How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +10.7
+1.1
+1.4
-3.9
+0.8
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.5
+0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.4
-0.1
+0.0
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.4-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Fire+6.5-4.2-9.7
+0.8-0.5-1.2
+1.7-1.2-2.2
-0.8+0.4+1.3
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.5*+0.0-1.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.4-0.0-1.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.4*+0.0-0.7
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.4-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.2-0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0+0.1-0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
76-99In100.0%100No47,872*
7522-6-4In99.81000No8,728*
7422-5-5In99.81000No15,458*
7321-7-4In99.71000No26,833*
7221-6-5In99.51000No44,889*
7121-5-6In99.110000No74,019*
7020-7-5In98.710000No118,059*
6920-6-6In97.99910No183,633*
6819-8-5In96.79910No281,973*
6719-7-6In94.99820No423,594*
6619-6-7In92.49730No622,467*
6518-8-6In88.996400No893,932*
6418-7-7In84.194600No1,259,000*
6318-6-8In77.791900No1,733,778*
6217-8-7In69.6871300No2,344,223*
6117-7-8In59.98217100No3,099,787*
6016-9-7In48.97523200No4,019,076*
5916-8-8In37.36729400No5,110,001*
5816-7-9In26.058356000No6,364,825*
5715-9-8In16.2484011100No7,775,652*
5615-8-9100.0%8.73744162000No9,305,371*
5515-7-10100.03.92744235000No10,907,672*
5414-9-9100.01.4184130101000No12,536,568*
5314-8-10100.00.4113436163000No14,130,211*
5214-7-1199.90.1625372471000No15,611,478*
5113-9-1099.70.03163431143000No16,893,654*
5013-8-1198.80.01926342271000No17,936,931*
4912-10-1096.40.004173230143000No18,634,786*
4812-9-1190.8No01925332381000No18,985,165*
4712-8-1280.2No004163030154000No18,954,737*
4611-10-1164.4No00182233249200No18,543,731*
4511-9-1245.6No000313293118510No17,758,147*
4411-8-1327.9No000162033271120No16,662,600*
4310-10-1214.5No000212283319500.0%15,304,127*
4210-9-136.4No000162034281110.013,768,791*
4110-8-142.4No00021129351930.012,116,455*
409-10-130.7No0001621372870.110,447,893*
399-9-140.2No0002133437140.68,800,742*
389-8-150.0No00172743222.07,250,729*
378-10-140.0No00042044325.45,837,050*
368-9-150.0No000213424411.64,598,128*
358-8-160.0No0018375520.63,540,234*
347-10-150.0No0004306531.92,655,991*
337-9-16OutNo002247444.31,948,200*
327-8-17OutNo001178156.41,391,034*
316-10-16OutNo000128767.2971,382*
306-9-17OutNo0099176.2658,130*
296-8-18OutNo059483.4436,314*
285-10-17OutNo049688.7280,563*
275-9-18OutNo0029892.6174,162*
265-8-19OutNo019995.2105,733*
254-10-18OutNo19997.162,278*
244-9-19OutNo010098.235,572*
234-8-20OutNo010099.019,696*
223-10-19OutNo010099.510,310*
213-9-20OutNo010099.65,349*
203-8-21OutNo010099.72,769*
3-19OutNo100100.039,782*
Total:63.3%5.0%111111111010988752.0%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsFireOrlandoNYCFCToronto FCUnionDC UnitedRevolutionImpactCrew
66-9912.5%Yes
6518-8-612.51000
6418-7-712.51000000
6318-6-812.51000000000000
6217-8-712.51000000000000
6117-7-812.51000000000000
6016-9-712.51000000000000
5916-8-812.51000000000000
5816-7-912.51000000000000
15-10-712.51000000000000
5715-9-812.4990000000000
16-6-1012.4990000000000
5615-8-912.4970000000000
14-11-712.4970000000000
5515-7-1012.3951111110000
14-10-812.3941111110000
5414-9-912.0891111111111
15-6-1112.1891111111111
5314-8-1011.6812222222111
13-11-811.5792333222221
15-5-1211.6812222222111
5214-7-1111.0693444333222
13-10-910.8674444333222
12-13-710.8674444333222
5113-9-109.8525555544443
14-6-129.9545555544333
12-12-89.7505666554443
5013-8-118.5376777655444
12-11-98.2346777665554
14-5-138.4366777655454
4912-10-106.6217777766555
13-7-126.8227777766555
11-13-86.5207777766555
4812-9-114.8116777665554
13-6-135.0116777665554
11-12-94.696777665554
4712-8-123.255555554444
11-11-103.045555544444
4611-10-111.813333333332
4511-9-120.902222222111
4411-8-130.301111111111
4310-10-120.100000000000
4210-9-130.000000000000
4110-8-140.000000000000
409-10-130.000000000000
399-9-140.00000000000
389-8-150.00000000000
378-10-14No000000
367-12-13No0
3-35No
Total:5.5%32.92.32.52.52.52.22.01.91.71.71.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.7
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Fire-1.0+0.7+1.5
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact+0.0-0.1+0.0
Orlando vs Union+0.0-0.1+0.0
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
79-99100
7823-6-31000
7723-5-41000
7623-4-51000
7522-6-410000
7422-5-510000
7321-7-410000
7221-6-510000
7121-5-699100
7020-7-599100
6920-6-698110
6819-8-5972100
6719-7-695320
6619-6-7925300
6518-8-68974000
6418-7-784106000
6318-6-878139000
6217-8-77017130000
6117-7-860221701000
6016-9-749262212000
5916-8-837302724000
5816-7-92632314600000
5715-9-816323371001000
5615-8-99293113161200000
5515-7-104232519212500000
5414-9-911717232559010000
5314-8-100109252511151300000
5214-7-110642119182137010000
5113-9-1003115112223813130000
5013-8-1101094221915193701000
4912-10-10000411611212281313000
4812-9-11001094211716203810000
4712-8-12000041159212191551000
4611-10-1100010832015172111300000
4511-9-1200000301372221211030000
4411-8-1300001062181424211030000
4310-10-120000201161826211030000
4210-9-13000010629212722103000
4110-8-140000203112228219200
409-10-130000101412242920810
399-9-1400000151527291751
389-8-150000017193127122
378-10-140000002112534225
368-9-15000001517343212
358-8-160000210284021
347-10-15000015204232
337-9-16002134044
327-8-1700183556
316-10-160042867
306-9-170022276
296-8-18011683
285-10-17001189
275-9-1800793
265-8-1900595
254-10-1800397
244-9-190298
234-8-20199
223-10-19199
213-9-200100
203-8-210100
192-10-200100
3-18100
Total:5656565555555544443332