East Playoff Chances

Season starts February 29th
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength2/29
NYCFC00-0-0053.8%3.8%3.8%88888888888887.03.8%1.500New York City FC
Chicago00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500Chicago Fire FC
Columbus00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500Columbus Crew
Montreal00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500New EnglandMontreal Impact
Atlanta00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500at NashvilleAtlanta United
Cincinnati00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500at San JoseToronto FC
Philadelphia00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500at FC DallasPhiladelphia Union
New England00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500at MontrealNew England Revolution
DC United00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500ColoradoDC United
Orlando00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500RSLOrlando City SC
Miami00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500Inter Miami CF
NY Red Bulls00-0-0053.83.83.888888888888887.03.81.500New York Red Bulls

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/29
Columbus vs NYCFCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:30 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC48.854.365.1
3.33.95.1
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Columbus60.349.343.9
4.53.32.8
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.0
NY Red Bulls vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
10:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Cincinnati48.854.365.1
3.33.95.1
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
NY Red Bulls60.349.343.9
4.53.32.8
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.0
Montreal vs New EnglandHomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal60.349.343.9
4.53.32.8
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.0
New England48.854.365.0
3.33.95.1
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
DC United vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
10:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Chicago53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Columbus53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Montreal53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Atlanta53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Cincinnati53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Toronto FC53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Philadelphia53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
New England53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
DC United59.949.344.8
4.53.32.9
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.1
Orlando53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Miami53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
NY Red Bulls53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Orlando vs RSLHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Chicago53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Columbus53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Montreal53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Atlanta53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Cincinnati53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Toronto FC53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Philadelphia53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
New England53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
DC United53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
Orlando59.949.344.8
4.53.32.9
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.1
Miami53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
NY Red Bulls53.354.254.6
3.83.93.9
LAFC vs MiamiHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Atlanta54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Cincinnati54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Toronto FC54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Philadelphia54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
Orlando54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Miami49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
FC Dallas vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Atlanta54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Toronto FC54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Philadelphia49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
New England54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
DC United54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
Miami54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Nashville vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Chicago54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Montreal54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Atlanta49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
New England54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
DC United54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
Orlando54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
NY Red Bulls54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
San Jose vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Columbus54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Toronto FC49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Orlando54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Miami54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
NY Red Bulls54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Seattle vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Atlanta54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Cincinnati54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Philadelphia54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Orlando54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Week of 3/7
New England vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
10:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago48.854.365.1
3.33.95.1
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
New England60.349.343.9
4.53.32.8
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.0
Toronto FC vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC48.854.365.1
3.33.95.1
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Toronto FC60.349.343.9
4.53.32.8
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.0
Atlanta vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta60.349.343.9
4.53.32.8
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.0
Cincinnati48.854.365.1
3.33.95.1
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
DC United vs MiamiHomeDrawAway
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United60.349.343.9
4.53.32.8
5.12.82.1
2.54.76.0
Miami48.854.365.1
3.33.95.1
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Colorado vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Atlanta54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Cincinnati54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
DC United54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Orlando49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Miami54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
LAFC vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
Chicago54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Columbus54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Atlanta54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Toronto FC54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Philadelphia49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Orlando54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
FC Dallas vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Montreal49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Atlanta54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Cincinnati54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Toronto FC54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
New England54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Seattle vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9
Cincinnati54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Philadelphia54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
New England54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
Orlando54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
RSL vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
Chicago54.2*53.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
DC United54.253.853.0
3.93.83.7
3.83.93.8
NY Red Bulls49.453.964.3
3.43.85.0
2.83.76.4
4.83.61.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeNYCFCChicagoColumbusMontrealAtlantaCincinnatiToronto FCPhiladelphiaNew EnglandDC UnitedOrlandoMiamiNY Red Bulls
NYCFC23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Chicago23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Columbus23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Montreal23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Atlanta23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Cincinnati23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Toronto FC23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Philadelphia23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
New England23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
DC United23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Orlando23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Miami23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
NY Red Bulls23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3