Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado vs Minnesota-2.9-0.5+6.9
-0.1-0.0+0.2
+1.4-0.6-2.4
-0.3+0.0+0.6
Minnesota vs FC Dallas+5.4-1.6-3.8
+0.2-0.1-0.1
-1.9+0.2+1.5
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Philadelphia vs Vancouver+0.6*-0.0-1.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
RSL vs San Jose-0.6+0.5+0.7
-0.2-0.0+0.5
Sporting KC vs Houston+0.3-0.1-0.8
Atlanta vs Portland+0.2-0.1-0.6
LAFC vs Columbus-0.3+0.1+0.4
Seattle vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Toronto FC-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Montreal-0.1+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7620-0-0In99.3%1000No777,972
71-74In90.3100No62*
7017-3-0In79.2964No106*
6917-2-1In81.0964No368
6817-1-2In71.0946No1,031*
6716-3-1In61.390100No2,594*
6616-2-2In50.185150No7,017*
6516-1-3In38.878211No15,814*
6415-3-2In27.8702820No37,041*
6315-2-3In18.26036400No82,753*
6214-4-2In10.64943800No171,396*
6114-3-3In5.538481310No352,227*
6014-2-4In2.4285020200No693,079*
5913-4-3In0.9194729500No1,297,051*
5813-3-4In0.31142371010No2,388,655*
5712-5-3100.0%0.16334217200No4,207,013*
5612-4-4100.00.032343255000No7,149,716*
5512-3-5100.00.0114403410100No11,867,581*
5411-5-499.90.0083240172000No18,924,254*
5311-4-599.50.0042241276000No29,278,338*
5211-3-698.5No0113373512100No44,053,885*
5110-5-595.8No0072840214000No63,987,062*
5010-4-690.1No0031839309100No90,244,575*
4910-3-780.5No00110323717300No123,700,452*
489-5-666.8No0005233926710No163,923,219*
479-4-750.5No00214353513200No211,060,504*
468-6-634.2No0017273922400No263,846,739*
458-5-720.4No00031738329000No319,075,878*
448-4-810.6No00110324017100No374,865,640*
437-6-74.7No0004234327300No427,077,886*
427-5-81.8No002144038600No470,840,880*
417-4-90.6No0017324712100.0%503,693,469*
406-6-80.1No0003235220200.0521,777,391*
396-5-90.0No001145030400.0522,704,774*
386-4-100.0No00074439900.0507,162,961*
375-6-90.0No000335451510.0475,646,978*
365-5-100.0No00125482330.2430,630,256*
355-4-110.0No00017463250.9376,603,459*
344-6-10OutNo00104040102.6317,489,474*
334-5-11OutNo0063246166.2257,532,616*
324-4-12OutNo00324492412.6201,091,078*
313-6-11OutNo0116483421.8150,683,426*
303-5-12OutNo0110444533.4108,078,220*
293-4-13OutNo006385646.374,185,878*
282-6-12OutNo03306759.048,536,700*
272-5-13OutNo01237670.330,140,904*
262-4-14OutNo01168379.717,743,564*
252-3-15OutNo00118986.99,839,793*
241-5-14OutNo0079391.95,097,813*
231-4-15OutNo049695.32,456,087*
221-3-16OutNo029897.41,091,071*
210-5-15OutNo019998.6436,248*
200-4-16OutNo19999.4154,197*
190-3-17OutNo010099.747,880*
180-2-18OutNo010099.911,637
170-1-19OutNo100Yes1,921
160-0-20OutNo0100100.0778,129
Total:11.2%0.0%001136101625201253.3%7,193,546,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCFC DallasLAFCPortlandHoustonLA GalaxyVancouverRSLSeattleSan JoseColorado
65-7612.5%Yes
6415-3-212.610000000
6315-2-312.510000000000
6214-4-212.31000000000000
6114-3-312.49900000000000
6014-2-412.49800010000000
5913-4-312.29500111000000
5813-3-411.99011232110000
5712-5-311.48212343111000
13-2-511.38112454221000
5612-4-410.67023676221000
13-1-610.56923676231000
5512-3-59.555358108442000
11-6-39.556358108342000
5411-5-48.24046111310553000
12-2-68.13946111311553000
5311-4-56.82658131512664000
10-7-36.72658131512563000
12-1-76.62457131513664000
5211-3-65.31458141513664000
10-6-45.31558141513664000
9-9-25.11358141513664000
5110-5-54.0747131512664000
11-2-73.9747131412664000
9-8-33.8748131512664000
5010-4-62.8346111210554000
9-7-42.7346111210553000
11-1-82.6336111210553000
4910-3-71.8124898443000
9-6-51.7124898443000
8-9-31.6124897342000
489-5-61.0023565222000
10-2-81.0012565222000
8-8-41.0013565222000
479-4-70.5011343111000
8-7-50.5011333111000
10-1-90.5011333111000
468-6-60.2001121110000
9-3-80.2001221110000
458-5-70.1000111000000
9-2-90.1000111000000
448-4-80.0000000000000
437-6-70.0000000000000
427-5-80.000000000000
417-4-90.000000000000
406-6-80.000000000000
396-5-90.0000000000
386-4-100.000000
376-3-11No00
16-36No
Total:0.3%0.70.30.50.91.00.80.40.40.30.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Minnesota+0.6-0.0-1.3
Minnesota vs FC Dallas-1.0+0.2+0.8
NYCFC vs Toronto FC-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
7620-0-09910
72-74100
7118-1-18614
7017-3-079174
6917-2-181154
6817-1-271236
6716-3-161281000
6616-2-250341410
6516-1-339392021
6415-3-22842253200
6315-2-318422964000
6214-4-21139311280000
6114-3-35333018121100
6014-2-422525251822000
5913-4-311818302445000
5813-3-40111131289100100
5712-5-30652827151612000
5612-4-403221222224250000
5512-3-5011141425295100100
5411-5-4000882431917020000
5311-4-50004319261526160000
5211-3-60011121819323120100
5110-5-5000069193372104000
5010-4-60000331527122919100
4910-3-70001191715352173000
489-5-60000048153362671000
479-4-700002311251033142000
468-6-60001161512362460000
458-5-700000361131331320000
448-4-80000128213624710000
437-6-70000041130331651000
427-5-80000241933261230000
417-4-90000119243123920000
406-6-80000031327301971000
396-5-9000015172928154100
386-4-10000001821312511200
375-6-9000000311263221710
365-5-100000151631301530
355-4-1100001823342581
344-6-1000003143134163
334-5-11000162337276
324-4-12000314343713
313-6-1100017274322
303-5-1200003184533
293-4-13001114246
282-6-12000063559
272-5-1300032770
262-4-140011980
252-3-150001387
241-5-1400892
231-4-1500595
221-3-160397
210-5-150199
200-4-160199
190-3-170100
180-2-180100
170-1-19100
160-0-200100
Total:00000011224279991010109863