East Playoff Chances

Season starts March 3rd
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin CupSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength3/3
NYCFC00-0-0054.6%4.5%4.3%999999999996.04.3%1.500New York City FC
Toronto FC00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500ColumbusToronto FC
Orlando00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500DC UnitedOrlando City SC
Atlanta00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500at HoustonAtlanta United
New England00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500at PhiladelphiaNew England Revolution
Philadelphia00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500New EnglandPhiladelphia Union
Columbus00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500at Toronto FCColumbus Crew
DC United00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500at OrlandoDC United
Chicago00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500Chicago Fire
Montreal00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500Montreal Impact
NY Red Bulls00-0-0054.54.54.3999999999996.04.31.500New York Red Bulls

Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored.
Direct Comments/Corrections to Joshuabrianlane@gmail.com

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/3
Philadelphia vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
New England49.455.065.9
3.94.65.9
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
Philadelphia61.250.144.5
5.34.03.4
5.73.32.5
2.85.26.8
Toronto FC vs ColumbusHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC61.250.144.5
5.34.03.4
5.73.32.5
2.85.26.8
Columbus49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
Orlando vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando61.250.144.5
5.34.03.4
5.73.32.5
2.85.26.8
DC United49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
Columbus vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Columbus61.250.144.5
5.34.03.4
5.73.32.5
2.85.26.8
Montreal49.455.065.8
3.94.65.9
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
Vancouver vs MontrealHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Orlando55.0*54.553.5
4.64.54.4
4.34.44.3
New England55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Chicago55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Montreal50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
NY Red Bulls55.054.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Houston vs AtlantaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Orlando55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Atlanta50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
Philadelphia55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Columbus55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
DC United55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Chicago55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Sporting KC vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
Orlando55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Atlanta55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Philadelphia55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
NY Red Bulls55.054.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Week of 3/10
Montreal vs Toronto FCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC49.455.165.9
3.94.65.9
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
Montreal61.250.144.5
5.34.03.4
5.73.32.5
2.85.26.8
Atlanta vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Atlanta61.250.144.5
5.34.03.4
5.73.32.5
2.85.26.8
DC United49.455.165.8
3.94.65.9
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
DC United vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Orlando53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Atlanta53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
New England53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Philadelphia53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Columbus53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
DC United60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
5.83.32.4
2.85.26.8
Chicago53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Montreal53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
NY Red Bulls53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
NY Red Bulls vs PortlandHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Orlando53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Atlanta53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
New England53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Philadelphia53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Columbus53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
DC United53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Chicago53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Montreal53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
NY Red Bulls60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
5.73.32.4
2.85.26.8
Orlando vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Orlando60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
5.83.32.4
2.85.26.8
Atlanta53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
New England53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Philadelphia53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Columbus53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
DC United53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Chicago53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Montreal53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
NY Red Bulls53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Chicago vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC53.955.055.5
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Orlando53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Atlanta53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
New England53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Philadelphia53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Columbus53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
DC United53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Chicago60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
5.83.32.4
2.85.26.8
Montreal53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
NY Red Bulls53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
NYCFC vs LA GalaxyHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
5.73.32.4
2.85.26.8
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Orlando53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Atlanta53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
New England53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Philadelphia53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Columbus53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
DC United53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Chicago53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Montreal53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
NY Red Bulls53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
New England vs ColoradoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
NYCFC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Toronto FC53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Orlando53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Atlanta53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
New England60.850.245.6
5.34.03.5
5.73.32.4
2.85.26.8
Philadelphia53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Columbus53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
DC United53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Chicago53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Montreal53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
NY Red Bulls53.955.055.4
4.54.64.6
4.34.44.3
Minnesota vs ChicagoHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon
Toronto FC55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Atlanta55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Philadelphia55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Columbus55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3
Chicago50.154.665.0
4.04.55.8
3.24.27.2
5.44.12.2
Montreal55.0*54.553.5
4.6*4.54.4
4.34.44.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeNYCFCToronto FCOrlandoAtlantaNew EnglandPhiladelphiaColumbusDC UnitedChicagoMontrealNY Red Bulls
NYCFC27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Toronto FC27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Orlando27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Atlanta27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
New England27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Philadelphia27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Columbus27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
DC United27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Chicago27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Montreal27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
NY Red Bulls27.31.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8