DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 4.8 to 69.9%
37 points   8-13-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew 2 Revolution 0 +3.7
+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Crew+15.7-10.4-29.7
+0.8-0.8-1.2
No-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.3-0.9
Toronto FC vs DC United-8.5+2.3+21.1
-0.6-0.1+1.9
-0.3+0.0+0.8
Revolution vs Sporting KC-7.5+3.0+6.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
Toronto FC vs Orlando+2.4-0.3-8.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Impact vs Earthquakes-3.0+2.4+4.3
-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Crew vs Fire-1.7+1.8+2.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sounders vs Fire+0.1+0.0-0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Union+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Impact-1.6+2.6+0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.6
+0.0+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
494-0-0InNo00977140No346,980,218
473-1-0InNo52435No1,206,307,253
463-0-1100.0%No316090No1,796,524,364
452-2-099.5No12582910No1,479,241,984
442-1-198.2No65042200No4,162,070,297
432-0-290.8No13653900No2,778,607,468
1-3-092.6No13260700No755,336,763
421-2-171.6No12602630No3,001,653,754
411-1-248.4No5444011100.0%3,732,532,225
0-4-054.0No4503880No137,230,650
401-0-318.7No1184431600.01,419,933,819
0-3-122.6No0224627400.0688,553,120
390-2-25.6No630451900.01,215,516,351
380-1-30.9No111424510.2887,151,330
370-0-40.0No01167852.5231,322,804
Total:69.9%No00082735179400.0%23,838,962,400

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeToronto FCRed BullsNYCFCUnionImpactRevolutionOrlandoCrewFire
494-0-08.4%913567141000
473-1-06.203570141000
463-0-15.003569121100
452-2-03.30235491000
442-1-12.40224561100
432-0-21.50123210100
1-3-01.30112920000
421-2-10.400011
411-1-20.20004
0-4-00.20004
401-0-30.00001
0-3-10.00000
37-39No
Total:1.7%0.10.11.21.627.63.50.40.30.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Crew 2 Revolution 0 -0.1
Galaxy 2 Sounders 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Crew-1.1+0.8+2.0
Toronto FC vs DC United+0.7-0.1-1.8
Revolution vs Sporting KC+0.3-0.1-0.3
Impact vs Earthquakes+0.2-0.2-0.3
Toronto FC vs Orlando-0.1+0.0+0.3
Red Bulls vs Union-0.1+0.1+0.2
Crew vs Fire+0.1-0.1-0.1
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake+0.0-0.0-0.1
Dynamo vs NYCFC+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Impact-0.0-0.2+0.2
Dynamo vs Rapids+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
494-0-000008245311200
473-1-0151123141
463-0-13165554000
452-2-0121567220000
442-1-16050339110000
432-0-21361522610000
1-3-0132158241000
421-2-112060215102000
411-1-254401422123000
0-4-04500112011300
401-0-311808272914300
0-3-102207262813300
390-2-26021229321630
380-1-3103133136160
370-0-400021339433
Total:000000812623316875310