Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength5/25
Palmeiras134-1-01127.8%+0.981.1%+0.42818131076433221111000004.0+0.050.5%-0.02.540at BotafogoSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-MG124-0-1219.1+0.772.9+0.51916131087654322211100004.9+0.061.1-0.08.527at GremioClube Atletico Mineiro
Sao PauloTBahia 0-0113-2-0412.9-2.763.8-4.01313121098765433222111005.8-0.432.0+0.41.515at CorinthiansSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Botafogoat Goias913-0-1111.0+0.459.2+0.51111111098765443322211106.3+0.052.8-0.03.508PalmeirasBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Santos103-1-118.5+0.353.9+0.781010998766544332211106.9+0.063.5-0.010.503InternacionalSantos Futebol Clube
Athletico-PRCorinthians712-1-134.2+0.237.4+0.5466777776665544332218.8+0.058.3-0.111.483at FlamengoClube Athletico Paranaense
InternacionalCSA612-0-202.8+0.130.2+0.5345666776666655443329.8+0.0511.8-0.17.471at SantosSport Club Internacional
GoiasBotafogo612-0-202.7+0.129.7+0.5345666676666655443329.9+0.0512.0-0.19.471at CSAGoias Esporte Clube
Flamengo72-1-212.2+0.126.8+0.52345666666666655443210.2+0.0613.3-0.15.466Athletico-PRClube de Regatas do Flamengo
BahiaTSao Paulo 0-072-1-202.1-0.526.6-2.82345666666666655443210.3-0.3813.5+1.46.466FluminenseEsporte Clube Bahia
Corinthiansat Athletico-PR511-2-101.4+0.119.9+0.41234455666666666655411.4+0.0419.4-0.116.459Sao PauloSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Fluminense62-0-311.2+0.118.9+0.51234455666667666655411.6+0.0619.8-0.212.454at BahiaFluminense Football Club
Cruzeiro62-0-3-51.2+0.118.6+0.41234455666667766655411.6+0.0520.0-0.213.454ChapecoenseCruzeiro Esporte Clube
ChapecoenseFortaleza411-1-200.9+0.114.8+0.31223344556667777776612.4+0.0425.5-0.114.446at CruzeiroAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Fortalezaat Chapecoense311-0-3-50.5+0.010.8+0.21122334455666778888813.4+0.0332.4-0.14.434Vasco da GamaFortaleza Esporte Clube
CearaGremio311-0-310.5+0.010.1+0.20112233445566778889913.5+0.0433.8-0.117.434at AvaiCeara Sporting Club
CSAat Internacional310-3-1-40.4+0.09.5+0.20112233445566778899913.7+0.0435.2-0.118.434GoiasCentro Sportivo Alagoano
Avaiat Vasco da Gama210-2-2-20.2+0.05.9+0.10011122334456678910121414.9+0.0245.5-0.120.422CearaAvai Futebol Clube
Gremioat Ceara210-2-2-20.2+0.05.9+0.20011122334456678910121414.9+0.0345.5-0.219.422Atletico-MGGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Vasco da GamaAvai110-1-3-70.1+0.03.9+0.10001112233445678911142015.7+0.0254.0-0.215.410at FortalezaClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/18
Palmeiras 4 Santos 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+5.2
+7.2
-0.7
+0.8
Atletico-MG-0.2
Sao Paulo-0.2
Botafogo-0.2
Santos-4.2
-6.2
+0.7
-0.7
Internacional*-0.1
Flamengo-0.1
Atletico-MG 2 Flamengo 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.4
Atletico-MG+3.5
+7.6
-1.2
+0.8
Sao Paulo-0.3
-0.1
Botafogo-0.3
-0.1
Santos-0.4
-0.1
Athletico-PR-0.1
Goias-0.1
Flamengo-1.6
-6.2
+2.2
-0.8
Bahia-0.1
Cruzeiro-0.1
Sao Paulo 0 Bahia 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.6
+0.2
Atletico-MG+0.4
+0.3
Sao Paulo-1.8
-2.3
+0.2
-0.2
Botafogo+0.3
+0.3
Santos+0.2
+0.3
Athletico-PR+0.3
Internacional+0.3
Goias+0.3
Flamengo+0.3
Bahia-0.3
-1.3
+0.4
-0.2
Corinthians+0.2
Fluminense+0.2
Cruzeiro+0.2
Chapecoense+0.2
Ceara-0.1
CSA-0.1
Avai-0.1
Gremio-0.1
Vasco da Gama-0.1
Fluminense 4 Cruzeiro 1
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.1
Atletico-MG+0.2
Sao Paulo+0.2
Botafogo+0.2
Santos+0.1
Athletico-PR+0.1
Internacional+0.1
+0.2
Goias+0.2
+0.2
Flamengo+0.1
Bahia+0.1
+0.2
Corinthians+0.2
Fluminense+0.3
+3.9
-7.6
+1.0
Cruzeiro-1.0
-5.9
+3.8
-0.9
Chapecoense+0.3
Fortaleza+0.4
Ceara+0.4
CSA+0.3
Avai+0.4
Gremio+0.4
Vasco da Gama+0.4
Goias vs BotafogoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras28.328.327.1
81.081.381.0
Botafogo8.19.814.6
52.257.367.1
4.03.01.6
7.16.55.5
Goias4.12.31.7
37.227.923.7
8.112.815.2
8.810.110.7
Athletico-PR vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR5.83.52.8
44.734.830.5
5.49.011.3
7.99.19.7
Corinthians0.91.22.2
15.418.626.3
23.720.213.6
12.211.610.3
Internacional vs CSAHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional3.82.31.8
36.727.623.8
8.012.915.8
8.910.110.7
CSA0.20.30.7
6.88.613.5
41.036.327.1
14.413.912.7
Chapecoense vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense1.30.70.5
19.413.110.8
19.127.231.6
11.412.713.3
Fortaleza0.30.40.8
7.99.815.0
38.433.624.6
14.113.612.3
Ceara vs GremioHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara0.70.40.3
13.68.87.1
26.335.840.9
12.613.814.4
Gremio0.10.20.4
4.15.28.6
52.247.036.7
15.615.113.9
Vasco da Gama vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Avai0.10.20.4
4.15.18.4
52.647.437.0
15.615.114.0
Vasco da Gama0.20.10.1
5.63.32.5
45.756.261.3
14.916.016.4
Week of 5/25
Botafogo vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras21.826.134.7
76.179.986.6
0.80.60.3
4.54.13.3
Atletico-MG19.619.818.2
72.773.0*73.0
Sao Paulo13.213.412.2
63.564.063.9
Botafogo15.410.17.5
67.257.452.7
1.63.03.8
5.56.57.1
Gremio vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras29.228.526.6
81.281.380.9
Atletico-MG14.516.923.5
66.470.578.7
1.71.20.6
5.65.14.2
Sao Paulo13.513.212.2
64.064.063.5
Botafogo11.611.310.5
59.559.558.9
2.9*2.82.7
Fortaleza11.011.010.7
33.032.232.0
Ceara10.310.210.0
34.533.633.4
CSA9.79.69.4
36.0*35.134.8
Avai6.06.05.9
46.345.445.1
Gremio0.40.20.1
8.95.44.2
36.646.751.1
13.915.015.5
Vasco da Gama54.7*53.953.6
Corinthians vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras28.528.327.0
*81.181.380.9
Atletico-MG19.619.418.5
*72.973.172.7
Sao Paulo9.511.416.6
56.761.671.2
3.02.21.1
6.66.15.1
Corinthians2.21.20.8
26.218.515.3
13.820.423.6
10.311.612.2
Santos vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos11.37.35.9
61.751.346.1
2.13.95.0
6.17.27.7
Internacional1.82.44.2
24.528.738.3
14.812.37.7
10.610.08.7
Flamengo vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR2.93.66.0
30.935.445.5
10.98.85.3
9.79.17.8
Flamengo3.21.81.3
33.824.820.9
9.114.217.1
9.210.511.1
CSA vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias1.82.33.9
23.727.536.6
15.812.88.0
10.710.18.9
CSA0.70.30.2
13.28.46.7
27.536.841.5
12.713.914.5
Bahia vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia3.11.71.3
33.224.220.6
9.214.617.7
9.310.611.2
Fluminense0.71.01.9
14.417.425.0
24.420.813.9
12.411.810.5
Cruzeiro vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro1.81.00.7
24.016.713.8
14.421.525.4
10.611.912.5
Chapecoense0.50.71.4
11.113.619.9
30.926.518.6
13.212.611.3
Avai vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara0.30.40.8
7.39.013.9
40.335.325.9
14.313.812.5
Avai0.40.20.1
8.45.14.0
37.247.652.9
14.015.115.6
Fortaleza vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza0.80.40.3
14.49.47.6
25.334.439.4
12.413.714.2
Vasco da Gama0.10.10.2
2.63.45.9
60.655.545.0
16.415.914.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.