SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

DC United Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 53.8%

0 points 0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/29	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United vs Colorado	+6.1-4.6-9.1		+0.6-0.5-0.9		+1.2-1.0-1.7		-1.3+0.8+2.2		+0.5-0.4-0.8
Orlando vs RSL	-0.5+0.4+0.8		-0.1+0.0+0.1						-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Atlanta	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Chicago	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
LAFC vs Miami	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Toronto FC	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs NYCFC	-0.1+0.4-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati	-0.1+0.4-0.1
Montreal vs New England	-0.1+0.4-0.1
Portland vs Minnesota					-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs Sporting KC					-0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
DC United vs Miami	+6.5-4.6-10.0		+0.7-0.5-1.0		+1.2-1.0-1.7		-1.3+0.8+2.2		+0.6-0.4-0.9
RSL vs NY Red Bulls	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Orlando	+0.4*-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Montreal	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
LAFC vs Philadelphia	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Columbus	+0.4-0.0-0.9		+0.0+0.0-0.1						+0.0+0.0-0.1
New England vs Chicago	-0.1+0.4-0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati	-0.1+0.4-0.1
Toronto FC vs NYCFC	-0.1+0.4-0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston					-0.0+0.1-0.0
Portland vs Nashville					-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed													Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Spoon		Count

82	-102						In		100.0	%	100													No		1,213,341	*
81		25	-	6	-	3	In		100.0		100	0												No		9,196	*
80		25	-	5	-	4	In		100.0		100													No		18,276	*
79		25	-	4	-	5	In		99.9		100	0												No		34,297	*
78		24	-	6	-	4	In		99.9		100	0												No		64,485	*
77		24	-	5	-	5	In		99.9		100	0												No		116,926	*
76		24	-	4	-	6	In		99.9		100	0												No		208,806	*
75		23	-	6	-	5	In		99.9		100	0												No		363,763	*
74		23	-	5	-	6	In		99.8		100	0												No		619,098	*
73		22	-	7	-	5	In		99.7		100	0												No		1,034,607	*
72		22	-	6	-	6	In		99.5		100	0												No		1,690,044	*
71		22	-	5	-	7	In		99.2		100	0	0											No		2,706,284	*
70		21	-	7	-	6	In		98.7		100	0	0											No		4,248,913	*
69		21	-	6	-	7	In		98.0		99	1	0											No		6,529,664	*
68		21	-	5	-	8	In		96.8		99	1	0	0										No		9,838,127	*
67		20	-	7	-	7	In		95.0		98	2	0	0										No		14,535,199	*
66		20	-	6	-	8	In		92.3		97	3	0	0										No		21,082,440	*
65		19	-	8	-	7	In		88.5		95	5	0	0										No		29,966,808	*
64		19	-	7	-	8	In		83.2		93	7	0	0	0									No		41,796,784	*
63		19	-	6	-	9	In		76.2		89	10	0	0	0									No		57,200,954	*
62		18	-	8	-	8	In		67.2		84	15	1	0	0	0								No		76,796,606	*
61		18	-	7	-	9	In		56.5		78	20	2	0	0	0								No		101,208,460	*
60		18	-	6	-	10	In		44.4		70	26	3	0	0	0								No		130,929,715	*
59		17	-	8	-	9	In		32.1		61	33	6	0	0	0	0							No		166,249,127	*
58		17	-	7	-	10	In		20.7		51	38	10	1	0	0	0							No		207,185,462	*
57		16	-	9	-	9	100.0	%	11.5		39	42	16	3	0	0	0	0						No		253,510,789	*
56		16	-	8	-	10	100.0		5.3		28	43	23	6	1	0	0	0						No		304,581,610	*
55		16	-	7	-	11	100.0		1.9		19	39	30	10	2	0	0	0	0					No		359,203,473	*
54		15	-	9	-	10	100.0		0.5		11	32	34	17	5	1	0	0	0	0				No		415,868,745	*
53		15	-	8	-	11	100.0		0.1		6	23	35	25	10	2	0	0	0	0				No		472,717,681	*
52		15	-	7	-	12	99.9		0.0		2	14	30	31	17	5	1	0	0	0	0			No		527,523,948	*
51		14	-	9	-	11	99.6		0.0		1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0	0	0	0		No		577,954,744	*
50		14	-	8	-	12	98.3		0.0		0	3	12	26	30	19	7	2	0	0	0	0		No		621,578,954	*
49		14	-	7	-	13	94.4		0.0		0	1	6	17	29	27	15	5	1	0	0	0	0	No		656,199,191	*
48		13	-	9	-	12	85.6		No		0	0	2	9	22	30	24	11	3	0	0	0	0	No		680,086,003	*
47		13	-	8	-	13	70.4		No		0	0	1	3	12	25	29	20	8	2	0	0	0	No		691,690,260	*
46		13	-	7	-	14	50.3		No		0	0	0	1	5	16	28	28	16	5	1	0	0	No		690,428,801	*
45		12	-	9	-	13	30.2		No		0	0	0	0	2	8	20	29	25	12	3	0	0	No		676,292,026	*
44		12	-	8	-	14	14.9		No			0	0	0	0	3	11	24	30	21	8	1	0	0.0	%	649,864,225	*
43		11	-	10	-	13	5.9		No			0	0	0	0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	0	0.0		612,729,092	*
42		11	-	9	-	14	1.9		No				0	0	0	0	2	8	22	32	25	10	1	0.0		566,629,904	*
41		11	-	8	-	15	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	3	13	29	33	18	4	0.0		513,862,969	*
40		10	-	10	-	14	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	1	7	21	35	28	8	0.2		456,990,135	*
39		10	-	9	-	15	0.0		No						0	0	0	0	3	14	32	36	15	1.0		398,386,553	*
38		10	-	8	-	16	0.0		No						0	0	0	0	1	7	26	42	24	3.4		340,391,073	*
37		9	-	10	-	15	0.0		No							0	0	0	0	4	18	43	35	8.5		284,900,405	*
36		9	-	9	-	16	0.0		No								0	0	0	1	12	40	47	16.9		233,659,727	*
35		9	-	8	-	17	0.0		No								0	0	0	1	7	35	58	28.2		187,611,772	*
34		8	-	10	-	16	Out		No									0	0	0	4	28	68	41.1		147,511,905	*
33		8	-	9	-	17	Out		No									0	0	0	2	21	77	54.1		113,471,091	*
32		8	-	8	-	18	Out		No										0	0	1	15	84	65.8		85,418,727	*
31		7	-	10	-	17	Out		No										0	0	0	11	89	75.6		62,829,423	*
30		7	-	9	-	18	Out		No										0	0	0	7	93	83.3		45,192,013	*
29		7	-	8	-	19	Out		No											0	0	5	95	88.9		31,755,312	*
28		6	-	10	-	18	Out		No											0	0	3	97	92.9		21,783,996	*
27		6	-	9	-	19	Out		No											0	0	2	98	95.5		14,570,750	*
26		6	-	8	-	20	Out		No												0	1	99	97.3		9,511,929	*
25		5	-	10	-	19	Out		No												0	1	99	98.4		6,047,263	*
24		5	-	9	-	20	Out		No												0	0	100	99.1		3,745,436	*
23		5	-	8	-	21	Out		No												0	0	100	99.5		2,255,673	*
22		4	-	10	-	20	Out		No													0	100	99.7		1,316,135	*
21		4	-	9	-	21	Out		No													0	100	99.8		749,356	*
20		4	-	8	-	22	Out		No													0	100	99.9		412,151	*
19		4	-	7	-	23	Out		No													0	100	99.9		219,561	*
18		3	-	9	-	22	Out		No													0	100	99.9		113,597	*
17		3	-	8	-	23	Out		No													0	100	100.0		56,235	*
16		3	-	7	-	24	Out		No													0	100	100.0		27,218	*
0	-15						Out		No														100	100.0		1,226,579	*

Total:							53.8	%	3.8	%	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	3.8	%	12,596,523,812

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	NYCFC	Chicago	Columbus	Montreal	Atlanta	Cincinnati	Toronto FC	Philadelphia	New England	Orlando	Miami	NY Red Bulls

69	-102						12.5	%	Yes
68		21	-	5	-	8	12.5		100							0
67		20	-	7	-	7	12.5		100	0	0					0
66		20	-	6	-	8	12.5		100	0		0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
65		19	-	8	-	7	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
64		19	-	7	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
63		19	-	6	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		18	-	8	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		18	-	7	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		18	-	6	-	10	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		17	-	8	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		18	-	5	-	11	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		17	-	7	-	10	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		16	-	10	-	8	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		16	-	9	-	9	12.4		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		17	-	6	-	11	12.4		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		16	-	8	-	10	12.2		94	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		17	-	5	-	12	12.2		94	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
55		16	-	7	-	11	11.9		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		15	-	10	-	9	11.9		87	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
54		15	-	9	-	10	11.3		76	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		16	-	6	-	12	11.4		79	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		14	-	12	-	8	11.3		77	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
53		15	-	8	-	11	10.4		63	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
		14	-	11	-	9	10.3		61	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
		16	-	5	-	13	10.6		65	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
52		15	-	7	-	12	9.2		47	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
		14	-	10	-	10	8.9		44	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
		16	-	4	-	14	9.2		47	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
51		14	-	9	-	11	7.2		28	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
		15	-	6	-	13	7.6		31	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
		13	-	12	-	9	7.2		28	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
50		14	-	8	-	12	5.4		16	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
		13	-	11	-	10	5.0		14	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
		15	-	5	-	14	5.6		17	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
49		14	-	7	-	13	3.6		7	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
		13	-	10	-	11	3.3		6	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
48		13	-	9	-	12	1.8		2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		14	-	6	-	14	1.9		2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
47		13	-	8	-	13	0.8		1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
46		13	-	7	-	14	0.3		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
45		12	-	9	-	13	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
44		12	-	8	-	14	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
43		12	-	7	-	15	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
42		11	-	9	-	14	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		11	-	8	-	15	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		11	-	7	-	16	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		10	-	9	-	15	0.0				0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0
38		10	-	8	-	16	No			0	0
0	-37						No

Total:							3.8	%	23.1	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/29	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United vs Colorado	-1.1+0.8+1.7
Orlando vs RSL	+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Nashville vs Atlanta	-0.0-0.0+0.1
LAFC vs Miami	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Chicago	-0.0-0.0+0.1
San Jose vs Toronto FC	-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Columbus vs NYCFC	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Montreal vs New England	+0.0-0.1+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7	100.0*	Lottery seed
DC United vs Miami	-1.2+0.9+1.8
Colorado vs Orlando	-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Montreal	-0.0-0.0+0.1
LAFC vs Philadelphia	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Columbus	-0.0-0.0+0.1
RSL vs NY Red Bulls	-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Toronto FC vs NYCFC	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati	+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26

85	-102						100
84		27	-	3	-	4	100	0
82	-83						100
81		25	-	6	-	3	100	0	0
80		25	-	5	-	4	100	0
79		25	-	4	-	5	100	0	0
78		24	-	6	-	4	100	0	0
77		24	-	5	-	5	100	0	0
76		24	-	4	-	6	100	0	0
75		23	-	6	-	5	100	0	0
74		23	-	5	-	6	100	0	0
73		22	-	7	-	5	100	0	0
72		22	-	6	-	6	100	0	0
71		22	-	5	-	7	99	1	0		0
70		21	-	7	-	6	99	1	0		0
69		21	-	6	-	7	98	1	1	0	0
68		21	-	5	-	8	97	2	1	0	0		0
67		20	-	7	-	7	95	3	2	0	0		0
66		20	-	6	-	8	92	4	3	0	0		0
65		19	-	8	-	7	88	7	5	0	0		0
64		19	-	7	-	8	83	9	7	0	0		0		0
63		19	-	6	-	9	76	13	10	0	0	0	0		0
62		18	-	8	-	8	67	17	15	0	1	0	0		0		0
61		18	-	7	-	9	56	22	20	0	2	0	0		0		0
60		18	-	6	-	10	44	26	25	1	3	0	0	0	0		0
59		17	-	8	-	9	32	29	30	3	6	0	0	0	0		0		0
58		17	-	7	-	10	21	30	33	6	10	0	1	0	0	0	0		0
57		16	-	9	-	9	12	28	32	10	15	1	3	0	0	0	0		0		0
56		16	-	8	-	10	5	23	27	16	21	2	5	0	1	0	0	0	0		0
55		16	-	7	-	11	2	17	18	21	25	5	10	0	2	0	0	0	0		0	0
54		15	-	9	-	10	1	10	10	22	24	10	16	1	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
53		15	-	8	-	11	0	5	4	19	18	17	21	4	9	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
52		15	-	7	-	12	0	2	1	13	9	20	21	9	16	1	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
51		14	-	9	-	11	0	1	0	7	3	18	15	16	21	4	11	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
50		14	-	8	-	12	0	0	0	3	1	12	7	20	19	11	18	2	7	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
49		14	-	7	-	13	0	0	0	1	0	6	2	16	10	18	20	7	14	1	5	1	0	0	0	0	0
48		13	-	9	-	12		0	0	0	0	2	0	9	3	18	14	15	19	4	11	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
47		13	-	8	-	13		0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	12	6	19	17	12	18	9	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
46		13	-	7	-	14		0		0	0	0	0	1	0	5	1	15	9	19	19	18	9	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
45		12	-	9	-	13		0		0		0	0	0	0	2	0	8	2	18	12	21	20	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
44		12	-	8	-	14				0		0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	11	4	14	23	22	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0
43		11	-	10	-	13				0		0		0	0	0	0	1	0	5	1	5	14	23	24	17	8	2	0	0	0	0
42		11	-	9	-	14						0		0		0	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	9	3	1	0	0
41		11	-	8	-	15								0		0		0	0	0	0	0	1	4	12	22	26	20	10	3	0	0
40		10	-	10	-	14								0		0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	12	23	27	21	9	2	0
39		10	-	9	-	15										0		0		0	0	0	0	0	1	5	13	25	29	20	7	1
38		10	-	8	-	16										0		0		0		0	0	0	0	1	6	16	28	29	16	3
37		9	-	10	-	15												0		0		0	0	0	0	0	2	8	21	33	27	9
36		9	-	9	-	16														0			0	0	0	0	0	3	13	30	36	17
35		9	-	8	-	17														0				0	0	0	0	1	7	23	41	28
34		8	-	10	-	16																		0	0	0	0	0	3	15	41	41
33		8	-	9	-	17																			0	0	0	0	1	9	36	54
32		8	-	8	-	18																				0	0	0	0	5	29	66
31		7	-	10	-	17																					0	0	0	2	22	76
30		7	-	9	-	18																					0	0	0	1	16	83
29		7	-	8	-	19																						0	0	0	11	89
28		6	-	10	-	18																						0	0	0	7	93
27		6	-	9	-	19																							0	0	4	96
26		6	-	8	-	20																							0	0	3	97
25		5	-	10	-	19																								0	2	98
24		5	-	9	-	20																								0	1	99
23		5	-	8	-	21																								0	1	99
22		4	-	10	-	20																								0	0	100
21		4	-	9	-	21																									0	100
20		4	-	8	-	22																									0	100
19		4	-	7	-	23																									0	100
18		3	-	9	-	22																									0	100
17		3	-	8	-	23																									0	100
16		3	-	7	-	24																									0	100
15		2	-	9	-	23																									0	100
14		2	-	8	-	24																									0	100
13		2	-	7	-	25																									0	100
12		2	-	6	-	26																									0	100
0	-11																															100

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4