How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Revolution 2 Earthquakes 1 -0.8
-0.1
+0.1
+0.1
-0.0
DC United 1 Galaxy 0 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 0 Sporting KC 1 +0.7
+0.1
+0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Impact 2 Orlando 2 +0.7
-0.2
-0.2
+0.0
Real Salt Lake 2 Toronto FC 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Crew 1 Red Bulls 2 +0.1
-0.1
Fire 1 Union 0 -0.1
+0.1
FC Dallas 0 Sounders 0 +0.2
Whitecaps 2 Timbers 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs DC United+6.4-4.1-9.7
+0.8-0.6-1.3
+1.1-0.8-1.4
-1.3+0.8+2.1
+0.4-0.3-0.7
Rapids vs Revolution+0.5-0.1-1.4
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Union+0.5*-0.0-1.3
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Crew+0.5-0.0-1.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Impact+0.2+0.2-0.9
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Toronto FC-0.2+0.5-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Timbers vs FC Dallas+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Whitecaps vs Galaxy-0.1+0.1+0.1
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
77-95InYes100No16,442*
7622-5-3In99.8%1000No412*
73-75In99.8100No5,255*
7221-4-5In99.31000No5,207*
7120-6-4In98.91000No9,302*
7020-5-5In98.31000No15,386*
6919-7-4In97.3991No25,957*
6819-6-5In96.0991No42,142*
6719-5-6In94.2982No67,595*
6618-7-5In91.69820No104,884*
6518-6-6In88.096400No159,297*
6418-5-7In83.09550No236,473*
6317-7-6In76.79370No344,334*
6217-6-7In68.9901000No491,158*
6116-8-6In59.7861400No682,939*
6016-7-7In49.28019100No930,424*
5916-6-8In38.07424200No1,241,619*
5815-8-7In27.16631300No1,620,163*
5715-7-8In17.55737600No2,069,657*
5615-6-9In9.9474210100No2,589,115*
5514-8-8In4.7374615200No3,174,315*
5414-7-9100.0%1.82746224000No3,806,920*
5313-9-8100.00.51844308100No4,470,086*
5213-8-9100.00.1113736132000No5,143,410*
5113-7-10100.00.062839215000No5,793,634*
5012-9-999.90.0319382910100No6,381,136*
4912-8-1099.70.01113235174000No6,886,214*
4812-7-1198.9No052237268100No7,281,597*
4711-9-1096.6No02133234163000No7,532,902*
4611-8-1191.2No0162336258100No7,623,543*
4511-7-1281.2No00214323315300No7,550,658*
4410-9-1166.4No0016233625810No7,323,417*
4310-8-1248.5No000214323415300.0%6,942,102*
4210-7-1331.1No0017243725710.06,442,393*
419-9-1217.5No0031534341320.05,839,277*
409-8-138.5No001826392240.25,178,888*
398-10-123.6No000318383281.14,484,187*
388-9-131.3No001103340153.43,794,425*
378-8-140.4No00052545248.13,134,295*
367-10-130.1No00217453516.02,531,660*
357-9-140.0No00111424626.71,993,333*
347-8-150.0No0006365739.11,530,802*
336-10-140.0No003296751.91,144,379*
326-9-150.0No002227663.8835,657*
316-8-16OutNo01168373.8591,792*
305-10-15OutNo00128881.7409,804*
295-9-16OutNo089287.8275,502*
285-8-17OutNo059592.2179,590*
274-10-16OutNo039795.1112,985*
264-9-17OutNo029897.069,282*
254-8-18OutNo19998.340,843*
244-7-19OutNo19998.923,291*
233-9-18OutNo010099.413,035*
223-8-19OutNo010099.76,886*
213-7-20OutNo010099.93,563*
5-20OutNo100100.019,156*
Total:66.4%3.0%91112121211109863.5%129,222,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsDC UnitedNYCFCToronto FCCrewImpactRevolutionUnionFire
66-9512.4%Yes
6518-6-612.51000
63-6412.5Yes
6217-6-712.5100000
6116-8-612.610000000000
6016-7-712.5100000000000
5916-6-812.4100000000000
5815-8-712.5100000000000
5715-7-812.5100000000000
5615-6-912.599000000000
5514-8-812.498000000000
15-5-1012.498000000000
5414-7-912.496011110000
13-10-712.496011110000
5313-9-812.191111111111
14-6-1012.292111111111
5213-8-911.884222222111
14-5-1111.885122222111
12-11-711.885122222111
5113-7-1011.374344433222
12-10-811.374344433222
5012-9-910.459466555333
13-6-1110.560455554333
11-12-710.560455554333
4912-8-109.243577776544
11-11-89.243577776544
13-5-129.445577776444
4812-7-117.828699887655
11-10-97.627699987655
13-4-137.929699987655
4711-9-106.015699988655
12-6-126.116699987655
10-12-86.115699998655
4611-8-114.37588887555
10-11-94.26588887555
12-5-134.47688887555
4511-7-122.83466665444
10-10-102.72466665444
4410-9-111.61344443333
4310-8-120.80122222211
4210-7-130.30111111111
419-9-120.10000000000
409-8-130.00000000000
399-7-140.00000000000
388-9-130.0000000000
378-8-140.0000000000
367-10-130.0000000000
358-6-16No000
347-8-15No0
5-33No
Total:5.5%31.62.23.23.33.23.12.72.11.91.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/28100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC 0 Sporting KC 1 -0.1
DC United 1 Galaxy 0 +0.1
Revolution 2 Earthquakes 1 +0.1
Impact 2 Orlando 2 -0.1
Real Salt Lake 2 Toronto FC 1 -0.0
Crew 1 Red Bulls 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/3100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs DC United-0.9+0.6+1.4
Whitecaps vs Crew-0.0-0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Union-0.0-0.0+0.1
Fire vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bulls vs Impact+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
77-95100
7622-5-31000
7522-4-41000
7421-6-31000
7321-5-41000
7221-4-59910
7120-6-49910
7020-5-59810
6919-7-49721
6819-6-59631
6719-5-69442
6618-7-592620
6518-6-68894000
6418-5-78312500
6317-7-67716700
6217-6-7692110000
6116-8-66026140000
6016-7-749311811000
5916-6-838362322000
5815-8-727392743000
5715-7-8174029760000
5615-6-910372913901000
5514-8-853226201412000
5414-7-92251927194400000
5313-9-81181132219701000
5213-8-90115321917121200000
5113-7-10062271426165400000
5012-9-9030197311712911000
4912-8-1001011229132213430000
4812-7-110050227301511711000
4711-9-10002013230122212330000
4611-8-110106023630141172000
4511-7-12000201423011221251000
4410-9-11000106023631141361000
4310-8-120000201423011181561000
4210-7-1300010702361723166100
419-9-120003015210232615510
409-8-1300108151629261230
398-10-120000301823322381
388-9-130001003132932173
378-8-1400000162135288
367-10-1300000212313716
357-9-14000016244227
347-8-15000003164239
336-10-140000193852
326-9-15000053164
316-8-160022474
305-10-150011782
295-9-16001288
285-8-1700892
274-10-1600595
264-9-170397
254-8-180298
244-7-19199
233-9-18199
223-8-190100
213-7-200100
202-9-190100
192-8-20100
182-7-210100
5-17100
Total:36474848483834455544