"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RSL 2 Orlando 1 +0.6
+0.2
+0.0
Montreal 1 Columbus 0 -0.5
Colorado 2 DC United 3 -0.5
-0.4
LAFC 2 Cincinnati 0 +0.4
+0.0
LA Galaxy 2 Philadelphia 0 +0.3
New England 0 Atlanta 2 -0.2
Minnesota 3 NYCFC 3 +0.2
-0.0
-0.4
+0.0
Seattle 3 Toronto FC 2 +0.2
Houston 2 San Jose 1 -0.2
FC Dallas 2 Portland 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Cincinnati vs RSL-0.7+0.6+1.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Minnesota-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs LAFC+0.3-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC vs Chicago+6.6-4.3-9.6
+0.4-0.3-0.5
-1.6+0.8+2.5
+0.5-0.3-0.7
DC United vs NYCFC-4.1+0.7+11.9
-0.3+0.0+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.9-0.4-2.3
-0.3+0.1+0.9
Orlando vs Vancouver-0.7+0.6+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs FC Dallas-0.8+0.4+0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Colorado-0.6+0.6+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs NY Red Bulls+0.3+0.3-0.7
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Columbus vs Portland-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.4
New England vs Montreal+0.1+0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.3
Philadelphia vs Montreal-0.2+0.4+0.1
Columbus vs DC United-0.2+0.2+0.2
Seattle vs San Jose-0.1+0.1+0.5
San Jose vs Sporting KC+0.3-0.1-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
75-89In100.0%100No390,202*
7422-3-3In94.41000No1,161*
7321-5-2In91.61000No2,509*
7221-4-3In89.31000No5,318*
7121-3-4In85.6991No10,804*
7020-5-3In80.99910No21,360*
6920-4-4In74.39820No41,259*
6820-3-5In67.29730No76,939*
6719-5-4In59.09640No141,021*
6619-4-5In49.894600No251,498*
6518-6-4In40.291900No434,563*
6418-5-5In30.4871300No735,525*
6318-4-6In21.68217100No1,212,156*
6217-6-5In14.07523200No1,951,813*
6117-5-6In8.16829300No3,065,042*
6017-4-7In4.259356000No4,704,416*
5916-6-6In1.8494010100No7,055,241*
5816-5-7In0.73944152000No10,336,386*
5715-7-6In0.22945224000No14,814,558*
5615-6-7100.0%0.020432981000No20,740,850*
5515-5-8100.00.0133735132000No28,409,649*
5414-7-7100.00.072938215100No38,055,431*
5314-6-8100.00.04203628102000No49,846,140*
5214-5-9100.00.021231341740000No63,873,999*
5113-7-899.9No16223526920000No80,060,781*
5013-6-999.5No031430321741000No98,172,128*
4913-5-1098.1No017223425102000No117,772,020*
4812-7-994.5No0031329321851000No138,212,638*
4712-6-1086.9No0016213326112000No158,640,198*
4611-8-974.1No0002122732196100No178,170,030*
4511-7-1057.0No0001519322812300No195,646,874*
4411-6-1138.6No000210263321610No210,179,757*
4310-8-1022.6No0000151732301320No220,751,380*
4210-7-1111.4No0000210263522600.0%226,705,382*
4110-6-124.9No000141734311210.0227,603,914*
409-8-111.8No00021028372030.0223,335,453*
399-7-120.6No0001520382960.0214,131,036*
389-6-130.1No0002133538120.1200,509,794*
378-8-120.0No000172845190.3183,409,093*
368-7-130.0No000032147291.0163,752,398*
358-6-140.0No00021446392.8142,684,370*
347-8-130.0No001841496.2121,273,261*
337-7-140.0No0005356012.0100,513,703*
327-6-150.0No0003296920.181,170,763*
316-8-14OutNo001227730.263,842,086*
306-7-15OutNo001168341.548,881,004*
296-6-16OutNo00128853.036,401,895*
285-8-15OutNo0089263.826,350,008*
275-7-16OutNo0059573.218,523,305*
265-6-17OutNo0049680.912,627,496*
254-8-16OutNo029886.98,346,634*
244-7-17OutNo019991.35,340,114*
234-6-18OutNo019994.53,299,321*
223-8-17OutNo010096.61,967,990*
213-7-18OutNo0010098.01,129,467*
203-6-19OutNo010098.8624,812*
192-8-18OutNo010099.4330,736*
182-7-19OutNo010099.7167,442*
172-6-20OutNo010099.880,907*
162-5-21OutNo010099.937,075*
151-7-20OutNo100100.016,171*
141-6-21OutNo010099.96,584*
5-13OutNo100Yes393,036*
Total:32.6%0.1%123467910121416154.3%3,757,238,896

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedToronto FCColumbusMontrealPhiladelphiaCincinnatiNY Red BullsOrlandoAtlantaChicagoNew England
67-8912.5%Yes
6619-4-512.51000
6518-6-412.51000
6418-5-512.51000000000000
6318-4-612.510000000000000
6217-6-512.510000000000000
6117-5-612.510000000000000
6017-4-712.510000000000000
5916-6-612.49900000000000
5816-5-712.49800000000000
5715-7-612.39601111000000
5615-6-712.19111111111100
16-3-912.19211111111100
5515-5-811.78422222111110
14-8-611.78522222111110
5414-7-711.07333444222210
15-4-911.17433343222210
5314-6-810.15945555333320
13-9-610.16045555333220
15-3-1010.26245555333220
5214-5-98.84466777444331
13-8-78.94566777444331
5113-7-87.22877888555441
14-4-107.43067888544441
12-10-67.43067888545441
5013-6-95.51678888555441
12-9-75.61678888555441
14-3-115.81878888555441
4913-5-103.9867777544441
12-8-83.8767777544441
11-11-64.1967777544441
4812-7-92.4345555433331
13-4-112.5345565433331
11-10-72.5345565433331
4712-6-101.3133333222220
11-9-81.3133333222220
13-3-121.5133444322221
4611-8-90.6012222111110
12-5-110.7012222111110
4511-7-100.2011111100000
4411-6-110.1000000000000
4310-8-100.0000000000000
4210-7-110.0000000000000
4110-6-120.0000000000000
4010-5-130.000000000000
399-7-120.000000000000
389-6-130.0000000000
378-8-12No0
368-7-13No0
5-35No
Total:1.3%6.11.11.21.31.41.30.90.80.80.70.70.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/13100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 3 NYCFC 3 -0.0
LAFC 2 Cincinnati 0 -0.0
LA Galaxy 2 Philadelphia 0 -0.0
Houston 2 San Jose 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vancouver vs LAFC+0.1-0.0-0.0
Toronto FC vs Minnesota+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs NYCFC+0.6-0.1-1.7
NYCFC vs Chicago-0.9+0.6+1.3
Atlanta vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs San Jose-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Vancouver+0.0-0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Colorado+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
8928-0-01000
79-81100
7823-4-1937
7723-3-2991
7623-2-3991
7522-4-2964
7422-3-39450
7321-5-29280
7221-4-389100
7121-3-486141
7020-5-3811810
6920-4-47424200
6820-3-56730300
6719-5-45937400
6619-4-550446000
6518-6-4405181000
6418-5-53056112000
6318-4-622601341000
6217-6-514621572000
6117-5-6860161230000
6017-4-74551520510000
5916-6-62471328721000
5816-5-713893595200000
5715-7-60295401111310000
5615-6-7020240101962100000
5515-5-801313672785200000
5414-7-7070294349114110000
5314-6-80402023582073200000
5214-5-902012130628984000000
5113-7-8106022332101672200000
5013-6-9003014129725116401000
4913-5-1001070224301213812000
4812-7-90003013128102213451000
4712-6-1000010602052716111030000
4611-8-900002012225141917710000
4511-7-100000105118824211651000
4411-6-110000201042220241341000
4310-8-10000001051161427231030000
4210-7-110000002097222920820000
4110-6-12000010431326281761000
409-8-1100000216182927144100
399-7-120000102922302411200
389-6-13000000312263020710
378-8-12000000161730281430
368-7-130000002924322381
358-6-140000014153031153
347-8-1300000182435256
337-7-1400000416343412
327-6-15000019294020
316-8-1400005214330
306-7-150002144242
296-6-16000193753
285-8-1500053164
275-7-1600022473
265-6-170011881
254-8-160011387
244-7-17000891
234-6-1800594
223-8-1700397
213-7-180298
203-6-190199
192-8-180199
182-7-190100
172-6-200100
162-5-210100
151-7-200100
141-6-210100
5-13100
Total:010203141526365788887764