Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
CorinthiansLVitoria 0-147114-5-12290.0%-5.3100.0%-0.090910000000000000001.1-0.060.0%1.689Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Gremio39112-3-5167.7+4.098.9-0.185722831100000000000002.5+0.030.02.594Atletico-PRGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Santos36110-6-491.7+0.992.6-0.52213519105321100000000003.7-0.030.0+0.03.559at CoritibaSantos Futebol Clube
Palmeiras33110-3-780.4+0.278.2-1.20820241611753221100000005.1-0.080.1+0.04.523ChapecoenseSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
FlamengoWAtletico-GO 2-0328-8-580.0+0.048.3+11.802612151312108654321110007.3+1.030.9-1.15.494Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-PR2918-5-720.0+0.036.0-1.70148111211109875433211008.3-0.142.2+0.310.476at GremioClube Atletico Paranaense
Sport Recife2918-5-740.0+0.035.6-1.70148111211109875433211008.4-0.142.3+0.38.476at CruzeiroSport Club do Recife
Botafogo2817-7-630.0+0.027.7-1.4003691010109887654321109.2-0.143.8+0.59.464at Ponte PretaBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Cruzeiro2717-6-740.0+0.018.7-1.20014678999887654321010.3-0.156.7+0.87.452Sport RecifeCruzeiro Esporte Clube
Fluminense2716-9-520.0+0.018.5-1.20014678999987654321010.3-0.156.8+0.86.452Atletico-MGFluminense Football Club
Atletico-MG2617-5-8-20.0+0.012.9-0.80012467889988776532011.2-0.1310.5+1.011.440at FluminenseClube Atletico Mineiro
Vasco da Gama2517-4-9-90.0+0.08.9-0.60001345678899887653112.1-0.1615.3+1.515.429at BahiaClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Coritiba2517-4-9-50.0+0.07.8-0.70001245677889988764112.4-0.1917.2+1.813.429SantosCoritiba Football Club
Ponte Preta2416-6-8-40.0+0.05.1-0.40001233456789999986113.3-0.1623.6+2.014.417BotafogoAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Chapecoense2226-4-9-100.0+0.03.9-0.300011234456789101010108213.9-0.1630.4+2.218.407at PalmeirasAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Bahia2316-5-9-30.0+0.03.2-0.300001223456789101011109214.1-0.1631.5+2.316.405Vasco da GamaEsporte Clube Bahia
Sao Paulo2216-4-10-30.0+0.01.8-0.2000011123456781011121313315.1-0.1642.0+2.619.393at AvaiSao Paulo Futebol Clube
VitoriaWCorinthians 1-0226-4-11-90.00.9+0.600000011223467911131618515.9+1.4253.1-19.817.379Esporte Clube Vitoria
Avai2115-6-9-140.0+0.00.8-0.100000011223457810131620616.1-0.1355.9+2.212.381Sao PauloAvai Futebol Clube
Atletico-GOLFlamengo 0-2154-3-14-190.00.0-0.0000000000000001125137819.6-0.3197.6+2.620.299Atletico Clube Goianiense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/19
Corinthians 0 Vitoria 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-3.2
-0.1
Gremio+2.5
Santos+0.6
Palmeiras+0.1
Flamengo+0.2
Atletico-PR+0.2
Sport Recife+0.2
Botafogo+0.4
Cruzeiro+0.6
Fluminense+0.6
Atletico-MG+0.8
-0.1
Vasco da Gama+1.1
-0.1
Coritiba+1.2
-0.1
Ponte Preta+1.4
-0.1
Chapecoense+1.6
-0.1
Bahia+1.7
-0.1
Sao Paulo+1.9
-0.1
Vitoria+0.5
-14.1
+1.0
Avai+1.9
-0.1
Atletico-GO+0.4
-0.1
Flamengo 2 Atletico-GO 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio-0.1
Santos-0.3
Palmeiras-0.7
-0.0
Flamengo+7.3
-1.2
+0.7
Atletico-PR-0.9
-0.1
Sport Recife-0.9
-0.1
Botafogo-0.8
-0.1
Cruzeiro-0.7
-0.1
Fluminense-0.7
-0.1
Atletico-MG-0.5
-0.0
Vasco da Gama-0.4
-0.0
Coritiba-0.4
Ponte Preta-0.3
Chapecoense-0.2
-0.1
Bahia-0.2
Sao Paulo-0.1
-0.1
Vitoria-0.1
Avai-0.1
Atletico-GONo
+1.6
-0.2
Chapecoense vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians85.087.992.6
0.0NoNo
1.21.11.1
Gremio11.49.35.8
Chapecoense7.53.82.8
18.829.534.6
12.613.914.4
Bahia32.831.631.0
14.214.114.1
Sao Paulo43.542.141.5
15.215.115.0
Vitoria54.853.252.6
16.016.015.9
Avai57.456.055.3
16.216.116.1
Gremio vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians87.891.592.7
Gremio10.26.24.8
99.698.797.9
2.32.62.8
Flamengo49.248.446.6
7.27.37.4
Atletico-PR29.634.848.2
3.12.10.8
8.98.47.2
Sport Recife36.335.834.1
8.38.48.5
Botafogo28.327.826.4
9.19.29.3
Coritiba vs SantosHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.91.22.5
88.691.595.8
4.13.83.3
Coritiba12.97.05.1
9.817.621.7
11.212.613.1
Palmeiras vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras0.60.20.1
84.775.069.7
4.65.35.7
Chapecoense2.33.47.1
36.230.919.9
14.614.112.8
Bahia3.13.33.4
30.831.432.7
14.114.114.2
Sao Paulo41.3*42.043.4
15.015.115.1
Vitoria52.3*53.154.6
15.915.916.0
Avai55.155.857.3
16.116.116.2
Cruzeiro vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife26.632.846.3
3.62.40.9
9.28.67.4
Cruzeiro26.816.412.2
3.47.39.7
9.210.611.2
Ponte Preta vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo19.924.636.5
6.04.01.7
10.19.58.2
Ponte Preta8.54.12.8
15.125.230.4
12.213.514.1
Fluminense vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense25.716.012.0
3.47.310.2
9.310.611.3
Atletico-MG8.211.219.5
14.511.15.5
12.111.510.1
Bahia vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama5.47.313.3
21.416.38.6
13.112.411.0
Bahia0.0NoNo
5.32.51.6
21.333.740.1
13.114.415.0
Avai vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao PauloNo0.00.0
0.91.33.0
52.144.330.1
15.915.314.1
Avai0.0NoNo
1.50.60.4
43.958.966.3
15.316.416.9
Week of 8/26
Corinthians vs Atletico-GOIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians92.187.284.3
NoNo0.0
1.11.11.2
Gremio6.29.812.0
Atletico-GO98.297.494.4
19.719.619.2
Gremio vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians87.891.592.7
Gremio10.26.24.8
99.698.797.9
No0.00.0
2.32.62.8
Flamengo49.148.446.7
7.27.37.4
Atletico-PR36.836.234.6
8.38.38.4
Sport Recife29.234.447.7
3.12.20.8
9.08.57.3
Botafogo28.327.826.4
9.19.29.3
Cruzeiro vs SantosHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.91.22.5
88.591.796.0
4.13.83.3
Cruzeiro27.517.113.5
3.26.99.1
9.110.411.0
Palmeiras vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras0.60.20.1
84.574.869.7
4.65.35.7
Ponte Preta4.95.35.4
23.023.624.9
13.213.313.3
Chapecoense3.84.04.1
29.730.331.8
13.913.914.0
Bahia3.13.33.4
30.731.432.9
14.114.114.2
Sao PauloNo0.00.0
1.01.53.6
48.642.729.5
15.615.213.9
Vitoria52.353.054.9
15.915.916.0
Avai55.055.857.5
16.116.116.2
Flamengo vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo59.645.137.2
0.30.91.5
6.47.58.1
Atletico-PR27.133.948.0
3.32.30.9
9.18.57.3
Bahia vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo19.824.436.2
6.24.11.7
10.19.58.2
Bahia5.62.61.6
21.333.239.0
13.014.314.9
Vitoria54.252.852.4
Fluminense vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense25.515.812.0
3.47.310.4
9.310.611.3
Vasco da Gama5.47.614.0
20.416.28.6
13.012.310.9
Ponte Preta vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG8.210.918.9
15.211.25.5
12.211.510.1
Ponte Preta8.24.02.8
15.025.331.1
12.213.614.2
Avai vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense2.23.06.2
39.532.320.3
14.814.212.9
Avai0.0NoNo
1.50.60.4
43.858.765.9
15.216.416.8
Coritiba vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba11.36.14.5
10.319.124.9
11.412.813.4
VitoriaNoNo0.0
0.40.61.7
62.055.040.0
16.616.115.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.