"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
3/18PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength4/1
Bayern MünchenWMönchengladbach 1-06219-5-14899.9%+0.8100.0%+0.0100000001.0+0.01No1.836AugsburgBayern München
LeipzigLWerder Bremen 0-34915-4-6150.1-0.897.3-1.60543013200000002.6-0.35No3.631Darmstadt 98RB Leipzig
Borussia DortmundWIngolstadt 1-04613-7-5270.0-0.092.6+6.00283628610000000003.2+0.28No4.702at Schalke 04Borussia Dortmund
HoffenheimWBayer Leverkusen 1-04511-12-2210.0-0.085.1+12.501729401131000000003.6+0.37No-0.02.681at Hertha1899 Hoffenheim
HerthaLKöln 2-44012-4-940.016.8-17.70141242231052100000005.5-0.580.0%6.534HoffenheimHertha BSC
KölnWHertha 4-2379-10-680.06.0+2.300152230191163210000006.5+0.830.0-0.05.573at Hamburg1. FC Köln
Schalke 04WMainz 05 1-0339-6-105No0.8+0.300161522191510632100008.1+0.840.1-0.19.549Borussia DortmundSchalke 04
FrankfurtTHamburg 0-03610-6-9-1No-0.01.0-1.200161319201611742100008.3-0.420.0+0.07.479MönchengladbachEintracht Frankfurt
FreiburgTAugsburg 1-13510-5-10-100.00.2-0.3000037141719151174210009.1-0.220.1-0.08.402Werder BremenSC Freiburg
MönchengladbachLBayern München 0-1329-5-11-4No0.1-0.2000137101417161296410010.4-0.480.6+0.310.450at FrankfurtBorussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer LeverkusenLHoffenheim 0-1319-4-12-3No0.0-0.1000125812161714117420010.8-0.630.9+0.411.466WolfsburgBayer Leverkusen
Mainz 05LSchalke 04 0-1298-5-12-8No0.0-0.0000001358111516161491012.7-0.805.6+2.714.420at Ingolstadt1. FSV Mainz 05
Werder BremenWLeipzig 3-0298-5-12-10No0.0+0.00000012471014161716102012.9+1.286.6-11.416.406at FreiburgWerder Bremen
WolfsburgWDarmstadt 98 1-0298-5-12-11No0.0-0.00000012461013161717122013.1+0.657.8-5.712.365at Bayer LeverkusenVfL Wolfsburg
AugsburgTFreiburg 1-1297-8-10-10No0.0-0.0000000125811151821163013.6-0.3110.5+1.815.378at Bayern MünchenFC Augsburg
HamburgTFrankfurt 0-0277-6-12-22No0.0-0.00000000113581319408014.9-0.2428.7+3.513.292KölnHamburg SV
IngolstadtLBorussia Dortmund 0-1195-4-16-19NoNo000000001131075916.8-0.1989.3+8.017.305Mainz 05Ingolstadt
Darmstadt 98LWolfsburg 0-1154-3-18-30NoNo000000000099017.9-0.0399.8+0.518.215at LeipzigDarmstadt 98

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/1
Bayern München vs AugsburgIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München100.099.899.4
Yes100.0100.0
Leipzig0.00.20.4
KölnNoNo0.0
Frankfurt8.28.38.3
Freiburg9.19.19.2
Mönchengladbach0.60.70.8
10.410.410.5
Bayer Leverkusen0.91.01.1
10.810.811.0
Mainz 055.45.96.5
12.612.712.9
Werder Bremen6.46.97.7
12.912.913.1
Wolfsburg7.58.18.9
13.113.113.3
Augsburg12.28.23.3
13.813.312.3
Hamburg28.029.531.2
14.814.915.0
Ingolstadt89.089.790.4
Leipzig vs Darmstadt 98HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig0.10.00.0
98.695.893.2
2.52.83.0
Borussia Dortmund92.592.893.1
3.23.13.0
Hoffenheim84.885.485.8
3.63.53.4
Hertha16.217.518.7
Köln5.96.26.6
Schalke 040.80.91.0
Frankfurt1.01.11.2
Hamburg28.628.729.1
Ingolstadt16.816.916.9
Darmstadt 9899.999.899.1
17.917.917.8
Schalke 04 vs Borussia DortmundHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig97.597.497.1
2.52.62.7
Borussia Dortmund86.591.496.5
3.53.32.9
Hoffenheim85.685.484.6
3.53.53.7
Hertha19.117.515.2
Köln7.26.45.2
6.66.56.5
Schalke 042.40.50.2
7.28.08.5
Frankfurt1.21.10.9
8.48.38.2
Freiburg9.39.19.1
Mönchengladbach10.510.410.4
Bayer Leverkusen10.910.810.8
Hertha vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig96.497.497.7
2.62.62.7
Borussia Dortmund90.692.993.5
3.13.13.2
Hoffenheim70.084.093.8
4.03.73.3
Hertha33.716.28.0
No0.00.0
4.95.55.9
Köln6.86.95.2
6.66.56.5
Schalke 040.91.00.7
8.18.18.0
Frankfurt1.11.20.8
8.38.38.2
Hamburg vs KölnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig97.697.597.1
Borussia Dortmund93.793.392.0
Hoffenheim86.786.184.1
Hertha17.617.316.3
5.45.45.6
Köln*NoNo0.0
2.13.58.5
7.36.86.2
Schalke 040.90.90.8
8.08.08.1
Frankfurt8.28.28.3
Freiburg9.19.19.2
Mönchengladbach1.00.70.5
Bayer Leverkusen1.41.00.8
Mainz 057.45.85.0
12.812.712.7
Werder Bremen8.66.95.9
13.012.912.9
Wolfsburg10.18.17.0
13.213.113.1
Augsburg13.410.89.4
13.713.613.5
Hamburg16.026.933.4
14.014.815.2
Ingolstadt91.989.888.2
16.916.916.8
Darmstadt 9899.999.899.7
Frankfurt vs MönchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig97.297.397.3
Borussia Dortmund92.492.792.7
Hoffenheim84.885.285.3
Hertha16.616.916.9
Köln6.66.56.5
Schalke 048.18.08.1
Frankfurt1.90.60.3
7.58.49.0
Mönchengladbach0.00.00.2
1.10.60.1
11.210.59.4
Werder Bremen6.66.76.7
Augsburg10.410.510.5
Hamburg28.528.728.8
Freiburg vs Werder BremenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim85.085.185.1
Köln6.66.56.5
Schalke 048.18.08.0
Frankfurt8.38.28.2
Freiburg0.50.10.0
0.00.10.2
8.39.29.9
Mönchengladbach0.50.60.7
Bayer Leverkusen0.80.91.0
Mainz 055.25.66.1
12.612.712.8
Werder Bremen10.66.92.6
13.713.112.0
Wolfsburg7.27.78.4
13.013.113.2
Augsburg9.710.411.2
13.513.613.7
Hamburg27.428.629.9
14.814.914.9
Ingolstadt88.6*89.389.9
Bayer Leverkusen vs WolfsburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Freiburg9.29.19.1
Mönchengladbach10.510.410.4
Bayer Leverkusen0.20.92.1
10.011.111.8
Mainz 055.35.76.1
Werder Bremen6.36.77.2
Wolfsburg11.37.42.8
13.813.212.0
Augsburg9.910.511.2
Hamburg27.728.830.0
14.814.914.9
Ingolstadt88.889.489.9
Ingolstadt vs Mainz 05HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Freiburg9.19.19.2
Mönchengladbach10.310.410.5
Bayer Leverkusen10.710.810.9
Mainz 0510.96.12.1
13.613.012.0
Werder Bremen7.16.46.5
12.812.913.0
Wolfsburg8.37.57.6
13.013.013.2
Augsburg11.210.110.2
13.513.513.7
Hamburg30.628.027.9
Ingolstadt80.190.594.1
16.516.917.0
Darmstadt 9818.017.917.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.