DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.7 to 61.4%
16 points   4-4-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 3 Galaxy 2 -0.9
-0.1
+0.0
-0.1
NYCFC 2 Orlando 2 +0.7
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Sounders+7.1-5.4-11.1
+0.8-0.7-1.2
+0.2-0.2-0.3
-1.4+0.7+2.5
+0.5-0.4-0.7
NYCFC vs Real Salt Lake-1.3+0.6+1.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Union vs Crew+0.4+0.1-1.3
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Timbers vs Earthquakes+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Dynamo-0.1+0.0+0.2
Galaxy vs Sporting KC-0.1+0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
71-79In100.0%100No2,074,798*
7017-3-1In96.61000No34,729*
6917-2-2In94.61000No82,845*
6816-4-1In92.01000No179,549*
6716-3-2In88.51000No394,233*
6616-2-3In83.61000No805,267*
6515-4-2In77.510000No1,577,018*
6415-3-3In70.09910No3,025,806*
6314-5-2In61.19820No5,504,245*
6214-4-3In51.29730No9,707,344*
6114-3-4In40.796400No16,614,214*
6013-5-3In30.293700No27,290,016*
5913-4-4In20.7891100No43,562,834*
5813-3-5In12.88416100No67,282,594*
5712-5-4In7.07622100No100,396,653*
5612-4-5In3.367303000No145,610,682*
5511-6-4In1.356386000No204,489,202*
5411-5-5In0.4444411100No278,330,228*
5311-4-6100.0%0.13248182000No368,018,964*
5210-6-5100.00.02146275000No471,668,853*
5110-5-6100.00.0124036111000No586,603,202*
5010-4-7100.00.0629412040000No708,471,970*
499-6-6100.00.0218393091000No829,789,507*
489-5-799.8No193137183000No943,421,330*
478-7-698.9No0420382991000No1,041,153,061*
468-6-795.9No01103037194000No1,114,285,966*
458-5-888.6No00418373010100No1,157,082,977*
447-7-775.1No0019283720400No1,165,266,690*
437-6-856.2No000317363111100.0%1,137,392,555*
427-5-936.0No00018273821400.01,076,124,342*
416-7-819.4No00031637331010.0986,270,268*
406-6-98.7No0001829402030.1874,886,615*
396-5-103.2No000318413160.4751,010,038*
385-7-91.0No001103541131.6623,341,639*
375-6-100.3No00052647225.0499,618,171*
365-5-110.1No00217483411.5386,584,315*
354-7-100.0No00110444621.8288,373,398*
344-6-110.0No0005365834.8207,088,062*
334-5-120.0No002286949.0143,007,095*
323-7-110.0No001217862.494,783,442*
313-6-120.0No000148574.060,182,274*
303-5-13OutNo0099182.936,534,389*
292-7-12OutNo0069489.421,138,764*
282-6-13OutNo039793.711,624,000*
272-5-14OutNo029896.56,049,751*
262-4-15OutNo019998.12,963,450*
251-6-14OutNo0010099.11,360,915*
241-5-15OutNo010099.5582,198*
231-4-16OutNo010099.8228,532*
220-6-15OutNo010099.981,574*
210-5-16OutNo010099.926,399*
16-20OutNo100100.02,061,757*
Total:61.4%0.4%69101212131211962.8%16,504,038,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeUnionImpactRed BullsToronto FCOrlandoCrewNYCFCRevolutionFire
62-7912.5%Yes
6114-3-412.51000
6013-5-312.510000000000
5913-4-412.5100000000000
5813-3-512.5100000000000
5712-5-412.5100000000000
5612-4-512.5100000000000
5511-6-412.5100000000000
12-3-612.5100000000000
5411-5-512.599000000000
12-2-712.599000000000
5311-4-612.498000000000
10-7-412.498000000000
5210-6-512.394111111100
11-3-712.394111111100
5110-5-612.088122221110
9-8-412.088122221110
11-2-811.987122222110
5010-4-711.476234433221
9-7-511.476234433221
8-10-311.476234433221
499-6-610.460466665431
10-3-810.459466665431
8-9-410.460456665431
489-5-79.041688987542
8-8-59.041688887542
10-2-98.940689987542
478-7-67.32379101098652
9-4-87.32379101098652
7-10-47.22379101098652
468-6-75.41169101098652
9-3-95.31079101098652
7-9-55.31169101098652
458-5-83.54588887542
7-8-63.44578887542
9-2-103.43578887542
447-7-72.01355655432
8-4-92.01355655332
437-6-81.00233333221
8-3-100.90233332221
427-5-90.40111111110
416-7-80.10000000000
406-6-90.00000000000
396-5-100.00000000000
385-7-90.0000000000
375-6-100.0000000000
365-5-110.0000000000
354-7-100.000000000
344-6-11No0
16-33No
Total:4.6%24.62.33.43.63.73.42.92.31.80.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 3 Galaxy 2 +0.1
NYCFC 2 Orlando 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Sounders-0.9+0.7+1.5
NYCFC vs Real Salt Lake+0.1-0.1-0.1
Union vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
7921-0-01000
76-77100
7519-2-01000
7419-1-1991
7318-3-0991
7218-2-1991
7118-1-2982
7017-3-19730
6917-2-29550
6816-4-19280
6716-3-288110
6616-2-3841600
6515-4-27722000
6415-3-37029100
6314-5-26137100
6214-4-35146200
6114-3-4415540000
6013-5-3306361000
5913-4-4216883000
5813-3-5137110610000
5712-5-4769111110000
5612-4-53641119210000
5511-6-41559284200000
5411-5-50447386510000
5311-4-6032444811200000
5210-6-50211457204100000
5110-5-601203953065100000
5010-4-7060293388123100000
499-6-6020181387236310000
489-5-710903143399300000
478-7-6004019236920721000
468-6-701010030631117400000
458-5-800040182341218830000
447-7-700010912882913830000
437-6-8000030173331417930000
427-5-9000010812610222092000
416-7-80000301651827218200
406-6-9000010829243019610
396-5-1000003041429301640
385-7-90001016203227112
375-6-100000002102635225
365-5-1100000416343312
354-7-100000018274122
344-6-11000003184335
334-5-1200001113949
323-7-11000053262
313-6-12000022474
303-5-130011683
292-7-120001089
282-6-1300694
272-5-1400397
262-4-150298
251-6-140199
241-5-1500100
231-4-160100
220-6-150100
210-5-160100
200-4-170100
16-19100
Total:05181911021031045666543