Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
JoinvilleGrêmio15105-0-34225.4%+15.164.2%+30.825171210865433221100004.1+3.710.0%-6.310.529Joinville Esporte Clube
Fluminenseat Figueirense17105-2-11615.9+12.053.0+35.216141211987654322110005.0+5.170.1-13.34.560Fluminense Football Club
Ponte Preta10133-1-13810.0+4.839.2+17.81010109988766543321006.4+3.240.3-11.03.523Associação Atlética Ponte Preta
FlamengoWPalmeiras 12-616105-1-2258.0+4.136.5+18.6891010998776543221006.5+3.710.1-13.28.547Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
CorinthiansAvaí6162-0-01110.6+5.438.9+17.5111099887766544321006.5+3.110.4-10.92.529Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
FigueirenseFluminense6162-0-0177.0+3.130.4+12.57888888777655432107.4+2.810.6-12.71.530Figueirense Futebol Clube
PalmeirasLFlamengo 6-129133-0-2336.0+0.928.4+7.06788888877665432107.5+2.070.6-10.711.510Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Cruzeiroat Internacional13104-1-3105.0-3.226.4-2.85678888887765432007.7+0.760.5-7.29.504Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
GoiásWSão Paulo 12-61595-0-4143.2-0.720.9+3.03567788888876532008.2+1.990.4-12.913.513Goiás Esporte Clube
Avaíat Corinthians13104-1-313.3-1.920.2-1.23566788888876542108.4+1.190.6-10.67.505Avaí Futebol Clube
Atlético-MGChapecoense9133-0-2243.4-0.519.9+2.03566777888877653108.6+1.601.0-12.45.511Clube Atlético Mineiro
SantosAtlético-PR10103-1-4-210.8-9.37.1-26.211233456789910101083111.0-3.203.5-2.76.466Santos Futebol Clube
InternacionalCruzeiro10103-1-4-210.5-6.04.9-20.10112334567810111212104111.7-2.694.8-4.412.465Sport Club Internacional
Chapecoenseat Atlético-MG6132-0-3130.5-3.44.6-13.3011223445689101213125112.1-1.886.8-6.615.470Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Coritiba10113-1-3-80.3-3.63.9-14.0011223445789111213115112.1-1.915.9-7.516.484Coritiba Football Club
São PauloLGoiás 6-126122-0-4-330.1-3.81.5-16.4000111223457912162011413.7-3.4714.8+1.418.449São Paulo Futebol Clube
Grêmioat Joinville165-1-12-710.0-6.40.0-25.000000000000113717452516.7-7.7370.4+61.214.353Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Atlético-PRat Santos943-0-11-900.0-6.50.0-25.00000000000000127236617.5-8.4989.0+79.817.335Clube Atlético Paranaense
Vasco da Gama0180-0-00NoNo505019.5Yes19.488Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sport Recife0180-0-00NoNo505019.5Yes19.488Sport Club do Recife

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/9
Fluminense vs JoinvilleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville21.026.236.4
59.565.375.8
4.54.03.2
Fluminense20.112.68.9
60.147.641.5
4.45.56.0
Ponte Preta*10.010.49.3
39.039.7*39.2
Flamengo*8.08.47.5
36.237.0*36.5
Corinthians*10.611.09.9
38.739.4*38.9
Figueirense*7.07.36.5
30.130.8*30.4
Cruzeiro vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville25.625.824.6
64.164.763.9
Fluminense16.016.115.4
52.953.552.7
Ponte Preta10.010.29.6
39.139.638.9
Flamengo*8.08.27.7
36.436.936.2
Corinthians8.210.315.8
33.7*38.950.0
0.50.30.1
7.06.55.4
Figueirense7.07.26.7
30.330.830.1
Cruzeiro6.83.82.7
32.622.318.0
0.20.60.9
6.98.18.7
Palmeiras vs Atlético-MGHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo7.98.2*8.0
36.337.0*36.4
Palmeiras7.94.63.5
34.224.220.0
0.30.71.1
6.88.08.6
Atlético-MG2.43.35.9
16.0*19.929.2
1.30.90.4
9.18.67.3
Avaí vs SantosHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville25.325.625.6
63.964.764.5
Fluminense15.816.116.0
52.753.553.3
Ponte Preta9.910.1*10.0
38.939.639.4
Corinthians10.510.7*10.6
38.639.4*39.0
Avaí4.32.31.7
24.816.213.0
0.30.81.3
7.79.09.6
Santos0.50.81.7
5.3*7.112.3
4.43.31.6
11.511.09.8
Grêmio70.2*70.470.9
Chapecoense vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense0.70.30.2
6.23.32.5
4.58.110.5
11.412.513.0
Coritiba0.20.30.7
2.73.66.8
7.55.62.8
12.612.111.0
Grêmio70.870.070.0
Atlético-PR vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional0.20.30.8
3.14.17.5
7.1*4.82.4
12.411.910.8
Chapecoense7.36.66.5
12.012.012.1
Coritiba6.45.75.6
12.112.112.2
São Paulo15.714.314.1
Grêmio70.869.8*70.4
16.816.716.7
Atlético-PR0.0NoNo
83.990.893.2
17.317.617.6
Week of 5/16
Joinville vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville30.521.517.6
70.759.553.7
3.64.55.0
Fluminense15.216.716.6
52.853.552.9
Ponte Preta9.510.510.5
39.039.7*39.1
Flamengo7.68.48.4
36.337.0*36.4
Corinthians10.111.111.0
38.739.438.8
Figueirense6.77.47.3
30.230.8*30.3
Palmeiras4.26.110.5
23.928.739.6
0.80.50.2
8.07.56.3
Corinthians vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville24.925.926.1
63.864.764.8
Fluminense15.516.316.4
52.653.653.6
Ponte Preta9.710.210.4
38.739.739.8
Flamengo7.88.28.4
36.037.137.1
Corinthians13.18.46.8
44.834.229.7
0.20.50.8
5.96.97.5
Figueirense6.87.27.3
30.030.730.9
Palmeiras5.86.16.3
28.028.828.9
Cruzeiro4.95.25.2
26.026.826.8
Goiás3.13.33.4
20.521.221.3
Avaí3.13.33.4
19.820.520.6
Atlético-MG3.33.53.5
19.620.320.3
Chapecoense0.30.41.0
3.34.58.2
8.26.53.5
12.512.010.9
Grêmio69.870.571.7
Atlético-PR88.889.189.6
Ponte Preta vs São PauloHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville24.925.926.2
63.764.765.0
Fluminense15.516.316.4
52.553.653.9
Ponte Preta12.47.76.2
45.134.129.7
0.10.30.6
5.76.97.4
Flamengo7.88.28.3
35.937.137.3
Corinthians10.310.811.0
38.439.439.6
Figueirense6.87.27.3
29.930.931.1
Palmeiras5.86.16.3
27.928.829.1
Cruzeiro4.95.25.3
25.926.827.0
Goiás3.13.33.4
20.421.321.5
Avaí3.13.33.4
19.820.620.8
Atlético-MG3.33.53.6
19.520.320.5
São Paulo0.10.10.3
1.01.53.1
17.214.28.6
14.013.612.7
Grêmio69.370.773.1
16.716.716.8
Atlético-PR88.589.190.2
Santos vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville25.625.624.9
64.464.563.6
Fluminense16.116.015.4
53.353.452.3
Ponte Preta10.1*10.09.7
39.539.438.5
Flamengo8.18.17.7
36.736.735.8
Corinthians10.710.610.3
39.139.138.2
Figueirense7.1*7.06.8
30.630.629.7
Palmeiras6.16.15.8
28.628.627.8
Cruzeiro3.64.78.1
21.625.836.3
0.70.40.2
8.27.76.5
Santos1.20.50.3
9.75.44.0
2.14.25.6
10.311.512.0
Grêmio70.970.169.6
Goiás vs Atlético-PRHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Joinville25.325.725.7
63.964.765.0
4.24.14.1
Fluminense15.816.116.1
52.653.653.9
5.15.04.9
Ponte Preta9.910.110.1
38.839.740.0
6.46.36.3
Flamengo7.98.18.2
36.137.037.3
6.56.46.4
Corinthians10.510.710.8
38.539.339.6
6.56.46.4
Figueirense6.97.17.2
30.130.731.0
7.47.37.3
Palmeiras28.128.829.0
7.67.57.5
Cruzeiro26.126.727.0
7.77.67.6
Goiás4.12.11.6
24.716.013.1
0.20.61.2
7.78.99.4
Avaí19.920.520.7
8.48.48.3
Atlético-MG19.620.320.5
8.68.58.5
Internacional4.85.05.1
4.64.95.6
11.711.611.6
Chapecoense4.54.74.8
6.66.97.7
Coritiba3.84.04.0
5.7*6.06.9
São Paulo14.314.916.6
Grêmio70.0*70.572.1
16.716.716.8
Atlético-PRNoNo0.1
90.988.480.9
17.617.517.2
Coritiba vs GrêmioHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos3.3*3.64.5
Internacional4.5*4.86.1
Chapecoense6.3*6.88.5
Coritiba0.50.20.1
5.02.61.9
3.57.512.0
11.612.613.1
São Paulo13.914.917.8
GrêmioNoNo0.1
75.468.954.7
16.916.716.2
Atlético-PR88.988.890.0
17.517.517.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.