Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Palmeiras5416-5-62356.5%-8.399.4%-0.15732920000000001.6-0.12No1.622at Santa CruzSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
FlamengoWCruzeiro 2-15316-6-51135.3+7.298.0+1.8354315410000000002.0+0.18No2.612at Sao PauloClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-MGWInternacional 3-14914-6-786.9+1.784.2+8.8718411884210000000003.3+0.380.0%3.574at Ponte PretaClube Atletico Mineiro
Santos4514-10-3170.9-0.445.8-3.814152619139642100000005.1-0.160.08.535Atletico-PRSantos Futebol Clube
FluminenseWCorinthians 1-04312-8-750.2+0.124.4+8.60171618161410753110000006.3+1.020.0-0.04.516Sport RecifeFluminense Football Club
Atletico-PRWPonte Preta 3-04213-11-330.1+0.017.7+6.101512161614121074210000006.8+1.010.0-0.110.506at SantosClube Atletico Paranaense
CorinthiansLFluminense 0-14112-10-590.1-0.312.7-14.001491315151411853110000007.3-1.010.0+0.06.496at BotafogoSport Club Corinthians Paulista
GremioWChapecoense 1-04011-9-710.0+0.09.4+3.7002711131514131074210000007.8+1.130.1-0.35.487at CruzeiroGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Ponte PretaLAtletico-PR 0-33911-10-6-50.0-0.14.8-7.000146912141513107421100008.8-1.000.2+0.19.477Atletico-MGAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Botafogo3811-11-500.0-0.01.9-0.500013681113151511752100009.9+0.010.5+0.011.467CorinthiansBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
ChapecoenseLGremio 0-1389-7-11-60.0-0.01.5-3.200013479121515129642100010.3-1.051.0+0.67.467VitoriaAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Sao PauloLVitoria 0-2349-11-7-10.0-0.00.1-0.5000001134711141515129520012.9-0.997.5+3.513.429FlamengoSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Sport Recife339-12-6-40.00.1-0.0000001124691315151311731013.4-0.0111.2+0.814.419at FluminenseSport Club do Recife
Coritiba338-10-9-20.00.1-0.0000000123691315151411741013.5-0.0211.7+0.712.419America-MGCoritiba Football Club
VitoriaWSao Paulo 2-0328-11-8-40.00.0+0.0000000012359121416161472014.5+1.0822.8-16.817.409at ChapecoenseEsporte Clube Vitoria
FigueirenseWSanta Cruz 3-1317-10-10-80.00.0+0.0000000001236812151818133015.3+0.9234.8-16.516.399at InternacionalFigueirense Futebol Clube
CruzeiroLFlamengo 1-2308-13-6-7No-0.00.0-0.000000001124710141820165115.7-0.5942.0+11.315.390GremioCruzeiro Esporte Clube
InternacionalLAtletico-MG 1-3277-14-6-7No0.0-0.00000000000124712193218417.2-0.4973.0+11.618.361FigueirenseSport Club Internacional
Santa CruzLFigueirense 1-3236-16-5-13No0.0-0.00000000000012617452818.8-0.3595.9+5.019.322PalmeirasSanta Cruz Futebol Clube
America-MG215-16-6-20NoNo00000000000126256719.5+0.0699.2+0.120.303at CoritibaAmerica Futebol Clube-MG

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/24
Palmeiras 2 Coritiba 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+8.3
+1.1
+0.2
Flamengo-5.7
Atletico-MG-1.4
Santos-1.0
Coritiba+2.2
-0.5
Flamengo 2 Cruzeiro 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-5.6
Flamengo+6.6
+1.9
+0.2
Atletico-MG-0.7
Sport Recife-0.5
Coritiba-0.6
Vitoria-1.2
Figueirense-1.3
CruzeiroNo
+5.9
-0.4
Internacional-1.3
Santa Cruz-0.5
Sport Recife 1 Santos 0
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+1.2
Flamengo+0.9
+0.6
Atletico-MG+0.3
+2.2
Santos-2.5
-12.0
-0.6
Fluminense+1.7
Atletico-PR+1.3
Corinthians+2.4
Ponte Preta+1.3
Sport Recife-10.5
+0.9
Vitoria+2.1
Figueirense+2.2
Cruzeiro+1.8
Internacional+2.2
Atletico-MG 3 Internacional 1
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-1.3
Flamengo-0.6
Atletico-MG+2.0
+7.3
No
+0.4
Santos-1.6
Fluminense-1.0
Atletico-PR-0.8
Corinthians-1.5
Ponte Preta-0.9
Sport Recife-0.7
Coritiba-0.7
Vitoria-1.5
Figueirense-1.5
Cruzeiro-1.4
Internacional+6.8
-0.3
Santa Cruz-0.5
Corinthians 0 Fluminense 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+0.2
Santos+0.2
Fluminense+9.4
+1.0
Corinthians-0.2
-10.1
-0.8
Atletico-PR 3 Ponte Preta 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-0.4
Atletico-PR+6.5
+0.9
Ponte Preta-5.4
-0.8
America-MG 1 Botafogo 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-3.2
-1.0
Gremio 1 Chapecoense 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+3.9
+1.0
Chapecoense-2.5
+0.3
-0.8
Vitoria 2 Sao Paulo 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-0.4
+3.2
-0.8
Sport Recife+1.0
Coritiba+1.0
Vitoria-13.2
+0.8
Figueirense+2.5
Cruzeiro+2.1
Internacional+2.2
Figueirense 3 Santa Cruz 1
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria+1.9
Figueirense-12.1
+0.6
Cruzeiro+1.6
Internacional+1.8
Santa CruzNo
+4.7
-0.3
Santa Cruz vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras43.148.963.8
98.499.199.8
1.81.71.5
Flamengo45.441.229.7
1.81.92.0
Santa Cruz0.0NoNo
90.796.097.4
18.418.819.0
Sao Paulo vs FlamengoHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras65.161.449.7
1.51.51.7
Flamengo24.729.443.6
96.297.599.2
2.22.11.8
Sao Paulo0.00.0No
0.40.10.0
2.57.110.3
11.913.013.4
Ponte Preta vs Atletico-MGHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG3.65.010.3
75.882.491.4
3.73.42.9
Ponte Preta9.43.72.1
0.00.20.4
7.88.99.4
Santos vs Atletico-PRHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos1.50.50.3
59.442.131.6
No0.00.0
4.55.35.8
Atletico-PR9.315.729.4
7.56.95.9
Fluminense vs Sport RecifeHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos43.247.248.6
5.25.15.0
Fluminense0.40.10.0
32.819.714.9
5.66.57.0
Sport RecifeNoNo0.0
15.311.34.7
13.913.512.3
Botafogo vs CorinthiansHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians7.010.119.8
8.07.56.4
Botafogo3.61.20.6
0.10.51.0
8.910.110.7
Cruzeiro vs GremioHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio4.76.814.3
8.68.17.0
Figueirense38.234.432.5
15.415.315.2
Cruzeiro27.644.051.4
14.915.816.2
Chapecoense vs VitoriaHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense2.50.90.5
0.21.02.1
9.510.611.3
VitoriaNoNo0.0
30.023.712.2
15.114.713.6
Coritiba vs America-MGHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba0.0NoNo
6.314.119.2
12.813.914.3
Internacional vs FigueirenseHomeEmpateAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Figueirense48.336.921.0
16.015.514.5
Internacional59.076.384.0
16.617.417.7
Week of 10/5
America-MG vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras42.948.763.6
98.499.199.8
1.91.71.5
Flamengo45.641.429.9
1.81.92.0
Flamengo vs Santa CruzHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras51.362.766.3
1.71.51.5
Flamengo41.827.923.3
99.097.195.6
1.82.12.3
Santa CruzNoNo0.0
97.495.990.5
19.018.818.4
Corinthians vs Atletico-MGHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG3.65.010.4
75.383.092.1
3.83.42.9
Corinthians21.810.56.7
6.47.47.9
Santos vs FluminenseHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos1.60.50.3
60.342.231.1
No0.00.0
4.55.35.8
Fluminense0.10.10.5
13.822.138.5
6.96.45.4
Atletico-PR vs ChapecoenseHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR25.414.210.4
6.17.07.6
Chapecoense0.51.03.1
1.60.90.2
11.110.59.3
Vitoria vs GremioHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio4.86.914.5
8.68.07.0
Vitoria0.0*0.0No
12.524.030.2
13.614.715.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte PretaHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta2.13.37.8
0.50.20.0
9.69.18.0
Figueirense38.234.432.5
15.415.315.2
Cruzeiro27.744.251.6
14.915.916.2
Figueirense vs BotafogoHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo0.71.13.3
1.20.50.1
10.710.29.1
Figueirense21.936.644.3
14.515.515.9
Cruzeiro45.141.639.7
15.815.715.6
Sport Recife vs Sao PauloHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo12.07.82.6
13.713.111.9
Sport Recife0.0NoNo
5.012.217.2
12.413.614.2
Internacional vs CoritibaHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba0.0No0.0
19.212.44.9
14.313.712.6
Internacional59.776.182.5
16.617.417.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.