New York Red Bulls Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 67.5%
4 points   1-1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.4
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.4
+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.3
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -0.1
DC United 2 Miami 1 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
-0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-3.9+0.4+9.5
-0.5*+0.0+1.3
-1.3-0.1+3.4
+0.4-0.1-0.8
-0.4+0.0+0.9
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.4+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.4+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.1+0.1-0.2
Houston vs Seattle+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
79-100InYes100No9,374*
7823-5-4In99.9%1000No937*
7723-4-5In99.9100No1,741*
7622-6-4In99.81000No3,084*
7522-5-5In99.71000No5,371*
7422-4-6In99.51000No9,054*
7321-6-5In99.11000No14,640*
7221-5-6In98.81000No23,849*
7120-7-5In98.21000No37,537*
7020-6-6In97.19910No57,886*
6920-5-7In95.79910No87,447*
6819-7-6In93.49820No129,776*
6719-6-7In90.59730No187,707*
6619-5-8In86.29640No265,939*
6518-7-7In80.89460No369,712*
6418-6-8In73.691900No505,236*
6317-8-7In64.9871200No672,225*
6217-7-8In54.7821710No882,776*
6117-6-9In43.47523200No1,131,011*
6016-8-8In31.96729400No1,423,116*
5916-7-9In21.458357000No1,756,915*
5816-6-10In12.6484011100No2,124,711*
5715-8-9In6.43743173000No2,523,392*
5615-7-10In2.62643246100No2,937,410*
5515-6-11100.0%0.9173931112000No3,350,519*
5414-8-10100.00.21032351841000No3,748,313*
5314-7-11100.00.05233625920000No4,112,690*
5213-9-10100.00.02143131164100No4,428,908*
5113-8-1199.70.017233325102000No4,674,663*
5013-7-1298.9No031328311861000No4,832,649*
4912-9-1196.3No0161931261230000No4,898,807*
4812-8-1289.7No0021124312182000No4,876,123*
4712-7-1377.1No0014152829175100No4,751,464*
4611-9-1258.6No00017203026123000No4,540,451*
4511-8-1338.2No0003112430218200No4,249,567*
4411-7-1420.7No0001515282916510No3,898,767*
4310-9-139.1No000172131261120No3,504,587*
4210-8-143.3No000312263220610.0%3,085,575*
4110-7-151.0No000161832291220.02,658,958*
409-9-140.2No00021027352150.12,242,503*
399-8-150.0No001519353190.51,850,147*
389-7-160.0No0002113139171.71,494,110*
378-9-150.0No00162443264.91,180,191*
368-8-16OutNo00317433710.8912,905*
358-7-17OutNo00111394919.7689,487*
347-9-16OutNo0006346030.9508,451*
337-8-17OutNo003276943.5366,000*
327-7-18OutNo002217855.8258,124*
316-9-17OutNo01158466.9176,119*
306-8-18OutNo00108976.2117,595*
296-7-19OutNo079383.476,286*
285-9-18OutNo049689.048,013*
275-8-19OutNo039793.030,067*
265-7-20OutNo029895.517,783*
254-9-19OutNo019997.210,363*
244-8-20OutNo19998.45,823*
234-7-21OutNo010099.03,225*
223-9-20OutNo010099.61,689*
4-21OutNo100100.09,780*
Total:67.5%4.9%111110109887765431.4%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCMontrealDC UnitedChicagoPhiladelphiaNew EnglandCincinnatiOrlandoMiamiNYCFC
65-10012.5%Yes
6418-6-812.510000000
6317-8-712.510000000000000
6217-7-812.5100000000000000
6117-6-912.5100000000000000
16-9-712.5100000000000000
6016-8-812.5100000000000000
17-5-1012.6100000000000000
5916-7-912.599000000000000
15-10-712.599000000000000
5816-6-1012.499000000000000
15-9-812.599000000000000
5715-8-912.497000000000000
16-5-1112.497000000000000
14-11-712.497000000000000
5615-7-1012.294111110000000
14-10-812.293111111101000
16-4-1212.294111110000000
5515-6-1112.088111111111111
14-9-911.987111111111111
13-12-711.988111111111111
5414-8-1011.477222222222111
15-5-1211.579222222211111
13-11-811.477222222222111
5314-7-1110.564444433322222
13-10-910.562444433333222
15-4-1310.765444433322222
5213-9-109.246555544434332
14-6-129.449555544433332
12-12-89.347555544433332
5113-8-117.630666655544443
14-5-138.033666655444433
12-11-97.629666655544443
5013-7-125.817666655544443
12-10-105.615666655544443
14-4-145.918666655544443
4912-9-113.77555544444333
13-6-134.18555554444433
11-12-93.87555554444433
4812-8-122.23344433333322
13-5-142.23344433333322
4712-7-131.11222222211111
4611-9-120.40111111111110
4511-8-130.10000000000000
4411-7-140.00000000000000
4310-9-130.00000000000000
4210-8-140.0000000000000
4110-7-150.0000000000000
409-9-14No00000
4-39No
Total:5.3%32.41.92.02.02.01.71.51.51.41.41.31.21.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.8-0.1-1.9
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0
Orlando vs Chicago+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
79-100100
7823-5-41000
7723-4-51000
7622-6-410000
7522-5-510000
7422-4-69900
7321-6-59910
7221-5-69910
7120-7-59810
7020-6-697210
6920-5-796310
6819-7-6935200
6719-6-7907300
6619-5-88610400
6518-7-78113600
6418-6-874179000
6317-8-76522120000
6217-7-85527161100
6117-6-943322112000
6016-8-8323526340000
5916-7-92137296600000
5816-6-10133529111101000
5715-8-9630261716130000
5615-7-103242023204601000
5515-6-111161227229101200000
5414-8-1001062620161524010000
5314-7-11052211322196902000000
5213-9-10020146251814142401000
5113-8-11010722112211879120000
5013-7-120030135231615153601000
4912-9-110010611892217911130000
4812-8-1200020103221218175820000
4712-7-13000104015523161314720000
4611-9-12000010711992117157200000
4511-8-13000030113221320179310000
4411-7-140000105015615222011410000
4310-9-130000107171624221351000
4210-8-14000030271724241562000
4110-7-15000010027172525166100
409-9-140000002717262516610
399-8-15000000281827251440
389-7-1600000310213024102
378-9-15000014132632205
368-8-160001619333011
358-7-17000211293820
347-9-160015214231
337-8-17002144043
327-7-1800183556
316-9-1700042867
306-8-180022276
296-7-190011683
285-9-18001189
275-8-1900793
265-7-200495
254-9-190397
244-8-20298
234-7-21199
223-9-200100
213-8-210100
203-7-220100
4-19100
Total:56564646454544333333332221