Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Bayern MünchenWWerder Bremen 6-031-0-0610.2%+4.734.9%+12.710988776665554433327.5+2.026.2%-7.71.498Bayern München
WolfsburgWAugsburg 2-031-0-0210.1+4.534.6+12.410988776665554443327.5+1.986.2-7.61.498VfL Wolfsburg
KölnWDarmstadt 98 2-031-0-0210.1+4.534.6+12.410988776665554443327.5+1.986.2-7.71.4981. FC Köln
FrankfurtWSchalke 04 1-031-0-0110.1+4.534.5+12.310988776665554443327.5+1.976.3-7.61.498Eintracht Frankfurt
MönchengladbachWBayer Leverkusen 2-131-0-018.5+3.031.1+8.99877776665555444328.0+1.527.5-6.41.488Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia DortmundWMainz 05 2-131-0-018.5+3.031.1+8.99877776665555444338.0+1.527.5-6.41.488Borussia Dortmund
Leipzig010-0-004.9-0.621.1-1.25556666666666666559.6-0.0613.4-0.57.476at HoffenheimRB Leipzig
Hoffenheim010-0-004.9-0.621.0-1.25556666666666666559.6-0.0613.4-0.57.476Leipzig1899 Hoffenheim
Hertha010-0-004.9-0.721.1-1.25556666666666666559.6-0.0713.4-0.57.476FreiburgHertha BSC
Freiburg010-0-004.9-0.721.0-1.25556666666666666559.6-0.0713.4-0.57.476at HerthaSC Freiburg
HamburgTIngolstadt 1-110-1-004.4-1.219.7-2.54555566666666666659.7-0.2413.8-0.17.477Hamburg SV
IngolstadtTHamburg 1-110-1-004.4-1.219.7-2.54555566666666666659.7-0.2413.8-0.17.477Ingolstadt
Bayer LeverkusenLMönchengladbach 1-200-0-1-12.7-2.913.9-8.333444555566667778810.9-1.3919.6+5.77.466Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz 05LBorussia Dortmund 1-200-0-1-12.7-2.914.0-8.333444555566667778810.9-1.3919.6+5.87.4661. FSV Mainz 05
Schalke 04LFrankfurt 0-100-0-1-12.2-3.412.0-10.2233444555666777891011.3-1.8522.3+8.57.457Schalke 04
Darmstadt 98LKöln 0-200-0-1-22.2-3.411.9-10.3233444555666777891011.4-1.8622.4+8.57.457Darmstadt 98
AugsburgLWolfsburg 0-200-0-1-22.2-3.411.9-10.3233444555666777891011.4-1.8622.4+8.57.457FC Augsburg
Werder BremenLBayern München 0-600-0-1-62.1-3.411.8-10.4233444555666777891011.4-1.9022.7+8.87.457Werder Bremen

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/27
Frankfurt 1 Schalke 04 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-0.1
Frankfurt+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Mönchengladbach-0.1
Leipzig-0.1
Hoffenheim-0.1
Hamburg-0.1
Ingolstadt-0.1
Schalke 04-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Augsburg-0.1
Borussia Dortmund 2 Mainz 05 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mönchengladbach-0.1
Borussia Dortmund+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Freiburg-0.1
Ingolstadt-0.1
Bayer Leverkusen-0.1
Mainz 05-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Darmstadt 98-0.1
Mönchengladbach 2 Bayer Leverkusen 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Köln-0.1
Mönchengladbach+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Borussia Dortmund-0.1
Leipzig-0.1
Hoffenheim-0.1
Hertha-0.1
Bayer Leverkusen-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Darmstadt 98-0.1
Köln 2 Darmstadt 98 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg-0.1
Köln+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Mönchengladbach-0.1
Hamburg-0.1
Bayer Leverkusen-0.1
Darmstadt 98-1.8
-5.3
+4.0
-0.9
Augsburg-0.1
Bayern München 6 Werder Bremen 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Köln-0.1
Frankfurt-0.1
Mönchengladbach-0.1
Borussia Dortmund-0.1
Hoffenheim-0.1
Hertha-0.1
Darmstadt 98-0.1
Werder Bremen-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Augsburg 0 Wolfsburg 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg+2.3
+6.3
-4.4
+1.1
Mainz 05-0.1
Schalke 04-0.1
Augsburg-1.8
-5.2
+4.0
-0.9
Hamburg 1 Ingolstadt 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+0.2
Wolfsburg+0.2
Köln+0.2
Frankfurt+0.2
Mönchengladbach+0.2
Borussia Dortmund+0.2
Leipzig+0.2
Hoffenheim+0.2
Hertha+0.2
Freiburg+0.2
Hamburg-0.6
-1.5
+0.6
-0.2
Ingolstadt-0.6
-1.5
+0.6
-0.2
Bayer Leverkusen+0.2
Mainz 05+0.2
Schalke 04+0.2
Darmstadt 98+0.2
Augsburg+0.2
Werder Bremen+0.2
Hertha vs FreiburgIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München10.210.310.2
34.835.234.8
Wolfsburg10.010.210.0
34.634.934.5
Köln10.010.2*10.1
34.534.8*34.5
Frankfurt10.010.2*10.0
34.534.834.5
Mönchengladbach*8.58.68.5
31.031.331.0
Borussia Dortmund*8.58.68.5
31.031.331.0
Leipzig4.95.0*4.9
21.021.221.0
Hoffenheim4.95.04.9
21.021.221.0
Hertha7.04.33.2
27.219.616.0
9.113.917.3
8.59.810.5
Freiburg3.24.37.0
16.019.627.2
17.313.99.1
10.59.88.5
Hoffenheim vs LeipzigHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München10.210.310.2
34.835.134.8
Wolfsburg10.010.2*10.1
34.534.8*34.6
Köln10.010.2*10.1
34.534.834.5
Frankfurt10.010.210.0
*34.534.834.4
Mönchengladbach*8.58.68.5
*31.031.331.0
Borussia Dortmund*8.58.68.5
31.031.3*31.0
Leipzig3.24.37.0
16.019.627.2
17.314.09.1
10.59.88.5
Hoffenheim7.04.33.2
27.219.616.0
9.113.917.3
8.59.810.5
Hertha21.021.221.0
Freiburg*4.95.04.9
20.921.321.0
13.413.3*13.4
Mainz 0513.914.113.9
Week of 9/9
Schalke 04 vs Bayern MünchenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München7.29.113.5
28.032.842.2
8.66.53.8
8.47.76.5
Wolfsburg10.310.29.8
34.834.934.3
6.4*6.26.2
Köln10.310.29.8
34.834.934.3
6.4*6.26.2
Frankfurt10.210.29.8
34.734.834.2
6.4*6.26.2
Mönchengladbach8.78.78.3
31.331.330.8
7.6*7.47.3
Borussia Dortmund8.78.68.3
31.331.330.8
7.6*7.47.4
Leipzig5.05.04.8
21.221.220.8
13.613.313.2
Hoffenheim5.05.04.8
21.221.220.8
13.613.313.2
Hertha5.05.04.8
21.221.220.8
13.613.313.2
Freiburg5.05.04.7
21.221.220.8
13.613.313.3
Hamburg4.54.44.3
19.919.919.5
14.113.713.6
Ingolstadt4.54.44.2
19.819.919.5
14.113.713.6
Bayer Leverkusen2.82.82.6
14.114.113.7
19.919.519.4
Mainz 052.82.82.6
14.114.113.8
19.919.619.4
Schalke 043.41.91.4
16.711.18.6
16.123.027.2
10.311.512.2
Darmstadt 982.22.22.1
12.012.111.8
22.822.322.1
Augsburg2.22.22.1
12.012.111.8
22.722.322.2
Werder Bremen2.22.22.1
11.811.911.6
23.022.622.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.