How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -4.5
-0.5
-1.2
+0.7
-0.4
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.4
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
*-0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -0.1
DC United 2 Miami 1 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
-0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Chicago+6.6-4.6-9.8
+0.5-0.4-0.8
+0.4-0.4-0.6
-2.0+1.2+3.1
+0.6-0.4-0.9
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.4+0.8
+0.0-0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.6+0.3+0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.3-0.0-0.8
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
75-97In100.0%100No8,893*
7423-4-5In99.41000No530*
7322-6-4In98.81000No1,045*
7222-5-5In98.61000No1,799*
7122-4-6In98.51000No3,222*
7021-6-5In97.3991No5,568*
6921-5-6In96.0991No9,099*
6820-7-5In93.69820No15,162*
6720-6-6In90.99730No24,681*
6620-5-7In87.296400No38,183*
6519-7-6In81.59460No58,859*
6419-6-7In74.6919000No89,173*
6319-5-8In65.7871200No131,446*
6218-7-7In55.7821710No190,419*
6118-6-8In44.57622200No269,450*
6017-8-7In33.06828400No375,092*
5917-7-8In22.258357000No511,531*
5817-6-9In13.2484011100No682,770*
5716-8-8In6.83743173000No894,101*
5616-7-9In2.82643246100No1,146,208*
5516-6-10100.0%0.9173931112000No1,443,584*
5415-8-9100.00.2103235184100No1,780,276*
5315-7-10100.00.0523352692000No2,154,866*
5215-6-1199.90.02143032175100No2,551,234*
5114-8-1099.70.017223325102000No2,969,863*
5014-7-1198.8No031328311961000No3,390,558*
4913-9-1095.9No0161930271341000No3,792,973*
4813-8-1188.9No0021024312292000No4,161,047*
4713-7-1275.7No00141427291761000No4,475,001*
4612-9-1156.9No00017193026133000No4,715,736*
4512-8-1236.4No0002102431229200No4,877,199*
4412-7-1319.3No0001414283017510No4,938,493*
4311-9-128.4No0001720312612200.0%4,903,124*
4211-8-133.0No000311263221610.04,768,309*
4111-7-140.9No000151832301320.04,546,612*
4010-9-130.2No00021026352250.14,243,315*
3910-8-140.0No00015183531100.43,880,752*
3810-7-150.0No0002113139171.73,475,227*
379-9-140.0No000162443274.73,046,255*
369-8-150.0No000316433810.62,615,070*
359-7-16OutNo00110394919.32,195,917*
348-9-15OutNo0006346030.61,801,352*
338-8-16OutNo003277043.11,449,029*
328-7-17OutNo002207855.51,132,813*
317-9-16OutNo001158466.6869,430*
307-8-17OutNo00108976.1651,262*
297-7-18OutNo0079383.3475,081*
286-9-17OutNo059588.7338,255*
276-8-18OutNo039792.7234,755*
266-7-19OutNo029895.4159,307*
255-9-18OutNo19997.2104,278*
245-8-19OutNo19998.266,581*
235-7-20OutNo010099.041,165*
224-9-19OutNo010099.425,304*
214-8-20OutNo010099.714,553*
204-7-21OutNo010099.88,288*
193-9-20OutNo010099.84,462*
183-8-21OutNo010099.92,351*
173-7-22OutNo10099.81,198*
163-6-23OutNo010099.8611*
1-15OutNo100Yes8,831*
Total:40.8%1.1%345677889101011115.9%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealDC UnitedChicagoPhiladelphiaNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiNYCFC
67-9712.5%Yes
6620-5-712.71000
6519-7-612.7Yes
6419-6-712.510000
6319-5-812.510000000
6218-7-712.510000000000000
6118-6-812.4100000000000000
6017-8-712.5100000000000000
5917-7-812.599000000000000
5817-6-912.599000000000000
16-9-712.499000000000000
5716-8-812.497000000000000
17-5-1012.497000000000000
5616-7-912.193111111000000
15-10-712.293111111110000
17-4-1112.294111111000000
5516-6-1011.988111111111111
15-9-811.887111111111111
5415-8-911.376322222222211
16-5-1111.478222222221111
14-11-711.276333222221211
5315-7-1010.463444443332222
14-10-810.361444443332222
16-4-1210.565444443222222
5215-6-119.248555554443332
14-9-99.045555554443332
13-12-79.146555554443332
5114-8-107.329666665444433
15-5-127.531666665444433
13-11-87.228666665444433
5014-7-115.516666665444433
13-10-95.215666665444433
15-4-135.517666665544443
4914-6-123.78555554444433
13-9-103.46555554443332
12-12-83.57555554443333
4813-8-112.02333333332222
14-5-132.23444443333322
12-11-91.82333333222222
4713-7-121.01222222111111
12-10-100.91222222111111
4613-6-130.40111111111110
4512-8-120.10000000000000
4412-7-130.00000000000000
4312-6-140.00000000000000
4211-8-130.0000000000000
4111-7-140.0000000000000
4011-6-15No00000000
399-11-12No0
1-38No
Total:2.4%13.01.31.31.31.31.31.11.01.00.90.90.80.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.9
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Chicago-1.2+0.8+1.7
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
77-97100
7623-6-3991
7523-5-41000
7423-4-59900
7322-6-49910
7222-5-59910
7122-4-69910
7021-6-59721
6921-5-69631
6820-7-5944200
6720-6-691630
6620-5-78794000
6519-7-68213600
6419-6-7751780000
6319-5-8662212000
6218-7-75626161100
6118-6-845312112000
6017-8-7333526340000
5917-7-82236296600000
5817-6-9133430101101000
5716-8-8730271616130000
5616-7-93242122204601000
5516-6-10116132623810120000
5415-8-90106262015162401000
5315-7-1005220142220690200000
5215-6-11020137241913152501000
5114-8-100107220122019610120000
5014-7-110030135221614163601000
4913-9-100010611892118912141000
4813-8-110002010321131718592000
4713-7-1200104014622161315720000
4612-9-1100001071189201815720000
4512-8-12000020103211321179310000
4412-7-130000104114616232011410000
4311-9-1200001072717242213510000
4211-8-130000030281725231561000
4111-7-14000010027172524156100
4010-9-130000002717262515510
3910-8-140000000281927251440
3810-7-15000001310223024102
379-9-140000014132731195
369-8-15000001619333011
359-7-160000211293819
348-9-150016214231
338-8-160002144043
328-7-1700183556
317-9-1600042967
307-8-170022276
297-7-18011683
286-9-17001189
276-8-1800793
266-7-1900595
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
235-7-20199
224-9-19199
214-8-200100
204-7-210100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
163-6-230100
1-15100
Total:12232324343435444555555666