DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 89.2%

7 points 2-1-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United 5 RSL 0	+3.9		+0.7		+2.5		-0.3		+0.4
Chicago 2 Seattle 4	+0.6		+0.1		-0.5				+0.1
NY Red Bulls 4 San Jose 1	-0.3		-0.1		-0.1				-0.0
Cincinnati 3 Portland 0	-0.3		-0.1
Columbus 1 FC Dallas 0	-0.3		-0.1		-0.1				-0.0
Atlanta 1 Philadelphia 1	+0.2
NYCFC 2 LAFC 2	+0.2		+0.1		+0.1
Orlando 1 Montreal 3					-0.2
Toronto FC 3 New England 2					-0.2
LA Galaxy 3 Minnesota 2					+0.2
Houston 3 Vancouver 2					-0.1
Colorado 1 Sporting KC 1					+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/23	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia vs Columbus	-0.2+0.2+0.1		+0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.3+0.1-0.6
Toronto FC vs NYCFC	+0.0+0.1-0.2		-0.0+0.1+0.0		-0.2+0.2+0.2
NY Red Bulls vs Orlando	-0.0+0.2-0.2		-0.0+0.1+0.0		-0.1+0.2+0.2
New England vs Cincinnati	-0.1+0.2-0.1		+0.0+0.0-0.1		+0.1+0.0-0.2
LAFC vs RSL					-0.2+0.3+0.3
FC Dallas vs Colorado					-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed												Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Spoon		Count

85	-100						In		100.0	%	100												No		100,543	*
84		24	-	5	-	2	In		99.9		100	0											No		3,310	*
82	-83						In		100.0		100												No		18,706	*
81		23	-	5	-	3	In		99.9		100	0											No		22,314	*
80		23	-	4	-	4	In		99.9		100	0											No		40,009	*
79		22	-	6	-	3	In		99.9		100	0											No		69,832	*
78		22	-	5	-	4	In		99.9		100	0											No		118,680	*
77		22	-	4	-	5	In		99.8		100	0											No		196,738	*
76		21	-	6	-	4	In		99.8		100	0											No		319,080	*
75		21	-	5	-	5	In		99.7		100	0											No		502,166	*
74		21	-	4	-	6	In		99.5		100	0	0										No		776,673	*
73		20	-	6	-	5	In		99.2		100	0											No		1,172,741	*
72		20	-	5	-	6	In		98.7		100	0	0										No		1,728,328	*
71		19	-	7	-	5	In		98.0		99	1	0										No		2,488,849	*
70		19	-	6	-	6	In		96.8		99	1	0										No		3,511,571	*
69		19	-	5	-	7	In		95.2		98	2	0	0									No		4,845,974	*
68		18	-	7	-	6	In		92.8		97	3	0	0									No		6,558,090	*
67		18	-	6	-	7	In		89.4		96	4	0	0									No		8,678,208	*
66		18	-	5	-	8	In		84.9		94	6	0	0									No		11,252,516	*
65		17	-	7	-	7	In		78.9		91	8	0	0	0								No		14,299,301	*
64		17	-	6	-	8	In		71.3		88	12	0	0	0								No		17,798,543	*
63		16	-	8	-	7	In		62.1		83	16	1	0	0								No		21,713,288	*
62		16	-	7	-	8	In		51.6		77	21	2	0	0	0							No		25,956,669	*
61		16	-	6	-	9	In		40.3		70	27	3	0	0	0							No		30,435,962	*
60		15	-	8	-	8	In		29.2		61	33	5	0	0	0							No		34,961,339	*
59		15	-	7	-	9	In		19.2		52	38	9	1	0	0							No		39,372,604	*
58		15	-	6	-	10	In		11.2		42	42	14	2	0	0	0						No		43,492,033	*
57		14	-	8	-	9	In		5.6		32	44	20	4	0	0	0						No		47,067,365	*
56		14	-	7	-	10	100.0	%	2.3		23	43	27	7	1	0	0	0					No		49,961,678	*
55		13	-	9	-	9	100.0		0.7		15	38	33	12	2	0	0	0					No		51,998,688	*
54		13	-	8	-	10	100.0		0.2		9	31	37	19	5	1	0	0	0				No		53,055,774	*
53		13	-	7	-	11	100.0		0.0		5	22	36	26	9	2	0	0	0				No		53,047,207	*
52		12	-	9	-	10	100.0		0.0		2	14	32	32	16	4	0	0	0	0			No		52,020,193	*
51		12	-	8	-	11	99.9		0.0		1	7	24	34	24	8	1	0	0	0			No		49,989,312	*
50		12	-	7	-	12	99.5		No		0	3	15	31	31	15	4	0	0	0	0		No		47,077,959	*
49		11	-	9	-	11	98.2		No		0	1	8	23	33	24	9	2	0	0	0		No		43,465,635	*
48		11	-	8	-	12	94.8		No		0	0	4	15	30	30	16	5	1	0	0	0	No		39,328,536	*
47		11	-	7	-	13	87.7		No		0	0	1	8	22	32	25	10	2	0	0	0	No		34,843,564	*
46		10	-	9	-	12	75.6		No		0	0	0	3	13	28	31	18	5	1	0	0	No		30,241,858	*
45		10	-	8	-	13	59.1		No		0	0	0	1	6	20	32	27	12	3	0	0	No		25,710,348	*
44		10	-	7	-	14	40.9		No			0	0	0	3	12	27	32	20	6	1	0	No		21,399,661	*
43		9	-	9	-	13	24.7		No			0	0	0	1	6	18	32	28	13	3	0	No		17,432,646	*
42		9	-	8	-	14	12.9		No				0	0	0	2	11	26	33	21	6	1	0.0	%	13,894,587	*
41		9	-	7	-	15	5.8		No				0	0	0	1	5	18	33	29	12	2	0.0		10,843,800	*
40		8	-	9	-	14	2.2		No					0	0	0	2	11	28	35	20	4	0.1		8,261,245	*
39		8	-	8	-	15	0.8		No						0	0	1	5	20	36	29	8	0.3		6,167,608	*
38		8	-	7	-	16	0.2		No							0	0	2	13	33	37	15	1.2		4,494,914	*
37		7	-	9	-	15	0.1		No							0	0	1	7	27	42	23	3.5		3,197,578	*
36		7	-	8	-	16	0.0		No							0	0	0	4	19	44	33	8.0		2,223,177	*
35		7	-	7	-	17	0.0		No								0	0	2	13	41	44	15.3		1,505,593	*
34		6	-	9	-	16	0.0		No								0	0	1	8	37	55	25.2		996,029	*
33		6	-	8	-	17	Out		No									0	0	5	31	65	36.8		643,099	*
32		6	-	7	-	18	Out		No									0	0	2	24	73	48.9		402,953	*
31		5	-	9	-	17	Out		No										0	1	18	81	60.6		246,384	*
30		5	-	8	-	18	Out		No										0	1	13	86	70.6		146,285	*
29		5	-	7	-	19	Out		No										0	0	9	91	79.1		84,064	*
28		4	-	9	-	18	Out		No											0	6	94	85.5		46,998	*
27		4	-	8	-	19	Out		No											0	4	96	90.4		25,481	*
26		4	-	7	-	20	Out		No											0	2	98	93.9		13,317	*
25		3	-	9	-	19	Out		No												1	99	96.0		6,770	*
24		3	-	8	-	20	Out		No												1	99	97.9		3,263	*
23		3	-	7	-	21	Out		No												0	100	98.9		1,562	*
22		2	-	9	-	20	Out		No												0	100	98.7		667	*
7	-21						Out		No													100	100.0		97,975	*

Total:							89.2	%	13.7	%	25	18	14	11	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0.2	%	940,377,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Columbus	Montreal	Toronto FC	NY Red Bulls	Cincinnati	NYCFC	Orlando	New England	Atlanta	Chicago	Philadelphia

70	-100						12.5	%	Yes
69		19	-	5	-	7	12.4		100							0
68		18	-	7	-	6	12.5		100		0			0	0	0
67		18	-	6	-	7	12.5		100			0	0	0	0	0	0
66		18	-	5	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0
65		17	-	7	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
64		17	-	6	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		16	-	8	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		16	-	7	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	-	4	-	10	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		16	-	6	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	-	9	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		15	-	8	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		16	-	5	-	10	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		15	-	7	-	9	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		14	-	10	-	7	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		15	-	6	-	10	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		14	-	9	-	8	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		14	-	8	-	9	12.4		96	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	-	5	-	11	12.4		96	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		14	-	7	-	10	12.2		92	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		13	-	10	-	8	12.2		92	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		15	-	4	-	12	12.2		93	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
55		13	-	9	-	9	11.9		85	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1
		14	-	6	-	11	11.9		86	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1
54		13	-	8	-	10	11.4		75	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1
		14	-	5	-	12	11.5		77	3	3	3	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	1
		12	-	11	-	8	11.4		75	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1
53		13	-	7	-	11	10.7		63	4	5	4	5	4	3	2	2	2	2	2
		12	-	10	-	9	10.7		62	4	5	5	5	4	3	2	2	2	2	2
52		12	-	9	-	10	9.6		46	6	6	6	6	6	5	3	3	3	3	2
		13	-	6	-	12	9.7		48	5	6	6	6	6	5	3	3	3	3	2
51		12	-	8	-	11	8.3		32	7	7	7	7	7	6	4	4	4	3	3
		13	-	5	-	13	8.5		34	6	7	7	7	7	5	4	4	3	3	3
		11	-	11	-	9	8.1		30	7	7	7	7	7	6	4	4	4	3	3
50		12	-	7	-	12	6.8		20	7	8	7	8	7	6	4	4	4	4	3
		11	-	10	-	10	6.6		18	7	8	7	8	7	6	4	4	4	4	3
49		11	-	9	-	11	4.8		9	6	7	7	7	6	5	4	4	4	3	3
		12	-	6	-	13	5.0		10	6	7	7	7	6	5	4	4	4	3	3
48		11	-	8	-	12	3.2		4	5	5	5	5	5	4	3	3	3	3	2
47		11	-	7	-	13	1.9		1	3	3	3	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	2
46		10	-	9	-	12	1.0		0	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1
45		10	-	8	-	13	0.4		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
44		10	-	7	-	14	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
43		9	-	9	-	13	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
42		9	-	8	-	14	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		9	-	7	-	15	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		8	-	9	-	14	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		8	-	8	-	15	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
7	-38						No

Total:							8.6	%	56.8	2.2	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.3	1.9	1.4	1.3	1.2	1.1	1.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United 5 RSL 0	-0.9
Columbus 1 FC Dallas 0	+0.1
Chicago 2 Seattle 4	-0.1
NY Red Bulls 4 San Jose 1	+0.1
NYCFC 2 LAFC 2	-0.0
Cincinnati 3 Portland 0	+0.0
Toronto FC 3 New England 2	+0.0
Orlando 1 Montreal 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/23	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Columbus	-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Orlando	+0.0-0.1-0.0
Toronto FC vs NYCFC	+0.0-0.1-0.0
New England vs Cincinnati	-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

86	-100						100
85		25	-	3	-	3	100	0
84		24	-	5	-	2	100	0	0
83		24	-	4	-	3	100	0
82		24	-	3	-	4	100	0
81		23	-	5	-	3	100	0	0
80		23	-	4	-	4	100	0	0
79		22	-	6	-	3	100	0	0
78		22	-	5	-	4	100	0	0
77		22	-	4	-	5	100	0	0
76		21	-	6	-	4	100	0	0
75		21	-	5	-	5	100	0	0
74		21	-	4	-	6	99	0	0		0
73		20	-	6	-	5	99	1	0
72		20	-	5	-	6	99	1	0		0
71		19	-	7	-	5	98	1	1		0
70		19	-	6	-	6	97	2	1		0
69		19	-	5	-	7	95	3	2	0	0		0
68		18	-	7	-	6	93	5	3	0	0		0
67		18	-	6	-	7	89	7	4	0	0		0
66		18	-	5	-	8	85	9	6	0	0		0
65		17	-	7	-	7	79	13	8	0	0		0		0
64		17	-	6	-	8	71	16	12	0	0	0	0		0
63		16	-	8	-	7	62	21	16	0	1	0	0		0
62		16	-	7	-	8	52	25	21	1	2	0	0		0		0
61		16	-	6	-	9	40	29	25	2	3	0	0	0	0		0
60		15	-	8	-	8	29	32	30	3	5	0	0	0	0		0
59		15	-	7	-	9	19	33	32	6	9	0	1	0	0		0
58		15	-	6	-	10	11	31	32	11	13	0	2	0	0	0	0		0
57		14	-	8	-	9	6	26	28	17	19	1	4	0	0	0	0		0
56		14	-	7	-	10	2	20	21	22	23	4	7	0	1	0	0		0		0
55		13	-	9	-	9	1	14	13	25	25	8	12	0	2	0	0	0	0		0
54		13	-	8	-	10	0	8	6	25	22	15	17	2	5	0	1	0	0		0	0
53		13	-	7	-	11	0	4	2	20	15	21	21	5	9	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
52		12	-	9	-	10	0	2	1	13	8	24	21	12	15	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
51		12	-	8	-	11	0	1	0	7	3	21	15	19	19	5	8	0	1	0	0	0	0
50		12	-	7	-	12		0	0	3	1	15	7	24	19	11	14	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
49		11	-	9	-	11		0	0	1	0	8	2	21	13	20	19	5	8	0	2	0	0	0
48		11	-	8	-	12		0	0	0	0	4	0	14	6	24	18	13	15	2	4	1	0	0	0
47		11	-	7	-	13		0		0	0	1	0	7	2	20	11	21	18	6	10	2	0	0	0	0
46		10	-	9	-	12		0		0	0	0	0	3	0	13	4	24	16	15	16	7	2	0	0	0	0
45		10	-	8	-	13		0		0		0	0	1	0	6	1	19	9	23	18	15	6	1	0	0	0	0
44		10	-	7	-	14				0		0		0	0	3	0	11	3	23	15	21	15	6	2	0	0	0	0
43		9	-	9	-	13				0		0		0	0	1	0	5	1	18	8	19	23	16	7	2	0	0	0
42		9	-	8	-	14						0		0		0	0	2	0	10	3	11	22	25	17	7	2	0	0	0
41		9	-	7	-	15						0		0		0	0	1	0	5	1	5	14	25	26	16	6	1	0	0
40		8	-	9	-	14								0		0		0	0	2	0	1	6	17	27	26	15	5	1	0
39		8	-	8	-	15										0		0		1	0	0	2	8	20	29	25	12	3	0
38		8	-	7	-	16												0		0	0	0	0	3	11	23	30	22	8	1
37		7	-	9	-	15												0		0	0	0	0	1	5	15	29	31	17	3
36		7	-	8	-	16												0		0		0	0	0	2	8	22	34	27	8
35		7	-	7	-	17														0			0	0	0	3	14	31	36	15
34		6	-	9	-	16														0			0	0	0	1	7	25	41	25
33		6	-	8	-	17																		0	0	0	4	18	42	37
32		6	-	7	-	18																			0	0	1	11	39	49
31		5	-	9	-	17																				0	1	6	33	61
30		5	-	8	-	18																				0	0	3	26	71
29		5	-	7	-	19																				0	0	2	19	79
28		4	-	9	-	18																					0	1	14	85
27		4	-	8	-	19																						0	9	90
26		4	-	7	-	20																						0	6	94
25		3	-	9	-	19																						0	4	96
24		3	-	8	-	20																							2	98
23		3	-	7	-	21																							1	99
22		2	-	9	-	20																							1	99
21		2	-	8	-	21																							1	99
7	-20																													100

Total:							14	11	10	8	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0