Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
8/22PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Palmeiras4012-5-41636.2%-1.682.9%-1.23621151175311000000000002.7-0.080.0%1.585at FluminenseSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atlético-MG3811-5-5617.5-0.966.5-1.817181614129632100000000003.8-0.090.04.563at GrêmioClube Atlético Mineiro
Flamengo3711-6-4412.0-0.756.7-2.0121515151311853210000000004.3-0.090.0-0.05.551at ChapecoenseClube de Regatas do Flamengo
CorinthiansWVitória 2-13711-6-41212.0+4.456.6+12.0121515151311853210000000004.3+0.790.0-0.02.551at Ponte PretaSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Grêmio35110-5-5911.3-0.554.4-1.7111415151311853211000000004.5-0.080.0-0.03.547Atlético-MGGrêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Santos3611-7-3178.7-0.548.6-2.0912141414131064211000000004.8-0.090.0-0.06.540FigueirenseSantos Futebol Clube
Fluminense3118-5-741.1-0.112.9-1.01246811141412975321100008.0-0.050.5-0.17.500PalmeirasFluminense Football Club
Ponte Preta319-8-4-60.5-0.08.5-0.71134691214131196432100008.6-0.030.7-0.110.482CorinthiansAssociação Atlética Ponte Preta
Atlético-PR309-9-3-10.3-0.06.5-0.601235811131312107542110009.1-0.021.1-0.19.471BotafogoClube Atlético Paranaense
Chapecoense307-5-9-50.2-0.03.5-0.4001235811131312108642110010.12.3-0.28.471FlamengoAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol
Botafogo2617-8-5-20.1-0.01.2-0.1000112468101212111086431011.9+0.048.2-0.612.440at Atlético-PRBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
São Paulo277-8-600.0-0.00.8-0.1000012368101212121097531012.1+0.048.7-0.613.437CoritibaSão Paulo Futebol Clube
Sport Recife267-9-5-20.0-0.00.5-0.1000011347911121211108642012.7+0.0511.8-0.811.425InternacionalSport Club do Recife
Coritiba256-8-7-40.00.2-0.0000001134681011121211974013.8+0.0720.4-1.114.414at São PauloCoritiba Football Club
Internacional236-10-5-30.00.1-0.0000000012356911121414139115.2+0.0737.1-1.517.391at Sport RecifeSport Club Internacional
Cruzeiro236-10-5-70.00.1-0.0000000012346810121415149115.3+0.0839.1-1.615.391Santa CruzCruzeiro Esporte Clube
VitóriaLCorinthians 1-2235-8-8-50.0-0.00.0-0.1000000012346810121415149115.3-0.7439.9+9.116.391América-MGEsporte Clube Vitória
Figueirense2114-7-9-70.00.0-0.0000000011234681013161815316.1+0.0752.2-1.518.381at SantosFigueirense Futebol Clube
Santa Cruz195-12-4-70.00.000000000001123581220371017.7+0.0478.8-0.919.345at CruzeiroSanta Cruz Futebol Clube
América-MG133-14-4-190.00.0000000000000000114128219.7+0.0199.0-0.120.276at VitóriaAmérica Futebol Clube-MG

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/20
Flamengo 2 Grêmio 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+1.1
-0.3
Atlético-MG+0.3
-0.6
Flamengo+3.5
+11.6
+0.7
Corinthians+0.3
-0.5
Grêmio-5.8
-9.1
-0.5
Santos+0.5
-0.5
Coritiba 2 Santos 1
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+2.3
+0.7
Atlético-MG+0.8
+1.7
Flamengo+0.5
+1.6
Corinthians+0.5
+1.7
Grêmio+1.2
+1.3
Santos-5.6
-9.9
-0.6
Ponte Preta+0.7
Atlético-PR+0.8
Botafogo+0.7
Sport Recife+0.9
Coritiba-12.1
+0.9
Internacional+1.8
Cruzeiro+1.9
Vitória+1.7
Figueirense+1.8
Santa Cruz+1.7
Palmeiras 2 Ponte Preta 2
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-4.4
-1.9
No
-0.2
Atlético-MG+0.7
+0.4
Flamengo+0.5
+0.5
Corinthians+0.5
+0.5
Grêmio+1.3
+0.4
Santos+1.2
+0.5
Ponte Preta-0.9
-0.1
Atlético-MG 1 Atlético-PR 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-1.3
-0.5
Atlético-MG+3.7
+9.8
+0.6
Flamengo-0.3
-1.0
Corinthians-0.3
-1.0
Grêmio-0.7
-0.8
Santos-0.7
-0.9
Atlético-PR-0.4
-4.6
+0.3
-0.6
Corinthians 2 Vitória 1
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-1.0
-0.8
Atlético-MG-0.5
-1.2
Flamengo-0.4
-1.4
Corinthians+2.8
+8.3
+0.6
Grêmio-0.4
-1.3
Santos-0.3
-1.4
Fluminense-0.7
Ponte Preta-0.5
São Paulo-0.4
Sport Recife-0.5
Coritiba-0.7
Internacional-0.9
Cruzeiro-1.0
Vitória+5.8
-0.5
Figueirense-1.0
Santa Cruz-0.6
Santa Cruz 0 Fluminense 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense+0.3
+3.1
-0.9
+0.7
Sport Recife-0.5
Coritiba-0.9
Internacional-0.9
Cruzeiro-0.8
Vitória-0.8
Figueirense-0.9
Santa CruzNo
+6.6
-0.4
Internacional 1 São Paulo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
São Paulo-0.4
+0.5
-0.2
Coritiba-0.4
Internacional+1.9
-0.2
Cruzeiro-0.5
Vitória-0.3
Figueirense-0.3
Santa Cruz-0.4
Botafogo 3 Sport Recife 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.4
-6.8
+0.9
Sport Recife-0.7
+3.3
-0.8
Figueirense 1 Cruzeiro 2
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba+0.4
Internacional+0.4
Cruzeiro-12.9
+0.8
Vitória+0.4
Figueirense+10.9
-0.8
Week of 8/27
Fluminense vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras27.632.544.9
75.981.189.3
3.22.82.3
Atlético-MG19.518.515.4
66.567.066.2
Fluminense2.10.80.4
19.811.58.5
0.20.50.8
7.18.18.6
Grêmio vs Atlético-MGHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG11.415.525.1
56.964.877.5
4.33.93.1
Grêmio17.09.66.5
66.051.944.1
3.84.65.1
Ponte Preta vs CorinthiansHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians7.79.916.9
46.553.266.9
5.04.53.7
Ponte Preta1.00.40.2
13.87.24.8
0.20.71.2
7.78.89.3
Chapecoense vs FlamengoHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo7.69.716.7
46.853.066.5
5.04.53.7
Chapecoense0.40.10.0
6.32.91.8
0.92.33.4
9.110.210.7
Santos vs FigueirenseHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo11.612.312.6
55.357.658.6
4.44.34.3
Corinthians11.612.412.6
55.357.658.5
4.44.34.3
Grêmio10.911.611.8
53.055.356.3
4.64.54.4
Santos11.76.54.9
56.743.137.4
4.35.25.6
Internacional36.0*37.139.2
15.115.215.3
Cruzeiro38.0*39.141.3
15.215.315.4
Vitória38.939.842.2
15.315.315.4
Figueirense58.552.438.9
16.516.115.2
Atlético-PR vs BotafogoHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-PR0.60.20.1
9.75.03.6
0.41.22.0
8.39.39.9
Botafogo0.60.92.2
11.38.64.1
12.612.110.9
São Paulo vs CoritibaHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
São Paulo1.40.50.3
4.49.613.3
11.312.413.0
Coritiba0.10.10.4
26.821.412.1
14.513.912.8
Sport Recife vs InternacionalHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife0.90.30.2
6.312.917.9
11.812.913.5
Internacional45.638.625.3
15.815.314.3
Cruzeiro vs Santa CruzHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro28.542.650.6
14.615.616.1
Santa CruzNoNo0.0
85.880.468.4
18.117.817.1
Vitória vs América-MGHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitória31.344.851.1
14.715.716.1
América-MGNoNo0.0
NoNo0.0
99.599.297.8
19.819.719.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.