How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -8.4
-0.8
-0.9
+4.0
-0.6
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.4
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.2
-0.1
-0.2
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.1
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.3-0.1-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Rapids vs Minnesota-4.0+0.5+10.5
-0.3+0.0+0.8
-0.2-0.0+0.6
+2.4-0.6-5.8
-0.3+0.0+0.8
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.6+0.4+0.8
+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.6+0.4+0.8
+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.2+0.4*-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.4
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.4+0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.0+0.2-0.2
Atlanta vs Fire+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Orlando vs Union-0.1-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
73-96In100.0%100No38,350*
7222-6-4In99.2991No778*
7122-5-5In99.81000No1,509*
7021-7-4In98.8991No2,917*
6921-6-5In98.1991No5,144*
6821-5-6In97.2991No9,411*
6720-7-5In95.99820No15,991*
6620-6-6In93.39730No27,067*
6520-5-7In90.19550No45,003*
6419-7-6In85.893700No72,981*
6319-6-7In79.4891000No115,236*
6218-8-6In71.9851410No179,436*
6118-7-7In62.5801910No272,357*
6018-6-8In51.47325200No406,505*
5917-8-7In39.96531400No593,843*
5817-7-8In28.255378100No851,724*
5717-6-9In17.8454212100No1,199,002*
5616-8-8In9.8344418300No1,650,196*
5516-7-9100.0%4.52444266100No2,228,677*
5415-9-8100.01.616393211200No2,946,330*
5315-8-9100.00.493137184000No3,827,496*
5215-7-1099.90.1522372691000No4,878,430*
5114-9-999.60.02143232164000No6,092,101*
5014-8-1098.50.01724342481000No7,457,251*
4914-7-1195.6No031531311640000No8,954,304*
4813-9-1089.3No01823332492000No10,549,077*
4713-8-1178.0No003142931175100No12,164,611*
4613-7-1261.8No001721332610200No13,778,074*
4512-9-1143.3No000312283219510No15,304,334*
4412-8-1226.1No00162033281120No16,645,497*
4311-10-1113.5No000211283420500.0%17,750,449*
4211-9-125.9No00151934291010.018,553,599*
4111-8-132.2No00021130361830.019,011,484*
4010-10-120.7No0001622382860.119,078,126*
3910-9-130.2No00002143536120.718,746,635*
3810-8-140.0No000182943202.318,039,659*
379-10-130.0No00042145296.117,014,477*
369-9-140.0No000214444012.715,699,057*
359-8-150.0No0019405122.214,167,760*
348-10-140.0No0005346133.812,515,280*
338-9-15OutNo003277046.310,809,457*
328-8-16OutNo001217858.39,128,483*
317-10-15OutNo001158469.07,533,962*
307-9-16OutNo00118977.86,064,503*
297-8-17OutNo0079284.74,773,176*
286-10-16OutNo0059589.83,661,900*
276-9-17OutNo039793.42,739,158*
266-8-18OutNo029895.81,998,025*
255-10-17OutNo019997.41,417,715*
245-9-18OutNo019998.5978,036*
235-8-19OutNo010099.1656,389*
224-10-18OutNo010099.5428,660*
214-9-19OutNo010099.7270,158*
204-8-20OutNo010099.8165,362*
193-10-19OutNo010099.998,203*
183-9-20OutNo010099.956,282*
173-8-21OutNo0100100.030,969*
163-7-22OutNo100100.016,587*
152-9-21OutNo0100100.08,226*
0-14OutNo100Yes44,855*
Total:25.3%0.5%12456791114182314.2%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeTimbersDynamoEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCRapidsSoundersReal Salt LakeWhitecapsGalaxy
65-9612.6%Yes
6419-7-612.61000
6319-6-712.5100000
6218-8-612.510000000000
6118-7-712.61000000000000
6018-6-812.51000000000000
5917-8-712.51000000000000
5817-7-812.5990000000000
5717-6-912.4990000000000
5616-8-812.3970000000000
17-5-1012.4970000000000
5516-7-912.2931111111100
15-10-712.2931111111100
5415-9-811.8872222211111
16-6-1011.8871222211111
5315-8-911.2773333322221
16-5-1111.2783333322211
14-11-711.1763333332221
5215-7-1010.4654444443321
14-10-810.2624554443332
16-4-1210.3644444443321
5114-9-99.0476666654442
15-6-119.2496666654432
13-12-78.9466666654442
5014-8-107.5327777765543
13-11-87.3307777765543
15-5-127.6327777765543
4914-7-115.9197887775553
13-10-95.6177777775553
15-4-135.7187887776553
4813-9-104.096777665543
14-6-124.296777765543
12-12-83.886777665543
4713-8-112.645555554432
12-11-92.434555544432
14-5-132.635555554432
4613-7-121.513333333322
12-10-101.313333332221
4512-9-110.702222221111
13-6-130.702222221111
4412-8-120.301111111110
4312-7-130.100000000000
4211-9-120.000000000000
4111-8-130.000000000000
4011-7-140.000000000000
3910-9-130.000000000000
3810-8-140.00000000000
3710-7-150.00000000
3610-6-16No0
0-35No
Total:1.5%7.41.21.31.31.31.21.10.90.90.80.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +1.4
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Rapids vs Minnesota+0.6-0.1-1.6
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
74-96100
7323-4-51000
7222-6-49901
7122-5-510000
7021-7-49911
6921-6-59811
6821-5-69711
6720-7-596220
6620-6-6933300
6520-5-7905500
6419-7-68677000
6319-6-7791010000
6218-8-6721314010
6118-7-7631719010
6018-6-851212412000
5917-8-740252914000
5817-7-8282734370100
5717-6-918273661201000
5616-8-8102434101813000
5516-7-94202815242601000
5415-9-821419202841102000
5315-8-9091021289181400000
5215-7-100541821152439010000
5114-9-902113122025715040000
5014-8-1001075192114222801000
4914-7-11003114121924715140000
4813-9-1000107419191522392000
4713-8-1100031139202391651000
4613-7-120001073181617221230000
4512-9-1100000301272121211130000
4412-8-120001062181425211031000
4311-10-1100000201161826221131000
4211-9-1200010528202722113100
4111-8-1300002021022282210300
4010-10-120000101312242921820
3910-9-13000000141427291861
3810-8-1400000016183028132
379-10-130000002102434236
369-9-14000001416333413
359-8-15000019274022
348-10-14000004194234
338-9-150002124046
328-8-1600173458
317-10-1500042769
307-9-1600022078
297-8-170011585
286-10-160001090
276-9-1700693
266-8-1800496
255-10-170397
245-9-180198
235-8-190199
224-10-180199
214-9-190100
204-8-200100
193-10-190100
183-9-200100
173-8-210100
163-7-220100
152-9-210100
0-14100
Total:111122233334455667891114