Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
10/20PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Borussia DortmundTEintracht Frank 2-2206-2-11836.7%-8.985.2%-2.83724159642110000000002.6-0.260.0%-0.03.616at Hannover 96Borussia Dortmund
Bayern MünchenWHamburger SV 1-0206-2-11534.1+8.383.8+7.234251510643211000000002.7+0.530.0-0.02.608LeipzigBayern München
LeipzigWStuttgart 1-0196-1-2611.9+3.259.6+9.4121617141197532110000004.4+0.750.0-0.11.539at Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
HoffenheimTWolfsburg 1-1164-4-155.1-2.039.3-5.6591213131110865321100005.8-0.240.1-0.14.526Mönchengladbach1899 Hoffenheim
Schalke 04WMainz 05 2-0165-1-334.6+2.337.3+14.0581113131110875421100005.9+1.580.1-0.85.513WolfsburgSchalke 04
Hannover 96WAugsburg 2-1154-3-233.1+1.028.7+7.6369111212111087532110006.6+1.140.3-0.88.523Borussia DortmundHannover 96
Bayer LeverkusenWMönchengladbach 5-1123-3-361.5+0.818.5+8.813689101111109754211007.7+1.910.6-2.86.523KölnBayer Leverkusen
Eintracht FrankTBorussia Dortmund 2-2144-2-311.3-0.717.4-3.913579101111109764321007.9-0.130.7-0.47.485at Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt
AugsburgLHannover 96 1-2123-3-320.9-1.713.7-12.112468910111110875421008.4-1.161.1+0.310.497at Werder BremenFC Augsburg
MönchengladbachLBayer Leverkusen 1-5144-2-3-40.4-1.78.0-14.501245791011111098642109.5-1.872.1+1.112.427at HoffenheimBorussia Mönchengladbach
Hertha BSCTFreiburg 1-1102-4-3-20.1-0.13.3-1.50012345791011121110752111.0-0.035.6-1.613.438Hamburger SVHertha BSC
WolfsburgTHoffenheim 1-191-6-2-30.1-0.02.1-0.8001123467911121211974111.7+0.208.3-3.09.424at Schalke 04VfL Wolfsburg
Mainz 05LSchalke 04 0-2103-1-5-50.1-0.21.8-3.50011234579111212121074111.9-1.068.9+2.414.407Eintracht Frank1. FSV Mainz 05
StuttgartLLeipzig 0-1103-1-5-50.0-0.10.9-1.70000112357911131413117312.9-0.8514.7+3.115.381FreiburgStuttgart
FreiburgTHertha BSC 1-181-5-3-110.0-0.00.2-0.10000001123571013161714814.4+0.1930.6-5.211.338at StuttgartSC Freiburg
Hamburger SVLBayern München 0-172-1-6-90.0-0.00.2-0.3000000112346912161917914.7-0.4535.3+4.116.348at Hertha BSCHamburger SV
Werder BremenTKöln 0-050-5-4-60.0-0.00.0-0.0000000001123581219282215.9-0.1359.1+1.517.333AugsburgWerder Bremen
KölnTWerder Bremen 0-020-2-7-140.00.0-0.000000000000123611225517.1-0.1282.5+2.318.302at Bayer Leverkusen1. FC Köln

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/20
Hamburger SV 0 Bayern München 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund-2.2
-0.3
Bayern München+4.5
+5.0
+0.3
Leipzig-0.6
-0.6
Hoffenheim-0.5
-0.7
Schalke 04-0.4
-0.7
Hannover 96-0.5
Eintracht Frank-0.2
-0.5
Augsburg-0.2
-0.5
Mönchengladbach-0.2
-0.5
Hertha BSC-0.3
Wolfsburg-0.4
Mainz 05-0.4
Stuttgart-0.4
Freiburg-0.8
Hamburger SV+4.2
-0.3
Werder Bremen-0.9
Köln-0.6
Eintracht Frank 2 Borussia Dortmund 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund-3.0
-1.3
-0.1
Bayern München+1.3
Leipzig+0.5
+0.3
Hoffenheim+0.4
+0.3
Schalke 04+0.3
+0.3
Eintracht Frank-0.1
-0.6
-0.0
Leipzig 1 Stuttgart 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund-1.1
-0.5
Bayern München-0.7
-0.7
Leipzig+2.7
+7.6
+0.6
Hoffenheim-0.2
-1.0
Schalke 04-0.2
-0.9
Hannover 96-0.6
Bayer Leverkusen-0.4
Eintracht Frank-0.6
Augsburg-0.7
Mönchengladbach-0.7
Stuttgart-1.0
+2.8
-0.5
Freiburg-0.5
Hamburger SV-0.4
Werder Bremen-0.6
Köln-0.3
Schalke 04 2 Mainz 05 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-0.2
-0.5
Leipzig-0.7
Hoffenheim-0.7
Schalke 04+1.1
+6.6
-0.5
+0.8
Hannover 96-0.4
Augsburg-0.5
Mönchengladbach-0.5
Mainz 05-2.0
+2.2
-0.7
Werder Bremen-0.3
Augsburg 1 Hannover 96 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hannover 96+1.1
+6.9
-0.6
+0.8
Augsburg-1.0
-6.5
+0.4
-0.7
Wolfsburg 1 Hoffenheim 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+0.4
+0.3
Bayern München+0.3
+0.3
Leipzig+0.5
Hoffenheim-1.0
-3.0
-0.2
Schalke 04+0.5
Hannover 96+0.5
Bayer Leverkusen+0.3
Eintracht Frank+0.3
Augsburg+0.3
Wolfsburg-0.3
-0.1
Mönchengladbach 1 Bayer Leverkusen 5
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+0.2
Leipzig+0.2
Hoffenheim+0.3
Schalke 04+0.2
Bayer Leverkusen+0.4
+3.9
-1.5
+0.8
Mönchengladbach-0.8
-5.5
+0.5
-0.7
Freiburg 1 Hertha BSC 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hertha BSC-0.8
+0.5
-0.3
Freiburg+0.3
-0.1
Hamburger SV-0.2
Werder Bremen-0.2
Köln-0.1
Köln 0 Werder Bremen 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Stuttgart-0.5
Freiburg-0.7
Hamburger SV-0.8
Werder Bremen+2.0
-0.1
KölnNo
+1.2
-0.1
Week of 10/27
Bayern München vs LeipzigIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund34.638.438.1
85.485.384.8
Bayern München42.031.825.5
89.282.677.6
2.32.83.2
Leipzig7.611.318.1
52.558.969.7
4.94.43.7
Hannover 96 vs Borussia DortmundHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund28.834.143.8
79.184.090.1
3.02.72.3
Bayern München36.935.531.3
83.484.083.9
Leipzig13.112.510.7
59.060.059.9
Hannover 965.42.81.6
38.327.822.7
0.10.20.4
5.86.77.2
Hoffenheim vs MönchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim7.04.23.1
47.136.230.4
5.16.06.5
Mönchengladbach0.20.40.8
5.37.512.7
2.82.01.0
10.19.58.5
Schalke 04 vs WolfsburgHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 046.43.72.8
45.034.329.0
0.00.10.3
5.36.16.6
Wolfsburg1.11.83.7
10.7*8.34.8
12.311.810.9
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht FrankHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Eintracht Frank0.71.02.0
12.015.222.6
1.20.70.3
8.68.17.2
Mainz 053.21.61.0
5.28.911.5
11.012.012.5
Bayer Leverkusen vs KölnHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayer Leverkusen2.01.00.7
22.615.212.1
0.30.81.3
7.28.18.6
Hamburger SV34.7*35.336.9
KölnNo0.00.1
85.882.474.4
17.217.116.7
Werder Bremen vs AugsburgHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Augsburg0.40.61.3
8.811.317.6
2.01.20.5
9.28.77.8
Freiburg32.7*30.629.5
Hamburger SV37.635.334.2
14.714.714.6
Werder Bremen48.259.164.6
15.415.916.2
Hertha BSC vs Hamburger SVHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hertha BSC0.20.10.0
4.82.61.8
3.16.08.7
10.311.311.8
Freiburg29.830.432.0
Hamburger SV0.10.10.3
41.535.825.9
15.114.714.0
Werder Bremen58.158.960.7
Stuttgart vs FreiburgHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Stuttgart1.40.60.4
9.315.520.5
12.213.113.6
Freiburg0.10.10.4
37.531.321.8
14.914.513.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.