"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Revolution 1 Whitecaps 2 +1.1
+0.2
-0.1
+0.1
Union 2 Impact 2 +0.5
+0.1
-0.0
+0.0
Real Salt Lake 2 Crew 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
NYCFC 1 Red Bulls 3 +0.1
-0.2
Toronto FC 0 DC United 0 +0.1
+0.1
Timbers 4 Sounders 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 Rapids 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake vs Orlando-5.2-0.6+8.1
-0.9-0.2+1.5
-0.4-0.2+0.8
+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.4-0.1+0.6
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.8+0.0-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Crew vs Red Bulls-0.8+0.7+1.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Dynamo vs Fire+0.5-0.0-1.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Impact vs NYCFC-0.5+0.8+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Galaxy vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs DC United+0.0+0.1-0.1
Rapids vs Whitecaps+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
7417-0-0In100.0%1000No12,038,606
7216-1-0In99.81000No22,967
7116-0-1In99.71000No33,667
7015-2-0In99.31000No155,947
6915-1-1In98.810000No449,998
6814-3-0In97.9991No972,800*
6714-2-1In96.29910No2,802,515
6614-1-2In93.79820No5,883,434*
6513-3-1In89.697300No12,658,282*
6413-2-2In84.095500No26,885,058*
6312-4-1In76.191900No49,901,545*
6212-3-2In65.9871300No94,000,468*
6112-2-3In54.08218000No166,562,381*
6011-4-2In40.6752510No277,081,465*
5911-3-3In27.86632200No454,846,023*
5811-2-4In16.75640400No704,671,347*
5710-4-3In8.44647800No1,049,104,337*
5610-3-4In3.5355213100No1,518,782,466*
559-5-3In1.1255320100No2,094,118,418*
549-4-4100.0%0.31651293000No2,791,868,040*
539-3-5100.00.01045387000No3,598,200,764*
528-5-4100.00.05354514100No4,444,368,303*
518-4-5100.00.022448233000No5,312,162,803*
508-3-6100.00.011544337000No6,124,580,232*
497-5-5100.00.007354114100No6,788,123,425*
487-4-699.8No032444244000No7,273,857,948*
476-6-599.1No0114403410100No7,508,740,747*
466-5-697.2No0063141193000No7,457,866,319*
456-4-792.3No0021941307000No7,148,680,863*
445-6-682.8No00193339162000.0%6,591,003,332*
435-5-767.7No00042242275000.05,840,950,034*
425-4-849.0No00112363812100.04,982,936,621*
414-6-730.5No0005254322400.04,078,434,592*
404-5-816.1No0021440331010.03,199,816,126*
394-4-97.1No000731411930.12,407,447,459*
383-6-82.6No00220413060.61,730,246,368*
373-5-90.8No001113540132.21,186,287,760*
363-4-100.2No00052645246.0775,186,387*
352-6-90.0No00216453712.9480,501,786*
342-5-100.0No0019405123.2281,600,606*
332-4-110.0No004316436.0155,702,857*
321-6-100.0No002227649.880,612,161*
311-5-110.0No001148562.838,807,060*
301-4-12OutNo0099173.817,286,168*
291-3-13OutNo0059582.47,022,517*
280-5-12OutNo029888.72,552,163*
270-4-13OutNo019992.9816,769*
260-3-14OutNo010095.7220,913*
250-2-15OutNo010097.645,871
240-1-16OutNo010098.66,116
230-0-17OutNo010099.312,037,446
Total:80.5%0.8%41117181714106310.4%96,788,942,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedToronto FCRed BullsRevolutionImpactCrewNYCFCFireUnion
66-7412.5%Yes
6513-3-112.51000
6413-2-212.51000
6312-4-112.5100000
6212-3-212.51000000000
6112-2-312.5100000000000
6011-4-212.5100000000000
5911-3-312.5100000000000
5811-2-412.5100000000000
5710-4-312.5100000000000
5610-3-412.599000000000
559-5-312.499000000000
10-2-512.499000000000
549-4-412.496001111000
8-7-212.497001111000
539-3-512.292011222000
8-6-312.292011222000
528-5-411.985023433000
9-2-611.985012433000
518-4-511.474134655110
7-7-311.474134655110
508-3-610.760147987111
7-6-410.659157988111
497-5-59.6432610121010221
8-2-79.7442610121010221
6-8-39.6431710121011221
487-4-68.3272812151212321
6-7-48.2272812151313221
8-1-88.4282812151212331
476-6-56.7142913161414332
7-3-76.9152813161413332
466-5-65.262813151313332
7-2-85.472813161313332
5-8-45.162813151313332
456-4-73.721611131111332
5-7-53.621610131111332
445-6-62.21147987221
6-3-82.411481088221
435-5-71.30124654111
6-2-91.30124655111
425-4-80.60012322110
414-6-70.20001111000
404-5-80.10000000000
394-4-90.00000000000
383-6-80.0000000000
373-5-90.0000000000
363-4-100.0000000000
352-6-90.0000000000
342-5-10No00000
23-33No
Total:6.3%31.50.93.96.27.86.56.41.41.40.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/26100.0*Lottery seed
Revolution 1 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
NYCFC 1 Red Bulls 3 +0.1
Union 2 Impact 2 -0.0
Toronto FC 0 DC United 0 -0.0
Real Salt Lake 2 Crew 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/3100.0*Lottery seed
Real Salt Lake vs Orlando+0.8+0.1-1.3
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.1-0.0+0.2
Galaxy vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Impact vs NYCFC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Crew vs Red Bulls+0.0-0.1+0.0
Dynamo vs Fire-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs DC United-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
7417-0-010000
7216-1-010000
7116-0-110000
7015-2-09900
6915-1-199100
6814-3-09821
6714-2-1963100
6614-1-2944200
6513-3-19073000
6413-2-284115000
6312-4-176159000
6212-3-26621120000
6112-2-354281800000
6011-4-24134231100
5911-3-328382842000
5811-2-4173932840000
5710-4-3837311670000
5610-3-4431262611110000
559-5-3124183616510000
549-4-4016104218113000000
539-3-501044116236100000
528-5-40513410359510000
518-4-5020245431013210000
508-3-6010152438254200000
497-5-5000703543768100000
487-4-6003024143618310000
476-6-50010140403314510000
466-5-60006031140514210000
456-4-70002019041327431000
445-6-60010903323858410000
435-5-7000040220414131130000
425-4-8000101203631421112000
414-6-70000502511127227100
404-5-8000201406243217400
394-4-900007021533291220
383-6-8000201725352371
373-5-9001003143233152
363-4-1000000162338266
352-6-900000213343713
342-5-10000016264423
332-4-1100002174536
321-6-10000194050
311-5-11000043363
301-4-120022474
291-3-130011782
280-5-12001189
270-4-1300793
260-3-140496
250-2-150298
240-1-16199
230-0-17199
Total:132931421621511213543210