Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength1/28
Bayern MünchenWFreiburg 2-14213-3-13077.8%-2.399.9%+0.2781920000000000001.3-0.01No-0.02.777at Werder BremenBayern München
LeipzigWFrankfurt 3-03912-3-21920.1+4.397.5+4.420591352100000000002.1+0.320.0%-0.03.698HoffenheimRB Leipzig
HoffenheimWAugsburg 2-0317-10-0130.8+0.057.3+14.517262419137210000000004.4+0.550.0-0.01.644at Leipzig1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia DortmundWWerder Bremen 2-1308-6-3170.6-0.253.5+9.016232320158310000000004.5+0.340.0-0.04.655at Mainz 05Borussia Dortmund
Herthaat Bayer Leverkusen3019-3-480.5-0.547.1-2.3152022211710410000000004.8-0.110.0-0.07.595at FreiburgHertha BSC
FrankfurtLLeipzig 0-3298-5-470.1-1.228.7-24.3021116202317731000000005.5-1.040.0-0.05.597at Schalke 04Eintracht Frankfurt
Kölnat Mainz 052516-7-360.0-0.113.9-1.301591420261473210000006.6-0.050.0-0.06.577at Darmstadt 981. FC Köln
Schalke 04WIngolstadt 1-0216-3-820.0-0.00.8+0.3000124102020161274210009.3+0.800.2-0.812.517FrankfurtSchalke 04
Bayer LeverkusenHertha2116-3-7-10.0-0.00.8-0.100012491819171395310009.6+0.060.3-0.28.474MönchengladbachBayer Leverkusen
FreiburgLBayern München 1-2237-2-8-70.0-0.00.3-0.30000126131718161284210010.2-0.320.5-0.19.407HerthaSC Freiburg
Mainz 05Köln2016-2-8-40.0-0.00.3-0.00000125121617161285310010.4+0.090.8-0.510.446Borussia Dortmund1. FSV Mainz 05
WolfsburgWHamburg 1-0195-4-8-80.0-0.00.0+0.000000013610141717151052012.4+0.994.8-8.811.371AugsburgVfL Wolfsburg
AugsburgLHoffenheim 0-2184-6-7-60.0-0.00.0-0.00000001258121618161263112.7-0.756.2+1.713.378at WolfsburgFC Augsburg
MönchengladbachTDarmstadt 98 0-0174-5-8-100.0-0.00.0-0.00000000124812161918126113.6-0.1213.0-1.614.344at Bayer LeverkusenBorussia Mönchengladbach
Werder BremenLBorussia Dortmund 1-2164-4-9-150.0-0.00.0-0.0000000011359141821169314.2-0.1819.0-0.415.337Bayern MünchenWerder Bremen
IngolstadtLSchalke 04 0-1123-3-11-140.0-0.00.0-0.0000000000012481425291616.0-0.2657.2+4.616.302HamburgIngolstadt
HamburgLWolfsburg 0-1133-4-10-180.0-0.00.0000000000012481425301716.1-0.3458.8+6.617.275at IngolstadtHamburg SV
Darmstadt 98TMönchengladbach 0-092-3-12-19No-0.00.0-0.00000000000011410226217.4+0.0389.1-0.518.245KölnDarmstadt 98

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/21
Leipzig 3 Frankfurt 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-4.4
Leipzig+5.5
+3.6
No
+0.3
Hoffenheim+1.4
Borussia Dortmund+1.5
Hertha+1.5
Frankfurt-0.8
-8.9
-0.4
Köln+0.8
Freiburg 1 Bayern München 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+3.8
+0.2
No
Leipzig-2.8
Hoffenheim-0.2
Borussia Dortmund-0.2
Hertha-0.3
Frankfurt-0.3
Freiburg-0.2
+0.2
-0.2
Augsburg 0 Hoffenheim 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-0.2
Leipzig-0.5
Hoffenheim+0.3
+7.4
+0.3
Borussia Dortmund-1.9
Hertha-1.9
Frankfurt-1.9
Köln-1.0
Augsburg+1.4
-0.4
Mönchengladbach-0.2
Werder Bremen-0.2
Ingolstadt-0.3
Hamburg-0.3
Werder Bremen 1 Borussia Dortmund 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig-0.5
Hoffenheim-1.6
Borussia Dortmund+0.3
+6.5
+0.3
Hertha-1.6
Frankfurt-1.6
Köln-0.9
Wolfsburg-0.4
Augsburg-0.2
Mönchengladbach-0.4
Werder Bremen+3.3
-0.3
Ingolstadt-0.9
Hamburg-0.9
Darmstadt 98-0.3
Schalke 04 1 Ingolstadt 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 04+0.3
-0.6
+0.5
Wolfsburg-0.8
Augsburg-0.3
Mönchengladbach-0.9
Werder Bremen-1.1
IngolstadtNo
+6.4
-0.3
Hamburg-1.7
Darmstadt 98-0.7
Wolfsburg 1 Hamburg 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg-6.1
+0.6
Augsburg-0.2
Mönchengladbach-0.5
Werder Bremen-0.7
Ingolstadt-1.0
HamburgNo
+9.0
-0.4
Darmstadt 98-0.4
Darmstadt 98 0 Mönchengladbach 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg-0.3
MönchengladbachNo
+1.5
-0.2
Werder Bremen-0.4
Ingolstadt-0.6
Hamburg-0.6
Darmstadt 98No
No
+0.8
-0.0
Bayer Leverkusen vs HerthaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim59.958.555.0
4.34.44.5
Borussia Dortmund56.254.651.1
4.54.54.6
Hertha0.20.30.8
36.743.255.8
0.0NoNo
5.24.94.4
Frankfurt30.929.626.8
Bayer Leverkusen1.70.60.3
0.10.20.5
8.99.610.0
Mainz 05 vs KölnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Köln8.411.318.6
7.16.76.1
Mainz 050.0NoNo
0.70.20.1
0.20.71.1
9.610.410.8
Week of 1/28
Werder Bremen vs Bayern MünchenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München67.672.981.4
99.599.899.9
1.41.31.2
Leipzig28.824.417.0
2.02.12.1
Werder Bremen0.0NoNo
9.616.721.4
13.314.014.4
Ingolstadt59.957.956.5
16.116.016.0
Hamburg61.559.558.1
16.216.116.0
Leipzig vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München72.480.182.8
1.31.21.2
Leipzig26.217.914.1
99.097.595.6
1.92.12.3
Hoffenheim0.20.61.5
49.156.268.6
0.0NoNo
4.74.43.9
Borussia Dortmund0.50.60.7
55.453.850.7
4.54.54.6
Hertha49.047.544.4
4.74.84.8
Frankfurt30.328.926.4
5.55.55.6
Mainz 05 vs Borussia DortmundHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim60.458.755.2
4.34.34.5
Borussia Dortmund0.20.40.9
41.648.461.1
0.0NoNo
5.04.74.2
Hertha50.348.645.0
4.74.74.8
Frankfurt31.329.826.9
5.55.55.6
Mainz 050.0No0.0
0.80.20.1
0.20.61.1
9.610.310.7
Freiburg vs HerthaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim60.258.655.2
4.34.44.4
Borussia Dortmund56.654.851.2
4.54.54.6
Hertha0.20.30.8
36.042.454.9
0.0NoNo
5.35.04.5
Frankfurt31.129.826.9
5.55.55.6
Freiburg0.0NoNo
0.70.20.1
0.10.40.7
9.510.210.6
Schalke 04 vs FrankfurtHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim59.458.255.1
4.34.44.5
Borussia Dortmund55.654.451.3
4.54.54.6
Hertha49.148.145.1
4.74.74.8
Frankfurt0.00.10.3
20.225.436.8
0.00.0No
6.05.75.1
Schalke 040.00.0No
1.70.60.3
0.00.20.3
8.79.49.8
Darmstadt 98 vs KölnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Köln7.610.217.1
7.26.86.3
Darmstadt 980.1NoNo
80.488.491.4
17.017.317.5
Bayer Leverkusen vs MönchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayer Leverkusen1.20.50.3
0.1*0.30.7
9.19.810.2
MönchengladbachNoNo0.0
16.812.76.8
14.113.712.9
Wolfsburg vs AugsburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg0.0NoNo
2.14.97.4
11.712.513.0
AugsburgNoNo0.0
9.46.53.0
13.312.812.0
Ingolstadt vs HamburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Ingolstadt0.0NoNo
44.359.570.1
15.516.116.5
HamburgNoNo0.0
70.560.044.6
16.516.115.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.