Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength12/17
Bayern MünchenKöln35111-2-22492.4%-0.299.7%-0.092610000000000000001.10.0%1.714at StuttgartBayern München
Schalke 04Augsburg2617-5-361.7-0.050.2-1.5219161412108754211000005.1-0.070.0-0.04.559at Eintracht FrankSchalke 04
Borussia DortmundWMainz 05 2-0257-4-5141.4+0.748.9+13.4117161412109754210000005.1+0.990.0-0.19.610HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
Bayer LeverkusenWerder Bremen2416-6-3101.6-0.048.9-1.2218161412109754211000005.1-0.060.0-0.02.588at Hannover 96Bayer Leverkusen
LeipzigTWolfsburg 1-1288-4-431.2-0.343.4-3.51141414121110864321000005.5-0.170.0-0.03.519Hertha BSCRB Leipzig
Augsburgat Schalke 042316-5-450.6-0.030.2-1.21910111111111097532100006.5-0.050.1-0.07.548FreiburgFC Augsburg
HoffenheimStuttgart2316-5-450.5-0.026.4-1.3079101111111098642100006.8-0.070.1-0.05.539at Borussia Dortmund1899 Hoffenheim
Eintracht FrankWHamburger SV 2-1257-4-520.3+0.222.7+7.9068910111111109742100007.1+1.080.1-0.311.516Schalke 04Eintracht Frankfurt
MönchengladbachLFreiburg 0-1257-4-5-30.1-0.212.3-10.3024679101112121074210008.4-1.150.4+0.26.450Hamburger SVBorussia Mönchengladbach
Hannover 96at Hertha BSC2216-4-500.1-0.010.7-0.602456891112121196321008.8-0.010.6-0.08.481Bayer LeverkusenHannover 96
WolfsburgTLeipzig 1-1193-10-310.0-0.03.9-1.10112346810131513106421010.3-0.111.9-0.110.497at KölnVfL Wolfsburg
Hertha BSCHannover 961814-6-5-20.0-0.02.2-0.20011234681114151310742011.3+0.034.2-0.113.456at LeipzigHertha BSC
Stuttgartat Hoffenheim1715-2-8-60.00.3-0.000000112358121516151310013.5+0.0616.3-0.214.385Bayern MünchenStuttgart
Mainz 05LBorussia Dortmund 0-2164-4-8-90.0-0.00.1-0.20000000123581316171817114.3-0.7626.4+9.317.369at Werder Bremen1. FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremenat Bayer Leverkusen1413-5-7-60.00.1-0.00000000112471114171922114.6+0.0632.4-0.515.372Mainz 05Werder Bremen
FreiburgWMönchengladbach 1-0184-6-6-140.00.0+0.00000000012461015182121114.7+0.7632.5-17.112.309at AugsburgSC Freiburg
Hamburger SVLEintracht Frank 1-2154-3-9-80.0-0.00.0-0.10000000012361014172124114.8-0.5335.4+9.016.363at MönchengladbachHamburger SV
Kölnat Bayern München310-3-12-220.00.00000000000000139618.099.5+0.018.240Wolfsburg1. FC Köln

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/8
Eintracht Frank 0 Bayern München 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+4.3
+0.5
No
Schalke 04-0.9
+0.5
Eintracht Frank-0.4
-4.3
-0.5
Borussia Dortmund 1 Werder Bremen 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 04+1.7
Borussia Dortmund-1.4
-11.5
-0.8
Bayer Leverkusen+1.5
Leipzig+1.6
Augsburg+1.4
Hoffenheim+1.6
Mainz 05+2.0
Werder Bremen-11.8
+0.6
Freiburg+4.3
Hamburger SV+2.6
Hannover 96 2 Hoffenheim 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig+1.0
Hoffenheim-1.0
-9.8
-0.8
Hannover 96+3.1
-0.9
+0.9
Mönchengladbach 1 Schalke 04 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 04-0.7
-3.3
-0.2
Mönchengladbach-0.9
-0.0
Leipzig 2 Mainz 05 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 04+0.6
Borussia Dortmund+0.6
Bayer Leverkusen+0.6
Leipzig-0.7
-4.0
-0.2
Augsburg+0.5
Hoffenheim+0.6
Mainz 05-0.1
-0.0
Stuttgart 0 Bayer Leverkusen 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 04-1.0
Borussia Dortmund-1.0
Bayer Leverkusen+0.6
+7.3
+0.6
Leipzig-1.0
Hoffenheim-0.9
Stuttgart-0.4
+1.9
-0.5
Augsburg 1 Hertha BSC 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig+0.5
Augsburg-0.3
-3.3
-0.2
Hertha BSC-0.3
-0.1
-0.1
Mainz 05 0 Borussia Dortmund 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 04-1.0
Borussia Dortmund+0.3
+7.2
+0.6
Bayer Leverkusen-1.1
Leipzig-1.1
Augsburg-0.9
Mainz 05+3.6
-0.4
Werder Bremen-0.8
Freiburg-1.0
Hamburger SV-0.7
Wolfsburg 1 Leipzig 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 04+0.5
Bayer Leverkusen+0.5
Leipzig-0.3
-2.5
-0.1
Wolfsburg-0.9
-0.2
Freiburg 1 Mönchengladbach 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mönchengladbach-0.2
-7.8
+0.3
-0.9
Stuttgart+2.2
Mainz 05+2.1
Werder Bremen+3.3
Freiburg-12.2
+0.6
Hamburger SV+2.9
Hamburger SV 1 Eintracht Frank 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Eintracht Frank+5.0
-0.3
+0.7
Stuttgart-0.8
Mainz 05-0.9
Werder Bremen-1.3
Freiburg-1.5
Hamburger SV+5.4
-0.4
Hamburger SV 0 Wolfsburg 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg-1.3
-0.3
Werder Bremen*-0.1
Hamburger SV-0.0
Köln 3 Freiburg 4
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 05+1.4
Werder Bremen+3.0
Freiburg-8.7
+0.3
Hamburger SV+1.8
KölnNo
No
+0.9
Bayern München vs KölnIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München94.290.086.8
99.999.699.2
NoNo0.1
1.11.11.2
KölnNoNo0.0
NoNo0.2
99.799.498.5
18.017.917.9
Schalke 04 vs AugsburgHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 042.81.40.9
61.548.240.0
4.35.25.7
Augsburg0.30.41.0
21.428.240.8
7.26.65.6
Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder BremenHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayer Leverkusen2.21.10.7
56.443.737.2
4.65.55.9
Werder BremenNo0.00.0
37.431.521.6
15.014.613.9
Freiburg31.332.835.3
14.714.714.8
Hamburger SV34.135.638.1
14.814.814.9
Hoffenheim vs StuttgartHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim0.70.30.2
33.122.617.9
0.0*0.10.3
6.27.17.7
Stuttgart0.10.20.7
20.215.99.4
13.913.512.7
Hertha BSC vs Hannover 96HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hannover 960.00.10.2
6.69.115.6
1.1*0.60.2
9.58.97.9
Hertha BSC3.71.71.1
2.14.36.1
10.511.412.0
Week of 12/17
Stuttgart vs Bayern MünchenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München87.590.594.5
99.399.699.9
0.0NoNo
1.21.11.1
Stuttgart0.80.30.2
8.614.818.9
12.613.413.8
Eintracht Frank vs Schalke 04HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 040.91.42.7
39.647.760.8
5.75.24.4
Eintracht Frank0.60.20.1
32.621.115.4
6.27.27.8
Hannover 96 vs Bayer LeverkusenHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayer Leverkusen0.81.22.3
37.845.258.3
5.95.44.5
Hannover 960.20.10.0
17.410.06.8
0.20.60.9
7.88.89.4
Borussia Dortmund vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund2.21.10.7
59.545.837.5
4.45.35.9
Hoffenheim0.20.40.9
18.925.337.4
7.56.95.9
Leipzig vs Hertha BSCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig1.80.90.6
53.240.133.5
4.85.66.2
Hertha BSC1.01.83.9
6.0*4.22.0
11.911.410.4
Augsburg vs FreiburgHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Augsburg0.80.40.2
36.325.220.3
0.0*0.10.3
5.96.97.4
Werder Bremen31.232.735.2
14.614.614.7
FreiburgNo0.00.1
37.431.420.9
15.014.714.0
Hamburger SV34.135.738.4
14.814.814.9
Mönchengladbach vs Hamburger SVHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mönchengladbach0.20.10.0
17.110.17.4
0.10.40.8
7.68.69.2
Werder Bremen30.832.334.9
14.614.614.7
Freiburg30.832.435.2
14.714.714.8
Hamburger SVNoNo0.0
42.235.925.0
15.214.914.2
Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 05No0.00.0
35.427.116.6
14.914.413.7
Werder Bremen0.0NoNo
22.033.742.0
14.014.815.2
Köln vs WolfsburgHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg1.72.65.3
3.62.41.1
11.210.79.8
Köln0.0NoNo
0.1NoNo
98.899.599.7
17.918.018.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.