How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Portland 2 Colorado 2 -5.0
-0.8
-0.4
RSL 4 Philadelphia 0 -1.5
-0.1
-0.1
Atlanta 5 Houston 0 +0.9
+0.0
Vancouver 0 Sporting KC 3 -0.8
Seattle 2 Atlanta 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 1 FC Dallas 0 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portland vs Orlando+7.8-5.0-10.9
+0.9-0.6-1.1
+0.5-0.3-0.7
LA Galaxy vs LAFC-0.8+0.0+0.5
-0.3+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Portland-5.1+0.9+12.7
-0.7+0.1+1.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.1+0.9
Toronto FC vs Houston+0.8+0.0-2.4
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Sporting KC+0.7-0.1-2.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs San Jose+1.1+0.3-1.3
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
RSL vs Minnesota-1.1+0.7+1.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas+0.1+0.9-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Colorado vs NYCFC-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
7216-0-0In44.9%4555No89,093
7015-1-0In28.829710No7,147
6915-0-1In22.022780No10,382
6814-2-0In16.016840No34,410
6714-1-1In11.412880No98,950
6613-3-0In7.78920No171,625*
6513-2-1In5.159410No429,360
6413-1-2In3.139520No803,265*
6312-3-1In1.7295300No1,413,959*
6212-2-2In0.9193600No2,652,557*
6112-1-3In0.41881100No4,193,228*
6011-3-2In0.208217100No6,676,606*
5911-2-3In0.107226200No10,279,771*
5810-4-2In0.0059355000No14,475,739*
5710-3-3In0.00454311100No20,284,903*
5610-2-4100.0%0.003147193000No26,982,504*
559-4-3100.00.001844307100No34,036,927*
549-3-4100.0No093538152000No42,121,716*
538-5-3100.0No042340267100No49,585,420*
528-4-499.8No01123435153000No56,092,745*
518-3-599.2No052238267100No61,717,703*
507-5-496.8No0111313617300No36,472,440
8-2-697.4No0212333515200No28,432,140*
497-4-591.3No0042138288100No65,889,508*
487-3-681.3No00111323716200No37,907,183
6-6-478.1No0019303819300No26,856,490*
476-5-562.8No0004203929700No60,993,723*
466-4-643.1No00110323916200No55,500,628*
456-3-725.3No0004214228500No48,748,627*
445-5-612.5No0011137391200No41,074,992*
435-4-75.1No000527452110No33,363,437*
425-3-81.7No00217453430No26,112,335*
414-5-70.5No0009394660No19,555,484*
404-4-80.1No00429551210.0%14,088,736*
394-3-90.0No00119591910.09,735,819*
383-5-80.0No0011572930.06,414,427*
373-4-90.0No005503870.04,043,551*
363-3-10OutNo024145120.12,428,695*
352-5-9OutNo013050190.41,380,707*
342-4-10OutNo02150291.5741,883*
332-3-11OutNo01347404.0377,557*
321-5-10OutNo0841528.9179,079*
311-4-11OutNo04326417.378,642*
301-3-12OutNo2247428.331,832*
290-5-11OutNo1168341.011,831*
280-4-12OutNo0118953.23,859*
270-3-13OutNo069467.91,092*
260-2-14OutNo39776.7262
250-1-15OutNo10082.941
240-0-16OutNo0010091.388,366
Total:69.0%0.0%07101213141413106100.0%852,671,376

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLAFCSeattleMinnesotaLA GalaxySan JoseRSLFC DallasHoustonSporting KCColoradoVancouver
66-7212.5%Yes
6513-2-112.510000
6413-1-212.510000000
6312-3-112.510000000000
6212-2-212.5100000000000
6112-1-312.51000000000000
11-4-112.51000000000000
6011-3-212.49900000000000
12-0-412.4990000000000
5911-2-312.49800010000000
10-5-112.49800000000000
5810-4-212.29501111110000
11-1-412.29401111110000
5710-3-311.98802222110000
9-6-112.08902222110000
11-0-511.98702232210000
5610-2-411.37703454321000
9-5-211.47803444321000
559-4-310.46206787441100
10-1-510.46206787541100
8-7-110.56406776441000
549-3-49.1440810119752100
8-6-29.1450810109752100
10-0-69.0430810129752100
538-5-37.427010121311872100
9-2-57.527010131411862200
7-8-17.427010121311872100
528-4-45.513010131412973200
9-1-65.714010131512972200
7-7-25.413010131311973100
518-3-53.8509121310862200
7-6-33.6509111210862200
9-0-73.8509121310862200
507-5-42.1106897642100
8-2-62.32069107642200
6-8-22.0106887542100
497-4-51.1003564321100
6-7-31.0003454321100
8-1-71.2004564431100
487-3-60.5002232210000
6-6-40.4001222110000
476-5-50.1001111000000
7-2-70.2001111100000
466-4-60.0000000000000
456-3-70.0000000000000
445-5-60.000000000000
435-4-70.0000000000
425-3-80.00000000
414-5-7No000
24-40No
Total:3.5%16.90.03.64.75.14.13.12.40.90.60.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/13100.0*Lottery seed
Portland 2 Colorado 2 +0.8
RSL 4 Philadelphia 0 +0.1
Seattle 2 Atlanta 1 +0.1
Atlanta 5 Houston 0 -0.1
Vancouver 0 Sporting KC 3 +0.1
Minnesota 1 FC Dallas 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portland vs Orlando-1.0+0.7+1.4
LA Galaxy vs LAFC+0.2-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Portland+0.7-0.1-1.9
Vancouver vs San Jose-0.1-0.0+0.2
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas-0.0-0.1+0.1
Toronto FC vs Houston-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
RSL vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
7216-0-045055
7015-1-029710
6915-0-1220780
6814-2-0160840
6714-1-1110880
6613-3-0809200
6513-2-15094010
6413-1-23095020
6312-3-120950300
6212-2-210920600
6112-1-30088011000
6011-3-200811170100
5911-2-3006922602000
5810-4-20055435050000
5710-3-300387430110100
5610-2-40022845219030000
559-4-30010840429070100
549-3-403628737115020000
538-5-3013149364260701000
528-4-40015826834115030000
518-3-50014131034426070100
507-5-4000138229342170300
8-2-6000148248342150200
497-4-500001410113262808100
487-3-600001382210352162000
6-6-400001271811353193000
476-5-5000004812317298100
466-4-60000128191336183000
456-3-70000048133330101000
445-5-600001292236226100
435-4-7000005103033174000
425-3-8000023173330132000
414-5-70000172335257100
404-4-800002113036183000
394-3-9000041837309100
383-5-800018293919300
373-4-90003184030910
363-3-10001832381830
352-5-900321402870
342-4-10001113438151
332-3-110052441254
321-5-10021438369
311-4-11017304517
301-3-1203214828
290-5-111124641
280-4-12054153
270-3-1332968
260-2-1422177
250-1-151783
240-0-160991
Total:0061829210311311310754321000