Colorado Rapids Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 0.4%
22 points   6-4-13

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado 0 DC United 1 -1.4
*No
+9.9
-0.4
Vancouver 2 Houston 1 -0.2
Portland 2 NY Red Bulls 0 -0.1
San Jose 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.1
Montreal 3 Real Salt Lake 1 +0.1
+0.0
Seattle 2 Minnesota 1 -1.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portland vs Colorado-0.3-0.1+1.0
+3.5-1.2-9.3
-0.2+0.0+0.5
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Seattle-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs Los Angeles-0.3+0.1+0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta+4.6-0.2-2.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake vs Colorado-0.3-0.1+0.7
+4.3-0.6-9.1
-0.2+0.0+0.5
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.3-0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Orlando vs Vancouver+0.1+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Portland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Minnesota-1.4+0.6+5.4
+0.0-0.0-0.2
DC United vs New England+4.1-0.8-2.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
5511-0-0In0.0%4446900No982,322
5310-1-0InNo16483140No12,332
5210-0-1InNo632441620No23,050
519-2-0100.0%No2214626500No78,663
509-1-199.8No07324018300No291,478
498-3-098.8No021738311010No567,019*
488-2-195.3No00727392350No1,642,096
478-1-284.6No0011234371410No3,762,139*
467-3-167.5No00421422940No7,260,092*
457-2-245.5No0011035441000No16,058,078*
447-1-324.9No00322532200No29,374,981*
436-3-211.3No001115037200No51,111,988*
426-2-33.9No00043952600No91,056,793*
415-4-21.1No00126601200No73,383,070
6-1-41.0No00125601300No68,126,784*
405-3-30.2No00146123100.0%214,094,119*
395-2-40.0No0065237400.0231,910,929
4-5-20.0No0065138500.085,452,356*
384-4-30.0No00239481000.0249,063,588
5-1-50.0No0238491000.0174,162,849*
374-3-40.0No0125542010.0437,181,835
3-6-20.0No0022552210.0112,032,943*
364-2-50.0No0013533320.1457,865,018
3-5-30.0No0012513520.1227,022,584*
353-4-40.0No005434750.5482,982,530
4-1-6OutNo05434740.3295,202,325*
343-3-5OutNo02315891.4666,547,778
2-6-3OutNo012759122.2121,588,860
4-0-7OutNo02315981.066,345,647*
333-2-6OutNo001964163.5571,291,823
2-5-4OutNo01763205.3320,830,710*
322-4-5OutNo010622810.1532,468,769
3-1-7OutNo01064268.2315,069,151*
312-3-6OutNo05573816.8600,365,388
1-6-4OutNo04524422.2109,732,604
3-0-8OutNo05603514.259,649,187*
302-2-7OutNo02495026.6431,875,527
1-5-5OutNo1435633.9226,058,975*
291-4-6OutNo1336646.0323,419,495*
2-1-8OutNo01386139.2179,754,037
281-3-7OutNo0257557.2290,368,826
0-6-5OutNo0247659.470,288,874*
271-2-8OutNo0178369.6178,391,201
0-5-6OutNo0138777.461,255,321
260-4-7OutNo089285.971,200,730
1-1-9OutNo0109081.164,319,862
250-3-8OutNo059591.267,644,607*
240-2-9OutNo29895.930,432,000
230-1-10OutNo19998.79,574,633
220-0-11OutNo010099.92,330,430
Total:0.4%0.0%00000021022392514.7%8,681,506,396

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCSeattleFC DallasHoustonVancouverPortlandSan JoseReal Salt LakeLos AngelesMinnesota
5511-0-012.4%10000000000
5310-1-012.2960011110
5210-0-111.382123433100
519-2-010.5692456662000
509-1-18.04047101211113000
498-3-06.12248121413134000
9-0-25.31659121413134000
488-2-13.7758121312124000
478-1-21.813589893000
7-4-02.2235910993000
467-3-10.902356552000
8-0-30.802245441000
457-2-20.301122221000
6-5-00.401122221000
447-1-30.100011110000
6-4-10.100011110000
436-3-20.000000000000
7-0-40.000000000000
5-6-00.00000000000
426-2-30.000000000000
5-5-10.00000000000
415-4-20.00000000000
6-1-40.0000000000
4-7-00.00000000
405-3-30.000000000
6-0-50.0000000
4-6-10.0000000
395-2-4No00000
4-5-2No00000
3-8-0No
384-4-3No0
5-1-5No
3-7-1No
22-37No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/19100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 0 DC United 1 +0.8
Seattle 2 Minnesota 1 -0.0
Montreal 3 Real Salt Lake 1 -0.0
Orlando 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portland vs Colorado+0.3-0.0-0.9
DC United vs Atlanta+0.1-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Los Angeles-0.1+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs San Jose+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Lottery seed
Real Salt Lake vs Colorado+0.4+0.0-0.9
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.2
Los Angeles vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1
DC United vs New England+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
5511-0-004424436000
5310-1-0160482292200
5210-0-16032143412100
519-2-0202104522332000
509-1-1070321386122000
498-3-00201703852774100
488-2-100702723710134100
478-1-2001012133928114100
467-3-1000402143715134000
457-2-20010101341424133000
447-1-3000302282827102000
436-3-2000101132035247100
426-2-300004110303517300
415-4-200010316353211100
6-1-400010318363010100
405-3-3000172538235000
395-2-40000213343514100
4-5-20000111323716200
384-4-3000004214029600
5-1-500005224028500
374-3-4000011033411410
3-6-20001931431610
364-2-50000321462730
3-5-30000318463040
353-4-400019394290
4-1-60019414270
343-3-500032851161
2-6-30022452202
4-0-700032952141
333-2-60011654263
2-5-40001350315
322-4-5007434010
3-1-700747388
312-3-6003344617
1-6-4002284822
3-0-8003384514
302-2-701244927
1-5-501184834
291-4-60114346
2-1-800144639
281-3-7063757
0-6-5063559
271-2-8032870
0-5-6012177
260-4-7011486
1-1-9011881
250-3-800991
240-2-90496
230-1-100199
220-0-1100100
Total:00000000000000135917282215