Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength2/25
Bayern MünchenTHertha 1-15015-5-13391.0%-2.0100.0%-0.091810000000001.1-0.02No1.786HamburgBayern München
Leipzigat Mönchengladbach42113-3-4168.2+1.796.9+0.1866176210000000002.3No2.660KölnRB Leipzig
Borussia DortmundWWolfsburg 3-03710-7-4200.4+0.267.9+13.30113126169521000000004.1+0.510.0%-0.04.672at FreiburgBorussia Dortmund
HoffenheimWDarmstadt 98 2-0379-10-2170.3+0.265.5+10.201029261610521000000004.2+0.380.0-0.03.664at Schalke 041899 Hoffenheim
KölnSchalke 043218-8-4110.0+0.025.8-1.6029152019161052100000005.8-0.030.0+0.05.631at Leipzig1. FC Köln
FrankfurtLIngolstadt 0-23510-5-650.0-0.121.0-22.202713192118116310000006.1-1.060.0+0.07.560at HerthaEintracht Frankfurt
HerthaTBayern München 1-13410-4-740.0-0.017.7-0.201611172019137311000006.3+0.130.06.539FrankfurtHertha BSC
Bayer LeverkusenWAugsburg 3-1309-3-940.0+0.02.8+1.300125915201914842100008.4+0.930.0-0.19.530Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Schalke 04at Köln2517-4-930.01.3-0.2000136101619171384210009.3+0.080.2+0.111.531HoffenheimSchalke 04
FreiburgTHamburg 2-2309-3-9-80.0-0.00.6-0.4000013713182016106310009.8-0.060.2+0.18.412Borussia DortmundSC Freiburg
MönchengladbachLeipzig2617-5-8-50.00.2-0.00000113712172016117310010.9+0.201.1+0.410.426at IngolstadtBorussia Mönchengladbach
Mainz 05LWerder Bremen 0-2257-4-10-80.00.1-0.20000012471217201611631011.8-0.762.5+1.812.414at Bayer Leverkusen1. FSV Mainz 05
AugsburgLBayer Leverkusen 1-3246-6-9-80.00.0-0.00000000136101621191383013.1-0.647.5+4.815.382at Darmstadt 98FC Augsburg
WolfsburgLBorussia Dortmund 0-3226-4-11-120.00.0-0.00000000123712172017138113.8-0.6615.1+9.013.343Werder BremenVfL Wolfsburg
HamburgTFreiburg 2-2205-5-11-16No0.0-0.000000000125814202423315.2-0.0638.3+7.216.323at Bayern MünchenHamburg SV
Werder BremenWMainz 05 2-0195-4-12-16No0.000000000124813202325415.3+0.5940.2-11.117.346at WolfsburgWerder Bremen
IngolstadtWFrankfurt 2-0185-3-13-13No0.0-0.000000000113611172430615.6+0.7447.9-16.614.335MönchengladbachIngolstadt
Darmstadt 98LHoffenheim 0-2123-3-15-27No0.0-0.00000000000013108617.8-0.2697.0+4.418.220AugsburgDarmstadt 98

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/18
Hertha 1 Bayern München 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-1.6
Leipzig+1.5
Borussia Dortmund-0.1
Hoffenheim-0.1
Köln-0.1
Frankfurt-0.2
Hertha+0.6
+0.1
Frankfurt 0 Ingolstadt 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig+0.5
Borussia Dortmund+3.5
Hoffenheim+3.5
Köln+2.8
Frankfurt-13.2
-0.6
Hertha+2.0
Bayer Leverkusen+0.3
Schalke 04+0.3
Mönchengladbach+0.2
Mainz 05+0.2
Augsburg+0.8
Wolfsburg+1.5
Hamburg+4.9
Werder Bremen+5.4
Ingolstadt-14.7
+0.5
Darmstadt 98+1.5
Borussia Dortmund 3 Wolfsburg 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig-0.3
Borussia Dortmund+7.5
No
+0.3
Hoffenheim-1.9
Köln-1.6
Frankfurt-2.0
Hertha-1.2
Bayer Leverkusen-0.2
Schalke 04-0.2
Wolfsburg+1.6
-0.3
Hamburg-0.4
Werder Bremen-0.4
Ingolstadt-0.4
Hoffenheim 2 Darmstadt 98 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig-0.2
Borussia Dortmund-1.5
Hoffenheim+6.0
No
+0.3
Köln-1.3
Frankfurt-1.6
Hertha-1.0
Hamburg-0.5
Werder Bremen-0.5
Ingolstadt-0.4
Darmstadt 98No
+1.6
Hamburg 2 Freiburg 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Freiburg-0.4
-0.2
Hamburg+0.3
-0.0
Werder Bremen-0.1
Ingolstadt*-0.1
Augsburg 1 Bayer Leverkusen 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund-0.2
Hoffenheim-0.2
Frankfurt-0.2
Bayer Leverkusen+1.0
+0.6
AugsburgNo
+1.3
-0.5
Hamburg-0.3
Werder Bremen-0.3
Ingolstadt-0.3
Mainz 05 0 Werder Bremen 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 05No
-0.2
+0.9
-0.7
Augsburg+0.6
Wolfsburg+1.2
Hamburg+4.1
Werder Bremen-12.8
+0.5
Ingolstadt+4.3
Darmstadt 98+1.3
Mönchengladbach vs LeipzigIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München94.793.088.5
Leipzig4.46.110.8
94.196.198.4
2.62.42.2
Mönchengladbach0.0NoNo
0.60.20.1
0.30.91.5
10.110.911.3
Köln vs Schalke 04HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund65.869.170.0
4.14.04.0
Hoffenheim63.366.667.7
4.24.14.1
Köln34.122.116.7
5.36.06.5
Schalke 04No*0.00.0
0.51.02.9
0.40.20.0
9.89.38.5
Week of 2/25
Bayern München vs HamburgIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München93.187.984.2
1.11.11.2
Leipzig6.310.914.1
2.32.32.2
HamburgNoNo0.1
41.934.622.0
15.415.114.4
Werder Bremen39.141.345.1
15.315.315.5
Ingolstadt46.749.153.1
15.515.615.7
Leipzig vs KölnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München87.492.394.0
Leipzig12.06.95.0
98.997.094.6
2.12.32.5
Borussia Dortmund0.30.40.4
69.768.565.5
Hoffenheim67.366.162.9
Köln18.023.736.3
6.35.95.3
Freiburg vs Borussia DortmundHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund0.10.20.6
54.662.375.3
0.0NoNo
4.64.33.8
Hoffenheim68.266.863.9
4.14.14.2
Köln28.827.224.1
Frankfurt23.822.319.5
Freiburg0.0NoNo
1.80.50.2
8.99.710.2
Schalke 04 vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim0.10.20.6
53.661.574.6
0.0NoNo
4.64.33.8
Köln28.426.923.7
Schalke 040.0NoNo
3.11.10.5
0.00.20.3
8.59.39.7
Hertha vs FrankfurtHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Frankfurt12.418.530.8
0.00.0No
6.76.25.4
Hertha27.315.910.3
No0.00.0
5.66.46.9
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz 05HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayer Leverkusen4.51.91.1
7.98.69.1
Mainz 053.72.30.8
12.311.911.0
Ingolstadt vs MönchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
MönchengladbachNoNo0.0
0.10.10.4
2.31.00.3
11.611.210.4
Hamburg42.338.035.7
15.315.215.2
Werder Bremen44.140.037.7
15.415.315.3
Ingolstadt0.00.0No
34.248.856.6
15.015.615.9
Wolfsburg vs Werder BremenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg6.9*15.123.3
13.113.914.4
Werder BremenNo0.00.0
51.942.327.1
15.815.414.7
Darmstadt 98 vs AugsburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Augsburg13.49.14.0
13.813.412.6
Darmstadt 9893.797.398.3
17.617.817.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.