Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsNWSL ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
CourageLStars 1-3124-0-2164.7%-18.420.8%-19.52117141311975313.8-1.161.1%+0.87.487Sky BlueNorth Carolina Courage
StarsWCourage 3-1103-1-2259.4+26.817.4+12.317151413111086424.1+1.681.6-4.92.512Chicago Red Stars
Sky Blue103-1-2256.2-0.315.3+2.215141413121197424.3+0.011.7+0.15.498at CourageSky Blue FC
Thorns92-3-1254.4-1.413.7+2.114141413121197524.4-0.052.2+0.21.512Portland Thorns FC
ReignTPride 1-192-3-1550.6-3.812.8-0.1131313121211108524.6-0.192.3+0.26.519Seattle Reign FC
Kansas82-2-2142.5-0.88.7+1.2910111212121210735.1-0.043.5+0.24.506FC Kansas City
Breakers82-2-2140.6-0.37.9+1.3810111212121210855.3-0.024.8+0.33.490Boston Breakers
PrideTReign 1-161-3-2-217.8-1.62.2+0.22457911141718146.9-0.1314.0+0.78.441Orlando Pride
Dash62-0-4-69.3-0.10.8+0.2123468121724257.8-0.0524.5+0.89.392Houston Dash
Spirit41-1-4-64.3-0.10.3+0.101123581322448.6-0.0644.2+1.610.400Washington Spirit

Comments/Corrections may be directed to SiberianThunderT on BigSoccer (also available as CyMoahk2 on Wikipedia)

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/20
Courage 1 Stars 3
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-8.3
-10.5
+0.3
-0.5
Stars+12.3
+4.4
-3.2
+0.8
Sky Blue-0.6
+1.3
+0.1
Thorns-0.7
+1.5
+0.1
Reign-0.6
+1.3
+0.1
Kansas-0.6
+0.8
+0.1
Breakers-0.6
+0.8
+0.2
Pride-0.4
+0.3
+0.4
Dash-0.2
+0.1
+0.8
-0.1
Spirit-0.1
+1.1
Spirit 0 Kansas 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-0.4
-0.6
Stars-0.6
-0.1
-0.4
Sky Blue-0.6
-0.1
-0.2
Thorns-0.7
-0.2
-0.1
Reign-0.7
-0.2
-0.2
Kansas+9.2
+1.9
-6.3
+0.7
Breakers-0.8
-0.2
-0.2
Pride-0.5
-0.8
Dash-0.4
-1.2
Spirit-4.4
-0.5
+9.5
-0.5
Sky Blue 2 Dash 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage-0.3
-0.8
Stars-0.5
-0.2
-0.3
Sky Blue+7.9
+2.8
-2.0
+0.5
Thorns-0.5
-0.3
-0.1
Reign-0.5
-0.4
-0.1
Kansas-0.5
-0.1
-0.4
Breakers-0.6
-0.2
-0.1
Pride-0.4
-0.1
-0.5
Dash-4.5
-0.7
+4.2
-0.4
Spirit-0.2
-0.7
Reign 1 Pride 1
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage+0.4
+1.0
Stars+0.6
+0.2
Sky Blue+0.7
+0.4
Thorns+0.7
+0.4
Reign-4.5
-2.4
+0.4
-0.3
Kansas+0.7
+0.3
Breakers+0.7
+0.3
Pride-0.1
-0.5
+0.0
Dash+0.3
Spirit+0.2
+0.1
Courage vs Sky BlueIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage73.961.553.3
27.617.912.7
0.51.21.9
3.24.04.5
Stars59.260.059.3
17.118.317.2
Sky Blue47.956.169.1
10.114.823.7
2.41.60.7
4.84.33.5
Thorns54.355.054.2
13.314.513.8
Reign50.551.250.4
12.513.412.6
Kansas42.443.142.3
8.59.28.6
Breakers40.541.140.3
7.68.37.9
Pride17.818.217.7
2.12.32.2
Dash9.29.59.3
0.80.90.8
Spirit4.34.44.2
44.244.244.4
Week of 5/27
Thorns vs BreakersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage64.565.464.6
20.321.521.0
Stars59.260.159.2
17.018.117.5
Sky Blue56.056.855.9
15.015.815.3
Thorns63.850.241.7
18.411.27.8
1.12.63.9
3.94.75.2
Reign50.451.350.4
12.613.212.7
Kansas42.343.242.3
8.59.18.8
3.43.53.6
Breakers32.740.854.6
5.07.613.4
6.34.52.2
5.85.34.4
Pride17.718.317.8
2.12.32.2
14.014.014.2
Dash9.29.69.3
24.424.524.8
Spirit4.24.44.3
44.144.244.6
Stars vs CourageHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage57.665.477.1
15.020.831.3
1.50.90.4
4.23.73.0
Stars68.355.347.3
23.214.49.7
0.81.92.9
3.64.44.8
Sky Blue55.956.756.1
15.216.014.8
Thorns54.155.054.5
13.914.412.9
Reign50.451.250.6
12.813.312.3
Kansas42.343.142.5
8.79.28.4
Breakers40.341.240.6
7.98.37.5
Pride17.718.217.8
2.22.32.0
Dash9.29.59.3
24.624.524.4
Spirit4.24.44.3
44.444.244.0
Sky Blue vs PrideHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage64.365.465.1
20.121.421.6
1.0*1.11.2
Stars59.060.159.7
16.718.018.2
1.6*1.61.8
Sky Blue64.751.844.1
19.712.69.5
0.82.03.2
3.84.55.0
Thorns53.955.154.8
13.214.214.4
2.1*2.22.5
Reign50.151.350.9
12.213.213.3
2.22.32.5
Kansas42.043.242.9
8.39.19.2
3.33.53.7
Breakers40.141.341.0
7.68.28.3
4.6*4.85.1
Pride12.817.627.8
1.22.04.3
17.413.68.0
7.46.96.1
Dash9.19.69.4
0.80.90.9
23.824.625.8
Spirit4.24.44.4
43.244.346.2
Dash vs ReignHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage65.365.363.9
21.621.219.9
1.21.01.0
Stars60.060.058.6
18.117.816.7
1.91.61.5
Sky Blue56.956.755.2
15.915.614.5
2.01.71.5
Thorns55.155.053.5
14.414.113.0
2.52.22.1
Reign41.048.160.6
8.511.117.6
4.02.20.9
5.24.84.0
Kansas43.243.141.6
9.18.98.3
3.83.43.2
Breakers41.241.239.7
8.38.17.4
5.24.74.4
Pride18.218.217.3
2.32.22.0
15.313.813.0
Dash14.68.15.4
1.60.60.3
16.725.530.8
7.27.98.3
Spirit4.44.44.1
47.443.841.8
Kansas vs SpiritHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*NWSL Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Courage64.065.565.8
20.321.321.6
1.0*1.11.3
Stars58.660.260.4
17.017.818.0
1.5*1.62.0
Sky Blue55.456.957.2
14.915.615.8
1.6*1.72.0
Thorns53.655.255.5
13.414.114.3
2.12.22.7
Reign49.851.451.7
12.413.113.2
2.02.32.9
Kansas49.937.531.2
11.46.74.9
1.63.97.4
4.65.45.9
Breakers39.841.441.7
7.68.18.3
4.44.85.6
Pride17.318.318.5
2.12.22.3
13.014.116.3
Dash9.09.69.7
22.724.728.6
Spirit2.64.18.3
0.10.30.8
50.243.631.3
8.98.68.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.