East Playoff Chances

Montreal +0.7, Columbus -0.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
AtlantaWColumbus 3-151115-6-424In+0.012.5%+0.040.7%+7.44338180001.8+0.15No1.651Atlanta United
NY Red Bulls48215-3-622100.0%12.5+0.042.3-4.8453520000001.8-0.07No4.654at NYCFCNew York Red Bulls
NYCFC47114-5-615100.012.4+0.010.8-1.4122758300002.5-0.04No3.594NY Red BullsNew York City FC
ColumbusLAtlanta 1-339111-6-8097.9-0.77.6-0.60.0-0.100370186200004.3-0.13No8.492Columbus Crew
Philadelphia33210-3-11-571.8-0.12.3+0.20.00001433251693005.8+0.030.0%13.455Philadelphia Union
DC UnitedNew England2456-6-9-346.0+0.11.2+0.10.0-0.000061822211910416.8+0.020.114.470DC United
New Englandat DC United2937-8-8040.6+0.10.9+0.10.000041521232210316.9+0.010.1+0.016.492New England Revolution
Montreal3310-3-13-936.2+0.70.6+0.1No0031221262411207.0+0.030.015.425Montreal Impact
Toronto FC2426-6-12-56.6+0.00.1+0.0No00251018372188.8-0.011.7+0.020.460Toronto FC
Orlando2327-2-15-200.8+0.00.0+0.0No00012518383610.010.8-0.119.377Orlando City SC
Chicago236-5-15-150.2+0.00.0No0001311315410.3+0.0116.4-0.422.396Chicago Fire

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/18
Philadelphia 2 NYCFC 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+2.7
NY Red Bulls+3.8
NYCFC-7.1
Columbus-0.2
Philadelphia+13.2
+0.6
DC United-3.5
New England-4.0
Montreal-3.6
Toronto FC-1.4
Orlando-0.3
Chicago-0.2
Montreal 2 Chicago 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus-0.2
Philadelphia-2.4
DC United-2.2
New England-2.2
Montreal+8.5
+0.2
-0.1
Toronto FC-0.8
-0.3
Orlando-0.2
-0.8
Chicago-0.6
+4.3
San Jose 1 Toronto FC 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia+0.3
DC United+0.2
New England+0.2
Montreal+0.2
Toronto FC-1.1
-1.1
Orlando-1.9
Chicago-2.6
Atlanta 3 Columbus 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
AtlantaIn
+7.0
NY Red Bulls-4.1
NYCFC-1.6
Columbus-0.4
-0.3
-0.1
Philadelphia+0.1
+0.1
DC United+0.1
New England+0.1
Montreal+0.1
Vancouver 2 NY Red Bulls 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta+2.4
NY Red BullsIn
-4.9
NYCFC+1.9
FC Dallas 2 Minnesota 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta-0.3
NY Red Bulls-0.4
NYCFC-0.2
Sporting KC 3 Portland 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta-0.1
NY Red Bulls-0.1
DC United vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia71.573.370.9
2.22.42.2
DC United57.639.528.2
1.60.90.6
0.0NoNo
0.00.20.4
New England29.942.261.3
0.60.91.7
No*No0.0
Montreal35.838.434.8
0.60.70.6
Toronto FC6.57.36.1
Orlando vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta28.134.651.1
NY Red Bulls50.146.135.9
NYCFC13.712.28.4
Orlando1.80.50.3
4.010.414.8
Chicago17.9*16.415.5
NYCFC vs NY Red BullsHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta43.743.933.5
NY Red Bulls31.542.059.0
NYCFC12.5*12.412.3
18.07.13.0
Houston vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta41.541.038.9
NY Red Bulls43.142.640.6
LAFC vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando10.411.011.7
Chicago15.916.617.8
Week of 8/25
Philadelphia vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia83.466.753.9
3.01.91.3
0.00.0No
No*0.00.0
DC United45.847.544.9
1.11.31.2
New England29.841.361.1
0.50.91.8
No*No0.0
Montreal35.838.135.2
0.60.70.6
DC United vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia63.874.988.3
1.72.43.5
No0.00.0
0.00.0No
DC United56.338.429.0
1.60.80.4
0.00.0No
0.00.20.4
New England39.742.340.9
0.90.90.8
Montreal35.338.036.3
0.60.70.5
Toronto FC vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia73.172.567.4
2.3*2.32.1
DC United47.446.541.4
1.2*1.21.1
New England42.041.136.0
0.9*0.90.8
Montreal28.637.455.8
0.40.61.2
0.00.0No
Toronto FC9.73.61.7
0.10.00.0
0.62.43.8
NY Red Bulls vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta36.546.350.2
NY Red BullsIn*In100.0
49.033.327.1
NYCFC9.412.814.0
Philadelphia72.971.267.3
2.3*2.22.0
DC United41.448.363.7
1.01.22.0
New England41.939.935.3
0.9*0.90.8
Montreal37.635.430.8
0.7*0.60.5
Toronto FC7.06.45.1
Portland vs Toronto FCHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Philadelphia72.371.970.1
DC United46.546.144.1
New England41.2*40.638.7
Montreal36.7*36.334.6
Toronto FC4.26.314.0
0.00.10.2
2.31.40.3
Chicago vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus96.698.099.5
7.07.58.5
Orlando12.210.39.2
Chicago8.319.025.2
NY Red Bulls vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta36.045.849.8
NY Red BullsIn*In100.0
49.834.027.7
NYCFC9.212.713.9
San Jose vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta41.641.239.4
NY Red Bulls43.242.841.0
Toronto FC2.41.41.1
Orlando14.79.67.5
Chicago22.314.511.4
San Jose vs VancouverHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC2.21.21.0
Orlando13.68.86.7
Chicago20.813.210.3
Colorado vs RSLHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando11.510.49.6
Chicago17.415.814.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeAtlantaNY Red BullsNYCFCColumbusPhiladelphiaDC UnitedNew EnglandMontrealToronto FCOrlandoChicago
Atlanta99.70.00.00.00.10.10.10.00.00.00.0
NY Red Bulls99.60.00.00.00.20.10.10.00.00.00.0
NYCFC96.50.00.00.31.30.90.60.40.00.00.0
Columbus3.80.00.00.339.419.315.512.11.50.10.0
Philadelphia0.30.10.21.339.42.51.71.60.20.00.0
DC United0.20.10.10.919.32.50.70.60.00.00.0
New England0.00.10.10.615.51.70.70.40.00.00.0
Montreal0.00.00.00.412.11.60.60.40.00.00.0
Toronto FC0.00.00.00.01.50.20.00.00.00.00.0
Orlando0.00.00.00.00.10.00.00.00.00.0
Chicago0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0