Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.9 to 93.8%
37 points   10-7-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Vancouver 2 Houston 1 -2.3
-1.2
-0.3
-0.5
Portland 2 NY Red Bulls 0 -0.8
-0.3
-0.1
San Jose 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.4
Montreal 3 Real Salt Lake 1 +0.2
Colorado 0 DC United 1 +0.1
Seattle 2 Minnesota 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Sporting KC 2 FC Dallas 0 -0.0
Chicago 1 Toronto FC 3 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
FC Dallas vs Houston-2.5+0.7+4.6
-1.2+0.2+2.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0No
-0.4+0.0+0.9
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose+0.9+0.5-2.6
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Portland vs Colorado-0.5+0.5+0.9
-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Seattle-0.4+0.2+0.5
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Columbus vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.0-0.3
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Sporting KC+3.8-1.2-4.5
+1.6-0.7-1.8
+0.1-0.0-0.1
No-0.0+0.0
+0.6-0.3-0.7
Los Angeles vs San Jose+1.0+0.3-2.9
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Portland+0.3-0.0-0.7
+0.1+0.1-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Vancouver+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Colorado-0.3+0.3+0.3
Columbus vs FC Dallas+0.2-0.0-0.3
+0.2+0.0-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
649-0-0In33.3%1000No2,237,657
628-1-0In13.99820No9,218,823
618-0-1In7.49640No12,941,044
607-2-0In3.394600No29,247,477
597-1-1In1.28613000No80,085,135
587-0-2In0.37424200No53,548,175
6-3-0In0.37821100No52,647,609
576-2-1In0.063324000No210,688,449
566-1-2In0.0444312100No273,872,351
5-4-0In0.0474310100No59,322,204
555-3-1100.0%0.03047203000No308,284,398
6-0-3In0.0264624300No115,186,734
545-2-2100.00.01542348100No583,936,384
4-5-0100.00.01644328100No43,453,023
535-1-3100.0No6294219300No476,112,532
4-4-1100.0No7314119300No274,720,024
524-3-2100.0No2174031910No674,399,522
5-0-4100.0No2164132910No140,290,823
3-6-0100.0No2184030910No20,715,178
514-2-3100.0No07304019300No800,470,089
3-5-1100.0No0729402030No153,021,456
504-1-499.8No02184032800No457,458,157
3-4-299.8No02173933900No456,702,108
2-7-099.9No02173933900No6,206,622
493-3-399.0No00830421810No702,210,525
4-0-599.2No00832421610No100,322,731
2-6-199.1No00729432010No52,124,035
483-2-497.0No003194431300No584,708,387
2-5-296.6No00217433530No182,787,431*
472-4-390.7No00183547900No339,777,658
3-1-592.1No00193844800No249,144,107
1-7-191.8No00183549800No9,946,356
462-3-481.0No000324541800No366,973,432
3-0-682.8No000426531700No42,317,740
1-6-281.2No00322561800No39,499,821*
452-2-567.5No001135331200No228,251,298
1-5-365.3No001115333200No86,953,402*
441-4-447.4No0054247600No113,300,842
2-1-650.7No0064444500No79,123,580*
431-3-530.8No00229561310No91,602,175
2-0-732.8No00231551100No10,237,480
0-6-330.7No00129561200No8,953,928
421-2-617.4No000175724200No44,360,702
0-5-416.0No00165824200No13,788,526
410-4-56.9No0075037600No13,600,262
1-1-78.0No0085136600No11,753,646
400-3-62.4No0236471410No9,887,633*
390-2-70.6No01214926300.0%3,340,414
380-1-80.1No0104239800.0725,389
370-0-90.0No0325482120.11,048,922
Total:93.8%0.1%91318201915510000.0%8,681,506,396

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCSeattleFC DallasVancouverPortlandSan JoseReal Salt LakeLos AngelesColoradoMinnesota
61-6412.5%Yes
607-2-012.51000000
597-1-112.510000000000
587-0-212.510000000000
6-3-012.510000000000
576-2-112.5100000000000
566-1-212.5990000000000
5-4-012.5990000000000
555-3-112.4970011100000
6-0-312.4960011100000
545-2-212.1911122300000
4-5-012.2911122200000
535-1-311.5772355610000
4-4-111.5783355610000
524-3-210.65945991120000
5-0-410.658368101120000
3-6-010.66054991010000
514-2-39.2386813141630000
3-5-19.0377714131530000
504-1-47.52061015171950000
3-4-27.3197916161940000
2-7-07.3209817161831000
493-3-35.686916171951000
4-0-55.8851016181951000
2-6-15.488817161941000
483-2-44.035814151641000
2-5-23.726614141641000
1-8-03.837615131631000
472-4-32.413510101130000
3-1-52.713611111230000
1-7-12.31441191120000
462-3-41.402367720000
3-0-61.601477820000
1-6-21.302266710000
0-9-01.303276710000
452-2-50.701244410000
1-5-30.601133310000
0-8-10.601133310000
441-4-40.200011100000
2-1-60.300122200000
0-7-20.200011100000
431-3-50.100000000000
2-0-70.100010100000
0-6-30.100000000000
421-2-60.000000000000
0-5-40.00000000000
411-1-70.0000000000
400-3-60.00000000
390-2-7No000
37-38No
Total:7.6%40.03.44.88.69.010.22.30.30.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/19100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver 2 Houston 1 +1.0
Portland 2 NY Red Bulls 0 +0.2
Seattle 2 Minnesota 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 FC Dallas 0 +0.0
San Jose 2 Philadelphia 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
FC Dallas vs Houston+0.9-0.1-1.8
Portland vs Colorado+0.2-0.2-0.2
Vancouver vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.0
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Sporting KC-1.3+0.5+1.4
Orlando vs Vancouver-0.2-0.1+0.2
Columbus vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.2
Los Angeles vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.2
Seattle vs Portland+0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
649-0-0336600
628-1-014851000
618-0-17893100
607-2-039033000
597-1-11855800000
587-0-207461820000
6-3-007851610000
576-2-10634292200000
566-1-20442415710000
5-4-00472413610000
555-3-10301464172100000
6-0-3026146518210000
545-2-20150423314510000
4-5-00160442303510000
535-1-3602914151421000
4-4-1703114041421000
524-3-22017040328541000
5-0-42016041528541000
3-6-02018040328441000
514-2-300703023971320000
3-5-100702913961421000
504-1-40201814062652000
3-4-202017039528630000
2-7-00201703852853000
493-3-3000803033981010000
4-0-50008032438881000
2-6-100070292408121000
483-2-4000301914392321000
2-5-2000201714282621000
472-4-300108035642541000
3-1-500109037738430000
1-7-10010803554343100
462-3-400003024351693000
3-0-600004026449782000
1-6-2003022254693000
452-2-500101315261592000
1-5-3001011152616112000
441-4-400050424192181000
2-1-60006044419196100
431-3-5000202921529185000
2-0-700203121828153000
0-6-30010291142920500
421-2-6000017010292912200
0-5-40001608273214300
410-4-50007031835279100
1-1-70008042135237100
400-3-602019283519400
390-2-70100316353212100
380-1-80017243824500
370-0-900011031391620
Total:090131171182173121221000000