How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 3 Portland 0 -4.7
-0.4
-0.4
+1.1
-0.4
Chicago 2 Seattle 4 -0.7
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Colorado 1 Sporting KC 1 +0.5
-0.1
Columbus 1 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+0.0
LA Galaxy 3 Minnesota 2 -0.4
+0.1
DC United 5 RSL 0 +0.4
+0.0
NY Red Bulls 4 San Jose 1 +0.3
-0.1
+0.0
Houston 3 Vancouver 2 -0.2
-0.1
Orlando 1 Montreal 3 -0.1
Atlanta 1 Philadelphia 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
LAFC vs RSL+0.0+0.3-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Colorado-0.2+0.5-0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Philadelphia vs Columbus+0.3-0.1-0.3
Toronto FC vs NYCFC-0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Orlando-0.1+0.0+0.2
New England vs Cincinnati+0.2-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
76-94InYes100No139,634*
7523-5-3In99.8%1000No1,283*
7423-4-4In99.81000No2,542*
7322-6-3In99.11000No5,086*
7222-5-4In98.8991No9,494*
7122-4-5In98.3991No17,484*
7021-6-4In97.1991No31,721*
6921-5-5In95.69820No55,330*
6821-4-6In93.29730No95,692*
6720-6-5In89.99640No159,832*
6620-5-6In85.394600No263,100*
6519-7-5In79.491900No421,702*
6419-6-6In71.8871300No663,172*
6319-5-7In62.7821710No1,021,625*
6218-7-6In52.17523200No1,539,553*
6118-6-7In40.767294000No2,265,969*
6018-5-8In29.5583560000No3,277,244*
5917-7-7In19.4484010100No4,632,375*
5817-6-8In11.33843162000No6,410,320*
5717-5-9In5.62844235000No8,701,192*
5616-7-8100.0%2.319412991000No11,569,862*
5516-6-9100.00.71235351530000No15,077,350*
5415-8-8100.00.2727372271000No19,257,653*
5315-7-9100.00.03183429123000No24,123,835*
5215-6-1099.90.011128332061000No29,599,041*
5114-8-999.70.0052033271230000No35,609,961*
5014-7-1098.90.0021127322061000No41,985,495*
4914-6-1196.6No016193128133000No48,545,621*
4813-8-1091.4No0021125322171000No55,035,081*
4713-7-1181.7No0015173029144000No61,139,005*
4613-6-1267.2No000292432238100No66,577,587*
4512-8-1149.5No0001415303016400No71,064,438*
4412-7-1232.1No00018233325910No74,342,579*
4311-9-1118.1No0000314303216400.0%76,228,916*
4211-8-128.8No00017233525810.076,585,900*
4111-7-133.7No00031532331520.075,357,946*
4010-9-121.3No0001826372350.072,662,402*
3910-8-130.4No0000418373290.268,624,286*
3810-7-140.1No0002113339151.063,444,423*
379-9-130.0No000162644232.957,436,080*
369-8-140.0No00031945336.950,880,846*
359-7-150.0No000113434313.544,111,419*
348-9-140.0No0018385322.837,388,886*
338-8-150.0No0005326333.931,004,023*
328-7-16OutNo003267145.925,120,988*
317-9-15OutNo001207957.519,890,193*
307-8-16OutNo001158468.015,387,921*
297-7-17OutNo000118976.811,608,245*
286-9-16OutNo0079283.88,552,388*
276-8-17OutNo0059589.06,137,071*
266-7-18OutNo039792.84,293,132*
255-9-17OutNo029895.42,924,579*
245-8-18OutNo019997.21,937,684*
235-7-19OutNo019998.31,248,831*
224-9-18OutNo0010099.0779,527*
214-8-19OutNo0010099.4473,027*
204-7-20OutNo010099.6276,346*
193-9-19OutNo010099.8157,353*
183-8-20OutNo010099.986,082*
173-7-21OutNo010099.945,604*
163-6-22OutNo010099.923,209*
152-8-21OutNo100100.011,263*
142-7-22OutNo010099.95,308*
1-13OutNo100100.0142,456*
Total:36.1%0.6%234568910121314147.3%1,336,468,192

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSeattleMinnesotaLAFCHoustonLA GalaxySporting KCFC DallasRSLColoradoVancouverSan Jose
67-9412.5%Yes
6620-5-612.51000
6519-7-512.5100000
6419-6-612.510000000000
6319-5-712.510000000000000
6218-7-612.510000000000000
6118-6-712.510000000000000
6018-5-812.510000000000000
5917-7-712.49900000000000
5817-6-812.49700000000000
5717-5-912.29511111110000
16-8-712.29411111110000
5616-7-811.99011111111100
17-4-1012.09011111111100
5516-6-911.58222222221110
15-9-711.58122222221110
5415-8-810.76934443332211
16-5-1010.87134433332111
5315-7-99.75655555543221
16-4-119.95845555443221
14-10-79.55455555553221
5215-6-108.54167766664321
14-9-88.23867776664321
16-3-128.44067766664321
5114-8-96.62567777764432
15-5-116.92767777764332
13-11-76.52477777764432
5014-7-105.01467777764332
13-10-84.71267777664432
15-4-125.21567777764332
4914-6-113.5756666654322
13-9-93.2656666554321
15-3-133.4656666654322
4813-8-102.0244444443221
14-5-122.2345544443221
12-11-81.9234444443221
4713-7-111.1123333222111
12-10-91.0123232222111
4613-6-120.5011111111110
12-9-100.4011111111110
4512-8-110.2001111000000
4412-7-120.1000000000000
4312-6-130.0000000000000
4211-8-120.0000000000000
4111-7-130.000000000000
4011-6-140.000000000000
3910-8-130.000000000000
3810-7-14No00000000
3710-6-15No00
1-36No
Total:1.6%8.21.21.41.41.41.31.31.20.80.70.50.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/16100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 3 Portland 0 +0.8
Chicago 2 Seattle 4 +0.1
Colorado 1 Sporting KC 1 -0.1
Columbus 1 FC Dallas 0 -0.0
DC United 5 RSL 0 -0.0
Houston 3 Vancouver 2 +0.0
NY Red Bulls 4 San Jose 1 -0.0
NYCFC 2 LAFC 2 -0.0
Week of 3/23None

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
76-94100
7523-5-310000
7423-4-410000
7322-6-39900
7222-5-49911
7122-4-59811
7021-6-497210
6921-5-596320
6821-4-6934300
6720-6-5906400
6620-5-68586000
6519-7-579119000
6419-6-67215130000
6319-5-76319170100
6218-7-652232212000
6118-6-7412727140000
6018-5-829293236000000
5917-7-719293461001000
5817-6-811273410150200000
5717-5-96232915211500000
5616-7-821721202639010000
5516-6-91111322277150300000
5415-8-80662124132127010000
5315-7-9032161618255120300000
5215-6-100111082023101916010000
5114-8-900053171616234120300000
5014-7-1000021118192210191601000
4914-6-110010521615162341203000
4813-8-1000002010719211120271000
4713-7-1100010521513182361440000
4613-6-12000002095191913211020000
4512-8-11000010411411192318720000
4412-7-1200000108419182517610000
4311-9-11000000311310232516620000
4211-8-12000010741425251661000
4111-7-1300000316162625156100
4010-9-120000102718272514410
3910-8-130000000292129241130
3810-7-14000000141225302171
379-9-1300000015172929153
369-8-14000000292334257
359-7-150000001415323414
348-9-140000019274023
338-8-15000004194234
328-7-160002124046
317-9-1500173458
307-8-16000042868
297-7-1700022177
286-9-160011584
276-8-170001189
266-7-1800793
255-9-1700595
245-8-1800397
235-7-190298
224-9-180199
214-8-190199
204-7-200100
193-9-190100
183-8-200100
173-7-210100
163-6-220100
152-8-210100
142-7-220100
132-6-230100
1-12100
Total:111222233344445666677777