East Playoff Chances

Atlanta +1.7, Orlando -5.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
5/13PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
AtlantaWOrlando 2-12518-1-21299.1%+1.711.5%+1.031.2%+11.8462414852100002.1+0.570.0%-0.04.581Atlanta United
NY Red Bulls1836-0-31295.2+0.19.5+0.012.4-1.220221916127310003.2-0.050.07.570New York Red Bulls
NYCFCTLAFC 2-22116-3-2595.2+0.59.2+0.19.9-1.217222017128310003.3-0.010.0-0.01.527New York City FC
Columbus216-3-3790.5+0.27.5+0.04.3-0.581417191814621004.1-0.030.021.573Columbus Crew
OrlandoLAtlanta 1-21926-1-3482.4-5.65.6-1.42.6-2.859131719191052104.8-0.570.1+0.08.515Orlando City SC
New England1725-2-3481.4+0.55.4+0.12.4-0.259131719191052104.8+0.010.1-0.011.519New England Revolution
Chicago1123-2-5-418.3+1.00.5+0.00.0-0.0001251019191815118.1+0.046.1-0.314.445Chicago Fire
Philadelphia1123-2-5-612.7+0.50.3+0.00.0-0.000113715192018148.5+0.018.3-0.220.406Philadelphia Union
DC United541-2-5-611.7+0.30.3+0.00.0-0.000113714171919198.7-0.0112.1-0.017.428DC United
Toronto FC732-1-6-68.0+0.50.2+0.00.0-0.000012511161922259.1+0.0215.8-0.623.430Toronto FC
Montreal913-0-8-125.6+0.30.1+0.00.00001149141923309.3+0.0119.1-0.518.392Montreal Impact

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/12
Columbus 3 Chicago 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus+5.9
+0.8
+0.8
Chicago-5.3
-0.3
+0.7
DC United-0.2
Toronto FC-0.2
Montreal-0.2
New England 3 Toronto FC 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls-0.2
Columbus-0.4
Orlando-0.2
New England+5.6
+0.7
+0.7
Chicago-0.7
Philadelphia-0.2
-0.5
DC United-0.5
-0.2
Toronto FC-2.8
+2.3
Montreal-0.4
-0.2
Montreal 0 Philadelphia 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus+0.3
Orlando+0.2
New England+0.2
Chicago+0.2
Philadelphia+4.2
-9.6
DC United+0.5
Toronto FC+0.6
Montreal-5.5
-0.2
+6.3
Orlando 1 Atlanta 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+1.4
+0.8
+8.0
NY Red Bulls+0.2
-0.9
NYCFC-0.8
Columbus+0.3
-0.4
Orlando-4.8
-1.2
-2.6
New England+0.4
-0.2
Chicago+0.7
Philadelphia+0.5
DC United+0.4
Toronto FC+0.4
Montreal+0.3
Colorado 1 NY Red Bulls 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta-0.8
NY Red Bulls+3.9
+1.0
+4.1
NYCFC-0.2
-0.5
Columbus-0.5
-0.2
Orlando-0.3
-0.2
-0.3
New England-0.5
-0.2
Chicago-0.7
Philadelphia-0.2
-0.3
DC United-0.6
Toronto FC-0.4
-0.2
Montreal-0.4
-0.2
RSL 3 DC United 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls+0.3
NYCFC+0.2
Columbus+0.6
Orlando+0.3
New England+0.6
Chicago+0.5
DC United-3.3
+2.4
Toronto FC+0.2
Montreal+0.3
LAFC 2 NYCFC 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+0.7
NY Red Bulls+0.5
NYCFC+0.3
Columbus+0.2
Orlando+0.2
Chicago*-0.1
FC Dallas 3 LA Galaxy 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta-0.2
Philadelphia-0.2
Portland 1 Seattle 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC-0.2
Montreal-0.2
Minnesota 1 San Jose 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia+0.8
DC United+0.4
Toronto FC+0.5
Montreal+0.4
Toronto FC vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando77.782.289.2
4.85.46.7
1.62.24.2
Chicago18.718.617.3
6.46.05.7
DC United12.011.911.0
12.711.911.4
Toronto FC11.46.44.5
0.30.10.1
10.817.721.3
Montreal5.95.85.2
20.018.818.1
Week of 5/19
New England vs ColumbusIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus87.490.795.2
6.67.58.9
2.83.87.1
New England86.979.174.6
6.55.04.2
3.51.71.2
0.00.10.2
Chicago vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus89.790.891.2
Orlando81.483.083.5
New England80.381.982.5
Chicago23.615.512.8
0.70.40.3
3.67.09.0
San Jose vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando82.982.581.2
New England81.881.480.0
DC United9.411.618.2
0.20.30.5
14.411.46.4
Philadelphia vs RSLHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando81.883.083.3
New England80.781.982.3
Philadelphia16.29.97.9
0.40.20.1
5.310.113.0
Toronto FC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando81.882.783.0
DC United11.411.811.9
12.711.911.5
Toronto FC11.26.65.1
0.30.10.1
10.517.421.0
Montreal5.55.75.8
20.118.818.2
NYCFC vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta11.411.511.6
30.532.032.4
NYCFC96.893.992.2
9.88.78.2
12.67.45.8
Montreal vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC7.98.18.1
16.515.415.0
Montreal7.74.23.2
0.10.10.0
13.522.026.8
Houston vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta11.5*11.511.4
31.831.429.7
NYCFC93.995.497.6
8.79.210.3
7.69.615.6
Atlanta vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta99.698.998.4
11.811.310.9
37.626.420.9
NY Red Bulls94.195.597.7
9.19.610.6
8.912.820.5
NYCFC9.29.29.1
9.410.710.4
Minnesota vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta33.232.128.8
NY Red Bulls13.312.811.3
NYCFC10.710.39.0
Portland vs LAFCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta31.831.529.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeAtlantaNY Red BullsNYCFCColumbusOrlandoNew EnglandChicagoPhiladelphiaDC UnitedToronto FCMontreal
Atlanta83.91.61.82.62.72.80.50.30.30.20.1
NY Red Bulls60.61.64.06.06.16.21.10.70.70.40.3
NYCFC58.51.84.06.56.66.51.20.80.70.50.3
Columbus39.02.66.06.59.29.01.50.90.90.60.4
Orlando27.52.76.16.69.28.11.20.80.80.50.3
New England26.62.86.26.59.08.11.20.80.70.50.3
Chicago1.50.51.11.21.51.21.20.10.10.10.0
Philadelphia0.80.30.70.80.90.80.80.10.10.00.0
DC United0.80.30.70.70.90.80.70.10.10.00.0
Toronto FC0.40.20.40.50.60.50.50.10.00.00.0
Montreal0.20.10.30.30.40.30.30.00.00.00.0