DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.996%
47 points   14-5-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes 1 Galaxy 1 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Fire vs DC United-2.0-1.3+3.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Sounders+1.0+0.2-1.6
Crew vs New England+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs New England-0.0+0.1+0.0
FC Dallas vs Sounders+0.8+0.0-1.6
Galaxy vs FC Dallas-0.7+0.6+1.1

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
61-65In18.1%100No2,259,127,738*
604-1-1In2.4991No1,757,163,667
594-0-2In0.7991No841,400,772
3-3-0In0.41000No724,143,594
583-2-1In0.19730No2,092,889,014
573-1-2In0.090100No1,988,025,443
2-4-0In0.09460No324,599,768
562-3-1In0.084150No1,240,758,718
3-0-3In0.083170No620,467,927
552-2-2InNo673210No1,753,709,421
1-5-0InNo683110No77,244,311
542-1-3InNo5046500No1,085,970,294
1-4-1InNo524440No366,217,312
531-3-2InNo33571000No684,693,343
2-0-4InNo3655900No248,497,080
0-6-0InNo30581200No7,627,693
521-2-3100.0%No165825100No631,081,786
0-5-1100.0No155826100No43,049,207
511-1-4100.0No75138400No286,612,593
0-4-2100.0No65139300No99,836,770
500-3-3100.0No133531210No121,770,908
1-0-5100.0No235501210No51,330,133
490-2-499.9No0155129400No82,338,674
480-1-599.1No06374314100No29,277,478
470-0-694.3No1164532500No6,553,058
Total:100.0%2.6%7818400000No17,424,386,702

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCNew EnglandRed BullsUnionCrewToronto FCDynamoFire
56-6512.5%Yes
552-2-212.5100000000
1-5-012.5100000000
542-1-312.510000000000
1-4-112.510000000000
531-3-212.510000000000
2-0-412.510000000000
0-6-012.510000000000
521-2-312.59900000000
0-5-112.59900000000
511-1-412.49600111100
0-4-212.49700111100
500-3-312.08701442200
1-0-512.08701432200
490-2-411.26613986511
480-1-510.04316151310822
470-0-68.017082017131044
Total:12.5%99.40.00.00.20.10.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
New England 2 Impact 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Fire vs DC United+0.3+0.0-0.3
Crew vs New England-0.1-0.0+0.2
Sporting KC vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
656-0-06040
635-1-02773
625-0-11783
614-2-0694
604-1-129700
594-0-219801
3-3-009900
583-2-10970300
573-1-208911000
2-4-00940600
562-3-108401500
3-0-308301600
552-2-2670320100
1-5-0680310100
542-1-35004614000
1-4-1520441300
531-3-23305719000
2-0-43605518000
0-6-030058111000
521-2-31605812401000
0-5-11505812501000
511-1-4705113813000
0-4-265113912000
500-3-3133052211100
1-0-5235050210100
490-2-40150512274000
480-1-506037142112100
470-0-6101614423105000
Total:3760170300000000