Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
GrêmioWSantos 3-1237-2-2524.5%+8.769.2%+13.52419151197542211000000003.7+1.020.0%-0.21.555at ChapecoenseGrêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Atlético-MGWInternacional 3-1237-2-21322.6+8.366.9+13.92318151297543211000000003.9+1.070.1-0.28.555Sport RecifeClube Atlético Mineiro
Sport RecifeTAvaí 2-2236-0-51020.0-7.263.7-6.420171412108643211100000004.1-0.450.1+0.03.555at Atlético-MGSport Club do Recife
FluminenseTSão Paulo 0-0216-2-3311.2-4.049.1-6.011131312119865432110000005.2-0.390.2-0.02.531CruzeiroFluminense Football Club
CorinthiansTGoiás 0-0206-3-227.7-3.439.6-7.181011111110986543211000005.9-0.490.4+0.06.519Atlético-PRSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Atlético-PR196-4-134.7-0.529.6-0.95781010101098754321100006.9+0.020.8-0.210.506at CorinthiansClube Atlético Paranaense
PalmeirasWPonte Preta 2-0185-3-383.3+1.723.8+10.035789101099765432110007.5+1.731.3-3.14.494AvaíSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
São PauloTFluminense 0-0185-3-322.9-1.521.8-4.9356891010109875432110007.8-0.401.5-0.05.494at Vasco da GamaSão Paulo Futebol Clube
Ponte PretaLPalmeiras 0-2164-3-411.0-1.710.8-9.2123467899998754321109.6-1.334.2+1.77.470at CoritibaAssociação Atlética Ponte Preta
Chapecoense165-5-1-10.9-0.19.8-0.8123457899998765321109.8+0.054.8-0.715.470GrêmioAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol
FigueirenseWFlamengo 2-1154-4-3-10.6+0.36.9+3.41123457899998765321010.6+1.797.0-9.89.457JoinvilleFigueirense Futebol Clube
Cruzeiro134-6-110.2-0.02.6-0.2001123456799101098653112.5+0.1715.9-2.116.433at FluminenseCruzeiro Esporte Clube
InternacionalLAtlético-MG 1-3133-4-4-50.1-0.32.4-2.9001123456789101098753212.6-1.1116.7+4.912.433FlamengoSport Club Internacional
AvaíTSport Recife 2-2133-4-4-30.1-0.12.2-0.80011223467891010109764212.8-0.1318.1-0.613.433at PalmeirasAvaí Futebol Clube
SantosLGrêmio 1-3102-5-4-40.0-0.00.5-0.8000001123456891011121110615.0-0.9639.3+8.911.396at GoiásSantos Futebol Clube
GoiásTCorinthians 0-0102-5-4-30.0-0.00.4-0.2000001122346791011121211715.3-0.0542.0-0.714.396SantosGoiás Esporte Clube
FlamengoLFigueirense 1-2103-7-1-50.0-0.00.4-0.7000001122346791012121211715.3-1.0142.9+10.117.396at InternacionalClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Vasco da Gama92-6-3-100.0-0.00.2-0.0000000111234579111315151216.2+0.1755.0-3.219.384São PauloClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Coritiba82-7-2-60.00.1-0.0000000011123468101316191616.8+0.1763.0-3.118.371Ponte PretaCoritiba Football Club
Joinville51-8-2-100.00.00000000000011235812214618.6+0.1286.6-1.620.334at FigueirenseJoinville Esporte Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/4
Internacional 1 Atlético-MG 3
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Grêmio-1.0
-0.6
Atlético-MG+4.1
+7.8
+0.6
Sport Recife-0.9
-0.7
Fluminense-0.6
-0.8
Corinthians-0.4
-0.8
Atlético-PR-0.3
-0.7
São Paulo-0.2
-0.6
Internacional-0.2
-1.9
+3.0
-0.7
Santos 1 Grêmio 3
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Grêmio+4.1
+7.2
+0.6
Atlético-MG-0.6
-0.8
Sport Recife-1.1
-0.7
Fluminense-0.7
-0.8
Corinthians-0.6
-0.8
Atlético-PR-0.3
-0.7
São Paulo-0.3
-0.7
Ponte Preta-0.2
-0.6
Figueirense-0.4
Cruzeiro-0.4
Avaí-0.4
Santos-0.5
+5.1
-0.6
Goiás-0.6
Flamengo-0.6
Vasco da Gama-0.7
Coritiba-0.6
Cruzeiro 2 Atlético-PR 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Grêmio+0.5
+0.9
Atlético-MG+0.5
+0.9
Sport Recife+0.8
+0.8
Fluminense+0.5
+0.9
Corinthians+0.4
+0.9
Atlético-PR-3.1
-7.9
+0.3
-0.7
São Paulo+0.2
+0.7
Ponte Preta+0.6
Figueirense+0.6
Cruzeiro+0.8
-8.7
+0.9
Avaí+0.7
Santos+0.9
Goiás+1.0
Flamengo+1.0
Vasco da Gama+1.0
Coritiba+1.0
Avaí 2 Sport Recife 2
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Grêmio+0.6
+0.4
Atlético-MG+0.5
+0.4
Sport Recife-2.9
-2.8
-0.2
Fluminense+0.6
+0.4
Corinthians+0.4
+0.4
Atlético-PR+0.2
+0.3
São Paulo+0.2
+0.3
Avaí-0.4
+0.4
-0.1
São Paulo 0 Fluminense 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Grêmio+0.4
+0.6
Sport Recife+0.7
+0.5
Fluminense-1.6
-2.2
-0.2
São Paulo-0.6
-1.9
-0.2
Goiás 0 Corinthians 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Grêmio+0.3
+0.5
Atlético-MG+0.3
+0.4
Sport Recife+0.5
+0.4
Fluminense+0.3
+0.5
Corinthians-1.8
-3.6
-0.3
Atlético-PR+0.4
São Paulo+0.4
Ponte Preta+0.3
Santos-0.1
Goiás+1.1
-0.1
Flamengo-0.1
Vasco da Gama-0.2
Coritiba-0.1
Ponte Preta 0 Palmeiras 2
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+1.0
+5.6
-1.8
+1.0
Ponte Preta-1.1
-5.6
+1.1
-0.8
Chapecoense 1 Vasco da Gama 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense+0.2
+2.1
-4.2
+0.8
Goiás-0.3
Vasco da Gama-0.2
+6.7
-0.6
Flamengo 1 Figueirense 2
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Figueirense+0.2
+1.8
-5.4
+0.9
Flamengo-0.5
+6.9
-0.7
Coritiba 0 Joinville 0
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goiás-0.5
Vasco da Gama-0.5
Coritiba+3.0
-0.2
Joinville+1.1
-0.1
Atlético-MG vs Sport RecifeIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG29.720.816.1
75.165.059.3
3.34.04.4
Sport Recife14.318.827.2
56.462.372.6
4.64.23.5
Chapecoense vs GrêmioHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Grêmio18.822.030.3
61.766.876.4
4.23.93.2
Chapecoense1.70.80.5
14.58.96.7
2.64.96.3
8.810.010.5
Fluminense vs CruzeiroHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense14.49.37.6
56.445.440.6
0.10.20.4
4.65.45.9
Cruzeiro0.10.10.3
1.62.34.5
19.416.210.1
13.112.611.5
Corinthians vs Atlético-PRHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians10.66.55.0
48.337.031.5
0.20.40.6
5.26.16.6
Atlético-PR3.04.07.0
22.927.838.3
1.20.80.4
7.57.06.0
Palmeiras vs AvaíHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras4.62.62.0
29.820.917.6
0.61.52.1
6.87.88.3
Avaí0.10.10.2
1.31.83.6
22.318.711.9
13.413.011.9
Vasco da Gama vs São PauloHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
São Paulo1.72.34.1
16.019.027.4
2.51.70.7
8.68.17.0
Vasco da Gama0.40.10.1
45.056.461.2
15.516.416.7
Coritiba vs Ponte PretaHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta0.60.81.6
7.29.014.3
6.54.72.4
10.49.98.8
Coritiba53.464.669.1
16.116.917.2
Figueirense vs JoinvilleHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Figueirense0.80.40.3
9.25.44.2
4.58.110.6
9.911.011.5
Joinville89.887.280.2
18.818.618.1
Internacional vs FlamengoHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional0.20.10.1
3.61.91.4
11.218.222.7
11.812.913.4
Flamengo0.20.30.7
50.044.232.9
15.915.514.5
Goiás vs SantosHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.20.30.8
47.140.829.8
15.715.214.2
Goiás0.70.30.2
32.944.350.6
14.515.515.9
Week of 7/11
Grêmio vs Vasco da GamaIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Grêmio29.121.018.1
74.965.360.8
3.34.04.3
Vasco da Gama0.10.10.4
60.055.344.0
16.616.315.4
Ponte Preta vs Atlético-MGHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG17.220.228.1
59.264.474.2
4.44.03.3
Ponte Preta1.90.90.5
15.99.87.5
2.34.45.7
8.69.710.2
Sport Recife vs PalmeirasHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife25.217.814.7
71.361.055.1
3.54.34.7
Palmeiras2.02.95.4
18.322.532.3
1.8*1.30.6
8.17.66.6
Atlético-PR vs FluminenseHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense7.99.915.4
41.047.058.5
0.3*0.20.1
5.85.34.5
Atlético-PR6.94.02.9
38.027.522.6
0.40.91.2
6.17.17.6
Flamengo vs CorinthiansHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians5.06.210.1
31.736.046.8
0.70.40.2
6.76.25.3
Flamengo0.70.30.2
33.043.948.8
14.515.415.8
São Paulo vs CoritibaHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
São Paulo4.02.21.7
27.018.615.6
0.81.72.6
7.18.18.6
Coritiba0.00.10.2
68.463.952.8
17.216.916.1
Avaí vs ChapecoenseHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense0.50.71.5
6.78.413.6
6.85.12.6
10.610.08.9
Avaí0.20.10.1
3.41.71.2
12.219.223.0
11.913.013.5
Santos vs FigueirenseHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Figueirense0.30.40.9
4.55.79.6
10.17.64.1
11.410.99.7
Santos0.80.40.2
30.240.946.0
14.215.215.6
Cruzeiro vs GoiásHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro0.30.10.1
3.82.01.5
10.617.321.7
11.712.813.3
Goiás0.20.30.7
49.043.432.2
15.815.414.4
Joinville vs InternacionalHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional0.10.10.2
1.41.83.5
22.618.411.7
13.412.911.8
Joinville80.587.690.3
18.118.618.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.