1. Bundesliga Title Chances

																100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title													UEFA CL			Chance will finish season at seed																				2. Bundesliga
	Sunday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength	4/13

Bayern Munich			75		24	-	3	-	1	66	Yes		Yes			100																		1.0		No			1	.846	Nuremburg	FC Bayern Munich
Dortmund			55		16	-	7	-	5	32	No		100.0	%	+0.0		94	6	0	0	0	0												2.1		No			2	.672	at Greuther	Borussia Dortmund
Leverkusen			49		14	-	7	-	7	15	No		96.0		+0.4		6	78	13	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0							3.2	+0.01	No			3	.592	at Schalke	Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Schalke			45		13	-	6	-	9	5	No		49.9		+2.1		0	11	39	22	14	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0					4.9	+0.08	No			6	.524	Leverkusen	FC Schalke 04

Freiburg			42		11	-	9	-	8	3	No		21.5		+1.2		0	2	19	25	21	14	9	5	3	1	0	0	0	0				6.0	+0.10	No			5	.518	Hannover	SC Freiburg
Eintracht			42		12	-	6	-	10	2	No		20.9		+1.2		0	3	18	23	20	15	10	6	3	1	0	0	0	0				6.1	+0.11	No			4	.507	at Augsburg	Eintracht Frankfurt
Monchengladbach			41		10	-	11	-	7	-1	No		5.9		+0.4		0	0	5	11	15	18	17	14	10	6	2	1	0	0	0			7.6	+0.09	0.0	%		8	.485	at Stuttgart	Borussia Mönchengladbach
Mainz	L	Nuremburg 1-2	39		10	-	9	-	9	3	No		3.3		-4.5		0	0	3	8	13	16	17	15	13	9	4	1	0	0	0			8.1	-0.67	0.0			9	.519	Hamburger	1. FSV Mainz 05
Nuremburg	W	Mainz 2-1	38		9	-	11	-	8	-2	No		0.9		+0.5		0	0	1	3	6	11	16	19	19	15	7	3	1	0	0	0		9.1	+0.98	0.0		-0.0	7	.475	at Bayern Munich	1. FC Nuremberg
Hannover	T	Stuttgart 0-0	38		11	-	5	-	12	3	No		1.0		-1.4		0	0	1	3	6	10	14	17	19	17	8	3	1	0	0	0		9.2	-0.58	0.0			10	.511	at Freiburg	Hannover 96
Hamburger			38		11	-	5	-	12	-12	No		0.6		+0.1		0	0	1	2	4	7	10	15	19	22	13	6	2	0	0	0		9.9	+0.01	0.0			11	.402	at Mainz	Hamburger SV
Stuttgart	T	Hannover 0-0	33		9	-	6	-	13	-17	No		0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	11	24	27	19	8	1	0	0	12.5	+0.07	0.4		-0.3	13	.363	Monchengladbach	VfB Stuttgart
Wolfsburg			33		8	-	9	-	11	-10	No		0.0		+0.0			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	22	25	23	10	1	0	0	12.7	-0.06	0.5		-0.0	12	.417	Hoffenheim	VfL Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen			31		8	-	7	-	13	-11	No		0.0						0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	15	23	29	20	3	0	0	13.4	-0.06	1.8		+0.0	14	.427	at Dusseldorf	SV Werder Bremen
Dusseldorf			29		7	-	8	-	13	-10	No		0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	11	22	47	11	2	0	14.4	-0.07	7.0		+0.4	15	.417	Werder Bremen	Fortuna Düsseldorf

Augsburg			24		5	-	9	-	14	-19	No		No										0	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	55	33	1	16.2		60.7		-0.2	16	.337	Eintracht	FC Augsburg

Hoffenheim			23		6	-	5	-	17	-19	No		No											0	0	0	0	0	1	4	30	64	1	16.6		79.7		+0.1	17	.365	at Wolfsburg	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Greuther			15		2	-	9	-	17	-28	No		No															0	0	0	0	2	98	18.0		99.9		+0.0	18	.254	Dortmund	SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Week of 4/5
Eintracht 0 Bayern Munich 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Bayern Munich	Yes
Dortmund	No
Leverkusen			+0.3
Schalke			+2.6
Freiburg			+1.5
Eintracht			-7.4				-0.3
Monchengladbach			+0.8
Mainz			+1.2
Hannover			+0.5
Hamburger			+0.5

Dortmund 4 Augsburg 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Stuttgart					-0.2
Wolfsburg					-0.2
Werder Bremen					-0.2
Dusseldorf					-1.2
Augsburg					+3.6		-0.1
Hoffenheim					-1.8

Werder Bremen 0 Schalke 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Leverkusen			-0.7
Schalke			+16.2				+0.8
Freiburg			-2.8
Eintracht			-6.3
Monchengladbach			-1.4
Mainz			-2.7
Nuremburg			-0.2
Hannover			-1.0
Hamburger			-0.8
Werder Bremen					+1.0		-0.7
Dusseldorf					-0.2
Augsburg					-0.5
Hoffenheim					-0.3

Hamburger 0 Freiburg 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Leverkusen			-0.3
Schalke			-2.3
Freiburg			+10.8		*No		+1.1
Eintracht			-3.0
Monchengladbach			-0.7
Mainz			-1.3
Hannover			-0.3
Hamburger			-2.7				-1.0

Nuremburg 2 Mainz 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Leverkusen			+0.3
Schalke			+1.7
Freiburg			+1.0
Eintracht			+0.7
Monchengladbach			+0.2
Mainz			-4.5				-0.7
Nuremburg			+0.4				+0.8

Monchengladbach 1 Greuther 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Schalke			-0.5
Freiburg			-0.3
Eintracht			-0.7
Monchengladbach			+2.1				+0.5
Mainz			-0.2
Hannover							-0.1
Hamburger							-0.1
Greuther					+0.2

Hannover 0 Stuttgart 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Leverkusen			+0.2
Schalke			+0.5
Freiburg			+0.2
Eintracht			+0.3
Hannover			-1.5				-0.5
Stuttgart					-0.2		+0.1

Leverkusen 1 Wolfsburg 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Leverkusen			-1.1				-0.1
Schalke			+0.3
Eintracht			+0.3
Stuttgart							-0.0
Wolfsburg					-0.4		+0.1
Augsburg					+0.2

Hoffenheim 3 Dusseldorf 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Dusseldorf			No		+2.8		-0.4
Augsburg					+2.9
Hoffenheim					-5.9		+0.2

Week of 4/13
Schalke vs LeverkusenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Leverkusen			92.797.499.6				3.43.12.9
Schalke			65.343.732.9				4.45.15.6
Freiburg			17.023.326.5				6.15.95.9
Eintracht			16.722.625.6				6.26.06.0
Monchengladbach			4.46.57.6				7.67.57.5
Mainz			2.23.64.5				8.28.18.1

Augsburg vs EintrachtHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Schalke			54.551.844.5				4.84.95.0
Freiburg			24.522.718.0				5.85.96.1
Eintracht			10.216.633.4				6.86.25.3
Monchengladbach			7.06.34.7				7.47.57.7
Mainz			3.83.52.6		0.00.0No		8.08.18.2
Dusseldorf					10.76.04.4		14.514.414.4
Augsburg					47.863.370.7		15.916.316.4
Hoffenheim					87.278.873.5		16.716.616.5

Freiburg vs HannoverHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Schalke			46.153.354.8				5.04.84.8
Freiburg			30.914.38.0				5.46.37.1
Eintracht			18.622.923.9				6.16.06.0
Hannover			0.10.63.5		0.00.0No		9.99.27.9

Stuttgart vs MonchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Schalke			51.350.647.8				4.94.95.0
Freiburg			22.522.020.1				5.95.96.1
Eintracht			21.821.419.6				6.06.06.2
Monchengladbach			1.93.911.7				8.47.76.6
Stuttgart					0.00.30.8		11.812.713.1

Mainz vs HamburgerHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Mainz			5.01.30.5		No*0.00.0		7.48.79.5
Hamburger			0.10.52.3				10.59.78.4

Bayern Munich vs NuremburgHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Nuremburg			0.41.15.0		0.00.0No		9.48.87.6

Wolfsburg vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Wolfsburg					0.00.51.9		12.213.113.5
Dusseldorf					6.06.89.9		14.514.414.4
Augsburg					56.661.170.6		16.116.216.4
Hoffenheim					85.979.764.4		16.716.616.2

Dusseldorf vs Werder BremenHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	2. Bundesliga	100.0*	Average seed
Werder Bremen			NoNo0.0		2.91.10.1		13.913.312.5
Dusseldorf					2.78.814.3		14.014.715.1
Augsburg					62.860.057.2		16.216.216.1
Hoffenheim					80.779.477.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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