West Playoff Chances

Timbers +17.1, Galaxy -12.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/12PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
TimbersWGalaxy 1-062-0-0581.8%+17.18.1%+2.513.4%+6.92317141198654213.9+1.390.5%-1.57.484DynamoPortland Timbers
Dynamo62-0-0374.7+0.86.9-0.08.9-1.016151312109865424.5+0.010.9-0.06.472at TimbersHouston Dynamo
Earthquakes62-0-0273.2+1.06.7-0.08.1-0.915141312119875424.6+0.031.0-0.17.468at Sporting KCSan Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas41-1-0171.5+0.96.4-0.07.5-0.914131312119876434.8+0.021.2-0.17.468RevolutionFC Dallas
Sporting KC20-2-0065.9+1.15.7-0.05.7-0.7111212111110987645.2+0.051.9-0.114.490EarthquakesSporting Kansas City
Rapids31-0-1055.4+1.24.3-0.03.2-0.478910101010109866.0+0.073.1-0.24.449MinnesotaColorado Rapids
Sounders10-1-1-145.2+1.13.2-0.01.9-0.3467891011111111106.7+0.095.4-0.311.441Seattle Sounders
Real Salt Lake10-1-1-243.7+1.43.1+0.01.8-0.2467891011111212116.8+0.115.8-0.321.449GalaxyReal Salt Lake
Whitecaps10-1-1-138.7+0.92.6-0.01.3-0.235678911121313137.2+0.097.3-0.314.438Toronto FCVancouver Whitecaps
MinnesotaLAtlanta 1-600-0-2-925.3-12.81.5-1.20.5-1.11245679111418238.2-0.9314.2+6.411.415at RapidsMinnesota United FC
GalaxyLTimbers 0-100-0-2-224.7-12.81.4-1.20.5-1.11235679111418248.2-0.9314.5+6.514.422at Real Salt LakeLos Angeles Galaxy

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/11
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers+10.3
+1.3
+3.8
-1.2
Dynamo-0.2
Earthquakes-0.2
FC Dallas-0.2
Sporting KC-0.2
Rapids-0.2
Sounders-0.2
-0.2
Real Salt Lake-0.2
Whitecaps-0.2
Minnesota-0.2
-0.2
Galaxy-9.0
-0.8
-0.8
+3.8
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers+0.8
Dynamo+0.9
Earthquakes+0.8
FC Dallas+0.8
Sporting KC+0.9
Rapids+0.8
Sounders+0.8
Real Salt Lake+0.9
Whitecaps+0.9
Minnesota-8.4
-0.8
-0.9
+4.0
Galaxy+0.8
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes+6.4
+0.8
+2.1
-0.8
Whitecaps-5.2
-0.6
-1.2
+0.9
Dynamo 3 Crew 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers-0.6
Dynamo+6.0
+0.7
+1.8
-1.0
Earthquakes-0.6
FC Dallas-0.6
Sporting KC-0.6
Rapids-0.6
Sounders-0.6
Real Salt Lake-0.6
Whitecaps-0.6
Minnesota-0.6
Galaxy-0.6
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers+0.5
Dynamo+0.5
Earthquakes+0.5
FC Dallas+0.5
Sporting KC+0.5
Rapids+0.5
Sounders+0.5
Real Salt Lake-4.8
-0.6
-1.2
+1.0
Whitecaps+0.5
Minnesota+0.5
Galaxy+0.5
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers+0.4
Dynamo+0.4
Earthquakes+0.4
FC Dallas+0.7
+0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Sporting KC-4.5
-0.6
-1.3
+0.6
Rapids+0.4
Sounders+0.4
Real Salt Lake+0.4
Whitecaps+0.4
Minnesota+0.4
Galaxy+0.4
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers+0.4
Dynamo+0.4
Earthquakes+0.4
FC Dallas+0.4
Sporting KC+0.4
Rapids-4.3
-0.6
-1.8
+0.6
Sounders+0.4
Real Salt Lake+0.5
Whitecaps+0.4
Minnesota+0.4
Galaxy+0.4
Impact 2 Sounders 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sounders-0.2
-0.1
-0.3
NYCFC 4 DC United 0
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Galaxy+0.2
Week of 3/18
Rapids vs MinnesotaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Rapids61.850.644.8
5.03.73.2
4.22.31.8
1.93.95.4
Minnesota21.225.735.8
1.21.52.3
0.40.51.1
16.613.68.4
Real Salt Lake vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Real Salt Lake50.038.933.5
3.72.62.2
2.41.20.9
3.97.19.4
Galaxy20.625.135.0
1.11.52.2
0.30.51.0
17.013.88.4
Sporting KC vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes69.174.182.6
6.06.88.1
6.38.112.9
1.30.90.4
Sporting KC71.861.656.1
6.55.14.5
7.44.33.2
1.22.33.1
Sounders vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Dynamo74.175.175.5
6.87.07.0
9.09.08.4
Earthquakes72.673.674.0
6.66.76.8
8.38.27.7
FC Dallas70.972.072.4
6.36.56.5
7.67.67.1
Sporting KC65.166.366.8
5.65.85.8
5.85.75.4
Rapids54.655.956.4
4.24.44.4
3.33.33.0
3.23.13.1
Sounders51.941.036.6
3.92.82.4
2.71.40.9
3.66.48.1
Real Salt Lake42.944.244.7
3.03.13.2
1.81.81.7
5.95.85.7
Whitecaps37.939.139.6
2.52.62.7
1.41.31.2
7.47.27.1
Minnesota24.725.626.0
14.414.113.9
Galaxy24.125.025.5
14.714.314.2
Whitecaps vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Earthquakes72.673.674.0
6.66.76.7
8.28.28.0
FC Dallas70.972.072.4
6.46.56.5
7.57.57.4
Sporting KC65.266.366.8
5.75.85.8
5.75.75.6
Rapids54.755.956.4
4.24.34.4
Sounders44.545.746.2
3.23.33.3
5.55.45.4
Real Salt Lake43.044.244.6
3.03.13.2
5.95.85.7
Whitecaps44.934.330.2
3.22.21.9
1.90.90.6
4.98.610.8
Timbers vs DynamoHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Timbers86.378.974.6
8.97.66.9
16.810.88.4
0.30.60.9
Dynamo70.875.383.5
6.37.08.3
6.78.914.1
1.20.90.4
FC Dallas vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas76.667.463.0
7.15.85.3
9.55.74.5
0.71.52.2
Sporting KC65.366.366.7
5.65.85.9
5.65.85.8
Rapids54.855.956.4
4.24.44.4
3.23.33.3
3.1*3.13.3
Sounders44.645.746.2
3.13.33.3
5.4*5.45.6
Real Salt Lake43.144.244.7
3.03.23.2
5.8*5.96.0
Whitecaps38.139.139.6
2.52.72.7
7.27.37.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeTimbersDynamoEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCRapidsSoundersReal Salt LakeWhitecapsMinnesotaGalaxy
Timbers53.72.52.52.52.52.42.12.01.81.21.2
Dynamo43.72.52.72.72.72.52.22.11.91.31.3
Earthquakes41.72.52.72.82.82.62.22.11.91.31.3
FC Dallas39.92.52.72.82.82.62.22.11.91.31.3
Sporting KC34.02.52.72.82.82.52.22.11.91.21.2
Rapids24.62.42.52.62.62.52.01.91.71.11.1
Sounders17.52.12.22.22.22.22.01.61.40.90.9
Real Salt Lake16.72.02.12.12.12.11.91.61.40.90.9
Whitecaps13.71.81.91.91.91.91.71.41.40.80.8
Minnesota7.41.21.31.31.31.21.10.90.90.80.5
Galaxy7.01.21.31.31.31.21.10.90.90.80.5