New England Revolution Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 1.5%
12 points   3-3-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.1
-0.2
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 -0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 +0.1
+0.6
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +0.1
+0.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 +0.1
+0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 -0.1
+0.0
Montreal 0 New England 0 No
-0.8
+0.0
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 +0.1
Orlando 5 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1 +6.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England vs DC United+1.2-0.3-0.7
-9.7+1.1+6.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Montreal vs RSL-0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.3
Vancouver vs Toronto FC+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Colorado vs Columbus+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+3.0-2.2-4.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Chicago+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+0.1+0.1-0.1
+1.7-0.3-1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Chicago vs NYCFC-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland-0.1+0.1+0.3
Philadelphia vs Colorado-1.6+0.7+5.9
Vancouver vs FC Dallas+0.4-0.2-0.6
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy+0.3-0.1-0.5
Sporting KC vs Seattle+0.3-0.1-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7220-0-0In84.0%1000No15,618
6316-3-1InNo100No2
6216-2-2InNo6040No5*
6115-4-1In16.76733No12*
6015-3-2In6.57129No31*
5915-2-3In2.646495No76*
5814-4-2InNo3948121No165*
5714-3-3InNo24502240No448*
5614-2-4InNo17443171No933*
5513-4-3InNo1138371120No2,030*
5413-3-4InNo5293821510No4,094*
5312-5-3InNo21938291020No8,077*
5212-4-4100.0%No110303618400No15,394*
5112-3-599.9No052035281020No28,210*
5011-5-499.5No0211293418500No50,626*
4911-4-598.1No00520352810200No88,014*
4811-3-694.5No0211283419510No149,048*
4710-5-586.8No01519342911200No243,445*
4610-4-673.5No00210273521500No386,075*
4510-3-756.4No000418343012200No597,314*
449-5-637.8No0019273621500No893,881*
439-4-721.7No0041836311010No1,298,404*
428-6-610.7No001929381930No1,838,434*
418-5-74.4No000420392970No2,520,821*
408-4-81.5No0011134381410.0%3,365,291*
397-6-70.4No000526432330.04,354,490*
387-5-80.1No00216423360.05,463,608*
377-4-90.0No00193642110.26,660,180*
366-6-80.0No00052848190.77,879,966*
356-5-90.0No0022051282.09,020,010*
346-4-100.0No0011349384.810,025,862*
335-6-9OutNo00744499.610,786,847*
325-5-10OutNo004375916.711,202,617*
315-4-11OutNo002296925.811,275,372*
304-6-10OutNo01227736.210,956,148*
294-5-11OutNo00168347.110,256,374*
284-4-12OutNo00118957.79,253,036*
273-6-11OutNo0079267.28,035,087*
263-5-12OutNo059575.56,678,512*
253-4-13OutNo039782.35,329,373*
242-6-12OutNo029887.64,062,694*
232-5-13OutNo019991.62,944,007*
222-4-14OutNo19994.52,028,244*
212-3-15OutNo010096.51,319,555*
201-5-14OutNo010097.9802,856*
191-4-15OutNo010098.8455,934*
181-3-16OutNo010099.3239,738*
170-5-15OutNo010099.6114,214*
160-4-16OutNo010099.848,269*
12-15OutNo10099.940,223*
Total:1.5%0.0%00000012511255630.9%150,739,664

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByePhiladelphiaDC UnitedNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCMontrealNY Red BullsChicagoOrlandoColumbusCincinnati
59-7211.9%Yes
5814-4-213.39911
5714-3-312.596011100
5614-2-412.2921112110100
13-5-211.7930112011
5513-4-311.8861222222100
14-1-511.0871232121200
5413-3-411.07324453422000
12-6-210.5732344433211
5312-5-38.95835665544110
13-2-59.95936666543010
5212-4-47.94257887755110
13-1-68.34257896754110
11-7-27.53748987765110
5112-3-56.027589108866110
11-6-36.223599109876120
13-0-76.827581098955110
5011-5-44.313589108876110
12-2-64.414589108876110
10-8-24.01158998876110
4911-4-52.8647887765110
10-7-32.4546886655110
12-1-73.0657887765110
4811-3-61.7235665544110
10-6-41.5235565544110
12-0-81.6235665554110
9-9-20.9124555444110
4710-5-50.8113343322110
11-2-70.9123443332110
9-8-30.6012332322100
4610-4-60.4011222111000
9-7-40.3011121111000
11-1-80.4011222211000
8-10-20.2001211111000
4510-3-70.1001111110000
9-6-50.1000111100000
8-9-30.1000110000000
11-0-90.1001111111000
449-5-60.0000000000000
10-2-80.1000000000000
8-8-40.0000000000000
439-4-70.000000000000
8-7-50.000000000000
10-1-90.000000000000
429-3-80.000000000000
8-6-60.000000000000
418-5-70.000000000000
408-4-80.000000000
397-6-7No000
12-38No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1 +0.1
Montreal 0 New England 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs DC United-0.6+0.1+0.4
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
7220-0-084160
6316-3-1100
6216-2-26040
6115-4-1175033
6015-3-2665326
5915-2-334316335
5814-4-23915331021
5714-3-324113916640
5614-2-4177381713711
5513-4-3113351820102200
5413-3-4512812271655010
5312-5-32018731181191200
5212-4-4101022716201534000
5112-3-500512092620890200
5011-5-40201142517171625000
4911-4-500051191123207100200
4811-3-6020115241915172510
4710-5-50105118122222711200
4610-4-6000201052221141971000
4510-3-7000004116132124154100
449-5-60001096212324123000
439-4-700004216152823103000
428-6-6000109722292192000
418-5-7000042122529197100
408-4-8000115162828165100
397-6-7000001719302612300
387-5-80000210243223810
377-4-90000141429321730
366-6-8000001721352781
356-5-9000002123036172
346-4-10000162239275
335-6-9000214373710
325-5-1000017304517
315-4-110003224926
304-6-10001144836
294-5-1100084447
284-4-1200053858
273-6-110023067
263-5-12012376
253-4-13001782
242-6-12001288
232-5-1300892
222-4-140595
212-3-150397
201-5-140298
191-4-15199
181-3-160199
170-5-150100
160-4-160100
150-3-170100
140-2-180100
12-13100
Total:0000000000000111234610162631