East Playoff Chances

Philadelphia +3.7, Chicago -0.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/8PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change12345678910111213Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Atlanta62-0-0280.6%-0.37.3%-0.010.4%+0.1211512108765443214.5-0.030.5%+0.012.471Sporting KCAtlanta United
Columbus41-1-0171.0-0.35.8-0.05.9+0.1131211109887655435.5-0.031.1+0.05.471RSLColumbus Crew
Toronto FC41-1-0169.2-0.35.5-0.05.3+0.1121111109887665435.6-0.031.2-0.012.464NashvilleToronto FC
NY Red Bulls41-1-0167.5-0.45.3-0.04.9+0.1111110109887765435.8-0.031.4+0.012.461New York Red Bulls
Montreal41-1-0167.1-0.45.2-0.04.8+0.1111110109887765435.8-0.031.4+0.05.461Montreal Impact
DC United31-0-1055.0-0.23.8-0.02.5+0.167888888888766.9-0.012.9-0.011.453at CincinnatiDC United
Chicago10-1-1-147.5-0.43.0-0.01.7+0.056678888999997.6-0.044.2+0.023.442at OrlandoChicago Fire FC
PhiladelphiaTLAFC 3-310-1-1-247.0+3.72.9+0.31.6+0.346677888999997.6+0.324.4-1.216.439San JosePhiladelphia Union
New England10-1-1-143.0-0.22.6+0.01.3+0.045667888991010108.0-0.025.4-0.023.442New England Revolution
Cincinnati00-0-2-242.9-0.22.6-0.01.3+0.045667788991010118.0-0.025.5-0.021.439DC UnitedFC Cincinnati
Orlando10-1-1-140.8-0.32.4-0.01.1+0.0345677889101011118.2-0.035.9+0.012.434ChicagoOrlando City SC
Miami00-0-2-237.2-0.42.1-0.00.9+0.0345567889101112138.5-0.037.3+0.123.426LA GalaxyInter Miami CF
NYCFC00-0-2-231.2-0.11.6+0.00.6+0.0234556789101114179.0-0.029.8+0.023.412FC DallasNew York City FC

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/7
DC United 2 Miami 1
12:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC-0.1
DC United+6.3
+0.5
+0.5
-2.1
Chicago-0.1
Philadelphia-0.1
New England-0.1
Cincinnati-0.1
Orlando-0.1
Miami-4.9
-0.4
-0.5
+1.5
NYCFC-0.1
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC+6.2
+0.7
+1.0
-1.2
Chicago-0.1
Philadelphia-0.1
New England-0.1
Cincinnati-0.1
NYCFC-4.8
-0.4
-0.5
+1.4
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+5.6
+0.8
+1.9
-0.6
Toronto FC-0.1
DC United-0.1
Chicago-0.1
New England-0.1
Cincinnati-4.9
-0.5
-0.7
+1.1
Orlando-0.1
Miami-0.1
NYCFC-0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1
10:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+0.4
Columbus+0.4
Toronto FC+0.4
NY Red Bulls+0.4
Montreal+0.4
DC United+0.4
Chicago+0.4
-0.1
-0.3
Philadelphia+0.4
New England-4.7
-0.5
-0.6
+1.1
Cincinnati+0.4
Orlando+0.4
Miami+0.4
NYCFC+0.4
Colorado 2 Orlando 1
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+0.3
Columbus+0.3
Toronto FC+0.4
NY Red Bulls+0.4
Montreal+0.4
DC United+0.4
Chicago+0.4
Philadelphia+0.4
New England+0.4
Cincinnati+0.4
Orlando-4.5
-0.5
-1.2
+0.7
Miami+0.4
NYCFC+0.4
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia+0.4
-0.4
Orlando-0.1
Miami*-0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls+0.3
-0.1
-0.2
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2
12:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Montreal+0.3
-0.1
-0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus+0.1
-0.2
-0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta-0.2
Columbus-0.2
Montreal-0.2
Week of 3/14
Orlando vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Chicago42.247.859.1
2.53.04.1
1.21.53.0
5.34.02.1
Orlando47.436.231.1
2.92.01.6
1.50.70.5
4.07.19.1
Cincinnati vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
2:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United49.755.366.3
3.23.75.0
1.82.34.3
3.62.71.3
Cincinnati49.638.333.1
3.12.11.7
1.80.90.6
3.76.68.4
Philadelphia vs San JoseHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC68.769.670.0
5.55.65.6
NY Red Bulls67.067.968.2
5.25.35.4
Montreal66.667.567.9
5.25.35.3
DC United54.455.455.8
3.73.83.8
Chicago46.947.948.3
2.93.03.0
*4.24.24.3
Philadelphia53.242.237.8
3.52.52.1
2.21.10.8
2.95.47.1
New England42.443.443.8
2.52.62.6
5.45.35.4
Cincinnati42.443.343.8
2.52.62.6
5.55.55.6
Orlando40.341.341.7
2.32.42.4
5.95.96.0
Miami36.637.638.0
2.02.12.1
7.37.27.3
New England vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
10:30 AM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls67.067.968.2
5.25.35.4
Montreal66.667.567.9
5.25.35.3
DC United54.555.455.8
3.73.83.8
Chicago46.947.948.3
2.93.03.0
Philadelphia46.447.447.8
2.93.03.0
New England49.138.333.9
3.12.11.8
1.80.90.6
3.66.58.3
Cincinnati42.443.343.7
2.52.62.6
5.55.45.5
Orlando40.341.341.7
2.32.42.4
Miami36.637.637.9
2.02.12.1
7.37.27.2
Miami vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
11:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United54.555.455.8
3.73.83.8
Chicago46.947.948.2
4.34.2*4.2
Philadelphia46.547.447.8
2.93.03.0
New England42.543.443.8
5.45.3*5.4
Cincinnati42.443.343.7
5.55.45.5
Orlando40.341.241.6
6.05.95.9
Miami43.132.728.6
2.51.71.4
1.20.60.4
5.08.611.0
Toronto FC vs NashvilleHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC74.464.860.3
6.24.94.4
6.73.93.0
0.71.52.2
DC United54.555.455.8
3.73.83.9
2.8*2.93.0
Chicago47.047.948.3
2.93.03.1
4.2*4.34.4
Philadelphia46.547.447.8
2.93.03.0
4.4*4.44.6
New England42.543.443.8
2.52.62.7
5.35.45.6
Orlando40.441.241.6
2.32.42.5
5.8*5.96.1
Columbus vs RSLHomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus76.266.862.5
6.55.24.6
7.64.53.4
0.61.41.9
DC United54.555.455.8
3.73.83.9
NYCFC vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:30 AM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
DC United54.455.355.7
2.52.52.4
2.92.82.8
NYCFC37.727.924.1
2.11.41.1
0.90.40.3
6.611.013.5
Minnesota vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NY Red Bulls63.567.877.0
4.7*5.36.6
3.54.88.3
1.71.30.6
Atlanta vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta85.177.774.0
8.16.86.2
13.38.26.2
0.30.60.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealDC UnitedChicagoPhiladelphiaNew EnglandCincinnatiOrlandoMiamiNYCFC
Atlanta48.71.91.91.91.91.71.51.51.41.41.31.21.0
Columbus36.21.92.02.02.01.71.51.51.41.41.31.21.0
Toronto FC34.31.92.02.02.01.71.51.51.41.41.31.21.0
NY Red Bulls32.41.92.02.02.01.71.51.51.41.41.31.21.0
Montreal32.11.92.02.02.01.71.51.51.41.41.31.21.0
DC United21.81.71.71.71.71.71.31.31.21.21.11.00.8
Chicago16.81.51.51.51.51.51.31.11.01.01.00.90.7
Philadelphia16.61.51.51.51.51.51.31.11.01.01.00.90.7
New England14.21.41.41.41.41.41.21.01.00.90.90.80.7
Cincinnati14.11.41.41.41.41.41.21.01.00.90.90.80.7
Orlando13.01.31.31.31.31.31.11.01.00.90.90.80.6
Miami11.21.21.21.21.21.21.00.90.90.80.80.80.6
NYCFC8.61.01.01.01.01.00.80.70.70.70.70.60.6