DC United Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.001 to 0.01%
22 points   6-4-15

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado 0 DC United 1 -22.9
Seattle 2 Minnesota 1 -2.9
Montreal 3 Real Salt Lake 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Atlanta-17.5+0.7+8.7
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Columbus vs Los Angeles-0.8+0.2+1.6
Portland vs Colorado-1.5+0.5+4.1
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose+0.2-0.0-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United vs New England-15.9+3.1+11.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Chicago vs Minnesota-3.1+1.5+11.7
Real Salt Lake vs Colorado-1.7+0.2+3.7
Los Angeles vs San Jose+1.2-0.8-2.1

What If

Chances based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
499-0-084.4%No00736411510No966,560
478-1-044.4No00935421310No60,432
468-0-123.3No0321462730No121,476
457-2-09.9No01938411010No378,094
447-1-13.4No00326482020No1,504,047
437-0-20.8No0113453470No1,488,454
6-3-00.7No0111433690No1,319,416
426-2-10.1No0053244171No7,768,080
416-1-20.0No0012045294No15,178,945
5-4-00.0No011643346No2,846,732
405-3-10.0No0083544130.0%22,012,343
6-0-30.0No009374211No9,833,560
395-2-20.0No0032449230.063,553,524
4-5-0OutNo022050280.03,924,655
385-1-3OutNo011448380.081,086,085
4-4-1OutNo011146430.037,398,580
374-3-2OutNo00537580.1141,716,014
5-0-4OutNo00639550.038,549,980
3-6-0OutNo0333640.13,470,757
364-2-3OutNo0227720.3266,785,296
3-5-1OutNo0123760.539,068,335
354-1-4OutNo0116830.9249,487,058
3-4-2OutNo0013861.6182,104,811
2-7-0OutNo0010902.21,900,366
343-3-3OutNo007933.7449,630,207
4-0-5OutNo009912.492,661,594
2-6-1OutNo05955.524,566,945
333-2-4OutNo003977.8620,170,311
2-5-2OutNo029811.1135,262,455
1-8-0OutNo019912.5585,320
323-1-5OutNo019914.0452,877,410
2-4-3OutNo019918.8410,819,923
1-7-1OutNo0010022.18,530,838
312-3-4OutNo0010028.4743,182,449
3-0-6OutNo0010022.7136,715,645
1-6-2OutNo0010034.153,937,345
0-9-0OutNo010034.877,467
302-2-5OutNo0010039.9800,707,166
1-5-3OutNo010047.1193,539,321
0-8-1OutNo10049.31,254,038
292-1-6OutNo010052.1475,487,239
1-4-4OutNo10059.3430,838,908
0-7-2OutNo10063.38,938,125
22-28OutNo10081.82,299,425,554*
Total:0.0%No0000000159438.7%8,511,731,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well DC United finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeToronto FCNYCFCChicagoAtlantaNY Red BullsMontrealColumbusNew EnglandPhiladelphiaOrlando
499-0-00.9%0021513651000
478-1-00.200043110000
468-0-10.10011000000
457-2-00.00000000000
447-1-10.00000000000
437-0-20.000000
6-3-00.00000
426-2-1No000
416-1-2No00
5-4-0No
22-40No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/19100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 0 DC United 1 -0.5
Seattle 2 Minnesota 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Atlanta-0.6+0.1+0.3
Portland vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs Los Angeles-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs New England-0.5+0.1+0.3
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.2
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Colorado-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
499-0-00002526104011510
478-1-000036278421310
468-0-100021194528400
457-2-000136354113200
447-1-1000132044266100
437-0-200173238184000
426-2-1000216353113200
416-1-2000062436258100
5-4-0000419352911200
405-3-1000192636226100
6-0-300211293519400
395-2-2000314333314200
4-5-000210293619400
385-1-30016223827700
4-4-100041836311010
374-3-2001828402020
5-0-400011132391610
3-6-0000523422640
364-2-3000317413260
3-5-10002123838101
354-1-400183443131
3-4-200052946182
343-3-300021848294
4-0-500032349232
2-6-10011346345
333-2-40001043398
2-5-20006384411
323-1-5005344714
2-4-30003285019
1-7-1002255122
312-3-4001195228
3-0-6002245123
1-6-201155034
302-2-500114840
1-5-30084547
292-1-60064252
1-4-4043759
0-7-2033363
281-3-5022870
2-0-7033364
0-6-3012375
271-2-6011980
0-5-4001585
261-1-7001288
0-4-500991
250-3-60595
1-0-800793
240-2-70298
230-1-80199
220-0-900100
Total:0000000000000137183239