Colorado Rapids Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 73.6%
8 points   2-2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 +5.6
+0.7
+0.8
-0.5
+0.4
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 -1.1
-0.2
-0.1
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 -1.0
-0.2
+0.1
-0.1
San Jose 2 Houston 2 +0.6
+0.1
Sporting KC 2 Seattle 2 +0.3
+0.1
+0.1
Atlanta 2 NYCFC 2 +0.2
DC United 1 Columbus 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Vancouver+0.1+0.2-0.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RSL vs Colorado-6.0-0.9+7.9
-0.9-0.2+1.2
-1.6-0.7+2.4
+0.3-0.0-0.3
-0.5-0.1+0.7
Houston vs Toronto FC-0.5+0.5+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs San Jose+0.4*+0.0-1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta-0.6+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Portland vs NYCFC-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.5+0.2-0.7
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.4+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs LAFC+0.4+0.0-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.1+0.3-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs RSL-0.2+0.5+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.2
Columbus vs New England+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
83-95InYes100No261,922*
8224-2-3In99.8%1000No2,463*
80-81In99.9100No15,899*
7922-5-2In99.81000No21,079*
7822-4-3In99.61000No40,734*
7722-3-4In99.51000No75,399*
7621-5-3In99.31000No136,363*
7521-4-4In98.91000No238,725*
7420-6-3In98.21000No408,348*
7320-5-4In97.31000No677,261*
7220-4-5In96.11000No1,100,303*
7119-6-4In94.310000No1,737,120*
7019-5-5In91.99910No2,680,051*
6919-4-6In88.79910No4,034,222*
6818-6-5In84.59820No5,929,558*
6718-5-6In79.297300No8,514,891*
6617-7-5In72.695500No11,949,880*
6517-6-6In64.893700No16,390,341*
6417-5-7In55.99010000No21,990,076*
6316-7-6In46.18514100No28,854,167*
6216-6-7In36.08019100No37,035,960*
6116-5-8In26.37325200No46,506,800*
6015-7-7In17.665314000No57,169,410*
5915-6-8In10.655377100No68,774,613*
5814-8-7100.0%5.64542121000No80,996,502*
5714-7-8100.02.53544183000No93,368,731*
5614-6-9100.00.925442561000No105,388,667*
5513-8-8100.00.3164032112000No116,501,119*
5413-7-9100.00.1932371740000No126,044,907*
5313-6-1099.90.0523372581000No133,539,033*
5212-8-999.70.021533321530000No138,490,770*
5112-7-1098.80.01825352371000No140,653,226*
5012-6-1196.2No031632311430000No139,809,958*
4911-8-1090.3No01824342381000No136,033,926*
4811-7-1179.1No0031530311641000No129,586,509*
4711-6-1262.4No0017223325102000No120,785,870*
4610-8-1142.8No0003122832196100No110,167,281*
4510-7-1224.9No0001519322812300No98,288,221*
449-9-1112.0No000210253322710No85,770,310*
439-8-124.8No0001416313014300.0%73,209,756*
429-7-131.5No00018243524710.061,075,509*
418-9-120.4No00041533321420.049,806,645*
408-8-130.1No0001826372350.139,663,882*
398-7-140.0No000417373390.430,867,656*
387-9-130.0No0001103241161.523,432,364*
377-8-140.0No00052445254.217,364,172*
367-7-15OutNo0021645369.312,554,043*
356-9-140.0No000110414717.38,841,215*
346-8-15OutNo0006365827.86,067,034*
336-7-16OutNo003296839.74,055,396*
325-9-15OutNo001227752.02,635,747*
315-8-16OutNo001168363.41,661,810*
305-7-17OutNo00118873.21,019,921*
294-9-16OutNo0089281.1606,318*
284-8-17OutNo059587.2350,178*
274-7-18OutNo039791.6194,821*
264-6-19OutNo029894.6104,630*
253-8-18OutNo019996.854,872*
243-7-19OutNo19997.827,419*
233-6-20OutNo010098.813,272*
222-8-19OutNo010099.26,080*
212-7-20OutNo010099.62,628*
202-6-21OutNo010099.71,112*
191-8-20OutNo010099.6487*
8-18OutNo100Yes260,210*
Total:73.6%4.9%151413121097654310.5%2,403,847,792

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCLAFCFC DallasLA GalaxyVancouverHoustonSan JoseMinnesotaPortlandRSLSeattle
68-9512.5%Yes
6718-5-612.51000000
6617-7-512.51000000000
6517-6-612.510000000000000
6417-5-712.510000000000000
6316-7-612.510000000000000
6216-6-712.510000000000000
6116-5-812.510000000000000
15-8-612.510000000000000
6015-7-712.510000000000000
16-4-912.510000000000000
5915-6-812.59900000000000
14-9-612.59900000000000
5814-8-712.49900000000000
15-5-912.59900000000000
5714-7-812.49700000000000
15-4-1012.49700000000000
5614-6-912.39411111100000
13-9-712.39411111110000
5513-8-812.08712221111110
14-5-1012.08811121111110
5413-7-911.67833332222111
14-4-1111.78022232221110
12-10-711.57833332222211
5313-6-1010.96644443332221
12-9-810.86444454332221
14-3-1210.96744443332221
5212-8-99.74966665444321
13-5-119.95256665443321
11-11-79.84966665444321
5112-7-108.43377776554432
11-10-88.23277786555432
13-4-128.63677776554432
5012-6-116.82077787655542
11-9-96.61977787655532
4911-8-104.7967776555432
12-5-124.91067776555432
4811-7-113.1455565444332
10-10-93.1455565444332
4711-6-121.7133343322221
4610-8-110.8022222111111
4510-7-120.3011111111000
4410-6-130.1000000000000
439-8-120.0000000000000
429-7-130.0000000000000
419-6-140.000000000000
408-8-130.000000000000
398-7-140.000000000000
388-6-15No00000
8-37No
Total:6.9%43.02.52.62.62.82.32.01.81.71.61.20.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/14100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 -0.9
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 +0.1
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 Seattle 2 -0.1
San Jose 2 Houston 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Vancouver+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Lottery seed
RSL vs Colorado+1.0+0.2-1.3
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.1-0.1
Montreal vs LAFC-0.1-0.0+0.1
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta+0.1-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1-0.1
Portland vs NYCFC+0.1-0.0-0.0
Orlando vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs RSL+0.0-0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Minnesota-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
83-95100
8224-2-310000
8123-4-21000
8023-3-31000
7922-5-210000
7822-4-310000
7722-3-49910
7621-5-39910
7521-4-49910
7420-6-39820
7320-5-49720
7220-4-59640
7119-6-4945000
7019-5-5927100
6919-4-68910100
6818-6-58413200
6718-5-679183000
6617-7-573235000
6517-6-6652870000
6417-5-756341000000
6316-7-646391311000
6216-6-736441721000
6116-5-8264721320000
6015-7-71847256400000
5915-6-811452611701000
5814-8-76392517111100000
5714-7-83322124162300000
5614-6-912415292056010000
5513-8-80168312111101200000
5413-7-90942918181524000000
5313-6-100512213251968010000
5212-8-9020146272013131300000
5112-7-1001082231520194701000
5012-6-11003115824201014130000
4911-8-1000108321161820482000
4811-7-110000311482221101551000
4711-6-1200010731916172212300000
4610-8-11000003012720222210300000
4510-7-12000010521615262110300000
449-9-1100000201072027211030000
439-8-120000104210222821930000
429-7-1300001031223282092000
418-9-120000014132428198200
408-8-130000001515262818610
398-7-1400000161728271540
387-9-1300000029223125101
377-8-14000013132832194
367-7-15000162034299
356-9-1400000212303817
346-8-1500016234228
336-7-160003164240
325-9-1500193752
315-8-1600053163
305-7-1700032473
294-9-160011881
284-8-17011287
274-7-1800892
264-6-1900595
253-8-180397
243-7-190298
233-6-20199
222-8-19199
212-7-200100
202-6-210100
191-8-200100
8-18100
Total:511595856555454433222110