West Playoff Chances

Houston +15.0, Dallas -15.0
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
MinnesotaWLAFC 2-0103-1-0494.1%+6.78.5%+1.713.5%+6.02718131086543221103.8+1.110.1%-0.28.486Minnesota United FC
VancouverWDallas 3-1712-1-0491.5+10.37.7+2.110.7+5.62217131097654322114.3+1.440.2-0.518.486Vancouver Whitecaps
PortlandLHouston 0-172-1-1384.8-2.55.8-0.95.1-2.312121211109876543215.5-0.560.4+0.110.475Portland Timbers
St LouisTLA Galaxy 3-361-3-0278.2-0.24.6-0.43.0-0.789101099887654326.3-0.190.9+0.19.465Saint Louis City SC
LA GalaxyTSt Louis 3-361-3-0278.2-3.14.6-0.93.0-1.689101099887655326.3-0.560.9+0.34.463Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting KCWSan Jose 2-161-3-0175.7+12.14.2+1.22.6+1.1789999988765426.6+1.131.0-1.215.465Sporting Kansas City
ColoradoTSeattle 1-151-2-1-265.8+2.02.9-0.11.4-0.1467788999887657.6+0.092.1-0.211.429Colorado Rapids
HoustonWPortland 1-0411-1-1063.8+15.02.8+1.01.3+0.6456788899888757.8+1.282.5-2.76.446Houston Dynamo
RSL41-1-2063.4-0.02.7-0.21.2-0.1356788899988757.9-0.082.5+0.219.448Real Salt Lake
AustinTPhiladelphia 2-230-3-1-149.3-2.71.6-0.40.4-0.22345677899101111109.1-0.285.1+0.725.438Austin FC
SeattleTColorado 1-1210-2-1-146.7-3.61.5-0.40.5-0.22344567899101112119.3-0.355.9+1.128.429Seattle Sounders
DallasLVancouver 1-331-0-3-343.3-15.01.3-1.30.3-0.71234567789101213139.6-1.366.7+3.723.422FC Dallas
LAFCLMinnesota 0-241-1-2-441.6-13.11.2-1.00.3-0.51234556789111213149.7-1.177.4+3.722.395Los Angeles FC
San JoseLSporting KC 1-200-0-4-623.7-5.90.5-0.30.1-0.101122345681013172911.3-0.5017.7+4.927.395San Jose Earthquakes

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to u/bgix in Reddit

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/9
RSL 1 Colorado 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+12.1
+1.0
+0.8
-3.2
RSL-8.8
-1.2
-1.8
+1.0
San Jose 0 Vancouver 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+10.5
+1.1
+1.4
-1.9
San Jose-9.9
-0.6
-0.3
+3.7
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+7.3
+1.3
+3.0
-0.7
Vancouver-0.6
Sporting KC-0.6
Colorado-0.6
Houston-0.6
Austin-0.6
Seattle-0.6
Dallas-0.6
LAFC-0.6
San Jose-0.6
NYCFC 1 Portland 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver-0.6
-0.2
Portland+6.9
+1.2
+2.5
-0.7
Sporting KC-0.6
Colorado-0.6
-0.2
Houston-0.6
-0.2
Austin-0.6
-0.2
Seattle-0.6
-0.2
Dallas-0.6
LAFC-0.6
San Jose-0.6
-0.3
Austin 2 St Louis 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
St Louis+0.2
-0.4
-0.1
Austin-4.2
-0.4
-0.3
+1.0
LAFC 0 Sporting KC 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+0.3
-0.1
-0.2
LAFC-4.2
-0.5
-0.5
+0.7
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+0.3
Vancouver+0.3
Portland+0.3
St Louis+0.2
LA Galaxy+0.2
Sporting KC+0.3
Colorado+0.4
Houston+0.4
RSL+0.3
Austin+0.4
Seattle+0.4
Dallas-4.0
-0.5
-0.6
+0.7
LAFC+0.3
San Jose+0.3
Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
LA Galaxy+0.1
-0.3
Philadelphia vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland85.084.784.1
5.9*5.85.8
St Louis78.6*78.277.4
4.6*4.64.5
LA Galaxy78.5*78.277.3
4.6*4.64.5
Sporting KC76.1*75.774.8
4.2*4.24.1
Colorado66.2*65.864.7
3.0*2.92.9
Houston64.363.862.8
RSL63.8*63.462.3
2.8*2.72.7
Austin49.8*49.348.2
Seattle42.146.858.0
1.21.52.3
0.30.40.9
7.25.63.0
Dallas43.843.342.2
LAFC42.041.540.5
7.37.37.4
San Jose24.023.722.9
17.617.617.8
Week of 3/16
Dallas 1 Vancouver 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+7.0
+1.3
+3.0
-0.4
Dallas-9.6
-0.8
-0.6
+1.7
Houston 1 Portland 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Portland-3.0
-0.7
-1.8
Houston+7.0
+0.5
+0.3
-1.8
RSL-0.4
Austin-0.4
Seattle-0.4
Dallas-0.4
LAFC-0.4
Sporting KC 2 San Jose 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Sporting KC+5.9
+0.6
+0.5
-0.9
San Jose-4.2
-0.2
+2.1
Seattle 1 Colorado 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Colorado+0.6
-0.1
-0.2
Seattle-4.8
-0.4
-0.2
+1.0
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Vancouver+0.3
Portland+0.2
St Louis+0.3
LA Galaxy+0.3
Sporting KC+0.4
Colorado+0.4
Houston+0.4
RSL+0.4
Austin-4.7
-0.4
-0.2
+0.9
Seattle+0.4
Dallas+0.4
LAFC+0.4
San Jose+0.4
Minnesota 2 LAFC 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+3.3
+0.7
+1.9
LAFC-4.4
-0.4
-0.3
+0.8
LA Galaxy 3 St Louis 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
St Louis+0.5
-0.2
LA Galaxy-3.0
-0.6
-1.2
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Minnesota+0.3
Portland+0.3
San Jose+0.6
Atlanta vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
San Jose17.417.718.3
New England vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
San Jose18.317.416.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeMinnesotaVancouverPortlandSt LouisLA GalaxySporting KCColoradoHoustonRSLAustinSeattleDallasLAFCSan Jose
Minnesota58.21.72.01.91.91.81.61.51.51.00.90.90.80.4
Vancouver51.31.72.12.02.01.91.61.61.61.11.00.90.90.4
Portland35.92.02.12.22.22.11.81.71.71.21.11.00.90.4
St Louis26.81.92.02.22.12.01.61.61.61.11.00.90.80.4
LA Galaxy26.91.92.02.22.12.01.61.61.61.11.00.90.80.4
Sporting KC24.21.81.92.12.02.01.61.51.51.00.90.80.80.4
Colorado16.21.61.61.81.61.61.61.21.20.80.80.70.60.3
Houston15.41.51.61.71.61.61.51.21.20.80.70.70.60.3
RSL14.81.51.61.71.61.61.51.21.20.80.70.70.60.3
Austin8.21.01.11.21.11.11.00.80.80.80.50.40.40.2
Seattle7.70.91.01.11.01.00.90.80.70.70.50.40.40.2
Dallas6.40.90.91.00.90.90.80.70.70.70.40.40.30.2
LAFC5.90.80.90.90.80.80.80.60.60.60.40.40.30.1
San Jose2.10.40.40.40.40.40.40.30.30.30.20.20.20.1