SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holding my newborn
4 a.m.

DC United Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%

0 points 0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United vs Crew	+6.3-4.7-10.3		+0.7-0.6-1.2		+1.5-1.3-2.3		-1.7+1.1+2.9		+0.4-0.3-0.7
Chivas USA vs Fire	+0.5-0.0-1.2		+0.1*-0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls	+0.5-0.0-1.2		+0.1*-0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Sporting KC	+0.5-0.0-1.2		+0.1*+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Impact	+0.5-0.0-1.2		+0.1*-0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Union	+0.5-0.0-1.2		+0.1*-0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.0-0.1
Dynamo vs New England	-0.2+0.5-0.2		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1
Earthquakes vs Rapids					-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1-0.0
Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake					-0.0+0.1-0.1		+0.0-0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Galaxy vs DC United	-4.3+0.2+10.6		-0.5+0.0+1.3		-1.3-0.1+3.4		+1.2-0.3-2.6		-0.3+0.0+0.7
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas	-0.7+0.5+1.0		-0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.1				-0.0+0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Rapids	-0.6+0.5+1.0		-0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.1				-0.0+0.0+0.1
Timbers vs Fire	+0.5-0.0-1.2		+0.1*-0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Toronto FC	+0.5-0.0-1.2		+0.1*+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.1-0.0		+0.0-0.0-0.1
Dynamo vs Impact	-0.2+0.5-0.2		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1
Union vs New England	-0.2+0.5-0.2		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.1
Chivas USA vs Whitecaps					-0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Spoon		Count

78	-102						In		100.0	%	100										No		235,289	*
77		24	-	5	-	5	In		100.0		100	0									No		12,224	*
76		23	-	7	-	4	In		99.9		100	0									No		22,221	*
75		23	-	6	-	5	In		99.9		100	0									No		39,063	*
74		23	-	5	-	6	In		99.9		100	0									No		68,189	*
73		22	-	7	-	5	In		99.8		100	0									No		114,564	*
72		22	-	6	-	6	In		99.8		100	0									No		190,709	*
71		22	-	5	-	7	In		99.6		100	0									No		308,762	*
70		21	-	7	-	6	In		99.3		100	0	0								No		490,710	*
69		21	-	6	-	7	In		98.9		100	0	0								No		764,324	*
68		20	-	8	-	6	In		98.2		99	1	0								No		1,164,604	*
67		20	-	7	-	7	In		97.2		99	1	0								No		1,742,911	*
66		20	-	6	-	8	In		95.6		98	2	0								No		2,554,621	*
65		19	-	8	-	7	In		93.3		97	3	0	0							No		3,665,444	*
64		19	-	7	-	8	In		89.8		96	4	0	0							No		5,166,197	*
63		19	-	6	-	9	In		85.1		94	6	0	0							No		7,131,621	*
62		18	-	8	-	8	In		78.8		90	9	0	0	0						No		9,668,294	*
61		18	-	7	-	9	In		70.6		86	13	1	0	0						No		12,850,127	*
60		18	-	6	-	10	In		60.5		80	18	1	0	0						No		16,763,750	*
59		17	-	8	-	9	In		49.0		73	24	2	0	0						No		21,454,141	*
58		17	-	7	-	10	100.0	%	36.8		64	31	4	0	0	0					No		26,920,220	*
57		16	-	9	-	9	100.0		25.0		54	37	8	1	0	0	0				No		33,168,344	*
56		16	-	8	-	10	100.0		14.9		43	43	13	1	0	0	0				No		40,090,610	*
55		16	-	7	-	11	100.0		7.5		32	45	20	3	0	0	0				No		47,545,523	*
54		15	-	9	-	10	100.0		3.0		22	43	27	7	1	0	0	0			No		55,347,772	*
53		15	-	8	-	11	99.8		0.9		13	38	34	13	2	0	0	0			No		63,219,040	*
52		15	-	7	-	12	99.4		0.2		7	29	38	21	5	1	0	0	0		No		70,860,292	*
51		14	-	9	-	11	98.1		0.0		3	19	36	29	11	2	0	0	0		No		77,910,483	*
50		14	-	8	-	12	94.6		0.0		1	11	29	35	19	5	1	0	0	0	No		84,052,628	*
49		14	-	7	-	13	87.2		0.0		0	5	20	34	28	11	2	0	0	0	No		88,992,300	*
48		13	-	9	-	12	74.5		No		0	2	11	28	34	19	5	1	0	0	No		92,424,394	*
47		13	-	8	-	13	57.1		No		0	1	5	19	33	29	12	2	0	0	No		94,166,302	*
46		12	-	10	-	12	38.0		No		0	0	2	10	26	34	21	6	1	0	No		94,112,588	*
45		12	-	9	-	13	21.5		No		0	0	0	4	17	33	30	13	2	0	0.0	%	92,231,691	*
44		12	-	8	-	14	10.2		No		0	0	0	1	9	25	35	23	6	1	0.0		88,645,193	*
43		11	-	10	-	13	4.0		No		0	0	0	0	4	16	34	32	13	2	0.0		83,520,211	*
42		11	-	9	-	14	1.3		No			0	0	0	1	9	27	37	22	4	0.0		77,165,761	*
41		11	-	8	-	15	0.4		No			0	0	0	0	4	18	37	32	9	0.3		69,885,124	*
40		10	-	10	-	14	0.1		No				0	0	0	1	10	32	40	16	1.4		62,017,423	*
39		10	-	9	-	15	0.0		No					0	0	0	5	24	45	26	4.3		53,927,126	*
38		10	-	8	-	16	0.0		No					0	0	0	2	16	44	37	10.1		45,935,233	*
37		9	-	10	-	15	0.0		No					0	0	0	1	10	41	48	19.1		38,314,928	*
36		9	-	9	-	16	0.0		No						0	0	0	6	34	60	30.7		31,283,297	*
35		9	-	8	-	17	0.0		No						0	0	0	3	27	70	43.6		25,005,369	*
34		8	-	10	-	16	Out		No							0	0	1	21	78	56.2		19,552,820	*
33		8	-	9	-	17	Out		No							0	0	1	15	85	67.5		14,951,017	*
32		8	-	8	-	18	Out		No								0	0	10	89	76.8		11,183,496	*
31		7	-	10	-	17	Out		No								0	0	7	93	84.1		8,170,501	*
30		7	-	9	-	18	Out		No								0	0	4	96	89.4		5,831,897	*
29		7	-	8	-	19	Out		No								0	0	3	97	93.2		4,067,022	*
28		6	-	10	-	18	Out		No									0	2	98	95.7		2,761,494	*
27		6	-	9	-	19	Out		No									0	1	99	97.4		1,833,270	*
26		6	-	8	-	20	Out		No									0	1	99	98.5		1,182,420	*
25		5	-	10	-	19	Out		No									0	0	100	99.1		746,642	*
24		5	-	9	-	20	Out		No										0	100	99.5		456,048	*
23		5	-	8	-	21	Out		No										0	100	99.7		270,894	*
22		4	-	10	-	20	Out		No										0	100	99.8		156,507	*
21		4	-	9	-	21	Out		No										0	100	99.9		88,104	*
20		4	-	8	-	22	Out		No										0	100	99.9		48,065	*
0	-19						Out		No											100	100.0		270,416	*

Total:							50.0	%	5.3	%	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	5.3	%	1,692,720,230

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Impact	Sporting KC	Union	Dynamo	Fire	Toronto FC	Red Bulls	New England	Crew

66	-102						12.5	%	Yes
65		19	-	8	-	7	12.5		100					0
64		19	-	7	-	8	12.5		100	0		0	0			0	0	0
63		19	-	6	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		18	-	8	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		18	-	7	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		18	-	6	-	10	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		17	-	8	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		17	-	7	-	10	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		16	-	9	-	9	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	-	6	-	11	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		16	-	8	-	10	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	-	5	-	12	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		16	-	7	-	11	12.4		96	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	-	10	-	9	12.3		96	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
54		15	-	9	-	10	12.2		92	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		16	-	6	-	12	12.2		92	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
53		15	-	8	-	11	11.8		85	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		14	-	11	-	9	11.8		84	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		16	-	5	-	13	11.9		86	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
52		15	-	7	-	12	11.3		74	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
		14	-	10	-	10	11.2		73	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
51		14	-	9	-	11	10.2		58	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
		15	-	6	-	13	10.4		60	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
		13	-	12	-	9	10.3		58	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
50		14	-	8	-	12	8.9		41	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
		13	-	11	-	10	8.8		40	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
		15	-	5	-	14	9.0		42	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
49		14	-	7	-	13	7.3		26	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
		13	-	10	-	11	7.1		24	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
		12	-	13	-	9	7.2		25	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
48		13	-	9	-	12	5.3		13	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
		14	-	6	-	14	5.5		14	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
		12	-	12	-	10	5.2		12	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
47		13	-	8	-	13	3.5		5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
		12	-	11	-	11	3.5		5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
46		13	-	7	-	14	2.1		2	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
		12	-	10	-	12	2.0		2	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
45		12	-	9	-	13	1.0		0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
44		12	-	8	-	14	0.4		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
43		12	-	7	-	15	0.2		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
42		11	-	9	-	14	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		11	-	8	-	15	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		10	-	10	-	14	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		10	-	9	-	15	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
38		10	-	8	-	16	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
37		10	-	7	-	17	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36		9	-	9	-	16	No			0	0			0	0	0		0
35		9	-	8	-	17	No								0
0	-34						No

Total:							5.0	%	30.0	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.2

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United vs Crew	-0.8+0.6+1.3
Timbers vs Union	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs Fire	-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Impact	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Sporting KC	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs New England	+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Galaxy vs DC United	+0.6-0.0-1.5
Red Bulls vs Rapids	+0.0-0.1-0.1
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas	+0.0-0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Fire	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Toronto FC	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Union vs New England	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Dynamo vs Impact	+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19

80	-102						100
79		25	-	4	-	5	100	0
78		24	-	6	-	4	100	0
77		24	-	5	-	5	100	0	0
76		23	-	7	-	4	100	0	0
75		23	-	6	-	5	100	0	0
74		23	-	5	-	6	100	0	0
73		22	-	7	-	5	100	0	0
72		22	-	6	-	6	100	0	0
71		22	-	5	-	7	100	0	0
70		21	-	7	-	6	99	0	0		0
69		21	-	6	-	7	99	1	0		0
68		20	-	8	-	6	98	1	1		0
67		20	-	7	-	7	97	2	1		0
66		20	-	6	-	8	96	3	2	0	0
65		19	-	8	-	7	93	4	3	0	0		0
64		19	-	7	-	8	90	6	4	0	0		0
63		19	-	6	-	9	85	8	6	0	0		0
62		18	-	8	-	8	79	12	9	0	0		0		0
61		18	-	7	-	9	71	16	13	0	1	0	0		0
60		18	-	6	-	10	61	20	18	0	1	0	0		0
59		17	-	8	-	9	49	24	24	1	2	0	0		0
58		17	-	7	-	10	37	28	29	2	4	0	0		0		0
57		16	-	9	-	9	25	29	34	4	8	0	1	0	0		0	0
56		16	-	8	-	10	15	28	35	7	13	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
55		16	-	7	-	11	7	25	33	12	19	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
54		15	-	9	-	10	3	19	25	18	25	2	7	0	1	0	0	0	0
53		15	-	8	-	11	1	12	16	22	29	5	13	0	2	0	0	0	0
52		15	-	7	-	12	0	7	8	21	27	11	20	1	5	0	1	0	0	0
51		14	-	9	-	11	0	3	2	17	19	17	26	3	11	0	2	0	0	0
50		14	-	8	-	12	0	1	0	10	9	20	26	8	18	1	5	1	0	0	0
49		14	-	7	-	13	0	0	0	5	3	17	19	15	25	3	11	2	0	0	0	0
48		13	-	9	-	12		0	0	2	1	10	9	19	26	8	19	6	1	0	0	0	0
47		13	-	8	-	13		0	0	1	0	5	3	16	18	15	26	14	3	0	0	0	0
46		12	-	10	-	12		0	0	0	0	2	0	9	8	18	25	24	10	2	0	0	0	0
45		12	-	9	-	13		0		0	0	0	0	4	2	15	17	29	22	8	2	0	0	0	0
44		12	-	8	-	14		0		0	0	0	0	1	0	8	8	23	30	20	8	2	0	0	0
43		11	-	10	-	13		0		0		0	0	0	0	4	2	12	26	29	19	7	1	0	0
42		11	-	9	-	14				0		0	0	0	0	1	0	4	14	27	29	17	6	1	0
41		11	-	8	-	15				0		0		0	0	0	0	1	6	17	29	28	14	4	0
40		10	-	10	-	14						0		0	0	0	0	0	2	8	21	32	26	10	1
39		10	-	9	-	15								0		0	0	0	0	3	12	27	34	20	4
38		10	-	8	-	16								0		0	0	0	0	1	5	18	35	31	10
37		9	-	10	-	15								0		0	0	0	0	0	2	10	29	39	19
36		9	-	9	-	16										0		0	0	0	1	5	21	43	31
35		9	-	8	-	17										0		0	0	0	0	2	13	41	44
34		8	-	10	-	16														0	0	1	8	36	56
33		8	-	9	-	17														0	0	0	4	28	67
32		8	-	8	-	18															0	0	2	21	77
31		7	-	10	-	17															0	0	1	15	84
30		7	-	9	-	18															0	0	0	10	89
29		7	-	8	-	19																0	0	7	93
28		6	-	10	-	18																0	0	4	96
27		6	-	9	-	19																	0	3	97
26		6	-	8	-	20																	0	2	98
25		5	-	10	-	19																	0	1	99
24		5	-	9	-	20																	0	1	99
23		5	-	8	-	21																		0	100
22		4	-	10	-	20																		0	100
21		4	-	9	-	21																		0	100
20		4	-	8	-	22																		0	100
19		3	-	10	-	21																		0	100
18		3	-	9	-	22																		0	100
17		3	-	8	-	23																		0	100
0	-16																								100

Total:							5	5	5	5	6	4	6	4	6	4	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	5