"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
WednesdayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Atlético-MGWSão Paulo 3-13511-3-21850.2%+9.691.8%+7.4502312742110000000000002.1+0.500.0%2.619Clube Atlético Mineiro
CorinthiansWVasco da Gama 3-03310-3-31124.3+3.979.8+10.62426171285321000000000003.0+0.600.0-0.04.595Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Palmeiras2818-3-4157.1-2.750.2-0.971315151311974211000000004.8-0.080.0-0.03.550Atlético-PRSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Sport Recife2817-1-7115.8-2.344.7-1.1611141414121085321000000005.2-0.080.0-0.01.550CruzeiroSport Club do Recife
Fluminense2718-4-334.3-1.838.8-0.849121314131196421100000005.6-0.050.0-0.06.538GrêmioFluminense Football Club
Grêmio2718-4-354.1-1.736.8-1.148111314131297421100000005.7-0.060.0-0.05.538at FluminenseGrêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
São PauloLAtlético-MG 1-3278-5-352.0-3.925.2-12.725810121313129642110000006.6-0.940.1+0.07.521São Paulo Futebol Clube
Atlético-PR2518-6-121.5-0.720.8-0.724791112131310853211000007.10.2-0.08.514at PalmeirasClube Atlético Paranaense
Chapecoense2217-7-1-10.3-0.26.4-0.401235710121413108643210009.31.3-0.19.477at InternacionalAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol
Internacional2015-5-5-30.1-0.01.9-0.1001123571012131210865311011.2+0.055.1-0.412.452ChapecoenseSport Club Internacional
Flamengo1916-8-1-50.0-0.01.3-0.1000112469111212111086421011.8+0.056.9-0.511.440SantosClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Ponte Preta1914-4-7-10.0-0.01.1-0.1000112468111212111086421012.0+0.057.9-0.510.440at FigueirenseAssociação Atlética Ponte Preta
Cruzeiro1715-8-200.0-0.00.4-0.0000001235791112121210853113.4+0.0616.4-0.915.415at Sport RecifeCruzeiro Esporte Clube
Avaí1714-6-5-60.0-0.00.3-0.0000001134691012121211863113.6+0.0418.5-0.814.415at JoinvilleAvaí Futebol Clube
Santos1614-7-4-30.0-0.00.2-0.0000001124589111212121074214.0+0.0822.6-1.313.403at FlamengoSantos Futebol Clube
Figueirense1614-7-4-70.0-0.00.1-0.0000000123568101213131185214.4+0.0826.7-1.416.403Ponte PretaFigueirense Futebol Clube
Goiás1313-8-4-30.00.0-0.00000000011235710131617151016.5+0.0857.3-1.318.366at CoritibaGoiás Esporte Clube
Coritiba1112-8-5-80.00.000000000001234691318222117.6+0.0974.4-1.220.342GoiásCoritiba Football Club
Vasco da GamaLCorinthians 0-3123-10-3-210.0-0.00.0-0.000000000001234691419222117.6-0.5774.7+9.117.337Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Joinville912-10-3-120.0-0.00.00000000000011235914234218.6+0.0887.9-0.719.317AvaíJoinville Esporte Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/25
Atlético-MG 3 São Paulo 1
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG+8.1
+5.3
+0.4
Corinthians-2.0
+0.3
Palmeiras-1.0
+0.3
Sport Recife-0.9
+0.3
São Paulo-2.6
-6.9
-0.5
Atlético-MG 1 Figueirense 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG+5.4
+5.3
+0.3
Corinthians-1.9
-0.6
Palmeiras-0.5
-0.8
Sport Recife-0.9
-0.7
Fluminense-1.0
-0.7
Grêmio-0.6
-0.7
São Paulo-0.3
-0.7
Santos-0.6
Figueirense-0.2
+4.0
-0.5
Goiás-0.6
Vasco da Gama-0.6
Corinthians 3 Vasco da Gama 0
10:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG-1.7
-0.5
Corinthians+4.1
+5.7
+0.4
Palmeiras-0.6
-0.8
Sport Recife-0.5
-0.8
Fluminense-0.4
-0.8
Grêmio-0.4
-0.8
São Paulo-0.4
-0.8
Cruzeiro-0.5
Avaí-0.5
Santos-0.6
Figueirense-0.6
Goiás-0.7
Coritiba-0.5
Vasco da Gama+4.5
-0.3
Coritiba 1 Corinthians 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG+1.8
+0.3
Corinthians-4.0
-3.8
-0.2
Palmeiras+0.4
+0.5
Sport Recife+0.4
+0.6
Fluminense+0.6
+0.6
Grêmio+0.4
+0.5
CoritibaNo
+0.3
-0.0
Chapecoense 2 Fluminense 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG+1.3
+0.6
Corinthians+0.9
+0.7
Palmeiras+0.2
+1.0
Sport Recife+0.4
+1.1
Fluminense-3.6
-8.6
-0.6
Grêmio+0.3
+1.0
São Paulo+0.8
Chapecoense+2.3
-2.3
+0.9
Grêmio 1 Sport Recife 1
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife-1.2
-1.8
-0.1
Grêmio-1.2
-2.4
-0.2
Vasco da Gama 1 Palmeiras 4
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-0.5
-0.8
Palmeiras+1.8
+7.0
+0.5
Sport Recife-0.2
-1.1
Fluminense-0.3
-1.1
Grêmio-1.1
São Paulo-0.9
Atlético-PR-0.8
Avaí-0.6
Santos-0.8
Figueirense-0.8
Goiás-0.8
Coritiba-0.6
Vasco da Gama+5.9
-0.4
São Paulo 1 Cruzeiro 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.8
Sport Recife-0.9
Fluminense-0.9
Grêmio-0.9
São Paulo+1.2
+6.3
+0.6
Cruzeiro-0.5
+3.2
-0.6
Avaí 1 Atlético-PR 2
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-PR+0.7
+4.9
-0.5
+0.7
Avaí-0.5
+4.2
-0.6
Ponte Preta 0 Internacional 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional-0.6
+0.3
-0.2
Ponte Preta-0.4
+0.6
-0.2
Goiás 0 Flamengo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.4
-6.2
+0.8
Goiás+8.3
-0.6
Santos 2 Joinville 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-8.8
+0.7
JoinvilleNo
+5.2
-0.4
Week of 8/1
Palmeiras vs Atlético-PRIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG49.250.950.9
91.692.191.9
Palmeiras9.95.84.5
59.547.140.7
4.35.05.4
Atlético-PR0.81.32.6
14.919.429.2
0.30.20.1
7.67.26.3
Fluminense vs GrêmioHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense6.43.52.6
48.536.229.9
4.95.76.2
Grêmio2.53.56.3
28.634.847.1
6.35.85.0
Sport Recife vs CruzeiroHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG49.450.851.3
91.492.192.4
Corinthians23.924.624.9
79.080.380.9
3.13.03.0
Palmeiras6.97.37.4
49.051.051.7
4.94.84.8
Sport Recife7.74.53.4
51.940.535.3
4.75.45.8
Fluminense4.24.44.5
37.739.540.2
5.65.55.5
Grêmio4.04.24.3
35.737.538.2
5.85.75.7
São Paulo24.325.826.4
Atlético-PR20.021.321.8
Cruzeiro0.20.30.8
19.9*16.49.8
13.813.412.5
Goiás56.7*57.358.4
16.516.516.6
Internacional vs ChapecoenseHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense0.10.20.5
4.05.49.5
2.01.40.6
10.09.58.5
Internacional3.11.51.0
2.75.47.2
10.411.411.9
Flamengo vs SantosHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo2.00.90.6
3.87.610.3
11.012.012.5
Santos0.10.10.4
28.223.614.9
14.614.213.2
Figueirense vs Ponte PretaHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta0.50.81.8
11.48.34.3
12.612.111.2
Figueirense0.30.10.1
18.528.333.4
13.614.615.0
Joinville vs AvaíHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Avaí0.10.20.5
25.520.512.6
14.313.913.0
Joinville0.0NoNo
81.789.091.7
18.118.718.9
Coritiba vs GoiásHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goiás66.359.846.9
17.116.715.9
Coritiba0.0No0.0
65.576.681.7
17.017.718.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.