Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
8/18PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength8/25
Borussia DortmundWWolfsburg 3-031-0-039.3%+3.733.1%+10.99887776665554443327.6+1.856.2%-7.61.503Hertha BSCBorussia Dortmund
Hertha BSCWStuttgart 2-031-0-029.2+3.633.0+10.79887776665554443327.7+1.836.3-7.61.503at Borussia DortmundHertha BSC
Schalke 04WLeipzig 2-031-0-029.2+3.632.9+10.79887776665554443327.7+1.836.3-7.61.503at Hannover 96Schalke 04
Hamburger SVWAugsburg 1-031-0-019.1+3.632.8+10.69887776665554443327.7+1.816.3-7.61.503at KölnHamburger SV
MönchengladbachWKöln 1-031-0-019.1+3.632.8+10.69887776665554443327.7+1.816.3-7.51.503at AugsburgBorussia Mönchengladbach
Hannover 96WMainz 05 1-031-0-019.1+3.632.8+10.69887776665554443327.7+1.816.3-7.61.503Schalke 04Hannover 96
HoffenheimWWerder Bremen 1-031-0-019.1+3.632.8+10.69887776665554443327.7+1.816.3-7.51.503at Bayer Leverkusen1899 Hoffenheim
Bayern MünchenWBayer Leverkusen 3-131-0-028.4+2.831.0+8.88887776666555443327.9+1.587.0-6.91.497at Werder BremenBayern München
FreiburgTEintracht Frank 0-010-1-005.9+0.324.6+2.46666666666665555438.8+0.659.9-4.09.503at LeipzigSC Freiburg
Eintracht FrankTFreiburg 0-010-1-005.9+0.324.6+2.46666666666665555438.8+0.659.9-4.09.503WolfsburgEintracht Frankfurt
Bayer LeverkusenLBayern München 1-300-0-1-22.2-3.412.1-10.223344455566677788911.2-1.7421.1+7.29.467HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
KölnLMönchengladbach 0-100-0-1-11.9-3.611.1-11.1233344555666778891011.5-1.9722.5+8.69.462Hamburger SV1. FC Köln
Mainz 05LHannover 96 0-100-0-1-11.9-3.611.1-11.1233344555666778891011.5-1.9822.5+8.69.462at Stuttgart1. FSV Mainz 05
AugsburgLHamburger SV 0-100-0-1-11.9-3.611.1-11.1233344555666778891011.5-1.9822.5+8.69.462MönchengladbachFC Augsburg
Werder BremenLHoffenheim 0-100-0-1-11.9-3.611.1-11.1233344555666778891011.5-1.9822.5+8.69.462Bayern MünchenWerder Bremen
LeipzigLSchalke 04 0-200-0-1-21.9-3.611.0-11.2233344555666778891011.5-1.9922.6+8.79.462FreiburgRB Leipzig
StuttgartLHertha BSC 0-200-0-1-21.9-3.611.0-11.2233344555666778891011.5-1.9922.7+8.89.462Mainz 05Stuttgart
WolfsburgLBorussia Dortmund 0-300-0-1-31.9-3.610.9-11.3233344555666778891011.5-2.0122.7+8.99.462at Eintracht FrankVfL Wolfsburg

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/18
Bayern München 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Bayer Leverkusen-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Hertha BSC 2 Stuttgart 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hertha BSC+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Bayern München-0.1
Augsburg-0.1
Stuttgart-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Mainz 05 0 Hannover 96 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hannover 96+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Bayern München-0.1
Eintracht Frank-0.1
Mainz 05-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Leipzig-0.1
Wolfsburg 0 Borussia Dortmund 3
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Schalke 04-0.1
Mönchengladbach-0.1
Bayern München-0.1
Werder Bremen*-0.1
Leipzig-0.1
Wolfsburg-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Schalke 04 2 Leipzig 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hertha BSC*-0.1
Schalke 04+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Hoffenheim*-0.1
Bayern München-0.1
Freiburg-0.1
Köln*-0.1
Leipzig-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Hamburger SV 1 Augsburg 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 04-0.1
Hamburger SV+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Bayern München-0.1
Augsburg-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Stuttgart-0.1
Hoffenheim 1 Werder Bremen 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mönchengladbach-0.1
Hoffenheim+2.2
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Bayern München*-0.1
Mainz 05-0.1
Augsburg-0.1
Werder Bremen-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Mönchengladbach 1 Köln 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund-0.1
Hertha BSC-0.1
Schalke 04-0.1
Hamburger SV-0.1
Mönchengladbach+2.0
+6.1
-4.2
+1.0
Hannover 96-0.1
Bayern München-0.1
Köln-1.6
-5.0
+3.8
-0.9
Freiburg 0 Eintracht Frank 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+0.2
Hertha BSC+0.3
Schalke 04+0.2
Hamburger SV+0.2
Mönchengladbach+0.2
Hannover 96+0.2
Hoffenheim+0.2
Bayern München+0.2
Freiburg-0.5
-1.4
+0.5
-0.2
Eintracht Frank-0.6
-1.4
+0.5
-0.2
Bayer Leverkusen+0.2
Köln+0.2
Week of 8/25
Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund12.88.46.4
41.031.526.5
3.96.58.4
6.77.88.5
Hertha BSC6.38.312.7
26.331.440.8
8.56.53.9
8.57.86.7
Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 046.38.412.7
26.331.340.8
8.56.63.9
8.57.86.7
Hannover 9612.68.36.3
40.731.226.2
3.96.68.5
6.77.98.5
Bayer Leverkusen vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund9.49.49.0
33.333.432.8
6.46.26.2
Hertha BSC9.39.38.9
33.133.232.6
6.46.26.2
Hamburger SV9.39.28.9
33.033.132.5
6.46.36.3
Mönchengladbach9.39.28.9
33.033.132.5
6.5*6.36.2
Hoffenheim6.48.112.2
26.130.740.0
8.86.73.9
8.67.96.7
Bayer Leverkusen3.41.91.3
16.711.28.6
15.021.725.8
10.211.412.0
Köln2.02.01.9
11.211.210.9
22.822.422.3
Augsburg2.02.01.9
11.211.210.9
22.922.422.3
Augsburg vs MönchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hertha BSC9.39.38.9
33.233.232.6
6.46.26.2
Mönchengladbach6.48.112.2
26.130.840.0
8.96.73.9
8.67.96.8
Hoffenheim9.39.28.9
33.033.032.5
6.56.36.2
Köln2.02.01.9
11.211.210.9
22.822.422.3
Augsburg3.01.71.2
15.510.27.9
16.223.127.4
10.411.612.3
Werder Bremen2.02.01.9
11.211.210.9
22.922.422.3
Leipzig2.02.01.9
11.111.110.9
23.022.522.4
Stuttgart2.02.01.9
11.111.110.9
23.022.622.4
Wolfsburg2.01.91.9
11.011.110.8
23.122.722.5
Köln vs Hamburger SVHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund9.49.49.0
33.333.432.8
6.46.26.2
Hertha BSC9.39.39.0
33.233.232.6
6.4*6.36.2
Hamburger SV6.48.112.2
26.130.840.0
8.96.73.9
8.67.96.8
Köln3.11.71.2
15.610.27.9
16.223.127.4
10.411.612.3
Augsburg2.02.01.9
11.211.210.9
22.922.422.3
Werder Bremen2.02.01.9
11.211.210.9
22.922.422.3
Stuttgart2.02.01.9
11.111.110.9
23.022.622.4
Wolfsburg1.92.01.9
11.011.110.8
23.122.722.5
Werder Bremen vs Bayern MünchenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 049.39.39.0
33.133.232.6
6.46.26.2
Hannover 969.39.28.9
33.033.132.5
6.56.36.3
Hoffenheim9.39.38.9
33.033.132.5
6.56.36.3
Bayern München5.87.411.3
24.529.038.0
9.77.34.3
8.88.27.0
Köln11.211.210.9
22.822.422.3
Mainz 052.02.01.9
11.211.210.9
22.822.422.3
Augsburg2.02.01.9
11.211.210.9
22.922.422.3
Werder Bremen3.01.71.2
15.510.27.8
16.323.227.5
10.411.612.3
Leipzig2.02.01.9
11.111.210.8
23.022.622.4
Stuttgart2.01.91.9
11.111.110.9
23.022.522.4
Leipzig vs FreiburgHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Freiburg3.95.18.1
18.822.730.9
13.410.46.5
9.89.17.9
Leipzig3.01.71.2
15.410.27.8
16.223.227.6
10.411.612.3
Eintracht Frank vs WolfsburgHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Eintracht Frank8.15.13.9
30.922.718.8
6.510.513.4
7.99.19.8
Wolfsburg1.21.73.0
7.810.115.3
27.823.316.3
12.311.710.5
Stuttgart vs Mainz 05HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 051.21.72.9
7.810.015.1
28.223.316.2
12.311.710.5
Stuttgart2.91.61.2
15.09.97.8
16.323.528.3
10.511.712.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.