San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 33.6%
1 points   0-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -9.7
-0.9
-1.2
+2.4
-0.9
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.4
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.4
+0.0
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.4
+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.4
+0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
+0.1
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -0.1
+0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs San Jose-4.3-0.2+10.3
-0.3-0.0+0.8
-0.3-0.1+0.8
+1.6-0.3-3.5
-0.4-0.0+0.9
Columbus vs RSL+0.4*-0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.4*-0.0-0.9
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.4*+0.0-0.9
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.5+0.1-0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.3*-0.0-0.8
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.3*-0.0-0.6
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado-0.3+0.4+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.1-0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
75-97InYes100No8,696*
7423-4-5In99.4%1000No334*
7322-6-4In99.51000No739*
7222-5-5In99.01000No1,143*
7122-4-6In98.5991No2,038*
7021-6-5In97.3991No3,734*
6921-5-6In96.0982No6,076*
6820-7-5In93.99730No10,400*
6720-6-6In91.39550No16,754*
6620-5-7In87.593700No26,858*
6519-7-6In81.690100No41,463*
6419-6-7In75.3861410No63,806*
6319-5-8In66.1801910No96,027*
6218-7-7In56.17324200No140,630*
6118-6-8In45.16530400No203,355*
6017-8-7In33.356367100No286,061*
5917-7-8In22.5464112100No395,721*
5817-6-9In13.4354418300No537,802*
5716-8-8In6.82543256100No711,930*
5616-7-9100.0%2.8173931112000No931,038*
5516-6-10100.00.9103236184000No1,187,469*
5415-8-9100.00.2523362591000No1,490,120*
5315-7-10100.00.021532311641000No1,831,266*
5215-6-1199.80.01824332492000No2,211,560*
5114-8-1099.20.0031530301651000No2,614,563*
5014-7-1197.3No017213225112000No3,032,794*
4913-9-1092.2No00312273119610000No3,448,419*
4813-8-1181.9No00161830271441000No3,840,472*
4713-7-1265.5No0002923312392000No4,210,074*
4612-9-1145.7No0014142730186100No4,509,552*
4512-8-1226.8No0001619312713300No4,746,203*
4412-7-1313.1No000210253222810No4,890,745*
4311-9-125.3No000151630301540No4,941,137*
4211-8-131.7No00028233324810.0%4,896,574*
4111-7-140.5No00041531321630.04,749,029*
4010-9-130.1No001824362560.14,512,948*
3910-8-140.0No0004163534120.54,200,662*
3810-7-150.0No000192941191.73,830,630*
379-9-140.0No000052244294.93,420,442*
369-8-150.0No000215434010.82,986,418*
359-7-16OutNo0019385119.72,553,092*
348-9-15OutNo0005326231.12,133,434*
338-8-16OutNo003267143.61,743,935*
328-7-17OutNo001207956.01,394,929*
317-9-16OutNo01148567.21,086,929*
307-8-17OutNo00109076.4828,390*
297-7-18OutNo0079383.6615,904*
286-9-17OutNo049689.1446,724*
276-8-18OutNo039792.8316,521*
266-7-19OutNo029895.5218,245*
255-9-18OutNo019997.2146,351*
245-8-19OutNo019998.395,313*
235-7-20OutNo010099.060,458*
224-9-19OutNo010099.437,362*
214-8-20OutNo010099.622,312*
204-7-21OutNo010099.812,759*
193-9-20OutNo010099.97,208*
183-8-21OutNo010099.83,828*
1-17OutNo100100.012,172*
Total:33.6%0.8%234567789101113147.4%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaSporting KCColoradoFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverRSLPortlandLA GalaxyHoustonNashville
67-9712.5%Yes
6620-5-712.71000
6519-7-612.4Yes
6419-6-712.5100000
6319-5-812.610000000000
6218-7-712.4100000000000000
6118-6-812.5100000000000000
6017-8-712.599000000000000
5917-7-812.599000000000000
18-4-1012.599000000000000
5817-6-912.497000000000000
16-9-712.597000000000000
5716-8-812.293111111110000
17-5-1012.194111111100000
5616-7-911.987112111111100
15-10-711.986222111111110
17-4-1112.188111111111100
5516-6-1011.378222222221111
15-9-811.277333222222111
17-3-1211.478223222222111
5415-8-910.564444433332211
16-5-1110.666444333322211
14-11-710.363444433332211
5315-7-109.349555554443322
14-10-89.046556555443322
16-4-129.550555544443222
5215-6-117.834666655544322
14-9-97.531667665544332
13-12-77.732667665544332
5114-8-105.818667666554333
15-5-126.120677666554333
13-11-85.617677666554333
5014-7-114.19666555444333
13-10-93.88556555444322
15-4-134.29666655544333
4914-6-122.54444444333222
13-9-102.33444444333222
12-12-82.43444444333222
4813-8-111.21222222222111
14-5-131.41333322222211
12-11-91.11222222222111
4713-7-120.50111111111111
12-10-100.50111111111111
4613-6-130.20000000000000
4512-8-120.00000000000000
4412-7-130.00000000000000
4312-6-140.00000000000000
4211-8-130.0000000000000
4111-7-14No000000000000
1-40No
Total:1.7%8.81.11.11.21.11.01.00.90.80.80.60.50.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 +1.7
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 +0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.8-0.0-1.9
Columbus vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
75-97100
7423-4-59900
7322-6-49900
7222-5-59910
7122-4-69811
7021-6-59711
6921-5-69622
6820-7-594330
6720-6-6914500
6620-5-78757000
6519-7-68281000
6419-6-7751014010
6319-5-8661419010
6218-7-75617240200
6118-6-845202914000
6017-8-7332334270100
5917-7-82323374120100
5817-6-913223671703000
5716-8-8719321224160100
5616-7-9314241628311020000
5516-6-1019141829617040000
5415-8-90571725112429010000
5315-7-10022121616275150401000
5215-6-11010771623102229020000
5114-8-1000032121415255160501000
5014-7-110010761620112321002000
4913-9-10000031111116237181610000
4813-8-1100010531516142341341000
4713-7-12000002196172011211030000
4612-9-1100010411211172320920000
4512-8-1200001063161624201031000
4412-7-130000211071825211141000
4311-9-120000104281825221351000
4211-8-13000020281725241562000
4111-7-1400000027172524166100
4010-9-130000002717262515610
3910-8-14000000281827251440
3810-7-15000000310223024102
379-9-140000014132632205
369-8-1500001619333011
359-7-16000211293820
348-9-1500015214231
338-8-160002144044
328-7-17000183556
317-9-1600042867
307-8-1700022176
297-7-180011584
286-9-17001189
276-8-1800793
266-7-190496
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
235-7-200199
224-9-19199
214-8-200100
204-7-210100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
162-9-210100
1-15100
Total:11212232334343455555566677