How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 +5.6
+0.8
+1.9
-0.6
+0.5
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.4
+0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.3
+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 -0.1
DC United 2 Miami 1 -0.1
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.2
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+4.5-2.9-6.6
+0.8-0.5-1.1
+3.0-2.1-4.2
-0.2+0.1+0.4
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
*+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.2*-0.0-0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.1+0.3-0.1
*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1+0.3-0.1
*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.2+0.1-0.4
Houston vs Seattle+0.1+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
78-102In99.9%100No19,884*
7722-5-5In99.81000No8,433*
7622-4-6In99.71000No14,509*
7521-6-5In99.71000No22,659*
7421-5-6In99.61000No36,339*
7320-7-5In99.31000No56,426*
7220-6-6In98.91000No84,690*
7120-5-7In98.31000No126,076*
7019-7-6In97.39910No182,914*
6919-6-7In96.09910No260,931*
6819-5-8In94.09910No360,965*
6718-7-7In91.29820No492,193*
6618-6-8In87.29730No659,307*
6517-8-7In81.995500No862,831*
6417-7-8In75.193700No1,109,516*
6317-6-9In66.7891000No1,399,119*
6216-8-8In56.6851510No1,727,954*
6116-7-9In45.479201000No2,090,565*
6016-6-10In34.07126300No2,482,208*
5915-8-9In23.162325000No2,892,098*
5815-7-10In13.952389100No3,304,818*
5715-6-11In7.2414214200No3,703,478*
5614-8-10In3.13043215000No4,068,114*
5514-7-11100.0%1.020412891000No4,381,441*
5413-9-10100.00.2123434153000No4,633,737*
5313-8-11100.00.0726362381000No4,800,640*
5213-7-12100.00.03163230144000No4,876,299*
5112-9-1199.80.01925332382000No4,857,831*
5012-8-1299.10.0041529291651000No4,745,029*
4912-7-1396.9No0182131251130000No4,548,840*
4811-9-1290.9No0031226302072000No4,270,750*
4711-8-1379.1No0015172928155100No3,930,102*
4611-7-1461.1No00028213024113000No3,542,726*
4510-9-1340.3No00003122530208100No3,125,842*
4410-8-1422.1No0001516292916410No2,704,681*
4310-7-159.9No000282131251120No2,291,211*
429-9-143.6No0000312273219610.0%1,902,405*
419-8-151.1No000161932281220.01,544,155*
409-7-160.3No00021127352140.11,226,466*
398-9-150.0No001519353090.5952,312*
388-8-160.0No0002123138171.7723,375*
378-7-170.0No00162443264.9536,454*
367-9-160.0No000317433710.9389,882*
357-8-17OutNo00111394919.9275,582*
346-10-16OutNo006346031.5190,357*
336-9-17OutNo003277043.9128,281*
326-8-18OutNo02207856.084,330*
316-7-19OutNo01158467.554,147*
305-9-18OutNo00108976.633,269*
295-8-19OutNo0079383.520,396*
285-7-20OutNo059589.311,897*
274-9-19OutNo039792.86,965*
264-8-20OutNo29896.03,761*
254-7-21OutNo19997.72,037*
243-9-20OutNo19998.11,045*
233-8-21OutNo010098.5537*
223-7-22OutNo010099.6246*
6-21OutNo100Yes8,493*
Total:80.6%10.4%211512108765443210.5%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeColumbusToronto FCNY Red BullsMontrealDC UnitedChicagoPhiladelphiaNew EnglandCincinnatiOrlandoMiamiNYCFC
66-10212.5%Yes
6517-8-712.51000
6417-7-812.410000000
6317-6-912.5100000000000000
6216-8-812.5100000000000000
17-5-1012.5100000000000000
6116-7-912.5100000000000000
15-10-712.5100000000000000
6016-6-1012.5100000000000000
15-9-812.4100000000000000
5915-8-912.6100000000000000
16-5-1112.5100000000000000
5815-7-1012.499000000000000
14-10-812.599000000000000
5715-6-1112.498000000000000
14-9-912.498000000000000
5614-8-1012.495111100000000
15-5-1212.395000100000000
13-11-812.395111100000000
5514-7-1112.190111111111110
13-10-912.089111111111111
15-4-1312.190111111111110
5413-9-1011.680222222211111
14-6-1211.782222221111111
12-12-811.680222222111111
5313-8-1110.968333332222222
14-5-1311.070333332222221
12-11-910.866333333322222
5213-7-129.853555543333332
12-10-109.650555544433332
14-4-149.852555544333332
5112-9-118.133666654444443
13-6-138.436666654444433
11-12-98.133666655444443
5012-8-126.320666655544443
11-11-106.018666655544443
13-5-146.521666655544443
4912-7-134.410555554444433
11-10-114.28555554444433
4811-9-122.53444433333322
12-6-142.63444433333332
4711-8-131.31222222222211
4611-7-140.50111111111111
4510-9-130.20000000000000
4410-8-140.00000000000000
4310-7-150.00000000000000
429-9-140.00000000000000
419-8-150.0000000000000
409-7-16No000
6-39No
Total:7.3%48.71.91.91.91.91.71.51.51.41.41.31.21.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -1.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
Toronto FC 1 NYCFC 0 +0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-1.0+0.7+1.5
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.1-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.1-0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.0-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
84-102100
8324-5-31000
8224-4-4100
8123-6-31000
8023-5-41000
7923-4-51000
7822-6-41000
7722-5-510000
7622-4-610000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-59910
7220-6-69910
7120-5-79810
7019-7-697210
6919-6-7963100
6819-5-894510
6718-7-7917200
6618-6-88710300
6517-8-782135000
6417-7-875187000
6317-6-9672310000
6216-8-85728140100
6116-7-9453319110000
6016-6-1034372333000
5915-8-92339275500000
5815-7-1014382810901000
5715-6-1173426161312000
5614-8-103272023183400000
5514-7-1111913282188010000
5413-9-1001262819151423000000
5313-8-110622313221867010000
5213-7-12031167261713132400000
5112-9-11010922212211768020000
5012-8-1200040155241514142501000
4912-7-130010812092217810130000
4811-9-120003012323131816472000
4711-8-13000105116623151213610000
4611-7-1400002081209211714620000
4510-9-130000003012322131916831000
4410-8-14000010511661522191141000
4310-7-150000208271724221351000
429-9-140000030271725231561000
419-8-15000010027172524156100
409-7-160000002717262515510
398-9-1500000281827251440
388-8-1600000310213024102
378-7-1700014132632205
367-9-1600001619333011
357-8-17000211283820
346-10-160015214131
336-9-170002144044
326-8-1800183556
316-7-190042867
305-9-18022177
295-8-19011683
285-7-20001089
274-9-190793
264-8-200496
254-7-21298
243-9-20298
233-8-21199
223-7-220100
6-21100
Total:1011785746453433322222211110