New England Revolution Playoff Chances

Tied San Jose 2-2, playoff odds up 2.2 to 85.8%
24 points   6-6-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Chicago+0.7+0.2-1.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Vancouver-0.8+0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Toronto FC+0.4-0.0-1.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Orlando vs Montreal-0.6+0.7+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
LAFC vs Columbus+0.3-0.0-0.5
+0.2+0.0-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs FC Dallas-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Portland-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7818-0-0In99.9%1000No778,128
7617-1-0In99.31000No1,930
7517-0-1In98.5991No3,103
7416-2-0In97.8991No12,083
7316-1-1In95.59730No38,704
7215-3-0In92.99640No77,475*
7115-2-1In88.59370No220,814
7015-1-2In82.5891000No472,784*
6914-3-1In74.6841510No959,590*
6814-2-2In64.9772110No2,066,200*
6714-1-3In53.7692820No3,779,875*
6613-3-2In41.66035500No6,939,621*
6513-2-3In30.15042800No12,355,184*
6412-4-2In19.839471310No20,164,203*
6312-3-3In11.729492020No32,782,344*
6212-2-4In6.1214828400No50,691,462*
6111-4-3In2.7134435700No74,483,620*
6011-3-4In1.0837421300No107,412,222*
5910-5-3100.0%0.34294620100No147,737,650*
5810-4-4In0.1221472820No195,530,326*
5710-3-5100.00.01144437500No252,093,434*
569-5-4100.00.0083845900No311,215,346*
559-4-5100.00.00430521400No371,638,706*
549-3-6100.00.002225422100No430,288,372*
538-5-5100.00.001145331100No478,796,243*
528-4-699.9No00848403000No515,809,056*
518-3-799.7No00540487000No537,648,140*
507-5-699.1No002305413100No539,355,541*
497-4-797.5No0012155202000No523,710,665*
486-6-694.0No0001352296000No491,022,475*
476-5-787.6No0074337111000No443,252,042*
466-4-877.3No0033242194000No386,653,827*
455-6-763.1No0012141288100No325,059,730*
445-5-846.6No0012343515300No262,797,190*
435-4-930.4No006253824710No204,788,740*
424-6-817.1No0021534331420No153,351,264*
414-5-98.1No017253723600.0%110,111,060*
404-4-103.2No0031635331210.075,940,674*
393-6-91.0No001827392230.050,093,411*
383-5-100.2No00318393370.031,548,813*
373-4-110.0No001103342140.118,961,327*
362-6-100.0No00042447240.610,820,677*
352-5-110.0No0021547361.95,847,683*
342-4-12OutNo00842494.92,982,509*
331-6-11OutNo004346210.41,429,064*
321-5-12OutNo02267318.6635,254*
311-4-13OutNo01188129.2263,425*
301-3-14OutNo0128841.099,847*
290-5-13OutNo079352.733,638*
280-4-14OutNo049663.810,079*
270-3-15OutNo29874.82,596*
260-2-16OutNo19982.7515
250-1-17OutNo10093.274
240-0-18OutNo010090.4777,977
Total:85.8%0.4%1412262914742100.0%7,193,546,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaNYCFCNY Red BullsColumbusOrlandoChicagoDC UnitedPhiladelphiaToronto FCMontreal
71-7812.5%Yes
7015-1-212.51000
6914-3-112.510000000
6814-2-212.51000000000000
6714-1-312.51000000000000
6613-3-212.51000000000000
6513-2-312.51000000000000
6412-4-212.5990001000000
6312-3-312.4980001000000
6212-2-412.3960003000000
6111-4-312.2920105000000
6011-3-411.9870118110000
5910-5-311.67912213111110
11-2-511.68002213111110
5810-4-411.17013318111110
5710-3-510.65814424222110
9-6-310.55814524221110
569-5-49.84526630332220
10-2-69.94725530322220
559-4-59.13427735333220
8-7-39.13427835333220
549-3-68.32428840443320
8-6-48.22329939443320
538-5-57.4153101043444331
9-2-77.516291042544331
528-4-66.693101044544431
7-7-46.593101144544431
518-3-75.752101044554431
7-6-55.643101144554431
507-5-64.72291042544431
8-2-84.92291042544431
6-8-44.722101143444331
497-4-73.9128939444331
6-7-53.9129939444321
486-6-63.0027834433321
7-3-83.0017734433321
476-5-72.2015627322210
7-2-92.2015627322210
466-4-81.4013420221110
455-6-70.9002213111110
445-5-80.500118100000
435-4-90.200114000000
424-6-80.100002000000
414-5-90.00001000000
404-4-100.00000000000
393-6-90.00000000000
383-5-100.0000000000
373-4-110.0000000
363-3-12No0
24-35No
Total:5.3%17.01.55.96.328.62.92.72.52.21.70.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Lottery seed
LAFC vs Columbus-0.1-0.0+0.2
NY Red Bulls vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Chicago-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
7818-0-010000
7617-1-09900
7517-0-19911
7416-2-09811
7316-1-196230
7215-3-0933400
7115-2-1895700
7015-1-283710000
6914-3-1751015010
6814-2-2651321010
6714-1-35416280200
6613-3-242183515000
6513-2-330204028000
6412-4-22019433130100
6312-3-31218436200200
6212-2-46143892704000
6111-4-331131133417000
6011-3-4172116393130000
5910-5-30413164061901000
5810-4-4026143611271200
5710-3-50131128163525000
569-5-40017181940680000
559-4-5000410204012140000
549-3-6000241734202011000
538-5-5000111324292641000
528-4-6000081434301030000
518-3-7000046332820610000
507-5-600002228223210210000
497-4-70001120134214720000
486-6-600000136451515510000
476-5-70000724112268310000
466-4-8000313273511830000
455-6-700010213381114920000
445-5-800001213381818820000
435-4-900060244152518710000
424-6-800020151924271651000
414-5-90107031528271441000
404-4-100003017203025113000
393-6-9001002102431228100
383-5-1000000414283118510
373-4-1100000161832291220
362-6-10000002925342371
352-5-1100003153233142
342-4-12000172438255
331-6-11000315363610
321-5-120018304319
311-4-130003214729
301-3-1401134541
290-5-130074053
280-4-14043264
270-3-15012475
260-2-1611783
250-1-17793
240-0-1800990
Total:012266121412175933322110000