How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC 1 Portland 2 -7.1
-0.3
-0.3
+3.9
-0.7
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 +0.7
-0.1
+0.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 -0.4
-0.0
Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2 +0.3
-0.1
+0.0
Cincinnati 0 DC United 0 +0.3
Miami CF 2 Montreal 3 -0.2
Atlanta 4 New England 1 -0.1
Columbus 2 Chicago 1 -0.1
-0.1
RSL 1 Colorado 2 +0.2
San Jose 0 Vancouver 2 -0.2
Austin 2 St Louis 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia vs Seattle-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1 +6.2
+0.2
+0.1
-4.4
+0.6
Chicago 4 Montreal 3 -0.2
+0.2
Nashville 2 Charlotte 1 -0.1
+0.1
Columbus 3 NY Red Bulls 0 -0.1
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 -0.1
Dallas 1 Vancouver 3 -0.2
Houston 1 Portland 0 +0.2
Minnesota 2 LAFC 0 -0.1
Sporting KC 2 San Jose 1 -0.2
Seattle 1 Colorado 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta vs Orlando-0.2+0.4*-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.3
New England vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.3-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
74-93In100.0%100No27,117*
7322-4-4In99.11000No467*
7221-6-3In98.71000No1,035*
7121-5-4In97.8991No1,905*
7021-4-5In97.3991No3,560*
6920-6-4In95.29820No6,505*
6820-5-5In93.09730No11,660*
6720-4-6In89.29550No20,211*
6619-6-5In84.69370No34,552*
6519-5-6In78.2901000No57,131*
6419-4-7In70.78514100No92,950*
6318-6-6In61.0791910No148,467*
6218-5-7In50.37225300No229,116*
6117-7-6In38.66332500No348,286*
6017-6-7In27.353388100No517,327*
5917-5-8In17.4424214200No754,613*
5816-7-7In9.63144204000No1,074,191*
5716-6-8In4.52142288100No1,497,597*
5616-5-9In1.7133634143000No2,046,533*
5515-7-8In0.5727362261000No2,735,331*
5415-6-9In0.13183429133000No3,587,175*
5314-8-8100.0%0.019263321710000No4,601,992*
5214-7-9100.00.0041731291541000No5,783,059*
5114-6-10100.00.00182332241020000No7,124,801*
5013-8-999.9No0031327301961000No8,592,464*
4913-7-1099.3No00151729281441000No10,159,049*
4813-6-1197.0No00028213124113000No11,763,081*
4712-8-1090.4No00031125302182000No13,330,210*
4612-7-1176.6No00014152829175100No14,802,224*
4512-6-1256.1No00016193027133000No16,104,293*
4411-8-1134.2No0000292331239200No17,152,503*
4311-7-1216.9No0000313273118510No17,879,793*
4211-6-136.7No000161832281320No18,258,110*
4110-8-122.1No000210253422610.0%18,235,951*
4010-7-130.6No000141632311320.017,837,279*
399-9-120.1No0001926372350.017,064,934*
389-8-130.0No000417363290.315,965,796*
379-7-140.0No0001103140171.114,616,880*
368-9-130.0No000052444263.313,074,915*
358-8-140.0No000021744367.711,435,102*
348-7-150.0No000111414714.89,771,061*
337-9-14OutNo0006355824.68,150,989*
327-8-15OutNo003296836.26,641,074*
317-7-16OutNo002237648.35,274,232*
306-9-15OutNo001178259.84,088,495*
296-8-16OutNo00128870.03,086,699*
286-7-17OutNo0089178.32,269,284*
275-9-16OutNo0069485.01,626,427*
265-8-17OutNo049689.81,131,535*
255-7-18OutNo029893.3764,736*
245-6-19OutNo019995.7501,436*
234-8-18OutNo019997.3318,725*
224-7-19OutNo19998.4196,202*
214-6-20OutNo010099.0117,137*
203-8-19OutNo010099.367,310*
193-7-20OutNo010099.737,361*
183-6-21OutNo010099.819,909*
172-8-20OutNo010099.810,107*
162-7-21OutNo010099.94,964*
3-15OutNo100100.030,664*
Total:33.4%0.3%12234456789101213146.6%311,086,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeColumbusMiami CFTorontoMontrealCincinnatiNY Red BullsAtlantaNashvilleDC UnitedPhiladelphiaChicagoCharlotteOrlandoNew England
66-9312.5%Yes
6519-5-612.61000
6419-4-712.51000000
6318-6-612.5100000000000000
6218-5-712.61000000000000000
6117-7-612.510000000000000000
6017-6-712.49900000000000000
16-9-512.49900000000000000
5917-5-812.49800000000000000
16-8-612.49800000000000000
5816-7-712.29601000000000000
17-4-912.39600000000000000
5716-6-812.09111111111100000
15-9-612.09011111111100000
17-3-1012.19111111111100000
5616-5-911.58322222111111100
15-8-711.68322222111111100
14-11-511.68222222111111100
5515-7-810.87133333222221100
16-4-1010.87133333222221100
14-10-610.66933333322221200
5415-6-99.65545444333322211
14-9-79.45345544433322211
16-3-119.55455544433322211
5314-8-87.93766665544433311
15-5-108.03866665544333311
13-11-67.63466665554433311
16-2-127.93566665544433311
5214-7-96.12166665554433311
15-4-116.12166665554443311
13-10-75.71966665554433311
5114-6-104.21056655544433311
13-9-83.9956555444433311
15-3-124.0956555544433311
12-12-63.7855555444333311
5013-8-92.3344444333322211
14-5-112.4444444333322211
12-11-72.1334443333322211
4913-7-101.1122222222211111
14-4-121.1122222222211111
12-10-81.0122222222111110
4813-6-110.5011111111111100
12-9-90.4011111111111100
4712-8-100.1000000000000000
4612-7-110.0000000000000000
4512-6-120.0000000000000000
4411-8-110.0000000000000000
4311-7-120.000000000000000
4211-6-130.000000000
3-41No
Total:0.9%4.60.60.70.60.60.60.50.50.50.40.40.30.40.10.1
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs