Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength11/23
Flamengo8125-6-343100.0%-0.0Yes10001.0No1.746Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Palmeiras68119-11-3270.0+0.0Yes07426002.3No2.652GremioSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Santos65119-8-620NoYes26731002.7No3.626CruzeiroSantos Futebol Clube
Gremio56116-8-922No92.4%+0.10156231362004.7No8.549at PalmeirasGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Athletico-PR53115-8-1014No74.6+0.10020292517810005.6No7.523at Atletico-MGClube Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo53114-11-89No69.1+0.100172725181110005.8+0.01No5.523at CearaSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Corinthians50112-14-77No32.6-0.03111930306100007.0+0.02No4.498at BotafogoSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Internacional50114-8-115No30.7+0.103111726338210007.1+0.04No6.498FortalezaSport Club Internacional
Bahia44111-11-112No0.4+0.000027332115118200010.2+0.100.0%-0.09.446at GoiasEsporte Clube Bahia
Vasco da GamaTGoias 1-14411-11-12-6No0.0-0.200021624241811310010.9-0.150.0-0.010.435Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
GoiasTVasco da Gama 1-143112-7-14-16No0.1-0.20001316202019156100011.1-0.130.0-0.011.438BahiaGoias Esporte Clube
Fortaleza42112-6-15-1No0.0+0.00000212181919178310011.4+0.090.1-0.012.429at InternacionalFortaleza Esporte Clube
Atletico-MG41111-8-14-5No0.0+0.0000171216202213620012.1+0.110.4-0.113.420Athletico-PRClube Atletico Mineiro
Botafogo36111-3-19-13NoNo00013612252217131014.6+0.0914.4-1.415.378CorinthiansBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Ceara36110-6-17-1NoNo0000126162225253015.4+0.0827.7-2.617.378Sao PauloCeara Sporting Club
Fluminense3519-8-16-11NoNo000125142325255015.5+0.0829.9-2.514.369at CSAFluminense Football Club
CruzeiroTAvai 0-03617-15-11-10NoNo000114132126277015.7-0.3733.5+7.416.378at SantosCruzeiro Esporte Clube
CSA2917-8-18-29NoNo00002496916017.9+0.0294.2-0.618.318FluminenseCentro Sportivo Alagoano
Chapecoense2515-10-18-22NoNo00011582218.9+0.0199.9-0.019.284at AvaiAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
AvaiTCruzeiro 0-01813-9-21-35NoNo029820.0-0.01Yes+0.020.224ChapecoenseAvai Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/16
Gremio 0 Flamengo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.8
Palmeiras-0.8
SantosNo
Gremio-2.3
-0.2
Athletico-PR+0.6
Sao Paulo+0.4
Corinthians+0.6
Internacional+0.5
Bahia 1 Palmeiras 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.6
Palmeiras-0.6
Bahia-0.4
+0.0
Santos 1 Sao Paulo 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos*Yes
Athletico-PR+0.1
Sao Paulo-0.2
-0.0
Corinthians+0.2
Internacional-0.1
Athletico-PR 1 Botafogo 0
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio-1.0
Athletico-PR+14.4
+0.5
Sao Paulo-4.2
Corinthians-4.8
Internacional-4.0
Bahia-0.2
Fortaleza-0.3
BotafogoNo
+5.6
-0.5
Ceara-0.7
Fluminense-2.0
Cruzeiro-2.0
CSA-0.6
Corinthians 0 Internacional 0
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.8
Athletico-PR+3.8
Sao Paulo+2.9
Corinthians-4.5
-0.1
Internacional-3.3
-0.1
Bahia+0.2
Vasco da Gama 1 Goias 1
7:30 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama-0.2
-0.2
Goias-0.2
-0.1
Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-0.2
Atletico-MG-0.5
-0.2
Botafogo-0.5
Ceara-0.8
Fluminense+2.9
-0.2
Cruzeiro-0.6
CSA-0.3
Fortaleza 3 CSA 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-1.5
+0.7
Botafogo-0.7
Ceara-1.0
Fluminense-1.3
Cruzeiro-1.3
CSA+5.7
-0.2
Chapecoense 1 Ceara 0
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-0.6
Atletico-MG-0.3
Botafogo-1.7
CearaNo
+13.3
-0.8
Fluminense-4.7
Cruzeiro-4.5
CSA-1.4
Cruzeiro 0 Avai 0
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-1.4
Ceara-2.5
Fluminense-2.5
Cruzeiro+7.3
-0.4
CSA-0.6
Week of 11/23
Flamengo vs CearaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYes100.099.7
PalmeirasNo0.00.3
Ceara33.223.18.1
15.715.314.4
Fluminense28.231.336.3
15.515.615.8
Cruzeiro31.235.441.4
15.715.815.9
Palmeiras vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo99.9YesYes
Palmeiras0.1NoNo
2.22.32.4
Gremio88.593.198.4
5.04.74.3
Fluminense vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYesYes99.9
PalmeirasNoNo0.1
2.42.32.2
Botafogo18.514.912.7
14.914.714.6
Ceara34.928.624.8
15.715.415.4
Fluminense10.227.037.8
14.515.515.9
Cruzeiro39.734.730.9
15.915.715.6
Botafogo vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR80.077.069.8
5.55.65.8
Sao Paulo73.971.564.7
5.75.85.9
Corinthians15.725.047.7
7.57.26.5
Internacional34.932.527.0
6.97.07.2
Botafogo4.013.921.4
13.814.715.2
Fluminense33.130.027.7
15.715.515.4
Cruzeiro37.633.730.7
15.915.715.6
Athletico-PR vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio85.693.098.8
5.24.74.3
Athletico-PR90.272.460.7
5.05.86.2
Corinthians29.233.135.6
7.07.06.9
Corinthians vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR71.578.280.9
5.75.65.5
Sao Paulo66.372.574.6
5.95.85.7
Corinthians42.521.213.1
6.67.37.7
Internacional28.233.435.7
7.27.06.9
Ceara vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR78.776.171.4
5.55.65.8
Sao Paulo52.563.481.9
6.46.05.4
Corinthians37.934.628.4
6.86.97.1
Internacional36.132.326.7
7.07.17.2
Ceara10.027.338.3
14.615.515.9
Fluminense35.7*29.926.5
15.715.515.4
Cruzeiro40.633.729.1
15.915.715.6
Sao Paulo vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR71.376.078.6
5.85.65.5
Sao Paulo82.364.053.1
5.46.06.4
Corinthians28.334.537.6
7.16.96.9
Internacional26.532.236.0
7.27.17.0
Vasco da GamaNo0.00.1
0.00.0No
11.410.910.1
Internacional vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR70.676.778.5
5.85.65.5
Sao Paulo64.471.274.0
5.95.85.7
Corinthians28.934.336.4
7.16.96.8
Internacional45.023.816.2
6.67.37.7
Goias11.711.210.2
Internacional vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR70.776.778.5
5.85.65.5
Sao Paulo64.571.374.0
5.95.85.7
Corinthians28.934.336.5
7.16.96.8
Internacional44.823.616.1
6.67.37.7
Fortaleza12.011.510.5
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR59.570.087.8
6.25.85.2
Sao Paulo72.870.265.9
5.75.86.0
Corinthians38.334.227.6
6.96.97.1
Internacional34.932.126.9
7.07.17.2
Atletico-MG0.00.20.8
11.112.212.7
Goias vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.00.11.0
0.00.0No
10.910.29.4
Goias10.211.311.9
Bahia vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.90.10.0
No0.00.0
9.510.310.9
Atletico-MG0.80.30.0
12.812.311.1
Fortaleza vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza10.411.411.9
Cruzeiro vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo17.013.011.6
14.814.614.5
Ceara32.625.222.5
15.615.415.3
Fluminense34.927.025.2
15.615.515.4
Cruzeiro15.838.254.7
15.115.916.4
CSA99.096.485.9
18.218.017.5
CSA vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo11.913.117.1
14.514.614.8
Ceara23.325.432.7
15.315.415.6
Fluminense47.732.813.0
16.215.714.8
Cruzeiro29.931.837.6
15.615.715.8
CSA87.196.698.9
17.618.018.2
Santos vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo12.615.118.5
14.614.714.9
Ceara24.528.935.2
15.315.515.7
Fluminense26.831.137.5
15.415.515.8
Cruzeiro42.330.111.8
16.115.714.8
Chapecoense vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo25.417.05.2
15.314.914.0
Fluminense26.629.132.7
15.415.515.7
Cruzeiro29.332.437.0
15.615.715.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.