How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Portland 1 Nashville 0 +6.2
+0.5
+0.4
-2.1
+0.5
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.5
-0.0
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.4
+0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.4
+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.4
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.4
+0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
+0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England vs Portland-4.6-0.1+10.9
-0.4-0.0+1.0
-0.5-0.1+1.4
+1.0-0.2-2.1
-0.4-0.0+0.9
Columbus vs RSL+0.4*-0.0-1.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.4+0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.4*+0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.5+0.1-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.3*-0.0-0.9
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.3*-0.0-0.6
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado-0.3+0.4+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Seattle-0.1+0.4-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
75-99In100.0%100No9,686*
7422-5-5In99.61000No1,291*
7322-4-6In99.51000No2,104*
7221-6-5In99.31000No3,805*
7121-5-6In98.5991No6,512*
7020-7-5In97.6991No10,765*
6920-6-6In96.49820No17,615*
6820-5-7In94.49730No27,919*
6719-7-6In91.59550No43,792*
6619-6-7In87.793700No66,928*
6519-5-8In82.4901000No100,025*
6418-7-7In75.6851410No146,667*
6318-6-8In67.08019100No210,787*
6217-8-7In57.07324200No296,271*
6117-7-8In45.86530400No409,315*
6017-6-9In34.256367100No553,274*
5916-8-8In23.3464112100No735,828*
5816-7-9In13.9364417300No958,304*
5716-6-10In7.22643246100No1,220,914*
5615-8-9100.0%3.11740311120000No1,528,890*
5515-7-10100.01.01033361740000No1,875,209*
5415-6-11100.00.2524362581000No2,259,168*
5314-8-10100.00.02153231154000No2,664,742*
5214-7-1199.90.01824342382000No3,086,990*
5113-9-1099.30.004153030164100No3,501,056*
5013-8-1197.7No018223224102000No3,899,760*
4913-7-1293.2No0031328301861000No4,251,810*
4812-9-1183.7No0016193127133000No4,553,873*
4712-8-1268.4No00021024312282000No4,773,340*
4612-7-1348.7No0014152929165100No4,909,213*
4511-9-1229.6No0001721312511200No4,946,241*
4411-8-1315.0No000312263120710No4,887,399*
4311-7-146.3No0001518312914300.0%4,724,463*
4210-9-132.2No000210253323710.04,480,844*
4110-8-140.6No00141632311420.04,159,396*
4010-7-150.1No0002926362350.13,782,404*
399-9-140.0No0014183532100.43,366,060*
389-8-150.0No0002113139171.52,929,685*
379-7-160.0No000162443274.32,495,353*
368-9-150.0No00031743379.72,083,434*
358-8-16OutNo00111404818.11,695,064*
348-7-17OutNo0006345929.01,348,973*
337-9-16OutNo003286941.41,049,274*
327-8-17OutNo002217753.8797,132*
317-7-18OutNo001168365.1590,620*
306-9-17OutNo00118874.8427,606*
296-8-18OutNo0089282.3301,210*
286-7-19OutNo0059588.0206,655*
275-9-18OutNo039792.2137,881*
265-8-19OutNo029895.089,677*
255-7-20OutNo19996.956,748*
244-9-19OutNo19998.134,986*
234-8-20OutNo010098.820,700*
224-7-21OutNo010099.311,919*
213-9-20OutNo010099.66,553*
203-8-21OutNo010099.93,606*
3-19OutNo100100.011,812*
Total:45.6%1.8%45678899999983.9%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaSporting KCColoradoFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverRSLLA GalaxySan JoseHoustonNashville
67-9912.5%Yes
6619-6-712.41000
6519-5-812.510000
6418-7-712.5100000000
6318-6-812.5100000000000000
6217-8-712.4100000000000000
6117-7-812.4100000000000000
6017-6-912.499000000000000
5916-8-812.499000000000000
17-5-1012.499000000000000
5816-7-912.397000000000000
15-10-712.397000000000000
5716-6-1012.294111111100000
15-9-812.293111111110000
5615-8-911.987111111111111
16-5-1112.088111111111100
14-11-711.987122111111111
5515-7-1011.479223222221111
14-10-811.377333222221111
16-4-1211.479222222221111
5415-6-1110.767444333332211
14-9-910.564444433332211
13-12-710.565444433332211
5314-8-109.450555555443222
15-5-129.652555544442222
13-11-89.248556555443222
5214-7-117.934666665543333
13-10-97.732667666553333
15-4-138.034666665543333
5114-6-126.321777666553333
13-9-105.919677666553333
12-12-85.918677666554333
5013-8-114.29666655543333
14-5-134.510666655553333
12-11-93.98666555443333
4913-7-122.74445444433222
12-10-102.43444444332222
14-4-142.64445444433222
4812-9-111.31233322222111
13-6-131.41333333222211
4712-8-120.60111111111111
13-5-140.60111111111111
4612-7-130.20001100000000
4511-9-120.10000000000000
4411-8-130.00000000000000
4311-7-140.00000000000000
4210-9-130.0000000000000
4110-8-140.000000000000
4011-4-17No000
3-39No
Total:2.7%14.51.51.61.61.51.41.41.21.20.80.80.70.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -1.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 -0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Portland+0.8-0.0-1.9
Columbus vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.0-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
76-99100
7522-6-41000
7422-5-510000
7322-4-610000
7221-6-59900
7121-5-69811
7020-7-59811
6920-6-696220
6820-5-794230
6719-7-6923500
6619-6-78857000
6519-5-882710000
6418-7-7761014010
6318-6-867131901000
6217-8-757162402000
6117-7-846202914000
6017-6-9342234270100
5916-8-823233741201000
5816-7-914223771703000
5716-6-10719321123160100
5615-8-93142415283100200000
5515-7-10191518306170400000
5415-6-110571725112328010000
5314-8-1002213171527415040000
5214-7-11011881624102218020000
5113-9-100003213151525515040100
5013-8-110010861621112221002000
4913-7-1200003212111624717161000
4812-9-1100010641517142341230000
4712-8-12000002110717211020920000
4612-7-13000104214121723188200000
4511-9-120000107417162418831000
4411-8-13000003111719252010310000
4311-7-1400001052919252112410000
4210-9-13000020291925231351000
4110-8-1400010028182524145100
4010-7-1500000002818262414510
399-9-14000001392028241230
389-8-1500000131123302391
379-7-160000014142731184
368-9-15000001720332910
358-8-160000312303718
348-7-1700016224129
337-9-160003154141
327-8-1700193654
317-7-1800053065
306-9-1700022375
296-8-180011682
286-7-19011188
275-9-1800892
265-8-190595
255-7-200397
244-9-190298
234-8-200199
224-7-21199
213-9-200100
203-8-210100
193-7-220100
183-6-230100
3-17100
Total:22323343435454555555555444