Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Internacional49114-7-41740.9%+4.099.8%+0.04126179520000000002.2+0.07No1.605at CorinthiansSport Club Internacional
Sao PauloTAmerica-MG 1-15114-9-31730.8-7.499.7-0.13127201372000000002.5-0.23No2.608Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Palmeiras47113-8-42016.0+1.998.9+0.016222319137100000000003.2+0.060.0%3.585at Sport RecifeSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Flamengo45113-6-6156.8+0.896.371318232115310000000004.0+0.040.05.565Atletico-MGClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Gremio44112-8-5193.8+0.593.8+0.0481420262241000000000004.5+0.040.04.554CearaGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Atletico-MG42112-6-7121.6+0.287.0+0.024815243493100000000005.2+0.020.06.534at FlamengoClube Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro3418-10-700.0+0.07.9+0.10000162218141086532210009.3+0.011.6+0.07.453SantosCruzeiro Esporte Clube
Santos3228-8-850.0+0.06.3+0.00000151716131197654321009.93.0+0.08.446at CruzeiroSantos Futebol Clube
Corinthians3319-6-1050.0+0.04.5+0.0000014151514121087543210010.2+0.013.3+0.09.443InternacionalSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Fluminense3118-7-10-60.01.8-0.0000001710111111109876431011.78.5+0.012.422at ChapecoenseFluminense Football Club
Atletico-PR3018-6-1120.01.2+0.0000001681010101010987542012.1+0.0111.0-0.016.412ParanaClube Atletico Paranaense
America-MGTSao Paulo 1-1318-7-11-50.0-0.00.7-0.1000001467910101010109752012.9-0.0414.8-0.313.409America Futebol Clube-MG
Bahia2917-8-10-50.00.7+0.00000013678991010109873013.118.5+0.111.402at Vasco da GamaEsporte Clube Bahia
Vitoria2918-5-12-190.00.5+0.000000035789910101010974013.3+0.0119.4-0.017.402BotafogoEsporte Clube Vitoria
Botafogo2917-8-10-110.00.5+0.000000035678910101010984013.4+0.0121.1-0.010.402at VitoriaBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Chapecoense2816-10-9-100.00.3+0.0000000234568910111112118014.431.4+0.014.392FluminenseAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Ceara2716-9-10-80.00.1000000123456891012141411115.1-0.0140.2+0.215.381at GremioCeara Sporting Club
Vasco da Gama2526-7-11-90.00.100000011234568911141817215.850.1+0.019.373BahiaClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sport Recife2416-6-13-17No-0.00.0000000001122458122041517.577.4+0.018.351PalmeirasSport Club do Recife
Parana1613-7-15-22No0.00000000000000179119.999.720.270at Atletico-PRParana Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/22
Sao Paulo 1 America-MG 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+3.3
+0.1
Sao Paulo-6.1
-0.2
Palmeiras+1.5
+0.0
Flamengo+0.7
+0.0
Gremio+0.4
+0.0
Atletico-MG+0.2
America-MG-0.1
-0.7
+0.0
Bahia+0.1
Vitoria+0.1
Botafogo+0.1
Chapecoense+0.1
Ceara+0.1
Vasco da Gama+0.1
Sport Recife+0.1
Corinthians vs InternacionalIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional29.935.449.9
99.699.8100.0
2.52.31.9
Sao Paulo35.833.326.7
2.42.42.5
Palmeiras19.117.613.5
98.798.998.9
3.13.13.2
Flamengo8.47.65.6
95.896.396.5
3.94.04.0
Corinthians8.33.92.7
1.03.14.7
9.210.310.8
Sport Recife vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional44.042.938.8
2.12.12.2
Sao Paulo33.232.229.1
2.42.42.5
Palmeiras9.111.820.8
97.798.599.5
3.63.42.9
Chapecoense33.2*31.430.7
14.514.414.4
Ceara42.1*40.139.4
15.215.115.1
Vasco da Gama51.950.049.4
15.915.815.7
Sport Recife63.977.982.7
16.717.617.9
Flamengo vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo10.55.23.5
98.595.993.8
NoNo0.0
3.54.14.5
Atletico-MG0.61.13.0
82.286.493.3
0.00.0No
5.65.24.6
Gremio vs CearaHomeDrawAway
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio5.52.41.6
96.592.289.4
No0.00.0
4.24.75.0
America-MG0.60.70.8
14.2*14.816.2
12.812.813.0
Bahia0.60.70.8
17.9*18.520.0
13.113.113.2
Vitoria0.50.50.6
18.7*19.421.0
13.213.313.4
Botafogo20.4*21.122.7
13.413.413.6
Chapecoense30.5*31.433.4
14.314.414.5
Ceara0.00.10.4
47.0*40.225.3
15.615.213.9
Vasco da Gama49.1*50.152.3
15.715.815.9
Sport Recife76.7*77.479.0
17.517.517.6
Cruzeiro vs SantosHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro12.46.14.0
0.51.62.7
8.59.510.1
Santos3.45.110.4
4.73.21.1
10.710.19.0
Santos vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG85.987.688.1
Santos9.34.53.3
1.13.45.6
9.210.210.8
Vitoria18.719.120.7
Botafogo20.320.922.5
Chapecoense30.531.133.1
Ceara39.139.841.9
15.115.115.2
Vasco da GamaNoNo0.0
0.00.00.2
58.952.035.8
16.415.914.7
Chapecoense vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FluminenseNo0.00.0
0.81.23.2
13.49.03.4
12.611.910.6
Chapecoense0.50.10.1
19.833.641.2
13.314.615.3
Vitoria vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
6:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria0.0No0.0
1.00.30.2
10.321.328.1
12.213.614.3
BotafogoNoNo0.0
0.20.31.0
29.422.411.2
14.313.712.3
Atletico-PR vs ParanaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR0.0NoNo
1.80.70.4
6.313.718.1
11.312.613.2
ParanaNoNo0.0
99.999.899.1
19.919.919.8
Vasco da Gama vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
BahiaNo*No0.0
0.30.41.3
27.019.79.5
14.013.412.0
Vasco da Gama0.0NoNo
0.20.00.0
36.453.361.3
14.816.016.5
Week of 9/30
Internacional vs VitoriaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional48.734.329.0
99.999.899.6
1.92.42.6
Sao Paulo27.233.836.2
2.52.42.4
Palmeiras13.817.919.4
3.23.13.1
Flamengo5.87.78.5
4.04.03.9
VitoriaNoNo0.0
0.30.41.3
23.818.79.2
13.813.312.0
Ceara39.540.341.6
15.115.115.2
Vasco da Gama49.550.251.6
15.715.815.9
Botafogo vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional46.043.737.2
2.12.12.2
Sao Paulo20.725.438.0
99.499.799.9
2.92.72.2
Palmeiras18.517.414.2
3.13.13.2
Flamengo8.27.55.9
3.94.04.0
Botafogo0.0NoNo
1.20.40.2
10.720.826.1
12.213.514.0
Ceara41.6*40.239.5
15.215.115.1
Vasco da Gama51.6*50.149.3
15.915.815.7
Palmeiras vs CruzeiroHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional38.542.743.9
2.22.12.1
Sao Paulo28.932.133.1
2.52.42.4
Palmeiras21.512.29.5
99.698.897.5
2.83.43.6
Atletico-MG1.41.71.8
87.987.385.0
Cruzeiro4.97.014.0
2.31.40.4
9.89.38.4
Bahia vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional42.441.839.7
2.12.12.2
Flamengo3.44.89.8
93.695.598.1
0.0NoNo
4.44.23.6
Bahia0.0*NoNo
1.60.50.3
9.418.623.6
11.913.213.7
Ceara41.540.139.5
15.215.115.1
Fluminense vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio1.82.55.8
89.792.896.8
0.0NoNo
4.94.74.1
Fluminense3.81.40.8
3.48.511.7
10.511.812.3
Atletico-MG vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG2.30.90.6
91.683.979.6
4.85.45.6
Cruzeiro6.78.69.7
Santos5.37.07.8
2.9*3.03.4
Chapecoense0.20.30.3
30.7*31.433.1
14.414.414.5
Ceara39.440.142.0
15.115.115.2
Vasco da Gama49.350.051.9
15.715.815.9
Sport Recife82.978.164.1
17.917.616.7
Santos vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos9.64.73.3
1.13.45.2
9.110.210.8
Atletico-PR0.0No0.0
0.50.82.3
15.511.55.0
12.912.310.9
America-MG vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians2.33.47.4
5.63.41.1
11.110.49.3
America-MG1.30.40.2
7.116.121.4
11.713.113.8
Parana vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
America-MG13.714.315.8
12.812.812.9
Bahia17.417.919.6
13.013.113.2
Vitoria18.218.820.5
13.213.213.3
Botafogo19.920.522.3
13.413.413.5
Chapecoense29.930.732.8
14.314.314.5
Ceara38.439.441.7
15.015.115.2
Vasco da GamaNoNo0.0
62.055.539.3
16.616.115.0
Sport Recife76.276.878.5
17.517.517.6
Parana0.0NoNo
99.299.899.9
19.819.919.9
Ceara vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense0.10.10.5
42.433.118.9
15.314.613.3
Ceara0.30.10.0
26.743.152.3
14.115.416.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.