DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 24.4%
5 points   1-2-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United 1 Columbus 0 +5.0
+0.3
+0.1
-4.4
+0.4
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.6
-0.2
+0.1
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 +0.5
+0.1
+0.1
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 +0.3
-0.1
+0.0
Atlanta 2 NYCFC 2 +0.2
NY Red Bulls 3 Montreal 1 -0.1
-0.1
Sporting KC 2 Seattle 2 +0.1
Portland 3 Minnesota 2 +0.3
San Jose 2 Houston 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Vancouver-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs San Jose-0.7+0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs LAFC-0.7+0.4+0.8
+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Toronto FC+0.4-0.0-1.1
-0.0-0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.3-0.0-1.0
-0.2+0.0+0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta+0.3+0.0-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs New England-0.3+0.5+0.2
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.2+0.0+0.4
Portland vs NYCFC+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
RSL vs Colorado+0.3-0.1-0.3
Vancouver vs RSL-0.1-0.0+0.2
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.4-0.3-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
75-89InYes100No260,479*
7422-3-3In99.7%1000No684*
7321-5-2In98.3991No1,428*
7221-4-3In97.8982No3,076*
7121-3-4In96.69730No6,425*
7020-5-3In94.69640No12,539*
6920-4-4In92.59460No24,580*
6820-3-5In89.29180No45,639*
6719-5-4In84.5881200No83,557*
6619-4-5In78.9841600No149,077*
6518-6-4In71.6782110No258,617*
6418-5-5In63.07227200No438,058*
6318-4-6In53.1643330No723,975*
6217-6-5In42.55639500No1,167,861*
6117-5-6In31.84744800No1,835,898*
6017-4-7In21.9384813100No2,826,632*
5916-6-6In13.6295019200No4,250,764*
5816-5-7In7.4214826500No6,238,593*
5715-7-6100.0%3.41444339100No8,960,634*
5615-6-7100.01.38373914200No12,592,931*
5515-5-8100.00.452841225000No17,281,864*
5414-7-799.90.121939299100No23,193,440*
5314-6-899.80.01123435153000No30,464,030*
5214-5-999.30.0062638236100No39,167,343*
5113-7-897.90.003173531122000No49,233,215*
5013-6-994.7No0192836205000No60,551,995*
4913-5-1088.4No004203628101000No72,881,523*
4812-7-978.0No002123035184000No85,782,904*
4712-6-1063.7No00162236279100No98,818,269*
4611-8-947.0No000213313416300No111,399,545*
4511-7-1031.0No0017233625710No122,797,598*
4411-6-1118.0No00031533331420No132,424,774*
4310-8-109.1No0018263722500.0%139,689,785*
4210-7-114.0No00041836311110.0144,042,143*
4110-6-121.5No00011030371830.0145,289,274*
409-8-110.5No0000522392760.1143,251,384*
399-7-120.1No0002153635110.3137,981,216*
389-6-130.0No000193142181.3129,913,221*
378-8-120.0No00052345273.7119,465,744*
368-7-130.0No00021645378.5107,273,555*
358-6-140.0No00111414716.094,011,711*
347-8-130.0No0006365826.180,382,032*
337-7-140.0No0003296737.967,053,642*
327-6-15OutNo002237550.154,515,101*
316-8-14OutNo001178261.743,181,667*
306-7-15OutNo000128871.733,288,418*
296-6-16OutNo0089279.924,991,065*
285-8-15OutNo0059586.318,229,396*
275-7-16OutNo0039790.912,908,342*
265-6-17OutNo029894.18,884,028*
254-8-16OutNo019996.35,921,033*
244-7-17OutNo019997.83,822,147*
234-6-18OutNo0010098.72,386,111*
223-8-17OutNo010099.21,437,347*
213-7-18OutNo010099.6833,838*
203-6-19OutNo010099.7466,577*
192-8-18OutNo010099.8249,254*
182-7-19OutNo010099.9128,505*
172-6-20OutNo010099.963,142*
162-5-21OutNo010099.929,102*
151-7-20OutNo0100100.012,753*
141-6-21OutNo010099.95,284*
131-5-22OutNo010099.92,018*
5-12OutNo100Yes261,010*
Total:24.4%0.2%01346911131517189.4%2,403,847,792

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNYCFCAtlantaNY Red BullsNew EnglandColumbusOrlandoMontrealToronto FCChicagoPhiladelphia
68-8912.5%Yes
6719-5-412.61000
6619-4-512.5100000
6518-6-412.5100000000
6418-5-512.5100000000000
6318-4-612.51000000000000
6217-6-512.51000000000000
6117-5-612.51000000000000
6017-4-712.5990000000000
5916-6-612.4980000000000
5816-5-712.2950111110000
5715-7-612.0911122210000
5615-6-711.6831233321110
16-3-911.6841233321110
5515-5-811.0742444441111
14-8-610.9732444441111
5414-7-710.0602666652221
15-4-910.2622566652221
5314-6-89.0463788873222
13-9-68.8453888873222
15-3-109.1483788873222
5214-5-97.733491010983332
13-8-77.5314910101083332
5113-7-86.1194910111094333
14-4-106.4214910111094333
12-10-66.01941011111094333
5013-6-94.7113910101094333
12-9-74.5103910101094333
14-3-114.9114910101094333
4913-5-103.453899983332
12-8-83.243788873332
11-11-63.353899883332
4812-7-92.122666662222
13-4-112.322677763222
11-10-72.022566652222
4712-6-101.311444442221
11-9-81.211444442211
4612-5-110.701233321111
11-8-90.601222221111
4511-7-100.300111110000
4411-6-110.100011000000
4311-5-120.000000000000
4210-7-110.000000000000
4110-6-120.000000000000
4010-5-130.000000000000
399-7-120.00000000000
389-6-130.00000000000
379-5-140.0000000000
368-7-13No0000
5-35No
Total:1.1%4.70.61.51.71.71.71.50.60.60.60.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/14100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 1 Columbus 0 -0.9
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs LAFC+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
75-89100
7422-3-310000
7321-5-29801
7221-4-39802
7121-3-497130
7020-5-395140
6920-4-493160
6820-3-5892800
6719-5-484312000
6619-4-579516000
6518-6-472721010
6418-5-5639260200
6318-4-6531132030
6217-6-542143815000
6117-5-632154318000
6017-4-722164531301000
5916-6-614154551902000
5816-5-77134092605000
5715-7-63103212321901000
5615-6-71722153531402000
5515-5-804121634721050000
5414-7-7025142812282901000
5314-6-801210181631515030000
5214-5-90006917281022160100
5113-7-8000331419162741202000
5013-6-9001191019261019150000
4913-5-100000431719172541020000
4812-7-90000211192124101751000
4712-6-1000010631917192211300000
4611-8-900000211382422209200000
4511-7-100000107221152419930000
4411-6-110000030147192519930000
4310-8-1000010829212620930000
4210-7-11000004031123272092000
4110-6-1200001014132428198200
409-8-1100000001515262817610
399-7-12000000271829271440
389-6-13000000021023312491
378-8-1200000014142832184
368-7-13000000172135288
358-6-1400000313313716
347-8-130000017244226
337-7-14000003174238
327-6-150001103850
316-8-14000063262
306-7-1500032572
296-6-160011980
285-8-150011386
275-7-1600991
265-6-1700694
254-8-1600496
244-7-170298
234-6-180199
223-8-170199
213-7-180100
203-6-190100
192-8-180100
182-7-190100
172-6-200100
162-5-210100
151-7-200100
141-6-210100
131-5-220100
5-12100
Total:00111122344545566778999