Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
CorinthiansLFlamengo 0-37121-8-721YesYes1001.0No1.633Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Gremioat Santos61118-7-1021NoYes5936502.5+0.01No2.564Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Palmeiras60118-6-1118NoYes3955612.7+0.02No4.556at AvaiSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
SantosGremio56115-11-98No99.7%+0.2295225102004.4+0.04No5.523Santos Futebol Clube
CruzeiroTVitoria 1-15615-11-109No98.1+0.5012948146205.0-0.17No3.511Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
FlamengoWCorinthians 3-05314-11-1111No81.9+42.67153921135106.4+1.79No6.486Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
BotafogoTSao Paulo 0-05214-10-125No52.5-9.716182824176107.5-0.28No10.478Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Vasco da Gamaat Atletico-PR50113-11-11-7No42.6+1.51614222316963108.0+0.14No7.473Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
BahiaLSport Recife 0-14913-10-133No11.8-24.12917231813106109.6-1.13No9.454Esporte Clube Bahia
ChapecoenseTAtletico-GO 1-14813-9-14-4No5.8-8.6159142118151261010.6-0.61No14.446Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Atletico-MGCoritiba47112-11-12-1No5.2+0.7001471017211412103011.0+0.21No13.449Clube Atletico Mineiro
Atletico-PRVasco da Gama45112-9-14-2No2.1-0.2023611141819151020012.1+0.120.1%-0.012.432Clube Atletico Paranaense
Sao PauloTBotafogo 0-04612-10-14-2No0.2-2.902691419191712112.4-0.20No-0.18.429Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Coritibaat Atletico-MG43111-10-14-4No0.1-0.00125791220281320013.7+0.112.6+0.315.415Coritiba Football Club
Fluminense43110-13-12-4NoNo-0.00146111624231131013.83.9+0.811.415Ponte PretaFluminense Football Club
Ponte Preta39110-9-16-11NoNo00125112827206016.6-0.1353.6+2.119.382at FluminenseAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
VitoriaTCruzeiro 1-14010-10-16-8NoNo00393329215016.7-0.2054.8+4.116.381Esporte Clube Vitoria
Sport RecifeWBahia 1-03910-9-17-14NoNo00210294116117.6+0.7587.5-7.718.372Sport Club do Recife
Avai3618-12-15-21NoNo002814581818.8-0.2197.6+0.317.358PalmeirasAvai Futebol Clube
Atletico-GOTChapecoense 1-1349-7-20-18NoNo13158119.8-0.26Yes+0.320.332Atletico Clube Goianiense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/19
Flamengo 3 Corinthians 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-0.4
Cruzeiro-1.4
Flamengo+31.6
+1.4
Botafogo-8.0
-0.2
Vasco da Gama-7.5
-0.2
Bahia-7.0
-0.2
Chapecoense-3.8
-0.2
Atletico-MG-1.5
Atletico-PR-0.9
Sao Paulo-1.0
Sport Recife 1 Bahia 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos+0.2
Cruzeiro+0.8
Flamengo+5.1
+0.2
Botafogo+4.9
+0.2
Vasco da Gama+5.4
+0.2
Bahia-20.7
-1.1
Chapecoense+1.9
Atletico-MG+1.2
Atletico-PR+0.6
Sao Paulo+0.6
Coritiba+0.6
Fluminense+0.9
Ponte Preta+2.8
-0.2
Vitoria+3.0
Sport Recife-7.7
+0.7
Avai+0.3
-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.2
Sao Paulo 0 Botafogo 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+3.4
Botafogo-8.2
-0.3
Vasco da Gama+2.4
Bahia+2.2
Chapecoense+1.8
Atletico-MG+0.9
Sao Paulo-2.7
-0.1
-0.3
Atletico-GO 1 Chapecoense 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+0.3
Flamengo+1.7
Botafogo+1.6
Vasco da Gama+1.4
Bahia+1.7
Chapecoense-7.5
-0.6
Atletico-MG+0.4
Atletico-PR+0.2
Sao Paulo+0.2
Atletico-GO+0.3
-0.1
Vitoria 1 Cruzeiro 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+0.1
-0.2
Flamengo+0.2
Botafogo-0.2
Bahia-0.2
Coritiba-0.3
Fluminense-0.3
Ponte Preta+0.2
Vitoria+0.3
-0.0
Sport Recife+0.1
Atletico-PR vs Vasco da GamaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo85.783.877.1
6.26.36.5
Botafogo59.857.043.0
7.37.47.7
Vasco da Gama20.334.768.1
9.08.16.9
Bahia15.113.87.6
9.69.59.7
Atletico-PR5.80.2No
NoNo0.2
10.712.413.2
Sao Paulo0.30.3No
12.512.312.2
Coritiba0.10.1No
13.913.713.6
Atletico-MG vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG10.91.60.5
9.711.512.3
CoritibaNoNo0.2
5.41.3No
14.614.012.4
Santos vs GremioHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
SantosYes100.099.3
3.94.54.8
Fluminense vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Mon100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FluminenseNo1.710.3
12.814.114.9
Ponte Preta69.757.630.3
17.216.715.7
Vitoria47.453.265.2
16.616.716.8
Sport Recife84.487.591.5
17.517.617.8
Avai vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Avai91.799.199.8
18.118.819.1
Week of 11/25
Palmeiras vs BotafogoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo85.883.474.9
6.26.36.6
Botafogo30.551.685.6
8.27.56.4
Vasco da Gama50.542.031.5
7.88.08.2
Bahia15.911.26.3
9.59.79.8
Chapecoense7.47.12.3
10.610.610.7
Sao Paulo0.4NoNo
Coritiba0.1NoNo
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CruzeiroYes99.994.4
4.55.05.7
Flamengo86.0*81.976.6
Botafogo59.354.842.2
7.47.47.6
Vasco da Gama23.236.871.4
8.88.26.8
Bahia14.813.07.2
9.59.69.8
Sao Paulo0.30.2No
Coritiba0.10.1No
Flamengo vs SantosHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos99.3100.0Yes
4.94.43.9
Flamengo99.579.266.9
5.46.67.1
Botafogo47.154.356.4
7.77.47.4
Vasco da Gama38.642.146.7
8.18.07.8
Bahia8.812.714.1
9.79.69.6
Bahia vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo80.085.781.3
6.46.36.4
Botafogo48.556.354.5
7.67.47.4
Bahia25.95.30.4
8.39.811.0
ChapecoenseNo0.316.1
11.811.09.0
Corinthians vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG0.93.017.1
11.711.19.3
Avai vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PRNo0.25.0
0.2NoNo
13.312.510.9
Avai93.699.399.8
18.218.919.2
Coritiba vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao PauloNoNo0.5
13.612.610.9
Coritiba0.2NoNo
No1.56.0
12.414.114.8
Ponte Preta vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta18.958.288.5
15.616.817.5
Vitoria88.760.813.3
17.516.815.7
Sport Recife88.579.392.0
17.617.517.6
Fluminense vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FluminenseNo1.510.7
12.814.114.8
Ponte Preta51.052.058.0
16.516.516.7
Vitoria51.752.460.5
16.616.616.9
Sport Recife98.094.568.7
18.117.816.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.