DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0.3%

4 points 1-1-8

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto FC 0 Crew 1	-0.1		-1.4
Dynamo 0 New England 2			+0.9
Union 1 Fire 0	-0.0		-1.4		+0.0
Earthquakes 1 Rapids 1			-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Sporting KC	+0.3-0.1-0.2		-9.9+0.6+5.9		+0.2-0.0-0.1
Chivas USA vs Real Salt Lake			+0.6-0.1-0.7

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United vs Timbers	+0.3-0.1-0.1		-9.7+0.9+6.1		+0.2-0.0-0.1
New England vs Toronto FC			-1.0+0.3+2.4
Real Salt Lake vs Fire			-1.7+0.8+4.7		+0.0-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Earthquakes			-0.4+0.2+0.9
Rapids vs Chivas USA			-0.3+0.2+0.7

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Spoon		Count

76		24	-	0	-	0	In		100.0	%	100	0									No		131,040
64	-66						In		80.0		100										No		5	*
63		19	-	2	-	3	In		72.7		82	18									No		11	*
62		18	-	4	-	2	In		67.6		88	9	3								No		34	*
61		18	-	3	-	3	In		39.3		73	23	4								No		56	*
60		18	-	2	-	4	In		35.1		63	32	4	0							No		202	*
59		17	-	4	-	3	In		24.9		50	42	7	0							No		413	*
58		17	-	3	-	4	In		12.9		38	45	16	1							No		946	*
57		16	-	5	-	3	In		5.8		28	48	20	4	0						No		1,924	*
56		16	-	4	-	4	In		2.9		20	43	29	8	0						No		3,908	*
55		16	-	3	-	5	99.9	%	1.1		12	38	36	13	1	0					No		7,969	*
54		15	-	5	-	4	99.8		0.2		6	30	39	21	4	0					No		15,800	*
53		15	-	4	-	5	99.3		0.0		3	19	39	30	8	1	0				No		29,607	*
52		15	-	3	-	6	97.9		0.0		1	11	34	37	15	2	0				No		54,628	*
51		14	-	5	-	5	94.6		0.0		0	5	24	40	25	5	0	0			No		98,364	*
50		14	-	4	-	6	88.1		No		0	2	15	37	34	11	1	0			No		171,911	*
49		13	-	6	-	5	77.6		No		0	1	8	29	40	19	3	0			No		294,219	*
48		13	-	5	-	6	63.1		No		0	0	3	19	40	29	7	0	0		No		491,161	*
47		13	-	4	-	7	47.0		No		0	0	1	11	35	38	14	1	0		No		798,341	*
46		12	-	6	-	6	31.5		No			0	0	5	26	42	23	3	0		No		1,263,867	*
45		12	-	5	-	7	18.8		No			0	0	2	17	41	33	7	0	0	No		1,954,559	*
44		12	-	4	-	8	10.0		No				0	1	9	35	41	14	0	0	No		2,944,073	*
43		11	-	6	-	7	4.6		No				0	0	4	26	46	23	1	0	0.0	%	4,326,749	*
42		11	-	5	-	8	1.9		No				0	0	2	17	45	33	3	0	0.0		6,205,704	*
41		11	-	4	-	9	0.7		No				0	0	1	10	40	43	6	0	0.0		8,677,994	*
40		10	-	6	-	8	0.2		No					0	0	5	32	51	11	0	0.0		11,845,907	*
39		10	-	5	-	9	0.1		No					0	0	2	23	56	18	1	0.1		15,756,413	*
38		9	-	7	-	8	0.0		No					0	0	1	15	56	26	2	0.3		20,477,062	*
37		9	-	6	-	9	0.0		No						0	0	9	51	35	4	1.0		25,926,565	*
36		9	-	5	-	10	0.0		No						0	0	5	44	43	8	2.7		32,008,732	*
35		8	-	7	-	9	0.0		No						0	0	2	35	50	13	5.9		38,545,362	*
34		8	-	6	-	10	Out		No							0	1	26	53	20	11.2		45,233,851	*
33		8	-	5	-	11	Out		No							0	0	19	53	28	18.7		51,700,304	*
32		7	-	7	-	10	Out		No							0	0	12	51	37	28.1		57,620,891	*
31		7	-	6	-	11	Out		No							0	0	8	46	47	38.9		62,474,643	*
30		7	-	5	-	12	Out		No								0	4	39	57	50.2		65,946,335	*
29		6	-	7	-	11	Out		No								0	2	32	66	61.1		67,723,933	*
28		6	-	6	-	12	Out		No								0	1	25	74	70.8		67,604,963	*
27		6	-	5	-	13	Out		No								0	1	18	81	79.0		65,557,924	*
26		5	-	7	-	12	Out		No								0	0	13	87	85.6		61,751,766	*
25		5	-	6	-	13	Out		No									0	9	91	90.5		56,413,729	*
24		5	-	5	-	14	Out		No									0	5	94	94.0		49,940,309	*
23		4	-	7	-	13	Out		No									0	3	97	96.4		42,815,689	*
22		4	-	6	-	14	Out		No									0	2	98	97.9		35,487,421	*
21		4	-	5	-	15	Out		No									0	1	99	98.8		28,407,351	*
20		3	-	7	-	14	Out		No									0	1	99	99.4		21,927,650	*
19		3	-	6	-	15	Out		No									0	0	100	99.7		16,287,408	*
18		3	-	5	-	16	Out		No										0	100	99.8		11,621,771	*
17		3	-	4	-	17	Out		No										0	100	99.9		7,939,801	*
16		2	-	6	-	16	Out		No										0	100	100.0		5,180,443	*
15		2	-	5	-	17	Out		No										0	100	100.0		3,218,747	*
14		2	-	4	-	18	Out		No										0	100	100.0		1,898,431	*
13		1	-	6	-	17	Out		No										0	100	100.0		1,056,216	*
4	-12						Out		No											100	100.0		1,136,418	*

Total:							0.3	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	25	59	55.7	%	1,000,979,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Impact	Sporting KC	Red Bulls	Dynamo	Crew	Union	New England	Toronto FC	Fire

61	-76						12.7	%	Yes
60		18	-	2	-	4	9.4		100					0
59		17	-	4	-	3	11.6		100							0
58		17	-	3	-	4	10.8		99			1	0	0		0
57		16	-	5	-	3	11.6		96	0	1	1	1	1	0	0
56		16	-	4	-	4	11.7		92	1	1	2	2	2	1	0	0
55		16	-	3	-	5	12.1		86	2	2	3	3	2	1	1	0	0
54		15	-	5	-	4	10.2		75	3	3	5	5	4	3	2	0	0
53		15	-	4	-	5	9.5		61	5	5	7	7	7	4	3	0	0
52		15	-	3	-	6	7.9		44	7	8	10	10	9	6	4	0	0
		14	-	6	-	4	8.1		48	6	7	9	9	9	6	4	0	0
51		14	-	5	-	5	6.4		30	9	9	11	12	11	7	5	0	0
		15	-	2	-	7	6.6		29	8	9	11	12	11	8	5	0	0
50		14	-	4	-	6	5.0		16	9	10	12	13	12	8	6	0	0
		13	-	7	-	4	5.2		19	9	10	13	12	12	8	5	0	0
		15	-	1	-	8	4.7		16	9	10	12	13	12	8	6	0	0
49		13	-	6	-	5	3.7		9	9	10	12	13	12	8	6	0	0
		14	-	3	-	7	3.4		7	9	9	12	12	11	8	6	0	0
		12	-	9	-	3	3.8		10	9	10	13	13	12	9	5	0	0
48		13	-	5	-	6	2.4		3	8	8	11	11	10	7	5	0	0
		12	-	8	-	4	2.7		4	8	9	11	11	11	7	5	0	0
		14	-	2	-	8	2.2		3	7	8	10	10	10	7	5	0	0
47		13	-	4	-	7	1.5		1	6	6	8	8	7	5	4	0	0
		12	-	7	-	5	1.6		1	6	7	9	9	8	6	4	0	0
		14	-	1	-	9	1.4		1	5	5	7	7	7	5	4	0	0
		11	-	10	-	3	1.9		2	7	7	9	9	9	6	4	0	0
46		12	-	6	-	6	0.9		0	4	4	6	6	5	4	3	0	0
		13	-	3	-	8	0.8		0	4	4	5	5	5	3	2	0	0
		11	-	9	-	4	1.0		0	4	5	6	6	6	4	3	0	0
45		12	-	5	-	7	0.5		0	2	3	3	3	3	2	1	0	0
		11	-	8	-	5	0.6		0	3	3	4	4	3	2	2	0	0
		13	-	2	-	9	0.4		0	2	2	3	3	3	2	1	0	0
44		12	-	4	-	8	0.2		0	1	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	0
		11	-	7	-	6	0.3		0	1	2	2	2	2	1	1	0	0
		10	-	10	-	4	0.3		0	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	0	0
43		11	-	6	-	7	0.1		0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		12	-	3	-	9	0.1		0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		10	-	9	-	5	0.1		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
42		11	-	5	-	8	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	8	-	6	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	10	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		10	-	7	-	7	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	4	-	9	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		10	-	6	-	8	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		10	-	5	-	9	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
38		9	-	7	-	8	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
37		9	-	6	-	9	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
36		8	-	8	-	8	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35		8	-	7	-	9	No			0	0	0	0
4	-34						No

Total:							0.0	%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Union 1 Fire 0	-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Sporting KC	-0.3+0.0+0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United vs Timbers	-0.3+0.0+0.2
Real Salt Lake vs Fire	-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19

76		24	-	0	-	0	100	0	0
65	-66						100
64		19	-	3	-	2	67	33
63		19	-	2	-	3	73	9	18
62		18	-	4	-	2	68	21	9		3
61		18	-	3	-	3	39	34	20	4	4
60		18	-	2	-	4	35	28	32	0	4		0
59		17	-	4	-	3	25	25	39	3	7	0	0
58		17	-	3	-	4	13	25	36	9	16	0	1
57		16	-	5	-	3	6	22	35	13	20	1	4		0
56		16	-	4	-	4	3	17	26	16	27	2	8		0
55		16	-	3	-	5	1	10	17	21	31	5	13	0	1		0
54		15	-	5	-	4	0	6	9	21	29	10	20	1	4		0
53		15	-	4	-	5	0	3	3	16	23	16	27	2	8	0	1	0
52		15	-	3	-	6	0	1	1	10	14	19	31	6	15	0	2	0
51		14	-	5	-	5	0	0	0	5	6	18	28	12	24	1	5	0	0
50		14	-	4	-	6		0	0	2	2	13	19	18	30	4	11	1	0
49		13	-	6	-	5		0	0	1	0	7	9	20	30	10	19	3	0	0
48		13	-	5	-	6		0		0	0	3	3	16	24	17	27	9	1	0	0
47		13	-	4	-	7		0		0	0	1	1	10	14	21	31	18	4	0	0	0
46		12	-	6	-	6				0		0	0	5	6	20	29	28	10	2	0	0
45		12	-	5	-	7				0		0	0	2	2	15	20	33	21	6	1	0	0
44		12	-	4	-	8						0	0	1	0	9	11	29	31	15	4	0	0	0
43		11	-	6	-	7						0	0	0	0	4	4	20	33	26	10	2	0	0	0
42		11	-	5	-	8						0		0	0	2	1	10	27	34	20	6	1	0	0
41		11	-	4	-	9						0		0	0	1	0	4	17	33	31	13	2	0	0
40		10	-	6	-	8								0	0	0	0	1	8	25	36	23	6	1	0
39		10	-	5	-	9								0		0	0	0	3	15	33	33	14	2	0
38		9	-	7	-	8								0	0	0	0	0	1	7	25	38	23	5	0
37		9	-	6	-	9										0	0	0	0	3	16	36	33	11	1
36		9	-	5	-	10										0	0	0	0	1	8	29	39	20	3
35		8	-	7	-	9										0		0	0	0	4	20	40	30	6
34		8	-	6	-	10												0	0	0	1	12	36	39	11
33		8	-	5	-	11													0	0	0	6	29	45	19
32		7	-	7	-	10														0	0	3	21	48	28
31		7	-	6	-	11														0	0	1	14	46	39
30		7	-	5	-	12														0	0	0	8	41	50
29		6	-	7	-	11														0	0	0	4	34	61
28		6	-	6	-	12															0	0	2	27	71
27		6	-	5	-	13															0	0	1	20	79
26		5	-	7	-	12															0	0	0	14	86
25		5	-	6	-	13																0	0	9	90
24		5	-	5	-	14																0	0	6	94
23		4	-	7	-	13																0	0	4	96
22		4	-	6	-	14																	0	2	98
21		4	-	5	-	15																	0	1	99
20		3	-	7	-	14																	0	1	99
19		3	-	6	-	15																	0	0	100
18		3	-	5	-	16																	0	0	100
17		3	-	4	-	17																		0	100
16		2	-	6	-	16																		0	100
15		2	-	5	-	17																		0	100
14		2	-	4	-	18																		0	100
13		1	-	6	-	17																		0	100
12		1	-	5	-	18																		0	100
11		1	-	4	-	19																		0	100
4	-10																								100

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	11	22	56