San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 20.1%
0 points   0-0-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls 4 San Jose 1 -3.4
-0.2
-0.1
+2.4
-0.3
Chicago 2 Seattle 4 -0.5
-0.3
Cincinnati 3 Portland 0 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
Columbus 1 FC Dallas 0 +0.3
+0.0
Colorado 1 Sporting KC 1 +0.3
-0.1
DC United 5 RSL 0 +0.3
+0.0
LA Galaxy 3 Minnesota 2 -0.3
+0.1
Houston 3 Vancouver 2 -0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 2 LAFC 2 -0.1
Orlando 1 Montreal 3 -0.1
Toronto FC 3 New England 2 -0.1
Atlanta 1 Philadelphia 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
LAFC vs RSL+0.0+0.2-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.3
FC Dallas vs Colorado-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Philadelphia vs Columbus+0.5-0.2-0.6
Toronto FC vs NYCFC-0.1+0.0+0.2
NY Red Bulls vs Orlando-0.1+0.0+0.4
New England vs Cincinnati+0.3-0.2-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
74-93InYes100No97,716*
7323-4-4In98.8%1000No324*
7222-6-3In98.51000No689*
7122-5-4In98.31000No1,256*
7022-4-5In97.5991No2,489*
6921-6-4In96.29910No4,876*
6821-5-5In93.99820No8,877*
6721-4-6In90.39640No16,369*
6620-6-5In86.39460No28,435*
6520-5-6In80.592800No49,751*
6419-7-5In73.3881100No83,908*
6319-6-6In64.5831610No139,261*
6219-5-7In54.17721200No225,572*
6118-7-6In43.07027300No355,876*
6018-6-7In31.96133500No555,349*
5918-5-8In21.452389100No847,659*
5817-7-7In12.84143142000No1,258,356*
5717-6-8In6.63144204000No1,841,684*
5617-5-9100.0%2.822422781000No2,633,556*
5516-7-8100.01.0143733132000No3,693,052*
5416-6-9100.00.2829372051000No5,074,136*
5315-8-8100.00.04203528112000No6,837,749*
5215-7-9100.00.021230331851000No9,028,997*
5115-6-1099.80.016223326102000No11,688,116*
5014-8-999.10.0031329311851000No14,838,744*
4914-7-1097.1No016203226113000No18,456,534*
4814-6-1192.3No0031227312071000No22,517,726*
4713-8-1083.0No0016183128133000No26,900,973*
4613-7-1168.5No0002102432228100No31,540,445*
4513-6-1250.5No0001416303015400No36,234,389*
4412-8-1132.6No00028233324920No40,805,829*
4312-7-1218.2No0000414293117400.0%45,027,294*
4212-6-138.7No00017223426910.048,701,021*
4111-8-123.6No000031431331630.051,608,306*
4011-7-131.3No0001824372560.053,596,089*
3910-9-120.4No00004163533110.254,495,146*
3810-8-130.1No0001103040181.054,266,598*
3710-7-140.0No000152344273.152,915,667*
369-9-130.0No00031643377.350,537,453*
359-8-140.0No000111404814.247,213,191*
349-7-150.0No0006355923.943,156,422*
338-9-140.0No0004286835.338,603,169*
328-8-150.0No0002227647.533,740,130*
318-7-16OutNo001168359.228,830,503*
307-9-15OutNo000128869.624,064,189*
297-8-16OutNo00089278.219,620,638*
287-7-17OutNo0059484.915,618,927*
276-9-16OutNo0049689.912,127,324*
266-8-17OutNo0029893.49,177,320*
256-7-18OutNo019995.86,767,885*
245-9-17OutNo019997.44,855,732*
235-8-18OutNo0010098.53,394,000*
225-7-19OutNo0010099.12,303,035*
214-9-18OutNo0010099.51,517,237*
204-8-19OutNo010099.7968,853*
194-7-20OutNo010099.8600,458*
184-6-21OutNo010099.9358,873*
173-8-20OutNo010099.9207,904*
163-7-21OutNo010099.9115,678*
153-6-22OutNo010099.962,062*
0-14OutNo100100.0158,043*
Total:20.1%0.1%112335681014192916.5%940,377,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSeattleMinnesotaLAFCHoustonLA GalaxySporting KCFC DallasRSLColoradoPortlandVancouver
66-9312.5%Yes
6520-5-612.41000
6419-7-512.51000
6319-6-612.5100000000
6219-5-712.410000000000000
6118-7-612.510000000000000
6018-6-712.410000000000000
5918-5-812.59900000000000
5817-7-712.49800000000000
5717-6-812.39601111000000
5617-5-912.09211111110000
16-8-712.19111111111000
5516-7-811.78422222221111
17-4-1011.68422222221111
5416-6-911.07433333332111
15-9-710.97333333332111
5315-8-89.95945554442221
16-5-1010.06145544442221
14-11-69.85845555443221
5215-7-98.64466666553322
16-4-118.74566666553222
14-10-78.34266666653332
5115-6-107.12967777664332
14-9-86.82767777664332
16-3-126.92867777664332
5014-8-95.21667777664333
15-5-115.41767777664333
13-11-75.01467777664333
4914-7-103.6856666654332
13-10-83.4756666554332
15-4-123.6856666654332
4814-6-112.3345554443222
13-9-92.1344444443222
15-3-132.1344444443222
4713-8-101.1123333322111
14-5-121.2123333332111
12-11-81.0122322222111
4613-7-110.5011111111111
12-10-90.5011111111111
14-4-130.5011111111111
4513-6-120.2001111110000
4412-8-110.1000000000000
4312-7-120.0000000000000
4212-6-130.0000000000000
4111-8-120.0000000000000
4011-7-130.000000000000
3911-6-140.000000000000
3810-8-13No00000000
3710-7-14No000
0-36No
Total:0.7%3.30.60.70.70.70.70.60.60.40.30.30.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/16100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls 4 San Jose 1 +0.6
Columbus 1 FC Dallas 0 -0.0
DC United 5 RSL 0 -0.0
Week of 3/23None

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
74-93100
7323-4-49910
7222-6-39910
7122-5-49810
7022-4-597110
6921-6-4962100
6821-5-594420
6721-4-690640
6620-6-5868600
6520-5-680118000
6419-7-5731511000
6319-6-6641916010
6219-5-754232112000
6118-7-643272613000
6018-6-732303035000
5918-5-8213033590100
5817-7-7132933914020000
5717-6-87243014191400000
5617-5-931923192438010000
5516-7-8113152227713020000
5416-6-90872225121915010000
5315-8-8043181818244100200000
5215-7-90211210202491715010000
5115-6-100106418181522310020000
5014-8-90003112919238171501000
4914-7-100010631717152341103000
4814-6-110000311181922919161000
4713-8-1000010521614162351330000
4613-7-1100002010619211120920000
4513-6-12000010411412182418710000
4412-8-110000208518192516610000
4312-7-120000000411311232515610000
4212-6-130000010741525251561000
4111-8-12000000316172625155100
4011-7-130000102819272513410
3910-9-1200000003102129231130
3810-8-1300000141225302171
3710-7-1400000015162930153
369-9-13000000292334257
359-8-14000001415323514
349-7-150000018264124
338-9-14000004184235
328-8-1500002123947
318-7-16000173359
307-9-1500042770
297-8-1600022078
287-7-170011485
276-9-160001090
266-8-1700693
256-7-1800496
245-9-1700397
235-8-1800298
225-7-190199
214-9-180199
204-8-1900100
194-7-200100
184-6-210100
173-8-200100
163-7-210100
153-6-220100
142-8-210100
132-7-220100
122-6-230100
112-5-240100
8-10100
71-4-26298
0-6100
Total:000111112223334556678101217