"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -0.1
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 +0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 -0.1
-0.1
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
RSL vs Atlanta-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
FC Dallas vs LAFC-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+1.6+0.6-1.7
NY Red Bulls vs Vancouver+0.0+0.0-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs LA Galaxy+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
LAFC vs Montreal-1.0+1.4+2.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Atlanta+0.1+0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC vs Seattle-0.7+0.1+0.9
-0.5-0.0+0.7
-2.1-0.8+3.6
-0.2-0.0+0.4
Philadelphia vs Portland+0.1-0.0-0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.4
Montreal vs RSL+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Houston-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs FC Dallas+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.2+0.3+0.4
New England vs DC United+0.1+0.1-0.1
DC United vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
8921-0-0In100.0%1000No166,694
85-87InYes100No1,350*
8419-1-1In99.51000No2,774
8318-3-0In99.61000No5,928*
8218-2-1In99.2991No16,655
8118-1-2In98.7991No34,550*
8017-3-1In98.0982No73,201*
7917-2-2In97.0973No154,912*
7816-4-1In95.59640No289,381*
7716-3-2In93.39370No549,500*
7616-2-3In90.79190No981,263*
7515-4-2In87.388120No1,654,607*
7415-3-3In83.083170No2,773,053*
7315-2-4In78.079210No4,398,962*
7214-4-3In72.0732700No6,747,456*
7114-3-4In65.4673300No10,094,432*
7013-5-3In58.0604000No14,486,658*
6913-4-4In50.1534610No20,216,604*
6813-3-5In41.9465310No27,398,008*
6712-5-4In33.73859200No35,830,908*
6612-4-5In25.93165400No45,631,793*
6511-6-4In18.92569600No56,392,340*
6411-5-5In12.8197210000No67,552,778*
6311-4-6In8.0147214000No78,737,832*
6210-6-5In4.697020100No89,095,195*
6110-5-6In2.3666262000No97,902,721*
6010-4-7In1.045933400No104,682,727*
599-6-6In0.4250407000No108,675,949*
589-5-7In0.11414512100No109,619,149*
579-4-8100.0%0.013148182000No107,497,517*
568-6-7100.00.002247265000No102,358,776*
558-5-8100.00.001443339100No94,690,111*
548-4-9100.00.0083539152000No85,109,575*
537-6-8100.00.0042641235000No74,187,211*
527-5-9100.0No02173932101000No62,793,544*
516-7-899.8No01103238173000No51,547,554*
506-6-999.2No0052239267100No41,009,826*
496-5-1097.3No02133434142000No31,616,228*
485-7-993.0No0162537246100No23,596,037*
475-6-1084.6No00315343213200No17,028,248*
465-5-1171.4No00182637226100No11,878,070*
454-7-1054.5No00316353112200No8,005,637*
444-6-1136.9No0019273621500No5,200,650*
434-5-1221.7No00041836311110No3,245,239*
423-7-1111.1No0011029371930No1,952,108*
413-6-124.9No00420382970No1,123,018*
403-5-131.8No002123438140No619,482*
392-7-120.6No01626432310.0%328,133*
382-6-130.1No00318443320.0163,793*
372-5-140.0No0111404440.177,509*
362-4-150.0No006335470.434,834*
351-6-14OutNo032561111.314,720*
341-5-15OutNo011667163.25,771*
331-4-16OutNo01164247.52,018*
321-3-17OutNo08603212.4703*
310-5-16OutNo1613822.3202*
300-4-17OutNo4504622.050*
290-3-18OutNo802020.015*
280-2-19OutNo100No1
260-0-21OutNo0277366.5166,680
Total:98.6%6.7%9372514842100000.0%1,608,420,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLAFCHoustonLA GalaxyMinnesotaFC DallasRSLPortlandSporting KCSan JoseVancouverColorado
73-8912.5%Yes
7214-4-312.51000
7114-3-412.51000
7013-5-312.51000000000
6913-4-412.510000000000
6813-3-512.5100000000000
6712-5-412.51000000000000
6612-4-512.510000000000000
6511-6-412.510000000000000
12-3-612.510000000000000
6411-5-512.510000000000000
12-2-712.510000000000000
6311-4-612.510000000000000
10-7-412.510000000000000
6210-6-512.59900000000000
11-3-712.59900000000000
6110-5-612.49800010000000
9-8-412.49800010000000
6010-4-712.49600111100000
9-7-512.49600111100000
599-6-612.29301121100000
10-3-812.39301121100000
589-5-712.08701232211100
8-8-512.18801232211000
579-4-811.77902454311100
8-7-611.88002453311100
568-6-711.36904675421110
9-3-911.37003675421110
558-5-810.65605897532210
7-8-610.75805897532210
548-4-99.8430710129743210
7-7-79.9440710119733210
537-6-88.83008121310843320
8-3-108.83108121310843320
527-5-97.51809131411954320
6-8-77.62009131411954320
516-7-86.11008131411954320
7-4-106.11008131411854320
506-6-94.650711129744320
496-5-103.2205997633210
485-7-91.9104665422210
475-6-101.0002343211110
465-5-110.5001221111000
454-7-100.2000111000000
444-6-110.1000000000000
434-5-120.0000000000000
423-7-110.000000000000
413-6-120.0000000000
403-5-13No00
26-39No
Total:10.6%71.10.12.64.14.63.52.71.41.10.90.50.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
Houston 2 DC United 1 +0.1
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 -0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Orlando vs LA Galaxy-0.1-0.0+0.1
LA Galaxy vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.1
LAFC vs Montreal+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC vs Seattle+0.5+0.1-0.8
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Houston-0.0-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs FC Dallas-0.0-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
8921-0-01000
85-87100
8419-1-110000
8318-3-01000
8218-2-19901
8118-1-29901
8017-3-19802
7917-2-29703
7816-4-195040
7716-3-293070
7616-2-391090
7515-4-2870120
7415-3-3830170
7315-2-47812100
7214-4-372127000
7114-3-465133000
7013-5-358240000
6913-4-450346010
6813-3-5424530100
6712-5-43455902000
6612-4-52656504000
6511-6-41966816000
6411-5-51367021000000
6311-4-6866831400000
6210-6-5556461901000
6110-5-624561026020000
6010-4-713451432140000
599-6-6023218372700000
589-5-70121204051201000
579-4-80111203810180200000
568-6-7005173117242500000
558-5-8002132122295901000
548-4-900081124291014120000
537-6-800044222318212500000
527-5-900211614242579010000
516-7-800109725231516130000
506-6-900004220162321570100
496-5-1000201382622121312000
485-7-900106322162120461000
475-6-10000311592622111230000
465-5-1100010832317191981000
454-7-1000031161025221761000
444-6-110001084241925144100
434-5-1200004117122625123000
423-7-1100010105192923102000
413-6-1200042102430218100
403-5-1300020414283017510
392-7-120101619312813300
382-6-13000029243323710
372-5-1400041531331530
362-4-150001723372570
351-6-14003143435131
341-5-150162641223
331-4-160021940318
321-3-17110364112
310-5-165254722
300-4-172205622
290-3-18275320
280-2-19100
260-0-21023166
Total:722991871045331111000000000