San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.1%
12 points   2-6-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Montreal 2 San Jose 0 -0.2
No
+5.8
-0.2
New England 2 LA Galaxy 3 -0.1
Minnesota 3 RSL 2 +0.0
+0.8
-0.1
DC United 3 Vancouver 1 +0.5
Colorado 0 Houston 0 -0.6
+0.0
FC Dallas 3 Chicago 1 -0.1
Atlanta 1 Seattle 1 +0.4
-0.0
Orlando 2 Toronto FC 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs New England+0.4-0.0-0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
San Jose vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0NoNo
-8.5+6.4+13.8
+0.2-0.2-0.3
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.1
RSL vs Colorado-2.0+0.3+5.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs LA Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Vancouver+1.0-0.6-1.6
Minnesota vs LAFC+0.4+0.0-0.4
Atlanta vs DC United-0.1+0.1+0.4
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.6+0.1-0.5
DC United vs NY Red Bulls+0.4-0.0-0.3
Chicago vs Toronto FC-0.8+0.0+2.0
Columbus vs Orlando-0.3+0.2+0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
5715-0-0100.0%0.0%9333917200No8,125,868
5514-1-0100.0No11335371310No20,639
5414-0-199.8No0525412440No39,110
5313-2-099.1No021438341010No129,829
5213-1-197.1No007294220300No490,216
5112-3-092.1No002174132700No957,219*
5012-2-183.1No0019334015200No2,786,932
4912-1-269.5No004234326400No6,468,377*
4811-3-152.5No0011339371000No12,770,555*
4711-2-235.9No0006294419200No28,841,749*
4611-1-321.4No002194430400No54,381,829*
4510-3-211.0No0011038411010No98,852,123*
4410-2-34.9No0005294718200No182,880,591*
439-4-21.8No002184729400No300,206,198*
429-3-30.5No001104139900No486,375,549*
419-2-40.1No004314617100.0%767,856,012*
408-4-30.0No002204728300.01,117,686,192*
398-3-40.0No000114238800.01,602,343,915*
388-2-50.0No000533461510.02,206,348,792*
377-4-40.0No00222492520.12,858,550,144*
367-3-50.0No00113463650.43,626,320,442*
357-2-6OutNo007394591.22,229,951,452
6-5-4OutNo006384691.62,168,198,699*
346-4-5OutNo0032853174.53,470,063,511
7-1-7OutNo0032952164.01,598,286,710*
336-3-6OutNo0011954269.93,873,374,785
5-6-4OutNo00118552610.81,813,144,075*
325-5-5OutNo0011513820.83,090,657,449
6-2-7OutNo0011523618.42,998,008,887*
315-4-6OutNo006445032.94,258,767,755
6-1-8OutNo006454931.41,958,295,279*
305-3-7OutNo003366146.13,982,820,216
4-6-5OutNo003366247.92,167,184,794*
294-5-6OutNo01267362.23,375,822,021*
5-2-8OutNo001277259.02,418,308,550
284-4-7OutNo00188273.73,550,137,869
5-1-9OutNo00198172.71,653,555,804*
274-3-8OutNo00128882.62,837,521,787
3-6-6OutNo00118983.81,667,376,928*
263-5-7OutNo0079390.61,996,879,980
4-2-9OutNo0079389.31,703,735,523*
253-4-8OutNo0049694.62,886,278,174*
243-3-9OutNo0029897.32,156,637,065*
232-5-8OutNo019998.81,518,633,688*
222-4-9OutNo0010099.51,006,228,178*
212-3-10OutNo0010099.8632,831,346*
201-5-9OutNo010099.9370,271,051*
191-4-10OutNo0100100.0199,904,990*
181-3-11OutNo0100100.0100,700,219*
12-17OutNo100100.081,292,920*
Total:0.1%0.0%00000002614294940.1%75,127,301,986

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasLAFCPortlandSporting KCLA GalaxyHoustonRSLVancouverMinnesotaSeattleColorado
5715-0-011.3%8132254210000
5514-1-08.84966712953000
5414-0-17.4309810161283000
5313-2-05.4179911171394000
5213-1-13.9798111712940000
5112-3-02.527791410740000
13-0-22.6277101410740000
5012-2-11.61557117530000
4912-1-20.9033574320000
11-4-00.8033464320000
4811-3-10.4011242110000
12-0-30.5011342210000
4711-2-20.2011121100000
10-5-00.1011121000000
4611-1-30.1000010000000
10-4-10.1000010000000
4510-3-20.0000000000000
11-0-40.0000000000000
9-6-00.0000000000000
4410-2-30.0000000000000
9-5-10.000000000000
4310-1-40.000000000000
9-4-20.000000000000
8-7-00.0000000000
429-3-30.000000000000
10-0-50.0000000000
8-6-10.0000000000
419-2-40.000000000000
8-5-20.000000000
7-8-0No00
409-1-50.000000000
8-4-30.00000000
7-7-1No0000
398-3-40.00000
9-0-6No00
7-6-2No0
6-9-0No
388-2-5No0
7-5-3No
6-8-1No
12-37No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/14100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 2 San Jose 0 +0.4
Minnesota 3 RSL 2 +0.1
Colorado 0 Houston 0 -0.0
FC Dallas 3 Chicago 1 -0.0
Atlanta 1 Seattle 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Seattle-0.4+0.3+0.6
RSL vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.1-0.0-0.0
Columbus vs Orlando-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
5715-0-00913115241702000
5514-1-0101362934313010
5414-0-100522236624040
5313-2-00021143093401010
5213-1-100061910401200300
5112-3-0000298383310700
5012-2-100013529540015200
4912-1-20001317642126400
4811-3-10001853633710000
4711-2-200003425543192000
4611-1-300012136433150000
4510-3-2000015534411320000
4410-2-3000002322432461000
439-4-2000011035341541000
429-3-30000142135271130000
419-2-4000019253223920000
408-4-3000031226312071000
398-3-4000004152930175100
388-2-500001619312813300
377-4-4000028233324910
367-3-50000031228331950
357-2-600015193429101
6-5-400004163332132
346-4-50000182637224
336-3-60000316373410
5-6-40000315363511
325-5-500017284321
6-2-700019304218
315-4-600003194533
6-1-800003204531
305-3-70001114246
4-6-50001104148
294-5-600053362
5-2-8000063559
284-4-700022473
274-3-80011683
263-5-7000991
4-2-90001089
253-4-8000595
243-3-900397
232-5-800199
222-4-900100
212-3-1000100
201-5-900100
191-4-100100
181-3-110100
171-2-120100
160-4-110100
150-3-120100
12-14100
Total:00000000000001122469142240