How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -4.9
-0.5
-0.7
+1.1
-0.4
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.4
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.4
+0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -0.1
DC United 2 Miami 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs DC United+6.7-4.6-9.8
+0.6-0.4-0.8
+0.5-0.4-0.7
-1.8+1.1+2.9
+0.6-0.4-0.8
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.4+0.8
+0.0-0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.6+0.3+0.6
+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.4-0.0-0.8
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
74-96In100.0%100No9,628*
7323-4-5In99.21000No1,191*
7222-6-4In98.81000No2,153*
7122-5-5In98.41000No3,623*
7022-4-6In97.5991No6,499*
6921-6-5In95.9991No10,795*
6821-5-6In94.19820No17,482*
6720-7-5In91.19730No28,000*
6620-6-6In87.39640No43,946*
6520-5-7In82.19460No66,906*
6419-7-6In75.49190No100,447*
6319-6-7In66.9871300No148,782*
6219-5-8In56.8821710No211,919*
6118-7-7In45.47523200No299,848*
6018-6-8In34.167294000No413,771*
5917-8-7In23.258357100No561,374*
5817-7-8In14.1484011100No743,716*
5717-6-9In7.33743173000No964,340*
5616-8-8In3.22743246100No1,228,360*
5516-7-9100.0%1.1173931112000No1,536,635*
5416-6-10100.00.3103235174100No1,882,235*
5315-8-9100.00.0523362592000No2,262,480*
5215-7-10100.00.021431311641000No2,664,792*
5115-6-1199.80.017233324102000No3,077,931*
5014-8-1098.9No03142830186100No3,492,550*
4914-7-1196.4No017203126123000No3,885,302*
4813-9-1090.0No0021125312182000No4,227,370*
4713-8-1177.7No00151528291651000No4,520,017*
4613-7-1259.5No00017203025123000No4,740,053*
4512-9-1139.0No0003112530218200No4,873,626*
4412-8-1221.3No0001516292916510No4,907,498*
4312-7-139.5No0002821312511200.0%4,844,367*
4211-9-123.5No000312273219610.04,683,938*
4111-8-131.0No000161932281220.04,442,867*
4011-7-140.2No00021127352040.14,136,809*
3910-9-130.1No0001519363090.43,769,580*
3810-8-140.0No0002123238161.53,359,716*
3710-7-150.0No00162543254.32,934,272*
369-9-140.0No00031743369.72,509,552*
359-8-15OutNo00111404718.22,102,988*
349-7-16OutNo0006355829.31,721,210*
338-9-15OutNo003286841.81,381,898*
328-8-16OutNo002217754.21,079,540*
318-7-17OutNo001168465.6829,469*
307-9-16OutNo00118975.1618,364*
297-8-17OutNo0089282.6453,418*
287-7-18OutNo059588.3323,005*
276-9-17OutNo039792.4224,468*
266-8-18OutNo029895.2152,178*
256-7-19OutNo019996.9100,342*
245-9-18OutNo19998.264,546*
235-8-19OutNo010098.940,556*
225-7-20OutNo010099.424,575*
214-9-19OutNo010099.714,442*
204-8-20OutNo010099.88,264*
194-7-21OutNo010099.94,564*
183-9-20OutNo010099.82,539*
0-17OutNo100Yes10,812*
Total:42.9%1.3%45667788991010115.5%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealDC UnitedChicagoPhiladelphiaNew EnglandOrlandoMiamiNYCFC
64-9612.5%Yes
6319-6-712.7100000000
6219-5-812.4100000000000000
6118-7-712.4100000000000000
6018-6-812.5100000000000000
5917-8-712.599000000000000
18-5-912.699000000000000
5817-7-812.499000000000000
18-4-1012.499000000000000
5717-6-912.497000000000000
16-9-712.397000000000000
5616-8-812.293111111000000
17-5-1012.394111111000000
5516-7-911.988111111111111
15-10-711.886122211111111
17-4-1112.088111111111110
5416-6-1011.479222222211111
15-9-811.377232322221111
17-3-1211.477222222221111
5315-8-910.464444443332222
16-5-1110.666444333222221
14-11-710.362444443332222
5215-7-109.348555554433332
14-10-89.045555554443332
16-4-129.348555554433332
5115-6-117.732666665444433
14-9-97.430666665444433
13-12-77.227666665444433
16-3-137.632666665444433
5014-8-105.717666665444443
15-5-125.818666665544443
13-11-85.315666665444433
4914-7-113.98555555444333
13-10-93.57555554443332
15-4-133.88555554444333
4814-6-122.33444443333322
13-9-102.13343333332222
12-12-82.02333333332222
4713-8-111.01222222221111
14-5-131.01222222221111
4613-7-120.40111111111111
12-10-100.40111111111110
4512-9-110.10000000000000
4412-8-120.00000000000000
4312-7-130.00000000000000
4211-9-120.0000000000000
4111-8-130.0000000000000
4011-7-14No000000
3910-9-13No0
0-38No
Total:2.6%14.11.41.41.41.41.41.21.01.00.90.90.80.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.9
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs DC United-1.2+0.8+1.7
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.0-0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.0-0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Chicago+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
75-96100
7423-5-41000
7323-4-59900
7222-6-49910
7122-5-59810
7022-4-69821
6921-6-59631
6821-5-694420
6720-7-591630
6620-6-687840
6520-5-78212600
6419-7-67515900
6319-6-7672012000
6219-5-85725170100
6118-7-745302112000
6018-6-8343326340000
5917-8-7233530570100
5817-7-8143431101101000
5717-6-9730281516130000
5616-8-83242221213601000
5516-7-9116142623710020000
5416-6-100107252114162401000
5315-8-90522115212059020000
5215-7-100211472419121524010000
5115-6-11010722013201969020000
5014-8-10003013623171315250100
4914-7-11001061181021188111300000
4813-9-100002011321141617482000
4713-8-11000105115722171115610000
4613-7-12000010721910201814620000
4512-9-11000003011421142016820000
4412-8-12000010511571723181031000
4312-7-1300002082818242112410000
4211-9-12000030291825221351000
4111-8-13000010028182524145100
4011-7-140000002818262414510
3910-9-130000000392028241230
3810-8-1400000131123302391
3710-7-15000014142731184
369-9-14000001720332910
359-8-150000312303718
349-7-1600016224129
338-9-150003154042
328-8-1600193654
318-7-1700052966
307-9-160022275
297-8-1700011683
287-7-18001188
276-9-1700792
266-8-180595
256-7-190397
245-9-180298
235-8-190199
225-7-200199
214-9-190100
204-8-200100
194-7-210100
183-9-200100
0-17100
Total:12232334343435444455555555