SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

DC United Playoff Chances

Tied Crew 1-1, playoff odds up 1.6 to 48.6%

8 points 2-2-2

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 4/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Crew 1 DC United 1	+0.8		+0.1				-0.3		+0.1
Union 0 Dynamo 0	+0.6		+0.1
Fire 1 New England 1	+0.6		+0.1
FC Dallas 2 Toronto FC 1	+0.4				-0.1				+0.0
Sporting KC 4 Impact 0	-0.3		-0.1				-0.1
Chivas USA 1 Sounders 2					-0.1		-0.2
Real Salt Lake 1 Timbers 0					-0.1		-0.2
Rapids 0 Earthquakes 0					+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United vs FC Dallas	+8.0-3.6-8.5		+0.9-0.4-0.9		+0.7-0.4-0.7		-1.2+0.4+1.5		+0.5-0.2-0.5
Dynamo vs Timbers	-0.9+0.7+1.4		-0.1+0.1+0.2				-0.1*+0.0+0.3		-0.0+0.0+0.1
Impact vs Union	+0.5+0.4-1.1		+0.1+0.0-0.1				+0.2-0.1-0.2
New England vs Sporting KC	-0.8+0.5+0.5		-0.1+0.1+0.0		+0.1+0.0-0.1		+0.1-0.0-0.1
Crew vs Red Bulls	+0.1+0.3-0.8		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.1+0.0+0.1		-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Whitecaps					-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sounders vs Rapids					-0.0+0.1-0.0
Earthquakes vs Chivas USA							+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Spoon		Count

77	-92						In		Yes		100										No		116,405	*
76		21	-	5	-	2	In		99.5	%	100	0									No		439	*
74	-75						In		99.8		100										No		2,804	*
73		20	-	5	-	3	In		99.7		100	0									No		3,901	*
72		20	-	4	-	4	In		99.6		100	0									No		7,662	*
71		19	-	6	-	3	In		99.1		100	0									No		14,445	*
70		19	-	5	-	4	In		98.5		100	0	0								No		26,857	*
69		19	-	4	-	5	In		97.6		99	1									No		48,204	*
68		18	-	6	-	4	In		96.2		99	1	0								No		85,253	*
67		18	-	5	-	5	In		94.3		98	2	0								No		146,451	*
66		17	-	7	-	4	In		91.2		97	3	0								No		245,440	*
65		17	-	6	-	5	In		87.1		96	4	0								No		397,970	*
64		17	-	5	-	6	In		81.5		94	6	0	0							No		633,493	*
63		16	-	7	-	5	In		74.4		92	8	0	0							No		984,673	*
62		16	-	6	-	6	In		65.6		88	11	0	0							No		1,493,640	*
61		16	-	5	-	7	In		55.3		84	16	1	0							No		2,209,681	*
60		15	-	7	-	6	In		44.1		78	21	1	0							No		3,198,074	*
59		15	-	6	-	7	In		32.8		71	27	2	0	0						No		4,529,366	*
58		14	-	8	-	6	In		22.4		63	33	4	0	0						No		6,262,850	*
57		14	-	7	-	7	100.0	%	13.7		54	39	7	0	0	0					No		8,461,217	*
56		14	-	6	-	8	100.0		7.3		44	44	11	1	0	0					No		11,186,315	*
55		13	-	8	-	7	100.0		3.3		34	47	17	2	0	0					No		14,454,385	*
54		13	-	7	-	8	100.0		1.2		24	47	24	4	0	0	0				No		18,261,510	*
53		13	-	6	-	9	100.0		0.4		16	44	32	7	0	0	0				No		22,556,254	*
52		12	-	8	-	8	99.9		0.1		10	37	39	13	1	0	0	0			No		27,231,132	*
51		12	-	7	-	9	99.8		0.0		5	28	42	21	4	0	0	0			No		32,177,126	*
50		12	-	6	-	10	99.2		0.0		2	19	41	30	8	1	0	0			No		37,146,295	*
49		11	-	8	-	9	97.6		0.0		1	11	34	37	15	2	0	0	0		No		41,923,404	*
48		11	-	7	-	10	93.8		0.0		0	5	25	40	24	6	1	0	0		No		46,279,475	*
47		10	-	9	-	9	86.1		No		0	2	15	36	33	12	2	0	0		No		49,917,930	*
46		10	-	8	-	10	73.5		No		0	1	8	28	38	21	5	0	0	0	No		52,620,088	*
45		10	-	7	-	11	56.7		No		0	0	3	17	36	31	11	2	0	0	No		54,196,744	*
44		9	-	9	-	10	38.6		No		0	0	1	9	29	37	20	4	0	0	No		54,559,911	*
43		9	-	8	-	11	22.8		No		0	0	0	4	19	36	30	10	1	0	0.0	%	53,615,132	*
42		9	-	7	-	12	11.5		No			0	0	1	10	30	36	19	4	0	0.0		51,449,934	*
41		8	-	9	-	11	4.9		No			0	0	0	5	20	37	29	8	1	0.0		48,211,206	*
40		8	-	8	-	12	1.8		No			0	0	0	2	12	32	37	16	2	0.0		44,053,413	*
39		8	-	7	-	13	0.6		No				0	0	1	6	24	40	25	4	0.1		39,291,608	*
38		7	-	9	-	12	0.1		No				0	0	0	2	15	38	35	9	0.6		34,159,712	*
37		7	-	8	-	13	0.0		No					0	0	1	9	32	43	15	1.9		28,945,635	*
36		7	-	7	-	14	0.0		No					0	0	0	4	24	47	24	4.9		23,894,201	*
35		6	-	9	-	13	0.0		No					0	0	0	2	16	47	35	10.2		19,200,444	*
34		6	-	8	-	14	0.0		No						0	0	1	10	44	46	18.1		15,003,568	*
33		6	-	7	-	15	0.0		No						0	0	0	6	38	57	28.3		11,410,853	*
32		5	-	9	-	14	Out		No							0	0	3	30	67	39.9		8,424,973	*
31		5	-	8	-	15	Out		No								0	1	23	75	51.8		6,041,382	*
30		5	-	7	-	16	Out		No								0	1	17	82	62.9		4,195,433	*
29		4	-	9	-	15	Out		No								0	0	12	88	72.7		2,826,101	*
28		4	-	8	-	16	Out		No								0	0	8	92	80.7		1,841,448	*
27		4	-	7	-	17	Out		No								0	0	5	95	86.8		1,160,077	*
26		3	-	9	-	16	Out		No									0	3	97	91.4		704,761	*
25		3	-	8	-	17	Out		No									0	2	98	94.6		409,710	*
24		3	-	7	-	18	Out		No									0	1	99	96.7		230,939	*
23		2	-	9	-	17	Out		No									0	1	99	98.1		124,498	*
22		2	-	8	-	18	Out		No										0	100	98.9		64,370	*
21		2	-	7	-	19	Out		No										0	100	99.4		31,446	*
20		2	-	6	-	20	Out		No										0	100	99.7		14,585	*
19		1	-	8	-	19	Out		No										0	100	99.8		6,408	*
18		1	-	7	-	20	Out		No										0	100	100.0		2,616	*
8	-17						Out		No											100	100.0		117,687	*

Total:							48.6	%	1.3	%	5	8	11	12	13	12	12	11	10	6	2.8	%	886,811,534

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Sporting KC	Crew	Toronto FC	Dynamo	Union	New England	Fire	Red Bulls	Impact

65	-92						12.5	%	Yes
64		17	-	5	-	6	12.5		100				0	0
63		16	-	7	-	5	12.5		100			0		0	0		0
62		16	-	6	-	6	12.5		100	0		0	0	0	0	0	0
61		16	-	5	-	7	12.5		100		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		15	-	7	-	6	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		15	-	6	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		14	-	8	-	6	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		14	-	7	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		14	-	6	-	8	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		13	-	8	-	7	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		14	-	5	-	9	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
54		13	-	7	-	8	12.4		96	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
		12	-	10	-	6	12.4		96	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
53		13	-	6	-	9	12.2		93	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
		12	-	9	-	7	12.2		92	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
52		12	-	8	-	8	11.9		85	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	0
		13	-	5	-	10	11.9		86	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	0
51		12	-	7	-	9	11.4		76	2	3	4	4	3	3	3	3	1
		11	-	10	-	7	11.3		75	2	3	4	4	3	3	3	3	1
50		12	-	6	-	10	10.6		63	3	4	6	5	5	4	4	4	1
		11	-	9	-	8	10.6		61	4	4	6	6	5	5	4	4	1
49		11	-	8	-	9	9.5		46	5	6	8	8	7	6	6	6	1
		12	-	5	-	11	9.6		48	5	6	8	7	6	6	6	5	1
		10	-	11	-	7	9.4		45	5	6	8	8	7	6	6	6	1
48		11	-	7	-	10	8.2		31	6	7	10	9	8	8	7	7	2
		10	-	10	-	8	8.0		29	6	7	10	9	8	8	7	7	2
		12	-	4	-	12	8.2		31	6	7	10	9	8	8	7	7	2
47		10	-	9	-	9	6.4		17	6	7	10	10	9	8	8	8	2
		11	-	6	-	11	6.6		18	6	8	10	10	9	8	8	8	2
		9	-	12	-	7	6.4		17	6	7	10	10	9	8	8	8	2
46		10	-	8	-	10	4.8		8	6	7	10	9	8	8	7	7	2
		11	-	5	-	12	5.0		9	6	7	10	10	8	8	8	7	2
		9	-	11	-	8	4.7		7	6	7	10	9	8	8	7	8	2
45		10	-	7	-	11	3.3		3	4	6	8	8	7	7	6	6	2
		9	-	10	-	9	3.2		3	4	5	8	8	7	6	6	6	2
44		9	-	9	-	10	1.9		1	3	4	6	6	5	5	4	4	1
		10	-	6	-	12	2.0		1	3	4	6	6	5	5	4	4	2
43		9	-	8	-	11	1.1		0	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	1
42		9	-	7	-	12	0.5		0	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	0
41		8	-	9	-	11	0.2		0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0
40		8	-	8	-	12	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		8	-	7	-	13	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
38		7	-	9	-	12	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
37		7	-	8	-	13	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36		7	-	7	-	14	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35		6	-	9	-	13	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34		6	-	8	-	14	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33		5	-	10	-	13	No					0					0
8	-32						No

Total:							4.5	%	23.9	2.1	2.6	3.7	3.6	3.2	3.0	2.8	2.8	0.8

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
Crew 1 DC United 1	-0.1
Union 0 Dynamo 0	-0.1
Fire 1 New England 1	-0.1
FC Dallas 2 Toronto FC 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United vs FC Dallas	-1.0+0.4+1.0
Dynamo vs Timbers	+0.1-0.1-0.1
Impact vs Union	-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19

77	-92						100
76		21	-	5	-	2	100	0	0
75		21	-	4	-	3	100	0
74		21	-	3	-	4	100	0
73		20	-	5	-	3	100	0	0
72		20	-	4	-	4	100	0	0
71		19	-	6	-	3	99	1	0
70		19	-	5	-	4	98	1	0		0
69		19	-	4	-	5	98	2	1
68		18	-	6	-	4	96	3	1		0
67		18	-	5	-	5	94	4	2	0	0
66		17	-	7	-	4	91	6	3	0	0
65		17	-	6	-	5	87	9	4	0	0
64		17	-	5	-	6	82	13	6	0	0		0
63		16	-	7	-	5	74	17	8	0	0		0
62		16	-	6	-	6	66	23	11	0	0		0
61		16	-	5	-	7	55	28	15	1	1	0	0
60		15	-	7	-	6	44	34	20	1	1	0	0
59		15	-	6	-	7	33	38	24	3	2	0	0		0
58		14	-	8	-	6	22	40	27	6	4	0	0		0
57		14	-	7	-	7	14	40	29	10	7	0	0	0	0		0
56		14	-	6	-	8	7	37	27	17	10	1	1	0	0		0
55		13	-	8	-	7	3	31	23	24	15	2	2	0	0		0
54		13	-	7	-	8	1	23	16	31	19	6	4	0	0	0	0	0
53		13	-	6	-	9	0	16	9	35	20	12	7	0	0	0	0	0
52		12	-	8	-	8	0	10	4	33	19	20	11	2	1	0	0	0	0
51		12	-	7	-	9	0	5	1	27	13	29	16	5	3	0	0	0	0
50		12	-	6	-	10	0	2	0	19	7	33	18	12	7	1	1	0	0	0
49		11	-	8	-	9	0	1	0	11	3	32	15	22	12	2	2	0	0	0
48		11	-	7	-	10	0	0	0	5	1	24	10	30	17	7	5	1	0	0	0
47		10	-	9	-	9		0	0	2	0	15	4	32	17	16	11	3	0	0	0
46		10	-	8	-	10		0	0	1	0	8	1	26	12	25	17	8	2	0	0	0	0
45		10	-	7	-	11		0		0	0	3	0	17	6	30	19	17	6	1	0	0	0
44		9	-	9	-	10		0		0	0	1	0	9	2	26	16	25	15	4	1	0	0	0
43		9	-	8	-	11		0		0		0	0	4	1	18	10	26	26	13	3	0	0	0	0
42		9	-	7	-	12				0		0	0	1	0	10	4	19	30	23	10	2	0	0	0
41		8	-	9	-	11				0		0	0	0	0	5	1	10	25	31	20	7	1	0	0
40		8	-	8	-	12				0		0		0	0	2	0	4	15	29	29	16	4	1	0
39		8	-	7	-	13						0		0	0	1	0	1	7	20	32	26	11	2	0
38		7	-	9	-	12						0		0		0	0	0	2	11	26	33	21	6	1
37		7	-	8	-	13								0		0	0	0	1	5	17	32	30	13	2
36		7	-	7	-	14								0		0	0	0	0	2	9	26	36	22	5
35		6	-	9	-	13								0		0		0	0	0	4	17	35	32	10
34		6	-	8	-	14										0		0	0	0	2	10	30	40	18
33		6	-	7	-	15										0		0	0	0	0	5	23	44	28
32		5	-	9	-	14													0	0	0	2	15	43	40
31		5	-	8	-	15														0	0	1	9	38	52
30		5	-	7	-	16														0	0	0	5	32	63
29		4	-	9	-	15															0	0	2	25	73
28		4	-	8	-	16															0	0	1	18	81
27		4	-	7	-	17																0	1	13	87
26		3	-	9	-	16																0	0	8	91
25		3	-	8	-	17																0	0	5	95
24		3	-	7	-	18																	0	3	97
23		2	-	9	-	17																	0	2	98
22		2	-	8	-	18																		1	99
21		2	-	7	-	19																		1	99
20		2	-	6	-	20																		0	100
19		1	-	8	-	19																		0	100
18		1	-	7	-	20																		0	100
17		1	-	6	-	21																		0	100
8	-16																								100

Total:							1	4	2	6	3	8	3	9	4	8	5	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	3