How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -4.8
-0.4
-0.5
+1.4
-0.4
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.4
-0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.4
+0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 +0.1
Portland 1 Nashville 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+6.5-3.4-7.2
+0.5-0.3-0.5
+0.3-0.2-0.3
-3.1+1.3+3.8
+0.6-0.3-0.6
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.0-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.5+0.4+0.7
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.4+0.3+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.4+0.7
+0.1-0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.3-0.0-0.8
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.4+0.3+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.4+0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle+0.2-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
73-96In100.0%100No9,041*
7222-6-4In98.91000No662*
7122-5-5In98.41000No1,147*
7022-4-6In97.7991No2,092*
6921-6-5In96.5991No3,640*
6821-5-6In94.3982No6,174*
6720-7-5In91.1973No10,490*
6620-6-6In87.89640No16,824*
6520-5-7In82.79460No26,742*
6419-7-6In75.892800No41,748*
6319-6-7In67.5881200No63,764*
6219-5-8In57.9831610No95,102*
6118-7-7In46.77622200No139,163*
6018-6-8In34.96828400No199,846*
5917-8-7In23.859346000No283,017*
5817-7-8In14.6493911100No391,360*
5717-6-9In7.73843163000No529,963*
5616-8-8100.0%3.327432361000No702,586*
5516-7-9100.01.1184030102000No913,286*
5416-6-10100.00.3113335174100No1,168,207*
5315-8-9100.00.0523362592000No1,465,381*
5215-7-10100.00.02143131164100No1,800,146*
5115-6-1199.70.017233324102000No2,171,469*
5014-8-1098.9No031428301861000No2,570,598*
4914-7-1196.3No0172031261230000No2,979,747*
4813-9-1089.7No0021124312182000No3,389,362*
4713-8-1177.0No0014152829175100No3,783,694*
4613-7-1258.5No0017203026123000No4,146,551*
4512-9-1137.9No0003112430228200No4,454,043*
4412-8-1220.3No0001415282917510No4,686,780*
4312-7-138.9No000172031261120No4,841,526*
4211-9-123.2No0000312263220610.0%4,905,421*
4111-8-130.9No000151832291320.04,870,036*
4011-7-140.2No000021026352250.14,739,495*
3910-9-130.0No00015183531100.44,521,517*
3810-8-140.0No00002113139171.54,219,508*
3710-7-150.0No000162443274.43,865,226*
369-9-140.0No000316433810.13,461,361*
359-8-15OutNo00110395018.83,044,169*
349-7-16OutNo0006336030.02,614,305*
338-9-15OutNo003267042.62,197,987*
328-8-16OutNo002207855.01,807,631*
318-7-17OutNo001148566.41,450,462*
307-9-16OutNo00109075.81,143,041*
297-8-17OutNo0079383.3875,972*
287-7-18OutNo0049688.8656,320*
276-9-17OutNo039792.7479,581*
266-8-18OutNo029895.4342,370*
256-7-19OutNo019997.1238,359*
245-9-18OutNo019998.3161,163*
235-8-19OutNo010099.0106,114*
225-7-20OutNo010099.468,353*
214-9-19OutNo010099.642,593*
204-8-20OutNo010099.825,411*
194-7-21OutNo010099.815,051*
183-9-20OutNo010099.98,321*
173-8-21OutNo010099.94,533*
0-16OutNo100100.013,097*
Total:31.2%0.6%234556789101114179.8%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealDC UnitedChicagoPhiladelphiaNew EnglandCincinnatiOrlandoMiami
65-9612.4%Yes
6419-7-612.41000
6319-6-712.31000000
6219-5-812.4100000000000
6118-7-712.5100000000000000
6018-6-812.6100000000000000
5917-8-712.4100000000000000
5817-7-812.599000000000000
18-4-1012.399000000000000
5717-6-912.497000000000000
16-9-712.497000000000000
5616-8-812.194111111000000
17-5-1012.194111110000000
5516-7-911.988111111111111
15-10-711.787111111111111
17-4-1111.988111111111111
5416-6-1011.479222222111111
15-9-811.377222222221111
17-3-1211.278222222211111
5315-8-910.364444433222222
16-5-1110.666333333222222
14-11-710.262444443332222
5215-7-109.149555554333333
14-10-88.845555554433333
16-4-129.149555554333333
5115-6-117.533666665444443
14-9-97.230666665444443
13-12-77.230666665444443
5014-8-105.417666665444443
15-5-125.618666665444443
13-11-85.215666665444443
4914-7-113.78555554443433
13-10-93.37555554443333
15-4-133.68555554444333
4814-6-122.23444443333322
13-9-102.03333333332222
12-12-81.92333333232222
4713-8-111.01222222221111
14-5-131.01222222111111
4613-7-120.40111111111111
12-10-100.40111111111111
4513-6-130.10000000000000
4412-8-120.00000000000000
4312-7-130.00000000000000
4212-6-140.00000000000000
4111-8-130.0000000000000
4011-7-14No0000000
3911-6-15No00
3810-8-14No0
0-37No
Total:1.6%8.61.01.01.01.01.00.80.70.70.70.70.60.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.9
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-1.2+0.6+1.4
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
74-96100
7323-4-5991
7222-6-49910
7122-5-59810
7022-4-69821
6921-6-59631
6821-5-69442
6720-7-59163
6620-6-6888400
6520-5-78312600
6419-7-676168000
6319-6-7672012000
6219-5-8582516010
6118-7-747302112000
6018-6-835342524000
5917-8-7243529560000
5817-7-815343091001000
5717-6-9830281515130000
5616-8-832422212035010000
5516-7-9117142523710020000
5416-6-100107252114152401000
5315-8-90532115202059020000
5215-7-10021148232012141401000
5115-6-11010732014191959020000
5014-8-100030136221813162601000
4914-7-1100106218102019712130000
4813-9-1000020104211516184820000
4713-8-1100104115721171115610000
4613-7-1200010721811191915620000
4512-9-11000003011421152116820000
4412-8-12000010411471723191031000
4312-7-130000107281824211241000
4211-9-1200000030281825231351000
4111-8-13000010028182524145100
4011-7-14000000002818262414510
3910-9-130000000392028241340
3810-8-14000000131022302392
3710-7-1500000014142731194
369-9-14000001720332910
359-8-15000312293819
349-7-1600016224130
338-9-150003144043
328-8-1600183555
318-7-170052966
307-9-1600022276
297-8-170011683
287-7-180001189
276-9-1700793
266-8-180595
256-7-190397
245-9-180298
235-8-190199
225-7-200199
214-9-190100
204-8-200100
194-7-210100
183-9-200100
173-8-210100
14-16100
132-7-230100
0-12100
Total:111212232324343445556677810