Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Corinthians5316-5-32194.3%-0.2100.0%9451000000000001.1No1.667at Sao PauloSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Gremio4313-4-7193.5-0.096.2-0.3443241484210000000000003.1-0.070.0%3.563at BahiaGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Santos4111-8-591.1-0.089.7-0.71242519138531100000000004.0-0.100.02.542Atletico-PRSantos Futebol Clube
PalmeirasWCoritiba 1-04012-4-890.7+0.382.1+10.411420201612853110000000004.6+0.740.0-0.17.531at FluminenseSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Flamengo3810-8-6100.2-0.062.9-1.406111416161396421100000006.0-0.080.1-0.05.510AvaiClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Botafogo3710-7-760.1-0.057.5-1.404913161614107432110000006.3-0.070.2-0.06.500at CoritibaBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Cruzeiro3710-7-780.1-0.052.5-1.503812141514118532110000006.6-0.070.2-0.04.500at Atletico-GOCruzeiro Esporte Clube
Atletico-PR349-7-820.0-0.024.5-1.501247101314121086432211008.8-0.051.9-0.18.469at SantosClube Atletico Paranaense
Vasco da Gama319-4-11-110.010.2-0.600113571011111098654321010.8+0.047.1-0.59.437at Sport RecifeClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Atletico-MG318-7-9-20.07.2-0.400012468101110109865432111.5+0.069.8-0.612.437VitoriaClube Atletico Mineiro
Fluminense317-10-700.06.2-0.500012358101111109876432111.7+0.0310.7-0.510.437PalmeirasFluminense Football Club
Sport Recife298-5-11-60.03.0-0.300001235789910998765213.1+0.0620.1-0.814.416Vasco da GamaSport Club do Recife
Chapecoense288-4-12-90.02.3-0.20000113467899999876313.5+0.0824.0-1.113.406Ponte PretaAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Avai297-8-9-120.01.9-0.20000112356899101010987313.9+0.0627.2-1.011.416at FlamengoAvai Futebol Clube
Ponte Preta287-7-10-60.01.1-0.1000001124567891010111010514.7+0.0735.7-1.119.406at ChapecoenseAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Bahia277-6-11-20.00.7-0.1000000123457891010111112715.2+0.0741.1-1.117.395GremioEsporte Clube Bahia
Sao Paulo277-6-11-40.00.8-0.1000000123456891010111211815.2+0.0941.6-1.415.395CorinthiansSao Paulo Futebol Clube
CoritibaLPalmeiras 0-1277-6-11-70.0-0.00.7-1.200000012345678910111212715.2-0.9442.1+9.816.395BotafogoCoritiba Football Club
Vitoria267-5-12-90.00.4-0.1000000112345679101214151216.0+0.0552.1-0.918.385at Atletico-MGEsporte Clube Vitoria
Atletico-GO226-4-14-160.00.0-0.00000000000112235711195018.6+0.0386.1-0.420.343CruzeiroAtletico Clube Goianiense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/16
Gremio 0 Chapecoense 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+4.0
Gremio-4.4
-1.2
-0.3
Chapecoense+1.3
-14.7
+1.3
Avai+1.6
Ponte Preta+1.8
Bahia+1.7
Sao Paulo+1.7
Coritiba+1.6
Vitoria+1.7
Corinthians 1 Vasco da Gama 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+3.7
Gremio-2.8
Santos-0.6
+0.3
Palmeiras-0.2
+0.5
Flamengo+0.7
Botafogo+0.6
Cruzeiro+0.6
Vasco da Gama-4.3
+1.4
-0.5
Botafogo 2 Santos 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+1.2
Santos-1.7
-2.9
-0.4
Palmeiras-1.2
Flamengo-1.6
Botafogo+12.7
-0.7
+1.0
Cruzeiro-1.5
Atletico-PR-0.9
Vasco da Gama-1.0
Fluminense-0.9
Palmeiras 1 Coritiba 0
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.2
+8.2
+0.6
Flamengo-1.1
Botafogo-1.1
Cruzeiro-1.2
Atletico-PR-1.0
Sport Recife-0.6
Chapecoense-0.7
Avai-0.7
Ponte Preta-0.8
Bahia-0.8
Sao Paulo-0.8
Coritiba-1.0
+6.9
-0.7
Vitoria-0.8
Flamengo 2 Sport Recife 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.9
Flamengo+10.7
-0.4
+0.8
Botafogo-1.1
Cruzeiro-1.2
Vasco da Gama-0.8
Sport Recife-3.5
+4.5
-0.8
Cruzeiro 1 Bahia 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-1.2
Flamengo-1.4
Botafogo-1.4
Cruzeiro+9.9
-0.7
+0.8
Atletico-PR-1.2
Sport Recife-0.6
Chapecoense-0.6
Avai-0.7
Ponte Preta-0.8
BahiaNo
-1.2
+7.4
-0.8
Sao Paulo-0.8
Coritiba-0.7
Vitoria-0.8
Atletico-PR 3 Fluminense 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+7.8
-3.1
+1.1
Fluminense-5.8
+3.1
-0.9
Avai 1 Atletico-MG 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-2.0
+0.6
-0.3
Avai-0.9
+2.0
-0.3
Ponte Preta 1 Atletico-GO 3
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte PretaNo
-2.2
+10.0
-1.1
Atletico-GO-4.8
+0.4
Vitoria 1 Sao Paulo 2
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.4
-13.6
+1.0
VitoriaNo
-0.9
+11.7
-1.0
Week of 9/23
Sao Paulo vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians90.592.796.3
1.11.11.0
Sao Paulo0.00.0No
1.90.70.4
26.040.847.3
13.815.215.7
Cruzeiro vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians90.993.396.6
Cruzeiro0.30.10.0
66.451.745.4
0.00.20.4
5.76.77.1
Gremio vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio5.02.61.8
98.295.593.3
No0.00.0
2.83.33.5
Fluminense3.85.511.3
14.310.44.8
12.411.810.4
Bahia vs GremioHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia1.60.50.3
27.241.948.4
13.915.315.8
Palmeiras vs SantosHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.50.81.9
84.989.295.1
4.54.03.4
Palmeiras1.20.50.3
89.780.575.0
4.04.85.2
Santos vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos1.70.70.5
94.788.583.4
3.54.14.5
Atletico-PR17.422.536.2
2.81.80.6
9.58.97.7
Fluminense vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras0.30.41.1
74.279.989.1
5.24.84.1
Fluminense11.05.13.3
5.110.914.9
10.511.912.5
Ponte Preta vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo0.10.10.3
52.058.772.9
6.76.25.3
Ponte Preta2.30.80.4
23.037.143.8
13.514.915.4
Flamengo vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo0.30.10.1
72.658.451.5
5.36.36.7
Avai0.81.43.9
34.127.715.8
14.714.112.7
Coritiba vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo0.00.10.2
46.453.067.7
0.40.20.0
7.16.65.7
Coritiba0.00.0No
1.60.50.3
28.843.950.5
14.115.415.9
Botafogo vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo0.20.10.0
67.052.245.8
0.0*0.20.4
5.76.77.1
VitoriaNoNo0.0
0.10.31.0
60.053.437.4
16.616.114.9
Atletico-GO vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro0.00.00.2
40.746.961.9
0.50.20.0
7.47.06.0
Atletico-GO77.287.390.5
17.918.718.9
Atletico-PR vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR33.520.715.9
0.62.03.3
7.99.19.7
Atletico-MG3.85.912.3
13.810.24.5
12.411.710.3
Sport Recife vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama5.98.315.8
10.97.63.0
11.811.19.7
Sport Recife5.22.21.3
11.521.827.6
11.913.414.1
Atletico-MG vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG10.85.23.7
4.610.915.8
10.511.912.6
VitoriaNoNo0.0
0.10.30.9
61.654.337.7
16.816.214.9
Vasco da Gama vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama15.28.05.7
3.27.911.4
9.811.211.9
Chapecoense1.01.84.3
31.425.314.0
14.413.712.3
Sao Paulo vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife1.42.25.1
28.421.410.9
14.113.411.9
Sao Paulo0.0NoNo
1.40.50.3
28.644.652.6
14.115.516.1
Chapecoense vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense0.0No0.0
4.01.61.0
14.226.133.4
12.413.814.5
Ponte PretaNoNo0.0
0.50.72.1
46.037.922.9
15.615.013.5
Avai vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Avai3.01.20.8
17.630.638.5
13.014.415.0
Atletico-GO91.487.677.0
19.018.717.9
Bahia vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.0NoNo
1.30.40.3
28.444.352.9
14.115.516.1
CoritibaNoNo0.0
0.30.51.4
53.144.528.5
16.115.514.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.