New York Red Bulls Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 4.9 to 65.9%
18 points   5-3-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 +8.4
+0.7
+0.1
-0.2
+0.5
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 -5.7
-0.6
-0.1
+0.0
-0.4
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 +1.8
+0.1
+0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 +1.3
+0.1
+0.1
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +1.0
+0.1
+0.0
Montreal 0 New England 0 +1.0
+0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 +0.6
+0.0
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 +0.4
-0.0
+0.0
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Orlando 5 Cincinnati 1 -0.4
Houston 2 DC United 1 +0.2
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 +0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Colorado 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls-8.3-2.3+9.6
-0.8-0.3+1.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Montreal vs RSL-1.3+0.7+1.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.9+0.7+1.5
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
DC United vs Chicago+0.6*+0.0-1.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs Toronto FC+0.9+0.1-1.4
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Columbus+0.6+0.1-1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC-0.9+0.8+1.2
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.5+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs DC United+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
74-81In99.7%100No25,366*
7318-1-2In82.31000No231*
7217-3-1In81.91000No547*
7117-2-2In73.51000No1,428*
7016-4-1In66.6991No3,081*
6916-3-2In56.9991No6,447*
6816-2-3In47.8982No13,488*
6715-4-2In38.99730No25,780*
6615-3-3In30.59450No49,569*
6515-2-4In22.19180No90,330*
6414-4-3In15.3871300No157,544*
6314-3-4In9.7811810No269,207*
6213-5-3In5.47425200No439,516*
6113-4-4In2.76532400No694,821*
6013-3-5In1.25439700No1,069,585*
5912-5-4In0.4434412100No1,585,181*
5812-4-5In0.1314719300No2,281,791*
5712-3-6In0.02146276000No3,189,258*
5611-5-5In0.013403411100No4,320,415*
5511-4-6100.0%0.073239183000No5,667,757*
5410-6-5100.00.032239278100No7,235,972*
5310-5-6100.0No113343414200No8,933,445*
5210-4-7100.0No072638236100No10,734,633*
519-6-699.9No0316353212200No12,508,240*
509-5-799.5No0192737215000No14,138,973*
499-4-898.4No00418353011200No15,519,217*
488-6-795.6No00110293620400No16,519,803*
478-5-889.7No00041936299100No17,055,591*
468-4-979.6No000211313617300No17,091,777*
457-6-865.4No0005223827700No16,601,142*
447-5-948.7No00213343613100No15,622,521*
437-4-1032.3No0016264123400No14,263,520*
426-6-918.9No003163933810No12,592,474*
416-5-109.6No001933401620No10,764,419*
406-4-114.2No0004234325400.0%8,903,046*
395-6-101.6No002154135800.07,108,953*
385-5-110.5No000834421510.05,482,528*
375-4-120.1No00425462330.14,080,503*
364-6-110.0No00216443360.22,927,434*
354-5-120.0No0193941100.92,013,282*
344-4-130.0No0053147162.41,334,131*
333-6-120.0No0022350255.6844,548*
323-5-130.0No00115493410.8514,161*
313-4-14OutNo009454518.7298,097*
302-6-13OutNo05395628.6164,096*
292-5-14OutNo03326640.085,640*
282-4-15OutNo01257451.341,862*
271-6-14OutNo1188263.119,764*
261-5-15OutNo0128872.68,493*
251-4-16OutNo089280.53,541*
241-3-17OutNo49688.61,285*
230-5-16OutNo49689.3403*
220-4-17OutNo19995.0100*
19-21OutNo10092.928*
180-0-21OutNo010099.725,212
Total:65.9%0.1%2571012141514116310.2%243,330,176

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByePhiladelphiaDC UnitedNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCMontrealChicagoOrlandoColumbusCincinnatiNew England
65-8112.5%Yes
6414-4-312.5100000
6314-3-412.51000000000
6213-5-312.51000000000000
6113-4-412.51000000000000
6013-3-512.51000000000000
5912-5-412.59900000000000
13-2-612.49900000000000
5812-4-512.49700010000000
11-7-312.49700010000000
5712-3-612.39411111110000
11-6-412.29411111110000
5611-5-512.08812222210000
12-2-711.98812222210000
5511-4-611.57823443321000
10-7-411.57823443321000
5410-6-510.76435665441100
11-3-710.76535665441000
5310-5-69.64946887651100
11-2-89.74946897651100
9-8-49.64857897661100
5210-4-78.3335810119872100
9-7-58.1326810119872100
11-1-98.2335810119872100
519-6-66.61969111110972100
10-3-86.82069111210972100
8-9-46.6186911119982100
509-5-75.0105811119872100
8-8-54.895811119872100
10-2-95.2105811119872100
499-4-83.6447998762100
8-7-63.3447997762100
10-1-103.5447998762100
488-6-72.1135675541100
9-3-92.3135776542100
7-9-52.0135665541100
478-5-81.2023443331100
7-8-61.1023443331100
9-2-101.3023444331100
468-4-90.6012222210000
7-7-70.5011222210000
457-6-80.2001111110000
447-5-90.1000000000000
437-4-100.0000000000000
426-6-90.000000000000
416-5-100.000000000000
406-4-110.00000000000
396-3-120.00000000
385-5-11No000
18-37No
Total:3.2%14.41.92.93.83.93.32.92.50.80.50.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 -1.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 +0.8
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 -0.1
Montreal 0 New England 0 -0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -0.1
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -0.0
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 -0.0
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 -0.0
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.0
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 -0.0
Orlando 5 Cincinnati 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+1.1+0.3-1.3
Montreal vs RSL+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Chicago-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs DC United-0.1-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC+0.0-0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
8121-0-01000
77-79100
7619-1-18515
7518-3-0973
7418-2-18812
7318-1-282170
7217-3-182180
7117-2-273260
7016-4-167331
6916-3-257421
6816-2-3485020
6715-4-23958300
6615-3-33164500
6515-2-42269810
6414-4-31572112000
6314-3-41072144100
6213-5-35681772000
6113-4-4362191330000
6013-3-5153192061000
5912-5-404216281021000
5812-4-5031123514530000
5712-3-60218381710500000
5611-5-501343617171011000
5511-4-6071301426154300000
5410-6-503021831189701000
5310-5-61013430171713220000
5210-4-70071241225186601000
519-6-600301662919131112000
509-5-700109225152117450000
499-4-800041179272010101200
488-6-7000101032517191734000
478-5-800004119112621891000
468-4-90000201142619171541000
457-6-8000005120132621113000
447-5-90002012628211992000
437-4-1000010622416251872000
426-6-90002016923271761000
416-5-100001093152726144100
406-4-110000417203024102000
395-6-10000202112531207100
385-5-11000001516303015400
375-4-12000018223325910
364-6-110000031329331840
354-5-1200001620352891
344-4-130002123136172
333-6-12000162239276
323-5-13000214363611
313-4-140018304319
302-6-13003214629
292-5-14001144540
282-4-150184051
271-6-14043263
261-5-15022573
251-4-1611981
241-3-1701189
230-5-161189
220-4-17595
210-3-18892
19-20100
180-0-210100
Total:021426374869686665432110