New York Red Bulls Playoff Chances

Lost to Portland 0-2, playoff odds down 4 to 89.4%
38 points   12-2-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Portland 2 NY Red Bulls 0 -2.8
-1.0
-0.9
-0.3
Montreal 3 Real Salt Lake 1 -0.9
-0.1
-0.0
Orlando 1 Columbus 1 +0.4
+0.0
NYCFC 2 New England 1 +0.2
-0.2
-0.1
-0.1
San Jose 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.1
Chicago 1 Toronto FC 3 +0.1
+0.3
-1.0
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Columbus vs Los Angeles-1.9+1.6+2.8
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.0-0.9
-0.2+0.2+0.5
DC United vs Atlanta+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC+5.3-2.4-7.2
+1.3-0.7-1.6
+0.4-0.3-0.5
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Columbus vs FC Dallas-2.3+1.2+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Montreal vs Toronto FC-2.1+0.5+1.7
-0.3+0.1+0.2
+0.3+0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
DC United vs New England+0.5+0.3-0.6
Orlando vs Vancouver-0.3+0.2+0.3
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.2+0.1+0.4
-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.2+0.2+0.1
+0.3+0.0-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
6810-0-0In90.2%90100No1,224,122
669-1-0In74.274260No2,145,799
659-0-1In56.5574210No3,215,980
648-2-0In49.75048200No8,292,561
638-1-1In32.03262600No24,293,390
627-3-0In21.022661200No35,913,134*
617-2-1In12.013652110No79,197,862
607-1-2In4.855833400No111,122,775
6-4-0In6.78573240No26,200,895
596-3-1In2.234643800No146,485,169
7-0-3In1.5243441010No50,815,238
586-2-2100.0%0.51314917200No300,705,032
5-5-0In0.7131491720No24,854,134
576-1-3100.00.10184829500No267,934,385
5-4-1100.00.10194928400No169,696,453
565-3-2100.00.00942391000No453,224,927
6-0-4100.00.00839411200No103,230,364*
555-2-3100.00.004294620100No590,528,343
4-5-1100.00.004304620100No127,974,856
544-4-2100.00.001184532300No417,058,849
5-1-4100.00.001164535300No381,530,089*
534-3-399.80.00093845600No707,061,785
5-0-599.80.00083649700No92,396,920
3-6-199.8No0093846700No62,904,393
524-2-499.0No003265514100No656,474,752
3-5-299.0No004275415100No242,363,141*
513-4-397.1No01165525300No497,755,874
4-1-597.0No01155625300No316,006,979
2-7-196.9No01155526300No19,488,220
503-3-492.7No00849367000No602,135,350
2-6-291.7No0074638800No84,982,051
4-0-692.7No0074937700No61,865,565*
493-2-584.0No003364515100No424,976,021
2-5-382.7No003344516100No209,915,569*
482-4-470.5No001234727200No305,379,586
3-1-670.8No01234727200No178,764,913*
472-3-554.3No00124239600No281,234,519
1-6-349.8No00103941800No46,779,408
3-0-754.3No00124239600No25,918,996*
462-2-635.9No00531491410No157,342,166
1-5-433.1No00528491620No82,748,128*
451-4-519.6No00218502640No91,686,443
2-1-719.9No02185026400No53,317,984*
441-3-69.0No00943381010No82,350,441*
431-2-73.1No00330452020No42,387,795*
420-4-60.8No0117443360No18,480,092*
410-3-70.1No0083544130No7,193,098*
400-2-80.0No032349250No2,397,432
390-1-90.0No011146402No523,211
380-0-10OutNo04345660.0%1,031,207
Total:89.4%0.5%1614223017820000.0%8,681,506,396

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeToronto FCNYCFCChicagoAtlantaMontrealColumbusNew EnglandPhiladelphiaOrlandoDC United
66-6812.5%Yes
659-0-112.510000000
648-2-012.51000000000
638-1-112.5100000000000
627-3-012.5100000000000
8-0-212.5100000000000
617-2-112.499001000000
607-1-212.396002100000
6-4-012.396002100000
596-3-112.191014210000
7-0-312.0890143110000
586-2-211.6810286210000
5-5-011.681029521000
576-1-310.866051311420000
5-4-110.9680413941000
565-3-29.951061815630000
6-0-49.647071817630000
4-6-09.85005211462000
555-2-38.633092321840000
4-5-18.633082520831000
544-4-27.3200928241051000
5-1-47.1180112726961000
3-7-07.118083123114100
534-3-35.9901029271061000
5-0-55.680112828971000
3-6-15.890931261151000
524-2-44.540102827961000
3-5-24.540929261051000
513-4-33.41082624851000
4-1-53.31092524751000
2-7-13.2107272284100
503-3-42.40062119531000
2-6-22.20052118531000
4-0-62.30072020530000
493-2-51.50041514320000
2-5-31.40041513320000
482-4-40.9003109110000
3-1-60.9003109110000
1-7-20.800298110000
472-3-50.400155100000
1-6-30.400154000000
3-0-70.400155000000
462-2-60.200122000000
1-5-40.200022000000
451-4-50.100011000000
441-3-60.00000000000
431-2-70.0000000000
420-4-60.0000000
410-3-70.0000
38-40No
Total:5.4%20.90.36.218.816.95.53.20.50.20.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/19100.0*Lottery seed
Portland 2 NY Red Bulls 0 +0.7
Chicago 1 Toronto FC 3 -0.1
NYCFC 2 New England 1 +0.1
Montreal 3 Real Salt Lake 1 +0.1
Orlando 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Atlanta-0.2-0.1+0.1
Columbus vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC-0.9+0.5+1.1
Chicago vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.3
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.2
Montreal vs Toronto FC+0.2-0.1-0.1
Columbus vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
6810-0-090100
669-1-0740260
659-0-157042010
648-2-0500480200
638-1-1320620600
627-3-02116601200
617-2-112165021010
607-1-251570330400
6-4-07157032040
596-3-121451430800
7-0-3104214401010
586-2-210301490170200
5-5-01030149017020
576-1-300162480290500
5-4-100172490280400
565-3-2008241139010000
6-0-4006238141012000
555-2-30021282460200100
4-5-10021282450200100
544-4-200111634513203000
5-1-400011434413503000
534-3-30000633624506000
5-0-50000533424807000
3-6-1000633524607000
524-2-400012224541140100
3-5-200022225531150100
513-4-30001106514250300
4-1-5000196524250300
2-7-1000196505260300
503-3-400003539103517000
2-6-2000353610371800
4-0-6000343910361700
493-2-500012211541415100
2-5-300012201441416100
482-4-400001814379273000
3-1-600018153710272000
472-3-50002102616387000
1-6-300029231740101000
3-0-70002102517387000
462-2-600005121845172000
1-5-400004111744203000
451-4-50002414403191000
2-1-7000241441308100
441-3-6000182839194000
431-2-700003143632122000
420-4-600152437257100
410-3-7000212313517300
400-2-800418373010100
390-1-90017273922400
380-0-1000213353612100
Total:10601312022641427210000000