DC United Playoff Chances

Beat FC Dallas 1-0, playoff odds up 18.2 to 83.1%
44 points   12-8-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
DC United 1 FC Dallas 0 +17.2
+0.6
+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Toronto FC+11.2-8.4-19.5
+0.7-0.6-1.1
+0.3-0.2-0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
DC United vs NYCFC+12.4-4.9-15.4
+0.9-0.5-1.1
+0.3-0.2-0.4
Montreal vs Toronto FC-9.7+7.3+13.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Orlando vs Columbus+0.5-0.2-0.3
+0.6+0.1-0.7
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Philadelphia vs NY Red Bulls-0.4-0.0+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
533-0-0InNo53407No8,546,266,668
512-1-0InNo125335No14,842,000,468
502-0-1InNo2773No18,932,856,143
491-2-091.5%No19739No8,430,117,363
481-1-189.9No68410No20,911,192,949
471-0-271.2No7129No12,443,300,668
0-3-071.2No7129No1,567,641,299
460-2-138.5No3961No5,683,266,369
450-1-232.3No3268No6,598,704,735
440-0-312.9No1387No2,463,741,508
Total:83.1%No6195817No100,419,088,170

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupNYCFCPhiladelphiaColumbus
533-0-06.3%234129
512-1-03.2133616
502-0-11.1621
491-2-00.7315
481-1-10.215
44-47No
Total:1.3%5.515.24.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/13100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 1 FC Dallas 0 -0.9
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Toronto FC-0.7+0.6+1.1
RSL vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/21100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs NYCFC-0.8+0.4+1.0
Montreal vs Toronto FC+0.2-0.2-0.3
Orlando vs Columbus-0.2-0.0+0.2
Philadelphia vs NY Red Bulls+0.1+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs LA Galaxy-0.1-0.0+0.1
Portland vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
LAFC vs Vancouver-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
533-0-035116247
512-1-0012250314
502-0-1275122
491-2-0191756620
481-1-161371631
471-0-256711134
0-3-01706149
460-2-13942433
450-1-23212245
440-0-3131869
Total:062172038467