West Playoff Chances

FC Dallas +2.7, Houston -14.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
7/17PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
LAFC46214-4-236100.0%+0.012.5%98.5%-0.19910000000001.0No1.733Los Angeles FC
Seattle35210-5-5596.2+0.79.4+0.10.4+0.103922151074210003.5+0.060.0%3.535Seattle Sounders
Minnesota33210-3-7891.9+1.47.7+0.20.3+0.0022221813107521004.3+0.100.04.552Minnesota United FC
LA Galaxy34211-1-8289.5+2.06.5+0.30.2+0.0016191815129631004.6+0.130.013.510Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose3129-4-7278.4+2.54.2+0.10.0+0.00712141616141173105.6+0.110.09.506San Jose Earthquakes
Portland2447-3-8-269.0+0.73.5-0.10.007101213141413106106.10.0+0.06.472OrlandoPortland Timbers
RSL2929-2-9067.2+2.53.1+0.10.0+0.00591113151514116106.3+0.110.0-0.014.490Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas2918-5-8356.7+2.72.1+0.00.00258111416171510206.9+0.110.0-0.08.519FC Dallas
HoustonLAtlanta 0-52728-3-9-427.4-14.20.6-0.80.0-0.001135711162324728.4-0.740.1+0.115.457Houston Dynamo
Sporting KC2526-7-7-222.3+2.00.5+0.00.000124691421301028.7+0.170.2-0.016.475Sporting Kansas City
Colorado2025-5-10-91.2+0.20.0+0.00.000000012513483211.0+0.148.4-0.424.425Colorado Rapids
VancouverLNew England 0-4204-8-10-160.2-0.30.0-0.00.00000000015296411.5-0.1821.7+8.122.353Vancouver Whitecaps

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/13
RSL 4 Philadelphia 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+0.2
Seattle-0.6
Minnesota-1.1
LA Galaxy-1.0
San Jose-1.6
Portland-1.5
RSL+11.2
+0.7
FC Dallas-2.0
Houston-2.1
Sporting KC-0.8
Vancouver-0.3
Vancouver 0 Sporting KC 3
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle-0.3
Minnesota-0.5
LA Galaxy-0.5
San Jose-0.7
Portland-0.8
RSL-0.9
FC Dallas-1.0
Houston-0.9
Sporting KC+7.6
+0.2
-0.7
Colorado-0.4
Vancouver-1.8
+3.4
Minnesota 1 FC Dallas 0
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+5.1
+1.1
No
San Jose+0.1
Portland+0.2
RSL+0.2
FC Dallas-6.2
-0.8
Houston+0.2
Atlanta 5 Houston 0
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+0.3
Minnesota+0.5
LA Galaxy+0.6
San Jose+0.9
Portland+0.9
RSL+1.0
FC Dallas+1.2
Houston-6.2
-0.4
Sporting KC+0.7
Portland 2 Colorado 2
11:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+0.2
Minnesota+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.6
Portland-5.0
-0.8
RSL+1.0
FC Dallas+0.9
Houston+1.0
Sporting KC+0.4
Colorado-0.1
No
-0.8
Seattle 2 Atlanta 1
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle+3.3
+1.0
No
Minnesota-0.2
-0.2
LA Galaxy-0.2
-0.2
San Jose-0.4
-0.2
Portland-0.5
RSL-0.5
FC Dallas-0.6
Houston-0.5
Sporting KC-0.3
New England 4 Vancouver 0
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado-0.4
Vancouver-0.3
No
+3.8
Chicago 1 Cincinnati 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.5
Colorado+3.3
Vancouver+1.9
Chicago 2 Columbus 2
6:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+0.4
Vancouver+0.6
NY Red Bulls 2 NYCFC 1
3:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LAFC+0.3
Orlando 1 Columbus 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado-0.7
Vancouver-0.4
Portland vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland76.864.058.1
4.32.92.3
RSL65.868.069.0
3.03.23.2
FC Dallas55.157.758.9
2.02.12.2
Houston26.128.229.1
Sporting KC21.223.023.9
LA Galaxy vs LAFCHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy95.489.485.7
8.26.35.5
0.40.10.0
Cincinnati vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado10.18.37.4
Vancouver25.221.619.6
Week of 7/20
Sporting KC vs FC DallasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas47.957.173.0
1.41.93.3
Sporting KC30.417.411.8
0.70.30.2
0.00.20.4
RSL vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota88.492.397.0
6.67.79.4
0.10.20.5
RSL77.062.855.7
4.22.61.9
FC Dallas55.357.558.1
2.12.12.0
Toronto FC vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
San Jose79.2*78.476.2
4.24.24.1
Portland69.869.066.6
3.53.53.4
RSL68.067.264.6
3.13.13.0
FC Dallas57.756.753.7
2.12.12.0
Houston22.1*27.442.5
0.40.61.2
NYCFC vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
San Jose79.078.476.4
4.24.24.1
Portland69.768.966.9
3.53.53.4
RSL67.967.064.9
3.1*3.13.0
FC Dallas57.556.654.1
2.12.12.0
Sporting KC17.922.835.9
0.30.51.0
0.20.10.0
Seattle vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle98.295.192.3
10.38.87.7
0.60.20.1
No0.00.0
Portland63.969.981.7
2.83.55.3
0.00.00.1
Vancouver vs San JoseHomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
San Jose70.676.487.5
3.13.75.6
RSL68.467.565.7
3.23.12.9
FC Dallas58.157.154.9
2.22.11.9
Houston28.627.725.9
0.60.60.5
Vancouver0.40.10.0
0.0*NoNo
12.923.329.5
Colorado vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado2.20.80.5
3.89.112.6
Cincinnati vs New EnglandHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado9.88.07.1
Vancouver24.621.019.0
Columbus vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado10.17.66.4
Vancouver25.420.117.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeLAFCSeattleMinnesotaLA GalaxySan JosePortlandRSLFC DallasHoustonSporting KCColoradoVancouver
LAFC100.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Seattle61.20.03.84.44.63.63.42.71.00.80.00.0
Minnesota43.90.03.86.05.94.74.73.61.31.10.00.0
LA Galaxy34.80.04.46.06.75.15.13.81.41.10.00.0
San Jose18.70.04.65.96.74.14.03.11.10.90.00.0
Portland16.90.03.64.75.14.13.12.40.90.60.00.0
RSL13.60.03.44.75.14.03.12.30.80.70.00.0
FC Dallas7.50.02.73.63.83.12.42.30.60.40.00.0
Houston1.90.01.01.31.41.10.90.80.60.20.00.0
Sporting KC1.50.00.81.11.10.90.60.70.40.20.00.0
Colorado0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Vancouver0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0