How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 +7.2
+0.7
+0.7
-2.6
+0.5
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.5
+0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.4
-0.1
+0.0
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.4-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC vs Impact+5.9-4.5-10.2
+0.8-0.6-1.3
+1.7-1.5-2.5
-0.7+0.4+1.3
+0.5-0.4-0.8
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.5+0.0-1.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.4-0.0-1.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.3*+0.0-0.7
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.5-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.4-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Fire-0.2+0.4*+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.2-0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0+0.1-0.2
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
82-99InYes100No37,778*
8124-6-2In99.7%1000No295*
77-80In99.9100No8,155*
7623-4-5In99.91000No7,561*
7522-6-4In99.91000No13,277*
7422-5-5In99.81000No22,981*
7321-7-4In99.71000No39,036*
7221-6-5In99.51000No63,986*
7121-5-6In99.21000No103,181*
7020-7-5In98.71000No162,393*
6920-6-6In98.09910No249,918*
6819-8-5In96.99910No377,116*
6719-7-6In95.29820No557,069*
6619-6-7In92.79820No804,288*
6518-8-6In89.396400No1,136,600*
6418-7-7In84.594600No1,578,884*
6318-6-8In78.391800No2,142,196*
6217-8-7In70.2881200No2,847,193*
6117-7-8In60.68316100No3,715,693*
6016-9-7In49.57622200No4,743,117*
5916-8-8In37.86828300No5,936,398*
5816-7-9In26.459346000No7,279,941*
5715-9-8100.0%16.44940101000No8,763,825*
5615-8-9100.08.93843162000No10,338,278*
5515-7-10100.04.02844235000No11,948,006*
5414-9-9100.01.419413091000No13,539,862*
5314-8-10100.00.41134351630000No15,049,750*
5214-7-1199.90.1625372471000No16,392,206*
5113-9-1099.70.031634311330000No17,505,979*
5013-8-1198.90.01926342271000No18,321,231*
4912-10-1096.50.0041732291430000No18,796,524*
4812-9-1190.9No01925332281000No18,907,546*
4712-8-1280.4No004163030154000No18,622,083*
4611-10-1164.7No00182333249200No17,983,765*
4511-9-1246.0No000314293117510No17,011,892*
4411-8-1328.2No000172133271120No15,760,369*
4310-10-1214.7No000312283319500.0%14,306,328*
4210-9-136.5No00162034281010.012,702,803*
4110-8-142.4No00021229351930.011,055,520*
409-10-130.8No001621372870.19,407,682*
399-9-140.2No0002133437130.67,832,289*
389-8-150.0No00172743222.06,384,023*
378-10-140.0No00042044325.55,083,623*
368-9-150.0No000213424311.73,961,994*
358-8-160.0No0018375520.73,009,675*
347-10-150.0No0004316532.02,236,805*
337-9-16OutNo002247444.31,620,077*
327-8-17OutNo001188156.41,149,012*
316-10-16OutNo00138767.3791,024*
306-9-17OutNo0089176.4530,219*
296-8-18OutNo0069483.5347,573*
285-10-17OutNo049688.8221,258*
275-9-18OutNo029892.6137,465*
265-8-19OutNo019995.482,149*
254-10-18OutNo19997.147,599*
244-9-19OutNo010098.427,263*
234-8-20OutNo010098.914,740*
223-10-19OutNo010099.47,823*
213-9-20OutNo010099.73,862*
203-8-21OutNo010099.91,927*
3-19OutNo100100.039,159*
Total:66.6%6.1%13121111109987641.6%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsFireOrlandoAtlantaToronto FCUnionDC UnitedRevolutionImpactCrew
66-9912.5%Yes
6518-8-612.510000
6418-7-712.5100000000
6318-6-812.5100000000000
6217-8-712.51000000000000
6117-7-812.51000000000000
6016-9-712.51000000000000
5916-8-812.51000000000000
5816-7-912.51000000000000
15-10-712.51000000000000
5715-9-812.5990000000000
16-6-1012.4990000000000
5615-8-912.4980000000000
14-11-712.4970000000000
5515-7-1012.3951111110000
14-10-812.3941111110000
5414-9-912.1891111111111
15-6-1112.1891111111111
5314-8-1011.7812222222111
13-11-811.6802222222121
15-5-1211.7812222222111
5214-7-1111.0693444333222
13-10-910.9674444333222
12-13-710.9684444333222
5113-9-109.9535555544333
14-6-1210.0545555544333
12-12-89.8515555544443
5013-8-118.6376777655444
12-11-98.3356777665554
14-5-138.5366777655554
4912-10-106.7217777766555
13-7-126.9227777766555
11-13-86.6207777766555
4812-9-115.0116777665554
13-6-135.1116777665554
11-12-94.7106777665554
4712-8-123.355555554444
11-11-103.145555554444
4611-10-111.813434333332
4511-9-120.902222222111
4411-8-130.401111111111
4310-10-120.100000000000
4210-9-130.000000000000
4110-8-140.000000000000
409-10-130.00000000000
399-9-140.00000000000
389-8-150.00000000000
378-10-140.0000
368-9-150.00
3-35No
Total:5.9%36.32.32.52.52.52.32.11.91.71.71.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -1.1
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC vs Impact-0.9+0.7+1.5
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Union+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Fire+0.0-0.1+0.0
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
82-99100
8124-6-21000
8024-5-31000
78-79100
7723-5-41000
7623-4-510000
7522-6-410000
7422-5-510000
7321-7-410000
7221-6-510000
7121-5-69910
7020-7-59910
6920-6-698110
6819-8-597210
6719-7-6953200
6619-6-7935200
6518-8-68974000
6418-7-785106000
6318-6-878138000
6217-8-77017120000
6117-7-861221601000
6016-9-750272112000
5916-8-8383126230000
5816-7-92633304600000
5715-9-8163332710010000
5615-8-9929311315120000
5515-7-104242519212500000
5414-9-911717242559010000
5314-8-1001192525111513000000
5214-7-110642219182137010000
5113-9-10031151123238131300000
5013-8-1101094221915193701000
4912-10-100004116112122813130000
4812-9-1100109421171619381000
4712-8-12000041159222191441000
4611-10-110001083201518201130000
4511-9-120000301372220201030000
4411-8-1300001062191324211030000
4310-10-1200000301261826211031000
4210-9-1300010629212722103000
4110-8-1400002031122282110200
409-10-13000101412242920820
399-9-14000000151527291751
389-8-150000017193127122
378-10-140000002102534225
368-9-15000001517343212
358-8-1600000210284021
347-10-15000015204232
337-9-160002134044
327-8-1700183556
316-10-160042867
306-9-170022276
296-8-18011684
285-10-17001189
275-9-1800793
265-8-1900595
254-10-180397
244-9-190298
234-8-20199
223-10-19199
213-9-200100
203-8-210100
193-7-220100
3-18100
Total:6766665555545444433322