Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsQualify chance incl. playoffChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920+Avg.ChangeRPIStrength8/31
Poland165-1-0890.9%+0.094.6%-0.0471013141412106001112111016.2+0.161.671Poland
Germany186-0-02690.7-0.095.3-0.03420151063110232100000003.3+0.0315.854Germany
Belgium165-1-02279.5-0.087.2-0.09111315139531134321000416.1+0.097.839GibraltarBelgium
England144-2-0876.6-0.085.7-0.014710131312105012333321137.9+0.148.791England
Switzerland186-0-0966.2+0.083.1+0.02218127421001994110000005.2-0.0213.768AndorraSwitzerland
SpainWMacedonia 2-1165-1-01864.5+0.382.1+1.515161496310012116321000005.9+0.9514.815Spain
CroatiaLIceland 0-1134-1-1952.6-30.866.5-22.801247101111602356542151411.7-4.536.799Croatia
France134-1-1651.568.7-0.00135810109613566654221011.0+0.0710.677NetherlandsFrance
IrelandTAustria 1-1123-3-0446.4-3.457.3-7.000012461022001124681112014.1-1.604.658Republic of Ireland
SerbiaTWales 1-1123-3-0643.7+2.155.9-2.100012361022001124691212014.3-0.742.642Serbia
Sweden134-1-1839.8-0.060.5-0.001235788513578765331312.4+0.0412.730at BulgariaSweden
ItalyWLiechtenstein 5-0165-1-01435.5+0.867.2+3.3688642100201911642110018.7+1.2619.781Italy
Portugal155-0-11933.8-0.066.7-0.0810852100029179532110008.4-0.0621.818Faroe IslandsPortugal
IcelandWCroatia 1-0134-1-1326.8+17.944.4+19.400123566412467754272915.6+4.149.593Iceland
Slovakia124-0-2818.2+0.041.7+0.0000123443024689108632715.9-0.0320.730Slovakia
Greece123-3-0714.7+0.040.0+0.000133321026101086532141814.6-0.045.745EstoniaGreece
UkraineWFinland 2-1113-2-1410.7+6.118.9+4.000001123200123433166521.7+1.0325.635Ukraine
TurkeyWKosovo 4-1113-2-159.9+6.817.7+7.000001123200123332176622.0+2.3225.639Turkey
Northern Ireland134-1-199.2+0.050.1-0.0012221000101516131086531512.7-0.1016.799Northern Ireland
Netherlands103-1-278.2+0.015.8+0.000000123200123333276821.1-0.0535.674at FranceNetherlands
WalesTSerbia 1-181-5-047.3+0.913.7+0.6000001500011236817023.4+0.073.635Wales
Montenegro103-1-276.0-0.023.6+0.00000011210113568111714119.4-0.0434.658Montenegro
Bosnia113-2-185.8+0.021.0+0.0000111110136654321224117.9-0.0311.707at CyprusBosnia and Herzegovina
Slovenia113-2-135.0+0.015.5-0.000000112100123455446621.2-0.0823.658Slovenia
Denmark103-1-243.114.8-0.0000000111001234581225921.8-0.0636.618Denmark
AustriaTIreland 1-182-2-212.7+0.45.4+0.5000000200000113508627.4+0.1618.521Austria
Bulgaria93-0-3-30.51.30000000000000011119730.5-0.2838.417SwedenBulgaria
Scotland82-2-2-10.21.5-0.0000000000000011109630.3-0.2517.464Scotland
Czech Republic92-3-140.02.4+0.00000000000011111149124.5-0.0422.635Czech Republic
IsraelLAlbania 0-293-0-3-20.0-1.10.3-4.30000000000000000029727.6-4.7127.439Israel
Romania61-3-200.00.5-0.0000000000001209732.5-0.1824.491Romania
AlbaniaWIsrael 2-093-0-3-20.0+0.00.2+0.10000000000000000019829.0+5.5227.417Albania
Armenia62-0-4-70.00.1-0.000000000000009937.541.324Armenia
Cyprus72-1-3-40.00.000000000000000010035.2-0.1533.347BosniaCyprus
Belarus51-2-3-70.00.00000000000010041.5+0.1440.265at LuxembourgBelarus
GeorgiaTMoldova 2-230-3-3-40.0-0.00.0-0.000000010043.2+0.2646.364Georgia
Lithuania51-2-3-50.00.00000000000010038.6+0.0737.343Lithuania
Hungary72-1-310.00.10000000000000019927.3-0.0142.525LatviaHungary
Azerbaijan72-1-3-60.00.000000000000000010034.3-0.1431.252Azerbaijan
MoldovaTGeorgia 2-220-2-4-110.00.0-0.000010047.5+0.0454.221Moldova
Estonia41-1-4-120.00.0000000010040.6+0.1229.234at GreeceEstonia
Faroe Islands51-2-3-8Out0.0000000010036.1-0.0632.191at PortugalFaroe Islands
Norway41-1-4-4Out0.000000010038.3+0.0444.364Norway
MacedoniaLSpain 1-231-0-5-5Out-0.0No-0.0010039.7-1.8130.370FYR Macedonia
Latvia31-0-5-10Out0.000010043.0+0.1443.177at HungaryLatvia
Andorra41-1-4-11Out0.000000010043.6+0.1449.171at SwitzerlandAndorra
FinlandLUkraine 1-210-1-5-6Out-0.0No-0.010046.0-1.1247.282Finland
Luxembourg10-1-5-11OutNo10047.1+0.1752.261BelarusLuxembourg
Kazakhstan20-2-4-12Out0.000010047.5+0.1553.214Kazakhstan
KosovoLTurkey 1-410-1-5-15Out-0.0No-0.010048.2-0.9047.177Kosovo
Malta00-0-6-13OutNo10051.0+0.1650.162Malta
Gibraltar00-0-6-21OutNo010051.0+0.1651.159at BelgiumGibraltar
San Marino00-0-6-29OutNo10051.7+0.1445.127San Marino
LiechtensteinLItaly 0-500-0-6-23OutNo-0.010051.8-0.6839.129Liechtenstein

update cc to sportsclubstats@jancev.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/9
Sweden 2 France 1
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
France-17.4
-11.0
-2.1
Sweden+16.2
+15.4
+2.9
Netherlands+1.1
-2.4
-0.3
Montenegro-0.3
Bulgaria-0.3
Faroe Islands 0 Switzerland 2
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Switzerland+8.3
+4.5
+1.2
Portugal-8.1
-4.1
-0.5
Hungary-0.3
Faroe IslandsOut
-1.0
Latvia*Out
+0.2
Estonia 0 Belgium 2
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Belgium+8.0
+6.1
+1.4
Greece-5.4
-3.5
-0.4
Bosnia-2.6
-2.6
-0.3
Cyprus+0.3
EstoniaOut
-0.9
Poland 3 Romania 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Poland+7.3
+5.7
+1.6
Montenegro-3.5
-1.8
Denmark-2.1
-1.2
+0.2
Romania-1.4
-3.2
-2.2
Armenia+0.3
Latvia 0 Portugal 3
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Switzerland-7.2
-3.6
-0.4
Portugal+7.3
+4.7
+1.2
Hungary-0.8
Faroe Islands+0.2
Latvia*Out
No
-0.9
Bosnia 0 Greece 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Belgium+5.2
+2.9
+0.3
Greece+0.4
+3.8
+0.4
Bosnia-5.6
-7.0
-1.3
Azerbaijan 0 Northern Ireland 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Germany-4.1
-2.1
-0.2
Northern Ireland+4.2
+6.2
+1.6
Montenegro-0.3
Czech Republic-2.2
Azerbaijan-0.4
-1.3
Norway+0.2
Scotland 2 England 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
England-3.7
-2.1
-1.1
Slovakia+3.3
+1.7
Slovenia+0.6
+0.4
Scotland-0.2
+0.6
Germany 7 San Marino 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Germany+3.8
+2.1
+0.8
Northern Ireland-3.4
-1.8
-0.2
Czech Republic-0.4
-0.3
San MarinoNo
-0.4
Lithuania 1 Slovakia 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
England-3.3
-1.8
-0.2
Serbia-0.2
Iceland-0.3
Slovakia+3.6
+8.8
+2.1
Montenegro-0.7
Slovenia-2.2
-0.3
Denmark-0.5
Scotland-0.7
Romania-0.3
Lithuania-0.2
-1.5
Montenegro 4 Armenia 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Poland-2.3
-1.4
-0.2
Serbia-0.3
Iceland-0.3
Slovakia-0.5
Montenegro+2.9
+6.9
+2.4
Slovenia-0.3
Denmark-0.3
-0.8
-0.2
Romania-0.4
Armenia-0.2
-0.8
-1.8
Kazakhstan 1 Denmark 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Poland-1.7
-1.1
-0.2
Iceland-0.3
Slovakia-0.5
Montenegro-0.3
-1.0
-0.5
Denmark+2.1
+5.4
+2.6
Romania-0.3
-0.4
Armenia-0.2
Kazakhstan-1.2
Belarus 2 Bulgaria 1
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
France+1.0
+1.1
+0.2
Sweden+0.4
+1.8
+0.4
Netherlands+0.5
+0.6
Bulgaria-1.6
-4.4
-3.3
Belarus+3.2
Luxembourg-0.8
Netherlands 5 Luxembourg 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
France-0.6
-0.7
Sweden-0.3
-1.4
-0.2
Netherlands+1.0
+3.2
+2.0
Bulgaria-0.3
-0.4
Belarus+0.2
Luxembourg*Out
No
-1.2
Slovenia 2 Malta 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
England-0.5
-0.4
Slovakia-1.4
-0.3
Montenegro-0.3
Slovenia+0.6
+3.3
+1.7
Denmark-0.2
Scotland-0.3
MaltaOut
No
-0.6
Norway 1 Czech Republic 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Germany+0.4
+0.4
Northern Ireland+1.9
+0.2
Czech Republic-0.5
-2.8
-1.0
Azerbaijan+0.2
Norway-0.0
Andorra 1 Hungary 0
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Switzerland+0.4
Portugal+1.2
Hungary-1.8
-3.1
Latvia-0.6
Andorra+3.9
Gibraltar 1 Cyprus 2
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Qualify chance incl. playoff100.0*Average seed
Cyprus+3.0
Estonia-0.6
Gibraltar-2.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Robert Jancev for adding this league.