Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleCopa LibertadoresChance will finish season at seed
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPIStrength8/7
TolucaWPumas UNAM 2-162-0-0217.3%+6.931.2%+10.917141210976554322111005.1+1.501.552Toluca
Morelia62-0-0417.2-1.031.1-1.217141210976554322111005.1-0.061.574Morelia
Pachuca62-0-0215.6-0.728.8-0.916131110987654332211005.4-0.031.535Pachuca
León62-0-0513.5-0.725.8-0.913121110987654432211005.6-0.025.557León
Dorados41-1-017.5-0.416.0-0.68899988776554322117.0-0.015.535Dorados
Chiapas41-1-016.6-0.414.1-0.67888888776654432117.45.535at VeracruzChiapas
Puebla311-0-026.5-0.213.7-0.36788887776655432217.7+0.0414.513Puebla
Pumas UNAMLToluca 1-231-0-124.2-2.59.8-4.34667788777765543218.3-0.689.535Pumas UNAM
Querétaro31-0-113.3-0.27.9-0.33556777777776554328.9+0.051.519Querétaro
Atlas31-0-103.1-0.27.4-0.53456677777776654329.1-0.0314.492Atlas
Veracruz31-0-1-12.2-0.25.5-0.42345667777777765429.8-0.049.472ChiapasVeracruz
Cruz AzulWGuadalajara 1-031-0-1-21.1+0.33.1+0.912334556778888876511.1+1.089.431Cruz Azul
Monterrey010-0-1-30.7-0.02.0-0.011223345567889999812.1+0.1016.450Monterrey
Tijuana00-0-2-20.3-0.00.9-0.0011122344567891011121213.1+0.1112.448at Santos LagunaTijuana
Santos Laguna00-0-2-30.3-0.01.0-0.1011122344567891011121313.2+0.0512.438TijuanaSantos Laguna
América00-0-2-40.2-0.00.7-0.0001122334567891012131513.6+0.1118.441América
Tigres UANL00-0-2-20.2-0.00.7-0.0001122334567891012131513.7+0.115.409Tigres UANL
GuadalajaraLCruz Azul 0-100-0-2-30.1-0.60.4-1.6000111223345781013162314.6-2.2916.409Guadalajara

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/31
Querétaro 1 Pachuca 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Toluca-0.2
-0.3
Morelia-0.2
-0.3
Pachuca+7.1
+11.4
+1.8
León-0.2
-0.2
Dorados-0.2
Chiapas-0.2
Puebla-0.2
-0.2
Pumas UNAM-0.2
-0.2
Querétaro-5.5
-9.1
-1.6
Veracruz-0.2
-0.3
Toluca 2 Pumas UNAM 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Toluca+4.3
+7.0
+1.1
Morelia-0.3
-0.4
Pachuca-0.3
-0.3
León-0.3
-0.4
Dorados-0.2
-0.2
Chiapas-0.2
Puebla-0.2
Pumas UNAM-2.6
-4.7
-0.9
Tijuana 1 Dorados 2
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Toluca-0.4
-0.6
Morelia-0.3
-0.5
Pachuca-0.5
-0.7
León-0.3
-0.5
Dorados+4.2
+7.4
+1.7
Chiapas-0.2
-0.4
Puebla-0.3
-0.5
Pumas UNAM-0.3
-0.5
Querétaro-0.2
-0.3
Veracruz-0.4
-0.5
Tijuana-0.9
-2.0
-1.4
León 4 Veracruz 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Toluca-0.1
Morelia-0.1
Pachuca-0.1
León+3.7
+6.3
+1.2
Dorados-0.1
Puebla-0.1
Pumas UNAM-0.1
Veracruz-3.6
-5.8
-0.9
Morelia 1 Tigres UANL 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Toluca-0.4
-0.5
Morelia+3.5
+5.8
+1.0
Pachuca-0.5
-0.7
León-0.3
-0.4
Dorados-0.3
-0.5
Chiapas-0.2
-0.3
Puebla-0.3
-0.4
Pumas UNAM-0.3
-0.4
Querétaro-0.2
-0.3
Veracruz-0.3
-0.5
Tigres UANL-0.5
-1.1
-0.8
Chiapas 2 Santos Laguna 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Toluca-0.2
-0.3
Morelia-0.2
-0.3
Pachuca-0.3
-0.4
León-0.3
Dorados-0.2
-0.3
Chiapas+2.3
+4.2
+1.1
Puebla-0.3
Pumas UNAM-0.3
Querétaro-0.2
Veracruz-0.2
-0.3
Santos Laguna-0.6
-1.3
-0.8
América 1 Atlas 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Atlas+1.2
+2.7
+1.9
América-0.8
-2.0
-1.6
Guadalajara 0 Cruz Azul 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Morelia-0.2
Pachuca-0.2
Cruz Azul+1.0
+2.4
+1.8
Guadalajara-0.5
-1.3
-1.5
Week of 8/7
Toluca vs MoreliaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Toluca24.313.78.6
41.226.518.7
4.25.56.4
Morelia11.317.128.7
22.931.346.6
5.95.13.8
Puebla vs TolucaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Toluca11.816.827.6
23.331.045.6
5.95.13.8
Puebla9.94.82.7
19.810.86.8
6.58.29.1
Guadalajara vs MoreliaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Morelia11.015.024.8
22.028.241.9
6.15.34.1
Guadalajara0.30.10.0
0.80.20.1
13.514.815.4
Monterrey vs PachucaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Pachuca10.314.323.8
20.927.240.8
6.35.44.1
Monterrey1.40.50.2
3.51.40.7
10.912.513.4
Cruz Azul vs LeónHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
León8.311.820.5
17.623.636.7
6.75.84.4
Cruz Azul2.20.80.4
5.52.31.2
9.611.412.3
Pachuca vs AméricaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Pachuca20.411.88.5
36.123.317.7
4.55.96.8
América0.10.20.7
0.30.61.9
14.313.512.0
León vs Tigres UANLHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
León17.69.86.9
32.320.315.0
4.86.37.2
Tigres UANL0.10.20.7
0.30.61.9
14.313.511.9
Dorados vs QuerétaroHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Dorados10.85.43.4
21.912.28.2
6.07.68.6
Querétaro1.83.16.9
4.87.715.2
9.88.87.1
América vs DoradosHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Dorados4.46.512.5
10.314.424.7
8.17.25.6
América0.50.10.1
1.30.40.2
12.514.014.7
Puebla vs Pumas UNAMHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Puebla9.54.83.0
19.310.77.2
6.58.29.2
Pumas UNAM2.33.98.3
6.09.417.7
9.38.36.6
Veracruz vs ChiapasHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Chiapas3.85.811.4
9.013.022.7
8.57.55.9
Veracruz3.71.50.8
8.84.12.4
8.410.211.2
Chiapas vs Cruz AzulHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Chiapas9.24.52.9
19.010.57.1
6.48.19.1
Cruz Azul0.61.12.8
1.73.06.9
11.910.99.1
Pumas UNAM vs AtlasHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Pumas UNAM6.22.81.7
13.77.04.4
7.39.010.0
Atlas1.83.06.6
4.7*7.314.3
9.98.97.2
Querétaro vs Santos LagunaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Querétaro4.82.11.3
11.15.53.5
7.89.610.6
Santos Laguna0.10.30.9
0.50.92.4
13.913.111.4
Atlas vs MonterreyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Atlas4.52.01.2
10.45.13.2
8.09.710.8
Monterrey0.40.71.8
1.11.94.5
12.912.010.3
Tijuana vs VeracruzHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Veracruz1.21.94.5
3.35.010.4
10.79.78.0
Tijuana0.50.20.1
1.50.50.3
12.113.714.4
Santos Laguna vs TijuanaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Tijuana0.10.20.8
0.40.82.1
14.013.111.5
Santos Laguna0.60.20.1
1.60.60.3
12.113.714.5
Tigres UANL vs GuadalajaraHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Tigres UANL0.40.10.0
1.10.40.2
12.714.215.0
Guadalajara0.00.10.3
0.10.30.9
15.314.613.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you MarkusPaminger for adding this league.