Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
2/4PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Bayern Munich4614-4-13496.3%+0.1100.0%-0.096400000000000001.0No1.801Bayern Munich
Wolfsburg3811-5-3193.4-0.196.5-0.7370176210000000000002.4-0.050.0%2.679VfL Wolfsburg
Monchengladbach339-6-4110.2-0.066.6-4.2012312417104110000000004.0-0.110.05.638at ShalkeMönchengladbach
LeverkusenWHertha Berlin 1-0328-8-390.1+0.044.2+7.405172222198421000000004.9+0.440.0-0.03.598Bayer Leverkusen
AugsburgWDortmund 1-03311-0-840.1+0.043.2+9.505172223198421000000004.9+0.540.0-0.06.538FC Augsburg
Shalke319-4-680.0-0.043.0-5.105172222199421000000004.9-0.110.04.580MonchengladbachFC Shalke 04
HoffenheimLWerder Bremen 1-2267-5-710.0-0.03.3-5.8001251121181410743210008.3-0.910.4+0.27.4971899 Hoffenheim
Eintracht246-6-7-30.01.2-0.3000126131615131186421109.6+0.051.7+0.010.462Eintracht Frankfurt
Hannover257-4-8-60.00.8-0.3000125121516141296432109.8+0.021.8+0.19.414Hannover 96
Mainz224-10-510.00.7-0.200012410141514121075321010.1+0.032.6+0.112.500FSV Mainz 05
KolnTStuttgart 0-0236-5-8-40.0-0.00.3-0.400001271012131312107542111.0-0.264.7+0.58.4291. FC Köln
Werder BremenWHoffenheim 2-1236-5-8-100.00.2+0.10000024810121313119753211.7+1.407.7-9.911.400Werder Bremen
Freiburg183-9-7-60.00.0-0.000000013579111213121110813.6-0.0122.7+0.713.411SC Freiburg
HamburgerWPaderborn 3-0205-5-9-90.00.0+0.000000011246810121415151314.6+1.8334.8-33.515.327Hamburger SV
StuttgartTKoln 0-0184-6-9-130.00.0-0.00000000123579111315161714.9-0.0640.3+0.614.342VfB Stuttgart
PaderbornLHamburger 0-3194-7-8-130.00.0-0.00000000123579111315171714.9-1.3141.1+17.816.347SC Paderborn
Hertha BerlinLLeverkusen 0-1185-3-11-140.00.0-0.00000000123469111315171915.1-0.6743.2+10.318.353Hertha BSC Berlin
DortmundLAugsburg 0-1164-4-11-90.00.0-0.00000000112458101215182315.4-0.8248.9+13.117.367Borussia Dortmund

16th-placed 1. Bundesliga team plays 3rd-placed 2. Bundesliga team in two-legged playoff

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/30
Wolfsburg 4 Bayern Munich 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg+1.6
+2.6
+0.2
Bayern Munich 1 Shalke 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern Munich-1.2
Wolfsburg+1.1
Monchengladbach-0.5
Leverkusen-0.6
Augsburg-0.6
Shalke+2.1
Eintracht 1 Wolfsburg 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern Munich+1.0
Wolfsburg-1.0
-0.3
No
EintrachtNo
+0.0
Monchengladbach 1 Freiburg 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach+6.4
+0.3
Leverkusen-1.6
Augsburg-1.6
Shalke-1.7
Freiburg*No
+3.3
-0.4
Stuttgart 0 Monchengladbach 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach+7.7
+0.4
Leverkusen-1.8
Augsburg-1.4
Shalke-1.9
Hoffenheim-1.3
Hamburger-1.0
StuttgartNo
+5.7
-0.5
Dortmund 0 Augsburg 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach-2.1
Leverkusen-2.2
Augsburg+8.8
+0.5
Shalke-2.6
Hamburger-1.3
Stuttgart-1.4
Hertha Berlin-1.3
Dortmund*No
+7.9
-0.6
Leverkusen 0 Dortmund 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach+1.5
Leverkusen-6.3
-0.3
Augsburg+1.2
Shalke+1.6
Hoffenheim+1.1
Hamburger+0.3
Dortmund*No
-1.8
+0.1
Augsburg 3 Hoffenheim 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Augsburg+8.3
+0.6
Hoffenheim-6.7
-0.5
Hertha Berlin 0 Leverkusen 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach-1.9
Leverkusen+7.7
+0.4
Augsburg-1.9
Shalke-2.3
Hamburger-1.1
Stuttgart-1.2
Hertha BerlinNo
+6.4
-0.5
Dortmund-1.1
Shalke 1 Hannover 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach-1.5
Leverkusen-1.5
Shalke+7.3
+0.4
Hannover-1.6
+0.4
-0.4
Hoffenheim 1 Werder Bremen 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim-4.4
-0.8
Werder Bremen-8.5
+1.1
Freiburg 4 Eintracht 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Eintracht-2.8
+0.7
-0.7
Freiburg-11.1
+0.8
Hamburger+1.8
Dortmund+1.6
Hannover 1 Mainz 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
HannoverNo
-0.4
-0.1
MainzNo
-0.4
-0.2
Mainz 5 Paderborn 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz-4.7
+0.8
PaderbornNo
+4.0
-0.7
Hamburger 0 Koln 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Koln-5.6
+0.8
HamburgerNo
+9.7
-0.6
Koln 0 Stuttgart 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
KolnNo
-0.3
+0.7
-0.4
Stuttgart*No
-0.6
Werder Bremen 2 Hertha Berlin 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Werder Bremen-9.5
+0.7
Hertha BerlinNo
+7.2
-0.7
Paderborn 0 Hamburger 3
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hamburger-15.8
+0.8
PaderbornNo
+12.7
-1.0
Week of 2/6
Stuttgart vs Bayern MunichIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern Munich92.894.997.4
Wolfsburg6.44.62.4
Hamburger37.635.434.2
14.714.614.5
Stuttgart0.0NoNo
24.337.044.3
13.714.715.2
Paderborn43.941.740.4
15.115.014.9
Hertha Berlin46.043.842.5
15.215.115.0
Dortmund51.749.548.2
15.515.415.3
Wolfsburg vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg4.52.21.5
98.095.593.3
NoNo0.0
2.32.52.6
Hoffenheim2.13.26.9
0.60.30.1
8.68.27.4
Shalke vs MonchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach0.10.10.4
55.466.179.0
4.44.13.6
Shalke55.840.530.8
4.45.05.4
Werder Bremen vs LeverkusenHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach69.467.864.3
4.04.04.1
Leverkusen33.339.953.1
5.35.04.5
Augsburg46.344.540.6
4.84.95.0
Shalke46.144.340.4
4.84.95.0
Werder Bremen0.50.10.0
3.37.410.6
10.711.712.2
Augsburg vs EintrachtHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Monchengladbach64.567.969.3
4.14.04.0
Leverkusen41.845.747.2
4.94.84.8
Augsburg51.638.431.6
4.55.15.4
Shalke40.744.546.0
5.04.94.9
Eintracht0.51.02.7
2.41.50.5
10.19.68.7
Hamburger vs HannoverHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hannover0.30.61.5
3.31.70.5
10.59.99.0
Hamburger0.0NoNo
23.436.744.5
13.814.815.2
Paderborn42.940.839.6
15.014.914.9
Hertha Berlin45.042.941.7
15.115.015.0
Dortmund50.748.647.4
15.415.415.3
Koln vs PaderbornHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Koln0.50.20.1
2.15.59.2
10.311.312.0
PaderbornNoNo0.0
48.640.626.6
15.415.014.0
Mainz vs Hertha BerlinHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz1.10.40.2
1.23.25.6
9.510.511.1
Hertha BerlinNoNo0.0
49.641.928.1
15.515.014.0
Freiburg vs DortmundHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Freiburg0.0NoNo
14.625.734.4
12.913.914.5
DortmundNoNo0.0
57.748.633.4
15.915.414.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you IAN BOSSERT for adding this league.