How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 -4.6
-0.6
-1.5
+0.3
-0.4
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
-0.1
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.2
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England vs Portland+0.4*+0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.4-0.0-1.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.4*+0.0-1.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.4+0.0-1.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.5+0.1-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.3*-0.0-0.9
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.3*-0.0-0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado-0.3+0.4+0.2
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Houston vs Seattle-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LAFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
76-100In100.0%100No11,755*
7522-5-5In99.71000No2,841*
7422-4-6In99.61000No4,986*
7321-6-5In99.31000No8,014*
7221-5-6In99.0991No13,578*
7120-7-5In98.3991No21,968*
7020-6-6In97.49910No34,594*
6920-5-7In95.99820No53,599*
6819-7-6In93.99730No81,503*
6719-6-7In91.09550No120,036*
6619-5-8In87.093700No174,244*
6518-7-7In81.6901000No248,532*
6418-6-8In74.5851410No347,289*
6317-8-7In65.68019100No476,118*
6217-7-8In55.37325200No637,269*
6117-6-9In44.06531400No837,219*
6016-8-8In32.456367100No1,079,257*
5916-7-9In21.7454112100No1,365,522*
5816-6-10In12.83544183000No1,690,428*
5715-8-9100.0%6.425432561000No2,054,009*
5615-7-10100.02.7173931112000No2,448,590*
5515-6-11100.00.91032361840000No2,858,183*
5414-8-10100.00.2523362581000No3,280,399*
5314-7-11100.00.02153231154000No3,685,321*
5213-9-1099.80.01824342382000No4,060,110*
5113-8-1199.30.0031530301641000No4,385,360*
5013-7-1297.6No0182232241020000No4,650,803*
4912-9-1192.9No0031327311861000No4,833,327*
4812-8-1283.2No0016193027133000No4,918,898*
4712-7-1367.5No00021024312292000No4,908,294*
4611-9-1247.9No0014152829175100No4,797,201*
4511-8-1328.9No0001720312612300No4,603,549*
4411-7-1414.5No000311263120710No4,323,280*
4310-9-136.0No000151730291430No3,977,351*
4210-8-142.0No00029243323810.0%3,583,256*
4110-7-150.6No000141631311520.03,163,260*
409-9-140.1No0001925362460.12,729,352*
399-8-150.0No0004173533110.42,307,170*
389-7-160.0No002103040181.71,909,474*
378-9-150.0No00152343284.81,543,651*
368-8-16OutNo00216433910.71,220,432*
358-7-17OutNo00110395019.5944,347*
347-9-16OutNo0006336130.9708,678*
337-8-17OutNo003267043.4523,918*
327-7-18OutNo002207855.7376,173*
316-9-17OutNo01158466.7264,359*
306-8-18OutNo00109076.2179,501*
296-7-19OutNo0079383.5120,627*
285-9-18OutNo049588.977,582*
275-8-19OutNo039792.848,742*
265-7-20OutNo029895.529,892*
254-9-19OutNo019997.217,599*
244-8-20OutNo19998.310,143*
234-7-21OutNo010098.95,550*
223-9-20OutNo010099.73,062*
213-8-21OutNo10099.81,613*
203-7-22OutNo010099.5778*
4-19OutNo100Yes8,962*
Total:58.7%3.5%78999998877652.0%86,771,548

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the LAFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMinnesotaSporting KCColoradoFC DallasSeattleVancouverRSLPortlandLA GalaxySan JoseHoustonNashville
67-10012.5%Yes
6619-5-812.610000
6518-7-712.41000000
6418-6-812.61000000000000
6317-8-712.5100000000000000
6217-7-812.5100000000000000
6117-6-912.4100000000000000
16-9-712.5100000000000000
6016-8-812.599000000000000
17-5-1012.599000000000000
5916-7-912.599000000000000
15-10-712.599000000000000
5816-6-1012.497000000000000
15-9-812.397000000000000
5715-8-912.293111111110000
16-5-1112.294111111100000
5615-7-1011.987112111111111
14-10-811.987222111111111
16-4-1212.088111111111100
5515-6-1111.579223222221111
14-9-911.477333322221111
13-12-711.478223222221111
5414-8-1010.664444443332221
15-5-1210.767444333322211
13-11-810.664444443332221
5314-7-119.549555554443222
13-10-99.347556554443322
15-4-139.651555554433222
5213-9-107.831667665543333
14-6-128.134666665543333
12-12-87.933667665543333
5113-8-116.118777665554333
14-5-136.420777665554333
12-11-96.018777665554333
5013-7-124.39666655543333
12-10-104.18666655443333
14-4-144.59666665543333
4912-9-112.53444443332222
13-6-132.74444444433222
4812-8-121.41333322222111
13-5-141.41333322222211
4712-7-130.60111111111111
4611-9-120.20001100000000
4511-8-130.10000000000000
4411-7-140.00000000000000
4311-6-150.00000000000000
4210-8-140.0000000000000
4110-7-15No00000000000
4010-6-16No00
4-39No
Total:4.0%23.21.91.92.01.91.81.61.51.41.11.00.90.9
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.9
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.1
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.1
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 +0.0
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 +0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
79-100100
7823-5-41000
7723-4-5100
7622-6-41000
7522-5-510000
7422-4-610000
7321-6-59900
7221-5-69911
7120-7-59811
7020-6-697110
6920-5-796220
6819-7-694330
6719-6-7914500
6619-5-88767000
6518-7-782810000
6418-6-8741114010
6317-8-766141901000
6217-7-855182402000
6117-6-944213014000
6016-8-8322334270100
5916-7-922243741201000
5816-6-10132236817030000
5715-8-96193112241601000
5615-7-10314231628311020000
5515-6-11191418297170400000
5414-8-100561724122328010000
5314-7-11022131616265150400000
5213-9-10010771723112228020000
5113-8-1100032131416246150401000
5013-7-1200107517201222210020000
4912-9-1100003112101723817161000
4812-8-120001063161515234134100
4712-7-130000021106181912201020000
4611-9-1200010411310182219920000
4511-8-1300001073171523191031000
4411-7-14000003111617242111410000
4310-9-130000105281825221351000
4210-8-14000020281725231562000
4110-7-15000010027172524166100
409-9-140000002717262515610
399-8-15000000281927251440
389-7-1600001310223024102
378-9-15000014132731205
368-8-160001619333011
358-7-170000211293819
347-9-1600016214131
337-8-170002144043
327-7-1800183556
316-9-170042967
306-8-180022276
296-7-190011584
285-9-18001189
275-8-190793
265-7-200496
254-9-190397
244-8-200298
234-7-21199
223-9-200100
213-8-210100
203-7-22199
4-19100
Total:43535454545454544444333322