Colorado Rapids Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 77.8%
6 points   2-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +5.8
+0.7
+1.9
-0.6
+0.5
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.3
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
-0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.2
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Colorado-4.1+0.4+7.9
-0.7*+0.0+1.4
-2.2-0.4+4.9
+0.2-0.0-0.3
-0.4+0.0+0.8
New England vs Portland+0.3*-0.0-0.8
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.3-0.0-0.8
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.3*+0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.3+0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1*+0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.3*-0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.4+0.1-0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.2*-0.0-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle-0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0+0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Chicago*+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
81-102InYes100No9,901*
8023-5-4In99.9%1000No1,349*
7923-4-5In99.9100No2,556*
7822-6-4In99.91000No4,405*
7722-5-5In99.91000No7,576*
7622-4-6In99.81000No12,531*
7521-6-5In99.81000No20,167*
7421-5-6In99.61000No32,110*
7320-7-5In99.31000No49,674*
7220-6-6In99.01000No76,325*
7120-5-7In98.4991No114,464*
7019-7-6In97.59910No166,084*
6919-6-7In96.29820No238,137*
6819-5-8In94.29730No332,907*
6718-7-7In91.59640No458,370*
6618-6-8In87.693600No613,882*
6517-8-7In82.491900No809,228*
6417-7-8In75.6871300No1,045,176*
6317-6-9In67.28217100No1,325,119*
6216-8-8In57.17523200No1,644,067*
6116-7-9In46.06829400No2,000,072*
6016-6-10In34.359356000No2,389,590*
5915-8-9In23.3494010100No2,796,691*
5815-7-10In14.1384316200No3,214,819*
5715-6-11In7.32844225000No3,616,179*
5614-8-10100.0%3.119412991000No3,991,164*
5514-7-11100.01.0123535153000No4,321,981*
5413-9-10100.00.2626372371000No4,591,615*
5313-8-11100.00.031734301330000No4,781,429*
5213-7-1299.90.011027332171000No4,877,902*
5112-9-1199.50.004173129144000No4,884,033*
5012-8-1298.10.002924322292000No4,791,593*
4912-7-1394.1No0041529291651000No4,611,262*
4811-9-1285.4No00172131251130000No4,346,494*
4711-8-1370.5No00031125312071000No4,018,750*
4611-7-1451.0No0015162928154100No3,635,087*
4510-9-1331.3No0002821312511200No3,221,022*
4410-8-1415.9No000312263119610No2,802,934*
4310-7-156.7No00161831281330No2,384,076*
429-9-142.3No000210253323710.0%1,984,189*
419-8-150.6No00141631311420.01,616,998*
409-7-160.1No0002925362350.11,285,662*
398-9-150.0No0004173533110.41,005,996*
388-8-160.0No0002103040181.7767,042*
378-7-170.0No00152343284.8571,155*
367-9-16OutNo00216433910.7414,965*
357-8-17OutNo00110395119.5295,339*
347-7-18OutNo006336130.8204,615*
336-9-17OutNo003267143.6138,674*
326-8-18OutNo01207955.891,125*
316-7-19OutNo01148566.858,559*
305-9-18OutNo00109076.336,698*
295-8-19OutNo079383.422,233*
285-7-20OutNo049689.213,178*
274-9-19OutNo039792.67,527*
264-8-20OutNo29895.94,185*
254-7-21OutNo19997.92,181*
243-9-20OutNo010098.31,147*
233-8-21OutNo010098.9562*
6-22OutNo100100.08,797*
Total:77.8%9.9%161412119876543210.5%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaSporting KCFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverRSLPortlandLA GalaxySan JoseHoustonNashville
67-10212.5%Yes
6618-6-812.5100000
6517-8-712.510000000
6417-7-812.6100000000000000
6317-6-912.5100000000000000
6216-8-812.5100000000000000
17-5-1012.5100000000000000
6116-7-912.5100000000000000
15-10-712.5100000000000000
6016-6-1012.5100000000000000
15-9-812.5100000000000000
5915-8-912.599000000000000
16-5-1112.599000000000000
5815-7-1012.498000000000000
14-10-812.598000000000000
5715-6-1112.395111110000000
14-9-912.394111111000000
5614-8-1012.089111111111100
15-5-1212.190111111111000
13-11-812.089111111111100
5514-7-1111.782222222211111
13-10-911.680222222221111
15-4-1311.782222222111111
5413-9-1010.968333333322211
14-6-1211.171333333222211
12-12-810.969333333322211
5313-8-119.954555444433222
14-5-1310.156454444333222
12-11-99.752555554443222
5213-7-128.638666655543333
12-10-108.335666665543333
14-4-148.638666665543333
5112-9-116.621666665554433
13-6-136.924666665554433
11-12-96.621666665554433
5012-8-124.811666665554333
11-11-104.510666665544333
13-5-145.012666665554333
4912-7-133.15455444443322
11-10-112.94444444433322
4811-9-121.61333333222222
4711-8-130.70111111111111
4611-7-140.30111111100000
4510-9-130.10000000000000
4410-8-140.00000000000000
4310-7-150.0000000000000
429-9-140.0000000000000
419-8-15No0000000000
408-10-14No000
6-39No
Total:6.7%42.92.12.12.12.02.01.81.71.61.31.21.01.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -1.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 +0.0
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.8-0.0-1.7
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Seattle-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
81-102100
8023-5-41000
7923-4-51000
7822-6-410000
7722-5-510000
7622-4-610000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-59900
7220-6-69910
7120-5-79811
7019-7-698110
6919-6-796220
6819-5-8943300
6718-7-7914400
6618-6-88866000
6517-8-78289000
6417-7-8761113000
6317-6-96715170100
6216-8-857182202000
6116-7-946222814000
6016-6-10342433260000
5915-8-923263641001000
5815-7-1014243681502000
5715-6-117213212211500000
5614-8-1031624172739010000
5514-7-11111152028615030000
5413-9-100671925122127010000
5313-8-11032151717255130300000
5213-7-12011981923112027010000
5112-9-110004215151723513040000
5012-8-120002096182012202802000
4912-7-1300004113111822716151000
4811-9-1200010741716152141130000
4711-8-13000003111719191119920000
4611-7-1400010521511182118820000
4510-9-130000208318152318931000
4410-8-1400000311271824201141000
4310-7-15000106281825221351000
429-9-14000020281825231461000
419-8-1500010028172524156100
409-7-160000002817262515510
398-9-1500000281927251340
388-8-16000001310223024102
378-7-17000014132731195
367-9-160001619333011
357-8-17000211293820
347-7-180016214131
336-9-170002144044
326-8-1800183556
316-7-190042867
305-9-18022176
295-8-19011683
285-7-2001189
274-9-190793
264-8-20496
254-7-21298
243-9-20298
233-8-21199
223-7-22199
213-6-23199
6-20100
Total:106958574645343433222211111