New York Red Bulls Playoff Chances

Beat Seattle 2-1, playoff odds up 1.2 to 99.1%
26 points   8-2-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls vs FC Dallas+0.4-0.3-0.8
+0.3-0.2-0.5
+3.8-3.1-6.0
+0.2-0.2-0.3
Seattle vs Chicago+0.1+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Toronto FC+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.4+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Vancouver-0.1+0.1+0.1
Orlando vs Montreal-0.1+0.1+0.1
LAFC vs Columbus+0.1+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Portland-1.1+1.2+1.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston-0.6+0.7+1.0
Minnesota vs FC Dallas+0.7+0.3-0.8

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
83-86In100.0%100No797,595*
8218-2-0In100.01000No45,644
8118-1-1In100.01000No116,589
8017-3-0In100.01000No230,509*
7917-2-1In99.91000No598,734
7817-1-2In99.81000No1,136,595*
7716-3-1In99.71000No2,244,481*
7616-2-2In99.310000No4,314,471*
7515-4-1In98.89910No7,366,684*
7415-3-2In97.89820No12,791,391*
7315-2-3In96.29730No20,804,733*
7214-4-2In93.896400No32,192,052*
7114-3-3In90.19370No49,083,531*
7013-5-2In85.0901000No70,900,560*
6913-4-3In78.2861400No99,292,310*
6813-3-4In69.5801910No135,189,721*
6712-5-3In59.3732610No176,440,439*
6612-4-4In48.16532200No224,087,091*
6512-3-5In36.65639400No275,733,869*
6411-5-4In25.84746700No327,709,552*
6311-4-5In16.638511200No378,882,891*
6210-6-4In9.629531800No424,469,770*
6110-5-5In4.921542510No460,871,398*
6010-4-6In2.1145133200No486,631,257*
599-6-5In0.894542400No498,129,335*
589-5-6In0.253850700No494,903,059*
579-4-7100.0%0.13295512100No477,840,374*
568-6-6100.00.01215719200No447,598,102*
558-5-7100.00.011455274000No406,856,067*
548-4-8100.00.00849367000No359,199,712*
537-6-7100.00.004404313100No307,478,828*
527-5-8100.0No02304620200No255,358,386*
516-7-799.9No012046294000No205,680,296*
506-6-899.5No0012413881000No160,461,883*
496-5-998.3No0073245152000No121,297,339*
485-7-895.4No0032246244000No88,773,473*
475-6-989.5No0113423391000No62,798,477*
465-5-1079.3No0073339173000No42,930,105*
454-7-964.7No0032240278100No28,344,776*
444-6-1047.4No0112343415300No18,031,614*
434-5-1130.4No006243725710No11,046,265*
423-7-1016.8No0021433331420No6,502,069*
413-6-117.8No01725372460No3,679,024*
403-5-123.0No0031534331310.0%1,988,670*
392-7-111.0No001826392340.01,026,832*
382-6-120.2No00317383380.0504,420*
372-5-130.0No0193243160.1236,338*
362-4-140.0No0042347260.5103,802*
351-6-13OutNo021447381.642,518*
341-5-14OutNo00840513.916,536*
331-4-15OutNo00433638.55,934*
321-3-16OutNo2237516.81,911*
310-5-15OutNo168425.0545*
300-4-16OutNo138733.1142*
290-3-17OutNo99138.234*
280-2-18OutNo208060.05
270-1-19OutNo10050.02
260-0-20OutNo019976.9777,972
Total:99.1%12.4%2129291362100000.0%7,193,546,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaNYCFCColumbusNew EnglandOrlandoChicagoDC UnitedPhiladelphiaToronto FCMontreal
73-8612.5%Yes
7214-4-212.51000
7114-3-312.5Yes
7013-5-212.510000
6913-4-312.510000
6813-3-412.510000000000
6712-5-312.5100000000000
6612-4-412.51000000000000
6512-3-512.51000000000000
11-6-312.51000000000000
6411-5-412.51000000000000
12-2-612.51000000000000
6311-4-512.51000000000000
10-7-312.51000000000000
6210-6-412.51000000000000
11-3-612.51000000000000
6110-5-512.5990000000000
11-2-712.5990000000000
6010-4-612.4980011000000
9-7-412.4980011000000
599-6-512.4960012000000
10-3-712.4960012000000
589-5-612.3930023000000
8-8-412.2920023000000
579-4-712.1870145111110
8-7-512.1860145111110
568-6-611.8790168111110
9-3-811.8790168111110
558-5-711.47002911222210
7-8-511.46802911222210
548-4-810.958121214333220
7-7-610.956131315333220
537-6-710.245131618334330
8-3-910.244131619434330
527-5-89.432141922445431
516-7-78.521142124556441
506-6-87.413142225656541
496-5-96.27142224656541
485-7-84.93132022556441
475-6-93.61121618445331
465-5-102.40011213333221
454-7-91.400189222110
444-6-100.700045111110
434-5-110.300022000000
424-4-120.100011000000
413-6-110.00000000000
403-5-120.00000000000
393-4-130.00000000000
382-6-120.000000
26-37No
Total:11.4%78.70.31.05.46.31.21.21.41.00.90.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls vs FC Dallas-0.5+0.3+0.8
NYCFC vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Portland+0.1-0.1-0.1
LAFC vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
8620-0-0100
8419-1-01000
8319-0-11000
8218-2-010000
8118-1-110000
8017-3-010000
7917-2-110000
7817-1-210000
7716-3-110000
7616-2-299000
7515-4-199010
7415-3-298120
7315-2-3961300
7214-4-29424000
7114-3-3903700
7013-5-285510000
6913-4-3788140000
6813-3-47010190100
6712-5-35914250100
6612-4-448173202000
6512-3-537203814000
6411-5-4262143370000
6311-4-51721455120000
6210-6-41019449170000
6110-5-55163914241100
6010-4-6212311931220000
599-6-518222337540000
589-5-6051325391070000
579-4-703623371812110000
568-6-601318292717220000
558-5-7011132035225400000
548-4-8000811382412700000
537-6-7000453522211111000
527-5-8002228163116410000
516-7-7001020937181130000
506-6-80000124371721711000
496-5-90007131123210420000
485-7-80003022740131141000
475-6-90010133401221731000
465-5-10000713283111720000
454-7-900030224361114820000
444-6-100101213391817710000
434-5-110006024517251661000
423-7-1000020142102526154100
413-6-11010705172925123000
403-5-120003018223023102000
392-7-11001003122530207100
382-6-120001515292916410
372-5-13000172032271120
362-4-1400021026342160
351-6-13014173231132
341-5-1400182638234
331-4-150041738338
321-3-160110314117
310-5-1506234625
300-4-164204433
290-3-173184138
280-2-184060
270-1-195050
260-0-200012277
Total:1281811171276331100000000000