Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength9/29
Borussia DortmundWMönchengladbach 6-1165-1-01841.0%+10.884.9%+11.54122149642111000000002.6+0.820.0%-0.13.591at AugsburgBorussia Dortmund
HoffenheimWSchalke 04 2-0144-2-0616.5+6.464.4+18.9171816131086432111000004.1+1.480.1-0.41.541at Freiburg1899 Hoffenheim
Bayern MünchenTWolfsburg 2-2134-1-1916.2-5.363.8-1.1161816131086432111000004.1-0.080.1-0.04.556at Hertha BSCBayern München
Hannover 96Köln1113-2-0411.6-2.554.1+0.6121515131197543221100004.8+0.090.3-0.12.542at MönchengladbachHannover 96
AugsburgTStuttgart 0-0113-2-147.0-1.842.5+0.8711121312109754322110005.7+0.200.5-0.27.534Borussia DortmundFC Augsburg
LeipzigWEintracht Frank 2-1103-1-233.5+1.028.3+9.446810111110976543221107.0+1.441.4-2.18.505at KölnRB Leipzig
Schalke 04LHoffenheim 0-293-0-3-11.1-2.513.6-10.81346789998876543219.0-1.294.3+2.15.455Bayer LeverkusenSchalke 04
Hertha BSCLMainz 05 0-182-2-201.0-1.812.8-8.01246789998876543219.2-0.984.7+1.811.469Bayern MünchenHertha BSC
MönchengladbachLBorussia Dortmund 1-682-2-2-30.5-3.07.7-15.801245678999887654210.3-2.528.3+5.813.436Hannover 96Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht FrankLLeipzig 1-272-1-3-10.4-1.06.3-6.201234578899988764310.7-1.229.9+4.115.445StuttgartEintracht Frankfurt
Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV411-1-3-10.4-0.16.0+0.201234567888988765311.0+0.3411.4-1.414.458at Schalke 04Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SVat Bayer Leverkusen612-0-3-40.3-0.14.8+0.301123567788999876411.4+0.3913.5-1.96.412Werder BremenHamburger SV
WolfsburgTBayern München 2-261-3-2-30.2-0.03.7+0.501123456788999987511.8+0.6015.6-4.010.422Mainz 05VfL Wolfsburg
Mainz 05WHertha BSC 1-062-0-4-40.2+0.13.5+1.600123456788999987511.9+1.4116.2-11.29.418at Wolfsburg1. FSV Mainz 05
StuttgartTAugsburg 0-072-1-3-40.1-0.12.4-0.900112345678991010109712.6-0.2020.5+1.512.392at Eintracht FrankStuttgart
Werder BremenTFreiburg 0-030-3-3-40.0-0.00.7-0.4000011223456891114161614.4-0.2839.3+3.516.392at Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
FreiburgTWerder Bremen 0-040-4-2-70.0-0.00.5-0.4000011123456791114181914.7-0.3644.0+4.918.363HoffenheimSC Freiburg
Kölnat Hannover 96010-0-5-120.0-0.00.2+0.000000011123457913193415.7+0.1659.8-2.217.367Leipzig1. FC Köln

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/24
Borussia Dortmund 6 Mönchengladbach 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+6.4
+6.6
+0.5
Hoffenheim-0.8
-0.2
Bayern München-1.5
Hannover 96-1.0
Augsburg-0.7
-0.2
Leipzig-0.2
Schalke 04-0.3
Hertha BSC-0.3
Mönchengladbach-1.4
-5.3
+0.9
-0.7
Hoffenheim 2 Schalke 04 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund-0.7
-0.3
Hoffenheim+3.5
+8.6
-0.3
+0.7
Bayern München-0.5
-0.3
Hannover 96-0.3
-0.3
Augsburg-0.2
-0.4
Leipzig-0.2
Schalke 04-1.4
-6.0
+0.9
-0.7
Hertha BSC-0.3
Mönchengladbach-0.3
Eintracht Frank-0.2
Bayern München 2 Wolfsburg 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+0.8
+0.3
Hoffenheim+0.4
+0.4
Bayern München-2.5
-2.9
-0.2
Hannover 96+0.4
+0.4
Augsburg+0.3
+0.4
Leipzig+0.3
Schalke 04+0.3
Hertha BSC+0.3
Mönchengladbach+0.3
Eintracht Frank+0.2
Wolfsburg-0.2
-0.1
-0.0
Stuttgart 0 Augsburg 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+0.4
+0.3
Hoffenheim+0.2
+0.4
Bayern München+0.3
+0.4
Hannover 96+0.2
+0.4
Augsburg-1.4
-3.1
+0.1
-0.3
Leipzig+0.3
Schalke 04+0.3
Hertha BSC+0.3
Mönchengladbach+0.3
Eintracht Frank+0.2
Stuttgart-0.3
-0.1
Leipzig 2 Eintracht Frank 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund-0.2
Hoffenheim-0.3
Bayern München-0.3
Hannover 96-0.3
Augsburg-0.3
Leipzig+1.2
+5.9
-1.5
+0.9
Schalke 04-0.2
Hertha BSC-0.2
Mönchengladbach-0.2
Eintracht Frank-0.6
-3.8
+2.1
-0.8
Mainz 05 1 Hertha BSC 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund+0.3
+0.4
Hoffenheim+0.5
Bayern München+0.2
+0.5
Hannover 96+0.5
Augsburg+0.5
Leipzig+0.3
Schalke 04+0.4
Hertha BSC-1.1
-5.6
+1.6
-0.8
Mönchengladbach+0.4
Eintracht Frank+0.2
+0.3
Bayer Leverkusen+0.5
Hamburger SV+0.6
Wolfsburg+0.6
Mainz 05+1.2
-7.5
+0.9
Stuttgart+0.6
Werder Bremen+0.9
Freiburg+1.0
Köln+0.9
Werder Bremen 0 Freiburg 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hamburger SV-0.3
Wolfsburg-0.3
Mainz 05-0.4
Stuttgart-0.3
Werder Bremen-0.2
+1.5
-0.2
Freiburg-0.2
+1.0
-0.1
Köln-0.5
Hannover 96 vs KölnIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hannover 9614.49.77.8
60.550.445.1
0.10.30.6
4.45.15.5
Köln0.10.20.5
64.8*59.849.6
16.115.815.1
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SVHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayer Leverkusen0.60.30.2
8.55.13.8
7.512.215.5
10.111.211.8
Hamburger SV0.10.20.5
3.14.27.2
17.513.88.7
12.111.510.4
Week of 9/29
Augsburg vs Borussia DortmundIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund33.038.948.7
79.584.089.9
3.02.72.2
Hoffenheim17.817.315.1
63.764.764.7
Augsburg11.06.64.2
52.241.435.6
0.20.50.8
4.95.86.3
Hertha BSC vs Bayern MünchenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund42.541.939.4
85.185.284.7
Bayern München11.614.420.5
55.361.571.2
0.2*0.10.0
4.74.33.6
Hertha BSC1.80.90.5
18.712.19.1
2.6*4.76.3
8.29.29.8
Freiburg vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund43.042.039.5
85.685.284.5
2.52.62.6
Hoffenheim11.614.220.2
55.661.070.5
0.3*0.10.0
4.74.33.7
Freiburg1.00.40.3
33.643.749.1
13.914.715.1
Mönchengladbach vs Hannover 96HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hannover 968.010.114.9
45.451.261.4
0.50.30.1
5.55.04.3
Mönchengladbach0.90.40.3
11.97.25.2
4.98.210.5
9.310.410.9
Köln vs LeipzigHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leipzig2.12.84.7
21.125.134.2
2.41.50.7
7.87.36.4
Köln0.40.20.1
49.960.165.2
15.115.816.1
Schalke 04 vs Bayer LeverkusenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke 041.80.90.6
18.612.39.6
2.44.56.2
8.19.19.7
Bayer Leverkusen0.20.30.6
3.85.28.7
15.112.07.5
11.711.110.1
Eintracht Frank vs StuttgartHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Eintracht Frank0.60.30.2
8.95.34.0
6.310.613.9
9.911.011.6
Stuttgart0.10.10.2
1.42.13.8
25.620.913.8
13.212.711.6
Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg0.30.10.1
5.53.12.3
10.316.220.4
10.912.012.6
Mainz 050.10.10.3
2.12.95.2
21.116.810.7
12.612.111.0
Hamburger SV vs Werder BremenHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hamburger SV0.40.20.1
6.94.03.0
8.714.118.4
10.511.612.2
Werder Bremen0.40.51.1
46.740.530.3
15.014.513.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.