East Playoff Chances

NYCFC +25.1, DC United -16.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/12PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Red Bulls62-0-0279.1%-2.57.8%-0.411.6%-1.52216131198654324.1-0.230.6%-0.01.476New York Red Bulls
Fire41-1-0270.2-3.16.4-0.57.1-1.015131211109876544.8-0.251.2-0.17.476at AtlantaChicago Fire
Orlando311-0-0167.1-3.56.0-0.56.4-1.013121211109887645.1-0.271.6-0.12.467UnionOrlando City SC
NYCFCWDC United 4-031-0-1366.6+25.15.9+3.06.1+4.413121111109987645.1+1.871.6-6.214.480ImpactNew York City FC
AtlantaWMinnesota 6-131-0-1463.3+21.25.5+2.45.0+3.4111111111010988755.4+1.572.0-5.73.471FireAtlanta United FC
Toronto FC20-2-0053.2-4.14.2-0.53.1-0.678991010101010986.1-0.303.5-0.121.449at WhitecapsToronto FC
Union20-2-0047.2-3.93.6-0.42.2-0.4578891010101111116.6-0.284.6-0.119.449at OrlandoPhiladelphia Union
DC UnitedLNYCFC 0-410-1-1-442.8-16.93.1-1.91.8-2.646789910111112136.9-1.235.8+2.519.449CrewDC United
Revolution010-0-1-138.3-4.02.7-0.41.4-0.345678910111213167.2-0.297.4-0.218.426at FC DallasNew England Revolution
Impact10-1-1-138.1-4.02.7-0.41.3-0.335678910111214157.2-0.297.2-0.111.438at NYCFCMontreal Impact
Crew10-1-1-234.2-4.32.3-0.41.0-0.334567810111315187.5-0.318.6-0.04.430at DC UnitedColumbus Crew

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/11
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls-1.0
Fire-1.1
Orlando-1.0
NYCFC-1.1
Atlanta+10.7
+1.1
+1.4
-3.9
Toronto FC-1.0
Union-1.0
DC United-1.1
Revolution-1.1
Impact-1.1
Crew-1.1
NYCFC 4 DC United 0
2:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls-0.2
Fire-0.2
Orlando-0.2
NYCFC+7.2
+0.7
+0.7
-2.6
Atlanta-0.2
Toronto FC-0.2
Union-0.2
DC United-5.6
-0.7
-1.3
+1.0
Revolution-0.2
Impact-0.2
Crew-0.2
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls-0.6
Fire+6.5
+0.7
+1.3
-1.5
Orlando-0.6
NYCFC-0.7
Atlanta-0.7
Toronto FC-0.6
Union-0.6
DC United-0.7
Revolution-0.7
Impact-0.7
Crew-0.7
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+5.7
+0.8
+2.3
-0.8
Fire-0.6
Orlando-0.5
NYCFC-0.6
Atlanta-0.6
Toronto FC-0.5
Union-0.5
DC United-0.6
Revolution-0.6
Impact-0.6
Crew-0.6
Dynamo 3 Crew 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+0.4
Fire+0.5
Orlando+0.4
NYCFC+0.5
Atlanta+0.5
Toronto FC+0.4
Union+0.4
DC United+0.5
Revolution+0.5
Impact+0.5
Crew-4.5
-0.5
-0.8
+1.2
Impact 2 Sounders 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+0.4
Fire+0.5
Orlando+0.4
NYCFC+0.4
Atlanta+0.4
Toronto FC+0.4
Union+0.4
DC United+0.4
Revolution+0.4
Impact-4.3
-0.4
-0.5
+1.5
Crew+0.5
Union 2 Toronto FC 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls+0.4
Fire+0.4
NYCFC+0.4
Atlanta+0.4
Toronto FC+0.6
+0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Union-4.1
-0.5
-1.4
+0.6
DC United+0.4
Revolution+0.4
Impact+0.4
Crew+0.4
Revolution vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando61.967.376.8
5.36.07.3
4.86.09.9
2.21.50.7
Revolution45.234.329.3
3.32.31.8
2.01.00.7
5.08.610.7
Week of 3/18
DC United vs CrewIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United49.338.032.6
3.72.62.2
2.41.20.9
3.87.09.1
Crew29.534.745.8
1.92.33.3
0.71.02.0
10.58.24.6
Orlando vs UnionHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando73.162.957.2
6.85.44.7
8.24.93.8
1.02.02.8
Union42.147.859.3
3.03.64.9
1.62.24.0
5.74.32.3
NYCFC vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC72.462.156.3
6.75.34.6
7.84.63.6
1.02.12.9
Impact33.538.850.2
2.22.73.8
0.91.32.5
8.66.83.8
Atlanta vs FireHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Fire65.670.879.9
5.76.57.8
5.47.011.3
1.61.20.5
Atlanta69.959.253.6
6.34.94.2
6.73.82.8
1.22.43.2
Whitecaps vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC67.066.665.5
6.0*5.95.8
6.16.16.0
Atlanta63.8*63.362.2
5.5*5.55.3
5.15.15.0
Toronto FC48.453.163.8
3.74.25.4
2.22.95.2
4.43.31.6
Union47.7*47.246.0
3.6*3.63.4
4.74.54.5
DC United43.3*42.841.6
3.23.13.0
5.95.75.6
Revolution38.8*38.337.2
2.7*2.72.6
7.57.37.2
Impact38.6*38.137.0
2.7*2.72.6
7.37.17.0
Crew34.7*34.233.2
2.3*2.32.2
8.88.58.5
FC Dallas vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta63.763.362.2
5.5*5.55.3
4.95.15.2
Toronto FC53.653.152.0
4.2*4.24.1
3.03.13.1
3.4*3.53.6
Union47.647.246.0
3.6*3.63.5
2.22.32.3
4.6*4.64.7
DC United43.242.741.6
3.1*3.13.0
5.7*5.85.9
Revolution34.338.649.3
2.32.73.7
1.01.42.7
8.87.03.9
Impact38.538.037.0
2.7*2.72.6
7.1*7.27.4
Sounders vs Red BullsHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Red Bulls75.5*79.186.2
7.27.78.9
9.111.217.1
0.80.60.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeRed BullsFireOrlandoNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCUnionDC UnitedRevolutionImpactCrew
Red Bulls51.42.32.32.32.32.12.01.81.61.71.5
Fire40.12.32.52.52.52.32.11.91.71.71.6
Orlando37.02.32.52.52.52.22.01.91.71.71.5
NYCFC36.32.32.52.52.52.32.11.91.71.71.6
Atlanta32.92.32.52.52.52.22.01.91.71.71.5
Toronto FC24.22.12.32.22.32.21.91.71.51.51.4
Union19.92.02.12.02.12.01.91.51.41.41.3
DC United17.11.81.91.91.91.91.71.51.31.31.2
Revolution14.61.61.71.71.71.71.51.41.31.21.0
Impact14.31.71.71.71.71.71.51.41.31.21.0
Crew12.21.51.61.51.61.51.41.31.21.01.0