Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
7/15PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Palmeiras268-2-01658.2%+0.198.5%+0.0582310521100000000000001.80.0%1.612at CearaSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Santos237-2-1623.6-0.092.8+0.02431171064321100000000003.00.0-0.02.575Santos Futebol Clube
Flamengo206-2-2117.1-0.074.8+0.27141815129754322110000004.9+0.020.2-0.06.538Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-MG196-1-344.8-0.067.9+0.251115141210865432211000005.5+0.020.3-0.04.526Clube Atletico Mineiro
Goias1515-0-4-21.3-0.040.0+0.214791010998765433211008.0+0.032.1-0.112.494Goias Esporte Clube
Corinthians1514-3-231.3+0.039.6+0.31479910998765443211008.0+0.042.2-0.15.494Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Internacional165-1-441.0+0.037.5+0.31368910998876543211008.2+0.052.3-0.18.489GremioSport Club Internacional
Botafogo165-1-401.0+0.037.2+0.21368910998876543211008.2+0.042.3-0.17.489Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Sao Paulo153-6-130.6+0.028.8+0.2124678999887654321109.2+0.054.0-0.23.477Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Bahia144-2-4-10.3-0.020.4+0.10134577889987754321010.2+0.056.6-0.210.464CruzeiroEsporte Clube Bahia
Gremio144-2-400.3-0.020.1+0.10134567889988764321010.2+0.056.7-0.313.464at InternacionalGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Athletico-PR134-1-520.2+0.015.3+0.20123456788998876432111.0+0.069.4-0.49.452at CSAClube Athletico Paranaense
Fortaleza134-1-5-30.214.1+0.20123456788999876532111.2+0.0610.3-0.411.452Fortaleza Esporte Clube
CearaTFluminense 1-1113-2-510.0-0.05.3-1.50001223456789101010975213.4-0.3724.2+2.319.427PalmeirasCeara Sporting Club
Vasco da Gama92-3-5-70.02.0+0.0000011123356791011121211615.1+0.0641.1-0.917.403FluminenseClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
FluminenseTCeara 1-192-3-5-30.0-0.02.0-0.7000011123346791011121210615.1-0.3541.0+3.415.403at Vasco da GamaFluminense Football Club
Cruzeiro92-3-5-70.01.9+0.0000011123346791011121211715.2+0.0541.7-0.818.403at BahiaCruzeiro Esporte Clube
Chapecoense82-2-6-50.01.3+0.000000111234568911131413915.8+0.0649.5-0.914.391Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
CSA61-3-6-130.00.4+0.000000001112235791216212017.2+0.0469.0-0.816.366Athletico-PRCentro Sportivo Alagoano
Avai40-4-6-90.00.1+0.00000000000011235712214618.6+0.0387.2-0.420.342Avai Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/14
Flamengo 6 Goias 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.3
Flamengo+1.6
+8.3
-0.4
+0.7
Goias-1.0
-7.2
+0.5
-0.6
Chapecoense 1 Atletico-MG 2
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.5
Flamengo-0.6
Atletico-MG+1.0
+7.5
-0.6
+0.7
Goias-0.7
Corinthians-0.6
Internacional-0.7
Botafogo-0.7
Sao Paulo-0.6
Bahia-0.5
-0.2
Gremio-0.5
-0.2
Athletico-PR-0.2
-0.5
Fortaleza-0.4
-0.3
Ceara-0.2
-0.5
Vasco da Gama-0.7
Fluminense-0.7
Cruzeiro-0.7
Chapecoense-1.1
+5.9
-0.6
CSA-0.6
Avai-0.3
Athletico-PR 1 Internacional 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.4
Flamengo+0.4
Atletico-MG+0.4
Goias+0.4
Corinthians+0.4
+0.2
Internacional-0.9
-7.8
+0.7
-0.7
Botafogo+0.4
Sao Paulo+0.4
Bahia+0.3
+0.2
Athletico-PR+4.0
-6.5
+1.0
Ceara+0.5
Vasco da Gama+0.7
Fluminense+0.7
Cruzeiro+0.7
Chapecoense+0.7
CSA+0.7
Cruzeiro 0 Botafogo 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.4
Atletico-MG+0.4
Goias+0.4
Corinthians+0.3
Internacional+0.4
Botafogo-0.3
-3.2
+0.2
-0.3
Sao Paulo+0.3
Bahia+0.3
Gremio+0.2
Athletico-PR-0.1
Fortaleza+0.2
Ceara-0.1
Vasco da Gama-0.2
Fluminense-0.2
Cruzeiro-0.4
+1.4
-0.1
Chapecoense-0.2
CSA-0.2
Corinthians 1 CSA 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-0.6
Atletico-MG-0.5
Goias-0.5
Corinthians+0.3
+5.9
-2.3
+0.8
Internacional-0.6
Botafogo-0.6
Sao Paulo-0.5
Bahia-0.4
Gremio-0.4
Athletico-PR-0.2
-0.3
Ceara-0.2
-0.3
Vasco da Gama-0.4
Fluminense-0.5
Cruzeiro-0.5
Chapecoense-0.4
CSA-0.4
+5.8
-0.5
Fluminense 1 Ceara 1
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara-1.0
+1.2
-0.2
Vasco da Gama-0.5
Fluminense-0.5
+1.9
-0.2
Cruzeiro-0.4
Chapecoense-0.5
Week of 7/20
Ceara vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras50.454.663.9
97.598.299.1
2.11.91.6
Santos27.425.520.7
2.93.03.0
Flamengo8.57.86.1
74.674.874.9
Ceara8.54.93.9
16.324.328.1
12.413.513.9
Botafogo vs SantosHomeDrawAway
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras61.259.855.0
Santos18.421.328.9
89.792.195.6
3.43.12.6
Botafogo1.80.90.5
46.435.631.0
1.12.43.1
7.38.48.9
Corinthians vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo5.06.29.7
68.173.281.8
0.3*0.20.1
5.55.14.3
Corinthians2.01.00.7
48.637.632.5
1.12.33.1
7.28.28.7
Atletico-MG vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG6.43.93.1
74.965.260.0
0.10.40.6
4.95.86.2
Fortaleza0.10.10.3
10.413.220.3
13.010.66.3
11.911.410.2
Corinthians vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias0.81.12.0
32.838.149.3
3.02.21.1
8.78.27.1
Corinthians1.91.00.7
48.237.231.8
1.22.43.2
7.28.38.8
Avai vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias0.71.01.8
31.936.246.6
3.42.41.2
8.88.47.3
Avai81.388.090.2
18.118.718.8
Internacional vs GremioHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional1.50.80.6
45.534.729.7
1.22.53.4
7.48.59.0
Gremio0.20.20.5
15.018.727.4
8.87.03.9
11.010.49.3
Sao Paulo vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo0.80.40.3
35.025.621.7
2.34.46.2
8.49.510.0
Chapecoense0.71.12.2
55.550.639.4
16.315.914.9
Bahia vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.50.20.2
25.917.814.8
3.97.39.7
9.410.511.1
Cruzeiro1.11.63.2
48.042.932.1
15.715.314.3
CSA vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR0.10.10.3
10.813.219.9
13.410.35.9
11.811.310.2
CSA0.70.30.2
60.170.674.9
16.617.317.6
Vasco da Gama vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama3.11.61.2
32.143.349.5
14.315.315.8
Fluminense1.21.63.2
48.842.631.4
15.715.314.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.