SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 1 NY Red Bulls 2 -5.0
-1.4
-5.0
+0.1
-0.9
Chicago 2 Houston 1 -0.3
+0.2
Seattle 5 Montreal 0 +0.2
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Miami CF 2 Colorado 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Vancouver 4 Toronto 0 +0.2
+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
NYCFC 1 Atlanta 1 +0.1
+0.1
New England 1 Charlotte 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Nashville 1 Philadelphia 2 +0.1
-0.1
-0.4
Columbus 1 DC United 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
Minnesota 1 RSL 1 +0.2
LAFC 2 LA Galaxy 1 +0.2
Sporting KC 3 Portland 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Montreal vs Cincinnati-4.3-0.1+6.2
-0.8-0.1+1.3
-1.8-0.6+3.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.6-0.1+0.9
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago+0.2+0.0-0.6
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.3+0.4
Sporting KC vs Miami CF+0.2-0.0-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
RSL vs Columbus+0.2-0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Toronto-0.1+0.3-0.1
NYCFC vs New England-0.1+0.3-0.0
DC United vs Orlando-0.1+0.3-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.2
Portland vs LAFC+0.0+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Houston-0.0+0.1+0.0
Vancouver vs LA Galaxy-0.1+0.2+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
84-93In100.0%100No2,652,144*
8323-2-2In99.91000No7,471*
8222-4-1In99.91000No16,898*
8122-3-2In99.91000No38,693*
8022-2-3In99.91000No83,693*
7921-4-2In99.91000No172,402*
7821-3-3In99.91000No348,843*
7720-5-2In99.81000No673,427*
7620-4-3In99.71000No1,266,583*
7520-3-4In99.61000No2,312,954*
7419-5-3In99.41000No4,086,250*
7319-4-4In99.110000No7,029,075*
7219-3-5In98.59910No11,751,669*
7118-5-4In97.79910No19,087,085*
7018-4-5In96.49820No30,251,249*
6917-6-4In94.597300No46,659,533*
6817-5-5In91.795500No70,115,774*
6717-4-6In87.893700No102,863,428*
6616-6-5In82.59010000No147,041,782*
6516-5-6In75.68614100No205,219,684*
6416-4-7In66.98019100No279,618,864*
6315-6-6In56.773252000No371,892,959*
6215-5-7In45.3643140000No483,205,889*
6114-7-6In33.6553781000No613,345,673*
6014-6-7In22.74442121000No760,442,486*
5914-5-8In13.633451930000No921,574,937*
5813-7-7In7.0234426610000No1,091,406,508*
5713-6-8In3.01539331120000No1,263,056,691*
5613-5-9In1.0931371940000No1,429,032,617*
5512-7-8100.0%0.24223727910000No1,580,217,890*
5412-6-9100.00.021331331740000No1,707,968,037*
5311-8-8100.00.016223425920000No1,804,569,351*
5211-7-9100.00.00313303217510000No1,863,365,212*
5111-6-10100.00.00162033261120000No1,880,389,407*
5010-8-999.90.00021126322071000No1,854,441,360*
4910-7-1099.5No00141731291540000No1,786,868,576*
4810-6-1197.9No000182232251020000No1,681,977,353*
479-8-1092.9No000031227311961000No1,546,586,039*
469-7-1182.0No000151731291430000No1,388,645,916*
459-6-1264.3No00001822322492000No1,217,197,242*
448-8-1143.1No00003122832196100No1,041,349,233*
438-7-1224.1No0001518322913300No869,280,904*
428-6-1311.0No0000292533237100.0%707,757,779*
417-8-124.1No0000415313115300.0561,711,335*
407-7-131.3No000017233525810.0434,502,854*
397-6-140.3No000031432331520.1327,329,025*
386-8-130.1No0001724382450.3240,027,083*
376-7-140.0No00003163634101.3171,276,180*
366-6-150.0No000193141183.7118,771,942*
355-8-140.0No00052345278.680,022,881*
345-7-150.0No000216443816.552,300,398*
335-6-160.0No000110404927.033,169,752*
324-8-15OutNo0005346039.220,357,127*
314-7-16OutNo003277051.712,090,602*
304-6-17OutNo001217863.36,931,311*
293-8-16OutNo01158473.33,836,587*
283-7-17OutNo00108981.32,043,230*
273-6-18OutNo0079387.41,042,761*
262-8-17OutNo049691.8510,875*
252-7-18OutNo039794.8239,837*
242-6-19OutNo029897.0106,896*
232-5-20OutNo19998.144,817*
221-7-19OutNo010098.917,861*
211-6-20OutNo010099.36,717*
201-5-21OutNo010099.82,387*
191-4-22OutNo010099.9755*
14-18OutNo100Yes306*
120-0-27OutNo0100100.02,647,247
Total:84.6%5.9%101111111098765432110.2%30,864,860,326

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNY Red BullsPhiladelphiaAtlantaColumbusMiami CFDC UnitedCharlotteTorontoMontrealChicagoNashvilleNYCFCOrlandoNew England
70-9312.5%Yes
6917-6-412.51000000000
6817-5-512.5100000000000000
6717-4-612.510000000000000000
6616-6-512.510000000000000000
6516-5-612.510000000000000000
6416-4-712.510000000000000000
6315-6-612.510000000000000000
6215-5-712.510000000000000000
14-8-512.510000000000000000
6114-7-612.59900000000000000
15-4-812.59900000000000000
6014-6-712.49900000000000000
15-3-912.49900000000000000
5914-5-812.49700000000000000
13-8-612.49700000000000000
5813-7-712.29311111100000000
14-4-912.29311111100000000
5713-6-811.98712222111110000
12-9-611.98612222111110000
14-3-1012.08811221111110000
5613-5-911.47723333211110000
12-8-711.47633333322110000
5512-7-810.56244554422221100
13-4-1010.76444444422221000
11-10-610.56244554432221100
5412-6-99.34656665533331110
11-9-79.24556666543331110
13-3-119.54856665533331110
5312-5-107.93167777644431111
11-8-87.62867777644431111
10-11-67.83067777644431111
5211-7-95.81567777644431111
12-4-116.11767787644431111
10-10-75.81567777644441111
5111-6-104.1756666544431111
10-9-84.0756666544431111
5010-8-92.2234444433221111
11-5-112.5344454433321111
4910-7-101.2122222222111100
4810-6-110.5011111111110000
479-8-100.1000000000000000
469-7-110.0000000000000000
459-6-120.0000000000000000
449-5-130.0000000000000000
438-7-120.000000000000000
428-6-130.000000000000000
418-5-140.00000000
407-7-130.000
12-39No
Total:5.4%32.52.22.42.52.62.32.21.51.51.41.20.50.40.30.2
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Thursday, 2024-4-11 11:13 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)