How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 2 FC Dallas 1 -1.7
-0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Toronto FC 1 Timbers 0 -1.0
-0.1
-0.0
Crew 2 Fire 2 +0.5
+0.1
Red Bulls 0 Union 2 -0.4
+0.1
+0.6
Real Salt Lake 2 NYCFC 0 +0.4
-0.2
+0.0
Revolution 1 DC United 1 +0.3
+0.1
Earthquakes 1 Orlando 1 +0.3
-0.0
-0.2
+0.0
Timbers 1 DC United 0 +0.2
+0.1
+0.2
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Rapids 1 Whitecaps 0 +0.1
Galaxy 1 Dynamo 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Crew+8.5-4.7-11.3
+0.8-0.5-1.0
+0.2-0.2-0.2
-1.5+0.7+2.1
+0.4-0.3-0.6
Impact vs Whitecaps-1.7+0.8+1.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
DC United vs Fire+0.6+0.1-1.9
-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Earthquakes-0.9+0.5+1.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Revolution vs Galaxy-0.6+0.5+1.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Impact-0.3+1.1-0.6
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.4-0.1-1.0
+0.1-0.0-0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Union+0.2+0.2-1.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Union vs Crew-0.2+0.6-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
NYCFC vs Dynamo-0.3+0.2+0.3
+0.6-0.3-0.6
Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
67-79In99.2%100No3,804*
6617-2-3In91.9991No675*
6516-4-2In87.3982No1,279*
6416-3-3In80.49630No2,481*
6315-5-2In74.89540No4,682*
6215-4-3In66.89370No8,418*
6115-3-4In56.689110No14,892*
6014-5-3In45.6841610No24,784*
5914-4-4In34.2772220No40,159*
5814-3-5In23.1682930No63,271*
5713-5-4In14.05736600No97,899*
5613-4-5In7.446421110No146,003*
5512-6-4In3.1344518200No210,061*
5412-5-5In1.1244526500No294,802*
5312-4-6100.0%0.315403310100No401,220*
5211-6-5100.00.08323918300No528,396*
5111-5-6100.00.04223927710No680,694*
5011-4-799.9No213343514200No849,128*
4910-6-699.7No07263823500No1,030,583*
4810-5-798.8No0316363311100No1,214,361*
479-7-696.6No018283920300No1,395,017*
469-6-791.5No003183931810No1,553,072*
459-5-882.4No00110323916200No1,681,737*
448-7-768.6No004224227500No887,643
9-4-969.5No004234226400No882,975*
438-6-852.7No0011338371010No1,808,908*
428-5-936.1No0006304319200.0%1,797,003*
417-7-822.1No002204429500.01,730,813*
407-6-912.0No0011139381000.01,616,964*
397-5-105.8No00631451710.21,469,033*
386-7-92.5No00221472730.81,294,073*
376-6-100.9No00113433762.51,104,224*
366-5-110.3No0073745115.9914,450*
355-7-100.1No00428511711.6728,507*
345-6-110.0No0220532519.8564,303*
335-5-120.0No0113513529.9420,384*
324-7-110.0No008474540.9302,453*
314-6-12OutNo04405552.3211,540*
304-5-13OutNo02336562.7140,374*
293-7-12OutNo01267372.290,794*
283-6-13OutNo0188180.255,857*
273-5-14OutNo0148685.832,496*
262-7-13OutNo099190.818,543*
252-6-14OutNo069494.29,850*
242-5-15OutNo49696.25,044*
231-7-14OutNo29897.82,319*
221-6-15OutNo19998.51,054*
211-5-16OutNo19999.3446*
201-4-17OutNo19999.3142*
13-19OutNo100Yes3,350*
Total:50.4%0.4%2469131618161143.5%26,340,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedRevolutionRed BullsToronto FCCrewImpactFireUnionNYCFC
61-7912.6%Yes
6014-5-312.4100000
5914-4-412.410000000
5814-3-512.4100000000
5713-5-412.710000000000
5613-4-512.499000000000
5512-6-412.597000110000
13-3-612.697000010000
5412-5-512.394111111000
11-8-312.294111111000
5312-4-612.088122221100
11-7-411.988122221000
5211-6-511.379344442100
12-3-711.579343442100
10-9-311.878244442100
5111-5-610.765466663210
10-8-410.664466664210
12-2-810.865466664210
5011-4-79.650688895310
10-7-59.649698895310
9-10-39.548698995310
4910-6-68.1338101011117410
11-3-88.1338101011117410
9-9-48.0327111011117410
4810-5-76.6198121112127520
9-8-56.5188121112128520
11-2-96.5198121112127520
479-7-64.998111111127520
10-4-84.998111111127520
8-10-44.898111111127520
469-6-73.3479910106420
10-3-93.54710910106520
8-9-53.33610910106420
459-5-82.11577775310
8-8-62.01477774310
10-2-102.11577775310
448-7-71.20344453210
9-4-91.20354453210
7-10-51.20344453210
438-6-80.60222221100
7-9-60.60232221100
428-5-90.30111111000
417-7-80.10000000000
407-6-90.00000000000
397-5-100.0000000000
386-7-90.0000000000
376-6-100.0000000000
366-5-11No00000
356-4-12No0
13-34No
Total:2.8%12.52.63.73.53.73.82.31.50.60.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 2 FC Dallas 1 +0.1
Toronto FC 1 Timbers 0 +0.1
Crew 2 Fire 2 -0.1
Earthquakes 1 Orlando 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Crew-1.0+0.6+1.3
Impact vs Whitecaps+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Earthquakes+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.0+0.0+0.1
Revolution vs Galaxy+0.1-0.1-0.1
DC United vs Fire-0.0-0.0+0.1
Fire vs Impact+0.0-0.1+0.0
Union vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
70-79100
6918-2-2964
6817-4-1955
6717-3-2928
6617-2-39271
6516-4-287102
6416-3-3801630
6315-5-2752140
6215-4-36726700
6115-3-457321100
6014-5-3463815110
5914-4-43442202200
5814-3-52345254300
5713-5-414432876000
5613-4-57392813110100
5512-6-433125211622000
5412-5-512318272145000
5312-4-6015103023101001000
5211-6-50842820191623000
5111-5-604121132620770100
5011-4-7201362820151312000
4910-6-600722414251855000
4810-5-70030166301914101100
479-7-6010822713261553000
469-6-70003018633171471000
459-5-800101023012271251000
448-7-7000402263613115100
438-6-80010132361117145100
428-5-90000602961722144100
417-7-8002019211252512300
407-6-900101115193123810
397-5-100006021127331840
386-7-9002004193529101
376-6-10001001102937192
366-5-110000042039306
355-7-100000211354012
345-6-1100006274720
335-5-120002184930
324-7-11001114741
314-6-120064152
304-5-13033463
293-7-12012672
283-6-13011980
273-5-1401486
262-7-130991
252-6-140694
242-5-150496
231-7-14298
221-6-15298
211-5-16199
201-4-17199
13-19100
Total:021325373941245788873