How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando 1 Vancouver 0 +6.2
+0.5
+0.1
-0.8
+0.4
Atlanta 1 FC Dallas 2 +1.1
+0.1
+0.1
Chicago 4 Colorado 1 -0.8
-0.1
-0.0
Columbus 1 Portland 3 +0.7
+0.1
+0.2
+0.1
New England 1 NY Red Bulls 0 +0.3
+0.1
Philadelphia 3 Montreal 0 -0.2
San Jose 4 Sporting KC 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs NYCFC+0.3+0.1-1.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Columbus vs DC United-0.6+0.4+0.6
-0.0+0.1+0.0
New England vs Montreal+0.0+0.4-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Chicago-0.2+0.5-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs San Jose-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC vs Orlando-6.0+0.3+11.8
-0.6-0.1+1.3
-0.1-0.1+0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.7
-0.4+0.0+0.9
Atlanta vs Colorado-0.7+0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Columbus+0.4-0.1-1.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs New England+0.4*-0.0-1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Cincinnati+0.1+0.3-0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.7-0.2
Vancouver vs Philadelphia+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Montreal vs Chicago-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Toronto FC vs Portland-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs DC United+0.2*-0.0-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs San Jose-0.0+0.0+0.1
Colorado vs Vancouver+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
76-89In100.0%100No58,755*
7520-4-2In99.11000No680*
7420-3-3In97.01000No1,524*
7319-5-2In96.11000No3,003*
7219-4-3In93.61000No6,334*
7119-3-4In90.7991No11,966*
7018-5-3In86.6991No22,208*
6918-4-4In81.79820No39,957*
6818-3-5In75.49820No70,964*
6717-5-4In67.19640No121,582*
6617-4-5In58.19460No203,617*
6516-6-4In48.192800No333,164*
6416-5-5In37.6881200No526,712*
6316-4-6In27.4841610No816,066*
6215-6-5In18.5782110No1,230,892*
6115-5-6In11.37127300No1,813,981*
6015-4-7In6.06233500No2,609,024*
5914-6-6In2.853398100No3,657,876*
5814-5-7In1.1434313100No5,008,508*
5713-7-6In0.43345193000No6,702,128*
5613-6-7In0.12445255000No8,750,132*
5513-5-8100.0%0.0164132101000No11,161,399*
5412-7-7100.00.0103437163000No13,906,051*
5312-6-8100.00.052539246100No16,932,481*
5212-5-9100.00.02173631122000No20,142,795*
5111-7-8100.0No1102936195100No23,403,735*
5011-6-999.9No05203528102000No26,551,386*
4911-5-1099.4No02123034185100No29,445,467*
4810-7-998.1No016213427102000No31,869,666*
4710-6-1094.4No0021229331851000No33,704,148*
4610-5-1186.9No0016203327112000No34,787,090*
459-7-1074.2No0002112833196100No35,062,266*
449-6-1157.2No001519332812200No34,500,789*
438-8-1038.9No000210263321610No33,123,600*
428-7-1122.9No0001518322913200.0%31,007,208*
418-6-1211.5No000210263421610.028,320,501*
407-8-115.0No000141834301220.025,208,887*
397-7-121.8No00021028362040.021,862,693*
387-6-130.6No001520373080.118,465,558*
376-8-120.1No0002123338140.415,185,269*
366-7-130.0No00172643231.312,144,800*
356-6-140.0No00031944343.49,440,453*
345-8-130.0No0011242457.57,141,795*
335-7-140.0No0017365614.05,235,802*
325-6-15OutNo004296722.93,719,590*
314-8-14OutNo002237633.62,561,367*
304-7-15OutNo01168344.91,709,354*
294-6-16OutNo00118856.11,099,991*
284-5-17OutNo0079266.4683,412*
273-7-16OutNo059575.1410,247*
263-6-17OutNo039782.0235,350*
253-5-18OutNo029887.4129,855*
242-7-17OutNo19991.468,541*
232-6-18OutNo010094.234,599*
222-5-19OutNo010096.316,594*
211-7-18OutNo010097.57,436*
201-6-19OutNo010098.13,098*
11-19OutNo100100.060,102*
Total:60.1%0.3%3681011111111108751.1%561,332,448

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedToronto FCPhiladelphiaColumbusMontrealChicagoNY Red BullsAtlantaNYCFCCincinnatiNew England
66-8912.5%Yes
6516-6-412.51000
6416-5-512.4100000000000
6316-4-612.610000000000000
6215-6-512.510000000000000
6115-5-612.510000000000000
6015-4-712.510000000000000
5914-6-612.59900000000000
5814-5-712.59900000000000
5713-7-612.49700000000000
14-4-812.49700000000000
5613-6-712.29411111100000
14-3-912.29411111100000
5513-5-812.08911221111100
12-8-612.08911222111100
5412-7-711.68022333211110
13-4-911.68122332211110
5312-6-810.96933444422211
13-3-1011.07133444321211
11-9-610.86834554422211
5212-5-910.05655665532221
11-8-79.85355666632221
13-2-1110.05655665532221
5111-7-88.63966887743331
12-4-108.94166887643331
10-10-68.53866887743331
5011-6-97.22577998844431
10-9-76.92377998854431
12-3-117.42777998744431
4911-5-105.71477998844442
10-8-85.31367998854432
12-2-125.51477998854442
4810-7-93.8656787743332
11-4-114.1766887743332
9-10-73.6556776643331
4710-6-102.5244665533331
9-9-82.2244555532221
11-3-122.6344665533331
4610-5-111.4133443322221
9-8-91.3122333322221
459-7-100.6011222211110
449-6-110.3011111100000
439-5-120.1000000000000
428-7-110.0000000000000
418-6-120.0000000000000
408-5-130.0000000000000
397-7-120.000000000000
387-6-130.00000000000
376-8-12No0000
11-36No
Total:3.4%17.52.12.22.82.92.52.51.41.21.21.10.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando 1 Vancouver 0 -0.9
Atlanta 1 FC Dallas 2 -0.1
Chicago 4 Colorado 1 +0.1
Philadelphia 3 Montreal 0 +0.0
New England 1 NY Red Bulls 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
New England vs Montreal-0.0-0.0+0.1
Columbus vs DC United+0.0-0.1-0.0
NYCFC vs Chicago+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC vs Orlando+0.8+0.0-1.7
Houston vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs DC United-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Portland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Montreal vs Chicago+0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
78-89100
7721-3-2991
7621-2-3982
7520-4-29910
7420-3-39730
7319-5-29640
7219-4-39460
7119-3-49191
7018-5-3871210
6918-4-48217200
6818-3-57522200
6717-5-46729400
6617-4-55836500
6516-6-4484471000
6416-5-53851101000
6316-4-62756133100
6215-6-51859156100
6115-5-61159161020000
6015-4-7656161741000
5914-6-63501425621000
5814-5-714210338410000
5713-7-6033639109200000
5613-6-702434110164100000
5513-5-801613982563100000
5412-7-701003353288200000
5312-6-8050252368165210000
5212-5-90201713562575200000
5111-7-81010029332811411000
5011-6-90050201347217320000
4911-5-100201202942999411000
4810-7-901060212329188220000
4710-6-10000201212862711751000
4610-5-11001060203311116931000
459-7-100000201112782513930000
449-6-11001050194291517920000
438-8-1000002010125112118820000
428-7-110001050176192518720000
418-6-120000201031225261661000
407-8-11000010416172725144100
397-7-120000202921292311300
387-6-13000100312253020810
376-8-1200000151628291640
366-7-130000028223225101
356-6-140000003132933183
345-8-130000172136288
335-7-140000313333714
325-6-150017264323
314-8-140003194434
304-7-150001124245
294-6-1600173656
284-5-170043066
273-7-160022375
263-6-17011782
253-5-18001287
242-7-170991
232-6-180694
222-5-190496
211-7-18397
201-6-19298
191-5-20199
181-4-210100
170-6-20199
160-5-21100
150-4-22991
140-3-23100
110-0-260100
Total:031517192929384566544321