West Playoff Chances

Portland +8.8, Nashville -9.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/8PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Minnesota62-0-0582.8%+0.77.6%+0.113.4%+0.5211613119765432214.3+0.080.3%-0.01.477Minnesota United FC
Sporting KC62-0-0682.2+0.77.5+0.113.0+0.3211613119765433214.4+0.080.3-0.02.489at AtlantaSporting Kansas City
Colorado62-0-0277.8+0.86.7+0.19.9+0.3161412119876543214.9+0.080.5-0.02.471at VancouverColorado Rapids
FC Dallas41-1-0264.3+1.14.7+0.14.8+0.291010109988776546.1+0.091.4-0.02.471at NYCFCFC Dallas
Seattle41-1-0159.9+1.14.2+0.13.8+0.178999998877646.5+0.091.8-0.15.464at HoustonSeattle Sounders
LAFCTPhiladelphia 3-341-1-0158.7-8.24.0-1.13.5-2.378999998877656.6-0.742.0+0.716.461Los Angeles FC
Vancouver31-0-1-151.2+1.13.2+0.12.4+0.156788999998877.3+0.093.0-0.110.442ColoradoVancouver Whitecaps
RSL20-2-0048.5+1.13.0+0.12.1+0.146778899999887.5+0.093.4-0.116.453at ColumbusReal Salt Lake
PortlandWNashville 1-031-0-1-145.6+8.82.7+0.71.8+0.645678899999987.8+0.763.9-2.59.442Portland Timbers
LA Galaxy10-1-1-136.2+1.01.9+0.11.0+0.0234567899101112138.6+0.086.5-0.122.434at MiamiLos Angeles Galaxy
San Jose10-1-1-333.6+0.91.7+0.10.8+0.0234567789101113148.8+0.087.4-0.15.438at PhiladelphiaSan Jose Earthquakes
Houston10-1-1-429.9+0.91.4+0.10.7+0.0123456789101214179.1+0.088.9-0.216.420SeattleHouston Dynamo
NashvilleLPortland 0-100-0-2-229.1-9.81.4-0.70.6-0.7123456789101214189.2-0.869.5+3.616.426at Toronto FCNashville SC

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/7
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+11.3
+0.9
+1.1
-3.5
LA Galaxy-10.3
-1.0
-1.4
+2.2
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+10.0
+1.4
+3.9
-0.8
Sporting KC-0.2
FC Dallas-0.2
LAFC-0.2
San Jose-9.7
-0.9
-1.2
+2.4
Portland 1 Nashville 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland+6.2
+0.5
+0.4
-2.1
Nashville-5.0
-0.4
-0.4
+1.4
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0
5:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+5.9
+0.8
+1.9
-0.6
Houston-4.9
-0.5
-0.7
+1.0
Colorado 2 Orlando 1
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota-0.5
Sporting KC-0.5
Colorado+5.8
+0.7
+1.9
-0.6
FC Dallas-0.5
Seattle-0.5
LAFC-0.5
Vancouver-0.5
RSL-0.5
Portland-0.5
LA Galaxy-0.5
San Jose-0.5
Houston-0.5
Nashville-0.5
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+0.4
Sporting KC+0.4
Colorado+0.4
FC Dallas+0.4
Seattle+0.4
LAFC+0.4
Vancouver+0.4
RSL-4.6
-0.6
-1.2
+0.5
Portland+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Houston+0.4
Nashville+0.4
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+0.3
+0.2
Sporting KC+0.3
+0.2
Colorado+0.3
FC Dallas+0.4
Seattle+0.5
LAFC-4.6
-0.6
-1.5
+0.3
Vancouver+0.4
RSL+0.4
Portland+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Houston+0.3
Nashville+0.5
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+0.4
Sporting KC+0.3
Colorado+0.4
FC Dallas-4.3
-0.6
-1.6
+0.4
Seattle+0.4
LAFC+0.4
Vancouver+0.4
RSL+0.4
Portland+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Houston+0.4
Nashville+0.4
Seattle 1 Columbus 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+0.3
Sporting KC+0.3
Colorado+0.3
FC Dallas+0.3
Seattle-4.3
-0.5
-1.3
+0.4
LAFC+0.4
Vancouver+0.4
RSL+0.4
Portland+0.4
LA Galaxy+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Houston+0.4
Nashville+0.4
Week of 3/14
Houston vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
5:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle54.4*59.970.4
3.64.15.4
2.73.56.1
2.41.70.8
Houston36.226.121.8
1.91.20.9
1.00.50.3
6.110.412.8
Vancouver vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado73.778.285.7
6.0*6.78.0
7.79.514.8
0.70.50.2
Vancouver58.146.841.5
3.92.72.2
3.31.71.2
1.93.64.7
New England vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
10:30 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas64.7*64.363.3
4.8*4.74.6
Seattle60.4*60.058.9
4.2*4.24.1
LAFC59.2*58.757.7
4.1*4.03.9
Vancouver51.6*51.250.1
3.2*3.23.1
RSL49.0*48.547.5
3.0*3.02.9
Portland41.045.556.5
2.22.63.7
1.21.63.1
4.93.71.9
Columbus vs RSLHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Seattle60.3*59.958.9
4.2*4.24.1
3.73.93.8
LAFC59.258.757.7
4.1*4.03.9
3.53.63.6
Vancouver51.6*51.150.1
3.2*3.23.1
RSL44.148.859.6
2.53.04.1
1.42.03.8
4.23.21.6
Portland46.0*45.644.6
2.7*2.72.6
Miami vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
11:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver51.651.250.2
3.2*3.23.1
RSL49.0*48.647.5
3.0*3.02.9
3.53.43.4
Portland46.045.644.6
2.7*2.72.6
4.03.93.9
LA Galaxy31.735.946.6
1.61.92.8
0.70.91.9
8.16.23.4
Philadelphia vs San JoseHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver51.6*51.250.2
3.2*3.23.1
San Jose29.333.443.9
1.41.72.5
0.60.81.6
9.17.13.9
NYCFC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
FC Dallas59.063.473.2
4.14.65.9
3.44.37.3
2.01.40.6
Toronto FC vs NashvilleHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Nashville25.429.339.4
1.2*1.42.1
0.40.61.3
11.29.05.2
Minnesota vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota86.779.876.3
8.37.06.5
16.610.88.6
0.20.40.6
Atlanta vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC79.282.488.6
6.9*7.58.7
10.212.919.5
0.50.30.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeMinnesotaSporting KCColoradoFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverRSLPortlandLA GalaxySan JoseHoustonNashville
Minnesota50.32.02.12.02.01.91.71.61.51.21.11.01.0
Sporting KC49.42.02.12.12.01.91.71.71.61.21.11.01.0
Colorado42.92.12.12.12.02.01.81.71.61.31.21.01.0
FC Dallas28.02.02.12.11.91.91.71.61.51.21.11.00.9
Seattle24.22.02.02.01.91.81.61.51.41.11.00.90.9
LAFC23.21.91.92.01.91.81.61.51.41.11.00.90.9
Vancouver17.81.71.71.81.71.61.61.31.21.00.90.80.8
RSL16.31.61.71.71.61.51.51.31.20.90.80.70.7
Portland14.51.51.61.61.51.41.41.21.20.80.80.70.7
LA Galaxy10.01.21.21.31.21.11.11.00.90.80.60.60.5
San Jose8.81.11.11.21.11.01.00.90.80.80.60.50.5
Houston7.41.01.01.01.00.90.90.80.70.70.60.50.4
Nashville7.11.01.01.00.90.90.90.80.70.70.50.50.4