West Playoff Chances

RSL +10.5, San Jose -3.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
FridayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
LAFCWMontreal 4-23410-4-125100.0%+0.012.5%+0.078.3%+5.5851131000000001.2+0.050.0%-0.01.696Los Angeles FC
Seattle2627-5-1898.4-0.310.5-0.45.7-1.57382514842100003.1-0.160.03.564Seattle Sounders
Houston2347-2-2896.6-0.59.4-0.54.4-1.052726171174210003.5-0.180.04.557at MinnesotaHouston Dynamo
LA GalaxyWOrlando 1-02518-1-5291.9+7.46.7+1.61.0+0.5112192218128421004.6+0.690.0-0.011.506Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota1835-3-4278.2-2.14.0-0.60.4-0.1151115181613964205.7-0.210.1-0.05.499HoustonMinnesota United FC
RSLWAtlanta 2-11926-1-6-169.4+10.52.8+0.70.1+0.1037121517151296316.4+0.580.1-0.212.473Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas1825-3-5062.1-2.62.2-0.40.1-0.0025913161614118416.8-0.170.2-0.010.483at VancouverFC Dallas
Portland1143-2-6-832.5-2.90.7-0.20.0-0.0012369121516161558.4-0.141.6-0.013.410at PhiladelphiaPortland Timbers
Sporting KC1142-5-4026.3-3.30.6-0.20.0-0.0001357101417191878.8-0.172.1+0.122.479Sporting Kansas City
San Jose1434-2-6-525.4-3.50.5-0.10.0-0.0001247101417191868.8-0.171.9+0.019.439San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver1413-5-6-418.2-2.50.3-0.10.0-0.000013581317212389.3-0.132.9+0.018.434FC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
Colorado531-2-9-131.0-0.20.0-0.00.00000001137167211.5-0.0241.1-0.423.388ColumbusColorado Rapids

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/18
RSL 2 Atlanta 1
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+0.4
LA Galaxy-0.8
Minnesota-0.9
RSL+8.5
+0.6
FC Dallas-1.4
Portland-1.3
Sporting KC-1.2
San Jose-1.3
Vancouver-1.1
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy-0.5
Minnesota-1.2
RSL+8.5
+0.4
-0.5
FC Dallas-1.3
Portland-1.5
Sporting KC-1.4
San Jose-0.9
Vancouver-1.1
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1
5:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy+6.9
+1.4
+0.6
Minnesota-0.7
-0.3
RSL-1.1
-0.2
FC Dallas-1.0
-0.2
Portland-1.0
Sporting KC-0.9
San Jose-1.0
Vancouver-0.8
San Jose 4 Chicago 1
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota-0.8
RSL-1.1
FC Dallas-1.0
Portland-1.1
Sporting KC-1.0
San Jose+6.4
+0.2
-2.0
Vancouver-0.7
Colorado+0.8
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy-5.4
-1.3
-0.8
Minnesota+0.5
+0.3
RSL+0.7
+0.2
FC Dallas+0.7
+0.2
Portland+0.7
+0.4
Sporting KC+0.7
+0.5
San Jose+0.7
+0.5
Vancouver+0.5
+1.0
Colorado+0.7
-13.0
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1
5:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+0.8
RSL+1.0
FC Dallas+0.9
Portland+1.0
Sporting KC-5.3
-0.3
+0.3
San Jose+0.7
Vancouver+0.3
-0.2
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+5.1
+0.6
RSL-0.9
FC Dallas-0.7
Portland-0.9
Sporting KC-0.9
San Jose-0.6
Vancouver-0.7
Houston 2 DC United 1
5:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+0.1
Houston+1.8
+0.7
+1.1
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC-2.3
No
Seattle+0.6
Houston+0.4
Minnesota+0.2
RSL+0.3
FC Dallas-1.7
-0.2
Portland+0.3
Sporting KC+0.2
San Jose+0.3
Vancouver+0.2
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+1.5
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2
10:00 AM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+0.1
-0.3
LAFC 4 Montreal 2
7:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+4.2
No
Seattle-1.1
Houston-0.7
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0
10:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+0.5
Montreal 0 New England 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+0.5
Week of 5/25
Vancouver vs FC DallasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas55.462.474.4
1.72.13.2
Vancouver24.214.510.5
0.40.20.1
1.63.54.9
Philadelphia vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC77.479.680.1
RSL69.969.267.2
2.8*2.82.7
FC Dallas62.761.959.7
2.2*2.22.1
Portland29.333.845.7
0.60.71.2
1.91.40.6
Montreal vs RSLHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
RSL63.668.779.2
2.22.63.8
0.10.10.3
FC Dallas63.162.360.5
2.32.22.1
Portland33.432.630.9
0.70.70.6
Toronto FC vs San JoseHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
RSL70.169.467.5
2.8*2.82.7
FC Dallas62.9*62.260.1
San Jose21.225.336.6
0.30.40.8
2.51.80.7
Sporting KC vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
5:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy89.392.596.5
6.0*6.78.1
0.60.92.0
Sporting KC32.522.017.9
0.80.40.3
1.22.63.7
Sporting KC vs SeattleHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC79.578.876.1
Seattle97.798.699.4
10.010.511.2
3.85.08.8
Sporting KC33.322.919.0
0.80.40.3
1.12.43.4
Minnesota vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Houston95.396.898.6
8.79.410.5
3.03.96.9
Minnesota84.575.470.7
5.03.52.9
0.60.20.1
Atlanta vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota74.778.886.9
3.54.05.4
0.20.30.8
Vancouver vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver24.015.012.0
0.40.20.1
1.53.44.7
Philadelphia vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC77.479.580.1
Colorado0.71.02.3
44.639.628.0
Colorado vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado1.40.60.4
0.0NoNo
33.746.352.1
New England vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado45.840.638.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado43.140.739.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeLAFCSeattleHoustonLA GalaxyMinnesotaRSLFC DallasPortlandSporting KCSan JoseVancouverColorado
LAFC99.20.10.10.10.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Seattle70.40.12.64.34.53.73.11.30.90.80.50.0
Houston58.40.12.66.06.04.83.91.61.21.10.70.0
LA Galaxy32.30.14.36.09.47.45.92.31.71.61.00.0
Minnesota16.30.24.56.09.44.73.81.41.11.10.60.0
RSL10.30.13.74.87.44.73.01.20.80.80.50.0
FC Dallas7.60.13.13.95.93.83.00.90.70.70.40.0
Portland2.20.01.31.62.31.41.20.90.30.30.10.0
Sporting KC1.50.00.91.21.71.10.80.70.30.20.10.0
San Jose1.20.00.81.11.61.10.80.70.30.20.10.0
Vancouver0.60.00.50.71.00.60.50.40.10.10.10.0
Colorado0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0