How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 +10.0
+1.4
+3.9
-0.8
+0.9
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.3
*+0.1
+0.2
+0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
-0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+3.9-3.0-6.5
+0.7-0.6-1.1
+3.2-2.7-4.9
-0.2+0.1+0.3
+0.4-0.3-0.7
Columbus vs RSL+0.3*-0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.3*+0.0-0.6
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.3*+0.0-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.3*+0.0-0.6
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1*+0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.2*-0.0-0.6
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.3+0.0-0.5
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.2*-0.0-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.3-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado-0.2+0.3+0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.5
Houston vs Seattle-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0+0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Chicago+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
79-102In100.0%100No19,703*
7822-6-4In100.01000No8,777*
7722-5-5In99.81000No14,264*
7622-4-6In99.81000No23,090*
7521-6-5In99.71000No36,517*
7421-5-6In99.61000No56,657*
7320-7-5In99.41000No86,709*
7220-6-6In99.11000No128,194*
7120-5-7In98.69910No185,953*
7019-7-6In97.79910No264,405*
6919-6-7In96.69820No368,708*
6819-5-8In94.79730No501,573*
6718-7-7In92.19640No670,466*
6618-6-8In88.494600No880,158*
6517-8-7In83.491800No1,130,445*
6417-7-8In76.8881200No1,421,976*
6317-6-9In68.5831610No1,755,008*
6216-8-8In58.57721200No2,120,479*
6116-7-9In47.470273000No2,516,244*
6016-6-10In35.761336000No2,925,243*
5915-8-9In24.551399100No3,333,925*
5815-7-10In14.94043152000No3,731,597*
5714-9-9In7.83044214000No4,092,885*
5614-8-10100.0%3.320422881000No4,406,467*
5514-7-11100.01.1133634143000No4,645,674*
5413-9-10100.00.3727362261000No4,808,019*
5313-8-11100.00.03183429123000No4,873,731*
5213-7-1299.90.011027332071000No4,848,328*
5112-9-1199.50.0051832281330000No4,727,452*
5012-8-1298.2No021025322282000No4,521,179*
4912-7-1394.4No0141629291651000No4,238,612*
4811-9-1285.8No0018213125113000No3,891,745*
4711-8-1371.2No0003122630207100No3,508,109*
4611-7-1451.8No00015172928154100No3,095,113*
4510-9-1332.0No0002822312410200No2,673,196*
4410-8-1416.5No000313273119610No2,263,273*
4310-7-157.0No00161831281330No1,875,561*
429-9-142.4No000210253322710.0%1,522,335*
419-8-150.7No00151731311420.01,209,867*
408-10-140.2No0002925352350.1939,560*
398-9-150.0No0014173532100.5713,223*
388-8-160.0No0002103040181.7529,822*
377-10-150.0No00152343274.9385,093*
367-9-16OutNo00316433810.8274,367*
357-8-17OutNo00110395019.9190,165*
346-10-16OutNo006336031.2128,297*
336-9-17OutNo03277043.584,520*
326-8-18OutNo002207855.954,511*
315-10-17OutNo01158467.333,923*
305-9-18OutNo0109076.520,578*
295-8-19OutNo0079383.512,277*
285-7-20OutNo059589.07,025*
274-9-19OutNo039792.93,960*
264-8-20OutNo29895.72,133*
254-7-21OutNo19996.81,124*
243-9-20OutNo19997.6533*
233-8-21OutNo010098.9276*
223-7-22OutNo100Yes114*
213-6-23OutNo19998.778*
6-20OutNo100Yes8,332*
Total:82.8%13.4%211613119765432210.3%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCColoradoFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverRSLPortlandLA GalaxySan JoseHoustonNashville
67-10212.5%Yes
6618-6-812.51000000
6517-8-712.510000000
6417-7-812.5100000000000000
6317-6-912.5100000000000000
16-9-712.5100000000000000
6216-8-812.5100000000000000
17-5-1012.5100000000000000
6116-7-912.5100000000000000
15-10-712.5100000000000000
6016-6-1012.5100000000000000
15-9-812.5100000000000000
5915-8-912.599000000000000
16-5-1112.599000000000000
5815-7-1012.498000000000000
14-10-812.498000000000000
5714-9-912.395111110000000
15-6-1112.395011000000000
5614-8-1012.190111111111100
15-5-1212.191111111110000
13-11-812.190111111111100
5514-7-1111.783222222111111
13-10-911.681222222211111
15-4-1311.883222222111111
5413-9-1011.070333333222211
14-6-1211.272333332222111
12-12-811.070333333222211
5313-8-1110.155454444433222
14-5-1310.258444444332222
12-11-99.953555444443222
5213-7-128.740666555543333
12-10-108.437666665543333
14-4-148.739666555543333
5112-9-116.823666665554433
13-6-137.125666665554333
11-12-96.722676665554433
5012-8-125.012666665554333
11-11-104.911666665554333
4912-7-133.35555554443333
11-10-113.14455444443322
4811-9-121.71333333222222
4711-8-130.80112111111111
4611-7-140.30111111100000
4510-9-130.10000000000000
4410-8-140.00000000000000
4310-7-150.0000000000000
4210-6-160.0000000000000
419-8-15No00000000
408-10-14No0
6-39No
Total:7.6%50.32.02.12.02.01.91.71.61.51.21.11.01.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -1.9
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.9+0.7+1.5
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Seattle-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
83-102100
8224-4-41000
8123-6-31000
8023-5-41000
7923-4-51000
7822-6-410000
7722-5-510000
7622-4-610000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-59900
7220-6-69900
7120-5-799110
7019-7-698110
6919-6-797220
6819-5-8953300
6718-7-7924400
6618-6-88866000
6517-8-78388000
6417-7-8771112000
6317-6-96815160100
6216-8-859182102000
6116-7-9472226130000
6016-6-103625312600000
5915-8-92426354901000
5815-7-10152535814020000
5714-9-9822321220140000
5614-8-1031724172638010000
5514-7-11112152028614030000
5413-9-100772025122026010000
5313-8-11033151717245120300000
5213-7-120111081923111917010000
5112-9-1100053161517235130300000
5012-8-12002096192012202802000
4912-7-1300104214111822715151000
4811-9-1200010741816152141130000
4711-8-1300003111719191118820000
4611-7-140000105215111821178200000
4510-9-130000208318152318931000
4410-8-1400000311271724201141000
4310-7-15000106281825221351000
429-9-14000020281725231561000
419-8-1500010027172524156100
408-10-140000002717262515610
398-9-15000000281927251440
388-8-16000001310212924102
377-10-15000014132632205
367-9-160001619333011
357-8-17000211283820
346-10-160015214231
336-9-17002144044
326-8-1800183556
315-10-1700042867
305-9-18022177
295-8-19011684
285-7-2001189
274-9-1900793
264-8-20496
254-7-210397
243-9-20298
233-8-21199
223-7-22100
213-6-23199
6-20100
Total:1381068564534342322221111110