New England Revolution Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 43%
1 points   0-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England 1 Chicago 1 -4.7
-0.5
-0.6
+1.1
-0.4
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.4
+0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -0.1
DC United 2 Miami 1 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England vs Portland+6.1-4.7-9.1
+0.5-0.4-0.8
+0.5-0.4-0.7
-1.8+1.1+2.9
+0.5-0.4-0.8
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.4+0.8
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.6+0.3+0.6
+0.1-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.4-0.0-0.9
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
*+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
77-97In100.0%100No8,494*
7623-6-3In99.01000No210*
74-75In99.3100No1,177*
7322-6-4In99.01000No1,345*
7222-5-5In98.8991No2,330*
7122-4-6In98.2991No4,149*
7021-6-5In97.4991No7,057*
6921-5-6In96.1991No11,661*
6820-7-5In94.39820No18,795*
6720-6-6In91.39730No29,922*
6620-5-7In87.19640No46,977*
6519-7-6In81.794600No70,815*
6419-6-7In74.891900No106,362*
6319-5-8In66.3871310No155,168*
6218-7-7In55.9821710No221,663*
6118-6-8In44.77523200No313,160*
6017-8-7In33.26729400No430,004*
5917-7-8In22.457357100No580,136*
5817-6-9In13.3474011100No767,813*
5716-8-8In6.73643173000No994,893*
5616-7-9In2.82643246100No1,264,960*
5516-6-10100.0%0.9173931112000No1,579,705*
5415-8-9100.00.2103135185100No1,928,400*
5315-7-10100.00.05223526102000No2,315,491*
5215-6-1199.90.021330321751000No2,720,965*
5114-8-1099.70.017223325112000No3,139,192*
5014-7-1198.7No031327311961000No3,551,726*
4913-9-1095.8No016193027134100No3,934,820*
4813-8-1188.8No0021024312292000No4,281,740*
4713-7-1275.6No00141427291761000No4,572,350*
4612-9-1156.9No00017193026133000No4,772,248*
4512-8-1236.5No0002102431229200No4,899,568*
4412-7-1319.5No0001415283017510No4,915,531*
4311-9-128.5No0001720312612200.0%4,845,174*
4211-8-133.0No0000311263220610.04,678,894*
4111-7-140.9No000151832291320.04,421,783*
4010-9-130.2No00021026352150.14,096,365*
3910-8-140.0No00015193531100.43,720,325*
3810-7-150.0No0002113139171.73,303,864*
379-9-140.0No00162443264.72,871,495*
369-8-150.0No000317433710.52,449,446*
359-7-16OutNo00111404919.32,038,813*
348-9-15OutNo0006345930.61,662,584*
338-8-16OutNo0003276943.01,325,488*
328-7-17OutNo002217755.41,033,361*
317-9-16OutNo01158466.5784,170*
307-8-17OutNo00118976.0583,303*
297-7-18OutNo0079383.3423,373*
286-9-17OutNo059588.8299,076*
276-8-18OutNo039792.8206,373*
266-7-19OutNo029895.4138,117*
255-9-18OutNo019997.290,580*
245-8-19OutNo19998.357,811*
235-7-20OutNo010099.035,467*
224-9-19OutNo010099.421,491*
214-8-20OutNo010099.712,333*
204-7-21OutNo010099.87,053*
193-9-20OutNo10099.93,784*
183-8-21OutNo010099.92,043*
1-17OutNo100100.010,155*
Total:43.0%1.3%45667888991010105.4%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealDC UnitedChicagoPhiladelphiaCincinnatiOrlandoMiamiNYCFC
66-9712.5%Yes
6519-7-612.710000
6419-6-712.610000
6319-5-812.51000000000
6218-7-712.610000000000000
6118-6-812.4100000000000000
6017-8-712.5100000000000000
5917-7-812.699000000000000
18-4-1012.599000000000000
5817-6-912.499000000000000
16-9-712.599000000000000
5716-8-812.497000000000000
17-5-1012.397000000000000
5616-7-912.193111111100000
15-10-712.292111111110000
17-4-1112.294111111000000
5516-6-1011.987111111111111
15-9-811.986222111111111
5415-8-911.376333332222111
16-5-1111.378222222221111
14-11-711.175333332222111
5315-7-1010.463444443332222
14-10-810.260444443332222
16-4-1210.464444443332222
5215-6-119.247555554443332
14-9-98.944555554443332
13-12-79.146555554443332
5114-8-107.329666665444433
15-5-127.631666665444433
13-11-87.127666665544433
5014-7-115.516666665544433
13-10-95.114666665444433
15-4-135.616666665544443
4914-6-123.87555554444333
13-9-103.46555554443332
12-12-83.56555554443332
4813-8-112.02333333332222
14-5-132.23444443333222
12-11-91.82333333222222
4713-7-121.01222222211111
12-10-100.91222222111111
4613-6-130.40111111111110
4512-8-120.10000000000000
4412-7-130.00000000000000
4312-6-140.00000000000000
4211-8-130.00000000000000
4111-7-140.0000000000000
4011-6-150.0000000
3910-8-14No0
1-38No
Total:2.6%14.21.41.41.41.41.41.21.01.00.90.90.80.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.9
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Portland-1.1+0.8+1.7
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.0-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
78-97100
7724-4-4991
7623-6-39900
7523-5-41000
7423-4-5991
7322-6-49910
7222-5-59911
7122-4-69811
7021-6-59721
6921-5-69631
6820-7-594420
6720-6-691630
6620-5-7879400
6519-7-682126000
6419-6-775169000
6319-5-8662113010
6218-7-75626170100
6118-6-845302212000
6017-8-7333426340000
5917-7-8223530670100
5817-6-9133430101101000
5716-8-8729271616130000
5616-7-93232122214601000
5516-6-10116132623811120000
5415-8-90106252115162501000
5315-7-100522014212069020000
5215-6-110201372419131525010000
5114-8-100107220122019610120000
5014-7-110030125221714163601000
4913-9-10001061179211891214100
4813-8-1100020103211317185920000
4713-7-1200104014622171315720000
4612-9-11000010711892118157200000
4512-8-1200002010321132117931000
4412-7-130000104114616232011410000
4311-9-1200001072717242213510000
4211-8-1300000030281725231561000
4111-7-14000010027172524156100
4010-9-130000002817262515510
3910-8-140000000281927251340
3810-7-15000001310223024102
379-9-14000014132731195
369-8-1500001619333010
359-7-160000211293819
348-9-150016224131
338-8-160002144043
328-7-17000183555
317-9-1600042966
307-8-170022276
297-7-180011683
286-9-17001189
276-8-1800793
266-7-190595
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
235-7-200199
224-9-19199
214-8-200100
204-7-210100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
1-16100
Total:12232334343435444555555555