Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength8/18
Sao Paulo3811-5-21442.7%-2.899.4%-0.0432716841000000000000002.1-0.080.0%1.619Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Flamengo3711-4-31731.9-2.298.8+0.03229201152100000000000002.4-0.090.03.606Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
InternacionalWFluminense 3-03510-5-31416.2+6.096.5+4.416232518105210000000000003.1+0.580.0-0.02.582Sport Club Internacional
Gremio339-6-3145.9-0.688.7+0.161219231811631100000000004.3-0.080.04.557Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Atletico-MG309-3-671.5-0.270.3+0.22491621191274321100000005.7-0.040.1-0.07.520Clube Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras308-6-4111.4-0.269.2+0.21491521191274321100000005.7-0.040.1-0.05.520Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Corinthians267-5-670.1-0.025.5-0.10014812161512975432110008.6+0.041.3-0.06.471Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Cruzeiro257-4-7-10.1-0.020.0-0.100136101414121086543211009.1+0.052.0-0.19.459Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Bahia2115-6-6-30.0-0.06.3-0.000012469101010109876432111.6+0.0710.0-0.211.427Esporte Clube Bahia
FluminenseLInternacional 0-3226-4-8-50.0-0.05.5-4.700011368101010109876532111.7-0.9910.1+3.912.422Fluminense Football Club
Vasco da Gama1925-4-7-50.0-0.05.9-0.0000123689101099876542111.8+0.0711.9-0.215.419at SantosClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Botafogo225-7-6-40.0-0.04.8-0.00000135791010109986542112.0+0.0811.7-0.28.422Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
America-MG216-3-9-60.03.4+0.0000012468991010998653112.6+0.0915.2-0.414.410America Futebol Clube-MG
Chapecoense214-9-5-50.02.3-0.00000113568991010109864213.2+0.0719.8-0.313.410Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Sport Recife205-5-8-80.01.8-0.000000134678910101010975213.6+0.0723.2-0.410.398Sport Club do Recife
Vitoria195-4-9-160.01.0+0.0000001134567910111111108414.6+0.0633.1-0.416.385Esporte Clube Vitoria
Santos184-6-8-50.00.5000000122356781011131311715.5+0.0644.3-0.617.373Vasco da GamaSantos Futebol Clube
Atletico-PR1513-6-8-20.00.1+0.000000001122346791216191816.9+0.0464.4-0.519.353Clube Atletico Paranaense
Ceara163-7-8-90.00.1+0.000000000112345791216202017.2+0.0368.1-0.418.349Ceara Sporting Club
Parana143-5-10-150.00.00000000000112245813224218.4+0.0184.7-0.120.324Parana Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/11
Sport Recife 1 Sao Paulo 3
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+6.6
+0.8
+0.2
Flamengo-3.2
Internacional-1.9
Gremio-0.8
Sport Recife-1.3
+3.8
-0.5
Flamengo 1 Cruzeiro 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-3.4
Flamengo+6.4
+1.5
+0.3
Internacional-1.5
+0.2
Gremio-0.7
+0.5
Atletico-MG-0.2
+0.7
Palmeiras-0.2
+0.7
Corinthians+0.7
Cruzeiro-0.3
-5.8
+0.5
-0.5
Fluminense 0 Internacional 3
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-1.5
Flamengo-1.2
Internacional+3.4
+3.2
+0.4
Fluminense-3.2
+2.0
-0.6
Gremio 4 Vitoria 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-0.8
Gremio+2.0
+5.5
+0.5
Atletico-MG-0.6
Palmeiras-0.7
Corinthians-0.7
Cruzeiro-0.7
Chapecoense-0.7
Vitoria-1.0
+4.9
-0.5
Santos-0.6
Atletico-PR-0.6
Ceara-0.6
Palmeiras 1 Vasco da Gama 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-0.8
Palmeiras+0.7
+9.0
+0.7
Corinthians-0.9
Cruzeiro-0.8
Vasco da Gama-3.9
+2.6
-0.7
Atletico-MG 3 Santos 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio-0.8
Atletico-MG+0.7
+8.0
+0.6
Palmeiras-1.2
Corinthians-1.2
Cruzeiro-1.1
America-MG-0.2
-0.5
Chapecoense-0.8
Sport Recife-0.2
-0.5
Vitoria-0.7
Santos-0.6
+6.0
-0.5
Atletico-PR-0.7
Ceara-0.7
Chapecoense 2 Corinthians 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.9
Atletico-MG+1.3
Palmeiras+1.3
Corinthians-0.4
-8.8
+0.6
-0.7
Cruzeiro+1.1
America-MG+0.2
+0.9
Chapecoense+0.9
-10.6
+0.9
Sport Recife+0.2
+0.9
Vitoria+1.2
Santos+1.3
Atletico-PR+1.3
Ceara+1.2
Bahia 1 America-MG 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia+1.9
-7.7
+0.9
America-MG-2.9
+4.3
-0.8
Parana 1 Botafogo 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-1.6
+1.4
-0.3
Parana+1.4
-0.1
Ceara 0 Atletico-PR 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+2.4
-0.2
Ceara+2.9
-0.2
Week of 8/18
Sao Paulo vs ChapecoenseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo48.837.633.1
99.799.298.7
NoNo0.1
1.92.22.4
Flamengo28.834.536.7
2.52.42.3
Chapecoense1.52.14.4
23.519.011.4
13.713.212.1
Parana vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo32.637.048.3
98.799.199.7
0.1NoNo
2.42.31.9
Flamengo36.934.729.1
2.32.42.5
Parana0.0NoNo
75.484.787.7
17.718.418.6
Atletico-PR vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo47.445.439.7
2.02.12.2
Flamengo23.327.037.3
97.898.599.4
0.1NoNo
2.82.62.2
Atletico-PR0.1NoNo
0.40.10.1
51.6*64.469.3
16.016.917.3
Flamengo vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo39.745.447.4
2.22.12.0
Flamengo37.327.123.3
99.498.597.8
NoNo0.1
2.22.62.8
VitoriaNo0.00.1
0.60.92.0
37.832.521.4
15.014.613.4
Bahia vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional11.013.420.7
94.295.998.1
3.53.32.8
Bahia10.45.74.3
5.3*10.012.7
10.611.712.1
Internacional vs ParanaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional19.712.610.3
97.895.493.8
2.93.43.6
ParanaNoNo0.0
87.8*84.775.4
18.618.417.7
Corinthians vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio3.64.68.3
83.287.893.4
4.74.43.8
Corinthians0.20.10.0
35.123.719.1
0.5*1.31.9
7.78.79.1
Gremio vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio8.14.53.4
93.087.382.9
3.94.44.7
Cruzeiro14.818.929.1
2.82.00.8
9.69.28.2
Botafogo vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG0.81.12.4
61.867.478.1
6.25.95.2
Botafogo8.14.12.7
6.512.015.3
11.012.112.7
Atletico-MG vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG2.31.10.8
77.766.961.1
5.25.96.3
Vasco da Gama3.65.310.1
15.112.16.7
12.411.910.8
Palmeiras vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras2.11.00.7
76.865.960.0
5.36.06.3
Botafogo2.84.28.4
15.011.86.3
12.612.111.0
Vitoria vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras0.71.02.1
60.465.876.5
6.36.05.3
Vitoria0.00.0No
2.00.80.5
22.533.939.2
13.614.715.1
Fluminense vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians18.422.633.4
2.11.40.5
9.38.87.8
Fluminense8.84.63.1
5.610.713.7
10.711.912.4
Cruzeiro vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro26.617.313.6
0.92.33.3
8.49.49.9
Bahia3.85.510.1
13.310.55.5
12.311.710.6
America-MG vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense3.34.58.5
14.110.75.4
12.511.910.8
America-MG5.32.61.8
9.116.320.7
11.612.813.4
Santos vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama3.64.88.7
16.912.86.9
12.612.111.0
Santos0.00.0No
0.90.30.2
33.246.652.9
14.615.716.1
Sport Recife vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
America-MG1.92.75.4
20.816.08.8
13.412.811.6
Sport Recife3.01.40.9
15.125.030.4
12.713.814.4
Vasco da Gama vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama8.34.63.5
7.313.417.6
11.012.212.7
CearaNoNo0.0
75.169.756.7
17.617.316.4
Chapecoense vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense3.41.61.1
12.821.727.9
12.413.514.1
Atletico-PRNoNo0.0
0.10.10.3
72.066.252.7
17.417.016.1
Santos vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife0.91.43.0
30.924.614.7
14.413.812.7
Santos0.0NoNo
0.80.30.2
33.146.853.7
14.615.716.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.