How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls 4 NYCFC 1 -0.5
Sporting KC 3 Sounders 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
NYCFC vs Rapids-0.7+0.1+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Revolution+10.2-7.2-17.4
+0.7-0.5-1.0
-1.6+0.9+3.0
+0.5-0.3-0.8
DC United vs Impact-1.8+0.8+1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Toronto FC vs Real Salt Lake-1.1+0.8+1.9
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
DC United vs Union-1.6+0.9+1.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Revolution+0.5+0.6-2.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Union vs Real Salt Lake-0.7+0.4+1.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Fire+0.4-0.0-1.3
-0.3+0.1+0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Impact vs Dynamo-0.5+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Crew-0.5+0.9+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.0+0.6
Earthquakes vs NYCFC+0.4-0.1-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Red Bulls-0.4+0.3+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.5
Sounders vs Galaxy+0.4-0.0-0.3
Dynamo vs Earthquakes+0.3-0.2-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6514-0-0In87.7%1000No5,756,080
6313-1-0In68.31000No58,720
6213-0-1In53.21000No95,066
6112-2-0In41.19910No372,378
6012-1-1In27.29820No1,202,609
5911-3-0In16.49730No2,396,307*
5811-2-1In8.694600No6,840,053
5711-1-2In3.7891100No14,496,809*
5610-3-1In1.38217100No28,884,331*
5510-2-2In0.37126200No61,014,760*
5410-1-3In0.159356000No108,268,370*
539-3-2In0.0444312100No191,655,389*
529-2-3100.0%0.02946214000No328,206,095*
518-4-2100.00.01642329100No508,600,414*
508-3-3100.00.08313919300No780,140,271*
498-2-4100.0No31938309100No1,133,152,138*
487-4-399.9No19293820300No1,541,486,991*
477-3-499.4No031738339100No2,048,628,318*
467-2-597.2No017274222300No1,299,716,483
6-5-397.7No018294120200No1,272,664,221*
456-4-491.6No0021540358000No3,067,426,209*
446-3-578.7No0005284519200No2,412,057,894
5-6-380.9No0006304417200No1,128,769,093*
435-5-461.5No00021644326000.0%2,059,248,583
6-2-660.5No0001154432700No1,806,837,575*
425-4-539.8No0006344316100.02,823,039,780
6-1-741.6No0007354215100.01,204,563,984*
415-3-622.0No002204529400.02,537,974,646
4-6-423.5No002214527400.01,497,056,239*
404-5-510.6No0001038401000.02,163,682,906
5-2-710.8No0001038401000.01,660,897,119*
394-4-64.0No00426482020.12,402,290,455*
3-7-44.5No000428471920.11,055,188,821*
384-3-71.3No00115463250.61,778,988,725
3-6-51.4No00116473240.51,209,907,118*
373-5-60.3No00073943102.22,438,730,376*
363-4-70.1No0032851196.41,890,157,018*
353-3-80.0No00117523014.31,391,414,733*
342-5-70.0No009474326.0960,447,406*
332-4-80.0No004395740.4624,287,309*
322-3-90.0No002296955.5381,420,287*
311-5-8OutNo01207969.2215,315,316*
301-4-9OutNo00138780.4112,398,211*
291-3-10OutNo089288.554,039,824*
281-2-11OutNo049693.723,207,925*
270-4-10OutNo029896.98,765,425*
260-3-11OutNo019998.62,893,200*
250-2-12OutNo0010099.5760,691
240-1-13OutNo010099.8130,943
230-0-14OutNo0100100.05,762,066
Total:44.1%0.0%1347121719181363.1%46,251,295,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orlando finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsNYCFCImpactUnionToronto FCRevolutionDC UnitedCrewFire
59-6512.5%Yes
5811-2-112.510000000
5711-1-212.5100000000000
5610-3-112.5100000000000
5510-2-212.5100000000000
5410-1-312.5100000000000
9-4-112.5100000000000
539-3-212.499000000000
10-0-412.499000000000
529-2-312.396111110000
8-5-112.497001110000
518-4-212.090122221000
9-1-412.089222221000
7-7-012.192111211000
508-3-311.377344442100
7-6-111.681334441000
9-0-511.376444441100
498-2-410.258687873200
7-5-210.462577773100
487-4-38.7398111011105210
8-1-58.5379111011114311
6-7-19.144791010104210
477-3-46.61910131112126311
6-6-27.12210121213126311
8-0-66.72010141112125411
467-2-54.6710131012126411
6-5-34.889131112126411
5-8-15.3109131213136311
456-4-42.927108995311
7-1-62.828118994311
5-7-23.237111010105311
446-3-51.50575663211
5-6-31.60576663211
7-0-71.50575662211
4-9-11.91577774211
435-5-40.70243331100
6-2-60.60232331100
4-8-20.80343432100
425-4-50.20111110000
4-7-30.30121110000
6-1-70.20111110000
415-3-60.10000000000
4-6-40.10010000000
404-5-50.00000000000
394-4-60.00000000000
384-3-70.0000000000
373-5-60.0000000000
363-4-70.000000
353-3-80.00000
23-34No
Total:2.0%8.12.63.63.03.43.31.50.90.30.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/24100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC vs Rapids+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Revolution-1.0+0.7+1.6
Toronto FC vs Real Salt Lake+0.1-0.1-0.1
Union vs Real Salt Lake+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Impact+0.1-0.1-0.0
Toronto FC vs Revolution+0.0-0.1+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Fire-0.0-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Union+0.1-0.1-0.0
Sounders vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.0
Toronto FC vs Crew+0.0-0.1-0.0
Earthquakes vs NYCFC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
6514-0-0881200
6313-1-0683200
6213-0-1534600
6112-2-04158100
6012-1-12771100
5911-3-016802100
5811-2-198533000
5711-1-2485470000
5610-3-118141310000
5510-2-207132311000
5410-1-30582342300000
539-3-20441423910000
529-2-30290463193100000
518-4-20160422305410000
508-3-30803113871231000
498-2-43019038624631000
487-4-3109029435101030000
477-3-4030171361023721000
467-2-50107026636121020000
6-5-3010802853610920000
456-4-400020152381124620000
446-3-50000502863911830000
5-6-30000603063810720000
435-5-40000201624210161020000
6-2-6000010152421116102000
425-4-50000060336202392000
6-1-70000070347202281000
415-3-6000202031531227100
4-6-4000202121531226100
404-5-5000001017263418400
5-2-7000001017273317400
394-4-60004021534311220
3-7-400004021634301220
384-3-7000100624372471
3-6-5000100624372461
373-5-6000002133235162
363-4-70000052239286
353-3-800000111343914
342-5-700005244526
332-4-80002144440
322-3-9000073755
311-5-800032869
301-4-90011980
291-3-100001188
281-2-1100694
270-4-100397
260-3-110199
250-2-120199
240-1-130100
230-0-140100
Total:0103041711021536101110863