49	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	3	2
		13	-	10	-	9	9.1		46	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	3	2
		15	-	4	-	13	9.4		49	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	3	2
51		13	-	9	-	10	7.6		30	6	6	6	6	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	3
		14	-	6	-	12	7.9		33	6	6	6	6	6	4	4	4	4	4	3	3
		12	-	12	-	8	7.6		30	6	6	6	6	6	4	4	4	4	4	4	3
50		13	-	8	-	11	5.8		17	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	4	3
		14	-	5	-	13	6.0		19	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	4	3
		12	-	11	-	9	5.5		16	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	4	3
49		13	-	7	-	12	4.0		8	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	3
		12	-	10	-	10	3.7		7	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3
		14	-	4	-	14	3.9		8	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	3
48		12	-	9	-	11	2.2		3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2
		13	-	6	-	13	2.3		3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2
47		12	-	8	-	12	1.1		1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1
		13	-	5	-	14	1.1		1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1
46		12	-	7	-	13	0.4		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
45		11	-	9	-	12	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
44		11	-	8	-	13	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
43		11	-	7	-	14	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
42		10	-	9	-	13	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		10	-	8	-	14	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		10	-	7	-	15	No			0	0		0	0		0	0		0
3	-39						No

Total:							3.8	%	21.8	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.3	1.3	1.2	1.2	1.1	1.0	0.8

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United 2 Miami 1	-1.1
New England 1 Chicago 1	-0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1	-0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0	+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs DC United	+0.9-0.0-2.0
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose	+0.1-0.1-0.1
New England vs Portland	+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy	+0.0-0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Chicago	+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26

78	-99						100
77		23	-	5	-	4	99	1
76		23	-	4	-	5	100		0
75		22	-	6	-	4	100	0	0
74		22	-	5	-	5	100	0	0
73		22	-	4	-	6	99	1	0
72		21	-	6	-	5	99	1	0
71		21	-	5	-	6	98	1	0
70		20	-	7	-	5	97	2	1
69		20	-	6	-	6	96	3	1		0
68		20	-	5	-	7	94	5	2		0
67		19	-	7	-	6	91	7	3	0	0
66		19	-	6	-	7	87	9	4	0	0		0
65		19	-	5	-	8	81	13	6	0	0
64		18	-	7	-	7	74	17	8	0	0		0
63		18	-	6	-	8	66	22	12	0	0		0
62		17	-	8	-	7	56	27	16	1	1	0	0
61		17	-	7	-	8	44	31	21	1	2	0	0		0
60		17	-	6	-	9	33	35	26	3	4	0	0		0
59		16	-	8	-	8	22	36	29	6	6	0	0		0		0
58		16	-	7	-	9	13	35	30	10	10	0	1	0	0		0
57		16	-	6	-	10	7	30	27	16	15	1	3	0	0	0	0		0
56		15	-	8	-	9	3	24	21	22	20	3	5	0	1	0	0		0
55		15	-	7	-	10	1	17	13	26	22	8	10	0	2	0	0	0	0		0
54		15	-	6	-	11	0	10	6	26	20	15	15	2	4	0	1	0	0		0
53		14	-	8	-	10	0	5	2	21	14	21	19	6	8	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
52		14	-	7	-	11	0	2	1	14	7	24	19	13	14	2	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
51		13	-	9	-	10	0	1	0	7	2	21	13	20	18	6	9	0	2	0	0	0	0
50		13	-	8	-	11		0	0	3	0	13	5	23	17	14	15	2	5	0	1	0	0	0
49		13	-	7	-	12		0	0	1	0	7	1	19	10	21	18	8	11	1	3	0	0	0
48		12	-	9	-	11		0		0	0	3	0	11	3	22	14	17	17	4	8	2	0	0	0	0
47		12	-	8	-	12		0		0		1	0	5	1	15	6	22	17	12	14	6	1	0	0	0	0	0
46		12	-	7	-	13		0		0		0	0	2	0	8	2	19	10	20	18	14	6	2	0	0	0	0
45		11	-	9	-	12				0		0		0	0	3	0	11	3	22	14	20	16	8	2	0	0	0	0
44		11	-	8	-	13				0		0		0	0	1	0	5	1	15	6	17	23	19	10	3	1	0	0	0
43		11	-	7	-	14						0		0		0	0	2	0	8	2	8	18	24	21	12	4	1	0	0	0
42		10	-	9	-	13								0		0		0	0	3	0	2	8	18	25	23	13	5	1	0	0	0
41		10	-	8	-	14								0		0		0	0	1	0	0	2	8	18	25	24	14	5	1	0	0
40		10	-	7	-	15										0		0		0	0	0	0	2	8	18	26	24	14	5	1	0
39		9	-	9	-	14												0		0	0	0	0	0	3	9	20	28	24	13	3	0
38		9	-	8	-	15												0		0		0	0	0	1	3	11	23	30	23	9	1
37		9	-	7	-	16												0		0			0	0	0	1	4	14	27	31	18	4
36		8	-	9	-	15														0				0	0	0	1	7	20	33	29	10
35		8	-	8	-	16																		0	0	0	0	3	12	29	37	18
34		8	-	7	-	17																				0	0	1	6	22	41	29
33		7	-	9	-	16																				0	0	0	3	15	40	42
32		7	-	8	-	17																					0	0	1	9	36	54
31		7	-	7	-	18																						0	0	5	29	66
30		6	-	9	-	17																						0	0	2	22	75
29		6	-	8	-	18																						0	0	1	16	83
28		6	-	7	-	19																							0	0	11	89
27		5	-	9	-	18																								0	7	93
26		5	-	8	-	19																								0	5	95
25		5	-	7	-	20																								0	3	97
24		4	-	9	-	19																									2	98
23		4	-	8	-	20																								0	1	99
22		4	-	7	-	21																									1	99
21		3	-	9	-	20																									0	100
20		3	-	8	-	21																									0	100
3	-19																															100

Total:							2	4	3	4	3	5	3	5	3	5	4	5	4	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3