Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
4/22PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Bayern MünchenTMainz 05 2-27021-7-25699.8%+0.2Yes10001.0No1.855at WolfsburgBayern München
LeipzigTSchalke 04 1-16219-5-6250.2-0.2Yes0891012.1-0.02No4.693IngolstadtRB Leipzig
Borussia DortmundWMönchengladbach 3-25616-8-630No99.9%+0.175439003.3+0.20No3.700KölnBorussia Dortmund
HoffenheimTKöln 1-15514-13-325No-0.099.8-0.143660003.6-0.18No2.689Frankfurt1899 Hoffenheim
HerthaWWolfsburg 1-04614-4-123No0.2-0.00071177310005.5+0.37No5.524at Werder BremenHertha BSC
FreiburgWBayer Leverkusen 2-14413-5-12-14No0.0-0.001231221510630007.1+1.05No-0.09.383at Darmstadt 98SC Freiburg
KölnTHoffenheim 1-14110-11-96NoNo-0.06161917151310410008.2-0.320.0%6.549at Borussia Dortmund1. FC Köln
Werder BremenWIngolstadt 4-24212-6-12-1NoNo-0.0511141617171540008.6+0.77No-0.012.487HerthaWerder Bremen
FrankfurtWAugsburg 3-14111-8-11-2NoNo-0.0291316181816620009.0+0.930.0-0.17.473at HoffenheimEintracht Frankfurt
MönchengladbachLBorussia Dortmund 2-33911-6-13-5NoNo-0.02812161717177210009.1-0.900.0-0.08.451at Mainz 05Borussia Mönchengladbach
Schalke 04TLeipzig 1-13810-8-124NoNo17111416181811310009.4-0.210.0-0.111.534at Bayer LeverkusenSchalke 04
Bayer LeverkusenLFreiburg 1-23610-6-14-3NoNo001358153719830011.8-1.150.3-0.110.470Schalke 04Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz 05TBayern München 2-2339-6-15-10NoNo0001241327251892013.7+0.676.3-10.014.413Mönchengladbach1. FSV Mainz 05
WolfsburgLHertha 0-1339-6-15-13NoNo0000027192725163014.3-0.2911.0-0.516.368Bayern MünchenVfL Wolfsburg
HamburgLDarmstadt 98 1-2339-6-15-25NoNo0000027182123245014.4-0.5516.6+3.613.292at AugsburgHamburg SV
AugsburgLFrankfurt 1-3328-8-14-20NoNo0000002815263711015.2-0.2429.6+1.915.316HamburgFC Augsburg
IngolstadtLWerder Bremen 2-4288-4-18-21NoNo0001251479116.7-0.1486.1+5.317.326at LeipzigIngolstadt
Darmstadt 98WHamburg 2-1216-3-21-35NoNo00019918.0100.0-0.018.215FreiburgDarmstadt 98

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/22
Bayern München 2 Mainz 05 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-0.3
Leipzig+0.3
HoffenheimNo
Mainz 05-4.2
+0.3
Wolfsburg+0.8
-0.1
Hamburg+0.8
-0.1
Augsburg+1.4
Ingolstadt+1.2
Schalke 04 1 Leipzig 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+0.2
Leipzig-0.2
Frankfurt-0.0
Schalke 04+0.0
Hamburg 1 Darmstadt 98 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 05-2.0
+0.2
Wolfsburg-1.7
+0.2
Hamburg+9.5
-0.8
Augsburg-3.2
Ingolstadt-2.4
Freiburg 2 Bayer Leverkusen 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
FreiburgNo
+1.3
Bayer Leverkusen+0.6
-1.2
Hertha 1 Wolfsburg 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund-0.2
Hertha+0.3
+0.4
Mainz 05-1.4
+0.1
Wolfsburg+5.7
-0.6
Hamburg-0.9
+0.1
Augsburg-1.9
+0.1
Ingolstadt-1.4
Köln 1 Hoffenheim 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
HoffenheimNo
-0.1
Köln+0.0
Mönchengladbach 2 Borussia Dortmund 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+0.2
+0.1
Freiburg+0.1
Köln+0.1
FrankfurtNo
MönchengladbachNo
-0.6
Schalke 04+0.1
Ingolstadt 2 Werder Bremen 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Freiburg-0.1
Werder Bremen+0.9
Frankfurt-0.1
Mönchengladbach-0.1
Schalke 04-0.1
Mainz 05-2.2
Wolfsburg-1.7
Hamburg-1.6
Augsburg-3.4
Ingolstadt+9.0
-0.2
Frankfurt 3 Augsburg 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Frankfurt+1.0
Mainz 05-2.7
Wolfsburg-2.1
Hamburg-1.9
Augsburg+10.1
-0.5
Ingolstadt-3.1
Week of 4/29
Wolfsburg vs Bayern MünchenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 057.76.85.9
13.913.713.6
Wolfsburg1.67.513.4
13.114.014.5
Hamburg18.717.416.1
14.714.514.4
Augsburg33.631.128.7
15.415.315.2
Ingolstadt88.087.085.6
Leipzig vs IngolstadtHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 055.66.49.1
13.613.713.7
Wolfsburg9.911.315.7
14.214.314.4
Hamburg15.316.822.3
14.414.414.6
Augsburg27.230.639.2
15.215.215.4
Ingolstadt91.884.763.1
16.816.716.1
Darmstadt 98 vs FreiburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
FreiburgNoNo0.0
8.27.56.5
Köln8.08.18.3
Werder Bremen8.48.58.7
Frankfurt8.88.99.1
Mönchengladbach9.09.19.3
Darmstadt 98100.0YesYes
Werder Bremen vs HerthaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hertha0.00.00.5
5.95.45.1
Werder Bremen7.58.89.5
Schalke 049.69.49.3
Hoffenheim vs FrankfurtHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund3.43.23.2
Hoffenheim100.099.899.4
3.43.73.8
Freiburg7.17.17.4
Köln8.18.28.4
Werder Bremen8.58.68.8
Frankfurt0.0NoNo
9.68.97.6
Mönchengladbach9.09.29.4
Schalke 049.39.49.6
Borussia Dortmund vs KölnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia DortmundYes100.099.8
3.13.43.5
Hoffenheim3.73.53.4
Freiburg7.07.17.4
Köln8.88.27.0
Werder Bremen8.58.68.8
Frankfurt8.99.09.2
Mönchengladbach9.09.29.3
Schalke 049.39.49.6
Bayer Leverkusen vs Schalke 04HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 0410.59.68.4
Bayer Leverkusen0.00.10.6
10.711.912.5
Augsburg vs HamburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 057.85.94.8
13.713.613.7
Wolfsburg13.510.68.6
14.314.214.3
Hamburg30.914.42.4
15.214.513.6
Augsburg8.932.950.3
14.415.415.9
Ingolstadt88.686.083.6
Mainz 05 vs MönchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Köln8.18.18.4
Werder Bremen8.58.68.8
Frankfurt0.0*0.0No
8.98.99.1
Mönchengladbach0.00.0No
10.29.48.1
Mainz 051.05.811.0
12.813.814.3
Wolfsburg12.111.110.1
14.414.214.1
Hamburg17.716.715.7
14.614.414.3
Augsburg31.629.827.8
15.315.215.1
Ingolstadt87.186.385.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.