San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 5.6 to 27.8%
33 points   9-6-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
San Jose 2 Philadelphia 2 -4.9
-0.3
-0.2
Portland 2 NY Red Bulls 0 -4.3
-0.1
-0.1
Vancouver 2 Houston 1 -2.0
Montreal 3 Real Salt Lake 1 +0.8
+0.0
Seattle 2 Minnesota 1 -0.4
Colorado 0 DC United 1 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose-7.5-0.6+17.5
-0.3-0.1+0.7
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Portland vs Colorado-2.5+2.2+4.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Seattle-1.7+0.8+2.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Houston-0.4+0.4+0.4
Columbus vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.0-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Los Angeles vs San Jose-6.5-0.3+17.6
-0.3-0.1+0.8
-0.3+0.0+0.6
Seattle vs Portland+1.2-0.3-3.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Vancouver+1.8+0.2-2.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Sporting KC-1.5+0.5+1.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs FC Dallas+1.2-0.1-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Colorado-0.5+0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
609-0-0In8.0%891000No1,037,352
588-1-0In0.77027300No602,920
578-0-1In0.15737600No1,078,025
567-2-0In0.0394515100No2,743,107
557-1-1100.0%0.02646243000No9,600,797
547-0-2100.00.01441359100No8,319,519
6-3-0100.0No12393710100No7,009,678
536-2-1100.0No5274321400No36,149,650
526-1-2100.0No215393210100No61,464,912
5-4-099.9No113383512100No11,167,836
515-3-199.6No05263923500No75,336,705
6-0-399.8No06294021400No34,472,866
505-2-298.2No021435351420No188,801,600
4-5-097.8No011133361620No11,497,403
495-1-394.7No006243925500No208,093,842
4-4-193.1No00421392970No95,367,415
484-3-283.9No0011032401600No313,269,907
5-0-487.1No0021335381300No85,117,380
3-6-081.9No00193142180No7,683,353
474-2-370.4No000422442900No509,257,840
3-5-166.7No000319443300No75,196,254
464-1-454.1No00112414510No409,513,569
3-4-249.1No00110395010No307,035,230*
453-3-332.2No00042864400No647,597,850
4-0-536.1No00053160400No130,301,016
2-6-129.5No003266830No36,154,477
443-2-418.8No0011772900No768,181,907
2-5-216.3No0011576800No173,186,483*
433-1-59.4No00097218100No480,447,228
2-4-37.7No0008751700No451,981,108
1-7-17.1No007791400No9,694,595
422-3-43.1No0036629200No703,005,177
3-0-63.8No0046529200No123,788,368
1-6-22.6No0037125100No53,166,731*
412-2-51.0No0015341500No648,406,037
1-5-30.8No0015739400No165,336,524*
402-1-60.3No00375111000.0%328,203,274
1-4-40.2No00395010000.0320,810,803*
391-3-50.0No00235520100.0379,404,296
2-0-70.0No00245520100.070,248,356
0-6-30.0No00285417100.024,285,763
381-2-60.0No0125133400.0282,782,218
0-5-40.0No0145230300.054,724,908
371-1-70.0No054145900.0118,732,059
0-4-50.0No054144900.081,158,314
360-3-60.0No0226521920.179,075,078
1-0-8OutNo228521710.121,481,258
350-2-70.0No0014503150.848,721,278
340-1-8OutNo064042113.117,192,876
330-0-9OutNo022848229.03,621,254
Total:27.8%0.0%012371545206100.0%8,681,506,396

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCSeattleFC DallasHoustonVancouverPortlandReal Salt LakeLos AngelesColoradoMinnesota
609-0-012.5%100000
588-1-012.5100000000
578-0-112.51000000000
567-2-012.499000000000
557-1-112.396001111000
547-0-211.9901112220000
6-3-011.8891123220000
536-2-110.8752346550000
526-1-29.4574579880000
5-4-09.05245810990000
515-3-17.03167111412120000
6-0-37.53567111312110000
505-2-25.01578131513130000
4-5-04.61267121614140000
495-1-33.4667121313120000
4-4-13.0556111312120000
484-3-21.714489890000
5-0-42.0255910990000
3-6-01.513479880000
474-2-30.902356550000
3-5-10.702245450000
464-1-40.401133330000
3-4-20.301122220000
2-7-00.301122220000
453-3-30.100011110000
4-0-50.200011110000
2-6-10.100011110000
443-2-40.000000000000
2-5-20.000000000000
1-8-00.0000000000
433-1-50.000000000000
2-4-30.000000000000
1-7-10.0000000000
422-3-40.00000000000
3-0-60.00000000000
1-6-20.0000000000
0-9-0No00000
412-2-50.00000000000
1-5-30.0000000000
0-8-10.0000000
402-1-60.00000000
1-4-40.0000000
0-7-2No00
391-3-50.00000
2-0-7No0000
0-6-3No0
33-38No
Total:0.7%2.11.01.11.92.32.02.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/19100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.4
Portland 2 NY Red Bulls 0 +0.2
Vancouver 2 Houston 1 +0.1
NYCFC 2 New England 1 -0.0
Montreal 3 Real Salt Lake 1 -0.0
Seattle 2 Minnesota 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose+0.7-0.0-1.6
Portland vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Seattle+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.6-0.0-1.6
Philadelphia vs Atlanta+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs New England-0.1-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
609-0-088174000
588-1-016972121000
578-0-105753242000
567-2-00392436910000
557-1-10261456192100000
547-0-20140414315410000
6-3-0120393345610000
536-2-15027141615310000
526-1-220150395276410000
5-4-01013038431651000
515-3-100502623881641000
6-0-300602833791241000
505-2-202014034628952000
4-5-0010110336311062000
495-1-3000602433612135100
4-4-1000402123612176100
484-3-200010101321030124000
5-0-400020131341226103000
3-6-000109130932135000
474-2-30000402263816112000
3-5-10000301954017133000
464-1-4000101223817217100
3-4-2001010237172491000
453-3-3000040281231204000
4-0-5000051301531153000
2-6-100030261133225000
443-2-4000101763032112000
2-5-200010155293413200
433-1-500000932338225000
2-4-30000822038256100
1-7-1000721939266000
422-3-400030103236163000
3-0-60004114363212200
1-6-2000309333716300
412-2-50001042138278100
1-5-3001032038298100
402-1-60001123236173000
1-4-4000193038193000
391-3-5000031737339100
2-0-7000052138287000
0-6-3000031738338100
381-2-600017274121300
0-5-400017274220200
371-1-70002163934810
0-4-50002144035810
360-3-60000527452030
1-0-8001730431730
350-2-7000114423391
340-1-80063141203
330-0-90021839329
Total:000001030721351317151173100