How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -1.5
-0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -1.1
-0.1
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 +1.0
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 -0.9
-0.0
-0.0
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
RSL vs Atlanta-1.5+0.6+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs LAFC-1.6+0.3+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
NY Red Bulls vs Vancouver+0.5+0.0-1.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Colorado-0.4+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Orlando vs LA Galaxy+0.4+0.0-0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Portland-3.3+1.4+13.5
-0.1+0.0+0.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.8
-0.2+0.1+0.8
Montreal vs RSL+0.9+0.1-2.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.7+0.0-1.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Seattle-1.0+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota+0.6-0.1-1.3
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.8+0.5+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Houston-0.8+0.4+0.9
Vancouver vs FC Dallas+0.2+0.6-0.8
Sporting KC vs LA Galaxy-0.6+0.6+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Colorado vs Columbus+0.2-0.2-0.3
New England vs DC United+0.2-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
8023-0-0In99.6%1000No166,680
75-78InYes100No22*
7420-3-0In89.58911No38*
7320-2-1In84.78515No144
7220-1-2In83.18317No354*
7119-3-1In77.67921No881*
7019-2-2In71.473270No2,219*
6918-4-1In63.565341No4,809*
6818-3-2In55.3584110No10,918*
6718-2-3In47.0504820No22,970*
6617-4-2In37.1415540No45,646*
6517-3-3In28.4336060No90,120*
6417-2-4In20.226641000No169,902*
6316-4-3In13.319651610No306,669*
6216-3-4In7.913632220No543,119*
6115-5-3In4.285829400No924,110*
6015-4-4In1.955137700No1,526,774*
5915-3-5In0.73424312100No2,452,036*
5814-5-4In0.21324619200No3,803,829*
5714-4-5100.0%0.112346265000No5,745,711*
5614-3-6100.00.001542349100No8,434,872*
5513-5-5100.00.008354015200No12,020,650*
5413-4-6100.00.0042642234000No16,696,313*
5312-6-5100.0No021740319100No22,529,447*
5212-5-699.9No0110333816200No29,590,765*
5112-4-799.6No0052540245000No37,871,375*
5011-6-698.6No002163733111000No47,161,534*
4911-5-796.2No00193038194000No57,199,401*
4811-4-891.2No0042038288100No67,591,265*
4710-6-782.4No00112333615200No77,752,501*
4610-5-869.6No00062539246000No87,129,926*
4510-4-953.8No000215363312200No95,136,913*
449-6-837.5No0018283820400No101,179,610*
439-5-923.3No0004193829810No104,768,518*
428-7-812.7No0011133371520No105,707,255*
418-6-96.1No0006254024500.0%103,766,852*
408-5-102.5No0002163834900.099,164,719*
397-7-90.9No001932411600.092,246,775*
387-6-100.3No000524452510.083,429,647*
377-5-110.1No000216443520.073,398,109*
366-7-100.0No00110404640.162,765,802*
356-6-110.0No0005335570.552,109,234*
346-5-120.0No0032562111.542,000,771*
335-7-110.0No0011865163.532,853,861*
325-6-120.0No0001166237.024,898,759*
315-5-13OutNo007633012.518,280,706*
304-7-12OutNo004583819.912,983,877*
294-6-13OutNo002524628.98,901,365*
284-5-14OutNo01455439.05,891,601*
273-7-13OutNo00386149.33,758,707*
263-6-14OutNo00316859.22,302,525*
253-5-15OutNo00257568.31,354,410*
242-7-14OutNo0198176.2762,729*
232-6-15OutNo0158582.7409,209*
222-5-16OutNo0118987.8208,950*
212-4-17OutNo079391.6100,922*
201-6-16OutNo59594.546,014*
191-5-17OutNo39796.819,352*
181-4-18OutNo29898.17,736*
171-3-19OutNo19998.62,793*
160-5-18OutNo19999.3923*
150-4-19OutNo010099.6236*
140-3-20OutNo19998.669*
12-13OutNo100Yes11*
110-0-23OutNo0100100.0166,680
Total:35.3%0.0%0124710131516161431.2%1,608,420,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLAFCSeattleHoustonLA GalaxyMinnesotaFC DallasRSLSporting KCSan JoseVancouverColorado
69-8012.6%Yes
6818-3-212.41000
6718-2-312.71000
6617-4-212.41000000000
6517-3-312.4100000000000
6417-2-412.51000000000000
6316-4-312.4990000000000
6216-3-412.59800010000000
6115-5-312.29600111000000
6015-4-412.09301121110000
5915-3-511.88702242110000
5814-5-411.37903363220000
5714-4-510.66904585331100
13-7-310.56805585431100
5614-3-69.857167117541100
13-6-49.756177117541100
5513-5-58.643189149651110
14-2-78.643189149651110
5413-4-67.53119111611762210
12-7-47.329110111611762210
5312-6-56.119111121711862210
13-3-76.219110121712862210
5212-5-64.811110121712862210
13-2-84.911110131712862210
11-8-44.610110121711862210
5112-4-73.7509111511762210
11-7-53.5509111510762210
13-1-93.5509111511762210
5011-6-62.42079128652210
12-3-82.62079139652210
10-9-42.32078128642210
4911-5-71.6105796431110
10-8-51.5105696431110
12-2-91.7105797432110
4811-4-81.0003464321100
10-7-60.9003464321100
4710-6-70.5002232111000
11-3-90.5002232111000
4610-5-80.2001121110000
9-8-60.2001121100000
4510-4-90.1000010000000
449-6-80.0000000000000
439-5-90.0000000000000
429-4-100.000000000000
418-6-90.000000000000
408-5-100.000000000000
398-4-110.0000000000
387-6-10No00000
377-5-11No0
11-36No
Total:0.8%2.40.11.41.82.51.71.20.90.30.30.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +0.1
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 1 Vancouver 1 -0.1
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 +0.0
Houston 2 DC United 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
FC Dallas vs LAFC+0.1-0.0-0.1
RSL vs Atlanta+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Vancouver-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Portland+0.4-0.2-1.6
Montreal vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Seattle+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs FC Dallas+0.0-0.1+0.0
Colorado vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
8023-0-01000
75-78100
7420-3-08911
7320-2-18515
7220-1-28317
7119-3-178121
7019-2-2711270
6918-4-1641341
6818-3-255241010
6718-2-347348020
6617-4-237455040
6517-3-328560060
6417-2-420563110000
6316-4-313663116010
6216-3-48560322020
6115-5-344535290400
6015-4-4234473607000
5915-3-5123210421120100
5814-5-40120114331902000
5714-4-501111140626050000
5614-3-60051032933190100
5513-5-5002722133731502000
5413-4-60004121436723040000
5312-6-50025122812302901000
5212-5-60011818163351602000
5112-4-700005816301023150000
5011-6-60000231321162931101000
4911-5-7000118111929918140000
4811-4-800004416231626381000
4710-6-7000011111320288153000
4610-5-800000651924152271000
4510-4-90000021141521271540000
449-6-800010872225241120000
439-5-900000421717292182000
428-7-800001011925291861000
418-6-900000641528271441000
408-5-1000000217213025112000
397-7-9000102112531217100
387-6-10000001416303015400
377-5-110000018223326910
366-7-100000031330341730
356-6-11000001621362871
346-5-1200002133337141
335-7-110000162541243
325-6-12000031640347
315-5-130019354212
304-7-120005274820
294-6-130002195029
284-5-14001124839
273-7-130074349
263-6-140043759
253-5-150023068
242-7-14012376
232-6-15001783
222-5-16001288
212-4-170892
201-6-1600595
191-5-170397
181-4-18298
171-3-19199
160-5-18199
150-4-190100
140-3-20199
12-13100
110-0-230100
Total:000011223355668888887531