How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 +5.1
+0.6
+0.1
-0.1
+0.4
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -1.2
-0.1
-0.1
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 -0.9
-0.1
-0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -0.8
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 +0.8
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 -0.7
-0.3
-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1 +0.5
+0.3
+0.1
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1 +0.2
+0.0
+0.0
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.2
-0.1
-0.0
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 -0.1
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Houston+6.3-2.8-7.4
+1.0-0.5-1.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.6
Atlanta vs Minnesota-3.5+0.6+8.7
-0.5+0.0+1.4
-0.1-0.0+0.4
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Philadelphia vs Portland+0.4-0.2-1.8
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.6+0.0-1.5
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Montreal vs RSL+0.7+0.1-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Seattle-0.9+0.5+0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.8+0.4+0.8
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.5+0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.3
Vancouver vs FC Dallas*+0.0+0.6-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.0*+0.0-0.2
Colorado vs Columbus-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
78-84InYes100No15,656*
7719-2-1In96.4%964No83
7619-1-2In98.6991No213*
7518-3-1In94.4946No463*
7418-2-2In93.1937No1,121*
7317-4-1In87.98812No2,296*
7217-3-2In83.184160No4,961*
7117-2-3In76.377230No10,168*
7016-4-2In68.670300No19,405*
6916-3-3In60.2623710No36,046*
6816-2-4In50.7534520No64,386*
6715-4-3In41.3445230No110,825*
6615-3-4In31.63559600No185,262*
6514-5-3In22.62764900No297,136*
6414-4-4In15.320661410No461,756*
6314-3-5In9.413652010No701,763*
6213-5-4In5.296127300No1,025,135*
6113-4-5In2.655535500No1,458,218*
6013-3-6In1.134641910No2,016,793*
5912-5-5In0.41374615100No2,695,044*
5812-4-6In0.11274822300No3,505,517*
5711-6-5In0.00194630500No4,430,648*
5611-5-6100.0%0.0012413710100No5,434,222*
5511-4-7100.00.007334216200No6,480,343*
5410-6-6100.00.0042444244000No7,514,435*
5310-5-7100.0No021641338100No8,465,834*
5210-4-899.9No019344015200No9,266,433*
519-6-799.7No0052542234000No9,870,285*
509-5-899.1No021640329100No10,196,155*
499-4-997.2No0193338173000No10,262,266*
488-6-893.1No0042340266100No10,015,389*
478-5-985.5No00214363413200No9,502,681*
467-7-873.5No0017273921500No8,758,905*
457-6-958.0No00318373010100No7,831,756*
447-5-1041.2No00110303718400No6,797,506*
436-7-925.9No0004213828810No5,720,060*
426-6-1014.3No0021333351520No4,669,027*
416-5-116.8No001625392450No3,691,490*
405-7-102.8No00031637341000.0%2,826,735*
395-6-111.0No001930401810.02,091,832*
385-5-120.3No00422432830.01,496,642*
374-7-110.1No00214403960.11,034,324*
364-6-120.0No0183448100.3690,525*
354-5-130.0No0042654161.1442,030*
343-7-120.0No0021856253.0273,127*
333-6-13OutNo011154346.6161,250*
323-5-14OutNo006504412.391,010*
312-7-13OutNo03435420.549,129*
302-6-14OutNo02356331.225,629*
292-5-15OutNo01277242.012,384*
282-4-16OutNo0217854.05,748*
271-6-15OutNo0168464.32,452*
261-5-16OutNo118973.6969*
251-4-17OutNo99179.5404*
241-3-18OutNo29891.0133*
20-23OutNo10097.641*
180-0-22OutNo010099.715,618
Total:78.2%0.4%151115181613964200.1%150,739,664

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLAFCSeattleHoustonLA GalaxyRSLFC DallasPortlandSporting KCSan JoseVancouverColorado
70-8412.6%Yes
6916-3-312.410000
6816-2-412.61000000
6715-4-312.510000000000
6615-3-412.5100000000000
6514-5-312.410000000000000
6414-4-412.59900000000000
6314-3-512.49900010000000
6213-5-412.39700010000000
6113-4-512.39401121100000
6013-3-612.19001231100000
12-6-412.19001231100000
5912-5-511.78402352210000
13-2-711.88402352210000
5812-4-611.47603484311100
11-7-411.47503484311100
5711-6-510.864057115411110
12-3-710.865056115411110
5611-5-610.053079147521110
12-2-810.253068147521110
10-8-410.052079147521110
5511-4-79.2400811179722210
10-7-59.1390811179722210
5410-6-68.027010131910832210
11-3-88.228010131910832210
5310-5-76.917010142111932210
9-8-56.817011142111832210
11-2-97.018010132111932210
5210-4-85.710010132011933210
9-7-65.69010142011933210
519-6-74.3509121910832210
10-3-94.5509121910833210
8-9-54.340913199832210
509-5-83.120710168732210
8-8-63.020710158632210
10-2-103.320810168732210
499-4-92.21058126522210
8-7-72.01058126522110
488-6-81.2003584311110
9-3-101.3003584311110
478-5-90.7002352211100
468-4-100.3001121100000
457-6-90.1000110000000
447-5-100.0000000000000
437-4-110.0000000000000
426-6-100.000000000000
416-5-110.0000000000
406-4-120.0000000
396-3-13No0
18-38No
Total:4.0%16.30.24.56.09.44.73.81.41.11.10.60.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 -0.8
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1 -0.1
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 +0.1
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +0.1
Houston 2 DC United 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 -0.1
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1 -0.0
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Houston-1.0+0.5+1.2
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.6-0.1-1.4
Montreal vs RSL-0.1-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs FC Dallas-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
78-84100
7719-2-1964
7619-1-2991
7518-3-1946
7418-2-2937
7317-4-188012
7217-3-2830160
7117-2-3761230
7016-4-2691300
6916-3-360237010
6816-2-451345020
6715-4-341352030
6615-3-4324590600
6514-5-32346309000
6414-4-415465114010
6314-3-59464120010
6213-5-453593270300
6113-4-5335043405000
6013-3-6124074109010
5912-5-501288451150100
5812-4-6011894532203000
5711-6-5001094052905000
5611-5-60048329361100100
5511-4-7002521123931602000
5410-6-60003121337724040000
5310-5-70025112912312801000
5210-4-80011819163551402000
519-6-700004916321122140000
509-5-80002313231729390100
499-4-90011812212991613000
488-6-80000441823172336100
478-5-9000021131322278122000
467-7-800010752223161961000
457-6-900032161423241440000
447-5-100001096242323102000
436-7-900000421916272182000
426-6-100002012823291861000
416-5-110001063142828165100
405-7-100000316193026123000
395-6-1100010292432238100
385-5-120000314283117400
374-7-110000161933281120
364-6-12000021027352050
354-5-1300014183530101
343-7-120002102938193
333-6-130042039297
323-5-140212363812
312-7-13006284421
302-6-14003204631
292-5-1501134442
282-4-16073854
271-6-15053164
261-5-1622574
251-4-1711979
241-3-18991
230-5-17397
20-22100
180-0-220100
Total:004273105116106856543211000