Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
9/25PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Bayern MünchenWHamburg 1-0155-0-01436.7%+8.679.5%+9.43720139653221100000003.0+0.710.0%-0.111.571KölnBayern München
Borussia DortmundWFreiburg 3-1124-0-11218.8+4.463.2+10.719181512976432211000004.2+0.870.1-0.32.556at Bayer LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
KölnTLeipzig 1-1113-2-0715.2-3.157.4-1.2151614121087543211100004.6-0.040.2-0.13.559at Bayern München1. FC Köln
LeipzigTKöln 1-192-3-057.5-2.040.3-1.7710111111109765432110005.9-0.010.5-0.31.532AugsburgRB Leipzig
MönchengladbachWIngolstadt 2-0103-1-146.1+2.335.4+11.369101110109876533211006.4+1.450.7-2.09.513at Schalke 04Borussia Mönchengladbach
FrankfurtTHertha 3-3103-1-135.5-4.733.0-10.45891010109876543211006.6-0.800.8+0.113.510at FreiburgEintracht Frankfurt
HerthaTFrankfurt 3-3103-1-124.3-2.728.9-6.3478910109987643221007.0-0.451.1-0.210.492HamburgHertha BSC
Bayer LeverkusenWMainz 05 3-272-1-211.6+0.514.9+4.92346789999876542118.9+1.383.4-5.312.482Borussia DortmundBayer Leverkusen
Mainz 05LBayer Leverkusen 2-372-1-211.5-2.014.3-8.42346788999876543219.0-0.953.6+0.66.478at Wolfsburg1. FSV Mainz 05
HoffenheimWSchalke 04 2-171-4-011.5+0.413.8+3.91345788999886543219.0+1.193.7-5.04.481at Ingolstadt1899 Hoffenheim
AugsburgWDarmstadt 98 1-072-1-2-20.5+0.26.6+2.21123456789101098754210.7+1.298.3-9.116.436at LeipzigFC Augsburg
FreiburgLBorussia Dortmund 1-362-0-3-30.5-1.16.1-6.9012345678991098764210.9-1.319.1+2.77.436FrankfurtSC Freiburg
WolfsburgLWerder Bremen 1-251-2-2-30.2-0.53.6-3.901122345789101010986411.9-0.9914.0+2.88.425Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
Darmstadt 98LAugsburg 0-141-1-3-80.1-0.21.0-1.900011123456810111213121113.8-1.0329.6+6.85.380Werder BremenDarmstadt 98
Werder BremenWWolfsburg 2-131-0-4-100.1+0.01.0+0.20001112345689111213131113.8+0.8730.6-13.714.395at Darmstadt 98Werder Bremen
IngolstadtLMönchengladbach 0-210-1-4-80.0-0.10.3-0.8000001112345791215182115.0-0.8946.5+9.418.380HoffenheimIngolstadt
HamburgLBayern München 0-110-1-4-80.0-0.00.3-0.7000001112345791215182215.1-0.7547.3+7.917.380at HerthaHamburg SV
Schalke 04LHoffenheim 1-200-0-5-80.0-0.00.3-0.5000000112245791115192415.3-0.5550.3+5.715.380MönchengladbachSchalke 04

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/25
Hamburg 0 Bayern München 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+5.2
+5.8
+0.4
Borussia Dortmund-1.0
-0.6
Köln-1.2
-0.6
Leipzig-0.7
-0.6
Mönchengladbach-0.3
-0.5
Frankfurt-0.7
-0.6
Hertha-0.5
-0.6
Bayer Leverkusen-0.3
-0.3
Mainz 05-0.3
-0.5
Hoffenheim-0.3
-0.3
Augsburg-0.5
Freiburg-0.3
-0.2
Wolfsburg-0.2
-0.4
Darmstadt 98-0.6
Werder Bremen-0.8
Ingolstadt-0.8
Hamburg-0.4
+5.1
-0.4
Schalke 04-0.8
Borussia Dortmund 3 Freiburg 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-0.9
-0.4
Borussia Dortmund+4.0
+7.7
-0.2
+0.6
Köln-0.7
-0.5
Leipzig-0.4
-0.5
Mönchengladbach-0.2
-0.4
Frankfurt-0.4
-0.5
Hertha-0.3
-0.5
Mainz 05-0.2
-0.4
Freiburg-0.7
-3.7
+1.9
-0.7
Köln 1 Leipzig 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+0.7
+0.4
Borussia Dortmund+0.4
+0.4
Köln-1.4
-1.7
-0.1
Leipzig-0.8
-1.4
-0.1
Frankfurt+0.3
+0.4
Frankfurt 3 Hertha 3
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München+0.5
+0.4
Köln+0.4
+0.4
Frankfurt-1.1
-2.0
-0.2
Hertha-0.6
-1.4
-0.1
Mönchengladbach 2 Ingolstadt 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München-0.3
-0.6
Borussia Dortmund-0.2
-0.6
Köln-0.2
-0.6
Leipzig-0.2
-0.6
Mönchengladbach+1.5
+5.8
-1.2
+0.8
Frankfurt-0.2
-0.6
Hertha-0.6
Bayer Leverkusen-0.2
-0.3
Mainz 05-0.4
Hoffenheim-0.2
-0.3
Augsburg-0.5
Wolfsburg-0.2
-0.3
Darmstadt 98-0.5
Werder Bremen-0.7
Ingolstadt-0.5
+5.7
-0.5
Hamburg-0.7
Schalke 04-0.7
Mainz 05 2 Bayer Leverkusen 3
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+0.2
Köln+0.2
Leipzig+0.2
Frankfurt+0.2
Bayer Leverkusen+0.6
+4.1
-3.2
+0.9
Mainz 05-1.3
-5.6
+1.3
-0.8
Hoffenheim 2 Schalke 04 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Frankfurt-0.3
Hoffenheim+0.5
+3.3
-3.2
+0.8
Augsburg-0.3
Darmstadt 98-0.4
Werder Bremen-0.5
Ingolstadt-0.5
Hamburg-0.5
Schalke 04-0.3
+6.4
-0.5
Werder Bremen 2 Wolfsburg 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Augsburg+0.5
Wolfsburg-0.3
-2.5
+4.3
-0.8
Darmstadt 98+0.6
Werder Bremen+0.5
-9.0
+0.7
Ingolstadt+0.7
Hamburg+0.8
Schalke 04+0.8
Augsburg 1 Darmstadt 98 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Augsburg+0.2
+1.9
-5.5
+0.8
Darmstadt 98-1.1
+5.6
-0.7
Bayern München vs KölnIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München45.235.228.7
85.878.773.6
2.53.03.4
Köln9.914.221.4
50.056.066.3
0.30.20.1
5.24.73.9
Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia DortmundHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München38.137.435.1
79.779.879.3
Borussia Dortmund13.917.023.7
55.061.070.7
4.84.33.6
Bayer Leverkusen2.71.40.9
21.114.110.8
1.8*3.44.6
7.98.99.5
Leipzig vs AugsburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig9.96.34.9
47.737.532.1
0.30.60.9
5.36.26.7
Augsburg0.30.41.0
4.46.110.2
10.6*8.35.0
11.310.89.8
Schalke 04 vs MönchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mönchengladbach3.95.08.1
27.632.241.8
1.30.80.3
7.26.75.8
Werder Bremen32.030.629.8
Ingolstadt48.246.545.6
15.115.015.0
Hamburg49.047.346.4
Schalke 040.60.20.1
40.650.755.9
14.615.315.6
Freiburg vs FrankfurtHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Frankfurt3.54.67.5
25.730.540.1
1.30.90.4
7.46.85.9
Freiburg0.80.40.2
9.45.64.0
5.69.211.6
9.911.011.5
Hertha vs HamburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hertha5.83.52.6
35.026.021.9
0.51.21.9
6.47.37.8
Ingolstadt45.646.448.1
15.015.015.1
Hamburg0.20.30.7
53.147.837.7
15.515.114.4
Schalke 0449.450.351.9
15.215.315.3
Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz 050.91.22.2
10.012.618.8
5.33.82.0
9.89.28.2
Wolfsburg0.40.20.1
5.73.22.3
9.214.317.7
11.012.012.5
Ingolstadt vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim0.81.12.1
9.512.017.9
5.84.02.1
9.99.38.3
Ingolstadt0.70.30.2
36.947.152.6
14.315.115.5
Schalke 0451.750.249.5
Darmstadt 98 vs Werder BremenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Darmstadt 981.70.80.6
21.430.536.6
13.013.914.4
Werder Bremen0.50.81.6
38.131.922.7
14.514.013.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.