How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Montreal 0 Toronto FC 2 -12.9
-1.3
-0.8
Chicago 1 Cincinnati 2 +2.3
+0.1
+0.1
Toronto FC 3 NY Red Bulls 1 -1.6
Chicago 2 Columbus 2 +1.5
+0.1
Orlando 1 Columbus 0 -1.1
-0.1
-0.0
New England 4 Vancouver 0 -0.9
-0.0
NY Red Bulls 2 NYCFC 1 -0.9
-0.1
-0.0
Atlanta 5 Houston 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
Seattle 2 Atlanta 1 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
RSL 4 Philadelphia 0 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portland vs Orlando+1.7+0.2-3.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.9+0.3-0.8
+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Average seed
Columbus vs Montreal-8.5-1.3+14.3
-0.6-0.2+1.1
-0.5-0.1+0.8
Cincinnati vs New England+1.6+0.7-2.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Houston-1.4+1.1+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Orlando vs NY Red Bulls-1.7+1.5+1.8
+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Chicago+0.6+0.1-1.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
NYCFC vs Sporting KC-0.2+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs DC United+0.2+0.0-0.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Colorado vs NYCFC+0.2+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
6612-0-0In7.8%9910No3,130,272
6411-1-0In3.19730No322,145
6311-0-1In1.79550No588,762
6210-2-0In0.99280No1,492,739
6110-1-1In0.4871300No5,403,360
6010-0-2In0.28119100No8,978,579*
599-2-1In0.17226200No22,144,750
589-1-2In0.06135400No47,006,901*
578-3-1In0.048429100No76,948,475*
568-2-2In0.03547162000No151,598,773*
558-1-3100.0%0.022462650000No250,787,359*
547-3-2100.00.0123936121000No378,333,095*
537-2-3100.00.062840225000No608,261,089*
527-1-4100.0No2163732112000No441,336,960
6-4-2100.0No2153633122000No409,455,757*
516-3-3100.0No172638226100No1,142,124,729*
506-2-499.9No02153433132000No1,169,474,030
5-5-299.9No02143334153000No372,435,197*
495-4-399.3No0162337267100No1,041,251,362
6-1-599.5No0162438246000No825,196,247*
485-3-497.7No00212323516200No1,744,850,542
4-6-297.5No00212323616200No450,617,480*
475-2-593.5No0005223927600No1,752,887,588*
4-5-392.0No00042038298000No774,530,146
464-4-482.8No000110323916100No1,603,728,753
5-1-684.3No000111333814100No1,051,153,062*
454-3-569.0No0004224227400No2,105,213,721
3-6-364.7No0003194230500No378,756,387
5-0-769.7No0004224326400No225,203,243*
444-2-651.9No00011238381010No1,710,175,324
3-5-447.7No00011036401110No957,192,110*
433-4-531.6No0005274620200No1,508,487,669
4-1-732.9No0005284520200No903,718,604*
423-3-618.3No0002174531500No1,770,594,691*
2-6-415.4No001144434600No336,938,670*
413-2-79.0No0009384112000.0%1,098,844,367
2-5-57.6No0007374312000.0660,659,705*
402-4-63.3No0003264822100.0845,389,805
3-1-83.5No0003274722100.0498,864,337*
392-3-71.1No001164633300.0982,500,666*
382-2-80.3No00083945700.0440,692,800
1-5-60.3No00083845800.0238,733,747*
371-4-70.1No00428531510.0422,367,733*
361-3-80.0No00118542520.2246,299,402*
351-2-90.0No009493750.7133,955,986*
340-4-80.0No0043947102.562,296,202*
330-3-90.0No0012754187.025,590,591*
320-2-10OutNo0017542915.49,543,903
310-1-11OutNo009504127.82,509,075
300-0-12OutNo04425443.83,397,430
Total:60.9%0.0%135811151919136100.0%29,901,964,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNYCFCPhiladelphiaAtlantaDC UnitedNY Red BullsToronto FCOrlandoNew EnglandChicagoCincinnatiColumbus
62-6612.5%Yes
6110-1-112.51000000000
6010-0-212.5100000000000
9-3-012.5100000000000
599-2-112.51000000000000
589-1-212.51000000000000
8-4-012.5100000000000
578-3-112.59900000000000
9-0-312.59900000000000
568-2-212.49800000000000
7-5-012.49800000000000
558-1-312.29501111100000
7-4-112.29401111100000
547-3-211.78712222210000
8-0-411.78712222210000
6-6-011.68612232210000
537-2-310.87424444420000
6-5-110.67224455421000
527-1-49.35546777731000
6-4-29.25347788631000
5-7-09.05147788641000
516-3-37.43469101010941000
7-0-57.43469101010941100
5-6-17.13169101111951000
506-2-45.4187101111111052100
5-5-25.1166101111111052100
495-4-33.466991010942100
6-1-53.6769101110942100
4-7-13.155991010842100
485-3-42.0246788631100
6-0-62.0256788731100
4-6-21.8246777631000
475-2-51.0034455421000
4-5-30.9023444321000
3-8-10.8023344321000
464-4-40.4012222210000
5-1-60.4012222210000
3-7-20.3011222110000
454-3-50.1001111100000
3-6-30.1001111000000
5-0-70.1011111100000
444-2-60.0000000000000
3-5-40.0000000000000
433-4-50.0000000000000
423-3-60.0000000000000
413-2-70.000000000000
402-4-60.000000000000
392-3-70.00000000
381-5-6No000
30-37No
Total:1.9%8.81.82.73.03.23.22.71.30.50.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/13100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 0 Toronto FC 2 +1.7
Chicago 1 Cincinnati 2 -0.2
NY Red Bulls 2 NYCFC 1 +0.1
Chicago 2 Columbus 2 -0.1
Orlando 1 Columbus 0 +0.1
Atlanta 5 Houston 0 +0.1
Toronto FC 3 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.1
Seattle 2 Atlanta 1 -0.1
New England 4 Vancouver 0 +0.1
RSL 4 Philadelphia 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portland vs Orlando-0.1-0.0+0.2
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Montreal+1.0+0.2-1.7
Toronto FC vs Houston+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs New England-0.1-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
6612-0-0891100
6411-1-0394300
6311-0-1293500
6210-2-01917100
6110-1-1087102000
6010-0-20801451000
599-2-1072161020000
589-1-2061181740000
578-3-104815277110000
568-2-20351136124200000
558-1-3022640151150000000
547-3-2012237132292100000
537-2-3061278321384000000
527-1-42016433141892200000
6-4-22015334122193200000
516-3-3107126730139511000
506-2-4002015332122010320000
5-5-2002014231102410420000
495-4-30010602353213136110000
6-1-5001061247311410610000
485-3-40002012231102511520000
4-6-20002012230102611520000
475-2-50000050225341314510000
4-5-30000040204351217620000
464-4-40000101013193010520000
5-1-60000101113210281041000
454-3-5000004022438121261000
3-6-300003019339111482000
444-2-60000101213710181551000
3-5-4000010101358191871000
433-4-500000502741727164000
4-1-700000502851826143000
423-3-6000020172122928112000
2-6-40001014192731142000
413-2-70000090522352261000
2-5-5000070420352571000
402-4-60000301113134163000
3-1-80000302123234153000
392-3-700010052137278100
1-6-50010041937299100
382-2-800000111313717300
1-5-60000019293819400
371-4-7000004193829910
361-3-8000001930381930
351-2-90000318383191
340-4-8000192939192
330-3-9000031840327
320-2-100019324315
310-1-11003214828
300-0-12001104544
Total:01031416293124154688642100