"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 -2.5
-0.8
-0.7
-0.4
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 -1.9
-0.7
-1.0
-0.3
Orlando 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.6
+0.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
Montreal 0 New England 0 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
Minnesota 1 Columbus 0 +0.2
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 +0.1
+0.1
-0.3
+0.0
Orlando 5 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
Houston 2 DC United 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 1 LAFC 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Minnesota+3.4-2.6-6.0
+0.8-0.7-1.3
+0.3-0.2-0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.4-0.3-0.6
Montreal vs RSL-0.6+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose-0.4+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC+0.4+0.1-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Columbus+0.3+0.0-0.7
DC United vs Chicago+0.3*+0.0-0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls+0.4+0.3-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC-0.4+0.4+0.5
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs DC United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
75-83In99.4%100No17,490*
7417-3-1In88.61000No2,571*
7317-2-2In83.51000No5,640*
7216-4-1In77.41000No11,419*
7116-3-2In70.8991No22,977*
7016-2-3In62.7991No43,349*
6915-4-2In54.39820No77,360*
6815-3-3In45.59730No136,653*
6715-2-4In36.59550No228,597*
6614-4-3In27.992800No368,671*
6514-3-4In20.2881100No580,693*
6413-5-3In13.6831610No872,305*
6313-4-4In8.4772210No1,277,456*
6213-3-5In4.76928200No1,808,998*
6112-5-4In2.46035400No2,468,979*
6012-4-5In1.05042800No3,274,610*
5912-3-6In0.4404613100No4,214,720*
5811-5-5In0.1304820200No5,244,918*
5711-4-6In0.0204727500No6,343,276*
5610-6-5In0.013423510100No7,440,657*
5510-5-6100.0%0.073440172000No8,457,485*
5410-4-7100.00.042441256000No9,339,858*
539-6-6100.0No215383311100No10,007,874*
529-5-7100.0No183038194000No10,404,355*
519-4-899.9No042038289100No10,505,880*
508-6-799.7No0112323516300No10,283,203*
498-5-899.0No0062337268100No9,763,282*
488-4-997.0No00213333415300No8,999,832*
477-6-892.4No00172437257100No8,041,891*
467-5-983.7No00314333314200No6,967,850*
456-7-870.3No0017253824500No5,851,059*
446-6-953.6No00031535331210No4,755,265*
436-5-1036.3No0018273921400No3,746,076*
425-7-921.4No0003183931810No2,852,146*
415-6-1010.9No0011033391520No2,098,976*
405-5-114.8No004244325400.0%1,490,191*
394-7-101.8No002154035800.01,022,670*
384-6-110.5No001833421510.0675,316*
374-5-120.2No00424462430.1428,700*
363-7-110.0No00115443360.2262,070*
353-6-120.0No0093842110.8153,293*
343-5-130.0No0053048172.386,477*
333-4-14OutNo022251264.945,832*
322-6-13OutNo011449359.923,419*
312-5-14OutNo09444617.311,105*
302-4-15OutNo05395625.25,139*
291-6-14OutNo03306737.62,131*
281-5-15OutNo1237648.3857*
271-4-16OutNo0148660.6317*
261-3-17OutNo158570.0100*
250-5-16OutNo59570.741*
23-24OutNo10094.117*
200-0-21OutNo010096.415,618
Total:88.9%0.6%915161614118631000.0%150,739,664

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByePhiladelphiaDC UnitedNYCFCToronto FCMontrealNY Red BullsChicagoOrlandoColumbusCincinnatiNew England
67-8312.5%Yes
6614-4-312.51000
6514-3-412.41000000
6413-5-312.51000000000
6313-4-412.5100000000000
6213-3-512.51000000000000
6112-5-412.510000000000000
6012-4-512.510000000000000
11-7-312.51000000000000
5912-3-612.59900000000000
11-6-412.59900000000000
5811-5-512.49700010000000
12-2-712.49700010000000
5711-4-612.39501111110000
10-7-412.39401111110000
5610-6-512.18911222110000
11-3-712.18911222110000
5510-5-611.78112333221000
11-2-811.78112333221000
9-8-411.68012343321000
5410-4-711.17023555441100
9-7-511.06824555441100
539-6-610.25435787662100
10-3-810.35535787662100
8-9-410.15345887662100
529-5-79.039479109872100
8-8-58.9374710109872100
10-2-99.139479109772100
519-4-87.72558101110983200
8-7-67.52358111110983200
508-6-76.01358111110993200
9-3-96.11458111110993200
7-9-55.81257111110983200
498-5-84.46479109883200
7-8-64.2546999873200
9-2-104.464710109883210
488-4-93.0235887662100
7-7-72.8235777662100
477-6-81.7123555441100
8-3-101.7123555441100
467-5-90.9012333221100
457-4-100.4001111110000
446-6-90.1000110000000
436-5-100.0000000000000
426-4-110.0000000000000
415-6-100.000000000000
405-5-110.00000000000
395-4-120.0000000
384-6-11No00
20-37No
Total:7.0%40.22.13.34.74.94.53.93.81.20.70.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/18100.0*Lottery seed
RSL 2 Atlanta 1 +0.7
NY Red Bulls 1 Atlanta 0 +0.7
San Jose 4 Chicago 1 -0.1
Montreal 0 New England 0 -0.1
RSL 3 Toronto FC 0 -0.1
NY Red Bulls 2 Vancouver 2 -0.1
Philadelphia 0 Seattle 0 -0.1
Houston 2 DC United 1 -0.1
LAFC 4 Montreal 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/25100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Minnesota-0.8+0.7+1.3
New England vs DC United-0.1-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Toronto FC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls-0.1-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs RSL+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Portland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs NYCFC+0.0-0.1+0.0
DC United vs Chicago+0.0-0.1+0.0
Colorado vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
8321-0-01000
80-81100
7919-2-0937
7819-1-1100
7718-3-0982
7618-2-1955
7518-1-2937
7417-3-189110
7317-2-283160
7216-4-177220
7116-3-271281
7016-2-3633610
6915-4-25444200
6815-3-34651300
6715-2-43758500
6614-4-328647000
6514-3-42068101000
6413-5-31470142100
6313-4-4869175100
6213-3-55642092000
6112-5-4258211440000
6012-4-5149202271000
5912-3-603917301121000
5811-5-5029123615520000
5711-4-6020839171050000
5610-6-50134381718911000
5510-5-6072321426133200000
5410-4-704024932168500000
539-6-62015433161710110000
529-5-71082281325155400000
519-4-80040207311711811000
508-6-700101232915201333000
498-5-8000612292817870100
488-4-9000201342916171323000
477-6-800107123112618771000
467-5-900030145281816123000
456-7-800107123122518920000
446-6-900003015629191782000
436-5-1000010822515231771000
425-7-90000301782226166100
415-6-1000010103142726144100
405-5-11000417203024112000
394-7-10000202112531217100
384-6-1100101415293016400
374-5-12000017213326910
363-7-110000031229341840
353-6-120001620362891
343-5-130002123136172
333-4-140162340265
322-6-1300214383610
312-5-14018324217
302-4-15004244725
291-6-1402164538
281-5-150104248
271-4-16033661
261-3-1752570
250-5-162971
240-4-17793
230-3-18100
200-0-210496
Total:193124125115856443221110000