Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SaturdayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Palmeiras32110-3-21755.5%+2.392.7%+0.2562111632110000000000002.0+0.040.0%1.597Atlético-MGSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
CorinthiansTFigueirense 1-1309-4-31416.9-4.071.5-4.61723181397432110000000003.7-0.310.0+0.02.556Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Grêmio2718-4-3610.9+0.659.9+0.611181714118653221100000004.4+0.050.1-0.03.536São PauloGrêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Santos2618-5-2137.5+0.450.4+0.771415141210864322110000005.1+0.040.2-0.04.524at VitóriaSantos Futebol Clube
Flamengo2417-5-302.5+0.227.7+0.63691011111098654321110007.0+0.030.9-0.05.499Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atlético-PR2417-5-322.3+0.226.1+0.62681011111098754322110007.1+0.041.0-0.06.499FluminenseClube Atlético Paranaense
Ponte Preta2317-6-2-51.6+0.120.7+0.52478101010109765432110007.8+0.031.6-0.08.487InternacionalAssociação Atlética Ponte Preta
Atlético-MG2316-4-511.2+0.117.0+0.4135791010109876543211008.3+0.032.1-0.011.487at PalmeirasClube Atlético Mineiro
São Paulo2216-5-420.7+0.112.6+0.41246789109987654321009.1+0.033.4-0.010.475at GrêmioSão Paulo Futebol Clube
Fluminense2115-4-600.4+0.07.9+0.30124578999987654321010.1+0.035.9-0.17.462at Atlético-PRFluminense Football Club
Internacional2016-7-210.2+0.05.4+0.20123456789998865432011.0+0.038.9-0.113.450at Ponte PretaSport Club Internacional
Vitória1914-4-7-30.1+0.02.6+0.10011234578999988653112.3+0.0215.5-0.112.438SantosEsporte Clube Vitória
Chapecoense1914-4-7-60.1+0.02.5+0.10011234578999998753112.4+0.0215.8-0.19.438BotafogoAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol
Santa CruzCoritiba1715-8-2-10.0+0.01.0+0.000011223456891010101097213.9+0.0228.5-0.118.413Santa Cruz Futebol Clube
Botafogo1714-6-5-50.0+0.00.8+0.000001123456789101111109214.3+0.0132.3-0.217.413at ChapecoenseBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
FigueirenseTCorinthians 1-1173-5-8-50.0-0.00.3-0.1000001122346791011131313415.2-0.1642.6+1.515.396Figueirense Futebol Clube
Sport Recife1514-8-3-30.0+0.00.3+0.0000001122346781011131414515.3+0.0144.3-0.214.389at CruzeiroSport Club do Recife
Cruzeiro1514-8-3-70.00.3+0.000000111234568911131516515.7+0.0249.2-0.216.389Sport RecifeCruzeiro Esporte Clube
Coritibaat Santa Cruz1513-6-6-40.00.2+0.000000011234567911131517615.8+0.0150.9-0.219.389Coritiba Football Club
América-MG812-11-2-170.00.0000000000000001136147519.596.9-0.020.303América Futebol Clube-MG

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/23
Corinthians 1 Figueirense 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+1.9
+0.2
+0.0
Corinthians-3.3
-3.5
-0.2
Grêmio+0.5
+0.5
+0.0
Santos+0.4
+0.5
+0.0
Flamengo+0.1
+0.5
Atlético-PR+0.1
+0.4
Ponte Preta+0.1
+0.4
Atlético-MG+0.1
+0.3
São Paulo+0.3
Fluminense+0.2
Internacional+0.1
Vitória+0.1
Chapecoense+0.1
Figueirense-0.1
+0.1
-0.0
Palmeiras vs Atlético-MGIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras62.751.846.8
95.591.688.9
1.72.12.3
Corinthians14.518.319.6
71.771.770.9
Grêmio9.311.812.7
60.160.259.3
Santos6.38.18.8
50.750.749.8
Atlético-MG0.51.12.5
12.916.124.7
2.92.00.9
8.98.47.2
Grêmio vs São PauloHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras53.956.657.0
92.592.992.8
Grêmio14.59.17.3
68.556.750.7
3.94.65.1
São Paulo0.40.61.3
8.611.518.9
4.63.41.6
9.79.28.0
Vitória vs SantosHomeEmpateAway
6:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras56.756.254.3
93.092.992.3
Santos4.96.110.2
41.847.159.0
0.3*0.20.1
5.85.34.5
Vitória0.20.10.0
4.52.21.4
9.616.019.6
11.312.413.0
Atlético-PR vs FluminenseHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-PR3.41.81.3
33.323.119.1
0.41.11.7
6.37.48.0
Fluminense0.20.30.7
5.17.012.2
7.96.13.1
10.810.39.1
Flamengo vs América-MGHomeEmpateAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos7.4*7.57.6
49.651.151.8
5.15.15.0
Flamengo3.41.71.3
33.123.119.5
0.51.11.7
6.47.47.9
América-MGNoNo0.1
97.897.094.2
19.619.519.2
Ponte Preta vs InternacionalHomeEmpateAway
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta2.41.10.8
27.118.014.6
0.71.82.6
7.08.18.6
Internacional0.10.20.4
3.34.68.5
11.89.25.0
11.711.19.9
Chapecoense vs BotafogoHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense3.91.91.4
10.017.121.9
11.512.613.2
Botafogo0.40.61.3
39.533.522.7
15.014.513.4
Santa Cruz vs CoritibaHomeEmpateAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz1.60.70.5
20.130.637.2
13.114.214.8
Coritiba0.10.10.4
59.252.639.8
16.416.015.0
Cruzeiro vs Sport RecifeHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife0.20.20.6
53.146.033.5
16.015.514.5
Cruzeiro0.50.20.1
39.051.858.8
14.915.916.4
Week of 7/30
Botafogo vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras46.751.362.1
89.091.395.2
2.32.11.7
Corinthians19.918.414.6
71.771.771.3
3.63.63.7
Grêmio12.911.99.3
60.360.159.6
Santos9.08.26.3
50.950.650.2
Botafogo1.50.60.4
22.232.437.4
13.314.414.8
Chapecoense vs PalmeirasHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras47.051.662.3
89.191.595.3
2.32.11.7
Corinthians19.818.314.5
71.671.771.3
Grêmio12.911.89.3
60.160.259.7
Santos8.98.16.3
50.650.650.3
Chapecoense0.20.10.0
4.52.31.6
9.5*15.819.4
11.312.412.9
Atlético-PR vs CorinthiansHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras57.556.953.1
92.692.992.6
Corinthians12.114.822.2
63.369.479.7
4.23.83.1
Atlético-PR3.81.91.2
35.124.219.4
0.41.01.5
6.27.37.8
Internacional vs CorinthiansHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras58.156.953.0
92.992.992.4
Corinthians12.014.521.6
63.468.678.7
4.23.83.2
Internacional0.50.20.1
8.84.73.3
5.09.111.5
9.911.111.7
Grêmio vs Santa CruzHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras54.056.657.4
92.492.993.1
Grêmio14.08.87.2
67.355.750.7
3.94.75.1
Santos7.17.77.8
49.451.151.7
Santa Cruz0.50.92.0
33.628.819.3
14.514.012.9
América-MG vs GrêmioHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras57.556.754.2
93.292.992.4
1.91.92.0
Grêmio6.88.513.6
49.854.866.3
5.24.84.0
Santos7.97.77.2
51.951.249.5
5.05.05.1
América-MG0.1NoNo
94.397.097.8
19.219.519.6
Santos vs FlamengoHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos10.46.24.8
60.147.540.9
0.1*0.20.3
4.45.35.8
Flamengo1.52.14.1
20.825.937.3
1.3*0.90.4
7.77.16.1
Santos vs CruzeiroHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras54.456.356.9
92.392.993.1
Grêmio10.511.111.3
58.960.661.2
4.54.44.4
Santos9.85.94.6
57.846.040.9
0.10.20.4
4.55.45.8
Botafogo31.6*32.233.7
14.314.314.4
Figueirense41.8*42.544.1
15.215.215.3
Sport Recife43.5*44.245.8
15.3*15.315.4
Cruzeiro0.10.20.6
55.249.837.8
16.215.814.8
Coritiba50.150.852.5
15.815.815.9
Coritiba vs FlamengoHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo1.41.93.6
20.524.234.5
1.61.00.4
7.87.36.2
Figueirense43.942.341.8
15.315.215.2
Sport Recife45.644.143.4
15.415.315.3
Cruzeiro50.649.148.4
15.815.715.7
Coritiba0.50.20.1
40.152.357.6
15.016.016.3
Sport Recife vs Atlético-PRHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-PR1.31.73.3
19.122.732.6
1.81.10.4
8.07.56.4
Figueirense43.9*42.541.7
15.315.215.2
Sport Recife0.70.30.2
33.745.450.9
14.415.515.9
Cruzeiro50.649.048.4
15.815.715.7
Fluminense vs Ponte PretaHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta0.91.22.5
15.018.527.7
2.51.70.7
8.68.06.9
Fluminense0.60.30.2
11.76.74.9
3.26.38.2
9.110.310.9
Ponte Preta vs BotafogoHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta2.31.10.8
26.517.714.6
0.71.82.7
7.08.18.7
Botafogo0.40.61.4
38.333.222.7
14.914.513.3
São Paulo vs Atlético-MGHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG0.70.92.0
11.915.123.5
3.12.21.0
9.18.57.3
São Paulo1.20.50.4
17.810.98.3
1.73.64.9
8.19.39.9
Atlético-MG vs Santa CruzHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atlético-MG1.80.90.6
22.214.311.6
1.02.43.5
7.58.69.2
Santa Cruz0.50.81.9
34.229.319.6
14.614.112.9
São Paulo vs ChapecoenseHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
São Paulo1.10.50.4
17.110.68.4
1.73.75.2
8.29.49.9
Chapecoense1.42.14.2
20.216.49.8
13.112.511.3
Fluminense vs FigueirenseHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense0.60.20.2
10.96.44.9
3.26.59.1
9.310.411.0
Figueirense0.10.20.6
49.643.731.7
15.815.414.3
Cruzeiro vs InternacionalHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional0.10.10.4
3.24.37.8
13.09.65.0
11.911.310.1
Cruzeiro0.50.20.1
38.751.257.0
14.915.916.3
Figueirense vs VitóriaHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitória1.52.14.0
21.216.39.6
13.112.511.4
Figueirense0.60.20.1
32.244.450.9
14.415.415.9
Vitória vs CoritibaHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitória3.92.01.4
9.916.821.8
11.412.613.2
Coritiba0.10.20.4
58.652.439.8
16.416.015.0
Sport Recife vs América-MGHomeEmpateAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife0.50.20.1
36.248.153.8
14.715.716.1
América-MGNoNo0.0
98.297.294.5
19.719.519.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.