"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 29.9%
1 points   0-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -4.9
-0.5
-0.7
+1.0
-0.4
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.4
+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.4
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.4
+0.0
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.3
+0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -0.1
+0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
+0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Seattle+6.3-3.8-8.2
+0.4-0.3-0.5
+0.3-0.2-0.4
-2.8+1.5+3.9
+0.6-0.3-0.7
Columbus vs RSL+0.4*-0.0-0.9
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.4*+0.0-0.9
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.4+0.0-0.8
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.3*+0.0-0.8
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.4+0.1-0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.3*-0.0-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.2*-0.0-0.5
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado-0.3+0.4+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
74-97InYes100No8,754*
7322-6-4In99.3%1000No414*
7222-5-5In98.81000No756*
7122-4-6In98.8991No1,381*
7021-6-5In97.6982No2,630*
6921-5-6In96.6982No4,376*
6820-7-5In94.4973No7,475*
6720-6-6In91.79550No12,115*
6620-5-7In87.69370No19,453*
6519-7-6In82.6901000No31,313*
6419-6-7In76.2861410No47,988*
6319-5-8In67.5811810No72,865*
6218-7-7In57.1732420No108,178*
6118-6-8In45.76530400No156,677*
6017-8-7In34.35636710No225,209*
5917-7-8In23.3464112100No315,282*
5817-6-9In13.9364418300No433,302*
5716-8-8In7.12643256100No583,917*
5616-7-9100.0%3.0173931112000No771,108*
5516-6-10100.01.0103236184000No998,941*
5415-8-9100.00.252336259100No1,268,962*
5315-7-10100.00.02153231164100No1,579,960*
5215-6-1199.80.018243324920000No1,934,019*
5114-8-1099.20.003153030165100No2,317,259*
5014-7-1197.2No017213225112000No2,724,827*
4914-6-1292.0No0031227311971000No3,143,795*
4813-8-1181.5No0016183028144100No3,552,632*
4713-7-1265.0No0002923312392000No3,944,080*
4612-9-1145.0No0014142730186100No4,292,729*
4512-8-1226.3No0001619302713300No4,573,385*
4412-7-1312.8No000210243222810No4,786,205*
4311-9-125.1No00141630301640No4,911,521*
4211-8-131.7No00028233325910.0%4,936,537*
4111-7-140.5No000031430331630.04,857,792*
4010-9-130.1No0001823362560.14,687,408*
3910-8-140.0No0003153434120.54,433,177*
3810-7-150.0No000192941201.84,106,922*
379-9-140.0No00052244304.93,723,398*
369-8-150.0No000215424110.83,307,456*
359-7-16OutNo0019385219.72,871,853*
348-9-15OutNo0005326231.02,439,632*
338-8-16OutNo003257243.52,030,603*
328-7-17OutNo001197955.91,648,292*
317-9-16OutNo001148566.91,307,135*
307-8-17OutNo00109076.21,013,492*
297-7-18OutNo0079383.5767,515*
286-9-17OutNo0049688.9567,850*
276-8-18OutNo039792.7408,708*
266-7-19OutNo029895.5287,112*
255-9-18OutNo019997.1195,699*
245-8-19OutNo019998.3129,933*
235-7-20OutNo010098.984,286*
224-9-19OutNo010099.452,916*
214-8-20OutNo010099.732,328*
204-7-21OutNo010099.818,670*
193-9-20OutNo010099.910,793*
183-8-21OutNo10099.95,951*
173-7-22OutNo010099.83,170*
163-6-23OutNo010099.91,656*
1-15OutNo100100.09,756*
Total:29.9%0.7%123456789101214178.9%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaSporting KCColoradoFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverRSLPortlandLA GalaxySan JoseNashville
66-9712.5%Yes
6519-7-612.410000
6419-6-712.510000000
6319-5-812.41000000000
6218-7-712.4100000000000000
6118-6-812.5100000000000000
6017-8-712.599000000000000
5917-7-812.499000000000000
18-4-1012.399000000000000
5817-6-912.497000000000000
16-9-712.397000000000000
5716-8-812.293111111110000
17-5-1012.294111111100000
5616-7-911.987111111111110
15-10-712.086222111111110
17-4-1111.989111111111100
5516-6-1011.379222222221111
15-9-811.376333222222111
17-3-1211.478222222221111
5415-8-910.364444433332221
16-5-1110.566444333322211
14-11-710.263444433332221
5315-7-109.249555544443322
14-10-88.846556555443322
16-4-129.451555544433322
5215-6-117.734666655544332
14-9-97.431667665544332
16-3-137.532666655544332
5114-8-105.618667666554333
15-5-125.920667666554333
13-11-85.517667666554433
5014-7-113.99666555444332
13-10-93.67556555444332
15-4-134.09666555444333
4914-6-122.44444444333222
13-9-102.23444444333222
12-12-82.33444444333222
4813-8-111.11222222222111
14-5-131.31333322222211
12-11-91.01222222222111
4713-7-120.50111111111111
12-10-100.50111111111111
4613-6-130.20000000000000
4512-8-120.00000000000000
4412-7-130.00000000000000
4312-6-140.0000000000000
4211-8-130.0000000000000
4111-7-14No000000000000
4010-9-13No00
1-39No
Total:1.4%7.41.01.01.01.00.90.90.80.70.70.60.50.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 +0.9
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.0
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Seattle-1.1+0.7+1.5
Columbus vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
74-97100
7322-6-49900
7222-5-59910
7122-4-69911
7021-6-59812
6921-5-69712
6820-7-59423
6720-6-692350
6620-5-788570
6519-7-683710000
6419-6-7761014010
6319-5-8681318010
6218-7-7571624020
6118-6-846203014000
6017-8-734223427010
5917-7-823233741201000
5817-6-914223771703000
5716-8-8719321124160100
5616-7-9314241529311020000
5516-6-1019151730617040000
5415-8-9057162511242901000
5315-7-1002212161527515040100
5215-6-110107816231022290200000
5114-8-100003212151525516050100
5014-7-110010761620112321102000
4914-6-120003111111624718171000
4813-8-1100010531416142441441000
4713-7-1200002196162011211130000
4612-9-11000104112111723209300000
4512-8-1200001063161624201031000
4412-7-13000002110718252111410000
4311-9-12000104281825221351000
4211-8-130000020281725241562000
4111-7-14000000027172525166100
4010-9-130000002717262516610
3910-8-14000000281827251440
3810-7-15000000310213024102
379-9-14000014132632205
369-8-1500001619333011
359-7-16000211293820
348-9-150015214131
338-8-160002144044
328-7-1700183556
317-9-1600042867
307-8-170022276
297-7-180011683
286-9-17001189
276-8-1800793
266-7-1900495
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
235-7-200199
224-9-19199
214-8-200100
204-7-210100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
163-6-230100
152-8-220100
1-14100
Total:11112222323343455555666789