How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.2
-0.2
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 +0.1
+0.5
+0.1
Atlanta 2 NYCFC 2 +0.1
+0.2
+0.0
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 +0.1
-0.2
DC United 1 Columbus 0 *+0.0
+0.4
NY Red Bulls 3 Montreal 1 -0.3
Sporting KC 2 Seattle 2 +0.8
San Jose 2 Houston 2 *+0.1
Portland 3 Minnesota 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Vancouver-0.6+0.7+0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Portland vs NYCFC-0.8-0.1+0.9
-0.3-0.0+0.3
-6.6-2.0+8.7
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Orlando vs San Jose-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Houston vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Montreal vs LAFC-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.5+0.2-1.0
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.5+0.5+0.7
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.5-1.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs New England-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.2+0.3-0.7
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.5+0.5+0.8
RSL vs Colorado+0.5+0.3-0.8
Vancouver vs RSL-0.1+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
89-98In100.0%100No417,909*
8823-2-2In100.01000No21,197*
8722-4-1In99.91000No42,576*
8622-3-2In99.91000No87,735*
8522-2-3In99.91000No167,991*
8421-4-2In99.91000No312,389*
8321-3-3In99.91000No564,699*
8220-5-2In99.91000No975,414*
8120-4-3In99.91000No1,647,499*
8020-3-4In99.91000No2,692,176*
7919-5-3In99.91000No4,261,212*
7819-4-4In99.91000No6,583,944*
7718-6-3In99.81000No9,856,758*
7618-5-4In99.81000No14,373,495*
7518-4-5In99.710000No20,455,565*
7417-6-4In99.610000No28,313,174*
7317-5-5In99.310000No38,242,992*
7217-4-6In98.910000No50,377,155*
7116-6-5In98.39910No64,754,560*
7016-5-6In97.39910No81,302,276*
6915-7-5In95.898200No99,665,470*
6815-6-6In93.697300No119,353,931*
6715-5-7In90.495500No139,634,859*
6614-7-6In86.0937000No159,664,728*
6514-6-7In80.29010000No178,462,442*
6414-5-8In72.78613000No195,007,872*
6313-7-7In63.58118100No208,357,226*
6213-6-8In52.974242000No217,658,976*
6112-8-7In41.467304000No222,346,586*
6012-7-8In30.058366000No222,114,360*
5912-6-9In19.6484110100No216,970,193*
5811-8-8100.0%11.43845162000No207,270,300*
5711-7-9100.05.62845224000No193,585,596*
5611-6-10100.02.319432981000No176,785,139*
5510-8-9100.00.7123735132000No157,861,534*
5410-7-10100.00.272939215000No137,791,268*
5310-6-1199.90.0320382991000No117,500,347*
529-8-1099.70.01123235163000No97,935,481*
519-7-1198.90.00623362581000No79,727,921*
509-6-1296.80.003153332153000No63,419,013*
498-8-1192.0No01825352371000No49,232,828*
488-7-1282.8No003153331143000No37,312,101*
477-9-1168.8No00182535237100No27,573,432*
467-8-1251.5No000316323114300No19,882,537*
457-7-1333.9No0018253523710No13,978,105*
446-9-1219.3No000316323114300.0%9,564,297*
436-8-139.5No00018253623610.06,380,566*
426-7-144.0No00041734311220.04,135,566*
415-9-131.5No001928372140.02,609,481*
405-8-140.4No000520383080.11,598,513*
395-7-150.1No002123438140.7951,506*
384-9-140.0No00172743222.3548,798*
374-8-150.0No0031945326.0306,652*
364-7-160.0No00113424412.4164,645*
354-6-17OutNo018375521.786,053*
343-8-16OutNo004306533.143,407*
333-7-17OutNo02247445.420,782*
323-6-18OutNo01188157.59,763*
312-8-17OutNo0128769.34,426*
302-7-18OutNo099176.91,940*
292-6-19OutNo059585.0695*
282-5-20OutNo29892.0274*
271-7-19OutNo29894.3105*
261-6-20OutNo10094.436*
251-5-21OutNo118988.99*
23-24OutNo100Yes5*
170-0-27OutNo0100100.0401,344
Total:98.2%42.2%552111632100000.0%3,711,371,824

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeAtlantaNY Red BullsNew EnglandColumbusOrlandoMontrealToronto FCChicagoDC UnitedPhiladelphia
70-9812.5%Yes
6915-7-512.51000000
6815-6-612.51000000
16-3-812.5100000
6715-5-712.51000000000000
14-8-512.5100000000000
6614-7-612.51000000000000
15-4-812.51000000000000
6514-6-712.51000000000000
13-9-512.51000000000000
6414-5-812.51000000000000
13-8-612.51000000000000
6313-7-712.51000000000000
14-4-912.51000000000000
6213-6-812.51000000000000
12-9-612.51000000000000
6112-8-712.51000000000000
13-5-912.51000000000000
6012-7-812.51000000000000
13-4-1012.51000000000000
5912-6-912.5990000000000
11-9-712.5990000000000
5811-8-812.4980000000000
12-5-1012.4980000000000
5711-7-912.3950111100000
10-10-712.4960111100000
5611-6-1012.2911111111000
10-9-812.2921111111000
5510-8-911.9842223211111
11-5-1111.9852222211111
5410-7-1011.4743344422211
9-10-811.5753344422111
5310-6-1110.7614556632222
9-9-910.7614556632222
529-8-109.7456778743333
519-7-118.4307899954443
509-6-126.81778910955444
498-8-115.286789854444
488-7-123.535667744333
478-6-132.113445532222
467-8-121.102233321111
457-7-130.501111111111
447-6-140.200011100000
436-8-130.100000000000
426-7-140.000000000000
416-6-150.00000000000
405-8-140.00000000000
395-7-150.000000000
385-6-16No000
17-37No
Total:11.6%87.41.01.21.31.41.30.70.60.60.60.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/14100.0*Lottery seed
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 -0.1
Atlanta 2 NYCFC 2 -0.1
DC United 1 Columbus 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Lottery seed
Portland vs NYCFC+0.4+0.1-0.6
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
92-98100
9124-2-11000
9024-1-21000
8923-3-11000
8823-2-210000
8722-4-110000
8622-3-210000
8522-2-310000
8421-4-210000
8321-3-310000
8220-5-210000
8120-4-310000
8020-3-410000
7919-5-310000
7819-4-410000
7718-6-310000
7618-5-410000
7518-4-5100000
7417-6-4100000
7317-5-599000
7217-4-6991000
7116-6-5981100
7016-5-6971100
6915-7-59622000
6815-6-69433000
6715-5-79055000
6614-7-686770000
6514-6-780101000000
6414-5-873131300000
6313-7-763171801000
6213-6-8532223120000
6112-8-74125281400000
6012-7-83028333600000
5912-6-920283561001000
5811-8-81126351015020000
5711-7-96223016211400000
5611-6-1021722212648010000
5510-8-91111324278130200000
5410-7-10076232415192500000
5310-6-110321817212359010000
529-8-1001011824231215130000
519-7-1100063211720214701000
509-6-120003114824211113130000
498-8-1100107322152119571000
488-7-1200003015726191313410000
477-9-1100010822313221810310000
467-8-120000301552717181031000
457-7-130001081231020201141000
446-9-1200003015414232212410000
436-8-130000108161726231341000
426-7-1400004028192724124100
415-9-130001002921282311300
405-8-14000001311232922920
395-7-150000141426301961
384-9-140000016183028132
374-8-150002102534236
364-7-160001416333312
354-6-170029274022
343-8-160004194333
333-7-17002134045
323-6-18183458
312-8-17042769
302-7-18022177
292-6-1911485
282-5-200892
271-7-19694
261-6-20694
251-5-211189
23-24100
170-0-270100
Total:42131567342211110000000000